Modern Monetary Theory: a Marxist Critique
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Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions by Irving Fisher
THE DEBT-DEFLATION THEORY OF GREAT DEPRESSIONS BY IRVING FISHER INTRODUCTORY IN Booms and Depressions, I have developed, theoretically and sta- tistically, what may be called a debt-deflation theory of great depres- sions. In the preface, I stated that the results "seem largely new," I spoke thus cautiously because of my unfamiliarity with the vast literature on the subject. Since the book was published its special con- clusions have been widely accepted and, so far as I know, no one has yet found them anticipated by previous writers, though several, in- cluding myself, have zealously sought to find such anticipations. Two of the best-read authorities in this field assure me that those conclu- sions are, in the words of one of them, "both new and important." Partly to specify what some of these special conclusions are which are believed to be new and partly to fit them into the conclusions of other students in this field, I am offering this paper as embodying, in brief, my present "creed" on the whole subject of so-called "cycle theory." My "creed" consists of 49 "articles" some of which are old and some new. I say "creed" because, for brevity, it is purposely ex- pressed dogmatically and without proof. But it is not a creed in the sense that my faith in it does not rest on evidence and that I am not ready to modify it on presentation of new evidence. On the contrary, it is quite tentative. It may serve as a challenge to others and as raw material to help them work out a better product. -
Inflation and the Business Cycle
Inflation and the business cycle Michael McMahon Money and Banking (5): Inflation & Bus. Cycle 1 / 68 To Cover • Discuss the costs of inflation; • Investigate the relationship between money and inflation; • Introduce the Romer framework; • Discuss hyperinflations. • Shocks and the business cycle; • Monetary policy responses to business cycles. • Explain what the monetary transmission mechanism is; • Examine the link between inflation and GDP. Money and Banking (5): Inflation & Bus. Cycle 2 / 68 The Next Few Lectures Term structure, asset prices Exchange and capital rate market conditions Import prices Bank rate Net external demand CPI inflation Bank lending Monetary rates and credit Policy Asset purchase/ Corporate DGI conditions Framework sales demand loans Macro prudential Household policy demand deposits Inflation expectations Money and Banking (5): Inflation & Bus. Cycle 3 / 68 Inflation Definition Inflation is a sustained general rise in the price level in the economy. In reality we measure it using concepts such as: • Consumer Price Indices (CPI); • Producer Price Indices (PPI); • Deflators (GDP deflator, Consumption Expenditure Deflator) Money and Banking (5): Inflation & Bus. Cycle 4 / 68 Inflation: The Costs If all prices are rising at same rate, including wages and asset prices, what is the problem? • Information: Makes it harder to detect relative price changes and so hinders efficient operation of market; • Uncertainty: High inflation countries have very volatile inflation; • High inflation undermines role of money and encourages barter; • Growth - if inflation increases by 10%, reduce long term growth by 0.2% but only for countries with inflation higher than 15% (Barro); • Shoe leather costs/menu costs; • Interaction with tax system; • Because of fixed nominal contracts arbitrarily redistributes wealth; • Nominal contracts break down and long-term contracts avoided. -
Short-Term Currency in Circulation Forecasting for Monetary Policy Purposes: the Case of Poland
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Koziński, Witold; Świst, Tomasz Article Short-term currency in circulation forecasting for monetary policy purposes: The case of Poland e-Finanse: Financial Internet Quarterly Provided in Cooperation with: University of Information Technology and Management, Rzeszów Suggested Citation: Koziński, Witold; Świst, Tomasz (2015) : Short-term currency in circulation forecasting for monetary policy purposes: The case of Poland, e-Finanse: Financial Internet Quarterly, ISSN 1734-039X, University of Information Technology and Management, Rzeszów, Vol. 11, Iss. 1, pp. 65-75, http://dx.doi.org/10.14636/1734-039X_11_1_007 This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/147121 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. -
Capitalist Crisis and the Rise of Monetarism
