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Columbus Blue Jackets News Clips April 23, 2020 Columbus Blue

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Columbus Blue Jackets News Clips April 23, 2020 Columbus Blue Columbus Blue Jackets News Clips April 23, 2020 Columbus Blue Jackets PAGE 02 The Athletic: Injuries always hurt: Somehow Blue Jackets weren’t knocked out by multiple hits Cleveland Monsters/Prospects NHL/Websites PAGE 05 The Athletic: LeBrun: The pros and cons of the NHL still holding the draft in June PAGE 08 The Athletic: Uncertainty clouds NHL’s future, so union puts players’ mental health in focus PAGE 13 The Athletic: From carrots to carats, the evolution of Stanley Cup rings PAGE 18 Sportsnet.ca: Gary Bettman explains why NHL rinks are best for centralized games The Athletic: Injuries always hurt: Somehow Blue Jackets weren’t knocked out by multiple hits By Alison Lukan – April 22, 2020 At points during this season, if you were a Blue Jackets fan, you didn’t know whether to laugh or cry. The team was surpassing most expectations, but they also seemed to be losing players from the lineup at a furious pace. At present, the team officially states 419 games have been lost to injury. The team played 10 percent of its season with 10-plus starters out of its lineup and averaged six starters out per game. But for those who’ve followed this team for years, something felt similar. Was this like the 2014-15 season when every postgame news conference had then-coach Todd Richards talking about a skater who left the game and every team practice included another release announcing another player placed on injured reserve? Like this year, absences were measured in weeks and months; Four players (Boone Jenner, Brandon Dubinsky, Ryan Murray and Nathan Horton) were already on the injured reserve before the puck dropped on opening night. But, there were some things that seem different. That 2014-15 team still holds the franchise record for man-games lost (508). They finished with a 42-35- 5 record (.543 points percentage), earned 89 points and placed 22nd out of 30 teams putting them out of the playoffs. As for this year’s group, when the NHL season hit pause, the Blue Jackets had a 33-22-15 record (.521 points percentage) and were holding onto a wild-card spot with 12 games to play. They also would have likely finished with at least 479 man-games lost (accounting for injuries to Seth Jones, Oliver Bjorkstrand, Josh Anderson, Alexandre Texier and Dean Kukan). Not as many as that 2014-15 squad, but close, yet still in a better overall position as a team. What, if anything, is different between these two rosters that one is right in the thick of the hunt for a playoff spot and one was not? There are plenty of questions we could ask: What did the league look like as a whole, coaching methodologies, scheduling, and on and on, but what decided to look at, at least today, is did either of these two Blue Jackets’ teams suffer more in terms of the overall talent they lost due to injury? Quite often, we choose to look to man-games lost to try to measure the effect of injuries. But that doesn’t equate for who was out any given lineup for any given point in time. It also doesn’t necessarily translate season to season. But we now have a better way to try to answer this question: The Athletic’s Dom Luszczyszyn’s Game Score Value Added (GSVA) data from the past decade of play. GSVA quantifies a player’s “value” so by pulling data from both the 2014-15 and current Blue Jackets’ season, we can measure how much “value” was lost by each team and what was the overall percentage of talent lost to injury. Before we dig in, a few notes: I’ve tracked Blue Jackets’ players game absences for seven seasons. For my purposes, illness is considered a man game lost. Suspensions are not. Also, GSVA only calculates when a player has played a minimum of 12 games in one season. Players with fewer games played are not included here … With one exception! Ryan Murray played 12 games in 2014-15. We chose to approximate his GSVA for that year by averaging the season before and the season after. Our first pass analysis contemplated only skaters who were on the opening night roster or players acquired via trade for opening night players (we wanted to look at the original design for each team). Goalies were not included, but any significant injuries will be noted below. For players involved in a trade, only their injuries with Columbus were considered. Now let’s see what we find out. Here’s a look at this year’s Blue Jackets. This chart shows each player’s projected GSVA (pGSVA), how that averages out across an 82-game season, how many games a player missed, how many were due to injury and the total resulting GSVA loss per player. At the bottom, we see the totals, as well as the percentage of the team GSVA, lost due to injury. (click chart to enlarge) What do we see? First, a shout out to Jenner, Gustav Nyquist and Pierre-Luc Dubois who managed to play all of the 2019-20 season to date and didn’t suffer an injury (Dubois has yet to miss a game in his NHL career). But other than that, we see the biggest impact came from the loss of offensive talent like Oliver Bjorkstrand, Cam Atkinson and Josh Anderson. Murray and Jones’ injuries hurt, too. As we said, we didn’t factor in a long injury to goaltender Joonas Korpisalo or a nine-game absence for his partner, Elvis Merzlikins, and still, all in all, the Blue Jackets lost 18.39 percent of their expected talent due to injury this year. But wait. There have only been 70 games played. Can we project what a full 82-game season might have felt like in terms of injury lost? We can. Here’s what a full season looks like using projected GSVA. We adjusted Jones, Kukan, Texier and Bjorkstrand’s totals to anticipate that they were likely to be out the remainder of the regular season. We also added five games to Murray’s total as he has been managing his back injury and surely would have wanted to be healthy for a postseason. The impact jumps a bit to 23.5 percent, over a fifth, and almost a quarter, of a roster’s talent lost to injury. So, is this one of the biggest impacts a Blue Jackets team has felt? What did that 2014-15 season look like? Here it is. We don’t account for a rough season for goaler Sergei Bobrovsky, but this Blue Jackets team, while it lost more man-games, the overall percentage of talent loss was lower than either of our scenarios for this team’s losses (19.90 percent). So this has been a significant accomplishment by the Blue Jackets overcoming a severe depletion of talent as the roster was originally designed. It feels like what this team was doing as far as their record and place in the standings was remarkable in the face of an anticipated talent loss of almost 25 percent. Is it remarkable outside the Ohio borders? Another team that has faced a similar narrative this season is the Pittsburgh Penguins. They’ve been besieged by long-lasting injuries to key players, including Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. How much talent did their roster lose if we put their opening night roster through our exercise? (click chart to enlarge) We went ahead and adjusted for an 82-game season here and extended the injuries for Nick Bjugstad, Jake Guentzel, Dominik Simon and Zachary Aston-Reese through the regular season’s end. The Penguin’s total talent loss is at 23.66 percent, right about where the Blue Jackets wound end up. (For what it’s worth, the 70-game scenario for Pittsburgh had them losing 20.82 percent of their value. The advantage of having players like Crosby and Malkin back and healthy helps cover for other injuries. In summary All in all, it’s fair to say that Columbus faced one of the organization’s toughest years in terms of overcoming injury. Even though it didn’t look like it would hit a new franchise record in terms of man- games lost, it was a season in which they found an impressive way to deal with the loss of value when a player would get hurt. It’s hard to think of teams that have dealt with bigger challenges, but the Penguins also faced a similar challenge in compensating for the value their team missed when a player was injured. And while we didn’t touch on the multitudes of variations each team’s roster took through their seasons, it’s important to acknowledge the incredible performances by Pittsburgh’s and Columbus’ depth to keep both teams rolling along. Again, the reasons why Columbus fought its way into the playoff discussion this season are likely many: coaching, team structure, that feeling of “belief” that so many players mention time and time again … but to put it all together and overcome a loss almost 24 percent of your roster’s value is definitely a feat worth noticing. The Athletic: LeBrun: The pros and cons of the NHL still holding the draft in June By Pierre LeBrun – April 22, 2020 It was a bombshell revelation in the NHL news cycle, though one not necessarily met with universal praise. A day after the league told GMs on a call that it was considering holding the draft in June before a possible season resumption in July, it was very much the talking point of the industry.
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