Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology
Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology The Decline of Fertility in Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, and the Philippines: 1968-70 to 1988-90. by Charles Hirschman University of Washington Yih-Jin Young Nassau Community College UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON CSDE Working Paper No. 00-04 The Decline of Fertility in Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, and the Philippines: 1968-70 to 1988-90. Charles Hirschman Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology Department of Sociology, Box 353340 University of Washington Seattle, Washington 98195-3340 and Yih-Jin Young Department of Sociology Nassau Community College Garden City, NY 11530 January 20, 2000 Revised version of a paper presented at the Conference on “Economic Aspects of Demographic Transitions: The Experience of Asia Pacific Countries,” The Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, 19-20 June, 1998, Taipei, Taiwan. This research has been supported by a grant, "Fertility and Fertility Change" (HD21267) from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. ABSTRACT The Decline of Fertility in Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, and the Philippines: 1968-70 to 1988-90. “Own children” estimates of fertility based on micro-level census data show significant declines in Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, and the Philippines during the 1970s and 1980s. The most rapid decline occurred in Thailand. Smaller declines occurred in Indonesia and the Philippines, but the pace of decline accelerated in the 1980s relative to the 1970s. Fertility declines in Malaysia were intermediate. Regression standardization is used to estimate how much of the observed changes in fertility over the two intervals for each country were a function of macro-level changes (estimated as characteristics of provinces) in the status of women, the economic roles of children, and infant mortality relative to micro-level changes in female education, husband’s education, and lifetime interprovincial migration.
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