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NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP Monday January 8th 151 ALABAMA 8:10 p.m. 152 GEORGIA

FCS CHAMPIONSHIP Saturday January 6th 367 North Dakota St BEST BETS in green High Scoring in red 12:00 p.m. 368 James Madison

GRAMBLING ST Celebration Bowl CENT MICHIGAN HHTEXAS USC 16-Dec 22-Dec 27-Dec 29-Dec N CAROLINA A&T WYOMING MISSOURI OHIO STATE H TROY TEXAS TECH ARIZONA Foster Farms Bowl LOUISVILLE Taxslayer Bowl 16-Dec 23-Dec 27-Dec 30-Dec NORTH TEXAS USF HPURDUE MISSISSIPPI ST WKU SAN DIEGO ST VIRGINIA IOWA STATE 16-Dec 23-Dec 28-Dec 30-Dec GEORGIA ST ARMY NAVY MEMPHIS BOISE ST H APPALACHIAN ST Dollar General Bowl VIRGINIA TECH Camping World Bowl WASHINGTON 16-Dec 23-Dec 28-Dec 30-Dec OREGON TOLEDO HOKLAHOMA ST H PENN STATE H MARSHALL FRESNO ST STANFORD WISCONSIN 16-Dec 24-Dec 30-Dec COLORADO ST HOUSTON TCU 28-Dec MIAMI MIDDLE TENN Camellia Bowl UTAH Heart of Dallas Bowl WASHINGTON ST MICHIGAN 16-Dec 26-Dec 28-Dec 1-Jan ARKANSAS ST WEST VIRGINIA MICHIGAN ST SOUTH CAROLINA H AKRON DUKE WAKE FOREST Belk Bowl UCF 19-Dec 26-Dec 29-Dec 1-Jan FAU NORTHERN ILLINOIS TEXAS A&M AUBURN LOUISIANA TECH HH KANSAS ST Cactus Bowl NC STATE NOTRE DAME 20-Dec 26-Dec 29-Dec 1-Jan SMU UCLA H ARIZONA ST LSU TEMPLE SOUTHERN MISS KENTUCKY GEORGIA 21-Dec 27-Dec 1-Jan H FIU FLORIDA ST NORTHWESTERN 29-Dec OKLAHOMA H H H UAB 22-Dec IOWA NEW MEXICO ST ALABAMA 27-Dec 29-Dec 1-Jan OHIO BOSTON COLLEGE UTAH STATE CLEMSON OVERALL: OVERALL: North Texas Mean Green 9-4 10-2 Troy Trojans Mean Green Logs vs. CUSA vs. SUN Trojans Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 7-2 6-1 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 98 9/2 Lamar 59-14 W 125 97 81 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 105 108 9/2 at Boise St 13-24 L 66 63 85 53 86 113 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 101 112 9/9 at SMU 32-54 L 102 98 81 31 101 127 0-1 0-0 105 9/9 Alabama St 34-7 W 98 61 85 North Texas Troy 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 100 123 9/16 at Iowa 14-31 L 85 89 58 64 24 34 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 103 105 9/16 at New Mexico St 27-24 W 80 55 102 47 99 120 1-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 101 96 9/23 UAB 46-43 W 81 89 89 115 92 112 #53 Rush Off #85 2-1 1-2 1-0 0-0 105 97 9/23 Akron 22-17 W 82 56 97 113 98 114 2-2 2-1 1-0 0-0 100 110 9/30 at Southern Miss 43-28 W 62 88 46 71 70 92 #22 Pass Off #34 3-1 3-1 1-0 0-1 104 126 25 9/30 at LSU 24-21 W 69 55 105 29 5 37 3-2 2-0 105 10/7 Bye 61 81 52 #19 Total Off #48 4-1 1-0 109 10/7 Bye 68 55 104 3-2 3-1 2-0 0-1 105 111 10/14 UTSA 29-26 W 54 80 16 67 50 42 #20 Score Off #50 4-1 1-4 1-0 0-1 109 98 10/11 South Alabama 8-19 L 71 56 107 122 86 53 4-2 3-3 3-0 2-0 107 110 10/21 at Florida Atlantic 31-69 L 54 80 27 56 95 38 #109 Sks Allowed #12 4-2 3-2 1-1 2-0 104 101 10/21 at Georgia St 34-10 W 82 53 115 114 111 116 4-3 2-5 3-1 0-3 103 95 10/28 Old Dominion 45-38 W 56 97 14 128 106 113 #107 Rush Def #14 5-2 0-6 2-1 0-2 107 87 10/28 GA Southern 38-16 W 76 43 114 126 119 35 5-3 4-4 4-1 2-2 103 107 11/4 at Louisiana Tech 24-23 W 52 103 12 75 89 85 #64 Pass Def #70 6-2 3-5 3-1 2-2 107 97 11/2 Idaho 24-21 W 68 46 113 107 114 91 6-3 0-9 5-1 0-5 105 88 11/11 UTEP 45-10 W 54 101 20 130 119 91 #97 Total Def #27 7-2 1-8 4-1 105 87 11/11 at Coastal Carolina 42-17 W 59 48 94 125 123 86 7-3 8-2 6-1 1-0 107 117 11/18 Army West Point 52-49 W 50 97 10 67 95 24 #106 Score Def #11 8-2 1-0 107 11/18 Bye 68 43 74 8-3 1-10 6-1 1-6 110 91 11/25 at Rice 30-14 W 51 107 12 113 115 119 #83 Sks By #13 8-2 2-9 1-0 1-6 107 90 11/25 Texas St 62-8 W 66 47 76 120 114 124 9-3 3-3 7-1 2-0 110 110 12/2 at Florida Atlantic 17-41 L 48 103 7 56 95 38 #50 Ypg Diff #32 9-2 7-3 2-0 6-1 111 112 12/2 at Arkansas St 32-25 W 57 47 54 39 44 33 9-4 7-2 108 12/2 Bye 78 105 7 -8 Total TO's +4 10-2 3-0 114 12/9 Bye 71 46 63 10-2 3-0 114 12/16 † Troy 71 46 63 9-4 7-2 108 12/16 † North Texas 78 105 7 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Lamar 59-14 402 16 1 31 60-436 7.3 17-24 232 2 15 33-86 2.6 20-41 180 2 at Boise St 13-24 -142 -8 -1 11 29-76 2.6 17-34 139 4 19 44-147 3.3 19-32 210 4 at SMU 32-54 0 2 -2 22 27-69 2.6 32-47 424 5 20 34-99 2.9 22-41 394 3 Alabama St 34-7 446 18 -1 32 36-257 7.1 33-42 354 0 14 32-85 2.7 15-28 80 3 at Iowa 14-31 -130 -11 0 17 17-112 6.6 18-29 193 1 28 59-238 4.0 16-27 197 1 at New Mexico St 27-24 94 