The Influence of Oligopolies on Inequality and Growth
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Forex Medium-Term Outlook(Jan, 2019)
Forex Medium-Term Outlook 26 December 2018 Mizuho Bank, Ltd. Forex Department 【Contents】 Overview of Outlook ・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・P. 2 USD/JPY Outlook –Time for a Change in the Premise 2019 – Vital Points for Global Economy; The Year in Which the True Price of Rate Hikes Emerges ・・・・ ・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・ ・ P. 3 2019 – Vital Points for Forex Rates; Time for a Change in the Premise・・・・・・・・・・・P. 5 U.S. Monetary Policies Now and Going Forward – The First Step into a New Phase・・・・・P. 6 Overview of Tail Risks – Potentials for the Unexpected in Japan, the United States, and Europe・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・ P. 1 0 EUR Outlook – ‒ “Increasing Caution” and “Continuing Confidence” ECB Monetary Policies Now and Going Forward – APP Termination and Outlook Regarding Reinvestment・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・P. 1 4 Uncertain future Reflected in French “Yellow Vests” Riots – Issues the EU Should Worry About・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・P. 1 5 Ongoing Shift to a “Post-Merkel” Germany and EU – The EUR 3.0 Era・・・・・・・・・・P. 1 7 Medium-Term Forex Outlook 1 Mizuho Bank Ltd. Overview of Outlook USD/JPY clearly fell in December. In line with the concerns I have consistently expressed in this report, the prices of risky assets have been forced to undergo a correction in response to the increase in U.S. interest rates. The Fed had until recently remained indifferent to this asset price volatility, but it may finally no longer be able to ignore the fluctuations. This is evidenced by the fact that Committee members were forced in December to downgrade their dot plot projections for the entire forecasting period. Market predictions, however, are even more pessimistic than those suggested by the revised dot plot, with some even predicting the end of rate hikes altogether. -
Yellow Vests, Carbon Tax Aversion, and Biased Beliefs
YELLOW VESTS,CARBON TAX AVERSION, AND BIASED BELIEFS* Thomas Douenne and Adrien Fabre† Abstract This paper seeks to understand how beliefs endogenously form and determine attitudes towards policies. Using a new survey and National households’ survey data, we investigate the case of car- bon taxation in France in the context of the Yellow Vests movement that started against it. We find that French people would largely reject a Tax & Dividend policy, i.e. a carbon tax whose revenues are redistributed uniformly to all households. However, they also overestimate the negative impact of the scheme on their purchasing power, wrongly think it is regressive, and do not perceive it as environmentally effective. Using information about the scheme as instrument to identify robust causal effects, our econometric analysis shows that correcting these three biases would suffice to generate majority approval. Yet, we find that people’s beliefs are persistent and their revisions biased towards pessimism so that only a small minority can be convinced. Indeed, if overly pes- simistic beliefs cause tax rejection, they also result from it through motivated reasoning, which manifests what we define as “tax aversion”. JEL classification: D72; D91; H23; H31; Q58 Keywords: Climate Policy; Carbon tax; Bias; Beliefs; Preferences; Tax aversion *Acknowledgments: We are grateful to Mouez Fodha, Fanny Henriet and Katheline Schubert for their comments and their help to get funding. We also thank Béatrice Boulu-Reshef, Stefano Carattini, Nicolas Jacquemet, Mathias Lé, Linus Mattauch, Joseph Stiglitz, Thierry Verdier, seminar participants at the Paris School of Economics and an anonymous referee of the FAERE Working Paper series. -
Macron, the Yellow Vests and the National Debate. Playing for Time, Not Solving the Political Legitimacy Crisis
