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Political Risk Alert (30 Oct. 2019)
Political Risk Alert (30 Oct. 2019) Argentina: Election outcome means early start on debt challenge Event: Alberto Fernandez achieved a comfortable first-round victory over incumbent President Mauricio Macri on October 27. Significance: Avoiding the need for a second round should help to speed up efforts to tackle the economic crisis and bring forward the start of debt renegotiations with creditors. Fernandez’s economic transition team is closer to him than to his vice-president-elect, former President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). However, the extent to which the populist-leaning CFK will dominate the new administration is a major concern for investors, as is the outlook for talks with the IMF. Meanwhile, the political alliance that backed Macri’s pro-business stance looks close to disintegrating. Analysis: Fernandez won a clear margin of 48% to 40%, although this was smaller than suggested by recent polling. However, the fact that Macri improved his performance by some 8 percentage points is due to the votes he won from smaller parties' candidates, increasing polarisation between his allies and those of Fernandez. Generally regarded as far more moderate than CFK, Fernandez will find himself limited in his policy choices by both economic constraints and demands of more radical Kirchnerist groups such as the youth movement La Campora. Given his own lack of an independent support base, those groups will not hesitate to emphasise that his election victory was due to Kirchnerist backing. This shift in post-election emphasis towards CFK has already begun. After first ceding the presidential candidacy and then maintaining a low profile during the campaign in a bid to downplay the controversies that surround her, CFK was very much centre stage on election night, and the Frente de Todos celebrations were dominated by images of CFK and her late husband, former President Nestor Kirchner. -
Plataforma Juntos Por El Cambio Paso 2019
PLATAFORMA JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO PASO 2019 Creemos en la responsabilidad del Estado en brindar servicios educativos y defensa de la cohesión social, la búsqueda del equilibrio territorial y la promo- al por la educación, para garantizar la universalidad y preparar nuestras a) Defensa de la democracia institucional. JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO se PLATAFORMA de salud de calidad para el mejoramiento de la sociedad y su preparación ción de la innovación. En sentido contrario, nos comprometemos a dejar atrás escuelas para las demandas del futuro, siempre con los docentes como reconoce como un espacio de defensa del liberalismo político, admite la PLATAFORMA para los desafíos del futuro. el desorden macroeconómico, la presión fiscal desbordada, los monopolios, las centro de cualquier estrategia. diversidad de opiniones y reconoce que la democracia liberal es un sistema JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO ventajas sectoriales y los malos incentivos que erosionaron nuestro potencial. idóneo –el mejor inventado hasta ahora– para proteger a las minorías, PASOJUNTOS 2019 POR EL CAMBIO Creemos también en la igualdad ante la ley, fundamento del Estado Los miembros de esta coalición también vemos a la integración internacional defender los derechos civiles y sociales, y procesar las diferencias políticas democrático de derecho, porque ningún dirigente y ninguna corporación JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO cree que el principal problema económico de la más como una oportunidad que como una amenaza. La globalidad nos inter- entre los distintos grupos de la sociedad. PASO 2019 pueden reclamar un trato preferencial. Creemos en una verdadera igualdad Argentina es la pobreza y que todas las acciones de gobierno deben estar pela; nuestras conversaciones, nuestros consumos y nuestras relaciones son de oportunidades, que le permita a cada habitante de la Argentina tomar en orientadas a reducirla. -
XXV ENCUENTRO DEL FORO DE SÃO PAULO Caracas, Venezuela - 25 Al 28 De Julio 2019