8 0 26 38-190 5.0 25-41 286 1 18 17-51 3.0 32-45 331 0 UAB 46-43 153 12 0 28 44-287 6.5 15-29 261 1 16 36-74 2.1 17-36 321 4 Akron 22-17 126 1 2 24 29-179 6.2 28-42 314 1 23 35-99 2.8 20-40 268 2 at Southern Miss 43-28 125 6 -2 24 46-174 3.8 24-41 366 2 18 29-145 5.0 19-42 270 2 at LSU 24-21 -65 -5 2 16 42-206 4.9 16-28 157 3 21 29-162 5.6 21-32 266 0 Bye Bye UTSA 29-26 52 0 -1 19 32-87 2.7 20-35 354 3 19 41-174 4.2 13-25 215 1 South Alabama 8-19 75 6 -3 18 20-30 1.5 25-47 269 2 12 44-48 1.1 11-20 176 4 at Florida Atlantic 31-69 -384 -12 -3 25 33-137 4.2 31-47 283 1 37 48-447 9.3 24-35 357 0 at Georgia St 34-10 150 4 -1 20 22-122 5.5 25-36 335 0 16 33-52 1.6 25-40 255 4 Old Dominion 45-38 74 3 1 24 41-151 3.7 25-36 309 1 21 48-205 4.3 21-36 181 1 GA Southern 38-16 74 -3 1 16 30-241 8.0 10-20 142 0 19 62-227 3.7 6-12 82 1 at Louisiana Tech 24-23 100 7 -1 26 41-204 5.0 23-37 211 2 19 41-147 3.6 16-28 168 2 Idaho 24-21 17 -2 -2 20 36-183 5.1 20-31 212 1 22 32-90 2.8 24-35 288 6 UTEP 45-10 241 12 0 27 39-259 6.6 23-35 213 0 15 32-100 3.1 16-32 131 1 at Coastal Carolina 42-17 123 8 1 24 36-122 3.4 21-33 259 1 16 37-94 2.5 14-28 164 5 Army West Point 52-49 -72 0 0 25 33-103 3.1 24-36 386 2 25 67-534 8.0 1-3 27 0 Bye at Rice 30-14 101 12 0 25 44-188 4.3 18-25 195 4 13 42-175 4.2 6-16 107 3 Texas St 62-9 341 8 4 22 31-154 5.0 26-35 487 0 14 45-153 3.4 14-21 147 3 Troy Trojans Troy at Florida Atlantic 31-69 -384 -12 -3 25 33-137 4.2 31-47 283 1 37 48-447 9.3 24-35 357 0 at Arkansas St 32-25 -313 -18 2 14 25-47 1.9 23-41 246 1 32 44-169 3.8 31-50 437 4 Bye Bye † Troy † North Texas

Average 36-34 35.8 3.9 -0.6 25 38-176 4.7 63.9% 291 7.1% 21 42-208 4.9 53.3% 223 5.6% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 30-18 77.2 1.4 0.3 20 31-151 4.8 62.6% 267 3.3% 19 38-115 3.0 60.6% 225 9.4% Conference 34-32 29.6 4.9 -0.8 25 39-174 4.4 62.7% 283 7.0% 20 40-194 4.9 53.6% 234 5.7% MeanGreen Texas North Conference 33-18 70.1 1.4 0.3 20 30-136 4.6 61.6% 280 2.1% 19 39-111 2.8 62.5% 235 10.8% Away 27-37 -54.9 1.1 -1.3 24 35-138 4.0 64.2% 290 8.9% 22 42-219 5.2 55.3% 264 5.9% Home 31-15 179.8 4.7 0.2 22 30-174 5.7 65.4% 296 1.8% 17 42-117 2.8 57.7% 174 12.2% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Lamar Mason Fine 15-21-224-3-0 Jeffery Wilson 12-176-14.7-3 Michael Lawrence 3-70-23.3-1 North Texas Troy at Boise St Brandon Silvers 17-33-139-0-1 Jordan Chunn 11-41-3.7-0 Damion Willis 2-27-13.5-0 at SMU Mason Fine 32-47-424-3-2 Jeffery Wilson 13-36-2.8-1 Jalen Guyton 3-109-36.3-2 North Texas QB/WR Alabama St Brandon Silvers 32-40-345-0-1 Jamarius Henderson 8-107-13.4-2 Damion Willis 7-93-13.3-0 at Iowa Mason Fine 16-26-167-0-1 Jeffery Wilson 12-95-7.9-1 Turner Smiley 4-74-18.5-0 1.04 vs. at New Mexico St Brandon Silvers 25-41-286-1-0 Jordan Chunn 20-87-4.4-1 Deondre Douglas 7-101-14.4-0 UAB Mason Fine 15-29-261-3-0 Jeffery Wilson 26-211-8.1-1 Kelvin Smith 4-82-20.5-0 Troy DB's Akron Brandon Silvers 28-41-314-1-0 Jordan Chunn 16-106-6.6-1 Deondre Douglas 7-92-13.1-1 at Southern Miss Mason Fine 24-40-366-2-1 Jeffery Wilson 30-148-4.9-3 Jalen Guyton 14-211-15.1-1 North Texas RB's at LSU Brandon Silvers 16-28-157-0-0 Jordan Chunn 30-191-6.4-1 Deondre Douglas 3-46-15.3-0 Bye vs. 0.44 Bye UTSA Mason Fine 20-34-354-3-1 Jeffery Wilson 16-83-5.2-0 Jalen Guyton 8-182-22.8-2 Troy LB's South Alabama Brandon Silvers 24-46-263-0-1 Jordan Chunn 10-28-2.8-0 Emanuel Thompson 6-67-11.2-0 at Florida Atlantic Mason Fine 31-47-283-2-2 Jeffery Wilson 11-49-4.5-1 Michael Lawrence 11-112-10.2-0 North Texas OL at Georgia St Brandon Silvers 25-35-335-2-1 Josh Anderson 13-57-4.4-1 Tray Eafford 3-67-22.3-0 Old Dominion Mason Fine 25-36-309-1-1 Nic Smith 18-71-3.9-2 Rico Bussey 7-111-15.9-1 vs. 1.13 GA Southern Brandon Silvers 9-18-102-1-0 Josh Anderson 15-96-6.4-1 Tray Eafford 3-53-17.7-1 at Louisiana Tech Mason Fine 22-36-203-1-1 Jeffery Wilson 20-165-8.3-2 Michael Lawrence 4-47-11.8-0 Troy DL Idaho Brandon Silvers 20-30-212-1-1 Jordan Chunn 18-113-6.3-2 Damion Willis 3-60-20.0-0 UTEP Mason Fine 23-35-213-4-0 Jeffery Wilson 20-144-7.2-1 Rico Bussey 3-65-21.7-1 North Texas DL at Coastal Carolina Brandon Silvers 18-30-206-1-1 Josh Anderson 9-58-6.4-1 Deondre Douglas 3-66-22.0-1 Army West Point Mason Fine 24-36-386-4-1 Jeffery Wilson 19-72-3.8-2 Turner Smiley 3-123-41.0-2 vs. 1.20 Bye at Rice Mason Fine 18-25-195-1-1 Nic Smith 26-178-6.8-1 Rico Bussey 3-71-23.7-1 Troy OL Texas St Brandon Silvers 22-30-380-4-0 