CAPITALIST CRISIS AND THE RISE OF MONETARISM Simon Clarke What is the significance of 'monetarism' for an understanding of the relationship between the economy and the capitalist state? Before we can address the question we have to try to define 'monetarism'. In the strictest sense 'monetarism' refers to the advocacy of the quantity theory of money and a policy preoccupation with the growth of the money supply. In this sense monetarism expresses a pre-Keynesian ortho- doxy, that has been perpetuated by a few cranks and that inexplicably grabbed the hearts and minds of economists and politicians for the best part of a decade, between 1975 and 1985. This is the view that has tended to be taken by economists who remain committed to a Keynesian analysis. For these economists monetarism was a combination of huckstering and collective madness that led to mistaken economic policies. The response to monetarism was to keep faith and wait until normal sanity was resumed. Such a view has apparently now been vindicated by the almost universal abandonment of this kind of monetarist orthodoxy, although elements of its rhetoric remain. This is to take much too narrow a view of monetarism. Although this narrow monetarism has been utterly discredited, and the money supply no longer has the fetishistic significance that it briefly enjoyed, the broader contours of the politics and ideology of monetarism remain with us, and have been assimilated by many of those of a Keynesian persuasion. This politics and ideology relates not so much to the narrow technical issues of monetary policy and the control of the money supply as to the broader questions of the relations between the state and the economy. -
Here Is a Financial Bust There Are Essentially Four Ways to Address the Crisis: “Inflate, Deflate, Devalue, Or Default” (P
Heterodox Economics Newsletter AUSTERITY: THE HISTORY OF A DANGEROUS IDEA, by Mark Blyth. New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 2013. ISBN: 978-0-19-982830-2; 288 pages. Reviewed by Hans G. Despain, Nichols College “It’s time to say it: Austerity is dead,” claims Richard Eskow. Yet the Eurozone continues to endure draconian budget cuts, and in the U.S., the Obama administration presides over austerity measures through “sequestration” spending cuts and ending payroll-tax cuts. Indeed, Rick Ungar has documented the Obama administration implementing the slowest increase in spending since the days of Eisenhower. Austerity is alive-- too much so. Nonetheless, austerity is a dopy idea and a dangerous policy, so argues Brown University Professor Mark Blyth in his new book Austerity: The History of a Dangerous Idea (Oxford University Press, 2013, pp. 288). When there is a financial bust there are essentially four ways to address the crisis: “inflate, deflate, devalue, or default” (p. 147). According to many politicians (p. 230), along with Austrian (pp. 143ff) and public choice theory (pp. 155 – 6) economists, deflation, in the form of wage and price cuts, is the right action. Governments resist deflation because it causes economic hardship, social unrest, and lost elections in democratic societies. The “default” option is extremely destabilizing for the macroeconomy and potentially hurts everyone. The “inflate” option hurts creditors and has negative effects for capital accumulation. Devaluation is not always a viable policy option, but when it is, it hurts both creditors and workers in the long run (p. 240). This leaves one option: austerity. -
Austerity and the Rise of the Nazi Party Gregori Galofré-Vilà, Christopher M
Austerity and the Rise of the Nazi party Gregori Galofré-Vilà, Christopher M. Meissner, Martin McKee, and David Stuckler NBER Working Paper No. 24106 December 2017, Revised in September 2020 JEL No. E6,N1,N14,N44 ABSTRACT We study the link between fiscal austerity and Nazi electoral success. Voting data from a thousand districts and a hundred cities for four elections between 1930 and 1933 shows that areas more affected by austerity (spending cuts and tax increases) had relatively higher vote shares for the Nazi party. We also find that the localities with relatively high austerity experienced relatively high suffering (measured by mortality rates) and these areas’ electorates were more likely to vote for the Nazi party. Our findings are robust to a range of specifications including an instrumental variable strategy and a border-pair policy discontinuity design. Gregori Galofré-Vilà Martin McKee Department of Sociology Department of Health Services Research University of Oxford and Policy Manor Road Building London School of Hygiene Oxford OX1 3UQ & Tropical Medicine United Kingdom 15-17 Tavistock Place [email protected] London WC1H 9SH United Kingdom Christopher M. Meissner [email protected] Department of Economics University of California, Davis David Stuckler One Shields Avenue Università Bocconi Davis, CA 95616 Carlo F. Dondena Centre for Research on and NBER Social Dynamics and Public Policy (Dondena) [email protected] Milan, Italy [email protected] Austerity and the Rise of the Nazi party Gregori Galofr´e-Vil`a Christopher M. Meissner Martin McKee David Stuckler Abstract: We study the link between fiscal austerity and Nazi electoral success. -
Money Creation in the Modern Economy
