Report

To: Development Services Committee Item: Date of Report: DS-08-312 September 3, 2008

From: Commissioner, Development File: Date of Meeting: Services Department B-1400-0004 September 8, 2008 Subject: Ward(s): All 2006 Census – Oshawa Community Profile

PUBLIC REPORT

1.0 PURPOSE

The purpose of this report is to present an overview of the 2006 Census data for the City of Oshawa.

Attachment No. 1 is a 2006 Census profile for the City of Oshawa that has been prepared by staff and which includes information on population, families, households, dwellings, visible minorities, immigration, ethnic origin, language, education, income, the labour market and place of work.

2.0 RECOMMENDATION

That the Development Services Committee recommend to City Council:

That Report DS-08-312 dated September 3, 2008 on the 2006 Census – Oshawa Community Profile be received for information.

3.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

In May 2006 Statistics undertook a Census which collected data from all Canadian households in order to identify the country’s demographic composition. A Census is undertaken every 5 years.

This report highlights relevant demographic trends and results for the City of Oshawa from the 2006 Census.

Attachment No. 1 provides more detailed information pertaining to the City of Oshawa from the 2006 Census.

4.0 INPUT FROM OTHER SOURCES

4.1 General

¾ N/A

98011-9901

Report to the Development Item: DS-08-312 Services Committee (Continued) - 2 - Meeting Date: September 8, 2008

4.2 Auditor General

¾ N/A

5.0 ANALYSIS

¾ The 2006 Canadian Census was undertaken in May 2006 and the results were released incrementally over a period of time from March 2007 to May 2008.

¾ Households were responsible for completing either a short (80% of households) or long (20% of households) questionnaire. Where data was gathered from a 20% sample of the population, Statistic Canada extrapolated it to the entire population. The data compiled focused on the following groupings: Population, Families, Households, Dwellings, Visible Minorities, Immigration, Ethnic Origin, Language, Education, Income, the Labour Market and Place of Work.

¾ In addition to the standard Census data released by , this Department requested and obtained customized Census data based on the City’s community structure.

¾ The 2006 Census data provides a demographic snapshot of the City of Oshawa which can help identify and explain trends, describe present conditions and assist in forecasting. Demographic information is an important tool for the management of the City, including growth and programming, and enables a useful comparison of the City’s demographic profile to that of other jurisdictions.

¾ The 2006 Census data, for instance, will be utilized for projects and studies such as an update of the Oshawa Official Plan.

¾ The 2006 population data has not yet been adjusted for the Census undercount which is Statistic Canada’s estimate of the population missed by the Census. Once available, the population figures will be adjusted accordingly.

¾ The following are the highlights of the City of Oshawa’s demographic profile from the 2006 Census:

ƒ The overall population of the City grew from 139,051 in 2001 to 141,590 in 2006. (This does not take into account the yet-to-be-determined undercount; in 2001 the undercount was 0.82% or approximately 1140 people). ƒ Between 2001 and 2006, a number of the City’s communities experienced an increase in population. ƒ The median age of all City residents was 39.4 in 2006, increasing from 36.5 in 2001. ƒ The age distribution in Oshawa’s communities reflects a higher proportion of young people in the more northern communities and Lakeview and a higher proportion of older people in the central communities. ƒ 56% of households were occupied by a couple, half of these with children. ƒ Approximately 25% of households were occupied by a person living alone.

Report to the Development Item: DS-08-312 Services Committee (Continued) - 3 - Meeting Date: September 8, 2008

ƒ The average household size was 2.5 people. ƒ 79% of families were comprised of a couple with or without children and 21% of families were composed of single parents and their children. ƒ Single-detached houses, semi-detached houses and row houses made up 72% of the City’s occupied dwelling stock. ƒ The median monthly payment for owner-occupied dwellings was $1,186 and the median monthly payment for rented dwellings was $816. ƒ Visible minorities represented 8% of the City’s total population. ƒ Approximately 16% of the total City population was comprised of immigrants. ƒ 86% of the City population identified English as their first learned language. ƒ The median income of the City’s population over the age of 15 was $29,788 in 2005, an increase of 18% since 2000. ƒ The median household income was $61,514 in 2005, an increase of 14% since 2000. ƒ 73% of those over the age of 15 had either a certificate, diploma or degree (including high school) and approximately half of these had a college or university certificate, diploma or degree. ƒ Approximately 53% of Oshawa’s labour force was employed in manufacturing, business and other services in 2006. ƒ Approximately 77% of Oshawa’s labour force works in Durham Region and approximately half live and work in Oshawa. ƒ Only 8% of commuters in the City used public transit to get to work in 2006.

