1
The Sony channel New Channel Evaluation
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS
February 2013 Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS 2
Outline
1.Introduction
2.Main Findings in Detail
i. Is there a need?
ii. Could Sony do it?
iii. Do they like it and would they watch it?
iv. Would it drive subscriptions?
3.Conclusions & Implications
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS Introduction
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS CLIENT LOGO HERE ON MASTER 4
Background and methodology
Background
SONY and FOXTEL have been in discussions regarding a channel for women. In February 2012, research was conducted to test the channel concept for propensity to watch, measure the appeal of the channel and proposed programming and identify any potential barriers to viewing and successful channel launch.
Methodology D&M Research hosted an online survey with 500 Australian women aged 25-54 years. The survey was 15 minutes long and included visual stimulus in the form of a video showing elements of the SONY channel offering. To achieve a good spread of women, quotas were placed on age and location. The sample included 50:50 Pay TV Subscribers / Non subscribers, with the data weighted back to the population proportions in the analysis. The typical respondent was a women aged 40 years, married with children, living in a Capital City with a combined household income of around $90K.
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS Main Findings in Detail Is there a need?
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS CLIENT LOGO HERE ON MASTER Types of Shows or Programs like to Watch Women claim to watch and love Dramas, Soaps and Miniseries / Movies.
100% 90% Watched Favourites 80% 70% 60% 77% 76% 72% 72% 71% 71% 69% 50% 63% 40% 30% 44% 40% 39% 35% 20% 39% 39% 31% 30% 34% 32% 32% 33% 25% 25% 10% 15% 17% 15% 6% 10% 8% 11% 2% 0% 4% 1% Mini series / Movies Drama / Drama serials Sports Other (Specify )
Based on Genre
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS QA1a. Which of these types of shows or programs do you watch? QA1b. And which of these types of shows or programs are your favourites? 7
Top 3 Favourites by Show Type
Just over 1 in 2 mentioned an actual Drama or Soap show in their top 3, and 1 in 3 as their most Favourite.
100% 90% Top 3 Favourite 80% 70% 60% 55% 50% 48%
40% 35% 30% 27% 26% 18% 18% 20% 15% 33% 11% 27% 8% 7% 5% 10% 4% 3% 1% 16% 13% 9% 7% 8% 6% 0% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 0% Net Dramas & Soaps Reality/ Celebrity Soaps/ Soap Operas Sports
Based on Shows Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS QA2. Which television shows were your favourite 3 programs or shows in 2012? A3.8 You mentioned that you watch Soaps / Soap Operas. Which soaps did you watch in 2012?
Watching soaps Top Soaps by Country One in 4 women said they watch Soap Operas, among these:
B&B 49% of USA USA Soap Viewers = 63%
AUS Home & Away = 62% 72% of AUS Soap Viewers
UK 0.25 0.75; 100% = 17% Downton Abbey 34% of UK Soap Viewers Other = 9% N= 127 respondents who watch soaps All respondents n=502 Population = 1,145 Population = 4,520
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS QA3.9 You mentioned you watch Soaps/ Soap Operas. Which Soaps did you watch in 2012?
Most watched Soaps in 2012 by Country The most watched USA Soaps are The Bold and the Beautiful (49%), Days of our Lives (17%) and Revenge (13%). The most watched Australian Soaps are Home & Away (72%), Neighbours (33%) and Packed to the Rafters (18%). The most watched UK Soaps are Downton Abbey (32%), Eastenders (24%) & Coronation Street (20%).
USA Soaps Australian Soaps UK Soaps Base 83 Base 80 Base 23 Population 729 Population 722 Population 195 The Bold and the Beautiful 49% Home and Away 72% Downton Abbey 32% Days of our Lives 17% Neighbours 33% Eastenders 24% Revenge 13% Packed to the Rafters 18% Coronation Street 20% The Young and the Restless 10% Winners and Losers 4% Emmerdale 5% Bones 6% House husbands 9% Other 34% Parenthood 6% Offspring 3% Dont know 15% The Big Bang Theory 5% Underbelly 3% Dallas 4% Other 3% UK Greys Anatomy 4% Dont know 3% = 17% How I Met Your Mother 3% Days of our Lives 3% Other 11% Dont know 3% AUS = 62%
USA = 63%
N= 127 respondents who watch soaps Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS Population = 1,145 10
Is anything missing? in 10 . . . Australian women aged 25-54 think there is something missing from the current Australian 7 television offering (71%)
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS QB1.11 What, if anything, do you thins is missing in the current Australian television offering?
