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Quarterly Report/Q2 – 2017/18 NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 1 Produced by Police , Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Local Police Commander, Chief Superintendent Hazel Hendren

As Divisional Commander for Argyll and West Division, I am pleased to present the second quarterly update in relation to the Local Policing Plan for 2017/18. The purpose of this report is to highlight current crime trends and issues identified in the previous 3 month period and provide some context around crime trends over the longer term.

As outlined in the Local Policing Plan for Argyll and Bute our focus - Keeping People Safe – and the policing principals which it encapsulates continue to be at the centre of all police activity carried out across Argyll and Bute. Public consultation, partnership working and our own detailed crime analysis has determined that the priorities going forward in 2017/18 remain unchanged:-

 Road Safety & Road Crime  Violence, Disorder and Antisocial Behaviour  Public Protection  Major Crime and Counter Terrorism  Acquisitive Crime

These priorities are also aligned to Argyll & Bute’s Single Outcome Agreement 2013 – 2023. National performance frameworks continue to be utilised to measure progress, monitor activity, identify key areas where resources need to be focused and demonstrate how successful we are in meeting our key priorities and objectives. The Local Policing Plan for Argyll and Bute remains under constant review to ensure that new and emerging issues continue to be addressed at a local level.

Integrity, Fairness and Respect are our policing values and the touchstones for all our interactions, forming the basis of everything we do and every decision we reach. By applying our values, we continue to receive public consent through improved relevancy, trust and support.

Local Area Commander Chief Inspector Marlene Baillie continues to have responsibility for addressing crime issues and concerns as they arise on a day to day basis within Oban and Lorn and Mid Argyll, Kintyre and the Islands, supported by dedicated Area Inspectors Julie McLeish (Campbeltown & Lochgilphead) and Mark Stephen (Oban). Similarly Area Commander Chief Inspector Paul Robertson has responsibility for Helensburgh, Cowal and Bute and is currently supported by Inspector Mark Wilson (Dunoon & Rothesay) and Inspector Matthew Webb (Helensburgh).

As normal, the summer months brought a number of policing challenges to the Argyll and Bute area. Operation Raccoon in July required a significant police presence at both HMNB Clyde and RNAD Coulport in response to a week of organised anti-nuclear protests. Although each day saw some form of protest activity at each site, the policing operation was deemed a success with minimal disruption to the local community and to site activity with only a small number of arrests for disorder offences. In terms of larger annual events, the

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 2 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Tiree, Bute and Mull Music Festivals passed without incident as did the Cowal and other Gatherings throughout the summer.

Benchmarking Benchmarking is a process used by organisations to compare their processes and performance metrics against like organisations that are recognised as being the leader in their respective field. This offers organisations the opportunity to learn from the information and experience developed by those considered to be ‘best in class’. Benchmarking ensures that organisations maintain both an internal and external perspective on their relative performance and challenges potential organisational complacency over results achieved.

Local Authorities in Scotland have been engaged in benchmarking over the past four years as part as of the Scottish Local Government Benchmarking Framework (LGBF). They have been working with the Improvement Service (IS) over the last four years on developing a common approach to benchmarking.

Research continues into this topic to ensure the most accurate comparisons are being drawn, particularly given that the geographic and demographic profile of an area is a significant factor in determining the nature and volume of crimes reported therein. In previous reports comparisons have been drawn with the Highlands local authority area however, at the request of the Argyll & Bute Scrutiny Committee, recent reports (Qtr3 – 2016/17 forward) provide comparisons with crime and incident data relating to the Scottish Borders Local Authority area. This information MUST only be used for guidance purpose.

Hazel Hendren Chief Superintendent Local Police Commander

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 3 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Crime Overview

Group 1 -7 Crime Crime figures show a continued downward trend in the total number of Group 1 – 7 crimes recorded within Argyll and Bute with a further 8% reduction noted at the end of Quarter 2. Crime levels also remain 25.5% lower and the 5 year average. Levels of violent crime have remained relatively unchanged compared to last year while ASB related crimes have reduced by 14.5%. Group 2 sexual crimes have also reduced by 12% (10 crimes). Levels of acquisitive crime remain 14.2% higher than in the same YTD period last year mainly due to an increase in vehicle related crimes across the area. Group 5 crimes also remain higher however this is due to an increase in crimes relating to possession of weapons and is a result of new legislation.