XXV ENCUENTRO DEL FORO DE SÃO PAULO Caracas, Venezuela - 25 al 28 de julio 2019 MEMORIA _______________________________ 1. PRESENTACIÓN El XXV Encuentro del Foro de São Paulo fue organizado en la ciudad de Caracas, Venezuela, del 25 al 28 de julio de 2019, bajo el lema “Por la Paz, la Soberanía y la Prosperidad de los Pueblos: ¡Unidad, Lucha, Batalla y Victoria!” Realizamos varias actividades: - Encuentros simultáneos: Afrodescendientes; Juventudes; Mujeres; Parlamentarios; Pueblos originarios; - Reuniones de las secretarías regionales: Andino Amazónica, Cono Sur y Mesoamérica y el Caribe; - Reuniones con los partidos políticos amigos de Asia, África y Oriente Medio; - Actividades temáticas: Debate sobre la economía mundial; Reunión de intelectuales, artistas y movimientos sociales; Taller de comunicación; - II Diálogo con las plataformas, articulaciones y redes del movimiento social y popular; - Seminario sobre las experiencias y perspectivas de los gobiernos progresistas de América Latina y el Caribe; - Plenarias del XXV Encuentro. Esta Memoria del XXV Encuentro del Foro de São Paulo reúne los documentos fundamentales aprobados o presentados durante los trabajos. Mônica Valente Secretaria Ejecutiva Foro de São Paulo ____________________________________________________________ 2. PROGRAMACIÓN REALIZADA Jueves, 25 de julio de 2019 8 a.m. 1 Reunión del Grupo de Trabajo del Foro de Sao Paulo (GT-FSP). 9h00 - Diálogo del Foro de Sao Paulo con las Plataformas, Articulaciones y Redes del Movimiento Social y Popular, en su segunda edición. - Encuentro de Centros de Estudios y Escuelas de Formación Política. - Foro: “Perspectivas y Enigmas de la Economía Mundial”. 13h00 - Almuerzo. 15h00 - Reunión del Grupo de Trabajo del Foro de Sao Paulo (GT-FSP) con el Partido de la Izquierda Europea (PIE). -
Argentina's Delegative Democracy: a Case Study
ARGENTINA’S DELEGATIVE DEMOCRACY: A CASE STUDY A dissertation presented by Florencia Inés Gabriele to The Department of Political Science In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the field of Political Science Northeastern University Boston, Massachusetts December 2013 1 ARGENTINA’S DELEGATIVE DEMOCRACY: A CASE STUDY by Florencia Ines Gabriele ABSTRACT OF DISSERTATION Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Political Science in the College of Social Sciences and Humanities of Northeastern University December, 2013 2 ABSTRACT This study analyses why Argentina remained an immature and underdeveloped delegative democracy rather than a fully-liberal democratic polity. Following the work of Guillermo O’Donnell this work explores the quality of, and serious deficiencies in, Argentina’s democracy. This work pays special attention to presidential use and misuse of Decrees of Necessity and Urgency by as a means to govern alone, thus bypassing Congress and how there is no existing check and balances in the government in this regard. Observing delegative democracies, this work also examines the following: the use of economic restrictions, use of policies such as nationalizations, privatizations, management of the federal budget, international relations of the country, restriction on the media, behavior of the judiciary branch, changes in the national constitution, and decreasing role of the Vice President. This work analyzes the relationship between democracy, decrees of necessity and urgency, laws sanctioned by Congress and inflation using transfer function models. Democracy is measured using the Polity IV dataset. There is a causal relationship among the explanatory variables (inputs) —the numbers of laws passed by Congress, inflation, and number of DNU — and Democracy (output). -
2021 Year Ahead
2021 YEAR AHEAD Claudio Brocado Anthony Brocado January 29, 2021 1 2020 turned out to be quite unusual. What may the year ahead and beyond bring? As the year got started, the consensus was that a strong 2019 for equities would be followed by a positive first half, after which meaningful volatility would kick in due to the US presidential election. In the spirit of our prefer- ence for a contrarian stance, we had expected somewhat the opposite: some profit-taking in the first half of 2020, followed by a rally that would result in a positive balance at year-end. But in the way of the markets – which always tend to catch the largest number of participants off guard – we had what some would argue was one of the strangest years in recent memory. 2 2020 turned out to be a very eventful year. The global virus crisis (GVC) brought about by the coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic was something no serious market observer had anticipated as 2020 got started. Volatility had been all but nonexistent early in what we call ‘the new 20s’, which had led us to expect the few remaining volatile asset classes, such as cryptocurrencies, to benefit from the search for more extreme price swings. We had expected volatilities across asset classes to show some convergence. The markets delivered, but not in the direction we had expected. Volatilities surged higher across many assets, with the CBOE volatility index (VIX) reaching some of the highest readings in many years. As it became clear that what was commonly called the novel coronavirus would bring about a pandemic as it spread to the remotest corners of the world at record speeds, the markets feared the worst. -