6.0 FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS

¾ N/A

7.0 RESPONSE TO THE COMMUNITY STRATEGIC PLAN

¾ The 2006 Census data analysis provides information relevant to advancing all of the goals of the City’s Community Strategic Plan.

Paul D. Ralph, Director Planning Services Development Services Department

Thomas B. Hodgins, B.E.S., M.A., RPP, Commissioner Development Services Department

AP/c Attachment

DS-08-312 Attachment No. 1

2006 Census Profile for the City of Oshawa

Prepared by: Development Services Department City of Oshawa August 2008 Table of Contents

1.0 Introduction...... 3

2.0 Population...... 3

3.0 Age Distribution ...... 4

4.0 Families and Households ...... 5

5.0 Dwellings ...... 7

6.0 Visible Minorities, Immigration, Ethnic Origin and Language ...... 8

7.0 Education...... 9

8.0 Income...... 9

9.0 Labour Market and Place of Work ...... 11

1.0 INTRODUCTION

Every five years, Statistics Canada conducts a Census and collects data from all Canadian households in order to create a current demographic profile of the country and its residents. This data is collected in two different formats; 20% of households receive longer, more detailed questionnaires, whereas 80% of households receive a shorter questionnaire gathering only basic information. Accordingly, some of the Census data is based on a 20% sample which Statistics Canada has extrapolated to provide City-wide estimates. This report details the information available from Statistics Canada based on the following groupings: Population, Families and Households, Dwellings, Visible Minorities, Immigration, Ethnic Origin, Language, Education, Income, Labour Market and Place of Work.

The data in this report is derived from the Community Profiles section of Statistics Canada’s website and customized data obtained from Statistics Canada based on the City of Oshawa’s community structure. The tables, charts and analysis were prepared by the City of Oshawa’s Development Services Department. Where relevant, comparisons to the Region of Durham and the Province of have been made to provide a better context for the reader in relation to larger geographical areas. This comparison allows for the identification of consistencies and inconsistencies in relation to local, regional and provincial trends.

2.0 POPULATION

The 2006 Census population for the City of Oshawa was 141,590. This number does not take into account the Census undercount (in 2001, the undercount was 0.82%). The Census undercount is the population estimated to have been missed by the Census or omitted due to processing errors. This estimate is calculated by Statistics Canada and reported at the Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) level. The Oshawa CMA includes Oshawa, Whitby and Clarington. Statistics Canada has not yet released the Census undercount estimates for the 2006 Census. Once released, City staff will appropriately adjust the currently reported Census population figures.

The overall population in the City grew by 1.8% over the five year period from 2001 to 2006. From 1996 to 2001 the overall population in the City grew by 3.5%. See Figure No. 1 below for the City population figures for 1996 to 2006.

Figure No. 1

Change in Population – 1996 to 2006 City of Oshawa Year Population/Percentage Change 1996 134,364 2001 139,051 2006 141,590 % Change 1996-2006 5.4% % Change 1996-2001 3.5% % Change 2001-2006 1.8% Note: Population figures not adjusted for Census undercount

Oshawa is divided into a number of communities for planning purposes (see Exhibit No. 1). The City obtained community level Census data from Statistics Canada.

The change in population has been examined at the community level (see Figure No. 2). From 2001 to 2006, approximately half of the communities experienced an increase in population while the remaining half saw a decline in population. Not surprisingly, the northern communities which have active subdivision development experienced the largest increases in population. These were Taunton (453%), Windfields/Kedron (203%), Pinecrest (21%) and Samac (19%). Farewell also had a significant population increase (42%), resulting from the construction of a subdivision in the

Page 3 last several years in a community which had a relatively low population base. In contrast, the more central and southern communities (except Farewell) experienced a decline in population.

Figure No. 2

Population by Community, 2001-2006 - City of Oshawa Community 2001 2006 % Change Lakeview 19,645 18,040 -8% Farewell 295 420 42% Vanier 12,405 11,630 -6% Central 11,805 11,365 -4% Donevan 13,775 13,115 -5% McLaughlin 12,870 12,265 -5% O'Neill 13,275 12,725 -4% Eastdale 11,630 12,130 4% Northglen 4,600 4,395 -4% Centennial 17,215 16,505 -4% Pinecrest 8,895 10,745 21% Northwood 380 350 -8% Samac 8,420 9,980 19% Taunton 655 3,620 453% Windfields/Kedron 475 1,440 203% Rural 1,510 1,520 1% Note: Data is based on 20% sample and is not adjusted for the Census undercount. Data does not include institutional population. Rural Area includes Raglan and Columbus.