Local Authority Comparison Figures recorded at the end of Quarter 1 show that the total number of Group 1 – 5 crimes recorded per 10,000 population within Argyll and Bute remained slightly lower than in the Scottish Borders local authority area at 74.6 compared to 81.6

This information is not available in relation to all Group 1 – 7 crime.

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 4 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Road Safety & Road Crime

Priorities outlined in the Local Policing Plan 2014 – 2017 remain at the forefront of operational activity carried out in respect of road safety and road crime. These are as follows:-

 To work with partners to develop a strategy to reduce the numbers of those killed and seriously injured on the Argyll and Bute road network.

 To increase enforcement activity to improve driver behaviour.

 To improve road safety through enhanced partnership working and preventative initiatives within the community.

Road Traffic Casualties Set against figures for the same period last year, the number of fatalities recorded on the roads network within Argyll and Bute has reduced considerably from 8 to 3. Slight injuries have increased from 106 to 112 whereas serious injuries have decreased from 43 to 32. Transport related incidents continue to be the most commonly recorded incident type in Argyll and Bute. The most prominent crash locations remain unchanged:  A83 between Furnace and the Rest and be Thankful  A82 between Inveruglas & Luss  A85 between Taynuilt and Oban

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 5 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Local Authority Comparison Figures recorded at the end of Quarter 1 show that the total number of road casualties recorded YTD within Argyll and Bute is higher than in the Scottish Borders at 61 and 57, respectively. While the number of fatal and serious injuries were exactly the same in both areas, Argyll & Bute recorded a slight higher number of slight injuries (46) compared to the Borders (42).

When considering this information it is also pertinent to note that the road network within Argyll and Bute covers around 2600 square miles compared to approx. 1800 square miles in the Scottish Borders.

The downward trend in offences relating to motor vehicles has continued into the current YTD period. At the end of Quarter 2 figures show a reduction of 7.2% compared to the same period last year. In keeping with previous trends, much of the reduction overall is due to decreases in offences relating to speeding and the use of mobile phones.

Apr – Sept Apr – Sept

2017 2016 % Change

Dangerous driving 44 44 0.0% Speeding 725 808 -10.3% Disqualified driving 5 2 150.0% Driving Licence 39 36 8.3% Insurance 101 78 29.5% Seat Belts 39 52 -25.0% Mobile Phone 23 67 -65.7%

Focussed Police Activity Force Drink/Drug Campaign The drink/drug campaign took place between 11 and 17 August 2017. Road checks were carried out across the division at varying times which resulted in 3 detections for contraventions of Sec 5 of the Road Traffic Act 1988 and 1 detection for a contravention of Sec 4 of the Road Traffic Act 1988. Road checks also produced a number of detections for document and construction and use offences.

Vulnerable Road Users July – September is historically a busy period with higher propensity for serious injury collisions. The roads network of Argyll is a favourite location for motorcyclists who come and enjoy the scenic yet challenging nature of the roads with sweeping bends, short straights and undulations. DRPU activity is therefore heavily directed to motorcycle activity and the routes that tend to be used more often; A82, A83, A85, A816 and A815. These remain priority routes for the DRPU with additional patrolling and where possible, motorcyclists and drivers with high performance vehicles are given road safety guidance. During Quarter 2 several weekend were designated for such attention the main focus being to stop examine both motorcycles and check riders while offering advice and guidance. Enforcement is also high on the agenda with particular focus on offences such as dangerous or careless driving and inappropriate or excessive speed. Activity during Quarter 2 detected 2 dangerous drivers, 8 careless drivers and 116 drivers in excess of speed limits, this included motorcyclists and other road users.

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 6 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Violence, Disorder & Antisocial Behaviour

Police Scotland remain dedicated to reducing violence, disorder and antisocial behaviour within the local communities of Argyll and Bute in order to ‘Keep People Safe’. Operational police activity carried out on a daily basis continues to be driven by the objectives outlined in the local policing plan:-

 To reduce the number of victims of violent crime.

 To reduce the number of reported incidents of antisocial behaviour.

 To impact on alcohol related violence, antisocial behaviour and disorder with particular emphasis in and around licensed premises.

 To increase the number of people detected for violent and domestic crime.

