Blunami Election Recommendations, 2020 – Share Widely!

Blunami Election Recommendations, 2020 – share widely!

Pressed for time? Click below on the hottest, 5-star races to make a difference now.

Contents & Recap 1 Making a difference in 2020 ...... 5 1.1 How to use this document ...... 6 1.2 Voting and getting the vote out ...... 6 1.3 The 50 U.S. states ...... 6 1.4 U.S. House of Representatives ...... 7 1.5 Current composition ...... 8 2 Contribution limits ...... 9 3 Blunami House of Representatives 5-star races ...... 10 3.1 Arizona ...... 10 3.1.1 Arizona District 6 ★★★★★ ...... 10 3.2 California ...... 12 3.2.1 California’s 21st district ★★★★★ ...... 12 3.3 Florida ...... 14 3.3.1 Florida’s 26th ★★★★★ ...... 14 3.4 Georgia ...... 16 3.4.1 Georgia’s 6th ★★★★★ ...... 16 3.4.2 Georgia’s 7th ★★★★★ ...... 17 3.5 Illinois ...... 19 3.5.1 Illinois’ 13th ★★★★★ ...... 19 3.6 Indiana ...... 21 3.6.1 Indiana’s 5th ★★★★★ ...... 21 3.7 Iowa ...... 23 3.7.1 Iowa’s 2nd ★★★★★ trending ★★★★ ...... 23 3.8 Maine ...... 25 3.8.1 Maine’s 2nd ★★★★★ ...... 25 3.9 Minnesota ...... 27 3.9.1 Minnesota’s 7th ★★★★ trending ★★★★★ ...... 27 3.10 New Jersey ...... 29 3.10.1 NJ’s 3rd ★★★★★ ...... 29 3.11 New Mexico ...... 31

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3.11.1 New Mexico’s 2nd ★★★★ trending ★★★★★ ...... 31 3.12 New York ...... 33 3.12.1 NY’s 22nd ★★★★★ ...... 33 3.13 Ohio ...... 35 3.13.1 Ohio’s 1st ★★★★★ ...... 35 3.14 Oklahoma ...... 37 3.14.1 Oklahoma’s 5th ★★★★★ ...... 37 3.15 South Carolina ...... 39 3.15.1 SC’s district 1 ★★★★ trending ★★★★★ ...... 39 3.16 Texas ...... 41 3.16.1 Texas district 7 ★★★★ trending ★★★★★ ...... 41 3.16.2 Texas district 22 ★★★★★ ...... 43 3.16.3 Texas district 24 ★★★★★ ...... 44 4 Other Blunami-recommended Races requiring your attention ...... 45 4.1 Arizona ...... 45 4.1.1 Arizona District 1 ★★★ ...... 45 4.2 California ...... 47 4.2.1 California’s 39th district ★★★★ ...... 47 4.2.2 California’s 25th district ★★★ ...... 49 4.2.3 California’s 48th ★★★ ...... 50 4.3 Colorado ...... 51 4.3.1 Colorado’s 3rd (★★★ – heating up!) ...... 51 4.4 Florida ...... 53 4.4.1 Florida’s 15th ★★★ ...... 53 4.5 Illinois ...... 55 4.5.1 Illinois’ 14th ★★★ ...... 55 4.6 Iowa ...... 57 4.6.1 Iowa’s 1st ★★★★ ...... 57 4.6.2 Iowa’s 3rd ★★★ trending ★★★★ ...... 59 4.7 Michigan ...... 60 4.7.1 Michigan’s 3rd ★★★ ...... 60 4.7.2 Michigan’s 6th ★★ trending ★★★ ...... 62

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4.7.3 Michigan’s 8th ★★★ ...... 63 4.7.4 Michigan’s 11th ★★★ ...... 64 4.8 Minnesota ...... 65 4.8.1 Minnesota’s 1st ★★ ...... 65 4.9 Missouri...... 67 4.9.1 Missouri’s 2nd ★★ trending ★★★ ...... 67 4.10 Montana ★★★★ ...... 69 4.11 Nebraska ...... 70 4.11.1 Nebraska’s 2nd ★★★★ ...... 70 4.12 New Jersey ...... 72 4.12.1 NJ’s 2nd ★★★★ ...... 72 4.12.2 NJ’s 7th ★★★★ ...... 74 4.13 New York ...... 75 4.13.1 NY’s 2nd ★★★★ ...... 75 4.13.2 NY’s 24th ★★ trending ★★★ ...... 77 4.14 Pennsylvania ...... 78 4.14.1 Pennsylvania’s District 1 ★★★ ...... 78 4.14.2 Pennsylvania district 8 ★★★ ...... 80 4.14.3 Pennsylvania district ★★★ trending ★★★★ ...... 81 4.15 Texas ...... 82 4.15.1 Texas District 21 ★★★ trending ★★★★ ...... 82 4.15.2 Texas district 23 ★★★★ ...... 84 4.16 Utah ...... 85 4.16.1 Utah District 4 ★★★★ ...... 85 4.17 Virginia ...... 87 4.17.1 Virginia’s district 2 ★★★★ ...... 87 4.17.2 Virginia District 7 ★★★★ ...... 88

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1 Making a difference in 2020

The Blunami app will soon bring you an activism dashboard across all elections, local and national. We are still working through complex FEC compliance and regulatory issues.

Meanwhile, we thought we would condense our findings in an easy-to-use primer that will help you have maximum impact on the 2020 elections, by showing you immediately where you can have the most impact – what we call 5-star races, or elections that are too close to call.

There are roughly four ways you can make a difference in the days leading up to the election.

A. Donate your money to campaigns that have a chance of flipping the outcome B. Donate your time to these campaigns C. Help get the vote out D. Socialize your choices with friends and family whenever appropriate

This document can help you with the first three. It relies heavily on Wikipedia, which also deserves your support!

How we calculate our recommendations is based on the following conversion table. On the right is the standard polling rating. On the left is Blunami’s Needs Index translation, with 1 star meaning the candidate needs your support the least either because they are sure to win or sure to lose; all the way to 5 stars meaning that the race is too close to call and every dime and every minute counts.

Star rating Corresponding standard rating ★★★★★ Tossup ★★★★ Tilt ★★★ Lean ★★ Likely ★ Safe (either party) Half-star for more precise ratings

We include Republicans because ultimately, we don’t think partisanship is serving functional democracy in the United States. Hopefully, apps like Blunami will allow smaller campaigns and broader politics to take place at the grassroots level.

To be clear the Blunami team supports progressive causes.

