1999 REDISTRIBUTION: ANALYSIS OF FINAL BOUNDARIES

RESEARCH BULLETIN NO 9/99

ANTONY GREEN

QUEENSLAND PARLIAMENTARY LIBRARY Research Publications and Resources Section

BRISBANE December 1999 ISSN 1325-1341 ISBN 0 7242 7865 6 © Queensland Parliamentary Library, 1999

Copyright protects this publication. Except for purposes permitted by the Copyright Act 1968, reproduction by whatever means is prohibited, other than by Members of the Queensland Parliament in the course of their official duties, without the prior written permission of the Parliamentary Librarian, Queensland Parliamentary Library.

Inquiries should be addressed to: Director, Research Publications & Resources, Queensland Parliamentary Library, Parliament House, George Street, . Director: Ms Mary Seefried. (Tel: 3406 7116)

Information about Research Publications can be found on the Internet at: http://www.parliament.qld.gov.au/library/research/index.html CONTENTS PAGE

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1

1. INTRODUCTION 3

2. ANALYSIS BASED ON 1998 STATE ELECTION 5

3. FULL LISTING OF NEW ELECTORATES 12

4. ANALYSIS BASED ON 1995 STATE ELECTION 46

5. ANALYSIS BASED ON 1998 FEDERAL ELECTION 50

6. SUMMARY OF CHANGES TO MARGINS 53

APPENDICES

A. SUMMARY OF 1998 ELECTION RESULTS 56

B. DETAILS OF METHODOLOGY AND CALCULATIONS 64 The Author

Antony Green is an Election Analyst with ABC-Television, and has worked for the ABC on every state and federal election coverage since 1989. He also writes regularly on politics for the Sydney Morning Herald, and prepares publications for the Parliamentary Library on electoral matters.

Antony studied at Sydney University, obtaining a Bachelor of Science in mathematics and computing, and a Bachelor of Economics with Honours in politics.

His last publication for the Queensland Parliamentary Library was "Queensland Elections 1986 to 1995: A Comparative Analysis" (Research Bulletin No. 5/96)

Party Abbreviations

AFP Australia First Party ALP Labor Party ARP Australian Reform Party CDP Christian Democrat Party DEM Australian Democrats GRN The Greens IND Independents LIB Liberal Party LNP Liberal or National Party NAT National Party ONP Pauline Hanson's One Nation Party OTH Other parties and independents TSP The Shooters' Party

Comments and Feedback

While every endeavour has been made to ensure the accuracy of this publication, transferring election results to match new electoral boundaries is not a precise science. In particular, the author has been forced to make decisions on splitting and moving polling places between electorates on the basis of maps rather than first hand local knowledge. The author is quite happy to receive feedback on any aspect of this publication directly at his e-mail address: [email protected]. 1999 Queensland Redistribution

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Summary of Major Changes

The new electoral boundaries have effectively abolished one Brisbane and one country electorate, replaced by new electorates on the Gold and Sunshine Coasts. In Brisbane's northern suburbs, the new electorate of Stafford includes most of the abolished electorates of Chermside and Kedron, while has been created in place of the abolished Crows Nest and Western Downs. The two new electorates are Gaven in the Gold Coast hinterland, and Glass House in the Sunshine Coast hinterland.

While all 89 electorates have had their boundaries altered, 76 retain the same name. Nine electorates have been re-named, while there are four abolished and four new electorates. The details of new and re-named electorates are set out in the table below.

New Electorate Old Electorate/Name Algester New name for Archerfield Darling Downs Replaces Crows Nest and Western Downs Gaven New Gold Coast electorate Glass House New Sunshine Coast electorate Kawana New name for Mooloolah Mudgeeraba New name for Nerang New name for Barambah Pumicestone New name for Caboolture Robina New name for Merrimac Southern Downs New name for Warwick Stafford Replaces Chermside and Kedron Stretton New name for Sunnybank Yeerongpilly New name for Yeronga

The Political Impact of the New Boundaries

Based on the results of the 1998 Queensland election, the following two tables provide a summary of the political impact of the new boundaries. Summaries of all new electorates are provided in Section 2, with full details for each electorate in Section 3.

Table 2.1: Summary of Redistribution based on 1998 Queensland Election Results ALP NAT LIB ONP IND Seats won at 1998 election 44 23 9 11 2 Translated to new boundaries 43 21 10 13 2

Table 2.2: Summary of Seats Changing Party Status based on 1998 Election Summary of Changes Abolished Electorates (4) Chermside (ALP), Crows Nest (NAT), Kedron (ALP), Western Downs (NAT) New Electorates (4) Darling Downs (NAT), Gaven (NAT), Glass House (ONP), Stafford (ALP) Electorates notionally changing Albert (NAT to ALP), Callide (NAT to ONP), Party status (3) Springwood (ALP to LIB)

The same analysis has also been carried out using the results of the 1995 Queensland election. This analysis is summarised in the following two tables. Summaries of all new electorates based on the 1995 election are provided in Section 4.

1 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Table 4.1: Summary of Redistribution based on 1995 Election ALP NAT LIB ONP IND Seats won at 1995 election 45 29 14 .. 1 Translated to new boundaries 43 30 15 .. 1

Table 4.2: Summary of Seats Changing Party Status based on 1995 Election. Summary of Changes Abolished Electorates (4) Chermside (ALP), Crows Nest (NAT), Kedron (ALP), Western Downs (NAT) New Electorates (4) Darling Downs (NAT), Gaven (NAT), Glass House (NAT), Stafford (ALP) Electorates notionally changing Albert (NAT to ALP), (ALP to NAT), Party status (6) Greenslopes (LIB to ALP), Mount Gravatt (ALP to LIB), Mulgrave (NAT to ALP), Mundingburra (ALP to LIB), Whitsunday (ALP to NAT)

Based on analysis of the two elections, and the 1998 Federal election, the following table summarizes the seats where the margin for the sitting member has been significantly altered. The change in margins for all electorate are provided in Section 6.

Table 6.1: Summary of Seats where Margin Changes by More Than 1% Party Electorates (Old Electorate Name) Strengthened for Labor Party Algester (Archerfield), Ashgrove, Greenslopes, Redcliffe, Waterford, Yeerongpilly (Yeronga) Weakened for Labor Party Bundaberg, Chatsworth, Fitzroy, Logan, Mount Gravatt, Mount Isa, Mundingburra, Whitsunday Strengthened for National Party Albert, Beaudesert, Broadwater, Mirani, North, Warrego Weakened for National Party Gregory, Redlands, Southport, Surfers Paradise Strengthened for Liberal Party Robina (Merrimac) Weakened for Liberal Party Clayfield Strengthened for One Nation Ipswich West Weakened for One Nation Burdekin, Lockyer, Pumicestone (Caboolture), Mulgrave

Antony Green December 1999

2 1999 Queensland Redistribution

1. INTRODUCTION

This publication contains estimates of the political impact of the new Queensland electoral boundaries, as finalised by the Queensland Redistribution Commission on 7 July 1999. Most of the analysis is based on re-assigning the results of the 1998 state election to correspond to the new boundaries. However, estimates are also provided based on the 1995 state election, and the 1998 federal election. Full details of the method of calculation used are contained in Appendix B.

A Caution on Interpreting Figures

All votes have been assigned to new electorates on the basis of party. However, this overlooks two very important factors that can help determine the level of vote for a candidate within an electorate.

The first is that a well known sitting member can attract a higher vote than his or her party would otherwise receive. For this reason, party votes transferred in or out of an electorate may not accurately reflect the level of vote the party will receive in the new electorate. Secondly, marginal seats tend to see much more intense campaigns than safe seats. Votes transferred reflect the intensity of campaign on the old electoral boundaries, which may not be repeated in any campaign on the new boundaries.

For both of these reasons, all quoted margins and percentage votes must be taken as guides only. The outcome of the next election will be determined by the candidates and parties contesting the new electorates, not past voting patterns.

Reading the Tables

The tables of electorate details provided in Section 3 give a complete breakdown for each new electorate, based on the 1998 election results. It includes a full listing of booths and declaration votes transferred to each new electorate. Separate sub-totals are provided for each transfer of voters from an old electorate, as well as a grand total for the new electorate. Consider the following example from the listing for Albert

ALBERT 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Albert (17701 Voters) Alberton, Beenleigh (95%), Cedar Creek, Coomera (50%), Logan Village, Mt Warren Park, Ormeau, Pimpama, Upper Coomera (50%), Woongoolba, Declaration votes (52%) Votes 15414 6470 7150 0 5335 4716 0 4223 887 % 47.5 52.5 0.0 35.2 31.1 0.0 27.9 5.9

The line beginning "Transfers ..." indicates from which electorate votes have been transferred. The figure in brackets (17701) is the number of electors transferred, as provided by the Redistribution Commission.

In this example, the next two lines list the names of the polling places that have been transferred from the old electorate of Albert to the new. In the case of the Coomera booth, only 50% has been transferred. The percentage of Declaration votes transferred is indicated in the same way. A separate entry is provided for each transfer of voters from an old to a new electorate, and a grand total for each new electorate is also provided.

The column headed VOTES is the total votes transferred, and includes informal votes. It is NOT the sum of the formal votes on the line. Note that because of optional preferential voting, the total of the two-party preferred votes might not equal the total of the primary votes. A total of votes and percentage votes for each party is provided, representing the sum of the booth and declaration votes transferred. A sub-total is provided for each old electorate from which electors have been transferred, as well as a grand total for the new electorate.

3 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Presentation of Results

In presenting results, electorates have been grouped into four sub-tables, representing abolished electorates (4), new electorates (4), re-named electorates (9) and continuing electorates (76).

The following table summarises electorates with new names.

New Electorate Old Electorate/Name Algester New name for Archerfield Darling Downs Replaces Crows Nest and Western Downs Gaven New Gold Coast electorate Glass House New Sunshine Coast electorate Kawana New name for Mooloolah Mudgeeraba New name for Nerang Nanango New name for Barambah Pumicestone New name for Caboolture Robina New name for Merrimac Southern Downs New name for Warwick Stafford Replaces Chermside and Kedron Stretton New name for Sunnybank Yeerongpilly New name for Yeronga

By-Elections

By-elections have been ignored in all calculations. In particular, note that this publication does not take account of the February 1996 Mundingburra re-election, or the December 1998 Mulgrave by-election.

Resignation of MPs from One Nation

All analysis of the 1998 state election is based on the votes cast for parties at that election. For this reason, no account has been taken of the subsequent resignation of several One Nation MPs from that political party.

Acknowledgments

My thanks to Mr Des O'Shea, the Queensland Electoral Commissioner, for his assistance in providing the results of the 1998 state election in computer readable format, and also in providing the transfers in electoral enrolment between the old and new electorates. However, any errors in this publication are entirely the responsibility of the author.

Antony Green December 1999

4 1999 Queensland Redistribution

2. ANALYSIS BASED ON 1998 QUEENSLAND ELECTION

Based on the results of the 1998 Queensland election, the following two tables provide a summary of the political impact of the new boundaries. Summaries of all new electorates based on the 1998 election are provided on the following pages, with full details for each new electorate in Section 3.

Table 2.1: Summary of Redistribution

ALP NAT LIB ONP IND Seats won at 1998 election 44 23 9 11 2 Translated to new boundaries 43 21 10 13 2

Table 2.2: Summary of Seats Changing Party Status Summary of Changes Abolished Electorates (4) Chermside (ALP), Crows Nest (NAT), Kedron (ALP), Western Downs (NAT) New Electorates (4) Darling Downs (NAT), Gaven (NAT), Glass House (ONP), Stafford (ALP) Electorates notionally changing Albert (NAT to ALP), Callide (NAT to ONP), Party status (3) Springwood (ALP to LIB)

Notes on Estimating New Margins

Estimating the final two-candidate preferred vote for each new electorate is difficult, because many of the new electorates include two-candidate preferred votes from old electorates with different combinations of final two parties. Calculating a new margin therefore requires assumptions about how preferences would have been distributed in the new electorate.

As an example, the new electorate of Barron River includes votes from the old Barron River, which finished as a contest between Labor and Liberal candidates, and from Cairns, which was a contest between Labor and One Nation candidates. The primary votes in the new Barron River indicate the electorate would have been a contest between Labor and Liberal candidates, and so assumptions need to be made about the preference distribution for One Nation votes transferred from Cairns.

The method adopted has been to redistribute the votes of the areas added to the electorate using the distribution of preferences of the electorate into which the votes have been transferred. In the case of Barron River, the vote for One Nation transferred from Cairns has been distributed between Labor and Liberal candidates using the actual distribution of preferences from Barron River.

Full details of all electorates where assumptions have had to be made about preferences can be found in Appendix B.

5 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Table 2.3 New Electorates Ranked by Two-Candidate Preferred Vote Electorate Margin Electorate Margin Labor Seats (43) National/Liberal Seats (21/10) Inala 26.5 Surfers Paradise 18.9 Bulimba 19.0 Maroochydore ** Lytton 17.0 Robina (LIB) 16.2 Nudgee 16.4 Kawana (LIB) 16.1 Sandgate 16.0 Toowoomba South 13.6 South Brisbane 15.8 Warrego (vs ONP) 13.4 Cook (vs ONP) 15.1 Gregory 12.1 Brisbane Central 14.8 Mudgeeraba (LIB) 11.6 Capalaba 13.6 Caloundra (LIB) 11.3 Yeerongpilly 13.5 Broadwater 10.7 Kurwongbah 13.0 Southern Downs (vs ONP) 10.6 Mount Isa (vs ONP) 13.0 Noosa (LIB) 10.4 Stafford 12.3 Cunningham (vs ONP) 10.0 Woodridge (vs ONP) 11.9 Toowoomba North 10.0 Mount Coot-tha 11.0 Moggill (LIB) 8.9 Algester 10.1 Burleigh 8.5 Rockhampton (vs ONP) 8.8 Gaven 7.3 Ferny Grove 8.5 Hinchinbrook (vs ONP) 6.7 Stretton 8.0 Beaudesert (vs ONP) 6.1 7.5 Darling Downs (vs ONP) 5.1 Ashgrove 7.4 Clayfield (LIB) 4.5 Logan (vs ONP) 7.1 Keppel 4.2 Chatsworth 6.9 Mirani 4.0 Waterford (vs ONP) 6.6 Gympie (vs ONP) 3.5 Greenslopes 6.5 Charters Towers 3.2 Bundamba (vs ONP) 6.2 Southport 3.1 Fitzroy (vs ONP) 6.1 Aspley (LIB) 2.0 Mackay (vs ONP) 6.0 Burnett (vs ONP) 1.4 Mount Gravatt 6.0 Redlands 0.6 Cleveland 5.8 Indooroopilly (LIB) 0.4 Everton 5.7 Springwood (LIB) 0.3 Murrumba (vs ONP) 4.9 Kallangur (vs ONP) 4.0 Redcliffe 3.9 One Nation Seats (13) Ipswich (vs ONP) 3.0 Glass House ** Currumbin 2.8 Nanango ** Mundingburra 2.4 Burdekin (vs ALP) 8.9 Mount Ommaney 1.5 Maryborough (vs ALP) 8.5 Barron River 0.9 Thuringowa (vs ALP) 5.6 Cairns (vs ONP) 0.7 Ipswich West (vs ALP) 4.3 Mansfield 0.7 Hervey Bay (vs ALP) 4.2 Albert 0.3 Whitsunday (vs ALP) 3.2 Bundaberg (vs ONP) 0.1 Lockyer (vs NAT) 3.0 Mulgrave (vs ALP) 2.7 Pumicestone (vs ALP) 0.8 Independent Seats (2) Callide (vs NAT) 0.6 Nicklin ** Tablelands (vs NAT) 0.1 Gladstone (vs ALP) 1.4

** Indicates seats where the presence of two-candidate preferred votes for Independents makes it impossible to calculate a new margin, or where the final two candidates are not clear

Underlining indicates seats which have notionally changed party status

6 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Table 2.4: Summary of Abolished Electorates (4)

Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes District ALP NAT LIB ONP Other Party and Margin Chermside (Old) 49.9 .. 30.0 15.5 4.6 ALP 9.0 vs LIB Crows Nest (Old) 16.5 38.3 .. 39.5 5.7 NAT 0.9 vs ONP Kedron (Old) 52.3 .. 25.7 14.6 7.4 ALP 14.1 vs LIB Western Downs (Old) 17.3 48.2 .. 34.5 .. NAT 9.4 vs ONP

Table 2.5: Summary of New Electorates (4)

Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes District ALP NAT LIB ONP Other Party and Margin Darling Downs 14.9 44.6 .. 38.0 2.5 NAT 5.1 vs ONP Gaven * 30.9 23.2 12.7 25.8 7.3 NAT 7.3 vs ALP Glass House * 31.0 22.6 5.8 30.0 10.6 Likely ONP held Stafford 51.6 .. 27.0 15.3 6.1 ALP 12.3 vs LIB

Table 2.6: Summary of Re-named Electorates (9)

Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes District ALP NAT LIB ONP Other Party and Margin Archerfield (Old) 49.5 .. 24.3 20.9 5.3 ALP 11.7 vs LIB Algester (New) 48.0 .. 25.7 21.1 5.1 ALP 10.1 vs LIB Barambah (Old) 17.5 31.0 .. 43.5 8.0 ONP 5.9 vs NAT Nanango (New) * 18.5 30.6 .. 42.2 8.7 Likely ONP held Caboolture (Old) 39.1 23.3 .. 29.9 7.7 ONP 2.7 vs ALP Pumicestone (New) 40.4 18.0 5.1 29.0 7.5 ONP 0.8 vs ALP Merrimac (Old) 28.4 .. 49.1 19.9 2.7 LIB 14.7 vs ALP Robina (New) * 27.1 6.0 44.5 19.7 2.7 LIB 16.2 vs ALP Mooloolah (Old) 24.0 .. 46.7 23.8 5.5 LIB 15.9 vs ALP Kawana (New) 24.4 .. 47.9 22.7 5.0 LIB 16.1 vs ALP Nerang (Old) 27.7 .. 38.7 25.1 8.5 LIB 11.0 vs ALP Mudgeeraba (New) 27.3 .. 39.4 24.9 8.3 LIB 11.6 vs ALP Sunnybank (Old) 47.5 .. 30.8 17.4 4.4 ALP 8.2 vs LIB Stretton (New) 47.4 .. 30.9 17.4 4.4 ALP 8.0 vs LIB Warwick (Old) 19.9 45.9 .. 30.3 4.0 NAT 11.9 vs ONP Southern Downs (New) * 19.2 45.1 .. 31.5 4.3 NAT 10.6 v ONP Yeronga (Old) 52.6 .. 28.1 13.4 5.9 ALP 12.5 vs LIB Yeerongpilly (New) 53.0 .. 26.0 15.2 5.8 ALP 13.5 vs LIB

(* See notes on estimating margins in Appendix 2) 7 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Table 2.7: Continuing Electorates (76)

Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes District ALP NAT LIB ONP Other Party and Margin Albert (Old) 33.3 33.8 .. 26.9 6.0 NAT 4.8 vs ALP Albert (New) * 37.9 24.8 3.5 28.9 4.9 ALP 0.3 vs NAT Ashgrove (Old) 48.4 .. 38.2 .. 13.3 ALP 6.1 vs LIB Ashgrove (New) 49.0 .. 36.0 3.2 11.9 ALP 7.4 vs LIB Aspley (Old) 39.5 .. 39.8 15.3 5.5 LIB 1.8 vs ALP Aspley (New) 39.4 .. 40.1 15.0 5.5 LIB 2.0 vs ALP Barron River (Old) 35.2 .. 29.9 27.0 8.0 ALP 0.6 vs LIB Barron River (New) * 35.1 .. 29.3 27.0 8.5 ALP 0.9 vs LIB Beaudesert (Old) 31.3 32.9 .. 27.4 8.4 NAT 4.1 vs ALP Beaudesert (New) * 26.4 34.2 .. 31.4 8.0 NAT 6.1 vs ONP Brisbane Central (Old) 53.7 .. 26.2 9.7 10.4 ALP 15.1 vs LIB Brisbane Central (New) 53.6 .. 26.6 9.5 10.3 ALP 14.8 vs LIB Broadwater (Old) 30.0 39.5 .. 26.2 4.3 NAT 9.8 vs ALP Broadwater (New) 29.2 40.4 .. 26.1 4.2 NAT 10.7 vs ALP Bulimba (Old) 56.8 .. 21.2 14.8 7.3 ALP 19.5 vs LIB Bulimba (New) 56.9 .. 21.6 14.3 7.2 ALP 19.0 vs LIB Bundaberg (Old) 44.4 23.7 .. 29.3 2.5 ALP 2.0 vs ONP Bundaberg (New) * 42.2 25.0 .. 30.1 2.6 ALP 0.1 vs ONP Bundamba (Old) 48.2 .. 11.9 34.3 5.7 ALP 6.2 vs ONP Bundamba (New) 48.2 .. 11.9 34.3 5.7 ALP 6.2 vs ONP Burdekin (Old) 31.6 28.9 .. 33.1 6.5 ONP 9.4 vs ALP Burdekin (New) 32.9 25.9 0.5 34.9 5.9 ONP 8.9 vs ALP Burleigh (Old) 32.2 41.3 .. 21.6 4.9 NAT 8.5 vs ALP Burleigh (New) * 32.3 36.1 5.3 21.6 4.7 NAT 8.5 vs ALP Burnett (Old) 27.5 32.5 .. 36.4 3.6 NAT 2.3 vs ONP Burnett (New) * 26.9 32.1 .. 37.4 3.6 NAT 1.4 vs ONP Cairns (Old) 39.1 .. 23.5 27.5 9.9 ALP 2.3 vs ONP Cairns (New) 38.6 7.1 18.0 28.4 8.0 ALP 0.7 vs ONP Callide (Old) 19.0 37.7 .. 37.5 5.8 NAT 2.3 vs ONP Callide (New) 18.6 35.3 .. 39.9 6.2 ONP 0.6 vs NAT Caloundra (Old) 28.1 .. 40.5 24.9 6.5 LIB 10.7 vs ALP Caloundra (New) 27.9 .. 41.8 24.0 6.3 LIB 11.3 vs ALP Capalaba (Old) 54.9 .. 27.7 .. 17.5 ALP 13.7 vs LIB Capalaba (New) 54.2 .. 27.3 2.4 16.1 ALP 13.6 vs LIB Charters Towers (Old) 37.1 35.2 .. 26.2 1.5 NAT 3.7 vs ALP Charters Towers (New) * 37.7 35.0 .. 25.4 1.9 NAT 3.2 vs ALP Chatsworth (Old) 50.2 .. 28.2 16.9 4.7 ALP 8.7 vs LIB Chatsworth (New) 48.4 .. 30.3 16.4 4.8 ALP 6.9 vs LIB Clayfield (Old) 39.0 .. 52.6 .. 8.5 LIB 6.5 vs ALP Clayfield (New) 40.3 .. 49.5 2.3 7.9 LIB 4.5 vs ALP Cleveland (Old) 43.7 .. 30.8 19.3 6.2 ALP 6.4 vs LIB Cleveland (New) 43.2 .. 31.4 19.3 6.1 ALP 5.8 vs LIB