Jordan Chunn 10-80-8.0-1 Emanuel Thompson 4-97-24.3-0 at Florida Atlantic Mason Fine 28-44-356-1-2 Nic Smith 14-50-3.6-0 Rico Bussey 8-109-13.6-0 North Texas LB'S at Arkansas St Brandon Silvers 23-41-246-2-0 Jordan Chunn 13-33-2.5-0 Deondre Douglas 7-74-10.6-1 Bye vs. 0.95 Bye † Troy Troy RB's † North Texas Mason Fine 293-456-3741-28-13 Jeffery Wilson 188-1215-6.5-16 Jalen Guyton 48-764-15.9-9 North Texas DB's Brandon Silvers 259-413-2985-13-6 Jordan Chunn 153-770-5.0-10 Deondre Douglas 48-628-13.1-4 North Texas Leaders Quinn Shanbour 4-6-34-1-0 Nic Smith 131-659-5.0-6 Michael Lawrence 56-749-13.4-3 vs. 1.81 Troy Leaders Kaleb Barker 8-13-143-1-0 Josh Anderson 71-331-4.7-4 Damion Willis 31-485-15.6-1 TEAM 0-3-0-0-0 Evan Johnson 37-213-5.8-3 Rico Bussey 43-613-14.3-6 Troy QB/WR John Johnson 2-2-72-1-0 Jamarius Henderson 38-302-7.9-4 Emanuel Thompson 37-404-10.9-0 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) North Texas ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's Projected Box Score vs. 0.15 Las Vegas Line North Texas - 62.5 7 20 43-186 12-29-236 Troy ST's Troy By 7 Troy tied for the SBC title, while NT got to the CUSA title game. I give a slight Troy - -1.5 14 19 30-108 29-44-274 -1 Projected Rushing North Texas K edge at QB to Mason Fine, who improved in his 2nd year as a starter. The Mean Las Vegas Total 138 yards North Texas Troy 164 yards 2.23 vs. 62 Points Green has a slight edge at WR. Notre Dame transfer Jalen Guyton (PS#39), led Projected Passing Troy K +/- Ratings with 749 yards. NT has a good-sized edge on ST’s. NT has faced the tougher 293 yards North Texas Troy 290 yards North Texas Coaches Troy By 6.5 sked. With the Mean Green’s top RB Jeffery Wilson out, I give Troy the edge, Projected Yardage Total vs. 0.75 Game Grade 430 yards North Texas Troy 454 yards Troy Coaches Troy By 2.2 led by the schools all-time rushing leader, Jordan Chunn. Troy’s biggest edge is Projected Final Score North Texas Pts at DL. Troy has an edge at LB, DB, and HC Neal Brown is 1-0 in bowls, while Computer Yards 28 points North Texas Troy 36 points 3.27 vs. 6.43 Troy 454-430 Seth Littrell is 0-1. I give the Trojans a slight crowd edge in their second trip to Experience Rankings Troy Pts Computer Points Louisiana this year. I like Troy to win the game as they have a significant edge 74 North Texas Troy 35 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Troy 35-28 Team Schedule Strength on defense.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Troy Phil Steele 103 North Texas Troy 128 Troy by 11 By 3.16 Points Troy 38 North Texas 27 TROY (10-2) NEW Saturday,ORLEANS December 16, 2017 • 1:00 BOWL pm NORTH TEXAS (9-4) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 3-9 ESPN • Mercedez-Benz Superdome • New Orleans, LA ATS: 8-5 O/U: 7-6 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS TROY UNT 129 rush yd 171 303 pass yd 277 25 pts 36 -8 ytd to +4 #117 sked #94 CHECKLIST TROY UNT edge edge – QB 1/2 4 RB – – WR 1/2 – OL – 444 DL – 4 LB – 41/2 DB – 4 CCH – 1/2 SITE – 41/2 MTCH – – INT 4 – ST 4 4 – SKED 4 OVERALL TROY BY 4’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Georgia St Panthers 6-5 6-6 WKU Hilltoppers Panthers Logs vs. SUN vs. CUSA Hilltoppers Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 5-3 4-4 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 96 8/31 Tennessee St 10-17 L 126 112 130 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 124 9/2 Eastern Kentucky 31-17 W 52 77 2 0-1 0-0 93 9/9 Bye 124 117 130 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 104 9/9 at Illinois 7-20 L 78 74 2 96 93 99 Georgia St WKU 0-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 93 139 5 9/16 at Penn St 0-56 L 126 118 104 6 9 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 109 9/16 Louisiana Tech 22-23 L 96 79 24 74 100 42 0-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 92 91 9/23 at Charlotte 28-0 W 127 122 129 122 120 104 #117 Rush Off #130 1-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 113 103 9/23 Ball St 33-21 W 114 75 4 95 121 64 1-2 0-0 97 9/30 Bye 126 116 123 #31 Pass Off #9 2-2 0-1 113 9/30 Bye 114 74 2 1-2 0-0 97 92 10/7 at Coastal Carolina 27-21 W 125 114 129 126 126 112 #86 Total Off #65 2-2 0-5 0-1 0-1 113 88 10/7 at UTEP 15-14 W 116 72 2 130 128 76 2-2 3-2 1-0 3-0 97 101 10/14 at ULM 47-37 W 124 115 122 83 110 83 #119 Score Off #82 3-2 0-6 1-1 0-2 109 90 10/14 Charlotte 45-14 W 120 76 20 