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1.1 How to use this document The best use of this document is to have it open on a laptop, a desktop, or, less conveniently, on a phone. Go through the table of contents and click on the 5-star races first. If you’re an avid reader, a political junkie, or happen to be loaded, just scroll through all the races and give plentifully.

There are links to donations and volunteering in each race. Clicking on them will take you directly to where you need to be on each campaign’s web site.

Another way to use this document is to focus only on the 5-star races in the table of contents, since these are the tightest races and the ones where candidates need your support the most. Note that these ratings fluctuate on a weekly basis, and you might be missing out on 3-star or 4-star races that are heating up towards a toss-up. Feel free to do your own research.

1.2 Voting and getting the vote out If you haven’t registered to vote, you can do so at http://www.vote.org . They’ll help you with the entire process, from registering to getting a mail-in ballot if that’s what you prefer.

One of the more effective ways you can spend your hard-earned money is to get the vote out, or help organizations that focus on voter participation. Your ROI may be higher than donating to campaigns: more participation creates a more vibrant democracy and puts social issues front and center.

There are several non-profit organizations working on this, from whenweallvote.org to nonprofitvote.org. One organization we like, because of its tireless work and impressive results: The Voter Participation Center. Donate here: https://www.voterparticipation.org/support-our-work/

1.3 The 50 U.S. states

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1.4 U.S. House of Representatives

The Basics from Wikipedia: “The United States House of Representatives is the lower house of the United States Congress; the Senate is the upper house. Together they compose the national bicameral legislature of the United States.

The composition of the House is established by Article One of the United States Constitution.

The House is composed of representatives who sit in congressional districts allocated to each state on a basis of population as measured by the U.S. Census, with each district entitled to one representative. Since its inception in 1789, all representatives have been directly elected. The number of voting representatives is fixed by law at 435. In addition, there are currently six non-voting members, bringing the total membership of the US House of Representatives to 441 or fewer with vacancies.

As of the 2010 Census, the largest delegation is that of California, with 53 representatives. Seven states have only one representative: Alaska, Delaware, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Vermont, and Wyoming.

The House is charged with the passage of federal legislation, known as bills, which, after concurrence by the Senate, are sent to the president for consideration. The House also has exclusive powers: it initiates all revenue bills, impeaches federal officers, and elects the president if no candidate receives a majority of electoral votes.

The House meets in the south wing of the United States Capitol.

The presiding officer is the speaker of the House, who is elected by the members thereof (and is therefore traditionally the leader of the controlling party). The speaker and other floor leaders are chosen by the Democratic Caucus or the Republican Conference, depending on whichever party has more voting members.”

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1.5 Current composition

Party Affiliation (shading indicates majority caucus)

Democratic Independent Libertarian Republican Total Vacant

Previous Congress 196 0 0 236 432 3

Begin Jan 3, 2019 199 434 1 Jan 23, 2019 198 433 2 0 Feb 10, 2019 197 432 3 May 21, 2019 198 235 433 2 July 4, 2019 197 Sept 10, 2019 199 435 0 Sept 23, 2019 198 434 1 0 Oct 1, 2019 433 2 Oct 17, 2019 234 197 432 3 1 Nov 3, 2019 233 431 4 Dec 19, 2019 198 Jan 13, 2020 232 197 430 5 March 30, 2020 429 6 April 29, 2020 196 430 5 May 1, 2020 May 12, 2020 233 198 432 3 May 22, 2020 0 1 197 431 4 June 23, 2020 432 3 198 July 17, 2020 232 431 4 Latest share 53.8% 0.0% 0.2% 45.9%

The following is a list of candidates who need your support.

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2 Contribution limits

Under the Federal Election Campaign Act, certain contribution limits are indexed for inflation every two years, based on the change in the cost of living since 2001, which is the base year for adjusting these limits.

The inflation-adjusted limits are:

• The limits on contributions made by persons to candidates (increased to $2,800 per election, per candidate) (52 U.S.C. § 30116(a)(1)(A));

• The limits on contributions made by persons to national party committees (increased to $35,500 per calendar year) (52 U.S.C. § 30116(a)(1)(B));

• The limit on contributions made by certain political party committees to Senate candidates (increased to $49,600 per campaign) (52 U.S.C. § 30116(h)).

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3 Blunami House of Representatives 5-star races 3.1 Arizona

Arizona has become one of those perennial swing states in the Presidential election, and not surprisingly, it usually has a few close congressional races.

3.1.1 Arizona District 6 ★★★★★

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Arizona's 6th congressional district

Party Candidate

Republican David Schweikert (incumbent)

Democratic Hiral Tipirneni

Democrat Hiral Tipirneni has the ability to pull off an upset for the Dems if you help her out, especially since her Republican opponent has been plagued by ethical issues, and has been unable to raise the funds he needs to win comfortably. A 5-star race.

Give to Democrat Hiral: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/hiraltipirneni Volunteer: https://act.hiralforcongress.com/page/s/volunteer

Give to Republican David Schweikert: https://secure.anedot.com/friendsofdavidschweikert/donate Volunteer: https://davidschweikert.com/take-action/

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3.2 California

Unusual shifts in the Golden, or rather the Deep Blue state, especially in the Central Valley and the OC.

3.2.1 California’s 21st district ★★★★★

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California's 21st congressional district, 2020 General election

Democratic TJ Cox (incumbent)

Republican David Valadao

Democrat TJ Cox has been struggling to gain a real edge over the previous incumbent, Republican David Valadao after winning in 2018 by only … 862 votes. A 5-star race!

Give to Democrat TJ: https://act.myngp.com/Forms/-3710323912087827712 Volunteer: https://www.mobilize.us/coxforcongress/

Give to Republican David: https://secure.winred.com/valadao-for-congress/donate Volunteer: https://valadaoforcongress.com/showsupportrequestayardsign/

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3.3 Florida

The infamous chad state is a regular wind vane and a recurring source of heart attacks for political observers – and this year will be no exception, in the Presidential and Congressional races both. This year’s theme is corruption and “draining the swamp” … the size of the Everglades.

3.3.1 Florida’s 26th ★★★★★

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Florida's 26th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (incumbent)

Republican Carlos Gimenez

Folks, this is a bona fide 5-star toss-up. Democrat Debbie won her seat by a narrow margin in 2018, in the wake of the Trump House debacle – but things have inched back to their Floridian norm, and Republican Carlos Gimenez the firefighter appears to hold a slight lead over the incumbent, even though he only has one-third of her resources. Debbie needs more to keep her seat.

