DOCSLIB.ORG

Climate Change Modeling and Downscaling Issues And

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Climate Change Modeling and Downscaling Issues And 2 3 Modeling and Downscaling: Issues and Methodological Perspectives for the U.S. National Climate Assessment NCA Report Series, Volume 7 Climate Change Modeling and Downscaling: Issues and Methodolgical Perspectives for the U.S. National Climate Assessment NCA Report Series The National Climate Assessment (NCA) Report Series summarizes regional, sectoral, and process-related workshops and discussions being held as part of the third NCA process. This workshop focused on questions, issues, and methodological perspectives regarding the use of mathematical models for the NCA, as well as the complexities that arise when applying data and models to multiple spatial and temporal scales. The workshop was held in Arlington, VA on December 8-10, 2010. Volume 7 of the NCA Report Series summarizes the discussions and outcomes of this workshop. A list of planned and completed reports in the NCA Report Series can be found online at http://assessment.globalchange.gov. 2 3 PREFACE .................................................................................................... 6 Chapter One: Executive Summary - Modeling and Scaling Issues in the National Climate Assessment ........................................................ 7 1.1 Introduction ........................................................................................ 8 1.2 Background ....................................................................................... 8 1.3 Goals and Objectives of the NCA .................................................. 8 1.4 The Role of Modeling in the NCA ................................................... 9 1.4.1. Climate Models .......................................................................... 9 1.4.2. Impact Models ........................................................................ 10 1.4.3. Integrated Assessment Models ............................................. 10 1.5 Issues of Importance for the NCA ................................................. 10 Chapter Two: Modeling and Scaling Issues in the National Climate Assessment ............................................................................................ 14 2.1 Introduction ..................................................................................... 15 2.2 Background ..................................................................................... 15 2.3 Goals and Objectives of the NCA ................................................ 15 CONTENTS 2.4 The Role of Modeling and Associated Uncertainties in the NCA ....................................................................................... 16 2.4.1 Climate Models ........................................................................ 16 2.4.2 Impact Models ......................................................................... 17 2.4.3 Integrated Assessment Models .............................................. 18 2.5 Establishing User Needs in the NCA ............................................. 18 2.5.1 Regions ...................................................................................... 19 2.5.2 Impact Sectors ......................................................................... 19 2.6 Interaction of Adaptation and Mitigation ...................................20 2.7 Right-Scaling Model Simulations ................................................... 21 2.7.1 Right-Scaling Climate Models ................................................. 21 2. 7. 2 Right-Scaling Integrated Assessment and Other Models ... 23 2.8 Progress Over the Past 5–10 Years ................................................ 23 2.8.1 Climate Models ........................................................................ 23 2.8.2 Integrated Assessment and Impact Models ........................ 23 2.9 Currently Available Resources ...................................................... 24 2.9.1 Climate Models and Outputs .................................................. 24 2.9.2 Integrated Assessment and Sector Models .......................... 24 2.10 Characterizing Uncertainties ....................................................... 25 2.10.1 Evaluating Climate and Impact Models ............................. 25 2.10.2 Incorporating User Needs ..................................................... 27 2.11 Characterizing Uncertainty in Climate Scenarios ..................... 27 2.12 Implications for Future Research ................................................. 28 Chapter Three: Workshop Report ....................................................... 