117 121 81 3-2 4-2 2-0 1-1 101 104 10/21 Troy 10-34 L 114 111 116 82 53 115 #58 Sks Allowed #125 4-2 2-4 2-1 0-2 110 93 10/20 at Old Dominion 35-31 W 108 81 19 127 104 113 3-3 3-4 2-1 2-1 98 103 10/26 South Alabama 21-13 W 117 110 118 120 80 49 #46 Rush Def #77 5-2 4-3 3-1 3-0 108 114 10/28 Florida Atlantic 28-42 L 107 92 25 43 89 30 4-3 0-7 3-1 0-3 101 87 11/4 at GA Southern 21-17 W 118 102 118 127 122 39 #93 Pass Def #37 5-3 3-5 3-2 0-5 106 112 11/4 at Vanderbilt 17-31 L 105 94 66 98 65 122 5-3 2-7 4-1 1-4 100 88 11/11 at Texas St 33-30 W 118 105 122 120 110 123 #62 Total Def #50 5-4 6-3 3-2 3-2 105 111 11/11 at Marshall 23-30 L 112 100 76 67 36 34 6-3 5-1 99 11/18 Bye 116 102 114 #55 Score Def #69 5-5 5-5 3-3 3-3 105 102 11/17 Middle Tennessee 41-38 W 112 93 83 107 83 53 6-3 6-4 5-1 5-1 99 103 11/25 Appalachian St 10-31 L 112 102 119 47 64 78 #107 Sks By #129 6-5 6-4 4-3 4-3 105 101 11/25 at FIU 17-41 L 108 95 75 89 115 71 6-4 3-8 5-2 2-5 95 95 12/2 Idaho 10-24 L 112 109 129 118 101 121 #77 Ypg Diff #58 6-6 4-4 100 12/16 Bye 109 95 89 6-5 5-3 91 12/9 Bye 116 106 128 -6 Total TO's -6 6-6 6-5 4-4 5-3 100 91 12/16 † Georgia St 110 92 90 116 106 128 6-6 4-4 100 12/16 † WKU 110 92 90 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Tennessee St 10-17 -110 -7 -4 14 29-49 1.7 18-23 224 3 21 42-238 5.7 12-25 145 1 Eastern Kentucky 31-17 19 -2 -1 20 40-100 2.5 20-31 264 4 22 22-25 1.1 29-48 320 1 Bye at Illinois 7-20 -56 -5 -1 14 16-6 0.4 28-43 238 2 19 50-193 3.9 14-25 107 1 at Penn St 0-56 -206 2 -5 21 49-150 3.1 18-32 170 3 19 24-166 6.9 21-29 360 1 Louisiana Tech 22-23 -61 3 1 23 41-141 3.4 25-35 226 4 20 30-122 4.1 22-39 306 1 at Charlotte 28-0 96 8 3 22 40-119 3.0 26-37 250 0 14 34-94 2.8 16-29 179 1 Ball St 33-21 -3 5 1 22 30-52 1.7 28-44 319 4 17 31-107 3.5 18-36 267 1 Bye Bye at Coastal Carolina 27-21 -2 5 -1 22 40-91 2.3 18-30 273 1 17 32-127 4.0 18-26 239 2 at UTEP 15-14 -5 3 0 18 33-74 2.2 24-37 208 2 15 36-163 4.5 12-22 124 0 at ULM 47-37 239 12 1 31 41-224 5.5 26-35 446 1 19 37-117 3.2 23-37 314 7 Charlotte 45-14 318 25 0 34 34-121 3.6 43-58 506 2 9 34-248 7.3 9-19 61 2 Troy 10-34 -150 -4 1 16 33-52 1.6 25-40 255 4 20 22-122 5.5 25-36 335 0 at Old Dominion 35-31 -32 3 2 23 33-73 2.2 25-35 343 3 20 48-268 5.6 17-25 180 0 South Alabama 21-13 -29 1 1 16 34-114 3.4 17-31 195 0 15 23-41 1.8 27-48 297 1 Florida Atlantic 28-42 9 11 -3 32 33-99 3.0 32-56 371 2 21 55-368 6.7 10-24 93 0 at GA Southern 21-17 32 -4 2 15 24-49 2.0 22-37 319 4 19 50-189 3.8 22-28 147 0 at Vanderbilt 17-31 -45 3 0 22 30--6 -0.2 33-53 355 6 19 35-174 5.0 14-21 220 1 at Texas St 33-30 140 -2 -1 21 41-162 4.0 26-40 368 2 23 25-75 3.0 35-55 315 1 at Marshall 23-30 34 -1 -1 21 19-34 1.8 28-42 334 3 22 49-144 2.9 17-28 190 2 Bye Middle Tennessee 41-38 107 -2 -1 25 33-53 1.6 39-54 485 5 27 33-137 4.2 27-46 294 1 Appalachian St 10-31 -138 -6 1 14 26-91 3.5 22-35 201 2 20 46-323 7.0 15-23 107 0 at FIU 17-41 28 5 -3 23 28-46 1.6 30-49 355 5 18 34-122 3.6 18-27 251 0 Idaho 10-24 60 8 -4 26 39-164 4.2 27-45 271 3 18 40-147 3.7 16-30 228 4 Bye Bye WKUHilltoppers † Georgia St

† WKU PanthersSt Georgia

Average 20-25 -6.2 1.2 -0.5 20 36-115 3.2 63.6% 270 6.0% 19 34-149 4.4 62.8% 242 4.9% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 26-27 26.1 4.0 -0.5 23 31-66 2.1 66.1% 334 7.8% 19 38-173 4.5 57.5% 201 2.8% Conference 22-26 19.0 1.3 0.0 20 35-118 3.4 62.5% 291 5.8% 19 34-143 4.1 64.0% 248 5.3% Conference 28-29 49.8 5.9 -0.6 25 32-80 2.5 67.2% 354 7.1% 19 40-197 4.9 57.4% 187 2.6% Away 26-27 49.8 3.5 -0.2 22 39-133 3.4 64.5% 304 5.2% 19 34-128 3.8 66.2% 259 5.9% Home 33-26 64.8 6.7 -0.5 26 35-94 2.7 67.3% 362 7.6% 19 34-168 4.9 54.2% 224 2.8% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Tennessee St Conner Manning 14-17-159-0-0 Taz Bateman 11-31-2.8-0 Taz Bateman 6-74-12.3-1 Georgia St WKU Eastern Kentucky 20-31-264-1-0 Marquez Trigg 16-61-3.8-1 Lucky Jackson 5-144-28.8-1 Bye Georgia St QB/WR at Illinois Mike White 28-43-238-0-1 D'Andre Ferby 7-14-2.0-0 Nacarius Fant 10-110-11.0-0 at Penn St Conner Manning 16-29-133-0-3 Taz Bateman 29-100-3.4-0 Penny Hart 7-56-8.0-0 0.87 vs. Louisiana Tech Mike White 25-35-226-0-0 Quinton Baker 19-79-4.2-1 Xavier Lane 5-54-10.8-0 at Charlotte Conner Manning 26-37-250-1-0 Glenn Smith 31-90-2.9-2 Penny Hart 11-141-12.8-1 WKU DB's Ball St Mike White 28-44-319-1-2 Jakairi Moses 12-56-4.7-1 Xavier Lane 6-86-14.3-0 Bye Georgia St RB's Bye at Coastal Carolina Glenn