What’s missing in the current offering?
When asked what, if anything, is missing from the current Australian offering, only 29% said ‘Nothing/Don’t know’, indicating that for 71%, something is missing.
Australian/local content 14%
Movies/Mini Series/Better movies 12%
Comedies/good comedy 8%
Drama/Drama series 7%
Variety 7%
Documentaries/Nature/History 6%
Quality programming/quality acting and writing/less cheap reality 6%
DK/Nothing 29%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS 12
Is there a need? in 3
. . . Australian women aged 25-54 Almost think the current Australian television offering needs a channel that caters more 1 towards women (31%)
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS 13
The current Australian offer Overall, Australian Women give the current television offer for women a 6/10.
Extremely well 100% 10 5% 6% 5% 90% 10% 7% 11% 9 80% 8 20% 22% 70% 6 23% 7 Bottom 3 6 Box 60% 6 6 3-4 5 - Neither 50% 34% 5 6-7 36% 37% 40% 4 Top 3 Box 30% 3 Average 20% 2 33% 27% 10% 24% 1 0% 0 Total (N=502) Pay TV Subscribers (n=248) Non Subs (n=254) Not at all well
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS All respondents n=502 B2. How well do you think the current Australian television offering caters to women? 14
Who caters best – Pay TV Subscribers vs. Non Subs
Channel 7 is seen as catering best to women amongst Non subs, Lifestyle the best for Subs – who also rate it higher.
Rating Rating 7/10 7.5/10 30% 27% 25% 25% 23% 22% 20% 19%
15% 13% 12% 13% 12%
10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% Seven Nine Gem Arena Other
Pay TV Subscribers (n=248) Non Subs (n=254) Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS All respondents n=502 QB3. Which television station – on either FTA or Pay TV – do you think caters best to women? QB5.15 How interested would you be in a channel dedicated just to Soaps?
Interest in channel dedicated to Soaps
Around 2 in 3 women who watch soaps are interested in a channel dedicated to Soaps, including 1 in 3 highly interested. Interest is higher amongst Pay TV Subscribers.
Extremely 100% 10 90% 16% 15% 16% 9 3% 80% 8 11% 8% 14% 70% 11% 7 7 12% Bottom 3 Box 60% 6 6 6 34% 3-4 5 - Neither 50% 29% 5 27% 6-7 40% 4 Top 3 Box Average 30% 3 20% 40% 2 34% 31% 10% 1 0% 0 Total Soap Watchers (n=127) Pay TV Subscribers (n=64) Non Subs (n=63) Not at all
N= 127 respondents who watch soaps Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS Population = 1,145 16
Interest in a channel that focuses on family & relationships
7 in 10 women are interested in a channel that airs a variety of genres with a family and relationship focus. Among them, 4 in 10 are highly interested.
Extremely 100% 10 5% 6% 5% 90% 8% 5% 9% 9 80% 15% 8 16% 17% 70% 7 7 7 7 NETT Bottom 3 Box 60% 29% 6 3-4 31% 32% 5 - Neither 50% 5 6-7 40% 4 Top 3 Box Average 30% 3 45% 20% 39% 37% 2 10% 1 0% 0 Total (n=502) Pay TV Subscribers (n=248) Non Subs (n=254) Not at all
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS All respondents n=500 QB6. How interested are you in a channel that airs drama, comedies, reality, lifestyle shows, talk/chat shows and documentaries that have a family and relationship focus? QB8.17 Imagine you were asked to create a channel that catered predominantly for women. What percentage of each of these genres would you include in this channel?
What would women build?
If women could build their own TV Channel catering for women about 1/3rd of all programming would be dedicated to Drama and Soaps, Mini series and Movies.
Variety/Talent Shows; 5% Drama/Drama Serials; 12% Net Drama/Soaps/Mini Daily Style Chat or Talk; 8% series/Movies = 34% Documentaries/Nature/History; 8% Soaps/Soap Operas; 9%
Reality/Celebrity Reality; 8% Mini series / Movies; 13%
Crime/Law/Mystery; 10% Respondents were shown 10 feature genres Lifestyle; 16% as ingredients for a channel that catered Comedy; 12% predominantly for women and asked what percentage of each genre they would include if they were making the channel themselves.
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS All respondents n=502 Main Findings in Detail Could SONY do it?
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS CLIENT LOGO HERE ON MASTER 19
Spontaneous Associations with SONY – Word Cloud
There is a high free association of SONY with Quality (31%) and Televisions.