Give to Democrat Debbie: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/dmpwebsitebutton Volunteer: https://www.debbiemucarselpowell.com/get-involved/

Give to Republican Carlos: https://secure.winred.com/carlos-gimenez-for-congress/donate Volunteer: https://carlosgimenezforcongress.com/take-action/

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3.4 Georgia

Georgia toss-ups, oh my … Again, this is a case of the 2018 Trump House debacle, when the President was toxic to some dyed-in-the-wool red candidates. Now the Republicans are fighting to regain the seats they uncharacteristically lost in the deep redness.

3.4.1 Georgia’s 6th ★★★★★

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Georgia's 6th congressional district, 2020 Party Candidate

Democratic Lucy McBath (incumbent)

Republican Karen Handel

Can Democrat Lucy McBath hold on to her hard-won seat and edge out Republican Karen Handel? This race is tightening to a toss-up. If we could give it 6 stars, we would.

Give to Democrat Lucy: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/support-lucy Volunteer: https://lucyforcongress.com/home

Give to Republican Karen: https://secure.winred.com/handel-for-congress/donate Volunteer: https://karenhandel.com/volunteer/

3.4.2 Georgia’s 7th ★★★★★

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Georgia's 7th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Rich McCormick

Democratic Carolyn Bourdeaux

Another 5-star race between Democrat Carolyn Bourdeaux, who was 500 votes away from stunning the Republican Establishment in 2018, and her erstwhile foe Rich McCormick, who won his primary handily. This is definitely within Democratic reach and would be a stunner in a Deep Red state, as demographic trends favor more progressive voters.

Give to Democrat: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/carolyn_website Volunteer: https://www.mobilize.us/bourdeauxforcongress/

Give to Republican Rich: https://secure.anedot.com/friends-of-mccormick/donate Volunteer: https://www.richmccormick.us/take-action

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3.5 Illinois Illinois has voted Democratic in the past 7 presidential elections. Its districts are mostly Democratic, but its stagnating population has cost it votes in the electoral college, which are census-driven, just like congressional districts. That said there are conservative enclaves in the state, and one race is contested.

3.5.1 Illinois’ 13th ★★★★★

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Illinois's 13th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Rodney Davis (incumbent)

Democratic Betsy Dirksen Londrigan

This is the second go-around between Republican Rodney Davis and Democrat Betsy Dirksen Londrigan, with Rodney winning in 2018 by a 1% sliver. Could this time be the charm for Betsy? 5 stars.

Give to Democrat Betsy: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/londriganweb2020 Volunteer: https://www.betsydirksenlondrigan.com/volunteer/

Give to Republican Rodney: https://secure.winred.com/rodney-for-congress/donate Volunteer: https://electrodney.com/take-action/

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3.6 Indiana Illinois’ eastern neighbor is nothing like it, and is the reddest state in the Union, having only voted twice for Democratic presidents since 1816: Lyndon Johnson in his contest against Barry Goldwater; and Barack Obama when he was fending off John McCain. Yet, the state does have one hotly contested race.

3.6.1 Indiana’s 5th ★★★★★

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Indiana's 5th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Victoria Spartz

Democratic Christina Hale

Libertarian Ken Tucker

This district shifted to the left in 2018 in the wake of the Great Suburban Uprising Against Trump. Democrat Christina Hale has outraised Republican businesswoman Victoria Spartz and the race is considered a toss-up – a 5-star sparkler in Blunami’s view.

Donate to Democrat Christina: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/haleweb2020 Volunteer: https://haleforcongress.com/get-involved

Give to Republican Victoria: https://www.spartzforcongress.com/donate/ Volunteer: https://www.spartzforcongress.com/volunteer/

Donate to Ken: Doesn’t want your money, how refreshing! Volunteer: https://aguyfromindiana.com/wanna-help/

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3.7 Iowa This is the state that brought us a Trump support stunner in 2016 (9.5% ahead of Hillary!), after being a Democratic safe haven for many cycles. Not surprisingly, three of the races here are contested.

3.7.1 Iowa’s 2nd ★★★★★ trending ★★★★

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Iowa's 2nd congressional district, 2020 Party Candidate

Democratic Rita Hart

Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks

This is the fourth go-around for Republican Miller-Meeks, who ran and lost against the Democratic incumbent Dave Loebsack – but Democrat Rita Hart is not a known quantity, whereas Republican Mariannette has a well-established conservative brand as a State Senator. The race is much tighter this time: a genuine 5-star, perhaps trending 4 in favor of Rita.

Give to Democrat Rita: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/rita-hart-for-iowa-1 Volunteer: https://www.mobilize.us/hartforcongress/

Give to Republican Mariannette: https://millermeeks2020.com/donate/ Volunteer: https://millermeeks2020.com/volunteer/

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3.8 Maine A mostly blue state with an unusual electoral vote system that gave one of its four electoral college seats to Trump in 2016.

3.8.1 Maine’s 2nd ★★★★★

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Maine's 2nd congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Jared Golden (incumbent)

Republican Dale Crafts

This is the more rural of Maine’s two districts, and prone to surprises: After massively voting for Obama in 2012, it flip-flopped and picked Trump by a 10% margin in 2016. US Veteran Jared Golden, a Democrat, flipped the district in 2018 and is fighting to hang on to his seat in a 5-star contest that most political analysts are calling a toss-up. Republican Dale Crafts is by far the craftier politician.

Give to Democrat Jared: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/jaredforcongress Volunteer: https://jaredgoldenforcongress.com/action/

Give to Republican Dale: https://secure.winred.com/dale-crafts-for-congress/contribute Volunteer: https://dalecraftsforcongress.com/volunteer/

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3.9 Minnesota Ok, one electoral quirk in these turbulent Minnesota 2020 campaigns is the curious local push to legalize marijuana, with several fringe candidates making that their entire platform or a very big plank. Generally, the state is rural with left-leaning tendencies, and still, in 2016, Hillary only won by 1.5%. That explains the tight races listed here, with a real possibility that Republican candidates will benefit from a Trump halo effect. (Toxic in some other places, but not in the districts we cover here).

3.9.1 Minnesota’s 7th ★★★★ trending ★★★★★

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Minnesota's 7th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic (DFL) Collin Peterson (incumbent)

Republican Michelle Fischbach

Grassroots Rae Hart Anderson

Legal Marijuana Now Slater Johnson

This is a 4-star race that is trending towards a 5. Democrat Collin Peterson who runs for the Democratic Farmer-Labor wing of the party (the folks who brought you Ilhan Omar in Minnesota’s 5th) is the chair of the Agriculture Committee in Congress and has tremendous name recognition in this farmland district. What he doesn’t have though is the support of a President who won the district in 2016, and is backing Republican Michelle Fischbach loud and clear. Michelle, former Lieutenant-Governor of Minnesota, is equally familiar to voters and is closing in on the incumbent. A nail-biter, no doubt.