NO. 17 MARCH 2019 Introduction Macron, the Yellow Vests and the National Debate Playing for Time, Not Solving the Political Legitimacy Crisis Ronja Kempin and Paweł Tokarski France’s yellow vests (gilets jaunes) are heterogeneous, make contradictory demands, and refuse to give up. Since November 2018 they have been demonstrating for more purchasing power and greater democracy. Having made financial concessions, Presi- dent Emmanuel Macron is now playing for time. He has initiated a “grand national debate”, in which all citizens were called on to voice their opinions concerning future political issues. This debate is likely to help him win the European Parliament (EP) elections in May and facilitate splintering the yellow vests. To avert further protests that could paralyse the country, delegitimise his government and ensure that his presidency fails, Macron needs to improve the way he communicates his reform agenda. Merely playing for time will not make France reformable and governable for this president, any more than it did for his predecessors. The protests never end. Since 17 November are held by the rural lower-middle class, 2018, people wearing high-visibility yel- including craftsmen and women and shop- low vests have been taking to the streets keepers. They can barely earn a living from of France on Saturdays. The protests by their work and are afraid of sliding into the yellow vests, organised nationwide, were poverty. Politically, according the yellow initially directed against the higher tax on vests, they have no voice. They reject the fossil fuels planned by President Macron. support of the trade unions and parties of They quickly evolved into a list of 42 the political left, which previously chan- demands. -
Yellow Vests, Pessimistic Beliefs, and Carbon Tax Aversion
YELLOW VESTS,PESSIMISTIC BELIEFS, AND CARBON TAX AVERSION* Thomas Douenne and Adrien Fabre† Link to most recent version Abstract Using a representative survey, we find that after the Yellow Vests movement, French people would largely reject a Tax & Dividend policy, i.e. a carbon tax whose revenues are redistributed uni- formly to each adult. However, they overestimate their net monetary loss, wrongly think the policy is regressive, and do not perceive it as environmentally effective. We show that changing people’s beliefs about the tax incidence and effectiveness can largely increase support. Yet, beliefs change little following our informational treatments. Indeed, if overly pessimistic beliefs cause tax rejec- tion, they also result from it through motivated reasoning, which manifests what we define as “tax aversion”. JEL classification: D72; D91; H23; H31; Q58 Keywords: Climate Policy; Carbon tax; Beliefs; Preferences; Tax aversion *Acknowledgments: We are grateful to Mouez Fodha, Fanny Henriet and Katheline Schubert for their comments and their help to get funding. We also thank Stefano Carattini, Linus Mattauch, Joseph Stiglitz, Thierry Verdier, as well as seminar participants at the Paris School of Economics, Columbia University, University of Pennsylvenia, University of Amsterdam, University of Quebec at Montréal, KU Leuven, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Environmental Defense Fund, EIEE-CMCC (Milan), OECD, OFCE, and conference participants at FSR Climate Annual Conference (Florence), ADRES (Lyon), FAERE (Rennes). We are thankful to Christina Hobbs for the proof- reading. We are grateful to anonymous referees for their insightful comments and suggestions. We acknowledge financial support from the Cepremap, EUR PGSE (ANR-17-EURE-0001) ANR (ANR16-CE03-0011), and Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne economics doctoral school (ED 465). -
Moosejaw Market Expansion Into France
Bowling Green State University ScholarWorks@BGSU Honors Projects Honors College Spring 5-17-2019 Moosejaw Market Expansion into France Rachel Renou [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.bgsu.edu/honorsprojects Part of the Business Administration, Management, and Operations Commons, E-Commerce Commons, International Business Commons, and the Marketing Commons Repository Citation Renou, Rachel, "Moosejaw Market Expansion into France" (2019). Honors Projects. 439. https://scholarworks.bgsu.edu/honorsprojects/439 This work is brought to you for free and open access by the Honors College at ScholarWorks@BGSU. It has been accepted for inclusion in Honors Projects by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks@BGSU. 1 Moosejaw Market Expansion into France Rachel Renou Honors Project Submitted to the Honors College at Bowling Green State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for graduation with UNIVERSITY HONORS DATE Dr. Zhang Management Department; College of Business, Advisor Dr. Gremler Marketing Department; College of Business, Advisor 2 Table of Contents Executive Summary…………………………………………………………………………….....3 Introduction………………………………………………………………………………………..4 Background……………….…………………………………………………………………….....5 Country Analysis………………………………………………………………………...…….….8 Political Environment……………………………………………..………………..…..…8 Social/Cultural Environment………………………………………………………….....11 Industry/Business Analysis…………………………………………………………………..….16 Five Forces Analysis……………………………………………………………………….....….22 SWOT Analysis……………………………………………………………………………….....27 -