PRE-CONCEPT ASSOCIATIONS
* A ‘Word Cloud’ is a visual depiction of the responses to this question. The frequency of mention is indicated by the font size of the word Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS QC1. Thinking now about the brand SONY. When you think about the brand SONY, what comes to mind? 20
Could SONY do a TV Channel?
Nearly 6 in 10 (57%) think SONY is capable of having a TV channel, and less than 1 in 5 (15%) disagree. PRE-CONCEPT
Total (n=502) 16% 41% 28% 9% 6% 3.5
Pay TV Subscribers (n=248) 21% 34% 30% 10% 5% 3.6
3.5 Non Subs (n=254) 15% 43% 28% 9% 6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Strongly Disagree Partly Disagree Neither agree nor disagree Partly Agree Strongly Agree
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS All respondents n=502 QC2. Thinking about the SONY brand, regardless of whether they currently do it or not, how much do you agree or disagree that SONY could do the following in the future? Main Findings in Detail Do they like it and will they watch it?
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS CLIENT LOGO HERE ON MASTER 22
Visual Stimulus
Respondents were shown a 30 second video featuring a selection of content from the SONY women’s channel, accompanied by a stylised SONY logo and mood music. When the video ended, respondents were shown the 5 feature components again for 10 seconds each.
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS D1a.23 Based on what you have just seen, how appealing do you feel this channel is to you?
Overall appeal
The SONY channel was well received, with 3 in 4 (75%) giving a positive score, including nearly (47%) giving a top 3 box score for overall.
Very Appealing 100% 10 9% 8% 9% 90% 9 8% 7% 8% 80% 8% 8 8% 7 8% 70% 7 7 7 24% Bottom 3 Box 60% 28% 29% 6 3-4 5 - Neither 50% 5 6-7 40% 4 Top 3 Box Average 30% 3 47% 52% 20% 45% 2 10% 1 0% 0 Total (N=502) Pay TV Subscribers (n=248) Non Subs (n=254) Not at all Appealing
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS All respondents n=502 24
What do you like about the SONY Channel – Top 3 Box
“The variety of women's shows that differ “All the good shows on ONE channel so you greatly though are all easy shows to get don't have to go fishing around looking for glued too.” them!!”
Variety / Range General Content of Programs / / Programs / Shows 31% Shows 29%
“I like a lot of the shows mentioned (eg. “The variety of shows. I could count at grey's anatomy), and I like the sound of least 5 of the shows I particularly like.” the new shows they would like to air. I also like that there would be a channel to play the soaps I miss!”
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS QD1b. What, if anything, do you particularly LIKE about the channel? QD4.25 From what you have seen, which of the following personality traits do you think the SONY channel would have if it were a person?
What type of person would the SONY Channel be? For 84%, the top personality trait associated with the SONY Channel is “Loves to Entertain”. SONY also has high associations with Accessible (79%), Friendly (79%), Fun (77%) and Modern (75%).
100%
90% 84% 79% 79% 80% 77% 75% 70% 70% 70% 67% 66% 66% 65% 64% 63% 60% 60% 60% 53% 52% 52% 50% 50% 43% 43% 40%
30% 28%
20%
10%
0% Loves to entertain Modern High quality Feminine Clever wit Sexy
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS All respondents n=502 QD5.26 Based on what you have seen so far, which of these statements do you think would apply to the new channel?
How would you describe the SONY Channel?
The top description associated with the SONY channel is “Light entertainment – nothing too dark or heavy”. Other high associations include: Offers great TV, particularly escapist drama and comedy (68%), Fun and addictive shows and Features shows with strong, relatable female leads (66%).
100% 90% 79% 80% 68% 70% 66% 66% 65% 62% 61% 60% 60% 59% 58% 60% 55% 54% 54% 52% 52% 50% 46% 44% 43% 40% 35% 34% 32% 30% 25% 21% 20% 10% 0% Light entertainment – nothing too dark or heavy It’s not a 24 hour soap channel Humour that is clever, never crass A guilty pleasure
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS All respondents n=502 D3.27 And to what extent do you agree or disagree with these statements about the SONY channel?
Channel Diagnostics
Over 7 in 10 agree that they like the idea of this channel and that it would have programs they would like to watch.