29 3.1 Introduction .....................................................................................30 3.2 Summary of Plenary Presentations and Discussions ...................30 3.2.1 Introduction to Climate Modeling and Modeling Approaches for the National Climate Assessment ..............30 3.2.2 Overview of Modeling Practices in Past U.S. National Assessments ............................................................................... 31 3.2.3 Challenges, Opportunities and Lessons Learned in Downscaling and Regional Modeling .................................. 32 3.2.4 Characterizing Uncertainty ....................................................33 3.2.5 Relevant Outcomes of the Scenarios Workshop .................34 3.2.6 Sectoral Modeling Issues .........................................................34 3.2.7 Scaling Issues ............................................................................34 3.2.8 Managing and Meeting User Expectations ..........................34 3.3 Discussion Group Reports ..............................................................35 3.3.1 Discussion Group 1. Implications of Scenario Outcomes for Climate Modeling ...............................................................35 3.3.2 Discussion Group 2. Implications of Scenarios and Outcomes for Integrated Assessment Modeling and Interactions with Adaptation or Mitigation Modeling .......... 36 3.3.3 Discussion Group 3. Implications of Scenarios and Outcomes for Regional Climate Modeling and Interactions with Sectors .......................................................... 37 3.3.4 Discussion Group 4. Tracking Uncertainties in the Assessment System in the Short Term .....................................38 CONTENTS 3.3.5 Discussion Group 5. Matching Model Outputs or Performance to Needs from User Communities and Decision Makers .......................................................................38 3.3.6 Discussion Group 6. Transitioning from the Present to Future Capabilities .................................................................... 39 3.4 Next Steps and Potential Actions .................................................. 39 3.4.1 Decision Support ...................................................................... 39 3.4.2 Science Support Context ........................................................ 39 3.4.3 Contending with Uncertainty .................................................40 3.4.4 Next Steps ..................................................................................40 REFERENCES ........................................................................................... 41 APPENDIX A: AGENDA ..........................................................................44 APPENDIX B: PARTICIPANT LIST ............................................................. 47 PREFACE In December 2010, the Office of Biological and Environmental Research of the U.S. Department of Energy in conjunction with the U.S. Global Change Research Program convened a workshop in Arlington, Virginia to address questions and issues regarding the use of mathematical models for the National Climate Assessment (NCA). The workshop also addressed the complex issues that arise when data and models are applied at multiple spatial and temporal scales, an inherent requirement of a national climate assessment. An Interagency National Climate Assessment (INCA) Task Force provided guidance regarding purpose, scope, and objectives of the workshop. The results of the workshop in turn offer guidance not only for the National Climate Assessment but also more generally for future research in the use of models for these tasks. The workshop included plenary-session presentations and panels as well as breakout group discussions. Presentations and discussions covered both global and regional climate models and linkages of these models to enable regional analyses or downscaling of variables constrained by global model results. Participants reviewed potential use of carbon cycle and other biogeochemical cycling models as well as a range of models for analyzing the impacts of climate change on various sectors and within different regions. Integrated assessment models that relate climate change to human factors were discussed, as were various options for coupling models (used to assess climate change impacts) to either data on human activities or models of various human systems. Participants offered significant insights about the use of models within the overall NCA structure of linked sectors and regions. A number of workshop findings and recommendations apply to the development of a longer-term, sustained Assessment process. Prior to the workshop, a small team (with experience in the use of models for climate change assessments and the associated issues imposed by the need to address multiple temporal and spatial scales) prepared a white paper to inform assessment planning and stimulate discussion within the assessment community. Workshop planners and participants