Table 2.7: Continuing Electorates (Continued)

8 (* See notes on estimating margins in Appendix 2) 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes District ALP NAT LIB ONP Other Party and Margin Cook (Old) 54.6 19.5 .. 20.4 5.4 ALP 15.5 vs ONP Cook (New) * 53.4 16.8 4.0 20.1 5.7 ALP 15.1 vs ONP Cunningham (Old) 18.9 43.2 .. 32.4 5.5 NAT 8.9 vs ONP Cunningham (New) 19.1 44.0 .. 31.2 5.6 NAT 10.0 vs ONP Currumbin (Old) 40.6 20.2 14.3 20.5 4.3 ALP 2.8 vs NAT Currumbin (New) 40.6 20.2 14.3 20.5 4.3 ALP 2.8 vs NAT Everton (Old) 47.2 .. 32.4 15.4 5.0 ALP 6.0 vs LIB Everton (New) 47.0 .. 32.7 15.4 4.9 ALP 5.7 vs LIB Ferny Grove (Old) 45.0 .. 28.3 17.6 9.0 ALP 8.6 vs LIB Ferny Grove (New) 44.9 .. 28.4 17.7 9.0 ALP 8.5 vs LIB Fitzroy (Old) 52.2 20.8 .. 22.5 4.5 ALP 10.7 vs ONP Fitzroy (New) * 46.7 23.2 .. 24.7 5.4 ALP 6.1 vs ONP Gladstone (Old) 47.4 5.5 .. .. 47.0 IND 1.4 vs ALP Gladstone (New) 47.4 5.5 .. .. 47.0 IND 1.4 vs ALP Greenslopes (Old) 47.9 .. 40.3 .. 11.8 ALP 5.2 vs LIB Greenslopes (New) 48.7 .. 37.7 2.9 10.7 ALP 6.5 vs LIB Gregory (Old) 28.7 46.7 .. 17.4 7.2 NAT 13.1 vs ALP Gregory (New) * 28.8 43.3 .. 19.8 8.1 NAT 12.1 vs ALP Gympie (Old) 26.1 31.3 .. 39.2 3.4 NAT 1.7 vs ONP Gympie (New) * 26.0 28.4 4.0 37.4 4.2 NAT 3.5 vs ONP Hervey Bay (Old) 36.3 27.4 .. 33.8 2.5 ONP 5.3 vs ALP Hervey Bay (New) 36.9 29.0 .. 31.7 2.4 ONP 4.2 vs ALP Hinchinbrook (Old) 28.7 36.7 .. 29.5 5.1 NAT 8.6 vs ONP Hinchinbrook (New) * 26.8 34.4 2.1 31.5 5.1 NAT 6.7 vs ONP Inala (Old) 67.1 .. 17.1 .. 15.8 ALP 27.4 vs LIB Inala (New) 65.8 .. 17.4 1.0 15.7 ALP 26.5 vs LIB Indooroopilly (Old) 37.6 .. 45.0 .. 17.4 LIB 0.7 vs ALP Indooroopilly (New) 37.9 .. 44.8 .. 17.4 LIB 0.4 vs ALP Ipswich (Old) 45.8 .. 10.5 39.5 4.1 ALP 3.4 vs ONP Ipswich (New) 45.6 2.2 9.1 39.1 3.9 ALP 3.0 vs ONP Ipswich West (Old) 41.9 17.6 .. 38.6 1.8 ONP 1.9 vs ALP Ipswich West (New) * 38.7 18.8 .. 39.8 2.6 ONP 4.3 vs ALP Kallangur (Old) 42.7 .. 22.0 26.9 8.4 ALP 3.9 vs ONP Kallangur (New) 42.7 .. 22.0 26.8 8.4 ALP 4.0 vs ONP Keppel (Old) 32.0 29.8 .. 21.3 16.9 NAT 3.6 vs ALP Keppel (New) 31.4 30.1 .. 21.7 16.8 NAT 4.2 vs ALP Kurwongbah (Old) 49.5 .. 22.6 22.2 5.7 ALP 13.2 vs LIB Kurwongbah (New) * 49.3 .. 22.7 22.3 5.7 ALP 13.0 vs LIB Lockyer (Old) 21.0 25.5 .. 39.2 14.2 ONP 3.7 vs NAT Lockyer (New) * 22.7 24.3 .. 37.4 15.7 ONP 3.0 vs NAT Logan (Old) 49.0 14.7 .. 28.6 7.7 ALP 8.4 vs ONP Logan (New) * 46.9 17.5 .. 28.0 7.6 ALP 7.1 vs ONP

Table 2.7: Continuing Electorates (Continued)

Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes District ALP NAT LIB ONP Other Party and Margin

(* See notes on estimating margins in Appendix 2) 9 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Lytton (Old) 59.8 .. 27.9 .. 12.3 ALP 17.4 vs LIB Lytton (New) 58.9 .. 27.3 2.1 11.6 ALP 17.0 vs LIB Mackay (Old) 48.7 22.9 .. 27.0 1.4 ALP 6.5 vs ONP Mackay (New) * 48.0 23.3 .. 26.9 1.8 ALP 6.0 vs ONP Mansfield (Old) 40.9 .. 39.0 14.5 5.7 ALP 0.2 vs LIB Mansfield (New) 40.8 .. 37.8 15.0 6.4 ALP 0.7 vs LIB Maroochydore (Old) 24.1 40.3 .. 27.6 8.0 NAT 15.1 vs ONP Maroochydore (New) * 26.0 32.0 8.8 25.4 7.8 NAT held Maryborough (Old) 35.7 18.9 .. 42.6 2.9 ONP 8.3 vs ALP Maryborough (New) 35.4 18.8 .. 42.8 2.9 ONP 8.5 vs ALP Mirani (Old) 35.6 33.1 .. 28.7 2.6 NAT 2.7 vs ALP Mirani (New) * 34.4 34.2 .. 29.0 2.4 NAT 4.0 vs ALP Moggill (Old) 33.8 .. 53.3 .. 13.0 LIB 8.9 vs ALP Moggill (New) 33.8 .. 53.3 .. 13.0 LIB 8.9 vs ALP Mt Coot-tha (Old) 49.1 .. 35.0 .. 15.9 ALP 10.5 vs LIB Mt Coot-tha (New) 49.6 .. 34.3 0.4 15.7 ALP 11.0 vs LIB Mt Gravatt (Old) 48.0 .. 32.0 13.3 6.6 ALP 7.2 vs LIB Mt Gravatt (New) 46.5 .. 33.2 14.5 5.8 ALP 6.0 vs LIB Mt Isa (Old) 58.5 14.7 .. 24.5 2.3 ALP 15.6 vs ONP Mt Isa (New) * 54.5 18.2 .. 24.7 2.5 ALP 13.0 vs ONP Mt Ommaney (Old) 39.3 .. 35.0 12.1 13.6 ALP 1.9 vs LIB Mt Ommaney (New) 38.9 .. 35.7 11.8 13.6 ALP 1.5 vs LIB Mulgrave (Old) 37.0 29.9 .. 31.0 2.0 ONP 4.1 vs ALP Mulgrave (New) * 38.6 29.2 .. 30.0 2.2 ONP 2.7 vs ALP Mundingburra (Old) 44.7 .. 30.7 24.6 .. ALP 3.8 vs LIB Mundingburra (New) * 42.3 7.1 24.0 25.2 1.4 ALP 2.4 vs LIB Murrumba (Old) 45.9 .. 21.2 28.8 4.1 ALP 5.0 vs ONP Murrumba (New) * 45.3 .. 21.6 28.2 4.9 ALP 4.9 vs ONP Nicklin (Old) 21.2 26.9 .. 23.6 28.3 IND 5.7 vs NAT Nicklin (New) * 18.8 26.5 2.3 23.6 28.8 Likely IND held Noosa (Old) 29.9 .. 45.3 14.3 10.5 LIB 9.9 vs ALP Noosa (New) * 29.7 0.5 45.8 13.7 10.3 LIB 10.4 vs ALP Nudgee (Old) 55.9 .. 22.5 17.2 4.3 ALP 17.4 vs LIB Nudgee (New) 55.2 .. 23.3 17.1 4.4 ALP 16.4 vs LIB Redcliffe (Old) 42.5 .. 30.6 22.8 4.1 ALP 2.3 vs LIB Redcliffe (New) * 43.6 .. 28.9 23.5 4.0 ALP 3.9 vs LIB Redlands (Old) 38.5 32.8 .. 23.5 5.2 NAT 1.0 vs ALP Redlands (New) * 38.8 31.3 0.8 23.7 5.4 NAT 0.6 vs ALP Rockhampton (Old) 50.9 19.3 .. 25.9 3.9 ALP 9.6 vs ONP Rockhampton (New) * 48.6 20.9 .. 24.5 6.0 ALP 8.8 vs ONP Sandgate (Old) 49.4 .. 20.1 18.5 11.9 ALP 16.0 vs LIB Sandgate (New) 49.4 .. 20.1 18.5 11.9 ALP 16.0 vs LIB

10 (* See notes on estimating margins in Appendix 2) 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Table 2.7: Continuing Electorates (Continued)

Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes District ALP NAT LIB ONP Other Party and Margin South Brisbane (Old) 53.4 .. 26.3 8.0 12.3 ALP 16.3 vs LIB South Brisbane (New) 53.3 .. 26.7 8.2 11.8 ALP 15.8 vs LIB Southport (Old) 36.5 39.0 .. 21.3 3.2 NAT 3.8 vs ALP Southport (New) 36.8 37.8 .. 21.8 3.6 NAT 3.1 vs ALP Springwood (Old) 38.2 .. 34.0 20.0 7.7 ALP 0.6 vs LIB Springwood (New) * 38.2 10.4 24.1 20.7 6.6 LIB 0.3 vs ALP Surfers Paradise (Old) 21.6 56.4 .. 17.4 4.6 NAT 22.3 vs ALP Surfers Paradise (New) * 24.4 52.4 1.1 17.8 4.3 NAT 18.9 vs ALP Tablelands (Old) 25.1 32.9 .. 42.0 .. ONP 0.3 vs NAT Tablelands (New) * 25.0 33.1 .. 41.8 0.1 ONP 0.1 vs NAT Thuringowa (Old) 35.1 9.5 17.3 34.9 3.1 ONP 6.6 vs ALP Thuringowa (New) 36.1 9.1 17.7 33.9 3.2 ONP 5.6 vs ALP Toowoomba North (Old) 34.4 39.8 .. 24.1 1.7 NAT 8.2 vs ALP Toowoomba North (New) * 32.3 40.6 .. 24.9 2.2 NAT 10.0 vs ALP Toowoomba South (Old) 28.0 46.5 .. 23.7 1.8 NAT 13.4 vs ALP Toowoomba South (New) * 27.5 46.3 .. 24.2 2.0 NAT 13.6 vs ALP Townsville (Old) 44.6 .. 27.0 24.7 3.7 ALP 7.7 vs LIB Townsville (New) 45.3 .. 27.7 23.9 3.1 ALP 7.5 vs LIB Warrego (Old) 24.9 42.0 .. 23.6 9.5 NAT 15.3 vs ALP Warrego (New) * 20.9 47.1 .. 28.1 4.0 NAT 13.4 vs ONP Waterford (Old) 46.2 .. 24.5 29.3 .. ALP 5.2 vs ONP Waterford (New) * 46.9 0.2 23.4 28.6 0.9 ALP 6.6 vs ONP Whitsunday (Old) 39.7 29.6 .. 30.7 .. ONP 1.7 vs ALP Whitsunday (New) 37.9 31.0 .. 31.1 .. ONP 3.2 vs ALP Woodridge (Old) 51.7 .. 14.0 28.4 6.0 ALP 13.5 vs ONP Woodridge (New) 51.7 4.3 8.1 29.2 6.8 ALP 11.9 vs ONP

(* See notes on estimating margins in Appendix 2) 11 1999 Queensland Redistribution

3. DETAILS OF NEW ELECTORATES

ALBERT 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Albert (17701 Voters) Alberton, Beenleigh (95%), Cedar Creek, Coomera (50%), Logan Village, Mt Warren Park, Ormeau, Pimpama, Upper Coomera (50%), Woongoolba, Declaration votes (52%) Votes 15414 6470 7150 0 5335 4716 0 4223 887 % 47.5 52.5 0.0 35.2 31.1 0.0 27.9 5.9 Transfers from : Beaudesert (942 Voters) Logan Reserve (70%), Declaration votes (4%) Votes 876 374 340 0 306 221 0 256 78 % 52.4 47.6 0.0 35.5 25.7 0.0 29.7 9.1 Transfers from : Waterford (4630 Voters) Eagleby, Eagleby South, Declaration votes (17%) Votes 3925 2062 0 1634 1889 0 705 1255 0 % 55.8 0.0 44.2 49.1 0.0 18.3 32.6 0.0

ALBERT 20215 8906 7490 1634 7530 4937 705 5734 965 % 49.4 41.5 9.1 37.9 24.8 3.5 28.9 4.9

ALGESTER 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Archerfield (22277 Voters) Acacia Ridge, Algester, Browns Plains, Calamvale, Coopers Plains (20%), Forest Lake, Forest Place, Pallara, Serviceton South, Watson Road, Declaration votes (77%) Votes 19592 10655 7073 9254 4954 4073 987 % 60.1 39.9 48.0 25.7 21.1 5.1 Transfers from : Inala (88 Voters) Declaration votes (0%) Votes 7 52 4101 % 71.4 28.6 66.7 16.7 0.0 16.7 Transfers from : Sunnybank (107 Voters) Declaration votes (0%) Votes 12 65 5421 % 54.5 45.5 41.7 33.3 16.7 8.3

ALGESTER 19612 10666 7080 9263 4959 4075 989 % 60.1 39.9 48.0 25.7 21.1 5.1

12 1999 Queensland Redistribution

ASHGROVE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Ashgrove (20410 Voters) Alderley Kindergarte, Ashgrove (80%), Ashgrove West (85%), Dorrington, Enoggera South, Hilder Road, Hillbrook, Newmarket (45%), Newmarket South, Payne Road, The Gap, Declaration votes (90%) Votes 18329 9738 7793 8679 7024 0 2382 % 55.5 44.5 48.0 38.8 0.0 13.2 Transfers from : Everton (499 Voters) Hillbrook (60%), Declaration votes (2%) Votes 468 273 170 235 126 62 38 % 61.6 38.4 51.0 27.3 13.4 8.2 Transfers from : Ferny Grove (669 Voters) Mitchelton (25%), Declaration votes (2%) Votes 557 328 188 278 136 88 49 % 63.6 36.4 50.4 24.7 16.0 8.9 Transfers from : Kedron (5028 Voters) Alderley (70%), Alderley Kindergarte, Enoggera, Wilston, Declaration votes (25%) Votes 4608 2732 1548 2391 1212 597 341 % 63.8 36.2 52.6 26.7 13.1 7.5

ASHGROVE 23962 13071 9699 11583 8498 747 2810 % 57.4 42.6 49.0 36.0 3.2 11.9

ASPLEY 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Aspley (24064 Voters) Aspley, Aspley East (75%), Aspley South, Bald Hills, Bald Hills North, Bridgeman Downs, Carseldine, McDowall (70%), Strathpine, Strathpine East, Zillmere (50%), Declaration votes (88%) Votes 22028 9726 10614 8518 8764 3264 1214 % 47.8 52.2 39.1 40.3 15.0 5.6 Transfers from : Chermside (1428 Voters) Craigslea (15%), Safari, Declaration votes (7%) Votes 1327 634 603 562 495 196 53 % 51.3 48.7 43.1 37.9 15.0 4.1

ASPLEY 23355 10360 11217 9080 9259 3460 1267 % 48.0 52.0 39.4 40.1 15.0 5.5

13 1999 Queensland Redistribution

BARRON RIVER 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ONP ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Barron River (21425 Voters) Balaclava, Brinsmead, Cairns, Cairns Hospital, Edge Hill, Freshwater, Holloways Beach, Kuranda, Machans Beach, North Cairns, Parramatta, Smithfield, Stratford, Trinity Beach (85%), Whitfield, Yorkeys Knob, Declaration votes (91%) Votes 18507 8457 8121 0 6498 5411 4907 1479 % 51.0 49.0 0.0 35.5 29.6 26.8 8.1 Transfers from : Cairns (2510 Voters) Brinsmead, Redlynch, Smithfield, Stratford, Declaration votes (11%) Votes 2010 868 0 981 631 528 579 253 % 46.9 0.0 53.1 31.7 26.5 29.1 12.7

BARRON RIVER 20517 9325 8121 981 7129 5939 5486 1732 % 50.6 44.1 5.3 35.1 29.3 27.0 8.5

BEAUDESERT 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Albert (39 Voters) Declaration votes (0%) Votes 4 220 1210 % 50.0 50.0 0.0 25.0 50.0 25.0 0.0 Transfers from : Beaudesert (21357 Voters) Beaudesert, Beechmont, Canungra, Flagstone, Hillview, Jimboomba, Kerry, Kooralbyn, Logan Village, North Tamborine, Rathdowney, St Bernard, Tamborine, Tamrookum, Woodhill, Declaration votes (80%) Votes 19492 7080 9073 0 5682 6683 5184 1639 % 43.8 56.2 0.0 29.6 34.8 27.0 8.5 Transfers from : Lockyer (5542 Voters) Aratula, Boonah, Kalbar, Maroon, Mount Alford, Roadvale, Rosevale, Warrill View, Declaration votes (20%) Votes 4783 0 1856 2497 641 1496 2339 269 % 0.0 42.6 57.4 13.5 31.5 49.3 5.7

BEAUDESERT 24279 7082 10931 2497 6324 8181 7524 1908 % 34.5 53.3 12.2 26.4 34.2 31.4 8.0

14 1999 Queensland Redistribution

BRISBANE CENTRAL 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Ashgrove (1144 Voters) Newmarket (55%), Declaration votes (5%) Votes 1020 606 361 536 308 0 162 % 62.7 37.3 53.3 30.6 0.0 16.1 Transfers from : Brisbane Central (23338 Voters) Ballymore, Brisbane, Fortitude Valley, Herston, Kelvin Grove, Merthyr, New Farm, New Farm School, Newmarket South, Red Hill (25%), St Pauls Terrace, Swan Hill, Wilston, Windsor, Declaration votes (95%) Votes 18998 11536 6212 10041 4915 1841 1904 % 65.0 35.0 53.7 26.3 9.8 10.2 Transfers from : Kedron (779 Voters) Alderley (30%), Lutwyche (25%), Declaration votes (4%) Votes 694 404 237 358 189 87 43 % 63.0 37.0 52.8 27.9 12.8 6.3

BRISBANE CENTRAL 20711 12546 6810 10935 5412 1928 2109 % 64.8 35.2 53.6 26.6 9.5 10.3

BROADWATER 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Albert (1667 Voters) Hope Island, Declaration votes (5%) Votes 1381 388 836 289 632 350 87 % 31.7 68.3 21.3 46.5 25.8 6.4 Transfers from : Broadwater (24394 Voters) Biggera Waters, Coombabah, Coombabah High, Harley Park, Labrador (65%), Paradise Lakes, Paradise Point, Runaway Bay, Declaration votes (93%) Votes 21070 7152 10818 6157 8281 5418 850 % 39.8 60.2 29.7 40.0 26.2 4.1

BROADWATER 22451 7540 11654 6446 8913 5768 937 % 39.3 60.7 29.2 40.4 26.1 4.2

BULIMBA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Bulimba (22789 Voters) Balmoral, Bulimba, Cannon Hill, Hawthorne, Mayfield, Morningside, Murarrie, Norman Park, Norman Park School, Seven Hills, Declaration votes (95%) Votes 20069 12848 5682 11232 4266 2801 1468 % 69.3 30.7 56.8 21.6 14.2 7.4 Transfers from : Chatsworth (2029 Voters) Carina (20%), Mayfield (20%), Murarrie, Declaration votes (8%) Votes 1755 1093 571 992 380 281 74 % 65.7 34.3 57.4 22.0 16.3 4.3

BULIMBA 21825 13941 6253 12224 4646 3082 1542 % 69.0 31.0 56.9 21.6 14.3 7.2

15 1999 Queensland Redistribution

BUNDABERG 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Bundaberg (21659 Voters) Avoca, Base Hospital, Bundaberg, Bundaberg Central, , Bundaberg North, , Bundaberg West, Kepnock, Millbank, North Bundaberg, Norville, Norville School, Thabeban, Walkervale, Declaration votes Votes 20043 9745 0 8978 8801 4709 5819 501 % 52.0 0.0 48.0 44.4 23.7 29.3 2.5 Transfers from : Burnett (5340 Voters) Avoca, Thabeban (75%), Walkervale, Declaration votes (17%) Votes 4906 0 2233 1912 1619 1460 1614 151 % 0.0 53.9 46.1 33.4 30.1 33.3 3.1

BUNDABERG 24949 9745 2233 10890 10420 6169 7433 652 % 42.6 9.8 47.6 42.2 25.0 30.1 2.6

BUNDAMBA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP ONP ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Bundamba (23698 Voters) Blackstone, Bundamba, Bundamba TAFE, Collingwood Park, Dinmore, Gailes, Goodna, Kruger, Redbank, Redbank Plains, Riverview, Riverview Gardens, Springfield, Declaration votes Votes 21186 11214 8733 10030 2472 7135 1191 % 56.2 43.8 48.2 11.9 34.3 5.7

BUNDAMBA 21186 11214 8733 10030 2472 7135 1191 % 56.2 43.8 48.2 11.9 34.3 5.7

BURDEKIN 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Burdekin (20269 Voters) Airville, Alligator Creek, Ayr, Brandon, Clare, Dalbeg, East Ayr, Giru, Gumlu, Home Hill, Inkerman, Jarvisfield, Kalamia, Millaroo, Oonoonba, Osborne, Parkside, Stuart, Wulguru, Declaration votes (78%) Votes 18572 6634 10369 5591 5031 0 6492 1224 % 39.0 61.0 30.5 27.4 0.0 35.4 6.7 Transfers from : Thuringowa (822 Voters) Woodstock, Wulguru, Declaration votes (3%) Votes 676 200 431 161 94 96 301 18 % 31.7 68.3 24.0 14.0 14.3 44.9 2.7 Transfers from : Whitsunday (2391 Voters) Bowen (10%), Collinsville, Collinsville Hospita, Merinda, Scottville, Declaration votes (9%) Votes 2103 1239 770 1184 333 0 571 0 % 61.7 38.3 56.7 15.9 0.0 27.3 0.0

BURDEKIN 21350 8073 11570 6936 5458 96 7364 1242 % 41.1 58.9 32.9 25.9 0.5 34.9 5.9

16 1999 Queensland Redistribution

BURLEIGH 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Burleigh (23735 Voters) Burleigh Heads, Burleigh Waters (96%), Miami East, Palm Beach, Palm Beach North, Stephens, West Burleigh, Declaration votes (99%) Votes 20536 7800 10981 0 6511 8347 0 4362 989 % 41.5 58.5 0.0 32.2 41.3 0.0 21.6 4.9 Transfers from : Merrimac (3253 Voters) Mermaid Beach (30%), Miami East (75%), Miami West (50%), Declaration votes (12%) Votes 2997 1103 0 1563 966 0 1222 644 94 % 41.4 0.0 58.6 33.0 0.0 41.8 22.0 3.2

