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GREATER PHOENIX REGIONAL ATLAS a Preview of the Region’S 50-Year Future GP2100 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS GREATER PHOENIX REGIONAL ATLAS A Preview of the Region’s 50-Year Future GP2100 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS GREATER PHOENIX 2100 STEERING COMMITTEE Ray Quay, Atlas Editor Jonathan Fink Grady Gammage, Jr. Rob Melnick Charles Redman Fritz Steiner, Emeritus COMMENTATORS REVIEWERS Catherine R. Eden, Arizona Department of Health Services Eric Anderson, Maricopa Association of Governments Editorial Board, The Arizona Republic Lindy Bauer, Maricopa Association of Governments Ed Fox, Pinnacle West Diane Bender, Arizona State University Terry Goddard, Arizona Attorney General, Formerly U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Arizona State Office Lynn Favour, Maricopa County Planning & Development Grady Gammage, Jr., Central Arizona Project Will Humble, Arizona Department of Health Services Sheila Grinell, Arizona Science Center Mary Kihl, Arizona State University Ed Pastor, Fourth Congressional District of Arizona Dale Mason, Arizona Department of Water Resources Dr. Carol Peck, The Rodel Charitable Foundation of Arizona, Jim Mathien, City of Phoenix Formerly Alhambra Elementary School District Fernando Munoz-Carmona, Arizona State University Charles L. Redman, Arizona State University Jon Talton, The Arizona Republic Steve Rossi, City of Phoenix Rick Weddle, Greater Phoenix Economic Council Rita Walton, Maricopa Association of Governments Raymond L. Woosley, The University of Arizona Harry Wolfe, Maricopa Association of Governments ISSUE AND DATA DEVELOPMENT Anubhav Bagley, Maricopa Association of Governments Dale Mason, Arizona Department of Water Resources Anthony Brazel, Arizona State University Peter McCartney, Arizona State University Jay Butler, Arizona State University Jennifer McCulley, Arizona State University Ruey-In Chiou, Maricopa Association of Governments Christine McRight, Nathan & Associates, Inc. Phil Cummings, Maricopa County Laura Musacchio, Arizona State University Marta Dent, Flood Control District of Maricopa County Tom Rex, Arizona State University H. Fernando, Arizona State University William L. Stefanov, Arizona State University Donna Gadbois, City of Phoenix Carlane Stephan, Arizona Department of Water Resources Susan Goldsmith, Greater Phoenix 2100 Glenn Stuart, Arizona State University Corinna Gries, Arizona State University Timothy Tilton, City of Phoenix Gwen M. Hoganson, Maps & Facts Unlimited, Inc. Jack Tomasik, Maricopa Association of Governments Jim Holway, Arizona Department of Water Resources Doug Williams, Flood Control District of Maricopa County Peter Hyde, Arizona Department of Environmental Quality Rita Walton, Maricopa Association of Governments Nancy Jones, Greater Phoenix 2100 Don Worley, Maricopa Association of Governments Mike Kuby, Arizona State University Qing Xia, Maricopa Association of Governments Jack Lavelle, Arizona Department of Water Resources Gerald N. Zaddack, Johnson and Zaddack, Inc. Sang-Mi Lee, Arizona State University Joe Zehnder, Arizona State University GRAPHIC DESIGN AND PRODUCTION ASU GENERAL PROJECT ASSISTANCE ASU GIS AND MAP DEVELOPMENT SUPPORT Karen Heard Patrick Hays Shawn Conrad Chalk Design Madhusudan Katti Jayme Harris Shalini Prasad Leslie Landrum Jana Hutchins Arizona State University Karen Leland Beshan Kulapala Wendy Resnik Wayne Porter Radha Kunda Cecilia Romero Robert Murray Kim Shetter Arizona State University Cynthia Ryan C. Scott Smith Brenda Shears Michael Zoldak Nancy Welch Shirley Stapleton The Insight Group Paige Warren Linda Williams Cindy Zisner THIS ATLAS WAS FUNDED IN PART BY THE GENEROUS FINANCIAL CONTRIBUTIONS OF Central Arizona Project City of Phoenix Johnson & Zaddack, Inc. Lincoln Institute of Land Policy Phoenix Zoo Scion Natural Science Association SRP Valley Forward GREATER PHOENIX REGIONAL ATLAS A Preview of the Region’s 50-Year Future GP2100 IN ASSOCIATION WITH Morrison Institute for Public Policy Center for Environmental Studies Office of the Vice President for Research & Economic Affairs GREATER PHOENIX 2100 PO Box 873211 Tempe, Arizona 85287-3211 www.gp2100.org Phone 480.965.2975 Fax 480.965.8087 Copyright ©2003 Arizona Board of Regents for and on behalf of Arizona State University. All rights reserved under International and Pan-American Copyright Conventions. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the publisher. Published 2003 Printed in the United States of America Greater Phoenix 2100 is a trademark of Arizona State University. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Greater Phoenix 2100, Arizona State University Greater Phoenix Regional Atlas: A Preview of the Region’s 50-Year Future / Greater Phoenix 2100, Arizona State University p. cm Includes bibliographical references ISBN 1-884320-25-2 1. Regional Planning, Arizona, Phoenix Metropolitan Area. 2. City Planning, Arizona, Phoenix Metropolitan Area. 3. Urban Policy, Arizona, Phoenix Metropolitan Area. 4. Atlas. Foreword 2 GREATER PHOENIX REGIONAL ATLAS: A Preview of the Region’s 50-Year Future FOREWORD he sustainability of our planet, our nation Each of these indicators is the result of more than This Atlas is the first iteration of such a tool. It is and our region remains in doubt. We live 300 years of industrialization and development the first product of intellectual efforts to broaden T today with the realization that human around the planet. These indicators measure global the scope of mapping and thinking about this impact on natural systems has long-term outcomes change, and might seem remote to the desert region. Our hope is that it can serve as a first step — both positive and negative — for our social, dwellers of Greater Phoenix. But if measured here toward decisions that can improve the likelihood economic and cultural futures. The dynamics of in Arizona, in exactly the same way over the last of this region making a transition toward a sus- understanding sustainability and the development 100 years, each of these indicators would show tainable future. We are not yet on such a path, but of knowledge and tools to advance economic and dramatic transformational impact. We really are at least we are talking about it. environmental well-being will be a critical area of all parts of the same system, and with modern interest to academic communities, as well as to measuring technologies, we can monitor global This Atlas has been prepared by an interdisciplinary the broader public and private sectors. changes on a local scale. team of scholars, analysts and planners working beyond their individual fields to contribute to our To think clearly about moving toward sustain- Greater Phoenix occupies a particularly challeng- stock of knowledge. I hope you will enjoy the ability we must begin the process of mapping ing natural environment that was not well suited Atlas and will help refine its data so that future past, present and future human interactions with to large scale human habitation until technology editions will bring greater detail and clarity to the natural systems along multiple, interconnected tamed the heat and aridity. Today, because of its critical issues of sustainable growth for Greater dimensions. We know, for instance, that there is a speed of growth and overall level of impact on Phoenix. Our challenge is great, but meeting it is direct correlation between distribution of air the environment, our city is moving in the same absolutely necessary. pollution particles and the emergence of human direction as the rest of the world but at an even ailments such as asthma. In the southwestern faster pace. Our region is wildly popular because United States, we appreciate the complex and of its natural beauty, natural assets and quality of interrelated issues surrounding the acquisition, life. These three features must be maintained and transportation, distribution, use and reuse of enhanced as our population grows from 3.5 mil- water. We cannot help but see on a daily basis lion people to as many as 12 million or more over changes in land use, air quality and water con- the next few decades. We must begin a process Michael M. Crow sumption that dramatically affect our personal now to lay down the foundation to insure we can President lives and the broader physical world. grow while remaining true to who we are, what Arizona State University we do, and where we are headed. March 2003 We must begin to develop the tools to see the past, evaluate the present and speculate with some It is the interrelationship between environmental clarity about the future. Over the last several years, sustainability, socio-economic development and Arizona State University has begun to take on the the economic well-being of this region that makes complicated and challenging task of developing outlining the basis of information for decisions such tools in order to see more clearly the metro- so critically important. What we decide about politan area we are building. In the last 100 years, transportation systems affects the distribution of Greater Phoenix has undergone unprecedented future population, and subsequently the distribu- growth, transforming this place from a remote tion of property values, of wealth and poverty, and desert outpost to an emerging global city. We are ultimately of crime and disease or of stability and growing rapidly along a trajectory toward a health. And in the complex matrix of our plural- massively transformed and human-engineered istic democracy, transportation systems represent environment. This transformed environment is only one of the hundreds of decisions on which a beginning
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