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Daniel L. Swain
    1 Daniel L. Swain Assistant Research Scientist, Institute of the Environment & Sustainability Office Phone: (303) 497-1117 University of California, Los Angeles, CA Email: [email protected] ORCID: 0000-0003-4276-3092 Research Fellow, Capacity Center for Climate and Weather Extremes National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO Twitter: @Weather_West Blog: www.weatherwest.com California Climate Fellow The Nature Conservancy of California, San Francisco, CA Updated: Mar 3, 2021 Research interests Dynamics & impacts of regional climate change, hydrologic extremes, wildfires & climate, extreme event detection/attribution, natural hazard risk, climate adaptation, science writing & communication Education Ph.D., Earth System Science, Stanford University 2016 Dissertation: “Character and causes of changing North Pacific climate extremes” Advisor: Dr. Noah Diffenbaugh B.S., Atmospheric Science, University of California, Davis (Highest Honors) 2011 Selected honors and awards Vice Magazine “Human of the Year” 2020 National Academy of Sciences Kavli Fellow 2019 Finalist, AAAS Early Career Award for Public Engagement with Science 2018 NatureNet Postdoctoral Fellowship, Nature Conservancy/University of California 2016-2018 ARCS Fellowship, Achievement Rewards for College Scientists Foundation 2015-2016 Switzer Environmental Fellowship, Robert and Patricia Switzer Foundation 2015-2016 Graduate Student Award for Scholarly & Research Achievement, Stanford University 2015 Fellow, Rising Environmental Leaders Program, Stanford Woods Inst. for the
    [Show full text]
  • Noah Diffenbaugh Kara J Foundation Professor and Kimmelman Family Senior Fellow at the Woods Institute for the Environment Earth System Science
    Noah Diffenbaugh Kara J Foundation Professor and Kimmelman Family Senior Fellow at the Woods Institute for the Environment Earth System Science Bio BIO Dr. Noah Diffenbaugh is the Kara J Foundation Professor and Kimmelman Family Senior Fellow at Stanford University. He studies the climate system, including the processes by which climate change could impact agriculture, water resources, and human health. Dr. Diffenbaugh has served the scholarly community in a number of roles, including as a current Editor of the peer-review journal Earth's Future, and as Editor-in-Chief of the peer-review journal Geophysical Research Letters from 2014-2018. He has also served as a Lead Author for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and has provided testimony and scientific expertise to Federal, State and local officials. Dr. Diffenbaugh is an elected Fellow of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), and is a recipient of the James R. Holton Award and William Kaula Award from the AGU, and a CAREER award from the National Science Foundation. He has been recognized as a Kavli Fellow by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, and as a Google Science Communication Fellow. ACADEMIC APPOINTMENTS • Professor, Earth System Science • Senior Fellow, Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment • Affiliate, Precourt Institute for Energy ADMINISTRATIVE APPOINTMENTS • Kara J Foundation Professor, School of Earth, Energy and Environmental Sciences, Stanford University, (2017- present) • Kimmelman Family Senior Fellow, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, (2017- present) • Professor of Earth System Science, Stanford University, (2016- present) • Senior Fellow, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, (2013- present) • Associate Professor of Environmental Earth System Science, Stanford University, (2013-2016) 5 OF 10 HONORS AND AWARDS • Fellow, American Geophysical Union (2020) • William Kaula Award, American Geophysical Union (2020) • James R.
    [Show full text]
  • Bay Area Water Supply and Conservation Agency Board of Directors Meeting