BURLEIGH 23533 8903 10981 1563 7477 8347 1222 5006 1083 % 41.5 51.2 7.3 32.3 36.1 5.3 21.6 4.7

BURNETT 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Burnett (22465 Voters) Agnes Water, Apple Tree Creek, Avondale, Bargara, Booyal, Bororen, Branyan, Bucca, Bundaberg, Bundaberg North, Burnett Heads, Childers, , Elliott, Elliott Heads, Givelda, Gooburrum, Goodwood, Kalkie, Lowmead, Miriam Vale, Moore Park, Oakwood, Rosedale, Sharon, , Thabeban (25%), Wartburg, Welcome Creek, Winfield, Woongarra, Yandaran, Declaration votes (73%) Votes 20554 0 9226 8578 5438 6607 7535 745 % 0.0 51.8 48.2 26.8 32.5 37.1 3.7 Transfers from : Hervey Bay (987 Voters) Buxtonville, Childers, Goodwood, Woodgate, Declaration votes (3%) Votes 906 303 0 540 263 218 404 18 % 35.9 0.0 64.1 29.1 24.1 44.7 2.0

BURNETT 21460 303 9226 9118 5701 6825 7939 763 % 1.6 49.5 48.9 26.9 32.1 37.4 3.6

CAIRNS 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Cairns (19744 Voters) Balaclava, Cairns, Cairns Hospital, Earlville, Edge Hill, North Cairns, Parramatta, South Cairns, West Cairns, Whitfield, Woree, Declaration votes (89%) Votes 16640 8165 7271 6554 0 3791 4489 1577 % 52.9 47.1 39.9 0.0 23.1 27.4 9.6 Transfers from : Mulgrave (5338 Voters) Balaclava, Bayview Gardens (50%), Earlville, Woree, Declaration votes (20%) Votes 4748 1896 2507 1580 1487 0 1505 104 % 43.1 56.9 33.8 31.8 0.0 32.2 2.2

CAIRNS 21388 10061 9778 8134 1487 3791 5994 1681 % 50.7 49.3 38.6 7.1 18.0 28.4 8.0

17 1999 Queensland Redistribution

CALLIDE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Barambah (7715 Voters) , Byee, Cherbourg, Cloyna, Durong South, Goomeri, Kilkivan, Moffatdale, , , , Tablelands, Tansey, , Widgee, Windera, , Wonga Lower, Woolooga, Declaration votes (32%) Votes 7124 2759 3638 1308 2119 3148 469 % 43.1 56.9 18.6 30.1 44.7 6.7 Transfers from : Burnett (2878 Voters) , Gin Gin, Mount Perry, , Declaration votes (9%) Votes 2517 1191 1033 550 927 927 91 % 53.6 46.4 22.0 37.2 37.2 3.6 Transfers from : Callide (15317 Voters) Abercorn, Banana, Bancroft, Biggenden, Biloela, Binjour Plateau, Boynewood, Coalstoun Lakes, Dallarnil, Eidsvold, Gayndah, Gulugaba, Lawgi, Monto, Moonford, Mulgildie, Mundubbera, , Thangool, Theodore, , Declaration votes (82%) Votes 14505 6855 6377 2586 5391 5449 916 % 51.8 48.2 18.0 37.6 38.0 6.4 Transfers from : Gladstone (3 Voters)

CALLIDE 24147 10805 11048 4444 8437 9524 1476 % 49.4 50.6 18.6 35.3 39.9 6.2

CALOUNDRA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Caloundra (23824 Voters) Caloundra, Currimundi, Golden Beach, Kawana Waters (75%), Little Mountain, Shelly Beach, Talara Street, Declaration votes (87%) Votes 21015 7265 11520 5793 8673 4982 1305 % 38.7 61.3 27.9 41.8 24.0 6.3

CALOUNDRA 21015 7265 11520 5793 8673 4982 1305 % 38.7 61.3 27.9 41.8 24.0 6.3

CAPALABA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Capalaba (22163 Voters) Alexandra Hills, Birkdale South, Capalaba, Capalaba High, Coolnwynpin (80%), Degen Road, Hilliard (75%), Vienna Woods, Windemere Road, Declaration votes (95%) Votes 20208 11756 6644 10859 5428 0 3445 % 63.9 36.1 55.0 27.5 0.0 17.5 Transfers from : Cleveland (3179 Voters) Birkdale (10%), Birkdale South, Declaration votes (12%) Votes 2835 1571 989 1336 719 548 182 % 61.4 38.6 48.0 25.8 19.7 6.5

CAPALABA 23043 13327 7633 12195 6147 548 3627 % 63.6 36.4 54.2 27.3 2.4 16.1

18 1999 Queensland Redistribution

CHARTERS TOWERS 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Burdekin (250 Voters) Mingela, Ravenswood, Declaration votes (1%) Votes 189 65 0 109 53 62 61 11 % 37.4 0.0 62.6 28.1 32.8 32.3 5.8 Transfers from : Charters Towers (16315 Voters) Capella, Charters Towers, Charters Towers Cent, Charters Towers East, Charters Towers Hosp, Charters Towers Nort, Clermont, Clermont Hospital, Eventide, Greenvale, Homestead, Hughenden, Kilcummin, Moranbah, Moranbah West, Pentland, Prairie, Richmond, Rupertswood, Declaration votes (96%) Votes 15217 6521 7450 0 5667 5281 3925 224 % 46.7 53.3 0.0 37.5 35.0 26.0 1.5 Transfers from : Cook (586 Voters) Einasleigh, Forsayth, Georgetown, Kidston, Mount Surprise, Declaration votes (3%) Votes 341 86 0 225 53 108 156 21 % 27.7 0.0 72.3 15.6 31.9 46.0 6.2 Transfers from : Fitzroy (1040 Voters) Capella, Emerald, Tieri, Declaration votes (5%) Votes 1016 660 0 299 605 229 142 33 % 68.8 0.0 31.2 59.9 22.7 14.1 3.3 Transfers from : Gregory (1269 Voters) Alpha, Aramac, Jericho, Muttaburra, Declaration votes (8%) Votes 1128 364 671 0 309 541 227 42 % 35.2 64.8 0.0 27.6 48.3 20.3 3.8

CHARTERS TOWERS 17890 7696 8121 633 6687 6221 4511 331 % 46.8 49.4 3.8 37.7 35.0 25.4 1.9

CHATSWORTH 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Chatsworth (22826 Voters) Belmont, Camp Hill, Camp Hill High, Carina (80%), Carina Central, Carina Heights (80%), Gumdale, Mayfield (80%), Tingalpa, Wondall Heights, Wynnum West, Declaration votes (85%) Votes 20724 11423 8174 10144 5830 3427 979 % 58.3 41.7 49.8 28.6 16.8 4.8 Transfers from : Greenslopes (157 Voters) Camp Hill (7%), Declaration votes (1%) Votes 130 73 51 65 46 0 16 % 58.9 41.1 50.6 35.8 0.0 12.5 Transfers from : Mansfield (2867 Voters) Belmont, Declaration votes (10%) Votes 2601 1136 1331 967 1118 369 121 % 46.0 54.0 37.6 43.4 14.3 4.7

CHATSWORTH 23455 12632 9556 11176 6994 3796 1116 % 56.9 43.1 48.4 30.3 16.4 4.8

19 1999 Queensland Redistribution

CLAYFIELD 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Chermside (3368 Voters) Chermside East (30%), Nundah West, Wavell Heights East (85%), Declaration votes (16%) Votes 2984 1540 1261 1374 1019 419 145 % 55.0 45.0 46.5 34.5 14.2 4.9 Transfers from : Clayfield (21966 Voters) Albion, Ascot, Clayfield East, Clayfield West, Doomben-Whinstanes, Hamilton, Hendra, Hendra East, Kalinga, Kedron High, Lutwyche, Nundah, Nundah West, Pinkenba, Declaration votes Votes 19563 8052 10481 7498 10107 0 1627 % 43.4 56.6 39.0 52.6 0.0 8.5 Transfers from : Nudgee (790 Voters) Northgate (35%), Declaration votes (3%) Votes 697 399 244 350 192 113 33 % 62.1 37.9 50.9 27.9 16.4 4.8

CLAYFIELD 23243 9991 11986 9222 11318 532 1805 % 45.5 54.5 40.3 49.5 2.3 7.9

CLEVELAND 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Cleveland (23904 Voters) Amity Point, Birkdale (90%), Cleveland, Cleveland High, Dunwich, Ormiston, Point Lookout, Thorneside, Thornlands, Wellington Point, Wellington Point Hig, Declaration votes (88%) Votes 21544 10918 8660 9170 6672 4096 1304 % 55.8 44.2 43.2 31.4 19.3 6.1

CLEVELAND 21544 10918 8660 9170 6672 4096 1304 % 55.8 44.2 43.2 31.4 19.3 6.1

COOK 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Barron River (2248 Voters) Clifton Beach, Palm Cove, Trinity Beach (15%), Declaration votes (9%) Votes 1973 828 0 938 0 620 0 639 550 141 % 46.9 0.0 53.1 0.0 31.8 0.0 32.7 28.2 7.2 Transfers from : Cook (17041 Voters) Alexandra Bay, Aurukun, Badu Island, Bamaga, Boigu Island, Cape Flattery, Coconut (Poruma) Isl, Coen, Cooktown, Daintree River, Darnley (Erub) Islan, Dauan Island, Hammond Island, Hopevale, Horn Island, Injinoo, Kowanyama, Laura, Lockhart, Mabuiag Island, Mapoon, Miallo, Moa Is. (Kubin Commu, Moa Is. (St Paul's C, Mossman, Murray (Mer) Island, Napranum, New Mapoon, Newell, Pormpuraaw, Port Douglas, Rossville, Saibai (Kaumag) Isla, Seisa, Stephen (Ugar) Islan, Tamwoy Town, Thursday Island, Umagico, Warraber (Sue) Islan, Weipa North, Wujal Wujal, Yam Island, Yorke (Masig) Island, Declaration votes (89%) Votes 14166 8909 0 0 4331 7873 2681 0 2647 764 % 67.3 0.0 0.0 32.7 56.4 19.2 0.0 19.0 5.5

Transfers from : Tablelands (57 Voters) Declaration votes (0%) Votes 6 0303 12020 % 0.0 50.0 0.0 50.0 20.0 40.0 0.0 40.0 0.0

COOK 16145 9737 3 938 4334 8494 2683 639 3199 905 % 64.9 0.0 6.2 28.9 53.3 16.9 4.0 20.1 5.7

20 1999 Queensland Redistribution

CUNNINGHAM 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Cunningham (22653 Voters) Bongeen, Bringalily South, Brookstead, Cambooya (75%), Cecil Plains, Centenary Heights, Clifton, Darling Heights, Drayton (95%), Emu Creek, Felton, Gabbinbar, Harristown, Hume Street South, Middle Ridge, Millmerran, Mount Tyson, Nobby, Pilton, Pittsworth, Ryeford, Southbrook, West Street, Wyreema, Declaration votes (84%) Votes 20438 10687 7137 3883 8866 6306 1143 % 60.0 40.0 19.2 43.9 31.2 5.7 Transfers from : Warwick (514 Voters) Karara, Leyburn, Wheatvale, Declaration votes (2%) Votes 421 242 149 65 209 135 11 % 61.9 38.1 15.5 49.8 32.2 2.6

CUNNINGHAM 20859 10929 7286 3948 9075 6441 1154 % 60.0 40.0 19.1 44.0 31.2 5.6

CURRUMBIN 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Currumbin (25806 Voters) Coolangatta, Coolangatta School, Currumbin, Currumbin Valley, Currumbin Waters, Elanora, Elanora High, Ingleside, Palm Beach, Palm Beach Currumbin, Palm Beach North, Tallebudgera, Tugun, Declaration votes (100%) Votes 22408 10681 9556 8981 4474 3154 4536 954 % 52.8 47.2 40.6 20.2 14.3 20.5 4.3

CURRUMBIN 22408 10681 9556 8981 4474 3154 4536 954 % 52.8 47.2 40.6 20.2 14.3 20.5 4.3

DARLING DOWNS 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Crows Nest (13553 Voters) Acland, Biddeston, Bowenville, Bunkers Hill (50%), Charlton, Cooyar, Crows Nest, Formartin, Geham, Goombungee, Gowrie, Haden, Jondaryan, Kingsthorpe, Kulpi, , Mount Tyson, Oakey, Perseverance, , Wilsonton, Declaration votes (52%) Votes 12266 5914 5304 1688 5137 4792 537 % 52.7 47.3 13.9 42.3 39.4 4.4 Transfers from : Cunningham (306 Voters) Cambooya (25%), Declaration votes (1%) Votes 207 100 84 29 86 78 11 % 54.3 45.7 14.2 42.0 38.1 5.4 Transfers from : Western Downs (10129 Voters) Bell, Cooranga North, Dalby, Dalby Hospital, Dalby North, Dalby South, , Jimbour, , Kupunn, Macalister, St Ruth, Warra, Declaration votes (45%) Votes 9672 5246 3780 1553 4564 3458 0 % 58.1 41.9 16.2 47.7 36.1 0.0

DARLING DOWNS 22145 11260 9168 3270 9787 8328 548 % 55.1 44.9 14.9 44.6 38.0 2.5

21 1999 Queensland Redistribution

EVERTON 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Aspley (491 Voters) McDowall (30%), Declaration votes (2%) Votes 438 192 218 173 189 53 20 % 46.8 53.2 39.8 43.4 12.2 4.6 Transfers from : Chermside (611 Voters) Craigslea (15%), Declaration votes (3%) Votes 560 291 230 255 180 88 30 % 55.9 44.1 46.1 32.6 15.9 5.4 Transfers from : Everton (24473 Voters) Albany Creek, Albany Creek High, Arana, Bunyaville, Everton Park, Everton Park North, Grovely, Hillbrook (40%), McDowall, Mitchelton, Oxford Park, Declaration votes (98%) Votes 22417 11919 9414 10451 7203 3419 1082 % 55.9 44.1 47.2 32.5 15.4 4.9

EVERTON 23415 12402 9862 10879 7572 3560 1132 % 55.7 44.3 47.0 32.7 15.4 4.9

FERNY GROVE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Ferny Grove (26644 Voters) Closeburn, Ferny Grove, Ferny Hills, Grovely, Keperra South, Mitchelton (75%), Mount Nebo, Patricks Road, Samford, Declaration votes (98%) Votes 24285 13079 9294 10772 6820 4245 2164 % 58.5 41.5 44.9 28.4 17.7 9.0

FERNY GROVE 24285 13079 9294 10772 6820 4245 2164 % 58.5 41.5 44.9 28.4 17.7 9.0

FITZROY 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Callide (3041 Voters) Baralaba, Bauhinia, Dululu, Goovigen, Jambin, Moura, Wowan, Declaration votes (16%) Votes 2926 0 1424 1230 730 1063 1036 87 % 0.0 53.7 46.3 25.0 36.4 35.5 3.0 Transfers from : Fitzroy (20220 Voters) Allenstown, Alton Downs, Bajool, Baree, Blackwater, Blackwater North, Bluff, Bouldercombe, Clarke Creek, Dawson Road, Depot Hill, Dingo, Duaringa, Dysart, Gracemere, Marmor, Middlemount, Mt Morgan, Port Curtis Road, Ridgelands, Rockhampton High, Stanwell, Westwood, Woorabinda, Declaration votes (95%) Votes 18712 10616 0 7000 9608 3839 4261 849 % 60.3 0.0 39.7 51.8 20.7 23.0 4.6 Transfers from : Keppel (1382 Voters) Parkhurst (30%), The Caves, Declaration votes (5%) Votes 1208 378 637 0 245 369 304 282 % 37.2 62.8 0.0 20.4 30.8 25.3 23.5

FITZROY 22846 10994 2061 8230 10583 5271 5601 1218 % 51.7 9.7 38.7 46.7 23.2 24.7 5.4

22 1999 Queensland Redistribution

GAVEN 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Albert (14415 Voters) Coomera (50%), Gaven, Helensvale, Helensvale North, Nerang School, Upper Coomera (50%), Declaration votes (42%) Votes 12911 4992 6436 0 4070 4524 0 3284 791 % 43.7 56.3 0.0 32.1 35.7 0.0 25.9 6.2 Transfers from : Nerang (7989 Voters) Nerang PYC (40%), Nerang School, Declaration votes (25%) Votes 6973 2409 0 3499 1964 0 2483 1755 626 % 40.8 0.0 59.2 28.8 0.0 36.4 25.7 9.2

GAVEN 19884 7401 6436 3499 6034 4524 2483 5039 1417 % 42.7 37.1 20.2 30.9 23.2 12.7 25.8 7.3

GLADSTONE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP OTH ALP NAT OTH Transfers from : Gladstone (25815 Voters) Ambrose, Benaraby, Boyne Island, Bracewell, Builyan, Calliope, Chanel College, Clinton, Gladstone Central, Gladstone South, Gladstone Valley, Gladstone West, Kin Kora, Mount Larcom, Seaview, Tannum Sands, Toolooa, Ubobo, Yarroon Street, Yarwun, Declaration votes (100%) Votes 23238 11071 11692 10897 1271 10812 % 48.6 51.4 47.4 5.5 47.1

GLADSTONE 23238 11071 11692 10897 1271 10812 % 48.6 51.4 47.4 5.5 47.1

GLASS HOUSE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Caboolture (11428 Voters) Beerburrum, Caboolture, Caboolture West, Elimbah, Morayfield, Wamuran, Declaration votes (38%) Votes 10166 4237 0 0 5137 0 3693 2272 0 3179 843 % 45.2 0.0 0.0 54.8 0.0 37.0 22.7 0.0 31.8 8.4 Transfers from : Caloundra (2033 Voters) Landsborough, Declaration votes (7%) Votes 1809 690 0 862 0 0 498 0 493 641 154 % 44.5 0.0 55.5 0.0 0.0 27.9 0.0 27.6 35.9 8.6 Transfers from : Mooloolah (2395 Voters) Bald Knob, Glenview, Mooloolah, Declaration votes (8%) Votes 2207 758 0 1199 0 0 537 0 793 675 177 % 38.7 0.0 61.3 0.0 0.0 24.6 0.0 36.4 30.9 8.1 Transfers from : Nicklin (9521 Voters) Beerwah, Conondale, Glass House Mountain, Maleny, Peachester, Declaration votes (33%) Votes 8478 0 3825 0 0 3118 2194 2772 0 2194 1204 % 0.0 55.1 0.0 0.0 44.9 26.2 33.1 0.0 26.2 14.4

GLASS HOUSE 22661 5685 3825 2061 5137 3118 6922 5044 1286 6689 2378 % 28.7 19.3 10.4 25.9 15.7 31.0 22.6 5.8 30.0 10.7

23 1999 Queensland Redistribution

GREENSLOPES 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Greenslopes (21193 Voters) Camp Hill (93%), Camp Hill High, Cavendish Road, Coorparoo, Greenslopes, Greenslopes Red Cros, Holland Park, Marshall Road, Meridian Street, South Coorparoo, St Matthews, Tarragindi, Temple Street, Wellers Hill, Declaration votes (96%) Votes 19072 10048 8209 8975 7604 0 2224 % 55.0 45.0 47.7 40.4 0.0 11.8 Transfers from : Mt Gravatt (5724 Voters) Cavendish Road, Marshall Road, Seville Road, Declaration votes (27%) Votes 4901 2871 1757 2542 1312 665 319 % 62.0 38.0 52.5 27.1 13.7 6.6 Transfers from : Yeronga (216 Voters) Wellers Hill (10%), Declaration votes (1%) Votes 154 92 53 82 43 18 10 % 63.4 36.6 53.9 28.3 11.8 6.6

GREENSLOPES 24126 13011 10019 11599 8959 683 2553 % 56.5 43.5 48.7 37.7 2.9 10.7

GREGORY 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Callide (427 Voters) Orion, Rolleston, Declaration votes (2%) Votes 254 0 157 86 14 151 79 9 % 0.0 64.6 35.4 5.5 59.6 31.2 3.6 Transfers from : Gregory (13820 Voters) Anakie, Barcaldine, Barcaldine Hospital, Bedourie, Birdsville, Blackall, Comet, Emerald, Emerald North, Gindie, Ilfracombe, Isisford, Jundah, Longreach, Longreach Hospital, Rubyvale, Sapphire, Springsure, Stonehenge, Willows Gemfields, Windorah, Yaraka, Declaration votes (86%) Votes 12856 4405 7314 0 3714 5836 2207 975 % 37.6 62.4 0.0 29.2 45.8 17.3 7.7 Transfers from : Warrego (4481 Voters) Adavale, Augathella, Charleville, Charleville Hospital, Eromanga, Morven, Quilpie, Tambo, Declaration votes (30%) Votes 4279 1532 2260 0 1227 1456 1115 413 % 40.4 59.6 0.0 29.1 34.6 26.5 9.8 Transfers from : Western Downs (65 Voters) Declaration votes (0%) Votes 11064 2630 % 0.0 60.0 40.0 18.2 54.5 27.3 0.0

GREGORY 17400 5937 9737 90 4957 7449 3404 1397 % 37.7 61.8 0.6 28.8 43.3 19.8 8.1

24 1999 Queensland Redistribution

GYMPIE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Gympie (24318 Voters) Amamoor, Brooloo, Chatsworth, Cooran, Cooroy, Dagun, Federal, Glastonbury, Goomboorian, Gympie, Gympie City, Gympie East, Gympie High, Gympie Hospital, Gympie South, Horseshoe Bend, Imbil, James Nash, Jones Hill, Kandanga, Kia Ora, Kybong, Long Flat, Monkland, Mothar Mountain, One Mile, Pie Creek, Pomona, Rainbow Beach, Red Hill, Tin Can Bay, Traveston, Veteran, Wolvi, Declaration votes (98%) Votes 22190 0 10314 0 9632 5694 6867 0 8601 748 % 0.0 51.7 0.0 48.3 26.0 31.3 0.0 39.3 3.4 Transfers from : Noosa (2536 Voters) Cooroy (90%), Declaration votes (8%) Votes 2289 768 0 1223 0 593 0 963 438 256 % 38.6 0.0 61.4 0.0 26.3 0.0 42.8 19.5 11.4

GYMPIE 24478 768 10314 1223 9632 6287 6867 963 9039 1004 % 3.5 47.0 5.6 43.9 26.0 28.4 4.0 37.4 4.2

HERVEY BAY 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Hervey Bay (23567 Voters) Dundowran, Eurong, Kawungan, Pialba, Point Vernon, Scarness, Torquay, Torquay School, Urangan, Urraween, Declaration votes (83%) Votes 21483 9001 10645 7845 6151 6731 514 % 45.8 54.2 36.9 29.0 31.7 2.4

