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Zaporizhzhia Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Zaporizhzhia Wave 1: May 11-28, 2019 Wave 2: August 10-30, 2019 Methodology • Both waves of this poll were conducted by Rating Group Ukraine on behalf of the International Republican Institute’s Center for Insights in Survey Research. • Both waves of this poll were conducted in Zaporizhzhia through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes May 11-28, 2019 (wave 1) and August 10-30, 2019 (wave 2) • Both waves’ samples consisted of 1,200 residents of Zaporizhzhia aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. Samples are representative of the general population by gender and age. • Both waves have a margin of error of ± 2.8 points. The response rate for wave one was 61.4%. The response for wave two was 60.5%. • The distribution of the population by region of the city is based on statistical data from the Central Election Commission from the 2014 parliamentary elections, which divided the city into electoral districts. • A multistage probability sampling method was used with the random route and last birthday methods for respondent selection. • Both waves’ samples are weighted to the distribution of Zaporizhzhia’s population by gender and age in accordance with data from the State Statistics Committee of Ukraine from January 1, 2018. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • Cited bases are weighted. • The survey was funded by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). 2 Frequently Cited Disaggregates Disaggregation Disaggregate May 2019 Base August 2019 Base Category Age 18-35 n=357 n=358 36-50 n=315 n=314 51+ n=528 n=528 Sex Male n=526 n=526 Female n=674 n=674 Income (6,5,4) Secure Income n=167 n=138 (3) Adequate Income n=285 n=320 (2) Subsistence Income n=446 n=500 (1) Food Insecure Income n=300 n=238 Oct. 2019 Elections Likely Voters - n=985 Note: Income descriptions are shortened response descriptions for the question “What can you say about the financial situation of your family?” - (6) I can buy anything at any time. - (5) We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensive purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a car or an apartment. - (4) We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and other purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing more expensive things (e.g., appliances). - (3) We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner. - (2) We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow money for buying clothes and shoes. - (1) We need to save money for food. - Difficult to answer/no answer 3 Moods and Attitudes Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction? August 2019 39% 30% 30% May 2019 34% 49% 17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer/No answer 5 Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Age 18-35 54% 26% 21% 36-50 40% 30% 30% 51+ 29% 34% 37% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer/No answer 6 Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Income Secure Income 56% 29% 16% Adequate Income 40% 33% 27% Subsistence Income 37% 27% 36% Food Insecure Income 33% 35% 31% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer/No answer 7 Generally speaking, do you think that things in Zaporizhzhia are going in the right direction or wrong direction? August 2019 44% 34% 23% May 2019 54% 30% 16% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer/No answer 8 Generally speaking, do you think that things in Zaporizhzhia are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Age 18-35 47% 32% 21% 36-50 40% 39% 20% 51+ 44% 31% 25% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer/No answer 9 Generally speaking, do you think that things in Zaporizhzhia are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Income Secure Income 45% 45% 9% Adequate Income 47% 32% 20% Subsistence Income 42% 32% 26% Food Insecure Income 43% 32% 25% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer/No answer 10 Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Ukraine changed? August 2019 <1% 13% 34% 33% 9% 10% May 2019 <1% 10% 20% 46% 20% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Difficult to answer/No answer 11 Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation of your household changed? August 2019 <1% 12% 40% 30% 10% 7% May 2019 <1% 14% 30% 32% 22% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Difficult