Smith 0-0-0-0-0 Tra Barnett 0-0-0.0-0 Tra Barnett 0-0-0.0-0 vs. 0.68 at UTEP Mike White 24-37-208-0-0 Jakairi Moses 19-50-2.6-0 Lucky Jackson 3-56-18.7-0 at ULM Conner Manning 18-30-273-1-1 Glenn Smith 23-74-3.2-0 Penny Hart 8-132-16.5-1 WKU LB's Charlotte Mike White 33-47-398-5-0 Quinton Baker 14-74-5.3-0 Kylen Towner 6-111-18.5-1 Troy Conner Manning 26-35-446-4-0 Kyler Neal 14-65-4.6-1 Penny Hart 11-190-17.3-3 Georgia St OL at Old Dominion Mike White 24-34-304-5-1 Quinton Baker 14-48-3.4-0 Quin Jernighan 6-81-13.5-1 South Alabama Conner Manning 25-40-255-1-1 Glenn Smith 11-19-1.7-0 Tamir Jones 5-75-15.0-0 vs. 0.04 Florida Atlantic Mike White 32-56-371-2-2 Jakairi Moses 11-42-3.8-0 Cameron Echols-Luper 6-70-11.7-1 at GA Southern Conner Manning 17-31-195-2-0 Glenn Smith 17-73-4.3-0 Penny Hart 6-98-16.3-1 WKU DL at Vanderbilt Mike White 31-50-324-0-0 D'Andre Ferby 12-19-1.6-0 Lucky Jackson 7-135-19.3-0 at Texas St Conner Manning 22-37-319-2-1 Glenn Smith 11-49-4.5-0 Penny Hart 8-191-23.9-1 Georgia St DL at Marshall Mike White 28-41-334-3-1 D'Andre Ferby 13-39-3.0-0 Cameron Echols-Luper 9-99-11.0-1 Bye Conner Manning 26-40-368-2-0 Glenn Smith 22-98-4.5-0 Devin Gentry 3-120-40.0-2 0.68 vs. Middle Tennessee Mike White 39-54-485-5-0 D'Andre Ferby 21-64-3.0-0 Lucky Jackson 5-109-21.8-1 Appalachian St Conner Manning 22-35-201-0-1 Tra Barnett 5-42-8.4-0 Penny Hart 5-61-12.2-0 WKU OL at FIU Mike White 30-49-355-2-0 D'Andre Ferby 12-54-4.5-0 Cameron Echols-Luper 8-101-12.6-0 Idaho Conner Manning 27-44-271-0-0 Glenn Smith 18-79-4.4-1 Tamir Jones 6-82-13.7-0 Georgia St LB'S Bye Bye 0.41 vs. † Georgia St † WKU WKU RB's Conner Manning 239-375-2870-13-7 Glenn Smith 147-521-3.5-3 Penny Hart 73-1094-15.0-8 Georgia St DB's Mike White 342-521-3826-24-7 D'Andre Ferby 112-362-3.2-3 Nacarius Fant 67-634-9.5-4 Georgia St Leaders Aaron Winchester 6-9-102-1-1 Kyler Neal 61-181-3.0-4 Glenn Smith 43-342-8.0-1 vs. 2.66 WKU Leaders Drew Eckels 8-11-86-0-1 Jakairi Moses 60-249-4.2-2 Lucky Jackson 37-592-16.0-3 Glenn Smith 0-1-0-0-1 Taz Bateman 52-180-3.5-0 Tamir Jones 30-328-10.9-0 WKU QB/WR Nacarius Fant 2-2-51-1-0 Quinton Baker 65-233-3.6-1 Deon Yelder 47-576-12.3-5 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Georgia St ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's Projected Box Score vs. 2.08 Las Vegas Line WKU - -18.5 44 25 46-203 18-29-241 WKU ST's Wku By 6.5 Georgia St - 57 28 18 27-85 26-41-325 0 Projected Rushing Georgia St K Both teams got here by beating bad teams as WKU defeated teams that were a Las Vegas Total 120 yards Georgia St WKU 51 yards vs. 0.18 53.5 Points combined 18-53, while GSt vanquished foes that combined for a 16-56 record. Projected Passing WKU K +/- Ratings While both teams come in with 6 wins, the Panthers losses were by an avg of 246 yards Georgia St WKU 373 yards Georgia St Coaches Wku By 9.0 29 ppg vs FBS foes. WKU avg just 326 ypg and 21.6 ppg their F/5 games, but Projected Yardage Total vs. Game Grade 366 yards Georgia St WKU 424 yards WKU Coaches Wku By 3.2 over the L/7 games, improved to 453 ypg and 29.4 ppg. WKU has the edge on Projected Final Score Georgia St Pts OFF, D, and ST’s and needs a win to avoid a losing season. GSt is 6-5 and just Computer Yards 21 points Georgia St WKU 26 points 1.96 vs. 5.65 Wku 424-366 happy to be in a bowl. WKU was +23 ypg vs the 5 bowl teams they faced, while Experience Rankings WKU Pts Computer Points GSt was -165 ypg vs the 3 bowl teams they faced. 18 Georgia St WKU 80 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Wku 26-21 Team Schedule Strength

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto WKU Phil Steele 126 Georgia St WKU 127 WKU by 11 By 3.68 Points WKU 28 Georgia St 17 WKU (6-6) Saturday,CURE December BOWL 16, 2017 • 2:30 pm GEORGIA ST (6-5) ATS: 4-8 O/U: 7-5 CBS • Camping World • Orlando, FL ATS: 4-6-1 O/U: 3-8 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WKU GST 55 rush yd 131 387 pass yd 245 27 pts 21 -6 ytd to -7 #128 sked #124 CHECKLIST WKU GST edge edge 4 QB – – RB – 4 WR – – OL 4 – DL – 4 LB – 4 1/2 DB – – CCH – – SITE – – MTCH – – INT – 4 4 ST – – SKED – OVERALL WKU BY 5’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Oregon Ducks 7-5 10-3 Boise St Broncos Ducks Logs vs. PAC 12 vs. MTW Broncos Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 4-5 8-1 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 123 9/2 Southern Utah 77-21 W 8 42 19 