HERVEY BAY 21483 9001 10645 7845 6151 6731 514 % 45.8 54.2 36.9 29.0 31.7 2.4

HINCHINBROOK 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Hinchinbrook (18400 Voters) Abergowrie, Bambaroo, Cardwell, El Arish, Feluga, Forrest Beach, Halifax, Hawkins Creek, Ingham, Ingham Hospital, Kennedy, Kurrimine, Long Pocket, Lower Tully, Lucinda, Macknade, Mena Creek, Mission Beach, Mission Beach South, Moresby, Mourilyan, Murray River Upper, Silkwood, Toobanna, Trebonne, Tully, Tully Hospital, Upper Stone, Victoria Estate, Declaration votes (78%) Votes 16530 0 8625 6089 4247 6247 0 4884 943 % 0.0 58.6 41.4 26.0 38.3 0.0 29.9 5.8 Transfers from : Mulgrave (1091 Voters) Mundoo, South Johnstone, Declaration votes (4%) Votes 960 369 0 525 303 336 0 301 13 % 41.3 0.0 58.7 31.8 35.3 0.0 31.6 1.4 Transfers from : Thuringowa (3396 Voters) Bluewater, Deeragun (25%), Rollingstone, Rupertswood (50%), Declaration votes (12%) Votes 2829 999 0 1648 838 325 430 1131 72 % 37.7 0.0 62.3 30.0 11.6 15.4 40.5 2.6

HINCHINBROOK 20319 1368 8625 8262 5388 6908 430 6316 1028 % 7.5 47.2 45.3 26.8 34.4 2.1 31.5 5.1

25 1999 Queensland Redistribution

INALA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Inala (22016 Voters) Camira, Carole Park, Darra, Forest Lake, Gailes, Inala, Inala West, Oxley, Richlands, Richlands East, Serviceton, Serviceton South, Springfield, Declaration votes (100%) Votes 19679 14009 4090 12744 3252 0 3010 % 77.4 22.6 67.1 17.1 0.0 15.8 Transfers from : Mt Ommaney (1333 Voters) Oxley (15%), Oxley South, Declaration votes (5%) Votes 1187 672 432 539 264 211 158 % 60.9 39.1 46.0 22.6 18.0 13.5

INALA 20866 14681 4522 13283 3516 211 3168 % 76.5 23.5 65.8 17.4 1.0 15.7

INDOOROOPILLY 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB OTH Transfers from : Indooroopilly (24711 Voters) Chelmer, Chelmer West, Fig Tree Pocket, Graceville, Graceville West, Indooroopilly, Indooroopilly East, Indooroopilly West, Ironside, Sherwood, St Lucia, Taringa, Declaration votes Votes 21327 10135 10414 7908 9482 3667 % 49.3 50.7 37.6 45.0 17.4 Transfers from : Mt Coot-tha (1015 Voters) Toowong High (80%), Declaration votes (4%) Votes 932 507 392 417 360 148 % 56.4 43.6 45.1 38.9 16.0

INDOOROOPILLY 22259 10642 10806 8325 9842 3815 % 49.6 50.4 37.9 44.8 17.4

IPSWICH 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Ipswich (22998 Voters) Bundamba, East Ipswich, Eastern Heights, Flinders View, Griffith Road, Ipswich, Ipswich Hospital, Newtown, North Booval, Raceview, Sadliers Crossing, Silkstone, West Ipswich, Declaration votes Votes 21264 10689 9325 9601 0 2207 8281 860 % 53.4 46.6 45.8 0.0 10.5 39.5 4.1 Transfers from : Ipswich West (3400 Voters) Churchill, Declaration votes (13%) Votes 3242 1551 1511 1418 541 0 1165 72 % 50.7 49.3 44.4 16.9 0.0 36.5 2.3

IPSWICH 24506 12240 10836 11019 541 2207 9446 932 % 53.0 47.0 45.6 2.2 9.1 39.1 3.9

26 1999 Queensland Redistribution

IPSWICH WEST 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Crows Nest (3166 Voters) Fernvale, Lowood, Minden, Declaration votes (12%) Votes 3306 0 1179 1704 717 818 1471 267 % 0.0 40.9 59.1 21.9 25.0 44.9 8.2 Transfers from : Ipswich West (21860 Voters) Amberley, Ashwell, Brassall, Brassall West, Glamorganvale, Grandchester, Haigslea, Karalee, Leichhardt, Marburg, North Ipswich, One Mile, Pine Mountain Hall, Pine Mountain Road, Rosewood, Tivoli, Walloon, Declaration votes (87%) Votes 20088 9074 0 9932 8239 3524 7735 344 % 47.7 0.0 52.3 41.5 17.8 39.0 1.7

IPSWICH WEST 23394 9074 1179 11636 8956 4342 9206 611 % 41.5 5.4 53.2 38.7 18.8 39.8 2.6

KALLANGUR 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP ONP ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Kallangur (23524 Voters) Burpengary, Dakabin, Kallangur (80%), Kallangur East (80%), Morayfield (70%), Morayfield East, Narangba, Declaration votes (70%) Votes 21576 10434 8894 9054 4669 5678 1789 % 54.0 46.0 42.7 22.0 26.8 8.4

KALLANGUR 21576 10434 8894 9054 4669 5678 1789 % 54.0 46.0 42.7 22.0 26.8 8.4

KAWANA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Caloundra (1453 Voters) Buddina, Kawana Waters (25%), Declaration votes (5%) Votes 1271 489 638 389 458 308 97 % 43.4 56.6 31.1 36.6 24.6 7.7 Transfers from : Mooloolah (23338 Voters) Buddina, Buderim, Buderim Gardens, Buderim South, Chancellor, Forest Glen (50%), Kawana Waters, Kuluin, Mountain Creek, Declaration votes (78%) Votes 20230 6143 12301 4795 9705 4507 955 % 33.3 66.7 24.0 48.6 22.6 4.8

KAWANA 21501 6632 12939 5184 10163 4815 1052 % 33.9 66.1 24.4 47.9 22.7 5.0

27 1999 Queensland Redistribution

KEPPEL 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Keppel (22512 Voters) Byfield, Cawarral, Cooee Bay, Coowonga, Emu Park, Farnborough, Frenchville (75%), Glenmore, Great Keppel Island, Keppel Sands, Lakes Creek, Mount Archer, Norman Road, Parkhurst (70%), Rockonia Road (50%), Yeppoon, Declaration votes (78%) Votes 20227 8009 9463 6266 6013 4338 3359 % 45.8 54.2 31.4 30.1 21.7 16.8

KEPPEL 20227 8009 9463 6266 6013 4338 3359 % 45.8 54.2 31.4 30.1 21.7 16.8

KURWONGBAH 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ONP ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Kallangur (416 Voters) Upper Caboolture (40%), Declaration votes (1%) Votes 343 141 0 168 117 91 111 22 % 45.6 0.0 54.4 34.3 26.7 32.5 6.4 Transfers from : Kurwongbah (26808 Voters) Albany Creek, Bray Park, Dayboro, Eatons Hill, Kallangur, Kurwongbah, Lawnton, Mount Pleasant, Petrie, Strathpine, Strathpine West, Warner, Whiteside, Declaration votes Votes 24319 13847 8062 0 11857 5423 5312 1371 % 63.2 36.8 0.0 49.5 22.6 22.2 5.7

KURWONGBAH 24662 13988 8062 168 11974 5514 5423 1393 % 63.0 36.3 0.8 49.3 22.7 22.3 5.7

LOCKYER 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Beaudesert (318 Voters) Greenbank (40%), Declaration votes (1%) Votes 293 111 126 0 89 84 97 16 % 46.8 53.2 0.0 31.2 29.4 34.0 5.6 Transfers from : Crows Nest (1137 Voters) Mount Tarampa, Tarampa, Declaration votes (4%) Votes 785 0 262 430 140 193 384 48 % 0.0 37.9 62.1 18.3 25.2 50.2 6.3 Transfers from : Lockyer (22552 Voters) Amberley, Blenheim, Churchill, Flagstone, Flagstone Creek, Forest Hill, Gatton, Gatton South, Glenore Grove, Grandchester, Grantham, Greenbank, Harrisville, Hatton Vale, Helidon, Kentville, Laidley, Lake Clarendon, Lawes, Lockrose, Ma Ma Creek, Mount Sylvia, Murphys Creek, Mutdapilly, Peak Crossing, Purga Creek, Rosewood, Stockyard Creek, Thornton, Upper Tent Hill, Withcott, Declaration votes (80%) Votes 20861 0 8276 9247 4679 4980 7608 3336 % 0.0 47.2 52.8 22.7 24.2 36.9 16.2

LOCKYER 21939 111 8664 9677 4908 5257 8089 3400 % 0.6 47.0 52.4 22.7 24.3 37.4 15.7

28 1999 Queensland Redistribution

LOGAN 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Beaudesert (3987 Voters) Greenbank (60%), Logan Reserve (30%), Park Ridge, Declaration votes (15%) Votes 3311 1550 1190 0 1316 773 929 240 % 56.6 43.4 0.0 40.4 23.7 28.5 7.4 Transfers from : Logan (19811 Voters) Berrinba East, Boronia Heights, Browns Plains, Crestmead (40%), Park Ridge, Regents Park, Yugumbir, Declaration votes (68%) Votes 17732 9482 0 6865 8344 2831 4846 1331 % 58.0 0.0 42.0 48.1 16.3 27.9 7.7

LOGAN 21043 11032 1190 6865 9660 3604 5775 1571 % 57.8 6.2 36.0 46.9 17.5 28.0 7.6

LYTTON 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Bulimba (1198 Voters) Hemmant, Declaration votes (5%) Votes 1013 664 247 556 126 266 52 % 72.9 27.1 55.6 12.6 26.6 5.2 Transfers from : Chatsworth (1273 Voters) Manly West, Declaration votes (5%) Votes 1184 610 507 533 358 223 50 % 54.6 45.4 45.8 30.8 19.2 4.3 Transfers from : Lytton (23574 Voters) Lindum, Lota, Manly, Manly East, Manly West, Preston Road, Wondall Heights, Wynnum, Wynnum Central, Wynnum North, Wynnum South, Wynnum West, Declaration votes Votes 21570 13730 6625 12579 5859 0 2592 % 67.5 32.5 59.8 27.9 0.0 12.3

LYTTON 23767 15004 7379 13668 6343 489 2694 % 67.0 33.0 58.9 27.3 2.1 11.6

MACKAY 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Mackay (20511 Voters) Andergrove, Canberra Street, Fitzgerald, Homefield, Mackay, Mackay City, Mackay Hospital, Mackay North, Mackay South (90%), Mackay West, Mater Hospital, Nebo Road (50%), High, Slade Point, Victoria Park, Declaration votes (91%) Votes 18218 9673 0 7331 8833 4028 4844 255 % 56.9 0.0 43.1 49.2 22.4 27.0 1.4 Transfers from : Mirani (6328 Voters) Andergrove, Fitzgerald (50%), Declaration votes (23%) Votes 5174 2544 2007 0 2232 1340 1367 150 % 55.9 44.1 0.0 43.9 26.3 26.9 2.9

MACKAY 23391 12217 2007 7331 11065 5368 6211 405 % 56.7 9.3 34.0 48.0 23.3 26.9 1.8

29 1999 Queensland Redistribution

MANSFIELD 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Capalaba (610 Voters) Coolnwynpin (20%), Declaration votes (3%) Votes 544 303 191 278 155 0 99 % 61.3 38.7 52.2 29.1 0.0 18.6 Transfers from : Mansfield (21798 Voters) Macgregor, MacKenzie, Mansfield, Mt Gravatt East (75%), Mt Gravatt West (40%), Rochedale, Upper Mount Gravatt, Warrigal Road (40%), Wishart, Declaration votes (76%) Votes 19578 9247 9228 7863 7547 2798 1121 % 50.1 49.9 40.7 39.0 14.5 5.8 Transfers from : Springwood (3693 Voters) Rochedale, Rochedale South (80%), Declaration votes (18%) Votes 3287 1557 1400 1296 1024 667 256 % 52.7 47.3 40.0 31.6 20.6 7.9

MANSFIELD 23408 11107 10819 9437 8726 3465 1476 % 50.7 49.3 40.8 37.8 15.0 6.4

MAROOCHYDORE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Maroochydore (20317 Voters) Buderim, Coolum, Diddillibah (50%), Forest Glen, Kuluin, Maroochydore, Maroochydore Central, Maroochydore High, Mooloolaba, Mudjimba, Pacific Paradise, Declaration votes (74%) Votes 17077 0 10000 0 5137 4222 6850 0 4469 1287 % 0.0 66.1 0.0 33.9 25.1 40.7 0.0 26.6 7.6 Transfers from : Mooloolah (2877 Voters) Mooloolaba, Declaration votes (10%) Votes 2531 780 0 1508 0 594 0 1161 589 144 % 34.1 0.0 65.9 0.0 23.9 0.0 46.7 23.7 5.8 Transfers from : Noosa (2465 Voters) Coolum (40%), Declaration votes (8%) Votes 2130 913 0 943 0 753 0 722 370 238 % 49.2 0.0 50.8 0.0 36.1 0.0 34.7 17.8 11.4

MAROOCHYDORE 21739 1693 10000 2451 5137 5569 6850 1883 5428 1669 % 8.8 51.9 12.7 26.6 26.0 32.0 8.8 25.4 7.8

30 1999 Queensland Redistribution

MARYBOROUGH 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Hervey Bay (3754 Voters) Burrum Heads, Howard, Island Plantation, Maryborough Central, Toogoom, Torbanlea, Declaration votes (13%) Votes 3281 1235 1840 1105 597 1452 108 % 40.2 59.8 33.9 18.3 44.5 3.3 Transfers from : Maryborough (21779 Voters) Albert, Bauple, Boonooroo, Brooweena, Curra, Fairfield, Glenwood, Granville, Gunalda, Gundiah, Island Plantation, Maryborough Central, Maryborough Hospital, Maryborough West, Mungar, Newtown, Sunbury, Tiaro, Tinana, Declaration votes Votes 20297 7951 11124 7163 3787 8539 576 % 41.7 58.3 35.7 18.9 42.6 2.9

MARYBOROUGH 23578 9186 12964 8268 4384 9991 684 % 41.5 58.5 35.4 18.8 42.8 2.9

MIRANI 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Mackay (1957 Voters) Mackay South (10%), Nebo Road (50%), Planlands, Declaration votes (9%) Votes 1766 867 0 770 769 477 480 18 % 53.0 0.0 47.0 44.1 27.3 27.5 1.0 Transfers from : Mirani (21543 Voters) Alligator Creek, Carmila, Chelona, Coppabella, Dundula, Emmanuel, Eton, Eungella, Farleigh, Finch Hatton, Fitzgerald (50%), Gargett, Glenden, Glenella, Homebush, Koumala, Marian, Marlborough, Mirani, Nebo, Oakenden, Ogmore, Pinnacle, Pleystowe, Racecourse, Sarina, Sarina Beach, Sarina Range, Septimus, Shinfield, St Lawrence, Walkerston, Yaamba, Declaration votes (77%) Votes 19692 7814 9512 0 6545 6798 5685 482 % 45.1 54.9 0.0 33.5 34.8 29.1 2.5 Transfers from : Whitsunday (2 Voters)

MIRANI 21459 8681 9512 770 7314 7275 6165 500 % 45.8 50.2 4.1 34.4 34.2 29.0 2.4

MOGGILL 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB OTH Transfers from : Moggill (25752 Voters) Brookfield, Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill Central, Indooroopilly West, Kenmore, Kenmore South, Moggill, Mount Crosby, Pullenvale, Upper Brookfield, Declaration votes Votes 23231 9138 13116 7739 12202 2967 % 41.1 58.9 33.8 53.3 13.0

MOGGILL 23231 9138 13116 7739 12202 2967 % 41.1 58.9 33.8 53.3 13.0

31 1999 Queensland Redistribution

MOUNT COOT-THA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Ashgrove (999 Voters) Ashgrove (20%), Ashgrove West (15%), Declaration votes (4%) Votes 924 530 356 473 318 0 122 % 59.8 40.2 51.8 34.8 0.0 13.4 Transfers from : Brisbane Central (1257 Voters) Red Hill (75%), Declaration votes (5%) Votes 1114 706 339 591 264 86 162 % 67.6 32.4 53.6 23.9 7.8 14.7 Transfers from : Mt Coot-tha (23937 Voters) Ashgrove West, Auchenflower, Bardon, Bardon West, Enoggera Terrace, Ithaca Creek, Paddington, Petrie Terrace, Rainworth, Red Hill, Rosalie, Toowong, Toowong High (20%), Declaration votes (96%) Votes 20139 11741 7597 9782 6912 0 3158 % 60.7 39.3 49.3 34.8 0.0 15.9

MOUNT COOT-THA 22177 12977 8292 10846 7494 86 3442 % 61.0 39.0 49.6 34.3 0.4 15.7

MOUNT GRAVATT 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Chatsworth (651 Voters) Carina Heights (20%), Declaration votes (2%) Votes 543 315 199 285 144 83 22 % 61.3 38.7 53.4 27.0 15.6 4.1 Transfers from : Mansfield (2230 Voters) Mt Gravatt East (25%), Mt Gravatt West (60%), Declaration votes (8%) Votes 1855 978 767 832 586 304 113 % 56.0 44.0 45.4 32.0 16.6 6.2 Transfers from : Mt Gravatt (14120 Voters) Griffith, Macgregor, Macgregor Central, Mt Gravatt, Mt Gravatt Central, Mt Gravatt East, Mt Gravatt West, Robertson, Upper Mount Gravatt, Declaration votes (67%) Votes 13196 6862 5597 5993 4461 1685 864 % 55.1 44.9 46.1 34.3 13.0 6.6 Transfers from : Sunnybank (8950 Voters) Macgregor Central, Runcorn (20%), Sunnybank, Warrigal Road (75%), Declaration votes (29%) Votes 8100 4329 3247 3746 2577 1323 354 % 57.1 42.9 46.8 32.2 16.5 4.4

MOUNT GRAVATT 23694 12484 9810 10856 7768 3395 1353 % 56.0 44.0 46.5 33.2 14.5 5.8

32 1999 Queensland Redistribution

MOUNT ISA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Charters Towers (643 Voters) Julia Creek, Declaration votes (4%) Votes 419 113 261 0 83 176 145 6 % 30.2 69.8 0.0 20.2 42.8 35.3 1.5 Transfers from : Cook (1359 Voters) Croydon, Karumba, Normanton, Declaration votes (7%) Votes 1020 503 0 448 437 199 322 47 % 52.9 0.0 47.1 43.5 19.8 32.1 4.7 Transfers from : Gregory (1030 Voters) Winton, Declaration votes (6%) Votes 866 238 565 0 204 498 120 36 % 29.6 70.4 0.0 23.8 58.1 14.0 4.2 Transfers from : Mt Isa (15472 Voters) Barkly, Boulia, Burketown, Camooweal, Central, Cloncurry, Dajarra, Doomadgee, Gunpowder, Happy Valley, Healy, Kalkadoon, Mornington Island, Mt Isa High, Mt Isa Hospital, Sunset, Townview, Declaration votes Votes 13090 8029 0 4204 7562 1900 3175 297 % 65.6 0.0 34.4 58.5 14.7 24.5 2.3

MOUNT ISA 15395 8883 826 4652 8286 2773 3762 386 % 61.9 5.8 32.4 54.5 18.2 24.7 2.5

MOUNT OMMANEY 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Mt Ommaney (24635 Voters) Corinda, Corinda South, Jamboree Heights, Jindalee, Jindalee South, Middle Park, Oxley (85%), Sherwood, Sinnamon, Declaration votes (95%) Votes 22053 10674 10064 8491 7780 2567 2968 % 51.5 48.5 38.9 35.7 11.8 13.6

MOUNT OMMANEY 22053 10674 10064 8491 7780 2567 2968 % 51.5 48.5 38.9 35.7 11.8 13.6

MUDGEERABA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Currumbin (29 Voters) Declaration votes (0%) Votes 3 110 11110 % 50.0 50.0 0.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 0.0 Transfers from : Nerang (23779 Voters) Bonogin, Gilston, Merrimac, Mudgeeraba, Mudgeeraba School, Nerang, Nerang PYC (60%), Numinbah, Springbrook, Stephens, Declaration votes (75%) Votes 20199 6655 0 10679 5442 0 7854 4963 1653 % 38.4 0.0 61.6 27.3 0.0 39.4 24.9 8.3

MUDGEERABA 20202 6656 1 10679 5443 1 7855 4964 1653 % 38.4 0.0 61.6 27.3 0.0 39.4 24.9 8.3

33 1999 Queensland Redistribution

MULGRAVE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Hinchinbrook (5059 Voters) Goondi, Innisfail, Innisfail East, Innisfail Hospital, Declaration votes (22%) Votes 4687 0 2348 1678 1760 1429 1288 135 % 0.0 58.3 41.7 38.2 31.0 27.9 2.9 Transfers from : Mulgrave (19169 Voters) Aloomba, Babinda, Bayview Gardens (50%), Bellenden Ker, Bramston Beach, Cairns Hospital, Edmonton, Flying Fish Point, Garradunga, Goondi (50%), Gordonvale, Hambledon, Innisfail, McDonnell Creek, Miriwinni, Parramatta, White Rock, Yarrabah, Declaration votes (73%) Votes 16773 7426 0 8254 6424 4758 5059 330 % 47.4 0.0 52.6 38.8 28.7 30.5 2.0

MULGRAVE 21460 7426 2348 9932 8184 6187 6347 465 % 37.7 11.9 50.4 38.6 29.2 30.0 2.2

MUNDINGBURRA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Burdekin (5399 Voters) Annandale, University, Declaration votes (21%) Votes 4691 1996 0 2244 1664 1601 0 1101 262 % 47.1 0.0 52.9 35.9 34.6 0.0 23.8 5.7 Transfers from : Mundingburra (18485 Voters) Aitkenvale, Cranbrook, Currajong, Heatley, Hermit Park (50%), Mundingburra (75%), Mundingburra South, Pimlico, Vincent, Declaration votes (83%) Votes 16518 8135 7098 0 7188 0 5022 4033 0 % 53.4 46.6 0.0 44.3 0.0 30.9 24.8 0.0 Transfers from : Townsville (2176 Voters) Currajong (30%), Vincent, Declaration votes (9%) Votes 1874 907 681 0 744 0 427 579 65 % 57.1 42.9 0.0 41.0 0.0 23.5 31.9 3.6

MUNDINGBURRA 23083 11038 7779 2244 9596 1601 5449 5713 327 % 52.4 36.9 10.7 42.3 7.1 24.0 25.2 1.4

34 1999 Queensland Redistribution

MURRUMBA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ONP ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Aspley (1379 Voters) Undurba, Declaration votes (5%) Votes 1105 510 494 0 441 371 239 41 % 50.8 49.2 0.0 40.5 34.0 21.9 3.8 Transfers from : Kallangur (4192 Voters) Kallangur (20%), Kallangur East (20%), Petrie, Undurba, Declaration votes (12%) Votes 3540 1833 0 1345 1607 757 824 296 % 57.7 0.0 42.3 46.1 21.7 23.7 8.5 Transfers from : Murrumba (18558 Voters) Burpengary, Burpengary East, Deception Bay, Deception Bay North, Deception Bay South, Kippa-Ring (50%), Kippa-Ring North, Kippa-Ring West, Mango Hill, Moreton Downs, Redcliffe, Rothwell, Scarborough, Declaration votes (74%) Votes 17149 8694 0 7288 7666 3512 4996 712 % 54.4 0.0 45.6 45.4 20.8 29.6 4.2

