Transformational Climate Science the Future of Climate Change Research Following the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
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Transformational Climate Science The future of climate change research following the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Thursday 15 and Friday 16 May 2014, University of Exeter Forum Building www.exeter.ac.uk/climate2014 Our Academic Partnership Around the clock, around the The University of Exeter is a world, people rely on Met Office member of the Russell Group weather and climate advice. Our and in the top one percent of knowledge can help people make institutions globally, conducting wise choices and can make the world class research at its difference between profit or loss, campuses in Exeter and Cornwall. and even life or death. We are proud to count seven lead authors We are at the forefront of climate change of the Fifth Assessment Report among our research, playing a key role in helping academics who are part of an extensive determine the worldwide response to network of climate science researchers at climate change. Our involvement in the university. global collaborative projects includes advising the Intergovernmental Our interdisciplinary research addresses Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). the challenges of climate change, presenting a comprehensive research agenda which informs possible pathways to a sustainable future through mitigation, adaptation and geoengineering. We are continuing to invest heavily in this area and enhancing our partnership with the Met Office to establish the South West as one of the leading global hubs for environmental science. 2 The University of Leeds is a The Universities of Exeter and Leeds are research-intensive university and both part of the Met Office Academic Partnership. a world leader in responding to global challenges. For more information on this, visit www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/partnership Our interdisciplinary climate research is centred at the prestigious School of Earth and Environment, one of the top two departments in the UK for research power in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences in the most recent Research Assessment Exercise. We are home to five lead authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, working across all three Working Groups. Our contributions to the report are focused on physical climate change, climate impacts, adaptation, sustainable consumption and regional development. 3 Contents Our Academic Partnership 2 Introduction 5 Programme 6 Session details 8 Biographies 10 Conference information 12 Streatham Campus map 13 Places to eat 14 Exeter City Centre map 15 Travel information 16 Participants 17 Contact details 26 4 Introduction Welcome to Transformational Climate Science: the future of climate change research following the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). We’re delighted to welcome you to the beautiful grounds of the University’s Streatham Campus, which will provide the setting for the next two days. As a combined team of IPCC authors from the University of Exeter, Met Office, and University of Leeds, we have put together an exceptional programme of speakers from across the world. Over the next two days you will be able to discuss the outcomes of the latest IPCC report, and together we will consider what the future holds for climate research. Please feel free to make use of the facilities in the Forum building and across the University. Later in the brochure we have detailed a number of restaurants and bars to visit on Thursday evening. We look forward to meeting you! The organising committee Professor Neil Adger, Professor Peter Cox, Professor Mat Collins, Professor Richard Betts, Professor in Geography Professor of Climate Joint Met Office Chair Chair in Climate Impacts University of Exeter Systems Dynamics in Climate Change University of Exeter, University of Exeter University of Exeter Head of Climate Impacts, Met Office Professor Catherine Mitchell, Professor Pierre Friedlingstein, Professor Piers Forster, Pete Hodges, Professor of Energy Policy Chair, Mathematical Professor of Physical Conference organiser University of Exeter Modelling of Climate Systems Climate Change University of Exeter University of Exeter University of Leeds 5 Programme Thursday 15 May All conference activities will take place in the University of Exeter Forum, located on Stocker Road. There is a campus map on page 13. Time Activity Venue Notes 09.30 Registration Forum Building, Delegates will be able to register at the Streatham Campus information point on the Forum Street. 