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 108 105 9/2 Troy 24-13 W 53 86 113 66 63 85 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 128 115 9/9 Nebraska 42-35 W 1 37 19 50 32 42 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 124 20 9/9 at Washington St 44-47 L 66 62 113 18 50 73 Oregon Boise St 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 127 107 9/16 at Wyoming 49-13 W 1 34 19 114 102 123 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 111 103 9/14 New Mexico 28-14 W 69 45 71 65 104 13 3-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 130 113 24 9/23 at Arizona St 35-37 L 3 32 59 60 61 106 #8 Rush Off #90 2-1 2-1 1-0 0-0 111 108 9/22 Virginia 23-42 L 76 45 49 90 60 105 3-1 3-1 0-1 0-1 126 119 9/30 California 45-24 W 5 25 59 83 46 83 #97 Pass Off #44 2-2 1-0 106 9/30 Bye 88 61 47 4-1 5-0 1-1 2-0 128 127 11 10/7 Washington St 10-38 L 6 19 50 27 38 61 #25 Total Off #64 2-2 1-4 1-0 0-3 106 102 10/6 at BYU 24-7 W 88 62 54 119 61 91 4-2 4-2 1-2 3-1 123 132 23 10/14 at Stanford 7-49 L 8 17 43 5 32 6 #18 Score Off #38 3-2 6-0 1-0 2-0 111 122 19 10/14 at San Diego St 31-14 W 94 59 14 85 53 34 4-3 3-3 1-3 1-2 119 116 10/21 at UCLA 14-31 L 14 20 68 15 58 86 #45 Sks Allowed #80 4-2 4-2 2-0 2-0 116 109 10/21 Wyoming 24-14 W 93 48 7 122 88 72 4-4 4-3 1-4 1-3 115 120 10/28 Utah 41-20 W 19 22 76 50 29 13 #26 Rush Def #20 5-2 4-4 3-0 2-2 119 111 10/28 at Utah St 41-14 W 94 51 7 101 94 3 5-4 7-1 2-4 4-1 120 136 12 11/4 at Washington 3-38 L 16 20 84 28 4 37 #76 Pass Def #44 6-2 1-7 4-0 1-3 123 104 11/4 Nevada 41-14 W 83 44 6 88 119 111 5-5 2-5 117 11/11 Bye 20 25 98 #41 Total Def #23 7-2 6-4 5-0 4-2 124 112 11/11 at Colorado St 59-52 W 75 52 5 31 105 46 5-5 7-3 2-5 5-2 117 126 11/18 Arizona 48-28 W 19 25 103 6 67 75 #77 Score Def #35 8-2 4-6 6-0 3-3 124 106 11/18 Air Force 44-19 W 59 60 1 63 124 68 6-5 1-10 3-5 0-8 122 104 11/25 Oregon St 69-10 W 18 21 93 95 110 98 #23 Sks By #31 9-2 8-3 7-0 6-1 124 113 25 11/25 at Fresno St 17-28 L 58 60 7 76 70 47 7-5 4-5 126 12/2 Bye 14 20 92 #23 Ypg Diff #38 9-3 8-3 7-1 6-1 120 113 25 12/2 Fresno St 17-14 W 58 61 10 76 70 47 7-5 10-3 4-5 8-1 126 120 12/16 † Boise St 10 20 92 73 58 12 +1 Total TO's +12 10-3 8-1 120 25 12/9 Bye 73 58 12 7-5 4-5 126 25 12/16 † Oregon 10 20 92 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Southern Utah 77-21 338 12 0 37 52-348 6.7 23-27 355 1 25 38-99 2.6 25-48 266 5 Troy 24-13 142 8 1 19 44-147 3.3 19-32 210 4 11 29-76 2.6 17-34 139 4 Nebraska 42-35 205 3 2 22 44-201 4.6 25-33 365 0 19 29-109 3.8 19-41 252 2 at Washington St 44-47 -54 -6 -1 19 44-164 3.7 19-28 237 4 25 27-22 0.8 49-67 433 5 at Wyoming 49-13 375 22 -1 32 65-307 4.7 18-30 251 2 10 32-117 3.7 10-25 66 2 New Mexico 28-14 -13 -6 2 12 32-127 4.0 15-19 137 1 18 51-198 3.9 8-16 79 1 at Arizona St 35-37 -88 -3 0 20 30-120 4.0 19-35 281 2 23 53-142 2.7 24-39 347 4 Virginia 23-42 -57 1 -1 22 24-30 1.3 28-53 353 4 21 40-167 4.2 19-29 273 1 California 45-24 196 7 1 24 56-328 5.9 17-22 131 0 17 29-8 0.3 23-43 255 7 Bye Washington St 10-33 -92 -7 -1 13 45-132 2.9 15-27 145 4 20 25-87 3.5 24-42 282 4 at BYU 24-7 62 7 1 19 47-158 3.4 13-20 142 0 12 23-66 2.9 20-37 172 1 at Stanford 7-49 -195 -13 -1 12 43-276 6.4 5-13 33 2 25 41-248 6.0 21-28 256 0 at San Diego St 31-14 -12 -1 1 15 34-186 5.5 14-23 125 0 16 39-83 2.1 12-27 240 5 at UCLA 14-31 -88 2 -2 24 62-246 4.0 8-15 74 4 22 37-142 3.8 21-36 266 2 Wyoming 24-14 101 6 2 21 43-166 3.9 18-24 177 3 15 34-111 3.3 12-27 131 4 Utah 41-20 32 -1 0 19 49-347 7.1 10-13 69 2 20 30-91 3.0 25-43 293 4 at Utah St 41-14 254 14 0 27 45-163 3.6 24-34 370 3 13 27-93 3.4 18-34 186 0 at Washington 3-38 -173 -3 -1 16 55-247 4.5 7-13 31 2 19 39-247 6.3 11-19 204 0 Nevada 41-14 177 7 3 24 35-140 4.0 25-34 339 0 17 29-142 4.9 24-37 160 1 Bye at Colorado St 59-52 71 0 0 33 39-310 7.9 23-45 331 2 33 52-261 5.0 29-43 309 2 Arizona 48-28 258 -3 1 24 50-353 7.1 14-21 235 1 27 45-171 3.8 18-35 159 2 Air Force 44-19 132 1 3 19 29-90 3.1 18-26 338 0 18 51-181 3.5 7-13 115 4 Oregon St 69-10 366 13 3 28 49-311 6.3 16-26 266 1 15 36-98 2.7 12-23 113 0 at Fresno St 17-28 -30 1 0 19 31-107 3.5 25-36 294 2 18 30-99 3.3 23-36 332 0

Bye Ducks Oregon Fresno St 17-28 -30 1 0 19 31-107 3.5 25-36 294 2 18 30-99 3.3 23-36 332 0

† Boise St Boise St Broncos Bye † Oregon

