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If additionally KX + ∆ is nef, then the Abundance Conjecture predicts that KX + ∆ is semiample:
Abundance Conjecture. Let (X, ∆) be a klt pair such that KX +∆ is nef. Then KX +∆ is semiample, i.e. some multiple m(KX +∆) is basepoint free.
On the other hand, if (X, ∆) be a projective klt pair such that KX +∆ is numerically trivial, i.e. (X, ∆) is a Calabi-Yau pair, and if L is a nef Cartier divisor on X, then the Semiampleness Conjecture (sometimes referred to as SYZ conjecture) predicts that the numerical class of L contains a semiample divisor: Semiampleness Conjecture on Calabi-Yau pairs. Let (X, ∆) be a pro- jective klt pair such that KX +∆ ≡ 0. Let L be a nef Cartier divisor on X. Then there exists a semiample Q-divisor L′ such that L ≡ L′. We will refer to this conjecture in the sequel simply as the Semiampleness Conjecture. The Nonvanishing and Abundance Conjectures were shown in dimension 3 by the efforts of various mathematicians, in particular Miyaoka, Kawa- mata, Koll´ar, Keel, Matsuki, McKernan [Miy87, Miy88b, Miy88a, Kaw92, K+92, KMM94]. In arbitrary dimension, the abundance for klt pairs of log general type was proved by Shokurov and Kawamata [Sho85, Kaw85a], and the abundance for varieties with numerical dimension 0 was established by Nakayama [Nak04]. In contrast, not much is known on the Semiampleness Conjecture in di- mensions at least 3; we refer to [LOP16a, LOP16b] for the state of the art, in particular on the important contributions by Wilson on Calabi-Yau threefolds and by Verbitsky on hyperk¨ahler manifolds. In [LP18] we made progress on these conjectures, especially on the Non- vanishing Conjecture. The following conjectures grew out of our efforts to push the possibilities of our methods to their limits. Generalised Nonvanishing Conjecture. Let (X, ∆) be a klt pair such that KX +∆ is pseudoeffective. Let L be a nef Q-divisor on X. Then for every t ≥ 0 the numerical class of the divisor KX +∆+ tL belongs to the effective cone. Generalised Abundance Conjecture. Let (X, ∆) be a projective klt pair such that KX +∆ is pseudoeffective and let L be a nef Cartier divisor on X. If KX +∆+ L is nef, then there exists a semiample Q-divisor M such that KX +∆+ L ≡ M. These conjectures generalise the Nonvanishing and Abundance conjec- tures (by setting L = 0) and the Semiampleness Conjecture (by setting KX +∆ ≡ 0), and finally make and explains precisely the relationship be- tween them. A careful reader will have noticed that the conclusions of the Nonvanishing and Abundance conjectures are a priori stronger: that there is ONGENERALISEDABUNDANCE,I 3 an effective (respectively semiample) divisor which is Q-linearly equivalent to KX + ∆, and not merely numerically equivalent. However, the Nonvan- ishing for adjoint bundles is of numerical character [CKP12], and the same is true for the Abundance [Fuk11]. The Generalised Abundance Conjecture should be viewed as an extension of the Basepoint Free Theorem of Shokurov and Kawamata, in which the nef divisor L is additionally assumed to be big. A weaker version of the Generalised Abundance Conjecture was stated by Koll´ar [Kol15, Conjecture 51] in the context of the existence of elliptic fibrations on Calabi-Yau manifolds and the Semiampleness Conjecture. A more general version of the Generalised Nonvanishing Conjecture (without assuming pseudoeffectivity of KX + ∆) was posed as a question in [BH14, Question 3.5], with an expected negative answer. In this paper and its sequel we argue quite the opposite. The content of the paper. Here, we show that the Generalised Nonva- nishing and Abundance Conjectures follow from the conjectures of the Min- imal Model Program and from the Semiampleness Conjecture. Throughout this work, all varieties are complex, normal and projective. We denote the numerical dimension of KX +∆ by ν(X, KX + ∆), see Defi- nition 2.2. The following are the main results of this paper. Theorem A. Assume the termination of flips in dimensions at most n and the Abundance Conjecture in dimensions at most n. Let (X, ∆) be a klt pair of dimension n such that KX +∆ is pseudoeffec- tive, and let L be a nef Q-divisor on X.