    December 13, 2017 – Agenda Item #7E BAY AREA WATER SUPPLY AND CONSERVATION AGENCY BOARD OF DIRECTORS MEETING December 13, 2017 Correspondence and media coverage of interest between November 24, 2017 and December 8, 2017 Media Coverage Water Use: Date: December 1, 2017 Source: Brookings Article: U.S. households are using less water, but what does that mean for metros and infrastructure? Date: November 28, 2017 Source: Bay Area Council Article: Press Release: Bay Area Leads Nation in Squeezing Most Economic Value from Water Water Supply: Date: December 6, 2017 Source: Mercury News Article: What could cause California droughts? Melting sea ice Date: December 5, 2017 Source: San Francisco Chronicle Article: Arctic ice loss could spell more drought for California, Livermore Lab study finds Date: December 5, 2017 Source: Sacramento Bee Article: Cold but no rain in immediate forecast. Is California having a dry winter? Date: December 4, 2017 Source: SFGate Article: Some say the Tahoe snow line is moving, now one study backs them up Date: December 4, 2017 Source: Sacramento Bee Article: California water districts don’t need voter approval on fees Date: December 1, 2017 Source: Recordnet.com Article: This has been the driest fall in Stockton in more than a decade Date: November 29, 2017 Source: U.S. Department of Interior Article: 2012 – 2016 California Drought: Historical Perspective December 13, 2017 – Agenda Item #7E Water Supply Management: Date: December 8, 2017 Source: Bloomberg Article: Silicon Valley Wants to Solve Our Water Problems Date:
    [Show full text]
  • 5 June 2019 State of California State Water Resources Control
    5 June 2019 State of California State Water Resources Control Board DIVISION OF WATER RIGHTS, P.O. Box 2000, Sacramento, CA 95812-2000 Info: (916) 341-5300, FAX: (916) 341-5400 Web: http://www.waterboards.ca.gov/waterrights [email protected] Wasteful and Unreasonable Use Complaint Dear Mr. Satkowski and the SWRCB Board Members: We hereby submit the following complaint to the SWRCB concerning the use of water owned and controlled by the State of California on land owned by the State of California to produce livestock (via leasing of land, grass, and associated onsite spring surface water sources to a private rancher for cattle grazing and cattle watering purposes). The land and related natural resources in question are administered by the California State Lands Commission and legally delineated in Lease PRC 4565.2. This complaint incorporates by reference in its entirety the September 29, 2016, Wasteful and Unreasonable Use Complaint https://storage.googleapis.com/wzukusers/user- 24637701/documents/57f56cbb1ae1e5yOJx9e/WURU%20Amended%20Complaint%2009%202 9%202016.pdf submitted to the SWRCB by Todd Shuman concerning the wasteful and unreasonable use of California water to produce livestock feed crops and rice in California. Based on the information submitted below, as well as previously-submitted comments and the complaint noted above, we allege that the current and past use of water to produce livestock (via land leasing for cattle grazing and watering) on the California State-owned lands delineated in Lease PRC 4565.2 is currently (and has been previously) wasteful, unreasonable, and unconstitutional. We request that the State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB) issue a finding that the current and past use of water to produce livestock (via land leasing for cattle grazing and watering) on the California State-owned lands delineated in Lease PRC 4565.2 is Page 1 of 12 (and has been previously) wasteful, unreasonable, and unconstitutional.
    [Show full text]
  • Stanford Experts on Climate Change
    Stanford Experts on Climate Change Click on names for more info. For assistance in locating these faculty members, contact • Christine H. Black: [email protected] or (650) 725-8240 • Ker Than: [email protected] or (650) 723-9820 • Mark Shwartz: [email protected] or (650) 723-9296 Biology Elizabeth Hadly Hadly has conducted extensive research throughout North and South America on the ecology and evolution of vertebrates. In 2012, Hadly co-authored a paper that found that the planet may be nearing a critical threshold beyond which environmental changes will be rapid and unpredictable. Based on the findings, California Gov. Jerry Brown asked Hadly to compile a scientific consensus statement on climate change, which Brown has distributed to dozens of world leaders. Recently, Hadly co-authored the book “Tipping Point for Planet Earth: How Close Are We to the Edge?” about the risks of climate change and overpopulation. Hadly is the Paul S. and Billie Achilles Professor in environmental biology at Stanford’s School of Earth, Energy & Environmental Sciences and a senior fellow at the Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment. Contact: [email protected], (650) 725-2655 Expertise: Biology Climate and Carbon Accounting Rob Jackson Jackson studies the effects of climate change and droughts on forests and grasslands, and recently mapped thousands of natural gas leaks across cities such as Boston and Washington, D.C. He chairs the Global Carbon Project, which compiles data on fossil fuel emissions and deforestation, and previously chaired the Department of Energy’s National Institute for Climate Change Research in the southeastern U.S.