Average 37-28 94.5 2.4 0.1 23 50-268 5.4 64.4% 186 7.6% 20 36-130 3.6 55.2% 230 7.6% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 32-22 63.7 2.5 0.9 21 37-146 3.9 63.5% 254 6.7% 18 36-126 3.5 58.5% 211 6.9% Conference 30-30 24.0 -0.9 0.0 20 49-262 5.4 60.0% 141 9.7% 21 37-137 3.7 58.1% 242 7.5% Conference 34-20 81.7 2.4 1.3 21 36-155 4.3 65.6% 263 5.5% 19 39-145 3.8 55.8% 192 7.1% Away 22-34 -33.8 1.0 -1.0 21 51-239 4.7 53.8% 134 11.3% 20 40-179 4.4 59.2% 228 5.4% Home 31-19 80.3 2.8 1.7 20 35-117 3.4 65.4% 259 6.4% 17 39-146 3.7 55.8% 150 9.6% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Southern Utah Justin Herbert 17-21-281-1-0 Royce Freeman 23-150-6.5-4 Charles Nelson 5-99-19.8-0 Oregon Boise St Troy Brett Rypien 13-23-160-0-1 Alex Mattison 13-82-6.3-1 Cedrick Wilson 4-65-16.3-0 Nebraska Justin Herbert 25-33-365-3-1 Royce Freeman 29-153-5.3-2 Charles Nelson 8-117-14.6-1 Oregon QB/WR at Washington St Montell Cozart 12-20-161-2-1 Montell Cozart 14-72-5.1-1 Cedrick Wilson 9-147-16.3-2 at Wyoming Justin Herbert 18-29-251-1-1 Royce Freeman 30-157-5.2-3 Dillon Mitchell 6-65-10.8-0 1.47 vs. New Mexico Montell Cozart 15-19-137-2-0 Montell Cozart 9-71-7.9-1 Cedrick Wilson 3-64-21.3-0 at Arizona St Justin Herbert 19-35-281-3-0 Royce Freeman 15-81-5.4-1 Jacob Breeland 4-95-23.8-0 Boise St DB's Virginia Brett Rypien 24-42-285-0-1 Robert Mahone 3-21-7.0-0 Cedrick Wilson 13-209-16.1-1 California Justin Herbert 7-8-86-1-0 Kani Benoit 18-138-7.7-2 Brenden Schooler 1-37-37.0-1 Oregon RB's Bye Washington St Braxton Burmeister 15-27-145-1-2 Royce Freeman 12-62-5.2-0 Brenden Schooler 5-61-12.2-0 2.52 vs. at BYU Brett Rypien 12-19-125-1-1 Alex Mattison 29-118-4.1-2 Cedrick Wilson 3-43-14.3-0 at Stanford Braxton Burmeister 3-8-23-0-2 Royce Freeman 18-143-7.9-0 Brenden Schooler 2-15-7.5-0 Boise St LB's at San Diego St Brett Rypien 11-19-72-1-0 Alex Mattison 23-128-5.6-1 Cedrick Wilson 2-60-30.0-0 at UCLA Braxton Burmeister 8-15-74-0-1 Royce Freeman 29-160-5.5-0 Charles Nelson 4-40-10.0-0 Oregon OL Wyoming Brett Rypien 12-17-104-0-0 Alex Mattison 17-91-5.4-0 Cedrick Wilson 5-66-13.2-1 Utah Braxton Burmeister 9-12-47-1-0 Royce Freeman 20-139-7.0-0 Jacob Breeland 1-22-22.0-1 0.86 vs. at Utah St Brett Rypien 19-27-260-3-0 Alex Mattison 19-110-5.8-0 Cedrick Wilson 6-94-15.7-1 at Washington Braxton Burmeister 7-13-31-0-1 Royce Freeman 24-122-5.1-0 Charles Nelson 4-18-4.5-0 Boise St DL Nevada Brett Rypien 20-27-258-2-0 Alex Mattison 12-64-5.3-2 Cedrick Wilson 5-80-16.0-1 Bye Oregon DL at Colorado St Brett Rypien 23-43-331-4-1 Alex Mattison 23-242-10.5-3 Cedrick Wilson 3-73-24.3-0 Arizona Justin Herbert 14-21-235-1-1 Royce Freeman 19-135-7.1-4 Charles Nelson 4-74-18.5-0 1.02 vs. Air Force Brett Rypien 16-22-300-3-0 Alex Mattison 17-42-2.5-0 AJ Richardson 3-123-41.0-1 Oregon St Justin Herbert 13-23-251-3-0 Royce Freeman 19-122-6.4-2 Dillon Mitchell 6-119-19.8-2 Boise St OL at Fresno St Brett Rypien 22-31-278-0-0 Alex Mattison 15-63-4.2-1 Cedrick Wilson 7-134-19.1-0 Bye Oregon LB'S Fresno St Brett Rypien 16-30-246-0-0 Ryan Wolpin 11-50-4.5-1 Cedrick Wilson 8-148-18.5-0 † Boise St 1.95 vs. Bye Boise St RB's † Oregon Justin Herbert 113-170-1750-13-3 Royce Freeman 244-1475-6.0-16 Charles Nelson 30-392-13.1-1 Oregon DB's Brett Rypien 195-308-2495-14-4 Alex Mattison 209-1074-5.1-12 Cedrick Wilson 73-1290-17.7-6 Oregon Leaders Braxton Burmeister 44-77-330-2-6 Kani Benoit 80-573-7.2-10 Dillon Mitchell 33-374-11.3-4 vs. 0.02 Boise St Leaders Montell Cozart 61-95-767-10-1 Ryan Wolpin 99-377-3.8-4 AJ Richardson 33-494-15.0-2 Taylor Alie 19-27-134-0-1 Tony Brooks-James 86-485-5.6-2 Jacob Breeland 17-311-18.3-5 Boise St QB/WR Cedrick Wilson 2-2-46-0-0 Montell Cozart 86-361-4.2-4 Jake Roh 39-410-10.5-9 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Oregon ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Projected Box Score vs. 2.27 Las Vegas Line BSt got off to a slow start this year. Their OFF avg just 337 ypg the F/7 games. Over Boise St ST's Oregon By 7 the L/6 games, BSt improved to 474 ypg overall and won the MWC. Top RB Alex Projected Rushing Oregon K Las Vegas Total 236 yards Oregon Boise St 111 yards vs. 0.23 61 Points Mattison inj’d his ankle and is questionable. BSt’s top WR is the dangerous Cedrick Projected Passing Boise St K Wilson and that is the only position that they have an edge on OFF or D. BSt does +/- Ratings 198 yards Oregon Boise St 239 yards Oregon Coaches Oregon By 5.0 have a veteran HC in Bryan Harsin, who is 2-1 in bowls. Oregon HC Willie Taggart left Projected Yardage Total vs. 0.25 Game Grade for FSU, but the new HC was already on staff in Mario Cristobal. He is 1-1 in bowls. 