MURRUMBA 21794 11037 494 8633 9714 4640 6059 1049 % 54.7 2.4 42.8 45.3 21.6 28.2 4.9

NANANGO 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES NAT ONP OTH ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Barambah (16167 Voters) Blackbutt, , Goodger, , Jimna, Kilcoy, , Kingaroy Hospital, Kumbia, Maidenwell, Memerambi, Moore, Mount Kilcoy, Nanango, Sandy Ridges, Taabinga, Yarraman, Declaration votes (68%) Votes 14894 5953 7389 0 2486 4612 6316 1280 % 44.6 55.4 0.0 16.9 31.4 43.0 8.7 Transfers from : Crows Nest (3771 Voters) Coominya, Esk, Somerset Dam, Toogoolawah, Declaration votes (14%) Votes 3349 1321 1647 0 612 1009 1437 252 % 44.5 55.5 0.0 18.5 30.5 43.4 7.6 Transfers from : Nicklin (2402 Voters) Mount Mee, Woodford, Declaration votes (8%) Votes 2429 1014 0 906 669 623 862 238 % 52.8 0.0 47.2 28.0 26.0 36.0 9.9

NANANGO 20672 8288 9036 906 3767 6244 8615 1770 % 45.5 49.6 5.0 18.5 30.6 42.2 8.7

35 1999 Queensland Redistribution

NICKLIN 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Maroochydore (7289 Voters) Bli Bli, Diddillibah (50%), Eumundi, Nambour, Nambour Hospital, Yandina, Declaration votes (26%) Votes 6641 0 3698 0 2217 0 1415 2576 0 1972 580 % 0.0 62.5 0.0 37.5 0.0 21.6 39.4 0.0 30.1 8.9 Transfers from : Mooloolah (1471 Voters) Eudlo, Forest Glen (50%), Nambour, Palmwoods, Declaration votes (5%) Votes 1347 452 0 724 0 0 297 0 467 401 156 % 38.4 0.0 61.6 0.0 0.0 22.5 0.0 35.4 30.4 11.8 Transfers from : Nicklin (17043 Voters) Burnside, Kenilworth, Kureelpa, Mapleton, Montville, Nambour, Nambour Hospital, Palmwoods, Woombye, Declaration votes (59%) Votes 15016 0 4820 0 0 8132 2558 3482 0 2976 5826 % 0.0 37.2 0.0 0.0 62.8 17.2 23.5 0.0 20.1 39.3 Transfers from : Noosa (328 Voters) Yandina (50%), Declaration votes (1%) Votes 189630920 0 390645328 % 40.6 0.0 59.4 0.0 0.0 21.0 0.0 34.5 28.6 15.1

NICKLIN 23193 515 8518 816 2217 8132 4309 6058 531 5402 6590 % 2.5 42.2 4.0 11.0 40.3 18.8 26.5 2.3 23.6 28.8

NOOSA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Gympie (536 Voters) Kin Kin, Declaration votes (2%) Votes 380 0 173 0 165 112 103 0 144 16 % 0.0 51.2 0.0 48.8 29.8 27.4 0.0 38.4 4.3 Transfers from : Noosa (25866 Voters) Boreen Point, Coolum (60%), Cooroy (10%), Eumundi, Noosa Junction, Noosaville, Noosaville West, Peregian, Tewantin, Yandina (50%), Declaration votes (83%) Votes 22257 7844 0 12028 0 6484 0 10182 2907 2261 % 39.5 0.0 60.5 0.0 29.7 0.0 46.6 13.3 10.4

NOOSA 22637 7844 173 12028 165 6596 103 10182 3051 2277 % 38.8 0.9 59.5 0.8 29.7 0.5 45.8 13.7 10.3

36 1999 Queensland Redistribution

NUDGEE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Aspley (1523 Voters) Aspley East (25%), Zillmere (50%), Declaration votes (6%) Votes 1385 678 595 601 476 210 78 % 53.3 46.7 44.0 34.9 15.4 5.7 Transfers from : Chermside (2712 Voters) Chermside East (35%), Virginia, Wavell Heights East (15%), Declaration votes (13%) Votes 2413 1422 821 1272 596 405 107 % 63.4 36.6 53.4 25.0 17.0 4.5 Transfers from : Nudgee (22416 Voters) Banyo, Banyo East, Boondall, Geebung, Northgate (65%), Northgate Central, Nudgee, Nudgee Beach, Nundah East, Virginia North, Zillmere, Zillmere North, Declaration votes (97%) Votes 20674 12889 6179 11437 4560 3519 873 % 67.6 32.4 56.1 22.4 17.3 4.3

NUDGEE 24472 14989 7595 13310 5632 4134 1058 % 66.4 33.6 55.1 23.3 17.1 4.4

PUMICESTONE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Caboolture (18866 Voters) Banksia Beach, Beachmere, Bellara, Bongaree, Caboolture East, Donnybrook, Ningi, Toorbul, Woorim, Declaration votes (62%) Votes 17013 7656 8108 6778 3950 0 4829 1209 % 48.6 51.4 40.4 23.6 0.0 28.8 7.2 Transfers from : Kallangur (5601 Voters) Caboolture, Caboolture East, Caboolture West, Morayfield (30%), Morayfield West, Torrens Road, Upper Caboolture (60%), Declaration votes (17%) Votes 5053 2337 2199 2020 0 1065 1463 421 % 51.5 48.5 40.7 0.0 21.4 29.4 8.5 Transfers from : Murrumba (646 Voters) Morayfield, Declaration votes (3%) Votes 251 111 123 94 0 61 83 10 % 47.4 52.6 38.0 0.0 24.7 33.6 4.0

PUMICESTONE 22317 10104 10430 8892 3950 1126 6375 1640 % 49.2 50.8 40.5 18.0 5.1 29.0 7.5

37 1999 Queensland Redistribution

REDCLIFFE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ONP ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Murrumba (5750 Voters) Clontarf, Clontarf Beach, Kippa-Ring (50%), Redcliffe Hospital, Declaration votes (23%) Votes 5302 2832 0 2105 2503 1170 1352 204 % 57.4 0.0 42.6 47.9 22.4 25.9 3.9 Transfers from : Redcliffe (21484 Voters) Bally Cara, Clontarf, Clontarf Beach, Frawley Hall, Humpybong, Kippa-Ring, Kippa-Ring North, Redcliffe, Redcliffe Hospital, Scarborough, Scarborough North, Tangalooma, Woody Point, Woody Point South, Declaration votes Votes 19434 9351 8523 0 8136 5864 4370 777 % 52.3 47.7 0.0 42.5 30.6 22.8 4.1

REDCLIFFE 24736 12183 8523 2105 10639 7034 5722 981 % 53.4 37.4 9.2 43.6 28.9 23.5 4.0

REDLANDS 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Capalaba (635 Voters) Hilliard (25%), Declaration votes (3%) Votes 518 283 0 193 262 0 165 0 82 % 59.5 0.0 40.5 51.5 0.0 32.4 0.0 16.1 Transfers from : Redlands (21817 Voters) Carbrook, Coochiemudlo, Lamb, Macleay, Mount Cotton, Redland Bay, Russell, Shailer Park (15%), Thornlands, Thornlands West, Victoria Point, Victoria Point South, Declaration votes (73%) Votes 19624 8852 9180 0 7434 6208 0 4705 981 % 49.1 50.9 0.0 38.5 32.1 0.0 24.3 5.1 Transfers from : Waterford (1 Voters)

REDLANDS 20142 9135 9180 193 7696 6208 165 4705 1063 % 49.4 49.6 1.0 38.8 31.3 0.8 23.7 5.4

ROBINA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Burleigh (231 Voters) Burleigh Waters (4%), Declaration votes (1%) Votes 203 81 107 0 70 84 0 41 6 % 43.1 56.9 0.0 34.8 41.8 0.0 20.4 3.0 Transfers from : Merrimac (23086 Voters) Broadbeach (75%), Mermaid Beach (70%), Mermaid Waters, Merrimac, Merrimac High, Miami East (25%), Miami West (50%), Moana Park, Robina, Robina North, Declaration votes (86%) Votes 19472 6037 0 11565 5275 0 9629 3747 487 % 34.3 0.0 65.7 27.6 0.0 50.3 19.6 2.5 Transfers from : Surfers Paradise (2745 Voters) Florida Gardens (75%), Mermaid Waters, Moana Park, Declaration votes (12%) Votes 2322 611 1489 0 513 1217 0 463 92 % 29.1 70.9 0.0 22.5 53.3 0.0 20.3 4.0

ROBINA 21997 6729 1596 11565 5858 1301 9629 4251 585 % 33.8 8.0 58.1 27.1 6.0 44.5 19.7 2.7

38 1999 Queensland Redistribution

ROCKHAMPTON 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Keppel (4844 Voters) Berserker Street, Frenchville (25%), North Rockhampton, Rockonia Road (50%), Declaration votes (17%) Votes 4321 1943 1835 0 1622 1201 789 655 % 51.4 48.6 0.0 38.0 28.1 18.5 15.4 Transfers from : Rockhampton (21081 Voters) Allenstown, Berserker Street, Burnett Street, Campbell Street, Crescent Lagoon, Depot Hill, Glenmore, Main Street, Mount Archer, North Rockhampton, North Street, Park Avenue, Parkhurst, Rockhampton, Rockhampton High, Rockhampton Hospital, Wandal, William Street, Yeppoon, Declaration votes Votes 19293 10851 0 7354 9690 3677 4919 740 % 59.6 0.0 40.4 50.9 19.3 25.9 3.9

ROCKHAMPTON 23614 12794 1835 7354 11312 4878 5708 1395 % 58.2 8.3 33.5 48.6 20.9 24.5 6.0

SANDGATE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Sandgate (25481 Voters) Bracken Ridge, Bracken Ridge Centra, Bracken Ridge West, Brighton, Brighton South, Deagon, Eventide, Nashville, Nashville Central, Sandgate, Shorncliffe, Taigum, Declaration votes Votes 22903 13272 6842 11155 4546 4176 2686 % 66.0 34.0 49.4 20.1 18.5 11.9

SANDGATE 22903 13272 6842 11155 4546 4176 2686 % 66.0 34.0 49.4 20.1 18.5 11.9

SOUTH BRISBANE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Greenslopes (811 Voters) West Coorparoo, Declaration votes (4%) Votes 672 376 269 342 251 0 65 % 58.3 41.7 51.8 38.0 0.0 9.9 Transfers from : South Brisbane (24228 Voters) Annerley, Coorparoo, Dutton Park, East Brisbane, Greenslopes, Kangaroo Point, Mater, P.A., St Francis, St Ita's, State High, Stones Corner, Thompson Estate, Vulture Street, West End, Declaration votes Votes 20187 12389 6300 10591 5209 1592 2444 % 66.3 33.7 53.4 26.3 8.0 12.3 Transfers from : Yeronga (2056 Voters) Annerley (25%), Ekibin (40%), Fairfield (75%), Declaration votes (10%) Votes 1840 1080 634 952 498 233 129 % 63.0 37.0 52.5 27.5 12.9 7.1

SOUTH BRISBANE 22699 13845 7203 11885 5958 1825 2638 % 65.8 34.2 53.3 26.7 8.2 11.8

39 1999 Queensland Redistribution

SOUTHERN DOWNS 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Cunningham (3944 Voters) , Kindon, , Declaration votes (15%) Votes 3582 0 1667 1491 602 1391 1363 169 % 0.0 52.8 47.2 17.1 39.5 38.7 4.8 Transfers from : Warrego (1010 Voters) Bungunya, Goondiwindi, Lundavra, Talwood, , , Declaration votes (7%) Votes 867 136 622 0 75 436 263 84 % 17.9 82.1 0.0 8.7 50.8 30.7 9.8 Transfers from : Warwick (22035 Voters) Allora, Amiens, Applethorpe, Ballandean, Broadwater, Cottonvale, Dalveen, Eukey, Freestone, Glen Aplin, Glennie Heights, Goomburra, Greenlands, Inglewood, Killarney, Maryvale, Massie, Murrays Bridge, Pozieres, Pratten, Rosenthal, Severnlea, Stanthorpe, Stanthorpe Hospital, Texas, The Summit, Thulimbah, Wallangarra, Warwick, Warwick East, Warwick Hospital, Warwick West, Yangan, Declaration votes (98%) Votes 20449 0 11387 7024 4026 9235 6107 803 % 0.0 61.8 38.2 20.0 45.8 30.3 4.0

SOUTHERN DOWNS 24898 136 13676 8515 4703 11062 7733 1056 % 0.6 61.3 38.1 19.2 45.1 31.5 4.3

SOUTHPORT 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Broadwater (1755 Voters) Ernest, Labrador (35%), Southport North, Declaration votes (7%) Votes 1490 582 670 495 475 383 107 % 46.5 53.5 33.9 32.5 26.2 7.3 Transfers from : Southport (21951 Voters) Arundel, Ashmore West (75%), Ernest, Evandale, Keebra Park, Southport East, Southport North, Southport South, Southport West, Declaration votes (80%) Votes 18786 7774 8785 6847 7066 3957 601 % 46.9 53.1 37.1 38.3 21.4 3.3

SOUTHPORT 20275 8356 9455 7342 7541 4340 708 % 46.9 53.1 36.8 37.8 21.8 3.6

40 1999 Queensland Redistribution

SPRINGWOOD 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Redlands (8178 Voters) Kimberley Park, Shailer Park (85%), Slacks Creek, Declaration votes (27%) Votes 7349 3312 3472 0 0 2792 2494 0 1529 413 % 48.8 51.2 0.0 0.0 38.6 34.5 0.0 21.2 5.7 Transfers from : Springwood (16730 Voters) Chatswood Hills, Eight Mile Plains, Rochedale South (20%), Slacks Creek, Springwood, Springwood North, Declaration votes (82%) Votes 15407 6959 0 6928 0 5752 0 5246 3024 1161 % 50.1 0.0 49.9 0.0 37.9 0.0 34.6 19.9 7.6 Transfers from : Waterford (1758 Voters) Shailer Park (85%), Declaration votes (7%) Votes 1549 732 0 0 689 597 0 524 406 0 % 51.5 0.0 0.0 48.5 39.1 0.0 34.3 26.6 0.0

SPRINGWOOD 24305 11003 3472 6928 689 9141 2494 5770 4959 1574 % 49.8 15.7 31.4 3.1 38.2 10.4 24.1 20.7 6.6

STAFFORD 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Chermside (12515 Voters) Chermside, Chermside East (35%), Craigslea (70%), Prince Charles Hospi, Somerset Hills, Stafford Heights, Stafford Heights Nor, Wavell Heights, Wavell High, Declaration votes (61%) Votes 11701 6567 4345 5880 3335 1797 525 % 60.2 39.8 51.0 28.9 15.6 4.6 Transfers from : Kedron (14688 Voters) Gordon Park, Kedron, Kedron West, Lutwyche (75%), Somerset Hills, Stafford, Stafford Heights, Stafford West, Declaration votes (72%) Votes 13288 7867 4385 6811 3298 1977 975 % 64.2 35.8 52.1 25.3 15.1 7.5

STAFFORD 24989 14434 8730 12691 6633 3774 1500 % 62.3 37.7 51.6 27.0 15.3 6.1

STRETTON 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Mansfield (1938 Voters) Eight Mile Plains, Warrigal Road (60%), Declaration votes (7%) Votes 1729 848 795 739 661 228 87 % 51.6 48.4 43.1 38.6 13.3 5.1 Transfers from : Sunnybank (21665 Voters) Berrinba East, Calamvale, Eight Mile Plains, Kuraby, Runcorn (80%), Runcorn Heights, Springwood North, Sunnybank Hills, Warrigal Road (25%), Declaration votes (70%) Votes 19016 10364 7312 8932 5642 3318 817 % 58.6 41.4 47.7 30.2 17.7 4.4

STRETTON 20745 11212 8107 9671 6303 3546 904 % 58.0 42.0 47.4 30.9 17.4 4.4

41 1999 Queensland Redistribution

SURFERS PARADISE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT LIB ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Merrimac (658 Voters) Broadbeach (25%), Declaration votes (2%) Votes 542 187 0 300 165 0 247 96 21 % 38.4 0.0 61.6 31.2 0.0 46.7 18.2 4.0 Transfers from : Southport (5387 Voters) Ashmore, Ashmore West (25%), Declaration votes (20%) Votes 4684 1801 2340 0 1582 1933 0 950 134 % 43.5 56.5 0.0 34.4 42.0 0.0 20.7 2.9 Transfers from : Surfers Paradise (21043 Voters) Ashmore, Benowa, Broadbeach, Chevron Island, Evandale, Florida Gardens (25%), Isle of Capri, Keebra Park, Main Beach, Southport East, Surfers Paradise, Declaration votes (88%) Votes 17299 4345 11416 0 3654 9663 0 2891 803 % 27.6 72.4 0.0 21.5 56.8 0.0 17.0 4.7

SURFERS PARADISE 22525 6333 13756 300 5401 11596 247 3937 958 % 31.1 67.5 1.5 24.4 52.4 1.1 17.8 4.3

TABLELANDS 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Cook (57 Voters) Declaration votes (0%) Votes 7 303 3220 % 50.0 0.0 50.0 42.9 28.6 28.6 0.0 Transfers from : Mulgrave (802 Voters) East Palmerston, Goondi (50%), Mena Creek, Declaration votes (3%) Votes 672 210 0 411 156 267 232 12 % 33.8 0.0 66.2 23.4 40.0 34.8 1.8 Transfers from : Tablelands (22645 Voters) Atherton, Atherton North, Biboohra, Butchers Creek, Chillagoe, Dimbulah, Emerald Creek, Evelyn Central, Herberton, Irvinebank, Julatten, Kairi, Malanda, Mareeba, Mareeba Hospital, Mareeba West, Millaa Millaa, Mount Garnet, Mount Molloy, Mutchilba, Ravenshoe, Tolga, Upper Barron, Walkamin, Wondecla, Yungaburra, Declaration votes (100%) Votes 20053 0 8998 9105 4972 6519 8333 0 % 0.0 49.7 50.3 25.1 32.9 42.0 0.0

TABLELANDS 20731 213 8998 9519 5131 6788 8567 12 % 1.1 48.0 50.8 25.0 33.1 41.8 0.1

THURINGOWA 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Thuringowa (24878 Voters) Bohle, Condon, Deeragun (75%), Heatley, Kelso, Kirwan, Kirwan High, Rasmussen, Rupertswood (50%), Weir, Willows, Declaration votes (86%) Votes 22458 9304 11642 7974 2017 3905 7489 706 % 44.4 55.6 36.1 9.1 17.7 33.9 3.2

THURINGOWA 22458 9304 11642 7974 2017 3905 7489 706 % 44.4 55.6 36.1 9.1 17.7 33.9 3.2

42 1999 Queensland Redistribution

TOOWOOMBA NORTH 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Crows Nest (3096 Voters) Highfields, Declaration votes (12%) Votes 2833 0 1532 1004 536 1275 845 164 % 0.0 60.4 39.6 19.0 45.2 30.0 5.8 Transfers from : Toowoomba North (20874 Voters) Fairview Heights, Harlaxton, Harlaxton North, Harlaxton South, Holy Name, Hume Street, Mount Lofty, Newtown (65%), North Toowoomba, Rockville, The Range, Toowoomba, Toowoomba East, Tor Street North, Wilsonton, Declaration votes (97%) Votes 18839 7247 10141 0 6389 7442 4492 309 % 41.7 58.3 0.0 34.3 39.9 24.1 1.7

TOOWOOMBA NORTH 21671 7247 11673 1004 6925 8717 5337 473 % 36.4 58.6 5.0 32.3 40.6 24.9 2.2

TOOWOOMBA SOUTH 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Crows Nest (1482 Voters) Bunkers Hill (50%), Glenvale, Declaration votes (6%) Votes 1346 0 728 483 212 629 417 69 % 0.0 60.1 39.9 16.0 47.4 31.4 5.2 Transfers from : Cunningham (122 Voters) Drayton (5%), Declaration votes (0%) Votes 97 0 51 32 20 41 28 6 % 0.0 61.4 38.6 20.9 42.9 29.3 6.3 Transfers from : Toowoomba North (726 Voters) Newtown (35%), Declaration votes (3%) Votes 660 276 334 0 245 236 162 10 % 45.2 54.8 0.0 37.6 36.2 24.8 1.5 Transfers from : Toowoomba South (22379 Voters) Centenary Heights, Gabbinbar, Glenvale, Harristown, Hume Street, Hume Street South, Newtown, Rangeville, St Josephs, Toowoomba, Toowoomba East, Toowoomba Hospital, Toowoomba South, Tor Street, West Street, Wilsonton, Declaration votes Votes 20274 6724 11629 0 5615 9328 4748 357 % 36.6 63.4 0.0 28.0 46.5 23.7 1.8

TOOWOOMBA SOUTH 22377 7000 12742 515 6092 10234 5355 442 % 34.6 62.9 2.5 27.5 46.3 24.2 2.0

43 1999 Queensland Redistribution

TOWNSVILLE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Mundingburra (3793 Voters) Hermit Park (50%), Mundingburra (25%), Railway Estate, Rosslea, Declaration votes (17%) Votes 3391 1751 1388 1570 990 775 0 % 55.8 44.2 47.1 29.7 23.2 0.0 Transfers from : Townsville (21623 Voters) Arcadia, Belgian Gardens, Currajong (70%), Garbutt, Hermit Park, Mount Louisa, Nelly Bay, North Ward, Pallarenda, Palm Island, Picnic Bay, Pimlico, Railway Estate, South Townsville, Townsville, Townsville Hospital, Townsville West, West End, Declaration votes (91%) Votes 18642 9452 6899 8204 4984 4369 673 % 57.8 42.2 45.0 27.3 24.0 3.7

TOWNSVILLE 22032 11203 8287 9774 5974 5144 673 % 57.5 42.5 45.3 27.7 23.9 3.1

WARREGO 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT ONP OTH Transfers from : Warrego (9337 Voters) Amby, Bollon, Boolba, Cunnamulla, Cunnamulla Hospital, Dirranbandi, Dunkeld, Eulo, Glenmorgan, Hannaford, Hebel, Inglestone, , Mitchell, Moonie, Mungallala, , Nindigully, St George, Surat, Tara, Thallon, Thargomindah, The Gums, Westmar, Wyandra, Declaration votes (63%) Votes 8240 2480 4928 0 1985 3663 1737 763 % 33.5 66.5 0.0 24.4 45.0 21.3 9.4 Transfers from : Western Downs (12219 Voters) Brigalow, Burra Burri, Chinchilla, Chinchilla Hospital, Condamine, Drillham, Dulacca, Eumamurrin, Injune, Kogan, Miles, Muckadilla, Roma, Roma Hospital, Wallumbilla, Yuleba, Declaration votes (55%) Votes 11010 0 6176 4019 1990 5295 3605 0 % 0.0 60.6 39.4 18.3 48.6 33.1 0.0