The Socio-Economic Approach to the Study of Modern Economic Systems
Management 2018 Vol. 22, No. 2 DOI: 10.2478/manment-2018-0038 ISSN 1429-9321 MARIA AKULICH JERZY KAŹMIERCZYK The socio-economic approach to the study of modern economic systems. Post-capitalism. Part 2. 1. Introduction Essential transformational processes, including the globalization of economic and social systems, occur in the modern world. This study describes problems regarding humankind’s future and defi nes the primary trends in the development of certain countries and humankind as a whole. Modern scientists seek to analyze economic and social situations; they make projections, develop models of social development and form concepts related to modern society. During the past century, two socio- economic systems existed, capitalism and socialism; modern society includes traits from both of these systems. It is important to determine what type of society is preferable and the prospects for its development. Research regarding capitalism, socialism and Prof. Maria Akulich Tyumen State University modern society is necessary and should be Russia conducted using the formational approach Jerzy Kaźmierczyk, Ph.D. as its basis. This analysis will enable us to Poznan University determine what type of society will evolve in of Economics and Business the 21st century. The logic of the substantial Poland development from the 19th century up to the Tyumen State University Russia present day, as seen from the point of view of 299 Management 2018 Vol. 22, No. 2 a formational approach (it has been analyzed in Akulich and Kaźmierczyk 2018), has proceeded as follows: Capitalism -> capitalism (USA, Great Britain, etc.) -> post-capitalism Capitalism -> socialism (USSR, Hungary, etc.) -> post-capitalism The main aim of this paper is to show that from the point of view of the socio- economic approach, the modern information society is post-capitalist, and all countries, regardless of their historical past - capitalist or socialist development, are fully or at least partially involved in this system. -
Women's Empowerment and Economic Development: a Feminist
Feminist Economics ISSN: 1354-5701 (Print) 1466-4372 (Online) Journal homepage: https://www.tandfonline.com/loi/rfec20 Women’s Empowerment and Economic Development: A Feminist Critique of Storytelling Practices in “Randomista” Economics Naila Kabeer To cite this article: Naila Kabeer (2020) Women’s Empowerment and Economic Development: A Feminist Critique of Storytelling Practices in “Randomista” Economics, Feminist Economics, 26:2, 1-26, DOI: 10.1080/13545701.2020.1743338 To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/13545701.2020.1743338 © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group Published online: 13 May 2020. Submit your article to this journal Article views: 5070 View related articles View Crossmark data Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at https://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=rfec20 Feminist Economics, 2020 Vol. 26, No. 2, 1–26, https://doi.org/10.1080/13545701.2020.1743338 WOMEN’S EMPOWERMENT AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT:AFEMINIST CRITIQUE OF STORYTELLING PRACTICES IN “RANDOMISTA” ECONOMICS Naila Kabeer ABSTRACT The 2019 Nobel Prize in economics was awarded to three scholars on the grounds that their pioneering use of randomized control trials (RCTs) was innovative methodologically and contributed to development policy and the emergence of a new development economics. Using a critical feminist lens, this article challenges that conclusion by interrogating the storytelling practices deployed by “randomista” economists through a critical reading of a widely cited essay by Esther Duflo, one of the 2019 Nobel recipients, on the relationship between women’s empowerment and economic development. The paper argues that the limitations of randomista economics have given rise to a particular way of thinking characterized by piecemeal analysis, ad hoc resort to theory, indifference to history and context, and methodological fundamentalism. -
