The-FDC-Afriscope-Ed
Volume 1, Issue 2 March 20, 2019 1 16 Markets across 3 Sub-Saharan Africa Economics & Policy 215 Social & Lifestyle 21 Precinct Political Update 32 Financial & 29 Economic Aviation Indicators 2 ECONOMICS & POLICY Africa’s looming debt crisis Debt levels in African countries are rising at a worrying pace with debt to GDP reaching 45.9% in 2017, according to the IMF. Unlike previous debt crisis where the IMF and the World Bank played a leading role, this time the creditors are mostly commercial entities. These entities have little appetite for write offs or restructurings. Africa’s looming debt crisis stems from the global financial crisis in 2008. Rush to capital markets Determined to ramp up investment in infrastructure African economies, propelled by Asian demand for their needed to modernize their economies, African commodities, were expanding at record rates between governments sought new finance, especially in the 2007-2015. A few years earlier, many African government, capital markets. With interest rates falling across slashed fiscal and trade deficits and cut deals with the IMF advanced economies, the timing was auspicious. A and World Bank to write off most of their debts under the number of African economies including Kenya, Nigeria Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) scheme. In many and Senegal, raised funds from the international capital African treasuries, the expectation was that the commodity market in 2017/18. Angola, Benin Republic and Ivory boom would continue. Unfortunately, their Asian Coast, are considering issuances in 2019. Meanwhile, customers, who were beginning to feel the effect of the China is now the largest single lender to Africa, global recession, started reducing commodity imports.
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