    [Show full text]
  • Full, Unedited Transcript
    1 WATER-2014/10/20 THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTION THE HAMILTON PROJECT STANFORD WOODS INSTITUTE FOR THE ENVIRONMENT NEW DIRECTIONS FOR U.S. WATER POLICY Stanford, California Monday, October 20, 2014 ANDERSON COURT REPORTING 706 Duke Street, Suite 100 Alexandria, VA 22314 Phone (703) 519-7180 Fax (703) 519-7190 2 WATER-2014/10/20 PARTICIPANTS: Welcome: SHERYL SANDBERG Chief Operating Officer Facebook Introduction and Overview of Event: ROBERT E. RUBIN Co-Chair, Council on Foreign Relations Former U.S. Treasury Secretary The Landscape of Water in the West: JERRY BROWN Governor State of California ROUNDTABLE: SHOPPING FOR WATER: HOW THE MARKET CAN MITIGATE WATER SHORTAGES IN THE AMERICAN WEST: Author: ROBERT GLENNON Regents’ Professor, Morris K. Udall Professor of Law & Public Policy James E. Rogers College of Law University of Arizona Moderator: MELISSA KEARNEY Director The Hamilton Project ANDERSON COURT REPORTING 706 Duke Street, Suite 100 Alexandria, VA 22314 Phone (703) 519-7180 Fax (703) 519-7190 3 WATER-2014/10/20 PARTICIPANTS (CONT’D): Discussants: ELLEN HANAK Senior Fellow Public Policy Institute of California THOMAS ISEMAN Deputy Assistant Secretary, Water and Science U.S. Department of Interior JAMES LOCHHEAD Chief Executive Officer and Manager Denver Water WILLIAM PHILLIMORE Executive Vice President Paramount Farming Company ROUNDTABLE: THE PATH TO WATER INNOVATION: Author: BARTON “BUZZ” THOMPSON Robert E. Paradise Professor of Natural Resources Law Perry L. McCarty Director The Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment Moderator: ROGER ALTMAN Founder and Chairman Evercore ANDERSON COURT REPORTING 706 Duke Street, Suite 100 Alexandria, VA 22314 Phone (703) 519-7180 Fax (703) 519-7190 4 WATER-2014/10/20 PARTICIPANTS (CONT’D): Discussants: TAMIN PECHET Founder Banyan Water MICHAEL MARKUS General Manager Orange County Water District PETER YOLLES Founder and Chief Policy Officer Water Smart Software MODERATED DISCUSSION: THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AMERICA’S WATER RESOURCES: Introduction: ROBERT E.
    [Show full text]
  • What Is the Fate of Arctic Methane? Now Accepting Abstract Submissions Share Your Latest Discoveries and Advance Your Research
    VOL. 99 NO. 7 JULY 2018 Geochemistry Gives Clues to Gold Treasure’s Origins Welcoming Women into the Geosciences The Seismic Reach of Injection Wells WHAT IS THE FATE OF ARCTIC METHANE? NOW ACCEPTING ABSTRACT SUBMISSIONS SHARE YOUR LATEST DISCOVERIES AND ADVANCE YOUR RESEARCH In December our global Earth and space science community will gather in Wash- ington, D. C., providing a great opportunity to convey the value and impact of our science to policy makers, thought leaders, and the public. Submit to one of 1,300+ sessions including the new GeoHealth and Centennial sessions.* Join us to launch AGU’s Centennial and stand together to show what science stands for! Abstract submission deadline: 1 August, 11:59 PM ET Submit by 25 July for a chance to win a $100 gift card! Student and early-career travel grant application deadline: 8 August, 11:59 PM ET fallmeeting.agu.org *exempt from the 1st author rule Earth & Space Science News Contents JULY 2018 VOLUME 99, ISSUE 7 PROJECT UPDATE 20 Welcoming Women into the Geosciences Early results of a program to foster the careers of women entering the geosciences demonstrate the effectiveness of several specific factors. FEATURE 24 Fluid Injection Wells Can Have a Wide Seismic Reach High-volume fluid injection can cumulatively increase underground pore pressure and induce earthquakes in regions unexpectedly far from injection wells, 14 recent Kansas studies show. OPINION COVER You Should Advocate Understanding High-Latitude Methane 11 for Science Are you engaged in rigorous science? If so, in a Warming Climate ask your elected representatives to fund Climate change could spur greenhouse gas release from the Arctic.