Give to Democrat Collin: https://act.myngp.com/Forms/-2140327635745175808 Volunteer: https://www.petersonforcongress.com/volunteer

Give to Michelle: https://secure.winred.com/MichelleFischbach/website-donations Yard sign: https://fischbachforcongress.com/yard-sign/

Give or volunteer to Rae Hart: no link we could find

Give or volunteer for Slater: no picture or link we could find

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3.10 New Jersey In this traditionally blue state, there are conservative enclaves that account for the contested elections we list here.

3.10.1 NJ’s 3rd ★★★★★

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New Jersey's 3rd congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Andy Kim (incumbent)

Republican David Richter

Democrat Andy flipped this district two years ago as a virtual unknown, and polls for the rematch are showing a dead heat – a Blunami certifiable 5-star race.

Give to Democrat Andy: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/ak_wsite Volunteer: [email protected]

Give to Republican David: https://secure.winred.com/davidrichter/donate Volunteer: https://richter2020.com/volunteer/

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3.11 New Mexico The rise of LatinX power in New Mexico has benefited the Democratic Party, and the past few Presidential elections have gone blue here.

3.11.1 New Mexico’s 2nd ★★★★ trending ★★★★★

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New Mexico's 2nd congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate Votes %

Democratic Xochitl Torres Small (incumbent)

Republican Yvette Herrell

The second go-around for these two, as Democrat Xochitl unseated Republican Yvette in 2018 by a narrow margin and attempts to hold on to her freshman seat. This is a 4-star race that is trending towards a 5, as the two women appear to be in a virtual dead heat. President Trump won this district by 10 points in 2016. His handling of COVID and immigration issues are part of the heated debate.

Give to Democrat Xochitl: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/xochitl-torres-small Volunteer: https://www.xochforcongress.com/get-involved/

Give to Republican Yvette: https://secure.winred.com/yvetteherrell/donate Volunteer: https://www.yvetteherrell.com/take-action

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3.12 New York New York has its share of wealthy or rural conservative enclaves, and they are very much in play in 2020.

3.12.1 NY’s 22nd ★★★★★

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New York's 22nd congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Anthony Brindisi

Republican Claudia Tenney

Libertarian Keith Price (man in the middle)

In a now-familiar story, Democrat Anthony Brindisi rode the 2018 Blue Wave to flip this district by a narrow margin, and is locking horns again with Republican Claudia Tenney. Polling data is not abundant, but most analysts view this as a 5-star rematch, a race whose outcome will be uncertain until the last minute.

Give to Democrat Claudia: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/abfc2017 Volunteer: https://claudiaforcongress.com/get-involved/

Give to Republican Anthony: https://secure.winred.com/tenney-for-congress/donate Volunteer: https://brindisiforcongress.com/get-involved

Contact Keith Price: https://www.facebook.com/valkiroc/

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3.13 Ohio

Despite being a bellwether state, at least at the Presidential level, Ohio does not hold too many congressional surprises. Except in the 1st district.

3.13.1 Ohio’s 1st ★★★★★

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Ohio's 1st congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Steve Chabot (incumbent)

Democratic Kate Schroder

Libertarian Kevin David Kahn

What started out as a comfortable race for Republican incumbent Steve Chabot, who dodged the Blue Wave in 2018, is now turning into a living nightmare as Democrat Kate Schroder chips away at his lead. This has gone from a stale 2-star contest to a simmering 5-star toss-up.

Give to Democrat Kate: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/k4c-site Volunteer: https://www.mobilize.us/kateforcongress/

Give to Republican Steve: https://secure.winred.com/steve-chabot/donate Volunteer: https://stevechabot.com/volunteer/

Give to Libertarian David: https://kahn4congress.com/donate/ Volunteer: https://kahn4congress.com/get-involved/

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3.14 Oklahoma

You can’t get too much redder than Oklahoma: Republicans have won the last four Presidential elections by more than 30%. And yet, in a familiar demographic pattern for those who have been reading this document carefully, cities and surrounding suburbs continually experience population shifts that put them in play – and Oklahoma is no exception.

3.14.1 Oklahoma’s 5th ★★★★★

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Oklahoma's 5th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Kendra Horn (incumbent)

Republican Stephanie Bice

This is a red-hot, nail-biting, hair-raising 5-star race to the finish that replicates patterns across other red states: as part of the Blue Wave and the Great Suburb Uprising against President Trump in the 2018 mid- terms, Oklahoma’s 5th elected Democrat Kendra Horn by a sliver. Horn defeated two-term Republican congressman Steve Russell and ended more than 30 years of Republican control over the district, which encompasses rural areas in addition to Oklahoma City and suburbs. She’s fighting hard to keep her seat against former Oklahoma State Senator Stephanie Bice, a more moderate Republican.

Give to Democrat Kendra: https://secure.actblue.com/donate Volunteer: https://act.myngp.com/Forms/8686678487179594496

Give to Republican Stephanie: https://secure.winred.com/biceforcongress/website Volunteer: https://www.biceforcongress.com/volunteer/

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3.15 South Carolina South Carolina was one of the Red states that experienced the Blue Wave, and now recently flipped seats are in play.

3.15.1 SC’s district 1 ★★★★ trending ★★★★★

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South Carolina's 1st congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Joe Cunningham (incumbent)

Republican Nancy Mace

Does this story sound familiar? Democrat Joe Cunningham came in riding the 2018 Blue Wave with 50.6% of the vote, and will face an uphill battle hanging on to his seat. Tenacious Republican Nancy Mace, the first female graduate of the SC Citadel’s Corps of Cadets, is narrowing the funding gap which favors Joe Cunningham at the moment. This is a 4-star trending towards a 5.

Give to Democrat Joe: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/joe-general Volunteer: https://act.myngp.com/Forms/-5908362005221340416

Give to Republican Nancy: https://secure.winred.com/nancymace/donate Volunteer: https://nancymace.org/get-involved/

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3.16 Texas The populous Red state has seen demographic changes in recent years that are pushing it closer to center in some urban and suburban districts. So much so that the DNC is seriously beefing up its electoral efforts there.

3.16.1 Texas district 7 ★★★★ trending ★★★★★

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Texas's 7th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Lizzie Fletcher (incumbent)

Republican Wesley Hunt

Democrat Lizzie Fletcher rode the Blue Wave of 2018 into Congress, and won her district by a 2.5% advantage – after 60 years (!) of Republican domination. The highly-educated, fairly affluent district is now “purple” with a pinkish hue to it, and Fletcher’s re-election is less than guaranteed. Especially as the GOP bets millions of dollars on Republican Wesley Hunt’s high-profile candidacy. For now, it’s a 4-star contest – but it’s trending to a 5.