WARREGO 19250 2480 11104 4019 3975 8958 5342 763 % 14.1 63.1 22.8 20.9 47.1 28.1 4.0

WATERFORD 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP NAT ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Albert (228 Voters) Beenleigh (5%), Declaration votes (1%) Votes 193 93 77 0 79 46 0 52 12 % 54.7 45.3 0.0 41.5 24.2 0.0 27.3 6.3 Transfers from : Waterford (20160 Voters) Beenleigh, Bethania, Edens Landing, Logan Reserve, Loganholme, Loganlea, Marsden, Shailer Park (15%), Slacks Creek, Waterford West, Declaration votes (76%) Votes 17628 9100 0 7323 8008 0 4341 4983 0 % 55.4 0.0 44.6 46.2 0.0 25.0 28.7 0.0 Transfers from : Woodridge (3816 Voters) Mabel Park, Declaration votes (21%) Votes 3520 1915 0 1114 1736 0 570 953 181 % 63.2 0.0 36.8 50.5 0.0 16.6 27.7 5.3

WATERFORD 21342 11108 77 8437 9823 46 4911 5988 193 % 56.6 0.4 43.0 46.9 0.2 23.4 28.6 0.9

WHITSUNDAY 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP ONP ALP NAT ONP Transfers from : Mirani (4 Voters)

44 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Transfers from : Whitsunday (22926 Voters) Bloomsbury, Bowen (90%), Bowen Hospital, Bucasia, Calen, Cannonvale Beach, Coningsby, Conway Beach, Cunningham, Eimeo, Farleigh, Habana, Hamilton Island, Hayman Island, Kelsey Creek, Kuttabul, Lower Gregory, Mount Julian, Mount Ossa, , Proserpine, Proserpine Hospital, Queens Beach, Seaforth, Yalboroo, Declaration votes (91%) Votes 19980 8653 9839 7486 6120 6132 % 46.8 53.2 37.9 31.0 31.1

WHITSUNDAY 19980 8653 9839 7486 6120 6132 % 46.8 53.2 37.9 31.0 31.1

WOODRIDGE 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ONP ALP NAT LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Logan (9141 Voters) Burrowes, Crestmead (60%), Kingston, Marsden, Declaration votes (32%) Votes 8017 4421 0 3029 4010 863 0 2356 605 % 59.3 0.0 40.7 51.2 11.0 0.0 30.1 7.7 Transfers from : Sunnybank (157 Voters) Declaration votes (1%) Votes 18 970 80631 % 56.3 43.8 0.0 44.4 0.0 33.3 16.7 5.6 Transfers from : Woodridge (14340 Voters) Berrinba East, Kingston, Woodridge, Woodridge East, Woodridge North, Declaration votes (79%) Votes 12392 6875 0 3934 6273 0 1599 3448 742 % 63.6 0.0 36.4 52.0 0.0 13.3 28.6 6.2

WOODRIDGE 20427 11305 7 6963 10291 863 1605 5807 1348 % 61.9 0.0 38.1 51.7 4.3 8.1 29.2 6.8

YEERONGPILLY 2-CANDIDATE PRIMARY VOTES VOTES ALP LIB ALP LIB ONP OTH Transfers from : Archerfield (6623 Voters) Coopers Plains (80%), Rocklea, Salisbury, Declaration votes (23%) Votes 5973 3624 1787 3198 1159 1178 336 % 67.0 33.0 54.5 19.7 20.1 5.7 Transfers from : Mt Gravatt (1330 Voters) Salisbury, Declaration votes (6%) Votes 1041 602 377 524 267 170 68 % 61.5 38.5 51.0 26.0 16.5 6.6 Transfers from : Yeronga (19267 Voters) Annerley (75%), Annerley South, Clifton Hill, Ekibin (60%), Fairfield (25%), Moorooka, Moorooka West, Moorvale, Rocklea, Tarragindi, Tennyson, Wellers Hill (90%), Yeronga, Yeronga West, Declaration votes (89%) Votes 17243 10047 6052 8945 4782 2283 989 % 62.4 37.6 52.6 28.1 13.4 5.8

YEERONGPILLY 24257 14273 8216 12667 6208 3631 1393 % 63.5 36.5 53.0 26.0 15.2 5.8

45 1999 Queensland Redistribution

4. ANALYSIS BASED ON 1995 QUEENSLAND ELECTION

The rise of One Nation meant that the 1998 state election was not a two-party contest between Labor and the National/Liberal Party Coalition. To try and measure the political impact of the new boundaries in two-party terms, it has been necessary to use the 1995 state election results, and the following tables summarise the results of these calculations.

These tables do not use the results of the Mundingburra re-election from February 1996, but are based on the 1995 election results.

Table 4.1: Summary of Redistribution

ALP NAT LIB ONP IND Seats won at 1995 election 45 29 14 .. 1 Translated to new boundaries 43 30 15 .. 1

Table 4.2: Summary of Seats Changing Party Status Summary of Changes Abolished Electorates (4) Chermside (ALP), Crows Nest (NAT), Kedron (ALP), Western Downs (NAT) New Electorates (4) Darling Downs (NAT), Gaven (NAT), Glass House (NAT), Stafford (ALP) Electorates notionally changing Albert (NAT to ALP), Bundaberg (ALP to NAT), Party status (6) Greenslopes (LIB to ALP), Mount Gravatt (ALP to LIB), Mulgrave (NAT to ALP), Mundingburra (ALP to LIB), Whitsunday (ALP to NAT)

Notes on Estimating New Margins

In the following electorates, two-candidate preferred votes for the Liberal Party have been added to the National Party total: Albert, Burleigh, Cook, Gaven, Glass House, Gympie, Maroochydore, Nicklin, Pumicestone, Redlands, Surfers Paradise.

In the following electorates, two-candidate preferred votes for the National Party have been added to the Liberal Party total: Cairns, Ipswich, Mundingburra, Noosa, Robina, Springwood, Waterford, Woodridge.

A Note on Accuracy of Estimates

Substantial enrolment growth in parts of the state between 1995 and 1999, especially on the fringes of Brisbane, means the 1995 estimates are unlikely to be as accurate as those based on 1998 state election results.

46 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Table 4.3 New Electorates Ranked by Two-Candidate Preferred Vote (1995 Results) Electorate Margin Electorate Margin Labor Seats (43) National/Liberal Seats (30/15) Woodridge 19.2 Darling Downs 29.7 Inala 18.2 Callide 28.2 Bundamba 14.8 Warrego 26.2 Mount Isa 13.3 Cunningham 24.6 Logan 13.1 Tablelands 22.9 Bulimba 12.2 Nanango 20.6 Lytton 10.9 Southern Downs 20.0 Nudgee 10.5 Lockyer 18.9 Waterford 10.5 Kawana (LIB) 18.8 South Brisbane 10.2 Surfers Paradise 18.7 Brisbane Central 9.9 Gregory 17.8 Capalaba 8.9 Robina (LIB) 17.0 Cook 8.5 Moggill (LIB) 16.9 Stafford 8.0 Toowoomba South 16.8 Sandgate 7.9 Hinchinbrook 15.5 Murrumba 7.0 Beaudesert 15.2 Ipswich 6.9 Mudgeeraba (LIB) 13.7 Kurwongbah 5.8 Nicklin 13.7 Yeerongpilly 5.7 Gympie 13.0 Algester 5.0 Indooroopilly (LIB) 12.6 Mackay 4.9 Broadwater 12.3 Mount Coot-tha 4.1 Maroochydore 11.7 Pumicestone 4.0 Noosa (LIB) 11.5 Kallangur 3.9 Clayfield (LIB) 11.4 Rockhampton 3.7 Toowoomba North 11.2 Ferny Grove 3.2 Burnett 10.7 Chatsworth 2.7 Keppel 10.5 Thuringowa 2.4 Mirani 10.0 Ashgrove 2.3 Springwood (LIB) 10.0 Ipswich West 2.0 Gaven 9.0 Albert 1.9 Caloundra (LIB) 8.5 Cairns 1.7 Burdekin 8.2 Hervey Bay 1.7 Burleigh 7.5 Redcliffe 1.6 Charters Towers 7.5 Cleveland 1.5 Aspley (LIB) 7.3 Currumbin 1.5 Glass House 7.2 Greenslopes 1.5 Mansfield (LIB) 7.0 Stretton 1.4 Southport 3.5 Townsville 1.4 Whitsunday 2.3 Fitzroy 1.1 Redlands 2.2 Everton 0.8 Mount Ommaney (LIB) 2.1 Maryborough 0.8 Bundaberg 0.8 Mulgrave 0.1 Mundingburra (LIB) 0.7 Mount Gravatt (LIB) 0.6 Barron River (LIB) 0.5 Independent Seats (1) Gladstone (vs ALP) 3.1

Underlining indicates seats which have notionally changed party status

47 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Table 4.4: Summary of Abolished Electorates (4)

Electorate Old 1995 Margin Chermside ALP 5.3 Crows Nest NAT 25.6 Kedron ALP 9.2 Western Downs NAT 29.4

Table 4.5: Summary of New Electorates (4)

Electorate New 1995 Margin Darling Downs NAT 29.7 Gaven NAT 9.0 Glass House NAT 7.2 Stafford ALP 8.0

Table 4.6: Summary of Re-named Electorates (9)

Old Name New Name Old 1995 Margin New 1995 Margin Archerfield Algester ALP 6.1 ALP 5.0 Barambah Nanango NAT 24.4 NAT 20.6 Caboolture Pumicestone ALP 2.3 ALP 4.0 Merrimac Robina LIB 15.4 LIB 17.0 Mooloolah Kawana LIB 19.3 LIB 18.8 Nerang Mudgeeraba LIB 13.6 LIB 13.7 Sunnybank Stretton ALP 1.4 ALP 1.4 Warwick Southern Downs NAT 19.6 NAT 20.0 Yeronga Yeerongpilly ALP 4.6 ALP 5.7

Table 4.7: Summary of Continuing Electorates (76)

Electorate Old 1995 Margin New 1995 Margin Albert NAT 3.9 ALP 1.9 Ashgrove ALP 1.3 ALP 2.3 Aspley LIB 6.9 LIB 7.3 Barron River LIB 0.4 LIB 0.5 Beaudesert NAT 9.5 NAT 15.2 Brisbane Central ALP 10.3 ALP 9.9 Broadwater NAT 11.2 NAT 12.3 Bulimba ALP 12.6 ALP 12.2 Bundaberg ALP 0.5 NAT 0.8 Bundamba ALP 14.8 ALP 14.8 Burdekin NAT 10.6 NAT 8.2 Burleigh NAT 7.3 NAT 7.5 Burnett NAT 11.1 NAT 10.7 Cairns ALP 2.3 ALP 1.7 Callide NAT 27.7 NAT 28.2 Caloundra LIB 8.1 LIB 8.5 Capalaba ALP 8.7 ALP 8.9 Charters Towers NAT 8.0 NAT 7.5 Chatsworth ALP 4.2 ALP 2.7 Clayfield LIB 14.2 LIB 11.4 Cleveland ALP 2.5 ALP 1.5 Cook ALP 7.7 ALP 8.5 Cunningham NAT 23.8 NAT 24.6 Currumbin ALP 1.5 ALP 1.5

48 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Table 4.7: Summary of Continuing Electorates (76) (continued)

Electorate Old 1995 Margin New 1995 Margin Everton ALP 1.0 ALP 0.8 Ferny Grove ALP 3.2 ALP 3.2 Fitzroy ALP 6.6 ALP 1.1 Gladstone IND 3.1 IND 3.1 Greenslopes LIB 0.1 ALP 1.5 Gregory NAT 18.9 NAT 17.8 Gympie NAT 12.6 NAT 13.0 Hervey Bay ALP 1.9 ALP 1.7 Hinchinbrook NAT 14.7 NAT 15.5 Inala ALP 18.9 ALP 18.2 Indooroopilly LIB 13.3 LIB 12.6 Ipswich ALP 6.4 ALP 6.9 Ipswich West ALP 5.5 ALP 2.0 Kallangur ALP 4.0 ALP 3.9 Keppel NAT 10.3 NAT 10.5 Kurwongbah ALP 5.9 ALP 5.8 Lockyer NAT 20.8 NAT 18.9 Logan ALP 16.9 ALP 13.1 Lytton ALP 11.3 ALP 10.9 Mackay ALP 5.7 ALP 4.9 Mansfield LIB 6.7 LIB 7.0 Maroochydore NAT 12.3 NAT 11.7 Maryborough ALP 0.4 ALP 0.8 Mirani NAT 9.1 NAT 10.0 Moggill LIB 16.9 LIB 16.9 Mount Coot-tha ALP 3.5 ALP 4.1 Mount Gravatt ALP 2.1 LIB 0.6 Mount Isa ALP 18.7 ALP 13.3 Mount Ommaney LIB 1.7 LIB 2.1 Mulgrave NAT 0.5 ALP 0.1 Mundingburra ALP 0.04 LIB 0.7 Murrumba ALP 7.2 ALP 7.0 Nicklin NAT 12.8 NAT 13.7 Noosa LIB 11.2 LIB 11.5 Nudgee ALP 10.7 ALP 10.5 Redcliffe ALP 0.4 ALP 1.6 Redlands NAT 4.6 NAT 2.2 Rockhampton ALP 6.4 ALP 3.7 Sandgate ALP 7.9 ALP 7.9 South Brisbane ALP 10.7 ALP 10.2 Southport NAT 4.8 NAT 3.5 Springwood LIB 10.8 LIB 10.0 Surfers Paradise NAT 21.8 NAT 18.7 Tablelands NAT 23.0 NAT 22.9 Thuringowa ALP 1.4 ALP 2.4 Toowoomba North NAT 9.6 NAT 11.2 Toowoomba South NAT 16.3 NAT 16.8 Townsville ALP 1.8 ALP 1.4 Warrego NAT 20.7 NAT 26.2 Waterford ALP 9.1 ALP 10.5 Whitsunday ALP 0.1 NAT 2.3 Woodridge ALP 18.1 ALP 19.2

49 1999 Queensland Redistribution

5. ANALYSIS BASED ON 1998 FEDERAL ELECTION

As with the analysis based on state election results, calculations based on the 1998 Federal election have been carried out by transferring booths, this time from Federal electorates to state electorates. However, estimates are based on booth results only. Declaration votes (postal, absent etc) have not been included.

Because of the different pattern of Liberal and National Party support at Federal elections, no attempt has been made to define seats as being either Liberal or National Party held. All Coalition seats are indicated with LNP, meaning Liberal-National Party seat.

In the Federal electorate of Blair, the booth figures used have been the two-party preferred results between Labor and Liberal candidates, not the two-candidate preferred results between Liberal and One Nation candidates.

Because there is a considerable difference between the Labor vote at the 1998 Federal election and the two state elections, the holding of seats by each party is not directly comparable. However, the following two tables summarise the relative positions of the parties on the old and new boundaries.

Table 5.1: Summary of Redistribution

Labor Liberal/National Seats won based on 1998 Federal election 35 54 Translated to new boundaries 31 58

Table 5.2: Summary of Seats Changing Party Status Summary of Changes Abolished Electorates (4) Chermside (ALP), Crows Nest (LNP), Kedron (ALP), Western Downs (LNP) New Electorates (4) Darling Downs (LNP), Gaven (LNP), Glass House (LNP), Stafford (ALP) Labor gains Stretton (Sunnybank) Liberal/National gains Bundaberg, Hervey Bay, Mount Gravatt, Mundingburra

State and federal election are fought on very different issues, so translating Federal election results to the state boundaries does not give any indication of possible voting patterns at a State election. However, the exercise does give a measure of the shift in margin created by the change in boundaries for each election.

These shifts in margin are included in the tables in Section 6, along with similar shifts based on the 1995 and 1998 state elections.

50 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Table 5.3: Summary of Abolished Electorates (4)

Electorate Old Fed98 Margin Chermside ALP 1.3 Crows Nest LNP 15.1 Kedron ALP 4.8 Western Downs LNP 19.3

Table 5.4: Summary of New Electorates (4)

Electorate New Fed98 Margin Darling Downs LNP 18.6 Gaven LNP 9.8 Glasshouse LNP 4.2 Stafford ALP 2.6

Table 5.5: Summary of Re-named Electorates (9)

Old Name New Name Old Fed98 Margin New Fed98 Margin Archerfield Algester ALP 4.1 ALP 2.1 Barambah Nanango LNP 11.5 LNP 11.1 Caboolture Pumicestone ALP 0.3 ALP 1.7 Merrimac Robina LNP 14.0 LNP 16.0 Mooloolah Kawana LNP 13.8 LNP 14.3 Nerang Mudgeeraba LNP 12.3 LNP 13.7 Sunnybank Stretton LNP 0.4 ALP 0.4 Warwick Southern Downs LNP 13.0 LNP 13.8 Yeronga Yeerongpilly ALP 3.1 ALP 5.0

Table 5.6: Summary of Continuing Electorates (76)

Electorate Old Fed98 Margin New Fed98 Margin Albert LNP 9.4 LNP 3.8 Ashgrove LNP 4.0 LNP 2.3 Aspley LNP 5.8 LNP 6.1 Barron River LNP 7.8 LNP 7.8 Beaudesert LNP 8.7 LNP 11.3 Brisbane Central ALP 5.1 ALP 5.0 Broadwater LNP 7.5 LNP 8.6 Bulimba ALP 9.0 ALP 8.6 Bundaberg ALP 0.9 LNP 0.1 Bundamba ALP 9.4 ALP 9.4 Burdekin LNP 8.4 LNP 4.3 Burleigh LNP 4.7 LNP 5.1 Burnett LNP 7.6 LNP 8.2 Cairns LNP 4.8 LNP 5.1 Callide LNP 12.0 LNP 10.5 Caloundra LNP 6.4 LNP 7.0 Capalaba ALP 4.0 ALP 4.6 Charters Towers LNP 3.1 LNP 1.9 Chatsworth ALP 2.3 ALP 0.1 Clayfield LNP 8.5 LNP 5.9 Cleveland LNP 1.9 LNP 2.6 Cook ALP 3.1 ALP 1.9 Cunningham LNP 18.4 LNP 18.5 Currumbin LNP 4.4 LNP 4.4

Table 5.6: Summary of Continuing Electorates (76) (Continued)

51 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Electorate Old Fed98 Margin New Fed98 Margin Everton LNP 4.3 LNP 4.7 Ferny Grove LNP 0.3 LNP 0.6 Fitzroy ALP 8.8 ALP 5.4 Gladstone ALP 6.5 ALP 6.5 Greenslopes LNP 1.9 LNP 0.8 Gregory LNP 4.4 LNP 3.3 Gympie LNP 2.7 LNP 3.0 Hervey Bay ALP 0.6 LNP 0.1 Hinchinbrook LNP 12.3 LNP 12.8 Inala ALP 17.4 ALP 17.0 Indooroopilly LNP 10.6 LNP 10.3 Ipswich ALP 3.8 ALP 3.4 Ipswich West LNP 1.3 LNP 2.4 Kallangur ALP 1.0 ALP 0.6 Keppel ALP 3.2 ALP 2.8 Kurwongbah ALP 0.9 ALP 0.9 Lockyer LNP 11.7 LNP 10.4 Logan ALP 10.6 ALP 6.8 Lytton ALP 9.4 ALP 9.5 Mackay ALP 3.2 ALP 3.3 Mansfield LNP 4.6 LNP 3.4 Maroochydore LNP 6.1 LNP 5.3 Maryborough ALP 2.9 ALP 3.6 Mirani LNP 3.7 LNP 4.9 Moggill LNP 16.0 LNP 16.0 Mount Coot-tha LNP 1.0 LNP 0.6 Mount Gravatt ALP 1.3 LNP 1.5 Mount Isa LNP 0.4 LNP 1.6 Mount Ommaney LNP 6.0 LNP 6.8 Mulgrave LNP 7.3 LNP 6.0 Mundingburra ALP 0.9 LNP 1.9 Murrumba ALP 6.5 ALP 5.5 Nicklin LNP 6.1 LNP 5.9 Noosa LNP 4.8 LNP 5.5 Nudgee ALP 9.8 ALP 9.4 Redcliffe ALP 4.2 ALP 4.8 Redlands LNP 5.3 LNP 3.7 Rockhampton ALP 11.6 ALP 10.7 Sandgate ALP 7.3 ALP 7.3 South Brisbane ALP 11.1 ALP 10.9 Southport LNP 9.5 LNP 8.1 Springwood LNP 4.6 LNP 6.8 Surfers Paradise LNP 20.7 LNP 19.2 Tablelands LNP 15.3 LNP 15.4 Thuringowa LNP 2.3 LNP 2.0 Toowoomba North LNP 6.2 LNP 7.8 Toowoomba South LNP 11.0 LNP 11.2 Townsville ALP 3.5 ALP 3.1 Warrego LNP 5.6 LNP 14.5 Waterford ALP 4.0 ALP 5.7 Whitsunday LNP 5.1 LNP 7.7 Woodridge ALP 20.0 ALP 18.5

52 1999 Queensland Redistribution

6. SUMMARY OF CHANGES TO MARGINS

The tables on the following pages set out the shift in margins for each old and new electorate, based on the 1995 and 1998 state elections, as well as the 1998 Federal election. The tables attempt to provide a consistent measure of the shift in margin produced by the new boundaries.

Notes on Summary Tables

'+' indicates seats where the Labor two-candidate preferred vote increased on the new boundaries '-' indicates seats where the Labor two-candidate preferred vote fell on the new boundaries .. no change LNP For the 1998 Federal election, all seats held by the Liberal or National Parties n.a. not availible (*) Indicates seats where the change in Labor vote has been measured against One Nation.

