Southern Africa: Floods Situation Report No. 3 (as of 31 January 2013)

This report is produced by OCHA Regional Office for Southern Africa (ROSA) in collaboration with humanitarian partners. It was issued by OCHA ROSA. It covers the period from 30 to 31 January 2013. The next report will be issued on or around 04 February 2013. Highlights

 Tropical Cyclone Felleng continues to move south, parallel to the eastern coast of Madagascar. Heavy rainfall and strong winds are being reported in affected areas.  New floods in northern and central Mozambique have killed 7 people and temporarily displaced 19,000, bringing the national death toll to at least 55 people with 169,000 people temporarily displaced.  Floods in Seychelles have caused an estimated US$ 9.27 million in damages, with 400 households affected.  The upper Zambezi River in northern Namibia is rising rapidly, and is forecasted to reach critical levels in two weeks. Situation Overview

While the flood response in southern Mozambique is continuing, new cases of flooding are being reported in northern Mozambique. Tropical Cyclone Felleng is Source: OCHA ROSA moving parallel to the eastern coast of Madagascar, and The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. while not projected to make landfall, flooding is still expected. River levels are also high across the region and rising rapidly.

Madagascar Tropical Cyclone Felleng bringing heavy rainfall to the east coast

 As at 0600 GMT on 31 January, Felleng is Tropical Cyclone Felleng: 5-day trajectory classified as a Category Three Intense Tropical Cyclone after it lost some strength over the past 24 hours. Felleng is about 200 km off the east coast of Madagascar and continues to move south, as projected.  While not making landfall, Felleng will continue to bring strong winds and heavy rains to much of eastern Madagascar (see map in annex). A warning issued by the National Bureau of Risk and Disaster Management (BNGRC) late on 30 January 2013 lists a number of areas on the eastern coast as in imminent danger. Significant rainfall has already been recorded.  Preliminary information received from the field indicates no major damage in the north-east, but dozen of households living in low lying areas Source: GDACS were evacuated last night in Nosy Varika and temporarily sheltered in a school.

www.unocha.org The mission of the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) is to mobilize and coordinate effective and principled humanitarian action in partnership with national and international actors. Coordination Saves Lives OCHA ROSA Floods Situation Report No. 3 | 2

 The capital Antananarivo is of particular concern as it is currently being impacted by two storm systems: Intense Tropical Cyclone Felling to the east, and a low pressure system located in the Mozambique Channel to the west, currently bringing heavy rains to the northern and central regions of both Mozambique and Madagascar. Preliminary assessments of the situation in Antananarivo indicate that around 650 people have already been displaced to temporary shelters.  In response, BNGRC has deployed two teams to support coordination in some of the most at-risk areas. Districts are providing real-time information on the situation on the ground and warnings continue to be broadcasted. Two helicopters (one from CARE and another from the mining company Ambatovy) are on standby, to be dispatched to the north-east and central-east part of the country respectively, for any aerial assessments that may be needed. Tents have also been set up in Antananarivo in case of flooding and displacement, and levies and river levels are being monitored. All schools in the capital have been closed for 31 January 2013, as has schools in two regions on the east coast, primarily as a precautionary measure.  A coordination meeting has been scheduled of specialists in aerial reconnaissance and assessment on 31 January, as well as a meeting of the Platform for Humanitarian Stakeholders (CRIC) on 1 February at the offices of BNGRC.

Mozambique New floods in northern Mozambique  Heavy rains over northern and central Mozambique have led to fresh floods that have killed 7 people and temporarily displaced 19,000 people in the provinces of Zambezia and Nampula. This is in addition to the 48 people killed and 150,000 people temporarily displaced by floods in southern Mozambique over the past two weeks, bringing the national death toll from floods to at least 55 people (to be confirmed), with an estimated 169,000 people temporarily displaced.  These new floods are being caused by heavy rains brought by a low pressure system located in the Mozambique Channel, which is also affecting north and central Madagascar.  National authorities have requested sector leads to strengthen their support to provincial Emergency Operation Centers (COE) in the provinces of Zambezia, Cabo Delgado and Niassa.  As more rains over northern Mozambique is expected over the next few days, the situation requires close monitoring.  Mozambique, in dealing with the floods in the south, is already stretched to capacity, therefore additional flooding in the north could have serious humanitarian implications.