Average
The channel would have programs and shows I would want to watch 76% 8% 16% 3.9
* I really like the idea of this channel 71% 13% 16% 3.9
It made me feel different about the Sony brand 63% 26% 9% 3.8
This channel would be for someone like me 65% 13% 21% 3.7
It looks really different to other channels 54% 19% 26% 3.4
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Disagree Neither Agree
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS All respondents n=502 *Benchmark against best Fox Footy concept = 68% E3a.28 If this new channel became available on Free to Air TV, how likely would you be to watch it?
Likelihood to watch
8 in 10 women are likely to watch the SONY Channel if it was available, with 6 in 10 highly likely to watch.
Would definitely watch 100% 10 8% 10% 7% 5% 90% 5% 4% 9 7% 7% 80% 7%7 7 8 7 70% 7 Bottom 3 Box 22% 19% 23% 60% 6 3-4 5 - Neither 50% 5 6-7 40% 4 Top 3 Box 30% 59% 60% 59% 3 Average 20% 2 10% 1 0% 0 Total (N=502) Pay TV Subscribers (n=248) Non Subs (n=254) Not at all likely to watch
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS All respondents n=502 29
Preferred name in 3
. . . Prefer the name Almost2 SONY Entertainment
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS E1.30 Here are 9 potential names for the new SONY Channel. Please select the 3 you like the most
Preferred name
Almost 2 in 3 (65%) chose Sony Entertainment as the preferred name
100%
80%
65% 60% 60%
47%
40% 29% 27% 27%
20% 18% 16% 11%
0% Sony Entertainment Sony Entertainment Television Sony Glow Sony Stella Sony Fling
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS Main Findings in Detail Will it build subscriptions?
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS CLIENT LOGO HERE ON MASTER S7.32 Just thinking about your Pay TV Subscription how likely are you to retain your current / subscribe to Pay TV Subscription over the next 12 months?
Acquisition / Retention Propensity – Foxtel
This chart is based on the Foxtel propensity model of assessing net scores of 6-10 for Acquisition amongst Non-pay TV Subs, and 0-4 for Retention of Pay TV Subs after seeing and considering the Sony TV Channel concept.
50% Resting Propensity = prior to concept Concept Propensity = after concept
40%
30% 27.0% Resting Propensity 21.2% Concept Propensity 20%
10% 4.4% 4.3%
0% 0-4 Retention / Churn 6-10 Acquisition
All respondents n=502
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS S7.33 Just thinking about your Pay TV Subscription how likely are you to retain your current Pay TV Subscription over the next 12 months?
More on Retention
Firstly the Sony Concept impacts positively on the retention of those most vulnerable. Interestingly, mapping Resting Propensity with Concept Propensity for RETENTION, shows quite significant upward lifts for the most vulnerable – i.e. all resting scores of below 6 increase.
Definitely 000’s 10 700 9 9 600 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 500 6 6 6 6 5 400 Population 5 CONCEPT PROPENSITY 300 4
3 200 2 100 Resting Propensity = prior to concept 1 Concept Propensity = after concept Not at all 0 0
Definitely RESTING PROPENSITY
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS All Pay TV Subs n=248 34
Where does behaviour change?
• But isn’t behaviour more likely to occur at the extreme ends of the propensity scale? • What would the net impact on subscriptions look like using a conventional Top 3, Bottom 3 Box Approach?
Churn Risk Indifferent Acquire Potential
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Churners Passive Acquirers
Most Less likely to likely to Less Most Churn Churn likely to likely to Acquire Acquire
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS S7.35 Just thinking about your Pay TV Subscription how likely are you to retain your current / subscribe to Pay TV Subscription over the next 12 months?
