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Tripura Postpoll 2018-Findings(Weight by Demographics and Actual Vote Share)

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Tripura Postpoll 2018-Findings(Weight by Demographics and Actual Vote Share) Tripura Postpoll 2018-Findings(Weight by Demographics and Actual vote share) Q1: While talking to people about the recent elections to the Vidhan Sabha, we find that some people were not able to vote. How about you - were you able to vote or not? N (%) 1: Could not vote 13 1.0 2: Voted 1245 99.0 Total 1258 100.0 a: (If Voted in Q1 ) Whom did you vote for? N (%) Valid (%) Valid 01: Congress 22 1.7 1.8 02: BJP 535 42.6 43.0 03: IPFT 93 7.4 7.5 04: CPI-M 532 42.3 42.7 06: AIFB 7 .6 .6 09: INPT 9 .7 .7 13: Tipraland State Party 2 .1 .1 98: Can’t say/No response 45 3.6 3.6 Total 1245 99.0 100.0 Missing 99: N.A. 13 1.0 Total 1258 100.0 b: (If Voted in Q1 ) When did you finally make up your mind about whom to vote for? N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: On the day of voting 18 1.5 1.5 2: A day or two before voting 36 2.8 2.9 3: Earlier, during the campaign 389 30.9 31.3 4: Even before the campaign started 629 50.0 50.6 5: After candidates were declared 77 6.2 6.2 8: Can't say/No response 95 7.5 7.6 Total 1245 99.0 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 13 1.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 1 Tripura Postpoll 2018-Findings(Weight by Demographics and Actual vote share) N (%) Valid (%) Total 1258 100.0 c: (If Voted in Q1 ) Did the election officer correctly put the mark on your finger? N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Checked, but mark not found 24 1.9 1.9 2: Checked and mark found 1187 94.4 95.4 8: Could not check the mark 34 2.7 2.7 Total 1245 99.0 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 13 1.0 Total 1258 100.0 d: (If Voted in Q1 ) In deciding whom to vote for did you take anyone's advice? N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: No 1097 87.2 88.1 2: Yes 99 7.9 8.0 8: Can't say 48 3.8 3.9 Total 1245 99.0 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 13 1.0 Total 1258 100.0 e: (If Yes in Q1d ) Whose advice mattered to you the most? N (%) Valid (%) Valid 01: Local Political Leader 20 1.6 20.3 02: Husband/wife 15 1.2 15.1 03: Other family members 9 .7 8.7 04: Caste/community leaders/church 15 1.2 15.2 05: Friends/neighbours 2 .2 2.1 07: No one, I voted on my own 8 .6 7.5 08: Village Pradhan/Sarpanch 0 .0 .3 98: Can’t say /No response 31 2.4 30.7 Total 99 7.9 100.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 2 Tripura Postpoll 2018-Findings(Weight by Demographics and Actual vote share) N (%) Valid (%) Missing 99: N.A. 1158 92.1 Total 1258 100.0 f: (If Not Voted in Q1 ) What was the main reason due to which you could not vote in this election? N (%) Valid (%) Valid 01: Out of station 2 .2 18.7 02: Not well 3 .2 21.8 10: Others 1 .1 10.8 98: Can’t say /No response 6 .5 48.7 Total 13 1.0 100.0 Missing 99: N.A. 1245 99.0 Total 1258 100.0 Q2: After this election who would you prefer as the next Chief Minister of Tripura? N (%) 01: Manik Sarkar 428 34.0 02: Bijon Dhar 15 1.2 03: Aghore Debbarma 17 1.4 04: Tapan Chakraborty 1 .1 05: Khagendra Jamatia 14 1.1 06: Manindra Reang 4 .3 08: Sahid Choudhuri 3 .3 12: Any other Left Front leader 7 .5 13: Biplab Dev 338 26.9 14: Subal Bhowmik 4 .3 15: Sudip Roy Burman 1 .1 17: Pratima Bhowmik 6 .5 18: Any other BJP leader 57 4.5 19: Narendra Chandra Debbarma 66 5.2 22: Any other IPFT leader 3 .2 23: Kirit Pradyot Debbarman Manikya 1 .1 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 3 Tripura Postpoll 2018-Findings(Weight by Demographics and Actual vote share) N (%) 26: Birajit Sinha 1 .1 30: Bijoy Kumar Hrangkhawl 8 .6 33: Animesh Debbarma 1 .1 97: Any other leader 9 .7 98: No response/Can’t say 276 21.9 Total 1258 100.0 Q3: During the elections people participate in various activities related to election. Did you participate in any of the following activities during the recent election campaign? a: Attended election meetings N (%) 1: No 710 56.5 2: Yes 548 43.5 Total 1258 100.0 b: Participated in processions/rallies N (%) 1: No 722 57.4 2: Yes 535 42.6 Total 1258 100.0 c: Go home to home for canvassing N (%) 1: No 1030 81.9 2: Yes 221 17.6 8: No response 7 .5 Total 1258 100.0 d: Collected or gave funds N (%) Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 4 Tripura Postpoll 2018-Findings(Weight by Demographics and Actual vote share) N (%) 1: No 1102 87.6 2: Yes 149 11.8 8: No response 7 .6 Total 1258 100.0 e: Distributed pamphlets/ put up posters N (%) 1: No 1055 83.9 2: Yes 198 15.7 8: No response 5 .4 Total 1258 100.0 Q4: While deciding whom to vote for in the recent assembly election, what mattered to you more - Party or Candidate? N (%) 1: Party 690 54.9 2: Candidate 259 20.6 3: Both 185 14.7 4: Leader/CM 23 1.8 5: Caste/Tribe 16 1.3 6: Any other answer 18 1.4 8: No response 53 4.2 9: Did not vote 13 