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Housing Needs Assessment Rollesby Housing Needs Assessment (HNA) MAY 2019 AECOM 2 Quality information Prepared by Checked by Approved by Paul Avery Jesse Honey Jesse Honey Housing Research Consultant Associate Director Associate Director Revision History Revision Revision date Details Authorized Name Position 1 April 2019 Draft PA Paul Avery Housing Research Consultant 2 April 2019 Technical review PA Jesse Honey Associate Director 3 April 2019 Group review PA Paul Avery Housing Research Consultant 4 May 2019 Locality review PA Paul Avery Housing Research Consultant 5 May 2019 Final version OA Paul Avery Housing Research Consultant AECOM 3 Prepared for: Rollesby Neighbourhood Group, a committee formed of Rollesby Parish Council and local residents Prepared by: AECOM Aldgate Tower 2 Leman Street London E1 8FA aecom.com Disclaimer This document is intended to aid the preparation of the Neighbourhood Plan, and can be used to guide decision making and as evidence to support Plan policies, if the Qualifying Body (QB) so chooses. It is not a Neighbourhood Plan policy document. It is a ‘snapshot’ in time and may become superseded by more recent information. The Neighbourhood Group is not bound to accept its conclusions. If any party can demonstrate that any of the evidence presented herein is inaccurate or out of date, such evidence can be presented to the Neighbourhood Group at the consultation stage. Where evidence from elsewhere conflicts with this report, the QB should decide what policy position to take in the Neighbourhood Plan and that judgement should be documented so that it can be defended at the Examination stage. © 2019 AECOM. All Rights Reserved. This document has been prepared by AECOM Limited (“AECOM”) in accordance with its contract with Locality (the “Client”) and in accordance with generally accepted consultancy principles, the budget for fees and the terms of reference agreed between AECOM and the Client. Any information provided by third parties and referred to herein has not been checked or verified by AECOM, unless otherwise expressly stated in the document. AECOM shall have no liability to any third party that makes use of or relies upon this document. AECOM 4 Table of Contents 1. Executive summary ....................................................................................................................................... 6 2. Context .......................................................................................................................................................... 7 2.1 Local context ...................................................................................................................................... 7 2.2 Planning policy context ...................................................................................................................... 7 2.2.1 Local Plan Part 1: Core Strategy ....................................................................................................... 8 2.2.2 Draft Local Plan Part 2: Development Management Policies and Site Allocations ............................ 8 3. Approach ....................................................................................................................................................... 9 3.1 The Neighbourhood Plan period ........................................................................................................ 9 3.2 Research Questions .......................................................................................................................... 9 3.2.1 Quantity .............................................................................................................................................. 9 3.2.2 Type and size ..................................................................................................................................... 9 3.3 Relevant data ..................................................................................................................................... 9 3.3.1 The Local Authority evidence base .................................................................................................... 9 3.3.2 Other relevant data .......................................................................................................................... 10 4. RQ 1 Quantity .............................................................................................................................................. 11 4.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 11 4.2 Standard method (step 1) ................................................................................................................ 12 4.3 Latest LA planning strategy (step 2) ................................................................................................ 13 4.4 Past dwelling completions and commitments (step 3) ..................................................................... 15 4.5 Final HNF and the Local Authority (step 4) ...................................................................................... 15 5. RQ 2. Type and size .................................................................................................................................... 16 5.1 Background and definitions .............................................................................................................. 16 5.2 Existing types and sizes ................................................................................................................... 17 5.3 Household composition and age structure ....................................................................................... 18 5.3.1 Current household composition ....................................................................................................... 18 5.3.2 Household age bands ...................................................................................................................... 20 5.3.3 Future household composition and age mix .................................................................................... 21 5.4 Current patterns of occupation ......................................................................................................... 22 5.5 Dwelling mix determined by life-stage modelling ............................................................................. 23 5.6 Type ................................................................................................................................................. 27 5.7 Conclusion – type and size .............................................................................................................. 27 6. Conclusions ................................................................................................................................................. 29 6.1 Overview .......................................................................................................................................... 29 6.2 Recommendations for next steps .................................................................................................... 30 Appendix A : Glossary............................................................................................................................................. 32 Appendix B : Group comments ............................................................................................................................... 39 AECOM 5 Rollesby Neighbourhood Plan- Housing Needs Assessment List of acronyms used in the text: AH Affordable Housing (NPPF definition) GYBC Great Yarmouth Borough Council HNA Housing Needs Assessment HNF Housing Needs Figure HRP Household Reference Person IRZ Impact Risk Zone LA Local Authority LHN Local Housing Need MHCLG Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (formerly DCLG) NP Neighbourhood Plan NA Neighbourhood Plan Area NPPF National Planning Policy Framework ONS Office for National Statistics PPG Planning Practice Guidance PRS Private Rented Sector RNG Rollesby Neighbourhood Group SAC Special Area of Conservation SDR Statistical Data Return SHMA Strategic Housing Market Assessment SSSI Site of Special Scientific Interest AECOM 6 Rollesby Neighbourhood Plan- Housing Needs Assessment 1. Executive summary 1. Rollesby in Great Yarmouth commissioned from Locality a Housing Needs Assessment (HNA) to inform their emerging Neighbourhood Plan. In consultation with the neighbourhood planning group, we developed two research questions (RQs) for the HNA to answer. The RQs serve to direct our research into the key neighbourhood-level issues and provide the structure for the study. 1.1 Research Questions RQ1: What quantity of Housing in the Neighbourhood Plan Area (NA) is appropriate over the Plan period 2019-2035? RQ2: What type (detached, semi-detached, terrace, bungalow, or flat) and size (number of bedrooms) of housing is most appropriate to meet local needs, now and in future? 1.2 Findings of RQ1: Quantity 2. We recommend an overall Housing Needs Figure (HNF) for Rollesby of 48 dwellings, which equates to 3 dwellings per year over the Plan period of 2019-2035. 3. After deducting 18 existing commitments (new dwellings that are already under construction or can be realistically expected to be completed over the Plan period), a residual HNF of 30 dwellings remains. This equates to 2 dwellings per year over the Plan period of 2019-2035 that should be brought forward in addition to the 18 existing
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