10.30 Welcome and Alumni Auditorium introduction 11.00 The challenges of Alumni Auditorium Chaired by Stephen Belcher (Met Office), keynote climate change: the lecture by Thomas Stocker (University of Bern outcomes of Working and WGI Co-Chair). Group 1 12.45 Lunch Forum Street 13.30 The challenge of Alumni Auditorium Chaired by Neil Adger (University of Exeter), impacts and adaptation: keynote lecture by Chris Field (Stanford University the outcomes of and WGII Co-Chair). Working Group II 15.30 Break Forum Street 16.00 The science and policy Alumni Auditorium Chaired by Andrea Tilche interface flowing from (European Commission). the IPCC 17.30 Close of daytime conference session 17.30 The future of Forum Building Members of the public have been invited to climate science: public an open discussion forum with climate scientists. open evening 20.30 End of evening event Friday 16 May All conference activities will take place in the University of Exeter Forum, located on Stocker Road. Time Activity Venue Notes 09.30 Registration Forum Street Delegates will be able to register at the information point on the Forum Street. 10.00 The challenge of Alumni Auditorium Chaired by Jim Skea (Imperial College), keynote mitigation: the lecture by Ottmar Edenhofer (Potsdam Institute outcomes of the for Climate Impact Research and WGIII Co-Chair). Working Group III report 12.00 Lunch Alumni Auditorium 12.45 Frontiers of climate Alumni Auditorium Chaired by Dame Julia Slingo (Met Office). 6 change research 14.00 End of conference 7 Session details The programme will focus on each of the AR5 Working Group areas, with two additional panel sessions exploring the wider implications of the report. There will also be time for networking and discussion as well as a public evening event. The challenge of climate The challenge of impacts and The science and policy change: outcomes of the adaptation: outcomes of the interface flowing from Working Group I report Working Group II report the IPCC Working Group I assesses the physical Working Group II assesses the vulnerability The conference will draw together science of climate change. How has our of socio-economic and natural systems attendees and experts from across the climate already changed because of to climate change, the consequences of three Working Groups, and this session anthropogenic activities, and how will climate change, and the possible options will give attendees time to consider how future emissions of greenhouse gases and for adapting to it. Drawing on science and the science of AR5 might impact on aerosols further change the climate system? social science, this session will explore how future policy. Drawing on the evidences from physical we might prepare to live in a changing science, this session will explore certainty environment. Chair: and uncertainty in climate change. Andrea Tilche (European Chair: Commission) Chair: Neil Adger (Exeter) Panel: Stephen Belcher (Met Office) Keynote: Thomas Stocker (IPCC WG I) Keynote: Chris Field (Stanford and Chris Field (IPCC WG II) Thomas Stocker (Bern and Co-Chair IPCC WG II) Saffron O’Neill (Exeter) Co-Chair for IPCC WGI) Talks: Asun St Clair (DNV GL) Talks: Richard Betts (Met Office Georgina Mace (UCL and Chair Corinne LeQuéré (East Anglia) and Exeter) Royal Society Policy Working Group Peter Stott (Met Office) Frans Berkhout (Kings College on Climate Change and Human Mat Collins (Exeter) London & Director of Future Earth) Resilience) Sari Kovats (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) 8 Colours correspond to biographies overleaf The challenge of mitigation: Frontiers of climate The future of climate science: outcomes of the Working change research a public forum Group III report What does the future hold for climate Following the daytime conference The third Working Group considers the change research? The final panel session of programme on Thursday 15 May we will options for mitigating against climate change the conference will draw together experts be opening the Forum for a public event. through limiting or preventing greenhouse to discuss the next steps beyond AR5. Attendees will be able to speak directly to gas emissions and enhancing activities that world-leading climate change researchers and find out more about a variety of remove them from the atmosphere. Chair: University and community initiatives. The group have investigated the main Dame Julia Slingo (Met Office) economic sectors and established the costs and benefits of different Panel: Chair: mitigation approaches. Tim Lenton (Exeter) Peter Gibbs (Met Office and BBC) Stephen Belcher (Met Office) Panel: Chair: Pierre Friedlingstein (Exeter) Peter Cox (Exeter) † Jim Skea (Imperial College) Sir Andy Haines (London School of Andy Challinor (Leeds) † Keynote: Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) Chris Field (Co-Chair IPCC WGII) Ottmar Edenhofer (PIK and Sam Fankhauser (LSE and UK Richard Jones (Met Office) † Co-Chair IPCC WG III) Climate Change Committee) Catherine Mitchell (Exeter) † Talks: David Stephenson (Exeter) Thomas Stocker (Co-Chair Catherine Mitchell (Exeter) IPCC WGI) Simon Caney (Oxford) John Barrett (Leeds) † also presenting during