1.0 Total 1258 100.0 Q5: What is your assessment of the work done by the CPI(M)-led Left Front government in Tripura in the last five years? Would you say that you are satisfied or dissatisfied with it? N (%) 1: Fully satisfied 317 25.2 2: Somewhat satisfied 373 29.7 3: Somewhat dissatisfied 159 12.6 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 5 Tripura Postpoll 2018-Findings(Weight by Demographics and Actual vote share) N (%) 4: Fully dissatisfied 382 30.4 8: No response 27 2.2 Total 1258 100.0 Q6: Did any candidate, party worker or canvasser come to your house during the campaign to ask for your vote? N (%) 1: No 488 38.8 2: Yes 703 55.9 8: Don't remember/No response 67 5.3 Total 1258 100.0 a(i): (If yes ) From which party/parties were they? (1st response) N (%) Valid (%) Valid 01: Congress 27 2.2 3.9 02: BJP 322 25.6 45.8 03: IPFT 28 2.2 4.0 04: CPI-M 299 23.7 42.5 06: AIFB 7 .6 1.0 09: INPT 3 .2 .4 98: Can’t say/No response 17 1.4 2.5 Total 703 55.9 100.0 Missing 99: N.A. 554 44.1 Total 1258 100.0 a(ii): (If yes ) From which party/parties were they? (2nd response) N (%) Valid (%) Valid 01: Congress 30 2.4 5.4 02: BJP 235 18.7 41.7 03: IPFT 19 1.5 3.4 04: CPI-M 197 15.7 35.1 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 6 Tripura Postpoll 2018-Findings(Weight by Demographics and Actual vote share) N (%) Valid (%) 05: CPI 1 .1 .2 06: AIFB 6 .5 1.0 08: AITC 2 .2 .3 09: INPT 3 .3 .6 91: No party 1 .1 .2 98: Can’t say/No response 68 5.4 12.0 Total 562 44.7 100.0 Missing 99: N.A. 696 55.3 Total 1258 100.0 Q7: Now let us talk about the election campaign during this election. How interested were you in the election campaign this time – a great deal, somewhat or not at all? N (%) 1: Not at all 119 9.5 2: Somewhat 175 13.9 3: Great deal 759 60.4 8: Can't say 204 16.2 Total 1258 100.0 Q8: What was the most important issue for you while deciding who to vote for in this assembly election? N (%) 01: Change/Change of government/Parivartan/removing Left from power 150 12.0 02: Stability/No change/another chance to Left government 197 15.7 03: Vote for CPM/Left 19 1.5 04: Vote against CPM/Left/defeating the Left 7 .6 05: Vote for Manik Sarkar 6 .5 07: Vote for BJP/Modi 18 1.4 08: Vote against BJP/Modi/defeating the BJP 0 .0 09: Vote for IPFT 3 .3 12: In favour of separate Twipraland state 41 3.2 14: More power and autonomy to TTAADC 2 .1 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 7 Tripura Postpoll 2018-Findings(Weight by Demographics and Actual vote share) N (%) 15: Protection of tribal identity/tribal pride 4 .3 16: Neglect of tribal issues 0 .0 19: Religion/protection of one’s religion 1 .1 21: Stopping Communalism/promoting secularism 2 .2 24: Increasing crime/deteriorating law and order 2 .1 25: Crimes against women/rape/women’s safety 0 .0 26: Insurgency 3 .2 29: Development (generally)/vikaas 301 24.0 30: Development under Left Front rule 50 4.0 31: Lack of development under Left Front rule/development did not take place 5 .4 32: Economic growth 2 .2 33: Unemployment/lack of jobs 67 5.3 34: No companies/factories/industries 1 .1 36: Non-implementation of the 7th pay commission 11 .9 37: Wages/salaries 3 .3 38: Gap between rich and poor /exploitation of poor 1 .1 39: Poverty 3 .2 41: Housing 16 1.3 44: Inflation/price rise /prices have increased 1 .1 46: Corruption (generally) 15 1.2 47: Corruption of CPM government 5 .4 50: Drinking water supply 0 .0 51: Educational facilities/school/ college/education/ teachers 5 .4 53: Good condition of roads 1 .1 54: Poor condition of roads 2 .1 55: Poor Infrastructure 1 .1 57: Railway connectivity 3 .2 58: Neglect of my area 2 .1 66: GST (generally) 2 .2 68: Unhappy with GST/poorly implemented/ unnecessary 6 .5 69: Demonetisation/notebandi (Generally) 1 .0 71: Unhappy with demonetisation/poor implemented/unnecessary 1 .1 74: Workers’/labour rights 2 .1 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 8 Tripura Postpoll 2018-Findings(Weight by Demographics and Actual vote share) N (%) 97: Any other issue not mentioned above 47 3.7 98: No Opinion/Don't know /Can’t say 247 19.6 Total 1258 100.0 Q9: During the last two- three years have you or any of your family members benefited from any Government scheme? N (%) 1: No 836 66.5 2: Yes 371 29.5 8: No response 51 4.0 Total 1258 100.0 a: (If yes in Q9 ) Which scheme did you benefit from the most? N (%) Valid (%) Valid 01: Any state government Pension scheme/programme 23 1.8 6.2 02: Group Insurance Scheme for state government 3 .2 .8 employees 03: Tripura Health Assurance scheme for poor to support 0 .0 .1 treatment expenses/financial assistance for medical treatment/free medicines 04: Mayer ghar (healthcare centres for deliveries) 6 .5 1.6 06: Scholarship for students 0 .0 .0 09: Any state government scheme for housing/awaas 75 6.0 20.2 10: Any state government scheme for BPL families 13 1.0 3.5 11: Any scheme related to livestock, animal husbandry 5 .4
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