“Bringing Militancy to Management”: an Approach to the Relationship
“Bringing Militancy to Management”: An Approach to the Relationship between Activism 67 “Bringing Militancy to Management”: An Approach to the Relationship between Activism and Government Employment during the Cristina Fernández de Kirchner Administration in Argentina Melina Vázquez* Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET); Instituto de Investigaciones Gino Germani; Universidad de Buenos Aires, Argentina Abstract This article explores the relationship between employment in public administration and militant commitment, which is understood as that which the actors themselves define as “militant management.” To this end, an analysis is presented of three groups created within three Argentine ministries that adopted “Kirchnerist” ideology: La graN maKro (The Great Makro), the Juventud de Obras Públicas, and the Corriente de Libertación Nacional. The article explores the conditions of possibility and principal characteristics of this activism as well as the guidelines for admission, continuing membership, and promotion – both within the groups and within government entities – and the way that this type of militancy is articulated with expert, professional and academic capital as well as the capital constituted by the militants themselves. Keywords: Activism, expert knowledge, militant careers, state. * Article received on November 22, 2013; final version approved on March 26, 2014. This article is part of a series of studies that the author is working on as a researcher at CONICET and is part of the project “Activism and the Political Commitment of Youth: A Socio-Historical Study of their Political and Activist Experiences (1969-2011)” sponsored by the National Agency for Scientific and Technological Promotion, Argentine Ministry of Science, Technology and Productive Innovation (2012-2015), of which the author is the director. -
Cómo Citar El Artículo Número Completo Más Información Del Artículo
deSignis ISSN: 1578-4223 ISSN: 2462-7259 [email protected] Federación Latinoamericana de Semiótica Organismo Internacional Dagatti, Mariano; Gómez Triben, Mariana Como la cigarra. Imagen, espectáculo y narración en la campaña presidencial de Todos (Argentina, 2019) deSignis, vol. 33, 2020, Julio-, pp. 179-203 Federación Latinoamericana de Semiótica Organismo Internacional DOI: https://doi.org/10.35659/designis.i33p179-203 Disponible en: https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=606064829013 Cómo citar el artículo Número completo Sistema de Información Científica Redalyc Más información del artículo Red de Revistas Científicas de América Latina y el Caribe, España y Portugal Página de la revista en redalyc.org Proyecto académico sin fines de lucro, desarrollado bajo la iniciativa de acceso abierto http://dx.doi.org/10.35659/designis.i33p179-203 COMO LA CIGARRA. IMAGEN, ESPECTÁCULO Y NARRACIÓN EN LA CAMPAÑA PRESIDENCIAL DEL FRENTE DE TODOS (ARGENTINA, 2019) Como la cigarra. Relatos de ilusión y desencanto en la campaña presidencial del Frente de Todos (Argentina, 2019). Sounds of the cicada. Stories of illusion and disenchantment in the presidential campaign of the Frente de Todos (Argentina, 2019) Mariano Dagatti y Mariana Gómez Triben (pág 179 - pág 203) La campaña presidencial del Frente de Todos en las elecciones nacionales de 2019 fue novedosa en muchos aspectos. Los candidatos de la fórmula, Alberto Fernández y Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, dos políticos de fuste y de larga trayectoria, privilegiaron diferentes estrategias de comunicación con el fin de alcanzar a diferentes sectores de la ciu- dadanía. Compartieron apenas cuatro actos antes del rotundo triunfo en primera vuelta, y un quinto para celebrar la asunción al cargo máximo del Poder Ejecutivo. -
Argentina's Reparations Bonds: an Analysis of Continuing Obligations
Fordham International Law Journal Volume 28, Issue 3 2004 Article 9 Argentina’s Reparations Bonds: An Analysis of Continuing Obligations Christina M. Wilson∗ ∗ Copyright c 2004 by the authors. Fordham International Law Journal is produced by The Berke- ley Electronic Press (bepress). http://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/ilj Argentina’s Reparations Bonds: An Analysis of Continuing Obligations Christina M. Wilson Abstract This Note will address the various avenues along which the reparation recipients might pur- sue the vindication of their right to reparations. Part I will provide background information on the Dirty War, reconciliation process, reparation laws and the economic events that resulted in Ar- gentina’s sovereign debt crisis. Part I will also describe the various sources of law both domestic and international