to answer/No answer 12 In the next 12 months, how do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine to change? August 2019 3% 35% 16% 13% 5% 28% May 2019 3% 41% 18% 8% 4% 27% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Difficult to answer/No answer 13 Do you approve or disapprove the activities of the newly elected President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy? August 2019 31% 35% 10% 7% 17% May 2019 19% 27% 6% 6% 42% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer/No answer 14 Local Elections Do you support or oppose the idea of dissolving local councils and conducting early local elections in October of this year? Definitely support 12% Somewhat support 5% 30% Somewhat oppose 11% Definitely oppose 12% Don't care 30% Don't know/No answer 16 If early local elections are held in October 2019, do you intend to vote? Definitely yes 7% 6% Somewhat yes 5% Somewhat no 50% Definitely no 32% Difficult to answer/No answer 17 In your opinion, which is the best age for being a ... … city mayor? <1% 11% 60% 23% 4% 2% … city councilmember? <1% 18% 60% 14% 5% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 18-25 26-35 36-45 46 and older Don't care Don't know / No answer 18 In your opinion, which is the best age for a city mayor? Age 18-35 1% 21% 62% 11% 3% 2% 36-50 <1% 7% 65% 22% 5%2% 51+ <1% 6% 55% 32% 5% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 18-25 26-35 36-45 46 and older Don't care Don't know / No answer 19 In your opinion, which is the best age for a city mayor? Income Secure Income <1% 12% 63% 18% 4% 2% Adequate Income <1% 11% 61% 20% 3% 4% Subsistence Income <1% 11% 60% 23% 5% 1% Food Insecure Income 1% 8% 55% 31% 5% <1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 18-25 26-35 36-45 46 and older Don't care Don't know/No answer 20 In your opinion, which is the best age for being a city councilmember? Age 18-35 2% 29% 57% 6% 4% 2% 36-50 <1% 11% 67% 15% 5% 2% 51+ <1% 14% 59% 19% 5% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 18-25 26-35 36-45 46 and older Don't care Don't know / No answer 21 In your opinion, which is the best age for being a city councilmember? Income Secure Income <1% 20% 66% 8% 4% 1% Adequate Income <1% 19% 62% 11% 4% 4% Subsistence Income <1% 17% 60% 14% 6% 2% Food Insecure Income <1% 16% 57% 21% 5% <1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 18-25 26-35 36-45 46 and older Don't care Don't know / No answer 22 Assessment of the Quality of Public Goods and Services How would you rate the quality of each of the following services and/or public goods that are available in Zaporizhzhia? Street lighting 4% 48% 32% 11% 4% 2% Heating 2% 43% 27% 17% 8% 4% Transportation infrastructure/Public transport 5% 39% 30% 15% 7% 4% Water supply 2% 40% 35% 15% 4% 3% Trash collection 2% 39% 35% 15% 6% 2% Public parks and gardens 4% 28% 47% 11% 4% 6% Street markets and trade premises 5% 27% 46% 13% 4% 6% Sewage 1% 23% 42% 19% 10% 5% Culture premises (concert halls, libraries, etc.) 3% 21% 43% 13% 3% 18% Schools 2% 22% 45% 11% 3% 17% Yards and areas near buildings 1% 22% 40% 25% 10% 2% Universities, technical institutes, colleges 2% 21% 46% 9% 3% 20% Sport facilities (stadiums, sport clubs, etc.) 2% 19% 39% 20% 4% 15% Kindergartens 2% 20% 43% 14% 3% 18% Police activities 2% 14% 30% 27% 13% 14% Environment <1% 11% 19% 38% 30% 2% Parking 1% 10% 22% 33% 22% 12% Medical institutions 1% 10% 31% 34% 17% 7% Sidewalks 1% 9% 44% 28% 16% 2% Roads <1% 8% 23% 36% 30% 2% Industrial zones/Industrial development 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% Accessibility for persons with disabilities <1% 4% 14% 24% 50% 7% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer/No answer 24 How would you rate the quality of each of the following services and/or public goods that are available in Zaporizhzhia? Street lighting 5% 32% 34% 20% 5% 5% Water supply 3% 30% 33% 27% 6% 2% Transportation infrastructure/Public transport 4% 28% 34% 23% 7% 4% Heating 3% 24% 34% 25% 7% 8% Public parks and gardens 3% 23% 38% 23% 4% 10% Garbage collection 3% 22% 41% 25% 8% 1% Street markets and trade premises 3% 20% 38% 23% 5% 11% Culture premises (concert halls, libraries, etc.) 1% 19% 35% 20% 3% 23% Schools 1% 16% 39% 17% 4% 22% Kindergartens 1% 16% 37% 17% 4% 24% Universities, technical institutes, colleges 2% 16% 37% 17% 3% 25% Sewage 1% 15% 33% 25% 9% 16% Sport facilities (stadiums, sport clubs,
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