Exhibit No. 1 illustrates population change by community between 2001 and 2006.

3.0 AGE DISTRIBUTION

The median age of the Oshawa population was 39.4 in 2006 and 36.5 in 2001. The median age means that half of the population was below this age and half of the population was above this age. This reflects that the City is experiencing a moderate aging of the population, similar to the trend being experienced generally in Ontario.

Figure No. 3 below illustrates the “aging” of Oshawa’s population. From 2001 to 2006, the 45-59, 60-74 and 75 Years and above age groups showed significant increases in size as an overall proportion of the City’s population. While the 15-29 age group was relatively stable, the 0-14 and 30-44 age groups showed marked declines.

Figure No. 3

Population Breakdown by Age - 2001 and 2006 City of Oshawa

40,000

30,000 2001 20,000 2006 10,000 Population 0 0-14 15-29 30-44 45-59 60-74 75+ Years Years Years Years Years Years Age Groups

Page 4 16.00 54% 8 0 - 6 0 - 3 2 \ d x m . e g n a h C s u s n e C \ e g n a h C s u s n e C \ c s i m \ s t i b i h x E \ : K

15.00 2%

14.02 7% 13.00 9.05 9.03 8.07 4% 14.01 3% 8% 27% 7%

11.00 9.04 9.02 8.06 4% 7% 20% 3.02 12.00 3% 5% 4% 9.01 8.05 10.00 2% 3% 6%

4.02 7.00 5.00 8.03 3.01 6% 5% 3% 8.02 3% 5% 4% 4.01 6.00 7% 2% 8.01 8% 2.02 15% 1.00 0% 2.03 6% 2.01 7%

0% - 5% Population Change by Census Tract n n n i i n

o i o e e i t between 2001 and 2006 t s s

6% - 10% a a l a a l u e u e r r p p c c 10% and over o o e n P I P D City of Oshawa No Change DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT Figure No. 4 below shows the age distribution of Oshawa’s communities and indicates the relative proportion of young (under 15 years) and older (65+ years) residents. The communities with the highest proportion of young people are the growing communities such as Taunton, Pinecrest, Samac, Eastdale and Windfields/Kedron. Lakeview community also has a high proportion of young people. The highest proportion of older people are found in Centennial, McLaughlin, Donevan, Central and O’Neill communities.

Figure No. 4

Age Distribution by Community - 2006 City of Oshawa 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0%

l l l r l n l t l a n i le a d c n n al w e e r l ei en i a o r i a l n es o t o ie va h r r u w nt g 'N d g n o m d e an e t h c R e u s t e e w a un e ev r V O r a k a C on a a n h S K o nt i t T / F D E e s La cL N P or C d M N el fi

ind W % under 15 years % 15-64 years % 65+ years

Note: Data is based on 20% sample. Rural Area includes Raglan and Columbus.

4.0 FAMILIES AND HOUSEHOLDS

A Census family is a couple (married or common-law), with or without children, or a lone parent living with their children.

In 2006, the total number of Census families in the City was 40,635. In 2001, the total number of families in the City was 39,390. The total number of families of all types has increased by 3% during the five year time period between 2001 and 2006.

In 2006, the vast majority of families in Oshawa (79%) were comprised of a couple (married or common law) with or without children. Lone parent families made up 21% of the families with those led by a female comprising the vast majority.

Page 5 There has been little change to the family structure in Oshawa since 2001, but married couple families saw a slight decline while common-law and lone parent families saw a slight increase (see Figure No. 5).

Figure No. 5

Families by Type - 2001 and 2006 City of Oshawa

100%

75% 2001 50% 2006 25%

0% Married Couple Common-law Lone Parent Lone Parent Families Couple Families - Families - Male Families Female

Note: Data is based on 20% sample.

A household is a person or group of persons occupying a dwelling unit and includes families and other living arrangements such as unrelated persons living together and one person households.

In 2006, the total number of households in the City was 54,920. In 2001, the total number of households in the City was 52,350. The total number of households has increased by 5% during the five year time period between 2006 and 2001.

The majority (56%) of households in the City of Oshawa are occupied by a couple, half of which have children. Approximately 25% of households are occupied by a person living alone. Since 2001, there has been a slight increase in one person households and couple households without children and a slight decline in households comprised of couples with children (see Figure No. 6).