Table 6.1: Summary of Seats where Margin Changes by More Than 1% Party Electorates (Old Electorate Name) Strengthened for Labor Party Algester (Archerfield), Ashgrove, Greenslopes, Redcliffe, Waterford, Yeerongpilly (Yeronga) Weakened for Labor Party Bundaberg, Chatsworth, Fitzroy, Logan, Mount Gravatt, Mount Isa, Mundingburra, Whitsunday Strengthened for National Party Albert, Beaudesert, Broadwater, Mirani, Toowoomba North, Warrego Weakened for National Party Gregory, Redlands, Southport, Surfers Paradise Strengthened for Liberal Party Robina (Merrimac) Weakened for Liberal Party Clayfield Strengthened for One Nation Ipswich West Weakened for One Nation Burdekin, Lockyer, Pumicestone (Caboolture), Mulgrave

53 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Table 6.2: Summary of Abolished Electorates (4)

Electorate QLD95 QLD98 FED98 Chermside ALP ALP ALP Crows Nest NAT NAT LNP Kedron ALP ALP ALP Western Downs NAT NAT LNP

Table 6.3 Summary of New Electorates (4)

Electorate QLD95 QLD98 FED98 Darling Downs NAT NAT LNP Gaven NAT NAT LNP Glasshouse NAT ONP LNP Stafford ALP ALP ALP

Table 6.4: Summary of Change to Labor Two-Party Vote for Re-named Electorates (9)

Old Name New Name QLD95 QLD98 FED98 Archerfield Algester -1.1 -1.6 -2.0 Barambah Nanango -3.8 n.a. +0.4 Caboolture Pumicestone +1.7 (*) +1.9 +1.4 Merrimac Robina -1.6 -1.5 -2.0 Mooloolah Kawana +0.5 -0.2 -0.5 Nerang Mudgeeraba -0.1 -0.6 -1.4 Sunnybank Stretton .. -0.2 +0.8 Warwick Southern Downs -0.4 n.a. -0.8 Yeronga Yeerongpilly +1.1 +1.0 +1.9

Table 6.5: Summary of Change to Labor Two-Party Vote for Continuing Electorates (76)

Electorate QLD95 QLD98 FED98 Albert +5.8 +5.1 +5.6 Ashgrove +1.0 +1.3 +1.7 Aspley -0.4 -0.2 -0.3 Barron River -0.1 +0.3 .. Beaudesert -5.7 n.a. -2.6 Brisbane Central -0.4 -0.3 -0.1 Broadwater -1.1 -0.9 -1.1 Bulimba -0.4 -0.5 -0.4 Bundaberg -1.3 (*) -1.9 -1.0 Bundamba ...... Burdekin +2.4 (*) +0.5 +4.1 Burleigh -0.2 .. -0.4 Burnett +0.4 n.a. -0.6 Cairns -0.6 (*) -1.6 -0.3 Callide -0.5 n.a. +1.5 Caloundra -0.4 -0.6 -0.6 Capalaba +0.2 -0.1 +0.6 Charters Towers +0.5 +0.5 +1.2 Chatsworth -1.5 -1.8 -2.2 Clayfield +2.8 +2.0 +2.6 Cleveland -1.0 -0.6 -0.7 Cook +0.8 -0.4 -1.2 Cunningham -0.8 n.a. -0.1 Currumbin ......

Table 6.4: Change to Labor Two-Party Vote for Continuing Electorates (Continued)

54 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Electorate QLD95 QLD98 FED98 Everton -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 Ferny Grove .. -0.1 -0.3 Fitzroy -5.5 (*) -4.6 -3.4 Gladstone ...... Greenslopes +1.6 +1.3 +1.1 Gregory +1.1 +1.0 +1.1 Gympie -0.4 n.a. -0.3 Hervey Bay -0.2 (*) +1.1 -0.7 Hinchinbrook -0.8 n.a. -0.5 Inala -0.7 -0.9 -0.4 Indooroopilly +0.7 +0.3 +0.3 Ipswich +0.5 (*) -0.4 -0.4 Ipswich West -3.5 (*) -2.4 -1.1 Kallangur -0.1 +0.1 -0.4 Keppel -0.2 -0.6 -0.4 Kurwongbah -0.1 -0.2 .. Lockyer +1.9 n.a. +1.3 Logan -3.8 (*) -1.3 -3.8 Lytton -0.4 -0.4 +0.1 Mackay -0.8 (*) -0.5 +0.1 Mansfield -0.3 +0.5 +1.2 Maroochydore +0.6 n.a. +0.8 Maryborough +0.4 (*) -0.2 +0.7 Mirani -0.9 -1.3 -1.2 Moggill ...... Mount Coot-tha +0.6 +0.5 +0.4 Mount Gravatt -2.7 -1.2 -2.8 Mount Isa -5.4 (*) -2.6 -1.2 Mount Ommaney -0.4 -0.4 -0.8 Mulgrave +0.6 (*) +1.4 +1.3 Mundingburra -0.7 -1.4 -2.8 Murrumba -0.2 -0.1 -1.0 Nicklin -0.9 n.a. +0.2 Noosa -0.3 -0.5 -0.7 Nudgee -0.2 -1.0 -0.4 Redcliffe +1.2 +1.6 +0.6 Redlands +2.4 +0.4 +1.6 Rockhampton -2.7 -0.8 -0.9 Sandgate ...... South Brisbane -0.5 -0.5 -0.2 Southport +1.3 +0.7 +1.4 Springwood +0.8 -0.9 -2.2 Surfers Paradise +3.1 +3.4 +1.5 Tablelands +0.1 n.a. -0.1 Thuringowa +1.0 (*) +1.0 +0.3 Toowoomba North -1.6 -1.8 -1.6 Toowoomba South -0.5 -0.2 -0.2 Townsville -0.4 -0.2 -0.4 Warrego -5.5 n.a. -8.9 Waterford +1.4 +1.4 +1.7 Whitsunday -2.4 (*) -1.5 -2.6 Woodridge +1.1 (*) -1.6 -1.5

55 1999 Queensland Redistribution

APPENDIX A: SUMMARY OF 1998 QUEENSLAND ELECTION RESULTS

Electorates Ranked by Two-Candidate Preferred Vote (Old Boundaries) Electorate Margin Electorate Margin Labor Seats (44) National/Liberal Seats (23/9) Inala 27.4 Surfers Paradise 22.3 Bulimba 19.5 Mooloolah (LIB) 15.9 Nudgee 17.4 Warrego 15.3 Lytton 17.4 Maroochydore (vs ONP) 15.1 South Brisbane 16.3 Merrimac (LIB) 14.7 Sandgate 16.0 Toowoomba South 13.4 Mt Isa (vs ONP) 15.6 Gregory 13.1 Cook (vs ONP) 15.5 Warwick (vs ONP) 11.9 Brisbane Central 15.1 Nerang (LIB) 11.0 Kedron 14.1 Caloundra (LIB) 10.7 Capalaba 13.7 Noosa (LIB) 9.9 Woodridge (vs ONP) 13.5 Broadwater 9.8 Kurwongbah 13.2 Western Downs (vs ONP) 9.4 Yeronga 12.5 Moggill (LIB) 8.9 Archerfield 11.7 Cunningham (vs ONP) 8.9 Fitzroy (vs ONP) 10.7 Hinchinbrook (vs ONP) 8.6 Mt Coot-tha 10.5 Burleigh 8.5 Rockhampton (vs ONP) 9.6 Toowoomba North 8.2 Chermside 9.0 Clayfield (LIB) 6.5 Chatsworth 8.7 Albert 4.8 Ferny Grove 8.6 Beaudesert 4.1 Logan (vs ONP) 8.4 Southport 3.8 Sunnybank 8.2 Charters Towers 3.7 Townsville 7.7 Keppel 3.6 Mt Gravatt 7.2 Mirani 2.7 Mackay (vs ONP) 6.5 Burnett (vs ONP) 2.3 Cleveland 6.4 Callide (vs ONP) 2.3 Bundamba (vs ONP) 6.2 Aspley (LIB) 1.8 Ashgrove 6.1 Gympie (vs ONP) 1.7 Everton 6.0 Redlands 1.0 Waterford (vs ONP) 5.2 Crows Nest (vs ONP) 0.9 Greenslopes 5.2 Indooroopilly (LIB) 0.7 Murrumba (vs ONP) 5.0 Kallangur (vs ONP) 3.9 One Nation Seats (11) Mundingburra 3.8 Burdekin (vs ALP) 9.4 Ipswich (vs ONP) 3.4 Maryborough (vs ALP) 8.3 Currumbin 2.8 Thuringowa (vs ALP) 6.6 Redcliffe 2.3 Barambah (vs NAT) 5.9 Cairns (vs ONP) 2.3 Hervey Bay (vs ALP) 5.3 Bundaberg (vs ONP) 2.0 Mulgrave (vs ALP) 4.1 Mt Ommaney 1.9 Lockyer (vs NAT) 3.7 Springwood 0.6 Caboolture (vs ALP) 2.7 Barron River 0.6 Ipswich West (vs ALP) 1.9 Mansfield 0.2 Whitsunday (vs ALP) 1.7 Tablelands (vs NAT) 0.3 Independent Seats (2) Nicklin (vs NAT) 5.7 Gladstone (vs ALP) 1.4

56 1999 Queensland Redistribution

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : SUMMARY OF 2-CANDIDATE PREFERRED RESULTS

Seats not contested by One Nation (9)

Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District ALP Nat/Lib ALP Nat/Lib Swing Ashgrove 10873 8509 56.1 43.9 4.8 to Labor Capalaba 12341 7027 63.7 36.3 5.0 to Labor Clayfield 8054 10481 43.5 56.5 7.6 to Labor Greenslopes 10498 8530 55.2 44.8 5.3 to Labor Inala 14015 4094 77.4 22.6 8.5 to Labor Indooroopilly 10137 10412 49.3 50.7 12.6 to Labor Lytton 13730 6626 67.4 32.6 6.1 to Labor Moggill 9140 13117 41.1 58.9 8.0 to Labor Mt Coot-tha 12245 7992 60.5 39.5 7.0 to Labor TOTAL 101033 76788 56.8 43.2 7.1 to Labor

All other seats finishing as a Labor/Coalition Contest (45)

Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District ALP Nat/Lib ALP Nat/Lib Swing Albert 11943 14500 45.2 54.8 0.9 to Nat/Lib Archerfield 14278 8860 61.7 38.3 5.6 to Labor Aspley 11106 11923 48.2 51.8 5.1 to Labor Barron River 9287 9057 50.6 49.4 1.0 to Labor Beaudesert 9111 10734 45.9 54.1 5.4 to Labor Brisbane Central 12241 6549 65.1 34.9 4.9 to Labor Broadwater 7733 11489 40.2 59.8 1.4 to Labor Bulimba 13514 5929 69.5 30.5 6.9 to Labor Burleigh 7882 11088 41.5 58.5 1.1 to Nat/Lib Caloundra 8441 13022 39.3 60.7 2.6 to Nat/Lib Charters Towers 6641 7706 46.3 53.7 4.3 to Labor Chatsworth 13440 9455 58.7 41.3 4.5 to Labor Chermside 10456 7260 59.0 41.0 3.7 to Labor Cleveland 12490 9648 56.4 43.6 4.0 to Labor Currumbin 10683 9558 52.8 47.2 1.2 to Labor Everton 12194 9585 56.0 44.0 5.0 to Labor Ferny Grove 13407 9480 58.6 41.4 5.3 to Labor Gladstone 11071 (*) 11691 48.6 (*) 51.4 1.7 to Labor Gregory 5006 8553 36.9 63.1 5.8 to Labor Kedron 11003 6171 64.1 35.9 4.9 to Labor Keppel 10330 11932 46.4 53.6 6.7 to Labor Kurwongbah 13847 8061 63.2 36.8 7.3 to Labor Mansfield 12205 12122 50.2 49.8 6.9 to Labor Merrimac 7327 13424 35.3 64.7 0.7 to Labor Mirani 10348 11528 47.3 52.7 6.4 to Labor Mooloolah 8129 15728 34.1 65.9 3.4 to Labor Mt Gravatt 10332 7739 57.2 42.8 5.1 to Labor Mt Ommaney 11348 10497 51.9 48.1 3.6 to Labor Mundingburra 9884 8486 53.8 46.2 3.8 to Labor Nerang 9064 14177 39.0 61.0 2.6 to Labor Noosa 9585 14291 40.1 59.9 1.4 to Labor Nudgee 13289 6421 67.4 32.6 6.7 to Labor Redcliffe 9349 8522 52.3 47.7 1.9 to Labor

57 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District ALP Nat/Lib ALP Nat/Lib Swing Redlands 12165 12652 49.0 51.0 3.6 to Labor Sandgate 13272 6841 66.0 34.0 8.1 to Labor South Brisbane 12390 6300 66.3 33.7 5.6 to Labor Southport 9573 11127 46.2 53.8 1.1 to Labor Springwood 8518 8327 50.6 49.4 11.3 to Labor Sunnybank 14708 10572 58.2 41.8 6.8 to Labor Surfers Paradise 4955 12907 27.7 72.3 0.5 to Nat/Lib Toowoomba North 7522 10475 41.8 58.2 1.4 to Labor Toowoomba South 6725 11627 36.6 63.4 2.9 to Labor Townsville 10360 7581 57.7 42.3 6.0 to Labor Warrego 4146 7810 34.7 65.3 5.4 to Labor Yeronga 11218 6739 62.5 37.5 7.9 to Labor TOTAL 462516 448144 50.8 49.2 4.1 to Labor (*) Vote for Independent Liz Cunningham

54 2-Party Contests 563549 524932 51.8 48.2 4.6 to Labor

Seats finishing as a Labor/One Nation Contest (22)

Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District ALP ONP ALP ONP Swing Bundaberg 9743 8979 52.0 48.0 1.5 to Labor Bundamba 11213 8733 56.2 43.8 8.6 against Labor Burdekin 8692 12725 40.6 59.4 1.2 to Labor Caboolture 11894 13245 47.3 52.7 5.0 against Labor Cairns 9035 8253 52.3 47.7 0.1 against Labor Cook 9507 5002 65.5 34.5 7.8 to Labor Fitzroy 11276 7295 60.7 39.3 4.1 to Labor Hervey Bay 10540 13027 44.7 55.3 7.2 against Labor Ipswich 10690 9323 53.4 46.6 3.0 against Labor Ipswich West 10626 11444 48.1 51.9 7.3 against Labor Kallangur 14745 12608 53.9 46.1 0.1 against Labor Logan 13903 9895 58.4 41.6 8.5 against Labor Mackay 10536 8103 56.5 43.5 0.9 to Labor Maryborough 7950 11126 41.7 58.3 8.7 against Labor Mt Isa 8029 4207 65.6 34.4 3.1 against Labor Mulgrave 9903 11694 45.9 54.1 3.7 against Labor Murrumba 11639 9509 55.0 45.0 2.2 against Labor Rockhampton 10853 7355 59.6 40.4 3.2 to Labor Thuringowa 10508 13720 43.4 56.6 8.0 against Labor Waterford 11892 9647 55.2 44.8 3.9 against Labor Whitsunday 9896 10607 48.3 51.7 1.9 against Labor Woodridge 8791 5048 63.5 36.5 4.6 against Labor TOTAL 231861 211545 52.3 47.7 3.0 against Labor

58 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Seats finishing as a National/One Nation Contest (13)

Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District NAT ONP NAT ONP Swing Barambah 8715 11025 44.1 55.9 30.3 against National Burnett 12648 11521 52.3 47.7 8.8 against National Callide 8432 7696 52.3 47.7 25.5 against National Crows Nest 10940 10563 50.9 49.1 24.7 against National Cunningham 12507 8744 58.9 41.1 14.9 against National Gympie 10486 9796 51.7 48.3 10.9 against National Hinchinbrook 10975 7766 58.6 41.4 6.2 against National Lockyer 10134 11742 46.3 53.7 24.5 against National Maroochydore 13695 7357 65.1 34.9 2.8 to National Nicklin 9657 (*) 12159 44.3 (*) 55.7 18.6 against National Tablelands 9006 9106 49.7 50.3 23.2 against National Warwick 11628 7172 61.9 38.1 7.7 against National Western Downs 11428 7805 59.4 40.6 20.0 against National TOTAL 140251 122452 53.4 46.6 16.2 against National (*) - Vote for Independent Peter Wellington

59 1999 Queensland Redistribution

SUMMARY OF THE DISTRIBUTION OF PARTY PREFERENCES Distribution of One Nation Preferences (Labor/Liberal contests) % Preferences flowing to Primary % Vote of Elecorate Labor Liberal Exhaust % Vote Other Candidates 3 Candidates, One Nation distributed first Mundingburra 23.5 51.5 25.0 24.6 4 Candidates, One Nation distributed second Chatsworth 22.8 60.8 16.4 16.9 4.7 GRN Everton 23.7 57.5 18.8 15.4 5.0 DEM Kurwongbah 24.7 43.9 31.5 22.2 5.7 GRN Merrimac 15.9 48.1 36.0 19.9 2.7 DEM Mooloolah 19.7 52.7 27.6 23.8 5.5 GRN Sunnybank 30.4 44.2 25.3 17.4 4.4 GRN Average (6) 22.9 51.2 25.9 5 Candidates, One Nation distributed third Archerfield 25.1 44.8 30.2 20.9 5.3 ARP,GRN Caloundra 19.5 49.9 30.6 24.9 6.5 AFP,GRN Chermside 24.9 46.6 28.5 15.5 4.6 ARP,DEM Ferny Grove 27.8 45.2 27.0 17.6 9.0 GRN,DEM Kedron 27.7 42.9 29.4 14.6 7.4 DEM,IND Mansfield 27.4 50.7 21.9 14.5 5.7 GRN,DEM Nudgee 29.2 40.6 30.2 17.2 4.3 GRN,ARP Redcliffe 23.2 52.9 23.9 22.8 4.1 ARP,IND Townsville 22.8 40.0 37.1 24.7 3.7 ARP,IND Yeronga 25.3 47.1 27.6 13.4 5.9 GRN,ARP Average (10) 25.3 46.1 28.6 6 Candidates, One Nation distributed fourth Aspley 21.1 46.6 32.3 15.3 5.5 ARP,DEM,GRN Barron River 21.2 49.5 29.4 27.0 8.0 DEM,IND,GRN Brisbane Central 20.6 48.8 30.6 9.7 10.4 IND,GRN,DEM Bulimba 30.0 40.1 29.9 14.8 7.3 ARP,DEM,GRN Cleveland 29.7 39.9 30.4 19.3 6.2 DEM,IND,ARP Mt Gravatt 24.2 55.7 20.1 13.3 6.6 GRN,DEM,ARP Nerang 14.9 49.8 35.3 25.1 8.5 ARP,GRN,DEM Sandgate 26.3 36.9 36.8 18.5 11.9 IND,GRN,ARP Springwood 23.6 42.9 33.5 20.0 7.7 DEM,IND,ARP Average (9) 23.5 45.6 30.9 7 Candidates, One Nation distributed fifth Mt Ommaney 20.2 61.3 18.5 12.1 13.6 DEM,GRN,IND (2) Noosa 18.5 38.2 43.4 14.3 10.5 CDP,GRN,IND (2) Average (2) 19.3 49.7 31.0 9 Candidates, One Nation distributed seventh South Brisbane 22.4 43.8 33.8 8.0 12.3 Ind (3),AFP,ARP,Dem Overall Average (29) 23.7 47.3 29.0

60 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Distribution of One Nation Preferences (Labor/National contests) % Preferences flowing to Primary % Vote of Elecorate Labor National Exhaust % Vote Other Candidates 4 Candidates, One Nation distributed second Broadwater 13.0 42.9 44.2 26.2 4.3 GRN Burleigh 20.6 54.3 25.1 21.6 4.9 GRN Southport 18.1 40.1 41.8 21.3 3.2 DEM Surfers Paradise 13.9 53.9 32.2 17.4 4.6 GRN Toowoomba North 17.0 57.5 25.5 24.1 1.7 ARP Toowoomba South 20.9 46.2 32.8 23.7 1.8 ARP Average (6) 17.3 49.1 33.6 5 Candidates, One Nation distributed third Albert 18.7 52.9 28.4 26.9 6.0 ARP,GRN Charters Towers 20.2 53.5 26.3 26.2 1.5 TSP,ARP Mirani 20.6 44.9 34.6 28.7 2.6 TSP,AFP Redlands 19.8 58.2 22.1 23.5 5.2 ARP,DEM Warrego 18.6 54.1 27.3 23.6 9.5 TSP,IND Average (5) 19.6 52.7 27.7 6 Candidates, One Nation distributed fourth Currumbin 21.2 55.1 23.7 20.5 18.6 GRN,LIB,IND Gregory 20.2 49.8 30.0 17.4 7.2 DEM,AFP,TSP Average (2) 20.7 52.4 26.8 7 Candidates, One Nation distributed fifth Keppel 19.8 52.9 27.3 21.3 16.9 AFP,IND(2),DEM 8 Candidates, One Nation distributed sixth Beaudesert 18.1 38.5 43.4 27.4 8.4 AFP,ARP,GRN, 2 Oth Overall Average (15) 18.7 50.3 31.0

Distribution of Liberal Preferences % Preferences flowing to Primary % Vote of Elecorate ALP ONP Exhaust % Vote Other Candidates 3 Candidates, Liberal distributed first Waterford 25.1 53.9 21.0 24.5 4 Candidates, Liberal distributed second Woodridge 15.5 22.9 61.6 14.0 6.0 DEM 5 Candidates, Liberal distributed third Bundamba 25.2 54.8 20.0 11.9 5.7 GRN,DEM Cairns 23.1 61.6 15.2 23.5 9.9 GRN,IND Ipswich 32.9 38.7 28.4 10.5 4.1 ARP,GRN Murrumba 21.1 59.2 19.7 21.2 4.1 ARP,DEM Average (4) 25.6 53.6 20.8 6 Candidates, Liberal distributed fourth Thuringowa 18.5 69.4 12.2 17.3 12.6 NAT,IND,DEM 7 Candidates, Liberal distributed fifth Kallangur 19.2 56.8 24.0 22.0 8.4 CDP,GRN,IND,ARP Overall Average (8) 22.6 52.2 25.2

61 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Distribution of National Preferences % Preferences flowing to Primary % Vote of Elecorate ALP ONP Exhaust % Vote Other Candidates 3 Candidates, National distributed first Whitsunday 19.0 60.5 20.5 29.6 4 Candidates, National distributed second Ipswich West 21.3 58.4 20.3 17.6 1.8 ARP Mackay 19.0 59.7 21.3 22.9 1.4 IND Maryborough 13.8 65.1 21.0 18.9 2.9 GRN Mulgrave 18.0 65.2 16.8 29.9 2.0 DEM Rockhampton 22.9 60.3 16.8 19.3 3.9 DEM Average (5) 19.0 61.7 19.2 5 Candidates, National distributed third Bundaberg 15.7 64.7 19.6 23.7 2.5 GRN,DEM Burdekin 15.1 65.0 19.9 28.9 6.5 DEM,AFP Cook 26.7 53.7 19.6 19.5 5.4 IND,ARP Fitzroy 19.5 62.4 18.1 20.8 4.5 AFP,DEM Hervey Bay 15.4 61.4 23.2 27.4 2.5 GRN,DEM Logan 24.5 56.9 18.6 14.7 7.7 IND,DEM Mt Isa 21.4 48.8 29.8 14.7 2.3 TSP,ARP Average (7) 19.8 59.0 21.3 6 Candidates, National distributed fourth Caboolture 15.4 68.8 15.9 23.3 7.7 DEM,ARP,IND Overall Average (14) 19.1 60.8 20.1

Distribution of Labor Preferences % Preferences flowing to Primary % Vote of Elecorate NAT ONP Exhaust % Vote Other Candidates 3 Candidates, Labor distributed first Tablelands 50.0 15.5 34.5 25.1 Western Downs 44.1 20.8 35.1 17.3 Average (2) 47.1 18.1 34.8 4 Candidates, Labor distributed second Callide 45.2 21.8 33.0 19.0 5.8 AFP Gympie 55.5 15.7 28.9 26.1 3.4 GRN Hinchinbrook 49.4 18.6 31.9 28.7 5.1 AFP Warwick 45.4 19.2 35.4 19.9 4.0 GRN Average (4) 48.9 18.8 32.3 5 Candidates, Labor distributed third Burnett 44.2 16.1 39.7 27.5 3.6 GRN,IND Crows Nest 37.6 22.2 40.3 16.5 5.7 ARP,GRN Maroochydore 60.0 11.6 28.4 24.1 8.0 DEM,GRN Average (3) 47.3 16.6 36.1 6 Candidates, Labor distributed fourth Barambah 39.7 21.9 38.4 17.5 8.0 IND,IND,AFP Cunningham 38.4 14.6 47.1 18.9 5.5 ARP,IND,IND Lockyer 45.4 16.5 38.1 21.0 14.2 ARP,IND,TSP Average (3) 41.2 17.7 41.2 Overall Average (12) 46.2 17.9 35.9

62 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Distribution of Australian Democrat Preferences % Preferences flowing to Primary % Vote of Elecorate Labor Liberal Exhaust % Vote Other Candidates 4 Candidates, Democrats distributed second Lytton 46.7 35.3 18.1 6.6 5.7 GRN Moggill 52.9 32.2 14.9 6.7 6.3 GRN Average (2) 49.8 33.7 16.5 5 Candidates, Democrats distributed third Inala 46.1 33.8 20.0 8.5 7.3 IND,GRN Overall Average (3) 48.6 33.8 17.7

Distribution of Greens Preferences % Preferences flowing to Primary % Vote of Elecorate Labor Liberal Exhaust % Vote Other Candidates 4 Candidates, Greens distributed second Clayfield 28.7 21.9 49.3 4.5 3.9 DEM Indooroopilly 64.3 24.5 11.2 9.7 7.7 DEM Mt Coot-tha 64.9 21.0 14.1 10.1 5.8 DEM Average (3) 52.6 22.5 24.9 5 Candidates, Greens distributed third Ashgrove 57.4 25.5 17.1 5.1 8.2 DEM,AFP 7 Candidates, Greens distributed fifth Greenslopes 56.6 23.9 19.5 4.6 7.2 AWP,ARP,DEM,IND Overall Average (5) 54.4 23.4 22.2

63 1999 Queensland Redistribution

APPENDIX B: DETAILS OF METHODOLOGY AND CALCULATIONS

To calculate the political impact of the new electoral boundaries, the results of the previous elections have to be re-assigned to the new boundaries. This required a series of assumptions and calculations to be made concerning two-party preferred results by booth, the transfer of booths to new electorates, and the allocation of declaration votes between new electorates.

