10/18/2018

10/18/2018 Gardiner ’s Historic Movement and Ongoing Stability Evaluation

Jody Scammell, M.Sc., P. Eng. Director, Dam Safety and Major Structures

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Outline

• South River Project Introduction • Reservoir • Gardiner Dam – Foundation Conditions – Major Components – Movements – Previous Stability Evaluations • Grant Devine Dam Stability Evaluation • Expected Results – Not expected results

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SSRP Introduction

Gardiner Dam

Qu’Appelle River Dam

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SSRP Introduction

• 1894 first consideration for large irrigation • 1968 completed • Total cost $120 million (1968 value) • Replacement value $2.41 Billion • Owned and operated by Water Security Agency • Operation, maintenance and monitoring complete by 8 onsite staff

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Lake Diefenbaker Reservoir

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Reservoir Drainage Basin

• Three Regions • Effective Distribution – Eastern Rockies 50% Area / 80% Flow – Foothills – Prairies 50% Area / 20% Flow • 60% Snowmelt • 38% Rainfall runoff • 2% Glacier melt

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Reservoir Operation

• Runoff patterns – Low winter flow – Spring peak, April – Summer peak, May/June – Recession, Aug/Sept

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Reservoir

• Lake Diefenbaker • 225 km long (near Eston, SK) • 760 km shoreline • Volume 9.25x109 m3 • Usable Storage 3.95x109 m3 • Up to 58 m deep

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2013 Release

• Largest flow released • 1600 m3/s spillway • 2000 m3/s total 6000 558 Lake Diefenbaker April 1, 2013 to March 31, 2014

5000 556

4000 554

3000 552 Inflow Flow (m3/s) Flow Outflow Elevation (m) Elevation median 2000 550

1000 548

0 546

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Gardiner Dam

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12 10/18/2018 Gardiner Dam Main (River) Major Components Embankment

Plateau Embankment

Coteau Creek Embankment

Tunnels

Spillway

13 10/18/2018 Gardiner Dam Embankments • Three zoned compacted- earth filled embankments Coteau Creek Embankment • Total Length 5000 m • Crest Elevation 562.4 m • Max height 64 m • Upper Slopes 2H:1V • Lower Slopes 85H:1V

Plateau Main (River) Embankment Embankment

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15 10/18/2018 Gardiner Dam Foundation • Till • River Sand – Eroded except on – In valley bottom abutments • Bedrock – Bearpaw Formation – Snakebite Shale – Ardkenneth Sandstone

16 10/18/2018 Gardiner Dam Foundation • Snakebite Shale Description – Upper Cretaceous Origin – Marine Deposited – Dark Grey Shale, flat horizontal lying strata – Jointed, Slickensided, and Bentonite seams – Highly Plastic – Presheared

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19 10/18/2018 Gardiner Dam Movement

20 10/18/2018 Gardiner Dam Horizontal Movement • Occurring since start of construction • Shear plane located in shale foundation near the contact with the underlying sandstone – Approximately 114 m below the crest of the dam El.448 m

21 10/18/2018 Gardiner Dam Horizontal Movement • Movement rates and magnitude vary by position from the dam crest • Maximum movement rate and magnitude is occurring at toe of main embankment

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Historic Instrumentation

Horizontal Movement • The movement is occurring on a defined shear plane in the shale

23 10/18/2018 Gardiner Dam Horizontal Movement • Movement rate generally slowing • On an annual frequency the movement rates indicate a trend with the reservoir

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Historic Instrumentation

Time Comparison • The piezometric level fluctuates with reservoir

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Previous Analysis

• 1948 -1953 • 1979 – Limit Equilibrium – Finite element stress – Total Stress Analysis deformation analysis • 1954-1965 – Computational limited – Limit Equilibrium • 1980-2009 – Effective Stress Analysis – Simple mechanical model with a spring and – Redesigned as the back damper to predict analysis of local slopes movement related to historic movement

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Previous Analysis

• 2009 -2013 • It appeared there is a • Analytical Model correlation between total stress loading on the shale • Simple sliding block and pore water dissipation. evaluation

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Previous Analysis

What does this all mean Next Steps • We don’t understand the • Detailed Finite Difference movement mechanisms Model (FDM) • The stability of the structure • Understand long term is not fully understood deformations and impacts on structures

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Detailed FDM Analysis Moving Forward

Grant Devine (Alameda) Dam 2011-2014 • Similar problem as Gardiner • Process will be very similar but was moving faster

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Detailed FDM Analysis Moving Forward

Grant Devine (Alameda) Dam • Stop construction to • Unanticipated shear redesign displacements during • Added toe berms construction

Glacial Till (Foral/Battleford) Formation)

Bedrock – interbedded sandstones, siltstones and clay shales (Ravenscrag Formation)

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Detailed FDM Analysis Moving Forward

Detailed Geological Framework • Need to understand the • Develop a representative materials in the foundation model

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Detailed FDM Analysis Moving Forward

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Detailed FDM Analysis Moving Forward

Start with a 2D • 2D model is required to – Establish appropriate minimize complications constitutive model of soil • Calibrate model • Once model behavior is – Lab tested material understood then move on to properties 3D – Actual deformation measurements

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Detailed FEM Analysis Moving Forward

Move forward with 3D • Start with properties from calibrated 2D model • Calibrate again

– Actual deformation 3D FLAC Model measurements – Measured porewater pressure

Oblique Section – Shear Strain Contours34 Cut Along Oblique Section 10/18/2018

Expected Results

• Understanding of long term • Limitations movements – Not expecting be able to • Understanding of the estimate annual stability of the structure displacement • Estimate of total – A traditional Factor of deformation and rate Safety is not possible • Impact on the ancillary structures – Spillway – Relief Well Drainage Conduit

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10/18/2018

Summary

• The dam is performing well • With over 50 years of • Monitoring and satisfactory performance maintenance activities are there is valuable lessons to ongoing be learned from this project • The embankment is moving • This project is a valuable downstream with rates asset to the province and slowing will remain to be in the future

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