upholding the right to reparations. Part II will explore the various cases that have interpreted this right and the implications they have on the reparation recipients’ possible reme- dies. Part III will analyze which of these remedies seems most likely to yield a favorable result for the reparation recipients. NOTES ARGENTINA'S REPARATION BONDS: AN ANALYSIS OF CONTINUING OBLIGATIONS ChristinaM. Wilson* INTRODUCTION Born in 1925, Elsa Oesterheld grew up an only child in Ar- gentina.1 She married a comic book scriptwriter and had four daughters who, in 1976, were all married and ranged in age from eighteen to twenty-three.2 Two of her daughters were pregnant and the other two had children.' Within months, they were all gone.4 The military abducted her husband, her four daughters, and two of her sons-in-law, leaving Elsa to raise her * Associate at Shearman & Sterling, LLP, New York, New York. -
FICHA PAÍS Argentina República Argentina
OFICINA DE INFORMACIÓN DIPLOMÁTICA FICHA PAÍS Argentina República Argentina La Oficina de Información Diplomática del Ministerio de Asuntos Exteriores, Unión Europea y Cooperación pone a disposición de los profesionales de los medios de comunicación y del público en general la presente ficha país. La información contenida en esta ficha país es pública y se ha extraído de diversos medios, no defendiendo posición política alguna ni de este Ministerio ni del Gobierno de España respecto del país sobre el que versa. SEPTIEMBRE 2021 1. DATOS BÁSICOS Argentina 1.1. Características generales BOLIVIA Nombre oficial: República Argentina. Superficie: 2.780.400 km². Océano Pacífico PARAGUAY Límites: Limita al norte con Bolivia, Paraguay y Brasil, al este con Brasil, Uruguay y el Océano Atlántico, al sur con Chile y el Océano Atlántico y al Salta Oeste con Chile. Capital: Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires (3.075.646 hab. en 2020) San Miguel de Tucumán Otras ciudades: Córdoba (1.454.536 hab.); Rosario (1.237.664 hab.); La Plata (654.324); San Miguel de Tucumán (800.087 hab.). Idioma: Español. Moneda: Peso argentino=100 centavos. BRASIL Religión: La religión mayoritaria, a la que el Estado reconoce un carácter San Juan Córdoba Rosario preeminente, es la católica (77%). Se practican también otros cultos como el protestante, judío, musulmán, ortodoxo griego, ortodoxo ruso y otros. Mendoza Forma de Estado: República federal URUGUAY División administrativa: La República Argentina está organizada en 23 pro- BUENOS AIRES San Rafael vincias y la Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires. Las provincias dividen su territorio en departamentos y estos a su vez se componen de municipios, con Santa Rosa la excepción de la provincia de Buenos Aires que sólo lo hace en municipios denominados partidos. -
The Politics of Everyday Subversion: Crisis, COVID-19, and Coming-Of-Age in Córdoba, Argentina
University of Mississippi eGrove Honors College (Sally McDonnell Barksdale Honors Theses Honors College) Spring 4-19-2021 The Politics of Everyday Subversion: Crisis, COVID-19, and Coming-of-Age in Córdoba, Argentina Abby Flickinger Follow this and additional works at: https://egrove.olemiss.edu/hon_thesis Recommended Citation Flickinger, Abby, "The Politics of Everyday Subversion: Crisis, COVID-19, and Coming-of-Age in Córdoba, Argentina" (2021). Honors Theses. 1897. https://egrove.olemiss.edu/hon_thesis/1897 This Undergraduate Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Honors College (Sally McDonnell Barksdale Honors College) at eGrove. It has been accepted for inclusion in Honors Theses by an authorized administrator of eGrove. For more information, please contact [email protected]. The Politics of Everyday Subversion: Crisis, COVID-19, and Coming-of-Age in Córdoba, Argentina © 2021 By Abby Flickinger A thesis presented in partial fulfillment of the requirements for completion of the Bachelor of Arts degree in International Studies Croft Institute for International Studies Sally McDonnell Barksdale Honors College The University of Mississippi University, Mississippi May 2021 Approved: _____________________________ Advisor: Dr. Marcos Mendoza _____________________________ Reader: Dr. Oliver Dinius _____________________________ Reader: Dr. Jesse Cromwell !2 © 2021 Abby Flickinger ALL RIGHTS RESERVED !3 Acknowledgements: I would first like to thank my parents for trusting my judgment and letting me stay in a foreign country during a global pandemic — the dice roll paid off. Thank you to my cohort for being an ear to listen and shoulder to cry on, even from 5,000 miles away. A special thanks to Ben for being my voice of reason for the past four years, I never would have made it without you. -
Argentina: on the Slippery Slope to Full Nationalization?