Flood response continues in the south  The distribution of food and relief supplies by Government and partners in the flood affected areas in southern Mozambique are ongoing. 169,000  Due to high number of people in temporary shelters, the Disaster Management people temporarily Technical Council (CTGC) has recommended the strengthening of protections displaced by floods in measures in all shelters in Gaza Province. Mozambique  While flood waters are receding, many rivers in the south continue to fluctuate above alert levels.

Resource mobilization underway  The Humanitarian Country Team (HCT), in support of Government, is finalizing a Response and Recovery Proposal, which will provide an analysis of the situation, as well as the resources required. This proposal will be used to mobilize the required resources.  The HCT has also submitted an application to the Central Emergency Response Fund (CERF) in order to cover immediate life-saving activities.

Seychelles Floods cause severe damage  According to a preliminary report, floods in Seychelles have caused an estimated US$ 9.27 million in damages.  This includes damage to roads, bridges, schools and sanitation infrastructure, as well as loss of crops and livestock.

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) Coordination Saves Lives | www.unocha.org OCHA ROSA Floods Situation Report No. 3 | 3

 Fortunately, no lives have been lost; however, an estimated 400 households have been affected, some of whom are staying in relocation centers.  With the support for the Red Cross, the Government is providing food and relief $ 9.3 million supplies to those affected. damage caused by  The Government has reiterated its appeal for international support in dealing with the floods in Seychelles floods, specifically in early recovery.

Malawi New reports of flooding in the south  Reports of fresh flooding in the southern Malawi have been received, due to three days of continuous rainfall. While no information on the extent of the impact is available, some of the areas had already experienced serious floods earlier in January when an estimated 30,785 people were affected.

Namibia Upper Zambezi River continues to rise  The upper Zambezi River, which flows through the Caprivi Strip in north-east Namibia, continues to rise rapidly, although some slowdown has been recorded the past 24 hours. According to the Namibia Hydrological Services, the Zambezi River at Katima Mulilo rose an astounding 1.69 m in one week, and is forecasted to reach the normal maximum level of 5.5 m by 10 February. This is a level usually only reached in April, indicating that flood conditions could worsen as much of the rainfall season is still ahead of us. According to local media reports, the rapid rise in the level of the river has already washed away many roads, leaving thousands of people, including school-going children, cut off from accessing vital services. A water level of 3.5 m to 4 m is an annual occurrence and communities living in these areas are used to this pattern and usually move to higher ground that is often isolated once this level is reached. Flooding of the higher ground can only occur when the levels exceed 6 m to 7 m, which could potentially lead to a humanitarian situation.

Water Level of the Zambezi River at Katima Mulilo in Northern Namibia: Maximum for 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012; as Well as Level at 30 January 2013 8

7

6

5

4 waterlevel (m) waterlevel 3

2

1 2009 2010 2011 2012 normal maximum high maximum very high maximum 2013 0 1-Jan 21-Jan 10-Feb 1-Mar 21-Mar 10-Apr 30-Apr 20-May

Source: Namibia Hydrological Services

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) Coordination Saves Lives | www.unocha.org OCHA ROSA Floods Situation Report No. 3 | 4

Forecast

The low pressure system in the Rainfall forecast (total weekly) Mozambique Channel will continue 31 Jan – 07 Feb 08 – 16 Feb bringing heavy rains to the northern and central regions of both Mozambique and Madagascar over the next week. Tropical Cyclone Felleng will also bring heavy rains to the entire eastern coast of Madagascar. Significant rainfall is also forecasted for central South Africa, including Lesotho, as well as much of Zambia and Malawi. The following week (07 to 15 February), rain is again expected over southern Mozambique, which may again increase water levels, as well as over Malawi and central Madagascar. Also of concern is the forecasted heavy Source: wxmaps.org rainfall over south-central Angola, which could lead to increased water flow into an already high Upper Zambezi River.