Group 1 – Crimes of Violence Levels of ‘serious’ violence occurring within Argyll and Bute have remained relatively unchanged during Quarter 2 when compared against the same YTD period last year. In total 34 crimes have been recorded which is one more crime than last year however the figure remains well below the five year average. As shown in the chart below, a there has been a noticeable reduction in crimes of robbery however this has been offset by an increase in serious assaults. Detection rates remain high at 100% and 86.4% respectively.

While crimes involving lower level violence such as Common Assault show a 7.3% reduction compared to last year, the number of complaints regarding disorder remain 4.5% higher, however this is a significant improvement from Quarter 1. This is set against an 8% increase in public reported ASB at Force level.

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 7 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Local Authority Comparison Figures recorded at the end of Quarter 1 show that the number of Group 1 crimes of violence recorded across Argyll & Bute per 10,000 head of population is marginally higher in Argyll and Bute than in the Scottish Borders Local Authority area at 1.6 and 1.4 respectively.

In terms of low level violence and antisocial behaviour, Argyll and Bute has recorded a higher rate per 10,000 head of population in relation to Common Assault at 81.2 compared to 67.5 in the Scottish Borders. However, public reported incidents of antisocial behaviour remained considerably lower in Argyll and Bute at 104.1 compared to 137.2, primarily due to differences in the rate of disturbance, vandalism and communication incidents.

The Divisional Violence Prevention Strategy and Directed Policing Plans, which are informed by analytical products produced at a local level, continue to be fully exploited to ensure local officers manage the threat and risk posed by specific individuals and at identified problematic locations. In addition, various pro-active policing tactics have been utilised in order to impact on crime and incident levels.

Focussed Police Activity

Operation Code During Quarter 2, a significant amount of partnership work took place involving Police Scotland, British Transport Police, Scotrail and West Dunbartonshire and Argyll and Bute Local Authorities in relation to high levels of antisocial behaviour, absconding and child protection concerns. This work was complex in nature and involved a great deal of collaboration and negotiation to resolve. This has resulted in a significant reduction in ASB related incident and missing person reports involving youths particularly within the Helensburgh area.

Police Scotland Youth Volunteers On 22 August 17, the Police Scotland Youth Volunteers scheme was launched in Campbeltown. This scheme aims to give young people aged 10 – 18 years, an insight into policing in Scotland and inspire them to participate positively in their communities. An introductory evening was held at Campbeltown Grammar School where various inputs were delivered to the Youth Volunteers and their parents. Every Tuesday night for the following 12 weeks the young people will attend at a number of workshops and training sessions including parade drill, radio procedures which includes learning the phonetic alphabet and survival skills with a hike up Beinn Ghuilean! A number of events including the Campbeltown Christmas lights switch on, have been identified for volunteering opportunities for the local young people. A similar launch was held in Oban on 26th October and an update in respect of the Oban PSYV Group will be provided in due course.

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 8 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Protecting Vulnerable People

As set out in the Local Policing Plan 2014 – 2017, our priorities in respect of protecting vulnerable people remain unchanged:-

 To work with our partners to identify those children, young people and vulnerable adults who are most at risk and through joint action reduce that risk.

 To continue to develop proactive strategies to deal with managed offenders, particularly those that present the greatest threat, risk and harm.

 To increase the number of persons detected for sexual crimes.  Together with partner agencies, strive to provide a better quality of service to the victims of sexual crime.

Group 2 – Sexual Crime At the end of Quarter 2, the position within Argyll and Bute in terms of Group 2 sexual crime remained almost unchanged with a 12.0% reduction recorded compared to the same period last year. As shown in the graph below, this is principally due to a significant reduction in the number of Rape crimes being recorded. Those classed as ‘Other’ have also reduced slightly which includes offences relating to indecent images and indecent communication. Around 27% of all crimes recorded were historical reports. Detection rates for Group 2 Sexual Crime have increased from 54.2% last year to 60.2%. The detection rate for Rape crime has also seen significant improvement from 30.4% to 91.7%.

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 9 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Domestic Abuse Set against figures recorded at the end of Quarter 2 last year, the number of domestic abuse incidents being reported has increased by 5%. Despite this increase the number of domestic abuse crimes/offences being recorded has continued in a downward trend reducing by a further 1.7%. Dunoon Multi Member Ward (MMW) area has recorded the highest number of domestic incidents YTD and shows and increase when compared to last year. Domestic incidents have also increased in Helensburgh and Lomond South and Oban North and Lorn MMW areas.