District of Columbia Annual Economic Report, 2016
GOVERNMENT OF THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA MURIELDC BOWSER, DEPARTMENT OF MAYOR EMPLOYMENT SERVICES District of Columbia ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2016 DC DEPARTMENT OF EMPLOYMENT SERVICES OFFICE OF LABOR MARKET RESEARCH AND INFORMATION page 1 DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2016 Contents 1. INTRODUCTION 1 2. REPORT HIGHLIGHTS 1 3. ECONOMIC OUTLOOK for 2016 2 4. POPULATION DEMOGRAPHICS 5 4.1 General population trends 5 4.2 Population by race and ethnicity 6 4.3 Population by age and gender 7 4.4 Population by education and income 8 5 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 13 6 LABOR MARKET ANALYSIS 15 6.1 General labor market trends 15 6.2 Labor market outcomes by race and ethnicity 18 6.3 Labor market outcomes by gender 19 6.4 Labor market outcomes by age 20 6.5 Labor market outcomes by education 23 6.6 Labor market outcomes by Wards 26 7 JOB MARKET ANALYSIS 26 7.1 Non-farm payroll employment 26 7.2 Employment by major industry sector 28 7.3 Covered employment, wages, and number of establishments by major industry sector 30 7.4 Average weekly wages by major industry sector 32 7.5 Top 20 private sector employers in the District of Columbia 33 7.6 Covered Employment and wages by Ward in the District of Columbia 35 8 OCCUPATIONAL EMPLOYMENT AND WAGES 36 8.1 Employment and wages by major occupational groups 36 8.2 Median annual wages by major occupational groups 38 9 CONCLUSION and POLICY IMPLICATIONS 38 page i DC DEPARTMENT OF EMPLOYMENT SERVICES List of Tables Table 1: Population growth in DC and the US, 2010-2015 5 Table 2: District of Columbia -
Course Outline
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS ECON 303 ECONOMICS OF DEVELOPING COUNTRIES 2020 COURSE OUTLINE Course Lecturer: Stephen Knowles Room: 5.14 Otago Business School Building Phone: 479-8350 email: [email protected] Office hours: Mon 11-12, Wed 11-12, Thurs 1:30-2:30 Lectures: Monday 1:00-1:50 and Wednesday 1:00-1:50 Tutorial: Tuesday 12:00-12:50 or Wednesday 4:00-4:50 or Thursday 9:00-9:50 or Thursday 12:00-12:50 Note: tutorials begin in the second week of the semester and will be held most weeks. Pre-requisites: ECON201 (or ECON271) Note: While every effort is made to ensure that the information contained in this document is accurate, it is subject to change. Changes will be notified in class and via Blackboard. Students are encouraged to check Blackboard regularly. It is the student’s responsibility to be informed. 1. WHAT THIS COURSE OUTLINE INCLUDES This course outline includes key administrative information for the course, including information on assessment, learning goals and objectives. Reading lists, tutorial questions and an essay-writing guide have been posted on Blackboard as separate files in the Course Information folder, rather than included in this course outline. OVERVIEW OF WHAT THE COURSE IS ABOUT AND LEARNING OUTCOMES In New Zealand income per capita is $US38,750, virtually everyone can read and write and, on average, people can expect to live for 81 years. In India income per capita is $US1,670, about a third of the population cannot read and write and average life expectancy is 68 years. -
Three Dimensions of Classical Utilitarian Economic Thought ––Bentham, J.S
July 2012 Three Dimensions of Classical Utilitarian Economic Thought ––Bentham, J.S. Mill, and Sidgwick–– Daisuke Nakai∗ 1. Utilitarianism in the History of Economic Ideas Utilitarianism is a many-sided conception, in which we can discern various aspects: hedonistic, consequentialistic, aggregation or maximization-oriented, and so forth.1 While we see its impact in several academic fields, such as ethics, economics, and political philosophy, it is often dragged out as a problematic or negative idea. Aside from its essential and imperative nature, one reason might be in the fact that utilitarianism has been only vaguely understood, and has been given different roles, “on the one hand as a theory of personal morality, and on the other as a theory of public choice, or of the criteria applicable to public