For further information, please contact: Ignacio Leon-Garcia, Head of Office, OCHA ROSA, [email protected], Tel. (+27) 82 908 1338 Hein Zeelie, Reports Officer, OCHA ROSA, [email protected], Tel. (+27) 82 908 1441

For more information, please visit www.unocha.org/rosa | www.unocha.org | www.reliefweb.int To be added or deleted from this Sit Rep mailing list, please e-mail: [email protected]

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) Coordination Saves Lives | www.unocha.org MADAGASCAR PLANNING AND REFERENCE MAP Jan 2013

PREPOSITIONED STOCKS ACCUMULATED RAINFALL IN MILLIMIETERS PER TOWN Legend 24-Jan 25-Jan 26-Jan 27-Jan 28-Jan 29-Jan HABITAT Plastic Kit Water treat Water Regions Tents Food KITS Sheeting wash unit purification ^ Capital MANANJARY SAVA 4,800 10,050 6,690 17,385 5,500 0 0 ANTANANARIVO District Boundaries Analanjirofo 1,500 0 10,000 17,000 40,000 10,000 0 AMBATONDRAZAKA Atsinanana 500 0 100,000 46,000 55 25,000 3,375 Expected Felleng Storm Path ANTSIRABE Vatovavy Fitovinany 2,500 0 0 17,000 0 0 0 TAOLAGNARO Expected Storm Area

TOAMASINA Total 9,300 10,050 116,690 97,385 45,555 35,000 3,375

FARAFANGANA Expected To Be Affected Population FIANARANTSOA Antsiranana I 0 - 20,000 STE MARIE Modelled Wind Field at 24 Hours Antsiranana II 20,001 - 30,000 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0 200.0 CATEGORY 3 (178 - 208 km/h) 30,001 - 55,000 CATEGORY 2 (154 - 177km/h) 55,001 - 72,500 CATEGORY 1 (119 - 153 km/h) Nosy-Be

Ambilobe Vohemar TROPICAL STORM (63 - 118 km/h) TROPICAL DEPRESSION (< 63km/h) Ambanja

ESTIMATED TOTAL Sambava Analalava POPULATION &

Bealanana Andapa COORDINATES ------

Antsohihy MANANARA NORD = 127,886 Befandriana Nord Indian Center Coordinates are: Antalaha Maroantsetra 49 degrees, 45 minutes 28.04 Ocean seconds EAST Mahajanga II Mozambique Mahajanga I Port-Berge (Boriziny-Vaovao) 16 degrees 10 minutes 13.8 Channel seconds SOUTH Mitsinjo Mandritsara Marovoay Mampikony Mananara-Avaratra ------Soalala NOSY - VARIKA = 215,012

Ambato Boeni Center Coordinates are: Andilamena Soanierana Ivongo Sainte Marie 48 degrees, 31 minutes 51 seconds EAST Tsaratanana Fenerive Est Maevatanana 20 degrees 34 minutes 50 Amparafaravola Kandreho seconds SOUTH Vavatenina

Maintirano Ambatomainty ------Ankazobe Anjozorobe Ambatondrazaka Toamasina II ANTANANARIVO > 1,000,000 Toamasina I THE COORDINATES FOR THE Fenoarivobe MADAGASCAR CENTER OF THE YELLOW