(i) If ν(X, KX + ∆) > 0, then for every t ≥ 0 the numerical class of the divisor KX +∆+ tL belongs to the effective cone. (ii) Assume additionally the Semiampleness Conjecture in dimensions at most n. If ν(X, KX +∆) = 0, then for every t ≥ 0 the numerical class of the divisor KX +∆+ tL belongs to the effective cone. Theorem B. Assume the termination of flips in dimensions at most n and the Abundance Conjecture in dimensions at most n. Let (X, ∆) be a klt pair of dimension n such that KX +∆ is pseudoeffec- tive, and let L be a nef Q-divisor on X such that KX +∆+ L is nef.
(i) If ν(X, KX + ∆) > 0, then there exists a semiample Q-divisor M on X such that KX +∆+ L ≡ M. (ii) Assume additionally the Semiampleness Conjecture in dimensions at most n. If ν(X, KX +∆) = 0, then there exists a semiample Q-divisor M on X such that KX +∆+ L ≡ M. As a consequence, we obtain the following new results in dimensions two and three. 4 VLADIMIR LAZIC´ AND THOMAS PETERNELL
Corollary C. Let (X, ∆) be a klt pair of dimension 2 such that KX +∆ is pseudoeffective, and let L be a nef Q-divisor on X. Then for every t ≥ 0 the numerical class of the divisor KX +∆+ tL belongs to the effective cone. If additionally KX +∆+ L is nef, then there exists a semiample Q-divisor M on X such that KX +∆+ L ≡ M.
Corollary D. Let (X, ∆) be a klt pair of dimension 3 such that KX +∆ is pseudoeffective, and let L be a nef Q-divisor on X. Assume that ν(X, KX + ∆) > 0. Then for every t ≥ 0 the numerical class of the divisor KX +∆+tL belongs to the effective cone. If additionally KX +∆+ L is nef, then there exists a semiample Q-divisor M on X such that KX +∆+ L ≡ M. There are a few unresolved cases of the Semiampleness Conjecture in dimension 3, see [LOP16b], hence one cannot currently derive the Gener- alised Nonvanishing Conjecture and the Generalised Abundance Conjecture unconditionally on threefolds when ν(X, KX + ∆) = 0. As an intermediate step in the proofs, we obtain as a consequence of Corollary 4.2 the following reduction for the Generalised Nonvanishing Con- jecture. Theorem E. Assume the termination of klt flips in dimension n. If the Generalised Nonvanishing Conjecture holds for n-dimensional klt pairs (X, ∆) and for nef divisors L on X such that KX +∆+L is nef, then the Generalised Nonvanishing Conjecture holds in dimension n.
Comments on the proof. Our first step is to show that, modulo the Minimal Model Program (MMP), we may assume that KX +∆+mL is nef for m ≫ 0; this argument is essentially taken from [BH14, BZ16]. The essential ingredient in the proof is the boundedness of extremal rays, which forces any (KX +∆+ mL)-MMP to be L-trivial. The details are in Proposition 4.1. The main problem in the proofs of Theorems A and B – presented in Section 5 – was to find a correct inductive statement, and the formulation of [GL13, Lemma 4.2] was a great source of inspiration. The key is to consider the behaviour of the positive part Pσ(KX +∆+ L) in the Nakayama-Zariski decomposition, see §2.2 below. Then our main technical result, Theorem 5.3, shows that the positive part of the pullback of KX +∆+ L to some smooth birational model of X is semiample (up to numerical equivalence). This implies Theorems A and B immediately. As a nice corollary, we obtain that, modulo the MMP and the Semiample- ness Conjecture, the section ring of KX +∆+ L is finitely generated, up to numerical equivalence. This is Corollary 5.5.