    [Show full text]
  • Impacts of Climate Change for the State of Indiana
    Purdue Climate Change Research Center Impacts of Climate Change for the State of Indiana Prepared for: The Honorable Richard G. Lugar Prepared by: The Purdue Climate Change Research Center February 2008 Executive Summary We have analyzed the potential “no-action” impacts of climate change on the State of Indiana, as well as the potential opportunities and consequences of climate change mitigation in the State. Most of our analyses of no-action impacts assume future greenhouse gas concentrations at the high end of the IPCC SRES illustrative emissions scenarios, although some analyses also consider low emissions trajectories. Further, some of our analyses are quantitative based on published and unpublished work that is ongoing at Purdue University, while other analyses are qualitative based on “expert opinion.” While further research will always bring further clarity, we hope that these initial analyses provide a reliable indication of the direction and magnitude of important climate change impacts and opportunities in Indiana. Should greenhouse gas concentrations continue to increase, Indiana faces a number of potential impacts: • The occurrence of extreme hot events is likely to increase in Indiana, while the occurrence of extreme cold events is likely to decrease. • The occurrence of conditions that spawn severe thunderstorms is likely to increase in Indiana. • Annual average precipitation is likely to increase in the region, as is the occurrence of rain during the winter and early spring, resulting in higher streamflow and an increased likelihood of flooding. • An increase in the frequency and intensity of summer storms is likely to increase the frequency of flooding events and exacerbate summer soil moisture deficits in Indiana.
    [Show full text]
  • Climate Change and Southwest Rangelands: Past, Present, and Future
    Climate Change and Southwest Rangelands: Past, Present, and Future Climate and Rangelands Workshop January 25, 2006 San Carlos, Arizona Gregg Garfin CLIMAS: Climate Assessment for the Southwest Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, University of Arizona Arizona Drought Data: CLIMAS/University of Arizona Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research Arizona Wet Periods Data: CLIMAS/University of Arizona Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research 1950s New Mexico Tree Mortality Resetting the Ecosystem Clock Courtesy of Tom Swetnam (University of Arizona) and Julio Betancourt (USGS) Climate Variations El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) ~~ cool warm warm cool • Persistent changes • Duration 1-3 years • Occur every 2-7 years Slide courtesy of Greg McCabe, USGS El Niño: Winter Effects U.S. • Increased groundwater, less pumpage Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensocycle/winter25%25.gif La Niña: Winter Effects U.S. • Drought circulation pattern Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensocycle/winter25%25.gif Decadal Variations Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) • Discovered in 1990s • 20-30 year changes • Likely Mechanisms: –ENSO – Kuroshio Current – Aleutian Low Courtesy of N. Mantua – University of Washington Mantua et al., 1997 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) ? Hereford and Webb (2002), USGS Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation - AMO Positive AMO Phase • West: Warm, dry, high pressure • Associated
    [Show full text]
  • WDCSA March 2020 Newsletter
    WDCSA NEWSLETTER MARCH 2020 Washington D.C. Stanford Association EVENTS Boomers to Busters Tenth Anniversary Celebration CALENDAR Friday, March 20 6-8 pm The Mansion MARCH 8 2020 O Street NW Washington DC Book Club Discussion Washington, DC MARCH 9 Ten years ago BtoB started with a "wing and a prayer." We had our kick-off at the Baltimore Book Club Mansion in March 2010 and kept our fingers crossed. Ten years later we are a Discussion thriving group and have held numerous successful events. We are going back to MARCH 20 where it all started! Come celebrate the year 2020 at the Mansion at 2020 O Boomers to Busters Street, which National Geographic called "one of DC's hidden gems." Passed Tenth Anniversary hors d'oeuvres and cash bar Celebration Early Bird registration is $40 (limited number); Regular Registration is $50 until APRIL 27 Stanford Professor March 15th; after that Late Registration is $60 until March 18th. Walk-ins (if Noah Diffenbaugh: available) are $75. To register, visit: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/boomers-to- Climate Change busters-tenth-anniversary-celebration-tickets-89401465189. The Mansion at 2020 O Street is two blocks from the Dupont Circle Metro, south exit. Street parking is tight but there are commercial lots nearby. For more information about the Mansion: https://www.omansion.com For more information about BtoB: https://dc.uchicagoalumni.org/ boomerstobusters If you have questions, contact [email protected]. WDCSA Faculty Speaker Series Stanford Professor Noah Diffenbaugh: Climate Change Monday, April 27 6:30-8 pm Hoover Institution 1399 New York Ave NW #500 Washington, DC Join WDCSA for an evening with Stanford Professor Noah Diffenbaugh.