14 Quarterly Bulletin 2014 Q1 Money creation in the modern economy By Michael McLeay, Amar Radia and Ryland Thomas of the Bank’s Monetary Analysis Directorate.(1) This article explains how the majority of money in the modern economy is created by commercial banks making loans. Money creation in practice differs from some popular misconceptions — banks do not act simply as intermediaries, lending out deposits that savers place with them, and nor do they ‘multiply up’ central bank money to create new loans and deposits. The amount of money created in the economy ultimately depends on the monetary policy of the central bank. In normal times, this is carried out by setting interest rates. The central bank can also affect the amount of money directly through purchasing assets or ‘quantitative easing’. Overview In the modern economy, most money takes the form of bank low and stable inflation. In normal times, the Bank of deposits. But how those bank deposits are created is often England implements monetary policy by setting the interest misunderstood: the principal way is through commercial rate on central bank reserves. This then influences a range of banks making loans. Whenever a bank makes a loan, it interest rates in the economy, including those on bank loans. simultaneously creates a matching deposit in the borrower’s bank account, thereby creating new money. In exceptional circumstances, when interest rates are at their effective lower bound, money creation and spending in the The reality of how money is created today differs from the economy may still be too low to be consistent with the description found in some economics textbooks: central bank’s monetary policy objectives. -
Competitive Supply of Money in a New Monetarist Model
Munich Personal RePEc Archive Competitive Supply of Money in a New Monetarist Model Waknis, Parag 11 September 2017 Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/75401/ MPRA Paper No. 75401, posted 23 Sep 2017 10:12 UTC Competitive Supply of Money in a New Monetarist Model Parag Waknis∗ September 11, 2017 Abstract Whether currency can be efficiently provided by private competitive money suppliers is arguably one of the fundamental questions in monetary theory. It is also one with practical relevance because of the emergence of multiple competing financial assets as well as competing cryptocurrencies as means of payments in certain class of transactions. In this paper, a dual currency version of Lagos and Wright (2005) money search model is used to explore the answer to this question. The centralized market sub-period is modeled as infinitely repeated game between two long lived players (money suppliers) and a short lived player (a continuum of agents), where longetivity of the players refers to the ability to influence aggregate outcomes. There are multiple equilibria, however we show that equilibrium featuring lowest inflation tax is weakly renegotiation proof, suggesting that better inflation outcome is possible in an environment with currency competition. JEL Codes: E52, E61. Keywords: currency competition, repeated games, long lived- short lived players, inflation tax, money search, weakly renegotiation proof. ∗The paper is based on my PhD dissertation completed at the University of Connecticut (UConn). I thank Christian Zimmermann (Major Advisor, St.Louis Fed), Ricardo Lagos (Associate Advisor, NYU) and Vicki Knoblauch (Associate Advisor, UConn) for their guidance and support. I thank participants at various conferences and the anonymous refer- ees at Economic Inquiry for their helpful comments and suggestions. -
Austerity: the New Normal a Renewed Washington Consensus 2010-24
Initiative for Policy Dialogue (IPD) International Confederation of Trade Unions (ITUC) Public Services International (PSI) European Network on Debt and Development (EURODAD) The Bretton Woods Project (BWP) Austerity: The New Normal A Renewed Washington Consensus 2010-24 Isabel Ortiz Matthew Cummins Working Paper October 2019 First published: October 2019 © 2019 The authors. Published by: Initiative for Policy Dialogue, New York – www.policydialogue.org International Confederation of Trade Unions (ITUC) – https://www.ituc-csi.org/ Public Services International (PSI) – https://publicservices.international/ European Network on Debt and Development (EURODAD) https://eurodad.org/ The Bretton Woods Project (BWP) – https://www.brettonwoodsproject.org/ Disclaimer: The findings, interpretations and conclusions expressed in this paper are those of the authors. JEL Classification: H5, H12, O23, H5, I3, J3 Keywords: public expenditures, fiscal consolidation, austerity, adjustment, recovery, macroeconomic policy, wage bill, subsidies, pension reform, social security reform, labor reform, social protection, VAT, privatization, public-private partnerships, social impacts. Table of Contents Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................... 5 1. Introduction: A Story Worth Telling ................................................................................................ 8 2. Global Expenditure Trends, 2005-2024 ......................................................................................... -
Werner Sombart's ʻovercomingʼ of Marxism