Brickaville BOX ARE Ambohidratrimo Tsiroanomandidy ManjakandrianaMoramanga Miarinarivo Antanan^arivo Avaradrano 18 degrees 54 minutes 57.76 Antananarivo Atsimondrano Miandrivazo Arivonimamo seconds SOUTH Soavinandriana Andramasina Vatomandry 47 degrees 31 minutes 23.35 Faratsiho Ambatolampy Anosibe-An'ala Antanambao Manampontsy seconds EAST Mandoto Belo Sur Tsiribihina Antanifotsy Antsirabe I Antsirabe II Betafo Marolambo Mahanoro Fandriana Map ID: ROSA260v02 Ambatofinandrahana Morondava Nosy-Varika Mahabo Ambositra Manandriana Creation Date: 29 January 2013 Projection/Datum: WGS84 Geographic Ambohimahasoa Web Resources: http://www.unocha.org/rosa Ifanadiana Mananjary Nominal Scale at A4 paper size: 1:6,000,000 Ikalamavony Isandra Manja Lalangina Beroroha Fianarantsoa I 0 50 100 200 Vohibato Km

Ambalavao Ikongo Manakara Atsimo Morombe Map data source(s): Ankazoabo BNGRC, OCHA, LANDSCAN 2010, NASA, UCL, TSR, NOAA Ihosy Vohipeno Ivohibe Disclaimers: Vondrozo The designations employed and the presentation Farafangana of material on this map do not imply the Sakaraha expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations Iakora Toliara II concerning the legal status of any country, Toliary I Betroka Midongy-Atsimo Benenitra Vangaindrano territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or Betioky Atsimo boundaries.

Befotaka

Bekily Map Locator Amboasary-Atsimo

Ampanihy Ouest Taolagnaro

Ambovombe-Androy Beloha

Tsihombe MOZAMBIQUE: Flood Affected Provinces from 12 to 31 January 2013

UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA

a vum Ru

Lake Malawi Cabo Delgado ZAMBIA Niassa

MALAWI MOZAMBIQUE

Lake Malombe Nampula

e r i h Tete S Lake Chilwa Zambezia & Nampula Cahora Bassa Dam 7 Deaths 19,000 Displaced

Zambezia Z a m b e z i Manica 1 death

Sofala Pu ng w1e35 Displaced Mozambique Channel ZIMBABWE

Buzi

e Sav

BOTSWANA Gaza 55 Deaths 38 Deaths Inhambane 140,591 Displaced 154 Displaced 169,000 Temporarily Displaced People L im p o p Guija o Chokwe .! Maputo Name of province SOUTH AFRICA .! In Xai-Xai Zambezia com ati I Maputo City nc om a 5 Deaths 100 Deaths Total number of deaths per province ti ^ 5,222 Displaced Maputo 100 Displaced Total of affected population that is SWAZILAND temporarily displaced

INDIAN OCEAN

Creation Date: 31 January 2013 Number of People Displaced by Province: Map ID: ROSA_252V02 0 - 400 Sources: GAUL, UNCS, WFP and Humanitarian Partners 401 - 2,000 Feedback: http://ochaonline.un.org/rosa Cartography by: UN OCHA ROSA 2,001 - 5,000 The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply 0 50 5,001 - 16,000 official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. km 16,001 - 140,591 Seychelles FLOOD AFFECTED AREAS

Curieuse Grande Soeur

Ile Cocos Praslin Cousin Felicite Marianne Cousine La Digue

North Island

Silhouette

INDIAN OCEAN

Glacis Fregate Anse Etoile Ste Anne Beau Vallon Seche St Louis Moyenne Belombre Mont FleuriCerf Island Bel AirLes Mamelles Port Glaud PlaisanceRoche Caiman Conception Ile Aux Rat Therese CascadePointe Larue Grand Anse MaheAnse Aux Pins

Anse BoileauAu Cap

Anse Royale Baie Lazare

Takamaka

Creation date: 31January 2013 Map ID: ROSA_250V01 Legend Capital Sources: UNHCR, FEWSNet, UNICEF, WFP, FAO, OCHA, UNDP, GAUL, UNCS, FTS, SADC 0 3 6 12 Road Feedback:[email protected] Cartography by: OCHA ROSA Coast line The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. ± Kilometers International Boundary Administrative Boundary Level 1