Give to Democrat Lizzie: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/fletcherforcongress Volunteer: https://www.lizziefletcher.com/volunteer

Give to Give to Republican Wesley: https://secure.winred.com/wesleyfortexas/donate Volunteer: https://wesleyfortexas.com/volunteer/

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3.16.2 Texas district 22 ★★★★★

Texas's 22nd congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Troy Nehls

Democratic Sri Preston Kulkarni

Republican Nehls and Democrat Kulkarni are both newcomers to this contest, the incumbent having resigned. Every serious poll in existence is calling this a toss-up, possibly because of both candidates’ lack of name recognition – a 5-star race.

Give to Democrat Sri Preston: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/sri-site Volunteer: https://sri2020.com/action/

Give to Republican Troy: https://secure.winred.com/troynehls/support Volunteer: https://www.nehlsforcongress.com/join-the-team

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3.16.3 Texas district 24 ★★★★★

Texas's 24th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Beth Van Duyne

Democratic Candace Valenzuela

And here’s the last of the Texas squeakers, pitting two relative unknowns after the incumbent stepped down, one endorsed by Donald Trump, the other by Barack Obama. Democrat Valenzuela is behind on fundraising: you can make a difference. This is a 5-star race.

Give to Democrat Candace: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/cd24 Volunteer: https://candacefor24.com/volunteer/

Give to Republican Beth: https://secure.winred.com/beth-van-duyne-for-congress/support-today Volunteer: https://bethfortexas.com/contact-us/

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4 Other Blunami-recommended Races requiring your attention 4.1 Arizona

Arizona has become one of those perennial swing states in the Presidential election, and not surprisingly, it usually has a few close congressional races.

4.1.1 Arizona District 1 ★★★

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Arizona's 1st congressional district, 2020 Party Candidate

Democratic Tom O'Halleran (incumbent)

Republican Tiffany Shedd

Democrat Tom O’Halleran has a reasonable but not necessarily comfortable victory margin. His Needs Index is 3 stars. He has been a champion of native rights and progressive causes in a state that has seen its share of birther issues and staunch Trump support.

Give to Democrat Tom: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/ohalleran Volunteering: https://www.mobilize.us/tomforcongress/

Give to Republican Tiffany: https://secure.winred.com/tiffany-shedd-for-congress/donate Volunteer: https://sheddforcongress.com/

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4.2 California Some surprises in the Golden, or rather the Deep Blue state, especially in the Central Valley and the OC.

4.2.1 California’s 39th district ★★★★

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California's 39th congressional district, 2020 General election

Democratic Gil Cisneros (incumbent)

Republican Young Kim

A 4-star race in an O.C. district that suddenly went to Hillary Clinton in 2016 and prompted Republican Young Kim to run, and lose narrowly in 2018 to Democrat Gil Cisneros. This time around, despite his funding advantage, Gil is in real danger of losing his seat.

Give to Democrat Gil: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/cisnerosweb2018 Volunteer: https://www.mobilize.us/cisnerosforcongress/

Give to Republican Young: https://secure.anedot.com/youngkimcd39/c9624a7de18cb394c814a Volunteer: https://www.youngkimforcongress.com/volunteer/

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4.2.2 California’s 25th district ★★★

California's 45th congressional district, 2020 General election

Katie Democratic Porter (incumbent)

Republican Greg Raths

Democrat Katie Porter flipped this seat in 2018 with, what else, money – and she may need more to keep it, although she has vastly outraised Republican Greg Raths in this traditional bastion of Republican redness. This is a 3-star race, because the odds favor Katie overall. You can help put her out of reach until 2022.

Give to Democrat Katie: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/wb-0820 Volunteer: https://katieporter.com/get-involved

Give to Republican Greg: https://secure.anedot.com/greg-raths-for-congress-d8ac9809-2d1a-463c-8bf0- 310798f12831/contribute Volunteer: https://gregraths.com/get-involved/

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4.2.3 California’s 48th ★★★

California District 48, 2020

Harley Rouda (incumbent) Democratic

Michelle Steel Republican

Another 3-star contest, with Democratic incumbent Harley Rouda facing off, in portions of the O.C., determined and well-known Republican Michelle Steel. They are not miles apart on issues, but how they vote in the House with President Trump in power is another matter …

Give to Democrat Rouda: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/stand-with-harley-rouda Volunteer: https://www.mobilize.us/harleyforcongress/

Give to Republican Steel: https://secure.winred.com/MichelleSteel/steel-website Volunteer: https://www.michellesteelca.com/get-involved/

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4.3 Colorado Colorado has been evidencing swing state tendencies due to shifting demographics.

4.3.1 Colorado’s 3rd (★★★ – heating up!)

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Colorado's 3rd congressional district, 2020 Party Candidate

Republican Lauren Boebert

Democratic Diane Mitsch Bush

Independent Robert Moser

This is a 3-star race that could become a 5-star squeaker in October. After young Republican hotshot Lauren Boebert, famous for her thigh holster, unseated the incumbent Scott Tipton in the Republican primary, she came … into the crosshairs of veteran and known quantity, Democrat Diane Bush. Bush previously lost to Tipton by 8 points but is now zeroing in on Boebert, and even leading in some polls.

Give to Democrat Diane: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/dmb-2020 Volunteer for her: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdDstB6Vfy3n03Tx0fXUKZH07IyHIhUvS0nqZyyShn3JASUng /viewform

Give to Republican Lauren: https://secure.anedot.com/lauren-boebert-for-congress/donate Volunteer: https://laurenforcolorado.com/contact

Robert: no identifiable web site.

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4.4 Florida

4.4.1 Florida’s 15th ★★★

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Florida's 15th congressional district, 2020 Party Candidate

Republican Scott Franklin

Democratic Alan Cohn

When Republican incumbent Spano was caught with his hand in the campaign funding violations cookie jar, Scott Franklin stepped up to the plate and went on to win the Republican nomination, creating a headache for Democrat Alan Cohn, a former investigative reporter.

Cohn trails in the polls and in funding, but when one considers history, the Republican advantage in this district has been shrinking steadily, and this seat is becoming flippable. With your help. A 3-star race.

Give to Democrat Alan: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/cohn-for-congress-website Volunteer: https://alancohnforcongress.com/volunteer.html

Give to Republican Scott: https://secure.winred.com/scott-franklin-for-congress/donate Volunteer: https://www.votescottfranklin.com/team

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4.5 Illinois Illinois has voted Democratic in the past 7 presidential elections. Its districts are mostly Democratic, but its stagnating population has cost it votes in the electoral college, which are census-driven, just like congressional districts. That said there are conservative enclaves in the state, and one race is contested.