Top 3 box propensity model An alternative Top 3 (Acquisition) - Bottom 3 (Retention) model shows; • A 1.2 percentage point decrease in the Retention / Churn proportion; and • A 1.7 percentage point increase in the Acquisition proportion,
10% Net 3 percentage point increase in subscriptions 9% (5.4 Acquire – 2.4 Churn) 8%
7%
6% 5.4% Resting Propensity 5% Concept Propensity 4% 3.7% 3.2% 3% 2.4% 2%
1%
0% 0-2 Retention / Churn 8-10 Acquisition
All respondents n=502 Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS Source:36 OzTAM national homes universe estimate by quarter Q1 2011 to Q1 2013
Projected Subscriptions
Using past OZTAM data as the base shows a realistic survey estimation of future subscriptions using the resting propensity (29.3%). Adding the Sony Channel to the subscription environment shows a result that is better than the baseline (31.8%). PAY TV Penetration Estimates & Projections 35% (Using Top 3 / Bottom 3)
31.8%
30.1% 30.1% 29.9% 30% 29.6% 29.8% 29.7% 29.2% 29.2% 29.3% 28.8%
25% Qtr 1 '11 Qtr 3 '11 Qtr 1 '12 Qtr 3 '12 Qtr 1 '13 Qtr 1 '14 Sony Channel Projection
(Based on women only)
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS QTR 1 2014 Prediction = QTR 1 2013 (28.8%) + (Acquire (3.7%) - Churn (3.2%) ) The Way Forward Conclusions and Implications
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS CLIENT LOGO HERE ON MASTER 38
Is there a need? g n i s s
i • 7 in 10 women think that something is What's missing: Australian / Local Content (14%), M missing from the current Australian TV Quality Movies / Mini Series (12%), Quality comedies s ’ t offering. (8%), Drama (7%) and Variety (7%). a h W n e
m • o Women give a 6 out of 10 to the current
W Overall Channel 7 is seen as catering best to women, efforts of TV to cater to women, including o t
nearly 4 in 10 (37%) who rate it a 5 out of 10 although Lifestyle is seen as #1 amongst Pay TV g
n or less. There is clearly plenty of room for Subscribers. i r e
t an improved offer. a C ? d
e CONCLUSION: Australian women do feel that e
n • When asked almost 1 in 3 (31%) women something is missing from TV, and rate the current
a aged 25-54 think there is need for a attempts to cater to women as average at best. e r
e channel that caters more towards women. Subsequently many think there is room for a h t
channel more dedicated to their gender. s I
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS 39
Could SONY do it? V T
&
• A majority (57%) of women agree that SONY already has a strong association with QUALITY Y SONY could do a TV Channel. and TVs. N O S y t i l
a In addition it was seen as providing: light entertainment, n • Personality wise - the Sony Channel itself o not too dark or heavy (79%), a great escape (68%), with s r was seen as: Loving to entertain (84%),
e fun and addictive shows (66%) and strong relatable P
Accessible (79%), Friendly (79%), Fun female leads (66%) – but importantly still accessible Y (77%), and Modern (75%).
N to a broader audience (60%). O S ? t i
o • SONY currently is more associated with d CONCLUSION: SONY is well positioned to deliver a
Y electronics and in particular TVs, but can
N TV channel to the Australian female market and clearly stretch into the realm of a TV channel O would benefit from its existing quality and S
as evidenced by its acceptance and ability to d
l entertainment heritage.
u demonstrate a love of entertainment. o C
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS 40
Would they watch it? ? g n i l
a • The SONY Channel as presented has great
e Almost 1 in 2 (47%) women aged 25-54, gave the
p appeal with a mean appeal score of almost 7
p SONY Channel an appeal score of 8 or more!
A out of 10.
t i
s I ? t i
e k
i The SONY Channel was also seen as: having attractive l
• Overall the SONY Channel was really liked
y programs (76%), being relevant (65%), and e (71%). h
t differentiated (54%).
o D ? h
c • Watching propensity is high assuming t a availability with an average score of over 7 CONCLUSION: The SONY Channel as presented is w
y (where 10 is definitely watch) – a majority well liked, has great appeal and would be watched if e h
t (59%) gave a watch propensity score of over available.
l l i 8 out of 10. W
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS 41
Would it drive subscriptions? ? n i
a • t Although on average a fairly flat effect on
e Using a bottom 3 box approach to retention (i.e. those retention scores, the SONY channel does R
t most likely to churn) shows a 1.2 percentage point i
provide marked uplift in intended retention
s decrease in the Retention / Churn proportion.
e amongst those currently most vulnerable. o D ? e r i u
q Using the top 3 box approach to acquisition (i.e. those c • The SONY channel also has the potential to a
most likely to subscribe) shows a 1.7 percentage point s
i attract new subscribers. increase in the Acquisition proportion. s e o D ? s b u
S •
Based on a calculation of Acquisitions minus d l
i Churns, shows a potential 3 percentage CONCLUSION: The SONY Channel as presented has u b
point increase in Subs using the top 3, potential to both Retain and Acquire subscriptions. t i bottom 3 approach. s e o D
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS 42
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS
Contact us
D&M Research Pty Limited Newtown Business Centre Suite 104, 1 Erskineville Road NEWTOWN, NSW 2042 HOW TO FIND US e [email protected] ph +61 2 9565 2655 fax +61 2 9565 2787
Derek Jones – Principal e [email protected]
Fuel for Brilliant DECISIONS