Figure No. 6

Households by Type - 2001 and 2006 City of Oshawa

50%

2001 25% 2006

0% Households Households One-person Other household containing a containing a households types couple (with couple (without children) children)

Note: Data is based on 20% sample.

The average number of people in Census families which include either married or common-law couples is higher than the average number of people in other family types or in all households (including non-family living arrangements).

Page 6 There has been little change in the average size of households and families since 2001 (see Figure No. 7).

Figure No. 7

Household/Family Size – 2001 and 2006 City of Oshawa

2001 2006 Average number of persons in households 2.6 2.5 Average number of persons in all census families 3.0 2.9 Average number of persons in married couple families 3.1 3.1 Average number of persons in common-law couple families 2.9 2.8 Average number of persons in lone-parent families 2.5 2.5 Average number of persons in female lone-parent families 2.5 2.5 Average number of persons in male lone-parent families 2.4 2.4 Note: Data is based on 20% sample.

5.0 DWELLINGS

The total number of private dwellings in Oshawa was 57,469 in 2006.

Single-detached houses, semi-detached houses and row houses made up 72% of the City’s occupied dwelling stock (see Figure No. 8).

Figure No. 8

Occupied Dwellings by Type - 2006 City of Oshawa 12%

11% Single-detached houses Semi-detached houses Row houses 5% 54% Duplex Apartments Apartments (less than five storeys) 9% Apartments (greater than five storeys)

9%

Note: Data is based on 20% sample.

In 2006, 70% of occupied dwellings in Oshawa were owned and 30% were rented. The rate of ownership has increased since 2001 when 67% of dwellings were owned and 33% were rented.

The City had a higher proportion of rental accommodation than Durham Region in 2006, which had 82% of occupied dwellings owned and approximately 18% rented.

In 2006, the median monthly payments for owner-occupied dwellings was $1,186 and the median monthly payments for rented dwellings was $816.

Page 7 6.0 VISIBLE MINORITIES, IMMIGRATION, ETHNIC ORIGIN AND LANGUAGE

Visible minorities in Oshawa represent approximately 8% of the City’s total population (see Figure No. 9 for a breakdown). The total visible minority population in the Province of Ontario was approximately 23%.

Figure No. 9

Population Breakdown by Visible Minority Category - 2006 4% City of Oshawa 2% Chinese South Asian 2% 5% 12% Black 4% Filipino 2% Latin American 2% 17% Southeast Asian Arab 6% West Asian Korean 7% Japanese Other Visible Minority 37% Multiple Visible Minority

Note: Data is based on 20% sample.

Statistics Canada defines immigrants as people who are landed immigrants in Canada; primarily people born outside of Canada who have been granted the right to live permanently in Canada.

In 2006, the total immigrant population represented approximately 16% of the City’s population. This percentage is consistent with the 2001 Census data. In the Region of Durham, 20% of the population is comprised of immigrants.

The ethnic origin of Oshawa’s population in 2006 is expressed in Figure No. 10 below. Since respondents could provide multiple responses, the sum of the percentages is greater than 100%. The most prevalent ethnic origins reported were the British Isles, North American and European.

Figure No. 10

Ethnic Origin - 2006 City of Oshawa

60%

40%

20%

0% Other Isles Asian British French Other North American European Aboriginal Caribbean

Note: Multiple responses may be given therefore sum is greater than 100%. Data is based on 20% sample.

Page 8 In 2006, approximately 86% of the total City population identified English as their first learned language and 94% indicated that English is the language spoken at home.

7.0 EDUCATION

In 2006, 73% of the City’s population 15 years and older possessed either a certificate, diploma or degree (including high school) as their highest level of educational attainment. 35% of the City’s population had a college or university certificate, diploma or degree as evidenced in Figure No. 11 below.

Figure No. 11

Educational Attainment (15 years and older) - 2006 City of Oshawa

29% No Certif icate, Certificate, Diploma Diploma or Degree or Degree 9% 73% 27% 22%

3%

10%

No Certificate, Diploma or Degree High school certificate or equivalent Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma College; CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma University certificate or diploma below the bachelor level University certificate; diploma or degree

Note: Data is based on 20% sample.

8.0 INCOME

Income data was gathered for 2005 and is representative of individuals over the age of 15 who earn income, as well as for households and families. The data provided in Figure Nos. 12-14 below is for median income, meaning that half of the population had incomes below the median figure and half had incomes above the median figure.