4.5.1 Illinois’ 14th ★★★

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Illinois's 14th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Jim Oberweis

Democratic Lauren Underwood (incumbent)

A 3-star race between Democrat Lauren Underwood, nurse and youngest African-American incumbent in US history, who is campaigning on expanded health care and immigrant rights, and Republican businessman Jim Oberweis, whose mantras are from the Trump playbook. Polls and funding trends favor Lauren Underwood, but there seems to be a recent uptick in support for Oberweis.

Give to Democrat Lauren: https://secure.ngpvan.com/q1ZdHuMWGEa9yCm4mSl3VA2 Volunteer: https://underwoodforcongress.com/get-involved

Give to Republican Jim: https://jim2020.com/donate/ Volunteer: https://jim2020.com/get-involved/

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4.6 Iowa This is the state that brought us a Trump support stunner in 2016 (9.5% ahead of Hillary!), after being a Democratic safe haven for many cycles. Not surprisingly, three of the races here are closely contested.

4.6.1 Iowa’s 1st ★★★★

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Iowa's 1st congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Abby Finkenauer (incumbent)

Republican Ashley Hinson

This was a toss-up in April, but Democrat Abby Finkenauer seems to have taken a more decisive lead in this close race, which we’ve downgraded from a 5-star to a 4-star. That said, Republican Hinson continues to campaign tenaciously to portray Abby Finkenauer as a raving progressive who supports Nancy Pelosi’s socialist agenda. (Nancy Pelosi, a socialist, really?)

Give to Democrat Abby: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/AF-website-link Volunteer: https://secure.ngpvan.com/vK1Y0ilyYE-kNsPcARl8fw2

Give to Republican Ashley: https://secure.winred.com/ashleyhinson/donate Volunteer: https://ashleyhinson.com/volunteer/

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4.6.2 Iowa’s 3rd ★★★ trending ★★★★

Iowa's 3rd congressional district, 2020 Party Candidate

Democratic Cindy Axne (incumbent)

Republican David Young

Libertarian Bryan Jack Holder

Democrat Cindy Axne flipped this district in 2018, with a slight lead that remains slight today. The race is a 3-star favoring Axne, but the political sands are shifting quickly as we approach the deadline.

Give to Democrat Cindy: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/cindyaxneforcongress Volunteer: https://www.mobilize.us/axneforcongress/

Give to Republican David: https://secure.winred.com/davidyoung/donate Volunteer: https://youngforiowa.com/join-my-grassroots-team

Bryan Jack Holder: no identifiable web site.

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4.7 Michigan Michigan, despite being a fairly staunch Blue state, was notoriously flipped by Donald Trump in 2016. Political analysts are still wondering whether this upset signals a long-term trend or constitutes a blip in the state’s history. A few contests are too close to call and require your attention.

4.7.1 Michigan’s 3rd ★★★

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Michigan's 3rd congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Peter Meijer

Democratic Hillary Scholten

Will Democrat Hillary Scholten be the first Dem to represent this district in ages? This race has been upgraded from a 2-star favoring Republican Meijer to a 3-star as the gap narrows towards a potential tossup.

Give to Democrat Hillary: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/helphillary# Volunteer: https://go.hillaryscholten.com/page/s/SCH_Volunteer

Give to Republican Peter: https://secure.winred.com/peter-meijer/donate?amount=5 Volunteer: https://www.votemeijer.com/join-the-team

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4.7.2 Michigan’s 6th ★★ trending ★★★

Michigan's 6th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Fred Upton (incumbent)

Democratic Jon Hoadley

Republican Fred Upton is the … 18-time incumbent in this race and you must be wondering why it’s even listed here to begin with. That’s because this 2-star race is trending unfavorably for Upton and Democrat Hoadley is no stranger to an electoral fight, having narrowly won his primary. If there is another blue wave across the country (big if), it might well carry the district for Hoadley, with a little extra funding.

Give to Democrat Jon: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/website-form Volunteer: https://www.jonhoadley.com/joinus/

Give to Republican Fred: https://secure.winred.com/fred-upton/website_donation_2019 Volunteer: https://fredupton.com/join/

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4.7.3 Michigan’s 8th ★★★

Michigan's 8th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Elissa Slotkin (incumbent)

Republican Paul Junge

Democrat Elissa Slotkin, an alumna of the Obama administration, managed to flip this district by taking it from Mike Bishop in 2018, in a race that cost a record-breaking $28 million. Since, she’s amassed a considerable war chest. Republican Paul Junge, formerly of Fox News, is trailing her by several million, but not by many polling points. This is a 3-star race where the incumbent stands a reasonably good chance of keeping her seat, but Trump won the district in 2016: no guarantees.

Give to Democrat Elissa: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/slotkinforcongress Volunteer: https://elissaforcongress.com/#

Give to Republican Paul: https://secure.winred.com/PaulJunge/donate Volunteer: https://pauljunge.com/

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4.7.4 Michigan’s 11th ★★★

Michigan's 11th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Haley Stevens (incumbent)

Republican Eric Esshaki

This story is similar to Michigan’s 8th, Democrat Haley Stevens having taken it from Republican businesswoman Lena Epstein back in 2018. The Dems spent nearly 20 million dollars to win this race and are spending more to keep Haley Stevens in her seat. Republican Eric Esshaki is far behind in fundraising. The district is slightly less conservative than the 8th, so we are looking at 3-star race.

Give to Democrat Haley: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/hs_website Volunteer: https://go.haleystevensforcongress.com/page/s/STE_Website_2006_Volunteer

Give to Republican Eric: https://secure.winred.com/esshaki-for-congress/website-donate Volunteer: https://www.ericesshaki.com/

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4.8 Minnesota Ok, one electoral quirk in these turbulent Minnesota 2020 campaigns is the curious local push to legalize marijuana, with several fringe candidates making that their entire platform or a very big plank. Generally, the state is rural with left-leaning tendencies, and still, in 2016, Hillary only won by 1.5%. That explains the tight races listed here, with a real possibility that Republican candidates will benefit from a Trump halo effect. (Toxic in some other places, but not in the districts we cover here).

4.8.1 Minnesota’s 1st ★★

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Minnesota's 1st congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate Votes %

Republican Jim Hagedorn (incumbent)

Democratic (DFL) Dan Feehan

Grassroots Bill Rood

A nail-biter in 2018, with Republican Hagedorn edging out Democrat Dan Feehan by less than 0.5% of the vote, but the incumbent has by far the greater name recognition, despite their previous contested battle. While Hagedorn’s views are quite polarizing, Dan Feehan will have an uphill battle on his hands getting voters to even recognize his name, let alone agree with his proposed policies. This is a 2-star favoring Hagedorn, but if History repeats itself, it could turn into a close call.