In order to prove Theorem 5.3, we may assume additionally that KX +∆+ mL is nef for m ≫ 0. Then we distinguish two cases. If the nef dimension of KX +∆+ mL is maximal, then we run a carefully chosen MMP introduced in [KMM94] to show that KX +∆+ L is also big; we note that this is the ONGENERALISEDABUNDANCE,I 5 only place in the proof where the Semiampleness Conjecture is used. Once we know the bigness, we conclude by running the MMP as in [BCHM10]. If the nef dimension of KX +∆+ mL is not maximal, the proof is much more involved. We use the nef reduction map of KX +∆+ mL to a variety of lower dimension. This map has the property that both KX +∆ and L are numerically trivial on its general fibres. Then we use crucially Lemma 3.1 below, which shows that then L is (birationally) a pullback of a divisor on the base of the nef reduction. This result is a consequence of previous work of Nakayama and Lehmann [Nak04, Leh15], and is of independent interest. We conclude by running a relative MMP over the base of the nef reduction and applying induction on the dimension. Here, the techniques of [Nak04] and the main result of [Amb05] are indispensable. We further note that, as stated in Theorems A and B, the Semiampleness Conjecture is used only when the numerical dimension of KX + ∆ is zero; otherwise, the conjectures follow only from the standard conjectures of the MMP (the termination of flips and the Abundance Conjecture).
Final remarks. It is natural to wonder whether the Generalised Non- vanishing and the Generalised Abundance Conjectures hold under weaker assumptions. In Section 6 we give examples showing that the Generalised Abundance Conjecture fails in the log canonical setting, and also when KX +∆ is not pseudoeffective. We also give an application towards Serrano’s Conjecture. Further, in Section 7 we reduce the Semiampleness Conjecture (modulo the MMP) to a much weaker version, which deals only with Calabi-Yau varieties with terminal singularities. Finally, in Section 8 we discuss in detail the Semiampleness Conjecture in dimensions 2 and 3.
2. Preliminaries A fibration is a projective surjective morphism with connected fibres be- tween two normal varieties. We write D ≥ 0 for an effective Q-divisor D on a normal variety X. If f : X → Y is a surjective morphism of normal varieties and if D is an effective Q-divisor on X, then D is f-exceptional if codimY f(Supp D) ≥ 2. A pair (X, ∆) consists of a normal variety X and a Weil Q-divisor ∆ ≥ 0 such that the divisor KX +∆ is Q-Cartier. The standard reference for the foundational definitions and results on the singularities of pairs and the Minimal Model Program is [KM98], and we use these freely in this paper. We recall additionally that flips for klt pairs exist by [BCHM10, Corollary 1.4.1]. In this paper we use the following definitions: 6 VLADIMIR LAZIC´ AND THOMAS PETERNELL
(a) a Q-divisor L on a projective variety X is num-effective if the nu- merical class of L belongs to the effective cone of X,1 (b) a Q-divisor L on a projective variety X is num-semiample if there exists a semiample Q-divisor L′ on X such that L ≡ L′.
2.1. Models. We recall the definition of negative maps and good models. Definition 2.1. Let X and Y be Q-factorial varieties, and let D be a Q- divisor on X. A birational contraction f : X 99K Y is D-negative if there exists a resolution (p,q): W → X × Y of the map f such that p∗D = ∗ q f∗D + E, where E ≥ 0 is a q-exceptional Q-divisor and Supp E contains the proper transform of every f-exceptional divisor. If additionally f∗D is semiample, the map f is a good model for D. Note that if (X, ∆) is a klt pair, then it has a good model if and only if there exists a Minimal Model Program with scaling of an ample divisor which terminates with a good model of (X, ∆), cf. [Lai11, Propositions 2.4 and 2.5].