Local Authority Comparison Figures recorded at the end of Quarter 1 show only a marginal difference in the number of Group 2 crimes recorded per 10,000 population within Argyll and Bute compared to the Scottish Borders Local Authority area at 4.1 and 4.3, respectively. The number of Rape crimes (per 10,000 population) was also marginally lower at 0.8 compared to 1.2 in the Scottish Borders as were Sexual Assault crimes and 1.8 versus 2.3.

Focussed Police Activity

Violence Against Women Through the establishment of the joint Argyll & Bute and West Dunbartonshire Violence Against Women Group (VAWG) the focus has been placed on the re-establishment of the Multi Agency Risk and Concern (MARAC) process for victims of Domestic Abuse. Whilst there has been ongoing work carried out including a multi-agency training day with Anna Smith from Safe Lives and obtaining a solution to IT, the push towards implementation has been driven through the VAWG with the establishment of a sub- committee. This sub-committee comprises of Social work representation from the two Local Authority areas and Police Scotland.

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 10 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Major Crime & Counter Terrorism

Keeping people safe by reducing the threat posed from organised crime and terrorism across Argyll and Bute remains a high priority for all local police officers. The Joint Terrorism Analysis Centre (JTAC) is the UK's centre for the analysis and assessment of international terrorism. JTAC has responsibility for setting international terrorism threat levels which is currently assessed as SEVERE. Recent events in the UK and other countries highlight the necessity for vigilance at all times. Police across Argyll & West Dunbartonshire Division continue to the implement the UK Government CONTEST strategy with local and national partners. Police Scotland also continues to target and disrupt the activities of those involved in organised crime at a local level through focused and robust interventions based on the objectives set out in the local policing plan:-

 To disrupt organised crime groups by targeting individuals, the businesses they operate and their access to public contracts.

 To target those individuals who are intent on supplying drugs.

 Through education and partnership, reduce the impact that serious and organised crime and terrorism has on our communities.

 Through the Multi-Agency Serious and Organised Crime and Contest Group, raise awareness and improve information sharing between agencies.

As per the most recent intelligence assessment (Sept 2017) relating to Serious and Organised Crime (SOC) the overall threat/risk posed to the communities within Argyll and Bute remains Low. There is currently one identified SOC Group in operation within the area which is assessed to be Low Risk. Proactive and reactive intelligence and evidence gathering opportunities continue to be fully exploited in an attempt to reduce the threat and harm posed by all individuals linked to SOC and to identify new and emerging groups. Police activity continues to be focussed on arresting individuals linked to SOC groups, depriving them of cash and assets through full use of POCA legislation, and as well as depriving them of legitimate enterprise to ensure the maximum impact.

The primary function of those involved in serious and organised crime continues to be the supply and distribution of controlled drugs. Figures recorded at the end of Quarter 2 show drug supply crimes have reduced compared to last year :-

Apr – Sept Apr – Sept % Serious & Organised Crime 2017 2016 Change

Number of detections for drugs supply, drugs 32 41 -22.0% productions, drugs cultivation

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 11 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Local Authority Comparison Data recorded at the end of Quarter 1 shows only a marginal difference in the number of drug supply crimes recorded per 10,000 head of population within Argyll and Bute compared to the Scottish Borders at 1.8 and 1.6 respectively. When considering all drug crime however, Argyll & Bute continued to record a higher number of crimes at 13.0 compared to 8.5 in the Scottish Borders.

Focussed Police Activity Local Drugs Initiative A concerted effort to tackle drugs in the Mid Argyll area was undertaken by the MAKI Community Policing Team. This consisted of a number of proactive stop and searches of suspicious vehicles and persons thought to be involved in drug supply. Notable stops recovered 522.2 grams of herbal cannabis, 10.7 grams of Cocaine and 45 ecstasy tablets. Two drugs warrants were also executed at separate addresses where cannabis cultivations were discovered. A large quantity of drugs, money and hydroponic equipment was seized and reports submitted to the Procurator Fiscal for drug dealing. This information was also subsequently shared with local housing associations and work is being progressed with a view to evicting those involved in the illegal supply of controlled substances from their home addresses.

Human Trafficking – Day of Action On 29 August 2017, police attended at nail bar premises in the Helensburgh area and identified two victims of human trafficking. A joint investigation with Home Office is currently ongoing whereby referrals have been made to Argyll and Bute Council to prevent them granting Small Business Bonus Relief Reduction on tax rates for businesses. Awarding this tax reduction would indicate support for illegal working and human trafficking by the Local Authority which is guided by Scottish government specification.