Calculating Two-Candidate Preferred Results by Booth

Before calculating the redistribution, it was first necessary to produce two-candidate preferred results for each polling place used at both the 1995 and 1998 state elections. This was not necessary for the 1998 federal election, as actual two-candidate preferred results by booth were available.

The method adopted was to apply the distribution of preferences for the electorate as a whole to each polling place result. Candidates were eliminated in the same order as for the electorate as a whole, and the same flows of preferences applied.

This process is best explained by the following example for the electorate of Callide. The votes for each candidate, and the successive distribution of preferences are displayed in the table below.

First Distribution Second Distribution % of New % of New Callide Votes Votes Prefs Total Votes Prefs Total Savage (ONP) 6566 376 37.12 6942 754 21.79 7696 Fowler (AFP) 1013 .. Barton (ALP) 3335 126 12.44 3461 .. Seeney (NAT) 6597 269 26.55 6866 1566 45.25 8432 Exhausted .. 242 23.89 242 1141 32.97 1383

These preference flows were applied to each individual polling place, as in the following example for the Moura booth. Note that in this case, despite the Labor candidate having the highest primary votes, his preferences have been distributed in accordance with the distribution of the electorate as a whole.

First Distribution Second Distribution New New Moura booth Votes Votes Total Votes Total Savage (ONP) 375 12 387 109 496 Fowler (AFP) 31 .. Barton (ALP) 495 4 499 .. Seeney (NAT) 298 8 306 226 532 Exhausted .. 7 7 164 171

In calculating the two-candidate preferred estimates, minor rounding errors can occur. As a result, in some electorates the total of the two-candidate preferred results by booth may not add to the actual result for the electorate. However, the differences amount to no more than a handful of votes.

64 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Two-Candidate versus Two-Party Preferred Results

Over the past two decades, it has become standard practice for all Australian electoral bodies to carry out a full distribution of preferences, even where this is not required to determine the winning candidate in an electorate. The vote for the final two candidates after this distribution of preferences is normally referred to as the two-candidate preferred vote.

In most cases, this will be the same as the two-party preferred vote, which is usually defined as the final count after the distribution of preferences between the final candidate representing the Labor Party, and the National/Liberal Party coalition.

In some cases this is not the case. In 1995, the two-candidate and two-party preferred votes were not the same in the electorate of Gladstone, and at the 1998 federal election, in the electorate of Blair. At the 1998 state election, there were in fact only 53 electorates that finished as a contest between Labor and the Coalition, One Nation finishing first or second in 34 electorates, with another two being contests won by Independents.

As the 1998 state election was clearly not a two-party contest, no attempt has been made in this publication to convert it into a two-party contest between Labor and the Coalition. Some measure of the boundaries' impact on the two-party contest can be assessed from the re- calculation of the 1995 state and 1998 federal election results shown in Sections 4 and 5.

Transferring Booths to New Electorates

All tables have been prepared by re-assigning the booths used at previous elections to each of the new electorates. Once all booths had been re-assigned, and a proportion of declaration votes transferred, the vote by party for each new electorate was calculated by simply adding up the transferred booths and votes.

The decision on transferring a booth to a new electorate was made by examining the maps provided by the Queensland Redistribution Commission. Where a polling place was close to a new boundary, consideration was given to splitting the booth between electorates. A check was made to ensure that the number of votes transferred correlated with the number of electors transferred. This was made possible by the numbers of electors being transferred from each old to new electorate being made available to me by Queensland Electoral Commissioner Mr Des O'Shea. These numbers are included at the end of this Appendix.

At all times, the number of votes transferred has been kept in the range 90-95% of the number of voters transferred. This roughly corresponds to the turnout in each electorate at the state election. In electorates with a low turnout, or where there had been enrolment growth since the state election, the ratio was allowed to fall as low as 85%.

Transferring Declaration Votes

All postal, pre-poll, absent, electoral visit and declared institution votes in an electorate, as well as all votes cast at Brisbane City Hall (except for the electorate of Brisbane Central) have been grouped together as declaration votes. These have been transferred from each old electorate to each new electorate in direct proportion to the number of voters transferred between the electorates.

For instance, 20.8% of voters in the electorate of Burdekin were transferred to Mundingburra, 1.0% to Charters Towers, with 78.2% remaining in the new Burdekin. Declaration votes have been distributed to the new electorates in the same proportion.

However, the relative proportion of votes for each party has been weighted according to the vote in the booths transferred using the following method. As a first step, the ratio of declaration votes to booth votes for each old electorate was calculated, as in the following example.

65 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Burdekin Booth Results Declaration Votes Ratio Walker (ALP) 31.71% 30.45% 0.9603 Morato (NAT) 28.82% 29.57% 1.0260 Knuth (ONP) 33.22% 31.91% 0.9606 Nichols (DEM) 2.09% 3.98% 1.9043 Steley (AFP) 4.17% 4.09% 0.9808

These ratios were then applied to the votes transferred to new electorates. For instance two booths were transferred from Burdekin to Mundingburra. The 20.8% of the Declaration vote transferred to Mundingburra was then weighted to reflect the vote in these booths, using the method outlined below.

Burdekin Transfers to Mundingburra Booth % Vote Declaration % Adjusted % Walker (ALP) 36.19 34.75 34.27 Morato (NAT) 34.54 35.44 34.95 Knuth (ONP) 23.96 23.02 22.70 Nichols (DEM) 3.25 6.19 6.10 Steley (AFP) 2.05 2.01 1.98

In this case, the Labor vote in booths transferred to Mundingburra was 36.19%. Applying the ratio of 0.9603, the Labor percentage of Declaration votes to be transferred is 34.75%. After rounding so the percentages add to 100%, this becomes 34.27% of formal declaration votes. So of the 20.8% of declaration votes transferred to Mundingburra, 34.27% will be Labor Party votes, as compared to the 30.45% Labor vote in the overall Declaration vote for Burdekin.

This process may seem unduly complex, but it ensures that the declaration votes transferred reflects the political complexion of the areas involved. In the case of Burdekin, the Declaration votes transferred to Mundingburra will have a higher proportion of Labor votes than those that remain in Burdekin, which reflects the political complexion of the booths transferred. Overall, the sum of the declaration votes transferred to the three electorates will still add to the total declaration vote recorded for Burdekin.

In some remote rural electorates, where a large proportion of declaration votes are remote postal votes, this method may not fully reflect the true transfer of votes. However, without better knowledge of the exact numbers of postal and absent votes transferred, the above method is the best available.

The same calculations have been used to transfer votes for the 1995 election. However, the large increase in enrolments between 1995 and 1999 may make these estimates less reliable.

Estimates based on the 1998 federal election DO NOT include any declaration votes. All estimates are based on the transfer of booths only.

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Calculating Two-Candidate Preferred Results for 1998 Election

As the detailed tables in Section 3 show, calculations for many of the new electorates do not produce a clear-cut contest between two candidates and parties. As a result, assumptions about the distribution of preferences have had to be made to produce the summary tables shown in Section 2. The following list provides details of the assumptions made in calculating an estimated two-candidate preferred result for each electorate where this was required.

Albert One Nation votes transferred from Waterford have been distributed according to preferences from Albert. Barron River One Nation votes transferred from Cairns have been distributed according to preferences from Barron River. Beaudesert After the transfer of primary votes from Lockyer, the Labor Party finished behind One Nation in the new Beaudesert. Labor votes transferred from Albert and Beaudesert have been distributed according to preferences from Lockyer. Bundaberg National Party votes transferred from Burnett have been distributed according to preferences from Bundaberg. Burleigh Liberal two-candidate preferred votes transferred from Merrimac have been added to the National Party total. Burnett Labor votes transferred from Hervey Bay have been distributed according to preferences from Burnett. Charters Towers One Nation votes transferred from Burdekin, Cook and Fitzroy have been distributed according to preferences for Charters Towers. Cook Liberal and National Party votes transferred from Barron River and Tablelands have been distributed according to preferences for Cook. Fitzroy National Party votes transferred from Callide and Keppel have been distributed according to preferences for Fitzroy. Gaven Liberal two-candidate preferred votes transferred from Nerang have been added to the National Party total. Glass House The transfer of two-candidate preferred votes for Independent Peter Wellington has made it impossible to calculate a margin for this electorate, though the seat would most likely be won by One Nation. Gregory One Nation votes transferred from Callide and Western Downs have been distributed according to preferences for Gregory. Gympie Labor votes transferred from Noosa have been distributed according to preferences for Gympie. Liberal two-candidate preferred votes from Noosa have been added to the National Party total. Hinchinbrook Labor votes transferred from Mulgrave and Thuringowa have been distributed according to preferences for Hinchinbrook. Ipswich West National Party votes transferred from Crows Nest have been distributed according to preferences for Ipswich West. Kurwongbah One Nation votes transferred from Kallangur have been distributed according to preferences for Kurwongbah. Lockyer Labor votes transferred from Beaudesert have been distributed according to preferences for Lockyer. Logan National Party votes transferred from Beaudesert have been distributed according to preferences for Logan.

Mackay National Party votes transferred from Mirani have been distributed according to preferences for Mackay.

67 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Maroochydore A National Party seat, but on the new boundaries, the Labor Party outpolled One Nation, making it impossible to calculate an exact margin. Mirani One Nation votes transferred from Mackay have been distributed according to preferences for Mirani. Mount Isa National Party votes transferred from Charters Towers and Gregory have been distributed according to preferences for Mount Isa. Mulgrave National Party votes transferred from Hinchinbrook have been distributed according to preferences for Mulgrave. Mundingburra One Nation votes transferred from Burdekin have been distributed according to preferences for Mundingburra. Murrumba Liberal Party votes transferred from Aspley have been distributed according to preferences for Murrumba. Nanango The transfer of two-candidate preferred votes for Independent Peter Wellington has made it impossible to calculate a margin for this electorate, though the seat would most likely be won by One Nation. Nicklin The transfer of two-candidate preferred votes for Independent Peter Wellington has made it impossible to calculate a margin for this electorate, though it is likely he would have won the seat on the new boundaries. Noosa One Nation votes transferred from Gympie have been distributed according to preferences for Noosa. National Party two-candidate preferred votes transferred from Gympie have been added to the Liberal Party total. Redcliffe One Nation votes transferred from Murrumba have been distributed according to preferences for Redcliffe. Redlands Liberal Party two-candidate preferred votes transferred from Capalaba have been added to the National Party totals. Robina National Party two-candidate preferred votes transferred from Burleigh and Surfers Paradise have been added to the Liberal Party total. Rockhampton National Party votes transferred from Keppel have been distributed according to preferences for Rockhampton. Southern Downs Labor votes transferred from Warrego have been distributed according to preferences for Warwick. Springwood One Nation votes transferred from Waterford have been distributed according to preferences for Springwood. National Party two-candidate preferred votes transferred from Redlands have been added to the Liberal total. Surfers Paradise Liberal two-candidate preferred votes transferred from Merrimac have been added to the National Party total. Tablelands Labor votes transferred from Cook and Mulgrave have been distributed according to preferences for Tablelands. Toowoomba North One Nation votes transferred from Crows Nest have been distributed according to preferences for Toowoomba North. Toowoomba South One Nation votes transferred from Crows Nest and Cunningham have been distributed according to preferences for Toowoomba South. Warrego One the new boundaries, One Nation polled more votes than Labor, so Labor votes transferred from Warrego have been distributed according to the preferences for Western Downs.

68 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Waterford National Party votes transferred from Albert have been distributed according to preferences for Woodridge.

Transfers of Electoral Enrolment The following details of enrolments transferred between new and old electorates have been provided by the Redistribution Commission.

Old Electorate Voters Transferred to Albert Albert 17701 (52.0%), Beaudesert 39 (0.1%), Broadwater 1667 (4.9%), Gaven 14415 (42.3%), Waterford 228 (0.7%) Archerfield Algester 22277 (77.1%), Yeerongpilly 6623 (22.9%) Ashgrove Ashgrove 20410 (90.5%), Brisbane Central 1144 (5.1%), Mount Coot-tha 999 (4.4%) Aspley Aspley 24064 (87.6%), Everton 491 (1.8%), Murrumba 1379 (5.0%), Nudgee 1523 (5.5%) Barambah Callide 7715 (32.3%), Nanango 16167 (67.7%) Barron River Barron River 21425 (90.5%), Cook 2248 (9.5%) Beaudesert Albert 942 (3.5%), Beaudesert 21357 (80.3%), Lockyer 318 (1.2%), Logan 3987 (15.0%) Brisbane Central Brisbane Central 23338 (94.9%), Mount Coot-tha 1257 (5.1%) Broadwater Broadwater 24394 (93.3%), Southport 1755 (6.7%) Bulimba Bulimba 22789 (95.0%), Lytton 1198 (5.0%) Bundamba Bundamba 23698 (100.0%) Bundaberg Bundaberg 21659 (100.0%) Burdekin Burdekin 20269 (78.2%), Charters Towers 250 (1.0%), Mundingburra 5399 (20.8%) Burleigh Burleigh 23735 (99.0%), Robina 231 (1.0%) Burnett Bundaberg 5340 (17.4%), Burnett 22465 (73.2%), Callide 2878 (9.4%) Caboolture Glass House 11428 (37.7%), Pumicestone 18866 (62.3%) Cairns Barron River 2510 (11.3%), Cairns 19744 (88.7%)

69 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Old Electorate Voters Transferred to Callide Callide 15317 (81.5%), Fitzroy 3041 (16.2%), Gregory 427 (2.3%) Caloundra Caloundra 23824 (87.2%), Glass House 2033 (7.4%), Kawana 1453 (5.3%) Capalaba Capalaba 22163 (94.7%), Mansfield 610 (2.6%), Redlands 635 (2.7%) Charters Towers Charters Towers 16315 (96.2%), Mount Isa 643 (3.8%) Chatsworth Bulimba 2029 (7.6%), Chatsworth 22826 (85.2%), Lytton 1273 (4.8%), Mount Gravatt 651 (2.4%) Chermside Aspley 1428 (6.9%), Clayfield 3368 (16.3%), Everton 611 (3.0%), Nudgee 2712 (13.1%), Stafford 12515 (60.7%) Clayfield Clayfield 21966 (100.0%) Cleveland Capalaba 3179 (11.7%), Cleveland 23904 (88.3%) Cook Charters Towers 586 (3.1%), Cook 17041 (89.5%), Mount Isa 1359 (7.1%), Tablelands 57 (0.3%) Crows Nest Darling Downs 13553 (51.7%), Ipswich West 3166 (12.1%), Lockyer 1137 (4.3%), Nanango 3771 (14.4%), Toowoomba North 3096 (11.8%), Toowoomba South 1482 (5.7%) Cunningham Cunningham 22653 (83.8%), Darling Downs 306 (1.1%), Southern Downs 3944 (14.6%), Toowoomba South 122 (0.5%) Currumbin Currumbin 25806 (99.9%), Mudgeeraba 29 (0.1%) Everton Ashgrove 499 (2.0%), Everton 24473 (98.0%) Ferny Grove Ashgrove 669 (2.4%), Ferny Grove 26644 (97.6%) Fitzroy Charters Towers 1040 (4.9%), Fitzroy 20220 (95.1%) Gladstone Callide 3 (0.0%), Gladstone 25815 (100.0%) Greenslopes Chatsworth 157 (0.7%), Greenslopes 21193 (95.6%), South Brisbane 811 (3.7%) Gregory Charters Towers 1269 (7.9%), Gregory 13820 (85.7%), Mount Isa 1030 (6.4%) Gympie Gympie 24318 (97.8%), Noosa 536 (2.2%) Hervey Bay Burnett 987 (3.5%), Hervey Bay 23567 (83.3%), Maryborough 3754 (13.3%) Hinchinbrook Hinchinbrook 18400 (78.4%), Mulgrave 5059 (21.6%) Inala Algester 88 (0.4%), Inala 22016 (99.6%) Indooroopilly Indooroopilly 24711 (100.0%) Ipswich Ipswich 22998 (100.0%) Ipswich West Ipswich 3400 (13.5%), Ipswich West 21860 (86.5%) Kallangur Kallangur 23524 (69.7%), Kurwongbah 416 (1.2%), Murrumba 4192 (12.4%), Pumicestone 5601 (16.6%) Kedron Ashgrove 5028 (24.5%), Brisbane Central 779 (3.8%), Stafford 14688 (71.7%) Keppel Fitzroy 1382 (4.8%), Keppel 22512 (78.3%), Rockhampton 4844 (16.9%)

70 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Old Electorate Voters Transferred to Kurwongbah Kurwongbah 26808 (100.0%) Lockyer Beaudesert 5542 (19.7%), Lockyer 22552 (80.3%) Logan Logan 19811 (68.4%), Woodridge 9141 (31.6%) Lytton Lytton 23574 (100.0%) Mackay Mackay 20511 (91.3%), Mirani 1957 (8.7%) Mansfield Chatsworth 2867 (9.9%), Mansfield 21798 (75.6%), Mount Gravatt 2230 (7.7%), Stretton 1938 (6.7%) Maroochydore Maroochydore 20317 (73.6%), Nicklin 7289 (26.4%) Maryborough Maryborough 21779 (100.0%) Mt Coot-tha Indooroopilly 1015 (4.1%), Mount Coot-tha 23937 (95.9%) Merrimac Burleigh 3253 (12.0%), Robina 23086 (85.5%), Surfers Paradise 658 (2.4%) Mt Gravatt Greenslopes 5724 (27.0%), Mount Gravatt 14120 (66.7%), Yeerongpilly 1330 (6.3%) Mirani Mackay 6328 (22.7%), Mirani 21543 (77.3%), Whitsunday 4 (0.0%) Mt Isa Mount Isa 15472 (100.0%) Moggill Moggill 25752 (100.0%) Mt Ommaney Inala 1333 (5.1%), Mount Ommaney 24635 (94.9%) Mooloolah Glass House 2395 (8.0%), Kawana 23338 (77.6%), Maroochydore 2877 (9.6%), Nicklin 1471 (4.9%) Mulgrave Cairns 5338 (20.2%), Hinchinbrook 1091 (4.1%), Mulgrave 19169 (72.6%), Tablelands 802 (3.0%) Mundingburra Mundingburra 18485 (83.0%), Townsville 3793 (17.0%) Murrumba Murrumba 18558 (74.4%), Pumicestone 646 (2.6%), Redcliffe 5750 (23.0%) Nerang Gaven 7989 (25.1%), Mudgeeraba 23779 (74.9%) Nicklin Glass House 9521 (32.9%), Nanango 2402 (8.3%), Nicklin 17043 (58.8%) Noosa Gympie 2536 (8.1%), Maroochydore 2465 (7.9%), Nicklin 328 (1.1%), Noosa 25866 (82.9%) Nudgee Clayfield 790 (3.4%), Nudgee 22416 (96.6%) Redcliffe Redcliffe 21484 (100.0%) Redlands Redlands 21817 (72.7%), Springwood 8178 (27.3%) Rockhampton Rockhampton 21081 (100.0%) Sandgate Sandgate 25481 (100.0%) South Brisbane South Brisbane 24228 (100.0%) Southport Southport 21951 (80.3%), Surfers Paradise 5387 (19.7%) Springwood Mansfield 3693 (18.1%), Springwood 16730 (81.9%) Sunnybank Algester 107 (0.3%), Mount Gravatt 8950 (29.0%), Stretton 21665 (70.2%), Woodridge 157 (0.5%) Old Electorate Voters Transferred to Surfers Paradise Robina 2745 (11.5%), Surfers Paradise 21043 (88.5%)

71 1999 Queensland Redistribution

Tablelands Cook 57 (0.3%), Tablelands 22645 (99.7%) Thuringowa Burdekin 822 (2.8%), Hinchinbrook 3396 (11.7%), Thuringowa 24878 (85.5%) Toowoomba North Toowoomba North 20874 (96.6%), Toowoomba South 726 (3.4%) Toowoomba South Toowoomba South 22379 (100.0%) Townsville Mundingburra 2176 (9.1%), Townsville 21623 (90.9%) Warrego Gregory 4481 (30.2%), Southern Downs 1010 (6.8%), Warrego 9337 (63.0%) Warwick Cunningham 514 (2.3%), Southern Downs 22035 (97.7%) Waterford Albert 4630 (17.4%), Redlands 1 (0.0%), Springwood 1758 (6.6%), Waterford 20160 (75.9%) Western Downs Darling Downs 10129 (45.2%), Gregory 65 (0.3%), Warrego 12219 (54.5%) Whitsunday Burdekin 2391 (9.4%), Mirani 2 (0.0%), Whitsunday 22926 (90.5%) Woodridge Waterford 3816 (21.0%), Woodridge 14340 (79.0%) Yeronga Greenslopes 216 (1.0%), South Brisbane 2056 (9.5%), Yeerongpilly 19267 (89.5%)

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