    [Show full text]
  • Climate Scientists David Battisti, Marshall Burke, Ken Caldiera, Noah Diffenbaugh, William E
    USCA Case #15-1363 Document #1606774 Filed: 04/01/2016 Page 1 of 55 ORAL ARGUMENT SCHEDULED FOR JUNE 2, 2016 No. 15-1363 (and consolidated cases) IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT STATE OF WEST VIRGINIA, ET AL., Petitioners, v. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY, ET AL., Respondents. On Petition for Review of a Final Rule of the United States Environmental Protection Agency BRIEF OF AMICUS CURIAE CLIMATE SCIENTISTS DAVID BATTISTI, MARSHALL BURKE, KEN CALDIERA, NOAH DIFFENBAUGH, WILLIAM E. EASTERLING III, CHRISTOPHER FIELD, JOHN HARTE, JESSICA HELLMANN, DANIEL KIRK-DAVIDOFF, DAVID LOBELL, PAMELA MATSON, KATHERINE MACH, JAMES C. MCWILLIAMS, MARIO J. MOLINA, MICHAEL OPPENHEIMER, JONATHAN OVERPECK, SCOTT R. SALESKA, NOELLE ECKLEY SELIN, DREW SHINDELL, AND STEVEN WOFSY, IN SUPPORT OF RESPONDENTS Stephanie Tai Associate Professor University of Wisconsin Law School 975 Bascom Mall Madison, WI 53706 (202) 270-8926 [email protected] April 1, 2016 USCA Case #15-1363 Document #1606774 Filed: 04/01/2016 Page 2 of 55 Certificate as to Parties, Rulings, and Related Cases Pursuant to Circuit Rule 28(a)(1), Amicus Curiae Climate Scientists state as follows: All parties and amici, rulings under review, and related cases are set forth in the Brief for Respondents Environmental Protection Agency, with the exception of the amici at present: Climate Scientists David Battisti, Marshall Burke, Ken Caldiera, Noah Diffenbaugh, William E. Easterling III, Christopher Field, John Harte, Jessica Hellmann, Daniel Kirk-Davidoff, David Lobell, Pamela Matson, Katherine Mach, James C. Mcwilliams, Mario J. Molina, Michael Oppenheimer, Jonathan Overpeck, Scott R. Saleska, Noelle Eckley Selin, Drew Shindell, and Steven Wofsy.
    [Show full text]
  • Understanding Climate Change from Data
    Fourth Workshop on Understanding Climate Change from Data The Fourth Annual Meeting of NSF Expeditions in Computing Award # 1029711 June 30- July 2, 2014 Workshop Venue: National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesa Labs Boulder, CO www.climatechange.cs.umn.edu 1 2 Understanding Climate Change from Data June 30 – July 2, 2014 Table of Contents Table of Contents pg 3 Final Program Schedule pg 5 Abstracts, June 30, 2014 Presenters pg 9 Abstracts, July 1, 2014 Presenters pg 13 Abstracts, July 2, 2014 Presenters pg 19 Panel Discussion: Data Science and Climate Science: Narrowing Gaps pg 20 Invited Participant Bios pg 21 Expeditions in Computing Team pg 31 Poster Session pg 41 Attendee Contact Information pg 57 3 4 Agenda: Fourth Workshop on Understanding Climate Change from Data Monday, June 30, 2014 pg 11:00 Registration opens, lunch begins- catered at Mesa Labs 12:20 Welcoming Remarks Session 1 Chair: Doug Nychka 9 12:30 James Hurrell, National Center for Atmospheric Research KEYNOTE: Climate Predictions and Projections in the Coming Decades: Uncertainty due to Natural Variability Vipin Kumar, University of Minnesota 1:05 Introduction to the NSF Expeditions in Computing on Understanding Climate Change: A Data Driven Approach 1:40 Auroop Ganguly, Northeastern University Informing Climate Adaptation with Big Data and Bigger Models 1:55 Break Session 2 Chair: William Hendrix 10 2:30 Noah Diffenbaugh, Stanford University Quantifying the influence of global warming on the likelihood of unprecedented extreme climate events 2:55 Arindam Banerjee,
    [Show full text]