2.2. Numerical dimension and Nakayama-Zariski decomposition. Recall the definition of the numerical dimension from [Nak04, Kaw85b]. Definition 2.2. Let X be a normal projective variety, let D be a pseudo- effective Q-Cartier Q-divisor on X and let A be any ample Q-divisor on X. Then the numerical dimension of D is 0 k ν(X, D) = sup k ∈ N | lim sup h (X, OX (⌊mD⌋ + A))/m > 0 . m→∞ When the divisor D is nef, then equivalently ν(X, D) = sup{k ∈ N | Dk 6≡ 0}. If D is not pseudoeffective, we set ν(X, D)= −∞. The Kodaira dimension and the numerical dimension behave well under proper pullbacks: if D is a Q-Cartier Q-divisor on a normal variety X, and if f : Y → X is a proper surjective morphism from a normal variety Y , then κ(X, D)= κ(Y,f ∗D) and ν(X, D)= ν(Y,f ∗D); and if, moreover, f is birational and E is an effective f-exceptional divisor on Y , then (1) κ(X, D)= κ(Y,f ∗D + E) and ν(X, D)= ν(Y,f ∗D + E). The first three relations follow from [Nak04, Lemma II.3.11, Proposition V.2.7(4)]. For the last one, one can find ample divisors H1 and H2 on Y and
1We would prefer the natural term numerically effective; unfortunately, this would likely cause confusion with the term nef. ONGENERALISEDABUNDANCE,I 7
∗ ample divisor A on X such that H1 ≤ f A ≤ H2, so that for m sufficiently divisible we have 0 ∗ 0 ∗ ∗ h Y,m(f D + E)+ H1 ≤ h Y,m(f D + E)+ f A 0 0 ∗ = h X,m(D + E)+ A ≤ h Y,m(f D + E)+ H2. The desired equality of numerical dimensions follows immediately. In particular, the Kodaira dimension and the numerical dimension of a divisor D are preserved under any D-negative birational map. Finally, if D is a pseudoeffective R-Cartier R-divisor on a smooth pro- jective variety X, we denote by Pσ(D) and Nσ(D) the R-divisors forming the Nakayama-Zariski decomposition of D, see [Nak04, Chapter III] for the definition and the basic properties. We use the decomposition
D = Pσ(D)+ Nσ(D) crucially in the proofs in this paper. Lemma 2.3. Let X, X′, Y and Y ′ be normal varieties, and assume that we have a commutative diagram
f ′ X′ / Y ′
π′ π X / Y, f where π and π′ are projective birational. Let D be a Q-Cartier Q-divisor on X and let E ≥ 0 be a π′-exceptional Q-Cartier Q-divisor on X′. If F and F ′ are general fibres of f and f ′, respectively, then ′ ′∗ ν(F, D|F )= ν F , (π D + E)|F ′ . Proof. We may assume that F ′ = π′−1(F ). Then it is immediate that the ′ ′ ′ map π |F ′ : F → F is birational and the divisor E|F ′ is π |F ′ -exceptional. Hence, the lemma follows from (1). We need several properties of the Nakayama-Zariski decomposition. Lemma 2.4. Let f : X → Y be a surjective morphism from a smooth pro- jective variety X to a normal projective variety Y , and let E be an effective f-exceptional divisor on X. Then for any pseudoeffective Q-Cartier divisor L on Y we have ∗ ∗ Pσ(f L + E)= Pσ(f L). Proof. If Y is smooth, this is [Nak04, Lemma III.5.14], and in general, this a special case of [GL13, Lemma 2.16]. We include the proof for the benefit of the reader. By [Nak04, Lemma III.5.1] there exists a component Γ of E such that ∗ E|Γ is not (f|Γ)-pseudoeffective, and hence (f L + E)|Γ is not (f|Γ)-pseu- ∗ doeffective. In particular, (f L + E)|Γ is not pseudoeffective. This shows ∗ that Γ ⊆ Nσ(f L + E) by [Nak04, Lemma III.1.7(3)]. 8 VLADIMIR LAZIC´ AND THOMAS PETERNELL
Set ′ ∗ E := X min{multP E, multP Nσ(f L + E)} · P. P ′ ∗ Since E ≤ Nσ(f L + E), we have ∗ ′ ∗ ′ (2) Nσ(f L + E − E )= Nσ(f L + E) − E by [Nak04, Lemma III.1.8]. If E′ 6= E, then E − E′ is f-exceptional, hence by the paragraph above there exists a component Γ′ of E − E′ such that ′ ∗ ′ Γ ⊆ Nσ(f L + E − E ), which together with (2) gives a contradiction. ′ ∗ ∗ Therefore, E = E, and hence E ≤ Nσ(f L + E). This implies Nσ(f L)= ∗ Nσ(f L + E) − E by (2), and thus the lemma. Lemma 2.5. Let f : X → Y be a surjective morphism between smooth projective varieties and let D be a pseudoeffective Q-divisor on Y . If Pσ(D) ∗ ∗ is nef, then Pσ(f D)= f Pσ(D). Proof. This is [Nak04, Corollary III.5.17]: on the one hand, we have ∗ ∗ Nσ(f D) ≥ f Nσ(D) ∗ by [Nak04, Theorem III.5.16]. On the other hand, f Pσ(D) is a nef divi- ∗ ∗ ∗ sor, hence movable, such that f Pσ(D) ≤ f D, and therefore Nσ(f D) ≤ ∗ f Nσ(D) by [Nak04, Proposition III.1.14(2)]. Lemma 2.6. Let f : X → Y be a surjective morphism from a smooth projec- tive variety X to a normal projective variety Y , and let D be a pseudoeffec- ∗ tive Q-divisor on Y . If Pσ(f D) is nef, then there is a birational morphism ∗ π : Z → Y from a smooth projective variety Z such that Pσ(π D) is nef. Proof. When Y is smooth, this is [Nak04, Corollary III.5.18]. When Y is only normal, we reduce to the smooth case: Let θ : Y ′ → Y be a desingular- isation and let X′ be a desingularisation of the main component of the fibre ′ ′ ′ ′ ′ ′ product X ×Y Y with the induced morphisms f : X → Y and θ : X → X.