LATIN AMERICA 33 Photo: Presidencia de la Nación Argentina/Wikipedia. Argentina: On the slippery slope to full nationalization? Michelle Bachelet, a former president of Chile and Cristina Kirchner, Argentina’s president, next to the statue of Evita Peron Marcia Carmo, Buenos Aires 51% of its shares, leaving Repsol with only a 6% share in YPF. Repsol risks Has late Argentine first lady Eva Duarte getting nothing for the expropriation: de Peron been resurrected for President Deputy Minister of the Economy Axel Cristina Kirchner’s administration? Evita, Kicillof said it will be charged with who died 60 years ago, embodied the environmental liabilities populist polices of Peronism that previous “We are the only country in Latin President Nestor Kirchner and his wife, America and one of the few in the world the current president, have been reviving that does not manage its own natural since 2003. These policies favor a larger resources,” Kirchner said, claiming that government presence in the economy. the expropriation will help reverse this A picture of the late Evita was the situation. She blamed Repsol for falls in oil backdrop for the president’s announcement production and for Argentina becoming that her government was intervening an importer of fuel. “For the first time in in Repsol-YPF, in which the majority 17 years, since the privatization of YPF shareholder was Spanish company Repsol, in 1998, in 2011 we became importers and was advancing a bill to expropriate of oil and gas,” she said. Last year the May 2012 The Brazilian Economy 34 LATIN AMERICA Although foreigners Mariel Fornoni of Management & Fit warned that “Argentines support the heavily criticized expropriation, but not blindly. -
Revista-07.Pdf
AUTORIDADES Dra. Cristina Fernández de Kirchner Presidenta de la Nación Lic. Amado Boudou Vicepresidente de la Nación Cdor. Jorge Milton Capitanich Jefe de Gabinete de Ministros Dra. María Matilde Morales Secretaria Ejecutiva Consejo Nacional de Coordinación de Políticas Sociales Arq. D. Julio De Vido Ministro de Planificación Federal, Inversión Pública y Servicios Dr. Alberto Sileoni Ministro de Educación Dr. Carlos Tomada Ministro de Trabajo, Empleo y Seguridad Social Juan Luis Manzur Ministro de Salud Dra. Da. Alicia Kirchner Ministra de Desarrollo Social Ing. Agr. Carlos Casamiquela Ministro de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca Dr. Daniel Reposo Síndico General de la Nación Dr. Eduardo Omar Gallo Síndico General Adjunto Dr. Agustín Carlos A. Tarelli Síndico General Adjunto Revista SIGEN SUMARIO Año 5 / Nº 7 / Noviembre 2014 Staff 02. Editorial Director Dr. Daniel G. Reposo 04. ¿Qué es la Red Federal de Control Público? Subdirectores Dr. Agustín A. Tarelli Dr. Eduardo O. Gallo 09. Breve historia Comité Editorial 13. Fortalezas, Objetivos y Resultados Cr. Marcelo Cainzos Cr. Alejandro Díaz Dra. María Isabel Fimognare 15. Decreto 38 / 2014 Cra. Miriam Lariguet Ing. Fernando Mollo Ing. Arturo Papazián 2014, el año en que el Gobierno Nacional destacó la labor de la Dra. María E. Rodríguez Greno 20. Dr. Agustín Tarelli Red Federal de Control Público Cr. Arturo Zaera 26. El Secretariado Permanente de Tribunales de Cuentas en la Coordinación Periodística Red Federal de Control Público Lic. Jorge Laprovitta Paola Busti 29. El Tribunal de Cuentas de Tucumán en la Red Federal de Paola Abatto Valsamakis Control Público Coordinación de Diseño y 33. Red Federal de Control Público a diez años de su creación Producción Gráfica Roberto Cappa 35.