Give to Democrat Dan: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/feehan-site Volunteer: https://www.mobilize.us/feehanforcongress/

Give to Republican Jim: https://secure.winred.com/jimhagedorn/donate Volunteer: https://www.jimhagedorn.org/signup/

Give to Bill: Bill doesn’t have a “Donate” button Volunteer: https://roodforcongress.com/contact-2/

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4.9 Missouri Missouri is the rare state that is trending ever more deeply conservative, and yet, in the 2nd district there’s a (slim) chance for Democrat Jill Schupp to unseat Republican incumbent Ann Wagner.

4.9.1 Missouri’s 2nd ★★ trending ★★★

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Missouri's 2nd congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate Votes %

Republican Ann Wagner (incumbent)

Democratic Jill Schupp

Libertarian Martin Schulte

Republican incumbent Ann Wagner won her seat by a respectable 4% margin in 2018, and this is Democrat Jill Schupp’s first effort to unseat her opponent. The polls are showing a tightening race, a comfortable 2-star initially, now trending towards a 3 or a 4.

Give to Democrat Jill: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/jswebsite Volunteer: https://www.jillschupp.com/volunteer

Give to Republican Ann: https://secure.winred.com/ann-wagner/donate Volunteer: https://annwagner.com/volunteer/

Volunteer for Libertarian Martin: https://www.martinvschulte.com/volunteer

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4.10 Montana ★★★★ Who would expect a tight Congressional contest in this dyed-in-the-wool red state that elected Donald Trump by a 20% margin? And yet, that’s we have here, a pattern continued in the Senate.

Montana's at-large congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Matt Rosendale

Democratic Kathleen Williams

This was going to be an easy win for Republican Matt Rosendale, who prides himself on President Trump’s full support. Until well-liked Democrat Kathleen Williams started picking up steam in the polls, taking this from a 2-star race to a 4-star, and creating a real chance of winning the seat for Dems in what would be a genuine upset.

Give to Democrat Kathleen: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/1904-web-kw Volunteer: https://kathleenformontana.com/get-involved/

Give to Republican Matt: https://secure.winred.com/MattRosendale/donate Volunteer: https://mattformontana.com/join-the-team/

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4.11 Nebraska The rural areas of Nebraska are as deeply red as can be, except for the 2nd district – which was won by President Trump in 2016 by 2% but is showing signs of wavering in the 2020 Congressional cycle.

4.11.1 Nebraska’s 2nd ★★★★

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Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Don Bacon (incumbent)

Democratic Kara Eastman

Libertarian Tyler Schaeffer

This is the second time Democrat Kara Eastman goes after Republican Don Bacon’s seat, after losing in 2018 by a surprisingly narrow 2%. And this, despite not being the DNC’s primary pick, and bringing progressive policies to the table that thew Dem Establishment doesn’t want to hear about in Nebraska … But voters do, and Kara has been garnering growing support, turning this race from a 3-star to a 4-star nail-biter. She’s short on cash however, and you can help her close the funding gap and stay in this tight race.

Give to Democrat Kara: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/eastmanforcongressweb Volunteer: https://www.eastmanforcongress.com/foryou

Give to Republican Don: https://secure.winred.com/donbacon/donate Volunteer: https://donjbacon.com/volunteer/

No site or pic for Tyler that we could find.

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4.12 New Jersey In this traditionally blue state, there are conservative enclaves that account for the contested elections we list here.

4.12.1 NJ’s 2nd ★★★★

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New Jersey's 2nd congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate Votes %

Republican Jeff Van Drew (incumbent)

Democratic Amy Kennedy

An uncharacteristically convoluted soap opera in NJ’s second: Jeff Van Drew, the incumbent, was elected as a Democrat, then announced in 2019 that he was switching to Republican in the wake of the attempt to impeach President Trump. And now vows undying allegiance to the President. The DNC rushed to fill the vacuum with hand-picked political science professor Brigid Callahan Harrison, but Democrat Amy Kennedy, Ted Kennedy’s daughter-in-law, came in as an outsider with stellar brand recognition and went on to handily defeat Harrison in the primary. This is now a 4-star race as the district has been souring on Jeff Van Drew’s performance and Shakespearian switcheroos.

Give to Democrat Amy: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/alk_web200106-launch Volunteer: https://secure.ngpvan.com/g7fbzuiEuUClS0ps87BAZA2

Give to Republican Jeff: https://secure.winred.com/van-drew-for-congress/donate Volunteer: No link

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4.12.2 NJ’s 7th ★★★★

New Jersey's 7th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate Votes %

Democratic Tom Malinowski (incumbent)

Republican Thomas Kean Jr.

Democrat Tom Malinowski flipped this district in 2018 by defeating 5-term incumbent Republican Leonard Lance. It’s unclear whether this somewhat conservative district’s mood is still sour on President Trump, and the race is a 4-star trending towards a 4.5 and possible toss-up as we near the election.

Give to Democrat Tom M.: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/tpmwb Volunteer: https://malinowskifornj.com/action/

Give to Republican Thomas: https://malinowskifornj.com/action/ Volunteer: https://tomkean.com/action/volunteer/

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4.13 New York New York has its share of wealthy or rural conservative enclaves, and they are very much in play in 2020.

4.13.1 NY’s 2nd ★★★★

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New York's 2nd congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Andrew Garbarino

Democratic Jackie Gordon

Green Harry Burger

Independent Daniel Craig Ross

After 14 terms, Republican Peter King is retiring. Garbarino is King’s protégé, while Democrat Gordon is endorsed by Barack Obama and Kamala Harris. This district will be hard to flip, but polls show that the race is tightening, standing now at a 4-star in favor of Republican Garbarino.

Give to Democrat Jackie: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/jackiegordonsite Volunteer: https://jackiegordonforcongress.com/get-involved

Give to Republican Andrew: https://secure.winred.com/garbarino-for-congress/donate/ Volunteer: https://www.garbarinoforny.com/volunteer/

Give or volunteer for Green Harry: https://burger4congress.com/

Give or volunteer for Independent Daniel: https://www2.democracyforamerica.com/endorsement_applicants/2210-daniel-ross-for-congress

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4.13.2 NY’s 24th ★★ trending ★★★

New York's 24th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

John Katko Republican

Democratic Dana Balter

Depending on whom you listen to, Democrat Dana Balter has no chance in this contest – or a very good one to unseat Republican John Katko. We’re rating this as a 2-star at the moment, based on aging polling data, and the race may well be trending much narrower as weeks pass. Keep an eye on this one.