policy” (Sen and Williams 1982, 1-2). In this context, if we turn our eyes on economics, we can find intimate but subtle connections with utilitarian ideas. In 1938, Samuelson described the formulation of utility analysis in economic theory since Jevons, Menger, and Walras, and the controversies following upon it, as follows: First, there has been a steady tendency toward the removal of moral, utilitarian, welfare connotations from the concept. Secondly, there has been a progressive movement toward the rejection of hedonistic, introspective, psychological elements. These tendencies are evidenced by the names suggested to replace utility and satisfaction––ophélimité, desirability, wantability, etc. (Samuelson 1938) Thus, Samuelson felt the need of “squeezing out of the utility analysis its empirical implications”. In any case, it is somewhat unusual for economists to regard themselves as utilitarians, even if their theories are relying on utility analysis. -
S Revolution! the Battleplan Against the NWO! by Thomas Eidsaa Last Edited 13.04.2020 a Compilation of Articles, Read Alongside Internet
1 2 The People`s Army`s Revolution! The battleplan against the NWO! By Thomas Eidsaa last edited 13.04.2020 A compilation of articles, read alongside internet. Exposing and defeating the black magic NWO! I wish you a happy revolution! Be careful! We are not fighting an armed conflict but an infowar. ¨Peace love anarchy!¨ PS! My Christian book series are national-conservative and religious conservative. This book is more liberal, dedicated to why we need a revolution and the few ways of actually achieving revolution. Cover and all writing by Thomas Eidsaa copyright 2019. No part in this publication may be used or transmitted in any way without the expressed written consent of the publisher, except for short excerpts for the use in reviews. 3 Other books by Thomas Eidsaa: The GRRRRR book-series, or The Great Romantic Revivalist`s Reformation Revolution Renaissance series, is a an eye-opening Christian series which detail all my research into Christianity, neo- charismatic theology, apologetics, ontological arguments, the problem of evil, eschatology, and conspiracy theories of great importance every Christian needs to understand. It is a work aimed at waking you up and expose the evil you never thought existed. What you don`t know can still kill you. It is a guide, and compendium of important topics relating to the radical, Christian faith in the dangerous, unpredictable 21st century death of Europe. I take the reader on an amazing journey – uniting 1st century Nazarene knowledge with 21st century science, theology and societal problems. I personally believe the knowledge therein will create peace on Earth. -
ECON 8764-001 History of Economic Development
History of Economic Development Economics 8764-001 Fall 2012 Tuesday & Thursday 12:30-1:45 pm, Econ 5. Professor Carol H. Shiue, email [email protected], Econ 206B, Tue & Thur 2-3 p.m. Course Outline Overview This course examines competing explanations for cross-country differences in long run economic growth, addressing the question, “why are some countries so rich and other so poor” from a historical and comparative standpoint. The core issues that we examine cover the Middle Ages to the 20th century and focus attention on Britain and Northwestern Europe because that is where economic growth first occurred. Knowledge of standard analytical tools and empirical techniques of macro and micro is strongly recommended. This course has several objectives: the first is to show how theoretical approaches and quantitative tools can be applied to historical evidence. The second objective is to introduce students to research and paper writing in economic history and other applied fields of economics. We will be reading and discussing articles to learn how a research article is put together. You will also have many opportunities in this class to pose your own questions and present your ideas. This is a skill that is of immense value as you start to enter into the dissertation-writing phase of your program and will be spending more of your time doing research in economics. With practice, you will also feel more comfortable and confident in seminars, whether the seminar is your own or someone else’s. Course Requirements Classes will consist of lecture and student presentation and discussion.