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Life expectancy

Life expectancy is the average number of years a person would expect to live given current mortality rates.

Average life expectancy in Trafford

The average life expectancy at birth in Trafford during 2014-16 was 83.7 years for females and 80 years for males. Average life expectancy in Trafford was slightly above England which was 83.1 years for females and 79.5 years for males.

Figure 1 shows average life expectancy at birth by all of the 324 local authorities in England. Trafford is in the 3rd quintile for average life expectancy by birth for females and males.

Figure 1: Life expectancy at birth by local authority, 2014-2016 d n a Female l g

Manchester n Trafford Camden E d n a Male l g

Blackpool n Trafford Kensington and Chelsea E

74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87

Source: ONS | @traffordDataLab

Download: Data | Image | R code

Average life expectancy by ward

Reporting average life expectancy at a local authority level masks Figure 2: Life expectancy at birth in Trafford's wards, 2011-2015 considerable variation at a ward level. Figure 2 reveals that

83.3 Hale Barns y females living in Hale Barns are on average expected to reach the c n a t Hale Central c 82.8 85.7 e age of 86.9 years but those living in Bucklow-St. Martins are only p x e 82.9 85.3 Bowdon e f i l

expected to reach the age of 78.9 years. In fact, female life e g 82 85 Brooklands a r e v expectancy in Bucklow-St. Martins is below the Trafford average Priory A 81.3 85 for males which was 79.8 years in 2011-15. The average life Ashton upon Mersey 80.5 85.8 expectancy at birth for males living in Bucklow-St. Martins is 8 Sale Moor 80.5 85.1 Timperley 80.8 84.2 years lower than those living in Hale Barns. Altrincham 79.7 84.9

Broadheath 80.3 83.6

Davyhulme West 79.7 83.7

Davyhulme East 80.7 82.7

St Mary's 80.2 82.6

Longford 78.9 83.5

Flixton 80.3 82.1

Village 78.9 83.1

78.3 81.6 Urmston y c n a t Gorse Hill 76.5 83.1 c e p x e 77.4 82.1 Stretford e f i l

e

76 83.2 g Clifford a r e v Bucklow-St Martins 75.3 78.9 A

Male Female

Download: Data | Image | R code Healthy life expectancy by ward

Healthy life expectancy is an estimate of the number of years a Figure 3: Life expectancy and healthy life expectancy by ward, 2009-13 person is expected to live in 'good' health. If Trafford experienced ) s

r 75

a Hale Central e y the same self-reported health and mortality rates that were ( Bowdon Hale Barns cy

n Timperley a 70

ct Ashton upon Mersey observed during 2014-16, females can expect to live 66.2 years in Brooklands

pe Altrincham x

Davyhulme East Broadheath F e

Priory e e

Village ma f i

good health (79.1% of their life) and males 62.7 years in 'Good' l 65 Flixton Davyhulme West Sale Moor y l e h

t Urmston Stretford St Mary's l

a Longford health (78.4% of their life). This suggests that on average women e H Gorse Hill 60 can expect 17.5 years of living in 'Not good' health and men 17.3 Bucklow­St Martins years. 55 Clifford

Data from 2009-13 suggests that there is significant ward 75

Hale Central variation in the number of years people can be expected to spend Bowdon Hale Barns 70 Timperley Brooklands in 'good' health. For example, females living in Hale Central can Broadheath Ashton upon Mersey Altrincham M Flixton Priory a 65 l Davyhulme East Davyhulme West e expect to spend 73.9 years in 'good' health whilst those living in St Mary's Urmston Village Sale Moor Stretford 60 Clifford can only expect 55.7 years. This represents a high level of Gorse Hill Longford inequality in health life expectancy of 18.2 years. Bucklow­St Martins Clifford 55 75 80 85 90 Life expectancy (years)

Source: ONS | @traffordDataLab

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The Slope Index of Inequality

The Slope Index of Inequality (SII) shows how much life Figure 4: Inequality in life expectancy at birth, 2013-15 expectancy varies with deprivation. The steepness of the slope

) 95 s r a e y represents the inequality in life expectancy that is related to ( 90 h t r i b deprivation in the neighbourhood. A horizontal line would t

a 85

F y c e n m a t indicate that there was no inequality. 80 a c l e e xp e 75 e f i In figure 4 the slope indicates that life expectancy increases for L 70 both females and males as levels of deprivation decreases. In 65

2013-15 females had an SII of 7.6 years and males 9.1 years. This 95 gap widened during 2014-16 with life expectancy in the most 90 deprived neighbourhoods of Trafford being 8.2 years lower for 85 M a

80 l females and 10.4 years lower for males than in the least deprived e neighbourhoods. 75

70

Inequality in healthy life expectancy at birth during 2009-13 was 65 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 IMD decile 15.8 years for females and 16.1 years for males. Source: Public Health Outcomes Framework | @traffordDataLab

Download: Data | Image | R code Figure 5: Trend in the inequality in life expectancy at birth Figure 5 shows the life expectancy gap for the periods 2010-12 to

2014-16. The female life expectancy gap has been steadily Female Male increasing whilst the male gap has remained largely static. 12

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0 2 3 4 5 6 2 3 4 5 6 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

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0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 3 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Source: Public Health Outcomes Framework | @traffordDataLab

Download: Data | Image | R code

Data sources

Fingertips Health Profiles Public Health England: Local Health

Code licensed under MIT, data under OGL