Give to Democrat Dana: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/balter-website Volunteer: https://electdanabalter.com/events/

Give to Republican John: https://secure.anedot.com/katko-for-congress/katko-website-donate Volunteer: https://www.johnkatkoforcongress.com/volunteer-form/

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4.14 Pennsylvania One of the new so-called “perennial” swing states, and such home to its share of surprising outcomes. 2020 will be no different.

4.14.1 Pennsylvania’s District 1 ★★★

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Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent)

Democratic Christina Finello

Republican Brian Fitzpatrick is certainly an outlier, a self-styled independent thinker and moderate Republican who survived the 2018 Blue Wave – not by much, but with enough of a margin to now face Democrat Christina Finello and potentially gain a third consecutive term. He will be hard to unseat, which makes this a 3-star race.

Give to Democrat Christina: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/christina-finello-web Volunteer: https://secure.ngpvan.com/vwn4HYPMk02DtfYw78gVaw2

Give to Republican Brian: https://secure.winred.com/brian-fitzpatrick-for-congress/donate Volunteer: https://www.brianfitzpatrick.com/volunteer/

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4.14.2 Pennsylvania district 8 ★★★

Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district, 2020 Party Candidate

Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent)

Republican Jim Bognet

This district was flipped by 10% by President Trump in 2016 (from a 12% Obama advantage), but this doesn’t seem to have harmed Democratic incumbent Matt Cartwright’s chances as he fends off Republican Jim Bognet, a Trump protégé. A 3-star race.

Give to Democrat Matt: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/mattcartwright Volunteer: https://www.mobilize.us/cartwrightforcongress/

Give to Republican Jim: https://secure.winred.com/bognet-for-congress/donate Volunteer: https://www.bognetforcongress.com/

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4.14.3 Pennsylvania district ★★★ trending ★★★★

Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Scott Perry (incumbent)

Democratic Eugene DePasquale

Republican Scott Perry is a member of the Freedom Caucus who represents a district recently redrawn by the State Supreme Court, and whose message may now be less on point than it was in his previous race. He still has an incumbent advantage over Democrat Eugene DePasquale but the race is heating up from a 3 to a 4-star contest.

Give to Democrat Eugene: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/depasquale-for-pa-1 Volunteer: https://eugeneforcongress.com/take-action/

Give to Republican Scott: https://secure.winred.com/ScottPerry/donate Volunteer: https://patriotsforperry.com/volunteer/

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4.15 Texas The populous Red state has seen demographic changes in recent years that are pushing it closer to center in some urban and suburban districts. So much so that the DNC is seriously beefing up its electoral efforts there.

4.15.1 Texas District 21 ★★★ trending ★★★★

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Texas's 21st congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Chip Roy (incumbent)

Democratic Wendy Davis

Beside Democrat Mike Siegel running for the second time in Texas 10th, Wendy Davis is probably one of the most progressive Democrats to run in Texas – and she has outraised Republican incumbent Chip Roy so far; and may well be closing in on him. This is a 3-star trending towards a 4.

Give to Democrat Wendy: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/dav_website Volunteer: https://www.mobilize.us/wendydavisforcongress/

Chip in for Republican Chip: https://chiproy.com/donate/ Volunteer: https://chiproy.com/engage/

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4.15.2 Texas district 23 ★★★★

Texas's 23rd congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Republican Tony Gonzales

Democratic Gina Ortiz Jones

Now here’s an intriguing contest between two relative newcomers. After Republican incumbent Will Hurd resigned, a fierce primary ensued which Gonzalez won by … 0.01% of the vote, despite receiving President Trump’s endorsement. Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones has a serious cash advantage, and a reasonably good chance of flipping the district, which went to Hillary Clinton in 2016. 4 stars.

Give to Democrat Gina: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/ginaortizjones Volunteer: https://www.mobilize.us/ginaortizjonesforcongress/

Give to Republican Tony: https://secure.winred.com/tony-gonzales/donate Volunteer: https://tonygonzalesforcongress.com/volunteer/

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4.16 Utah Utah is yet another case of a red state having had a blue hiccup in 2018 – and one of its four districts is in real play.

4.16.1 Utah District 4 ★★★★

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Utah's 4th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Ben McAdams (incumbent)

Republican Burgess Owens

Democrat Ben MacAdams was a Blue wave baby in 2018, and is now facing, on the Republican side, football great and Fox-news fixture Burgess Owens, a well-known and well-liked conservative who is trying his hand at politics. A 4-star race, with a slight advantage to McAdams.

Give to Democrat Ben: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/support-mcadams Volunteer: https://www.benmcadams.com/volunteer/

Give to Republican Burgess: https://secure.winred.com/BurgessOwens/donate Volunteer: https://www.burgess4utah.com/home#join-us

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4.17 Virginia You can expect tight races from a swing state, and Virginia delivers.

4.17.1 Virginia’s district 2 ★★★★

Blunami Election Recommendations, 2020 – share widely!

Virginia's 2nd congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Elaine Luria (incumbent)

Republican Scott Taylor

This is a rematch, folks, between a former Navy SEAL (Republican Taylor), and a Navy veteran (Democrat Luria) and has reached a fever-pitch of acrimony. Luria won the previous contest after it was discovered that the Taylor team had forged signatures to place and independent on the ballot and siphon votes away from Luria. Taylor denies any wrongdoing. This is a 4-star race.

Give to Democrat Elaine: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/luriawebsite20 Volunteer: https://elaineforcongress.com/volunteer

Give to Republican Scott: https://secure.winred.com/scotttaylor/donate Volunteer: https://www.scotttaylor2020.com/volunteer

4.17.2 Virginia District 7 ★★★★

Blunami Election Recommendations, 2020 – share widely!

Virginia's 7th congressional district, 2020

Party Candidate

Democratic Abigail Spanberger (incumbent)

Republican Nick Freitas

Democratic incumbent Abigail Spanberger managed to defeat Republican incumbent Dave Brat in 2018, in a district that Donald Trump carried by 6% in 2016. Now she’s facing former Green Beret Nick Freitas, a Republican rising star campaigning on protecting Virginia from the Democratic Socialist agenda. (America under siege from socialism is a Trump trope now popular in the Conservative Congress). While Spanberger has the funding advantage, her lead is shrinking in the polls. A 4-star race.

Give to Democrat Abigail: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/spanberger_website Volunteer: https://abigailspanberger.com/volunteer/

Give to Republican Nick: https://secure.winred.com/nick-freitas-for-congress/donate Volunteer: https://www.nickforva.com/landing/volunteer/