CHAPTER 27 Werner Sombart’s ʻOvercomingʼ of Marxism 27.1 The Historical School as ʻDigestive Scienceʼ (Rosa Luxemburg) The ʻolder historical schoolʼ of political economy, whose members included Wilhelm Roscher (1817–94), Bruno Hildebrandt (1812–78) and Karl Knies (1821– 98), emerged in the 1840s. It was a specifically ʻGermanʼ reaction both to the French Revolution and to the ʻWesternʼ cosmopolitanism of classical political economy from Smith to Ricardo.1 It was ostensibly concerned with opposing the ʻsurgical extractionʼ of the economy from the ʻliving bodyʼ of popular life and the life of the state, and in particular the ʻnarrow egotistic psychologyʼ according to which social actors are guided, in their economic behaviour, only by economic considerations, as opposed to ethical motives.2 If Machiavelli banished ethics from politics, Adam Smith performed the same operation for political economy, criticises Knies, who emphasises the significance of the ʻethico-political momentʼ for political economy and speaks of the discipline being ʻelevatedʼ to the status of a ʻmoral and political science’.3 At first glance, this seems to represent an integral approach to studying social practices. But behind this pathos of wholeness, there lies the definition of political economy as a ʻstate economyʼ concerned with ʻjudging men and ruling them’.4 The historical school developed from cameralism, which became the discipline of state science due to the Prussian path of capitalist develop- ment.5 Marx describes cameralism as ʻa medley of smatterings, through -
“How Excessive Endogenous Money Supply Can Contribute to Global Financial Crises”
“How excessive endogenous money supply can contribute to global financial crises” AUTHORS Serhii Shvets Serhii Shvets (2021). How excessive endogenous money supply can contribute ARTICLE INFO to global financial crises. Banks and Bank Systems, 16(3), 23-33. doi:10.21511/bbs.16(3).2021.03 DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.16(3).2021.03 RELEASED ON Wednesday, 04 August 2021 RECEIVED ON Thursday, 24 June 2021 ACCEPTED ON Friday, 30 July 2021 LICENSE This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License JOURNAL "Banks and Bank Systems" ISSN PRINT 1816-7403 ISSN ONLINE 1991-7074 PUBLISHER LLC “Consulting Publishing Company “Business Perspectives” FOUNDER LLC “Consulting Publishing Company “Business Perspectives” NUMBER OF REFERENCES NUMBER OF FIGURES NUMBER OF TABLES 21 3 0 © The author(s) 2021. This publication is an open access article. businessperspectives.org Banks and Bank Systems, Volume 16, Issue 3, 2021 Serhii Shvets (Ukraine) How excessive endogenous BUSINESS PERSPECTIVES money supply can LLC “СPС “Business Perspectives” Hryhorii Skovoroda lane, 10, contribute to global Sumy, 40022, Ukraine www.businessperspectives.org financial crises Abstract Financial crises have become a challenge for sustainable growth, given the frequency and intensity of crisis shocks and their destructive consequences in recent decades. The paper aims to study how the endogenously generated excess money supply can con- tribute to global financial crises. The creation of money supply is examined from the perspective of the Quantity Theory of Money (QTM) and endogenous money, namely Horizontalism, Structuralism, and Modern Money Theory. Given that prices are not flexible in the short term, increased volatility in the money market prevents a short- Received on: 24th of June, 2021 term ready balance between money supply and output. -
Employer of Last Resort Program for Italy: It’S Cheaper Than You Think
Policy Note No. 105 April 2015 Employer of Last Resort Program for Italy: It’s cheaper than you think Giuseppe Mastromatteo Research Scholar, Global Institute for Sustainable Prosperity Professor, School of Economics of the Catholic University of Milan Lorenzo Esposito Research Scholar, Global Institute for Sustainable Prosperity The viewsEconomist expressed in this, paperBank are solelyof Italy,those of the Milan author(s) and not necessarily those of the Global Institute for Sustainable Prosperity or the authors’ employers. After the 2008 crisis destroyed the confidence of public and institutional opinion in the received macroeconomic wisdom, the world is once again ready to understand how modern capitalism really works, and from central banks to academic institutions, economic thought has become receptive to a re- reading of Hyman Minsky. His contribution is already at the center of the debate on financial stability, but his work on labor market policies, particularly his proposal to give the State the role of “Employer of Last Resort” (ELR)1 is still being ignored by the mainstream. After decades of virtually disappearing from the economic policy discourse, the concept of full employment is finally back on the agenda as central banks and governments attempt to reduce unemployment through monetary and fiscal policies. All of a sudden, a war on poverty, a fairer income distribution, full employment and financial stability are back on the agenda because this is what the world economy needed after the global financial crisis. However, in a world where, according to the International Labor Organization, the number of unemployed people exceeded 200 million, full employment can only be reached with a deliberate active policy.