Domestic Extremism Staff at Hermitage Academy in Helensburgh received an input in relation to Domestic Extremism concentrating on how to spot the signs of Right Wing Extremism. Right Wing Extremism has been highlighted in the media and in particular Scotland in recent months. Two inputs were delivered during the school in-service day with approximately 65 teachers in attendance.

WRAP On 20 September 2017, HMNB Clyde Trainee Submariners were given Workshop to Raise Awareness of Prevent (WRAP) training and Personal Security and Safety Briefings following an OFSTED inspection where a lack of knowledge of PREVENT and CT Awareness was highlighted. This input was delivered to a group of 35 students and 15 members of Training School staff including the Senior Officers. Police will continue to attend on an 8 weekly basis whilst members of the Training School carry out their own PREVENT training.

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 12 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Acquisitive Crime

In the Local Policing Plan 2014 – 2017, Police Scotland have identified that the objectives in relation to acquisitive crime will be:

 To reduce the number of housebreakings and improve detection rates.

 To target individuals involved in doorstep crime and support the victims through partnership working.

Group 3 - Acquisitive Crime At the end of Quarter 2 the total number of acquisitive crimes recorded within Argyll & Bute remained 2.6% higher than in the same YTD period in 2016. Housebreaking crimes have reduced by around 18% however this has been countered by a considerable increase in vehicle related crimes. These were dispersed across the area no specific crime patterns were identified. YTD no doorstep/bogus crimes have been recorded within Argyll & Bute.

Detection Rate Approximately 35.9% of acquisitive crimes recorded YTD at the end of Quarter 2 were detected. Detection rates for housebreaking crime show a slight improvement at 32% compared to 29.5% last year. Vehicle crime detection rates remain slightly lower at 44.4% versus 46.1% the previous year.

Local Authority Comparison Data recorded at the end of Quarter 1 shows that the number of Group 3 crimes recorded per 10,000 head of population has remained lower within Argyll & Bute at 25.4 compared to 37.6 in the Scottish Borders. Occurrences of housebreaking and vehicle crime were also lower at 3.2 and 2.4 respectively versus 5.8 and 6.3 in the Borders.

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 13 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

Focussed Police Activity

Rural Watch Recently there has been real drive behind the role out of Rural Watch across the Division. Working in partnership with the Community Engagement Officer, Neighbourhood Watch Scotland, PC Donald MacKay (Divisional Rural Watch Co-ordinator) has been attending Community Council meetings, seminars and meetings with other partners including Scottish Natural Heritage, Forestry Commission Scotland and the National Park. The purpose of these visit has been to promote their membership of the scheme to assist in the prevention and detection of crime across Argyll and West Dunbartonshire. Work is also ongoing to forge a joint Rural Watch scheme between Helensburgh Police Station and MOD Coulport to cover Helensburgh & Lomond. The Isle of Bute is also included in this promotion of Rural Watch as it is the only Island Watch in Scotland to date. Rural Watch is proving to be an efficient tool for the Division with membership rising considerably each month allowing two way communication, via the Alert System, with a widespread and diverse audience. Rural Watch is also now being utilised by the Divisions' Acquisitive Crime Tasking Group and will feature regularly in the lead up to the Festive period.

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 14 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017. NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED

User Satisfaction Survey

User Satisfaction in L Division shows the following trends in key areas:

 Were you adequately informed about progress made on the incident you reported: Confidence levels fell slightly during September to 56.5% bringing the YTD figure to 59.2% which is below last year’s figure of 68.2%. The figure also remains below the national average of 65.1%.  What is your overall satisfaction with the service provided – YTD satisfaction levels show a marginal reduction from 84.7% in 2016/17 to 84.2% although still compares favourably to the national picture of 80.7%.  Following this incident, what is your overall confidence in Police Scotland? Confidence levels increased further to 86% in September from 84% in August. YTD figures remain higher than in 2016/17 and compare favourably against the national average of 81.2%.

NOT PROTECTIVELY MARKED 15 Produced by Police Scotland, Analyst Unit, Dumbarton on 23/10/2017. All statistics are provisional and should be treated as management information. All data are sourced from Police Scotland internal systems and are correct as at 2 October 2017.