f ′ X′ / Y ′
θ′ θ X / Y, f
Denote D′ := θ∗D. Then we have ′∗ ′ ′∗ ∗ ′∗ ∗ ′∗ ∗ Pσ(f D )= Pσ(f θ D)= Pσ(θ f D)= θ Pσ(f D), ′∗ ′ where the last equality follows from Lemma 2.5. In particular, Pσ(f D ) is nef, hence by [Nak04, Corollary III.5.18] there exists a birational morphism ′ ′ ′ ′∗ ′ π : Z → Y from a smooth projective variety Z such that Pσ(π D ) is nef. The lemma follows by setting π := θ ◦ π′. ONGENERALISEDABUNDANCE,I 9
2.3. MMP with scaling of a nef divisor. In this paper, we use the Minimal Model Program with scaling of a nef divisor; when the nef divisor is actually ample, this is [BCHM10, §3.10]. The general version is based on the following lemma [KMM94, Lemma 2.1].
Lemma 2.7. Let (X, ∆) be a Q-factorial klt pair such that KX +∆ is not nef and let L be a nef Q-divisor on X. Let
λ = sup{t | t(KX +∆)+ L is nef }.
Then λ ∈ Q and there is a (KX + ∆)-negative extremal ray R such that λ(KX +∆)+ L) · R = 0. We now explain how to run the MMP with scaling of a nef divisor; we use this procedure crucially twice in the remainder of the paper. We start with a klt pair (X, ∆) such that KX +∆ is not nef and a nef Q-divisor L on X. We now construct a sequence of divisorial contractions or flips ϕi : (Xi, ∆i) 99K (Xi+1, ∆i+1) of a (KX + ∆)-MMP with (X0, ∆0) := (X, ∆), a sequence of divisors Li := (ϕi−1 ◦···◦ ϕ0)∗L on Xi, and a sequence of rational numbers λi for i ≥ 0 with the following properties:
(a) the sequence {λi}i≥0 is non-decreasing, (b) each λi(KXi +∆i)+ Li is nef and ϕi is λi(KXi +∆i)+ Li-trivial, (c) the map ϕi ◦···◦ ϕ0 is s(KX +∆)+ L)-negative for s > λi, Indeed, we set λ0 := sup{t | t(KX +∆)+ L is nef}. Then by Lemma 2.7 there exists a (KX + ∆)-negative extremal ray R0 such that
(KX +∆+ λ0L) · R0 = 0; let ϕ0 be the divisorial contraction or a flip associated to R0. Then (b) and (c) are clear by the Cone theorem and by the Negativity lemma [KM98, Theorem 3.7 and Lemma 3.39]. Assume the sequence is constructed for some i ≥ 0, and set
λi+1 := sup{t ≥ 0 | t(KXi+1 +∆i+1)+ Li+1 is nef}.
Define Mi+1 := λi(KXi+1 +∆i+1)+ Li+1. Then Mi+1 is nef by (b), and hence λi+1 ≥ λi. Set
µi+1 := sup{t ≥ 0 | t(KXi+1 +∆i+1)+ Mi+1 is nef}. By the identity
t(KXi+1 +∆i+1)+ Mi+1 = (t + λi)(KXi+1 +∆i+1)+ Li+1 we have λi+1 = µi+1 + λi. If KXi+1 +∆i+1 is nef, our construction stops. Otherwise, µi+1 is a non-negative rational number by Lemma 2.7, and there exists a (KXi+1 +∆i+1)-negative extremal ray Ri+1 such that