Figure No. 12

Individual Median Income for Persons 15 Years and Older with Income City of Oshawa, Durham Region and Province of Ontario

Oshawa Durham Ontario 2005 – All $29,788 $32,005 $27,258 2005 – Male $38,768 $41,452 $34,454 2005 – Females $22,269 $24,444 $21,669

2000 – All $25,249 $29,246 $24,816 Note: Income data is gathered for the year prior to the Census year. Data is based on 20% sample.

Page 9 Figure No. 13

Median Income for all Households City of Oshawa, Durham Region and Province of Ontario

Oshawa Durham Ontario 2005 $61,514 $75,397 $60,455 2000 $53,969 $66,832 $53,626 Note: Income data is gathered for the year prior to the Census year. Data is based on 20% sample.

Figure No. 14

Median Income for all Census Families City of Oshawa, Durham Region and Province of Ontario

Oshawa Durham Ontario 2005 $70,159 $80,872 $69,156 2000 $60,642 $71,274 $61,024 Note: Income data is gathered for the year prior to the Census year. Data is based on 20% sample.

The individual median income in 2005 for all people 15 years of age and over in the City of Oshawa was $29,788. The individual median income for women ($22,269) was approximately 43% less than that of men ($38,768).

In Oshawa, in 2005, the median income for all households was $61,514 and the median income for all Census families was $70,159.

The Oshawa median income figures are generally higher than the Provincial figures but lower than the Durham Region figures.

Between 2000 and 2005, the median individual income, median household income and median Census family income in Oshawa increased by a greater percentage than that for the Region and Province. The individual median income in Oshawa increased 18% between 2000 and 2005 whereas the Regional and Provincial incomes increased by approximately 9-10%. The median household income in Oshawa increased by 14% between 2000 and 2005, compared to a 13% increase seen at the Regional and Provincial levels, and the median family income in Oshawa increased by 16% between 2000 and 2005 compared to the Regional and Provincial increases of 13%.

Page 10 9.0 LABOUR MARKET AND PLACE OF WORK

The labour force is considered to be the total population 15 years and over who were employed or seeking employment during the week prior to Census day.

Approximately 53% of Oshawa’s labour force had jobs in manufacturing industries, business services and other services in 2006 (see Figure No. 15). Similarly, in the Province of Ontario, 52% of the labour force belonged to the manufacturing industries, business services, or other services sectors.

Figure No. 15

Labour Force by Industry - 2006 City of Oshawa Agriculture and other resource-based industries 2% 7% Construction industries 18% Manufacturing industries

17% Wholesale trade

Retail trade

Finance and real estate 18% 4% Health care and social services Educational services 12% 7% Business services 5% 10% Other services

Note: Data is based on 20% sample.

There was a 7.6% unemployment rate amongst people in the labour force over 15 years of age in the City of Oshawa in 2006. This is somewhat higher than the 2001 unemployment rate in the City which was 7.2%. The unemployment rate in Oshawa in 2006 is also somewhat higher than that for Durham Region (6.3%) and the Province (6.4%).

Approximately 77% of City of Oshawa residents in the labour force work in Durham Region, including approximately 46% who live and work in Oshawa. Only 23% of Oshawa residents in the labour force commuted outside of Durham Region to work (see Figure No. 16).

Figure No. 16

Place of Work Status - 2006 City of Oshawa 31%

46%

23%

Work in Oshawa Work in Different Municipality within Durham Region Work Outside Durham Region

Note: Data is based on 20% sample. Page 11

The majority of workers travel to work by driving in single occupant vehicles. Only 8% of workers in the City used public transit to get to work. In comparison to 2001 data, there was very little change in mode of transportation although transit usage increased slightly (see Figure No. 17).

Figure No. 17

Mode of Transportation to Work - 2001 and 2006 City of Oshawa

80%

60% 2001 40% 2006 20%

0% Car; truck; Car; truc k; Public transit Walked or All other van; as van; as bicycled modes driver passenger

Note: Data is based on 20% sample.

For the Province as a whole there was a higher utilization of public transit (13%) in comparison to the City of Oshawa.

Sources of data:

2006 Census data: Statistics Canada. 2007. Oshawa, Durham Region and Ontario (tables). 2006 Community Profiles. 2006 Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 92-591-XWE. Ottawa. Released March 13, 2007.

2006 Census data for Oshawa communities: Statistics Canada. 2008. 2006 Semi-Custom Profile of Oshawa Communities. 2006 Census.

2001 Census data: Statistics Canada. 2002. Oshawa, Durham Region and Ontario (tables). 2001 Community Profiles. 2001 Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 93F0053XIE. Ottawa. June 27, 2002.

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