434 yards Oregon Boise St 350 yards Boise St Coaches Oregon By 5.0 While BSt has the edge statistically on D, the Ducks took on much more potent OFF’s. Projected Final Score Oregon Pts Computer Yards I give Oregon a small edge on the DL with good sized edges at LB and DB. The 34 points Oregon Boise St 27 points 7.82 vs. 2.77 Oregon 434-350 biggest wild card is QB Justin Herbert, who started the F/5 games, but was inj’d and Experience Rankings Boise St Pts Computer Points missed 5. Without Herbert, Oregon avg just 15 ppg, but in his 7 games they avg an 21 Oregon Boise St 119 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Oregon 34-27 Team Schedule Strength amazing 52.1 ppg! I like Oregon to win the game.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Oregon Phil Steele 63 Oregon Boise St 77 Oregon by 7 By 5.05 Points Oregon 34 Boise St 27 BOISE STATE (10-3) LASSaturday, VEGAS December 16, 2017 BOWL • 3:30 pm OREGON (7-5) ATS: 7-6 O/U: 5-8 ABC • Sam Boyd Stadium • Las Vegas, NV ATS: 6-6 O/U: 8-4 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS BOISE OREG 109 rush yd 250 244 pass yd 191 26 pts +35 +12 ytd to +1 #68 sked #58 CHECKLIST BOISE OREG edge edge – QB 4 – RB 44 1/2 1/2 WR – – OL 44 – DL 1/2 – LB 41/2 – DB 41/2 41/2 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH 444 41/2 INT – 44 ST – – SKED 4 OVERALL OREGON BY 7’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Marshall Thundering Herd 7-5 7-5 Colorado St Rams Thundering Herd Logs vs. CUSA vs. MTW Rams Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 4-4 5-3 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 99 116 9/2 Miami, OH 31-26 W 86 44 55 97 79 92 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 120 8/26 Oregon St 58-27 W 42 95 47 59 64 104 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 104 122 9/9 at NC State 20-37 L 93 43 55 29 19 36 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 118 9/1 † Colorado 3-17 L 52 96 47 32 71 94 Marshall Colorado St 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 104 101 9/16 Kent St 21-0 W 92 46 12 129 122 46 1-1 0-0 120 9/9 Abilene Christian 38-10 W 53 96 62 2-1 0-0 106 9/23 Bye 91 47 22 #104 Rush Off #29 2-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 119 142 1 9/16 at Alabama 23-41 L 61 93 29 4 1 28 2-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 106 111 9/30 at Cincinnati 38-21 W 95 54 17 111 89 91 #57 Pass Off #24 2-2 0-0 119 9/23 Bye 60 93 36 3-1 0-5 0-0 0-1 110 89 10/7 at Charlotte 14-3 W 93 51 38 114 121 114 #94 Total Off #10 2-2 2-2 0-0 0-1 121 98 9/30 at Hawaii 51-21 W 44 94 39 57 119 130 4-1 2-3 1-0 0-1 109 96 10/14 Old Dominion 35-3 W 86 44 32 126 99 89 #81 Score Off #29 3-2 3-2 1-0 1-0 122 111 10/7 at Utah St 27-14 W 38 87 59 104 104 29 5-1 3-4 2-0 1-2 112 102 10/20 at Middle Tennessee 38-10 W 77 34 40 104 77 55 #2 Sks Allowed #2 4-2 1-5 2-0 1-1 118 100 10/14 Nevada 44-42 W 31 86 45 107 106 109 6-1 4-2 3-0 2-1 116 101 10/28 FIU 30-41 L 74 28 29 96 111 62 #19 Rush Def #86 5-2 3-3 3-0 1-2 117 107 10/20 at New Mexico 27-24 W 31 91 52 76 99 53 6-2 5-3 3-1 4-0 111 116 11/3 at Florida Atlantic 25-30 L 66 38 30 43 85 17 #47 Pass Def #96 6-2 3-4 4-0 2-2 112 108 10/28 Air Force 28-45 L 30 99 47 53 125 40 6-3 5-4 3-2 3-2 111 105 11/11 WKU 30-23 W 67 36 34 112 100 76 #25 Total Def #91 6-3 5-3 4-1 3-1 112 113 11/4 at Wyoming 13-16 L 33 102 46 124 69 64 7-3 5-4 4-2 2-4 111 105 11/18 at UTSA 7-9 L 72 37 19 85 49 30 #17 Score Def #73 6-4 7-2 4-2 5-0 112 124 11/11 Boise St 52-59 L 31 105 46 75 52 5 7-4 7-4 4-3 5-2 109 104 11/25 Southern Miss 27-28 L 77 35 15 45 67 62 #48 Sks By #61 6-5 1-10 4-3 0-6 111 80 11/18 San Jose St 42-14 W 26 97 54 121 128 45 7-5 4-4 107 12/2 Bye 77 38 17 #54 Ypg Diff #33 7-5 5-3 111 11/25 Bye 27 100 53 7-5 7-5 4-4 5-3 107 111 12/16 † Colorado St 87 37 17 24 101 53 -6 Total TO's 0 7-5 7-5 5-3 4-4 111 107 12/16 † Marshall 24 101 53 87 37 17

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Miami, OH 31-26 -162 -10 0 15 25-59 2.4 20-30 208 1 25 42-131 3.1 23-44 298 2 Oregon St 58-27 69 8 3 31 43-191 4.4 26-39 334 0 23 29-152 5.2 27-47 304 1 at NC State 20-37 -34 -5 -2 18 25-101 4.0 26-43 350 1 23 33-144 4.4 29-36 341 2 † Colorado 3-17 52 4 -1 23 33-88 2.7 24-47 309 2 19 38-143 3.8 21-29 202 5 Kent St 21-0 122 9 0 23 33-158 4.8 23-43 223 0 14 44-142 3.2 7-17 117 7 Abilene Christian 38-10 272 12 0 30 38-268 7.1 25-40 337 0 18 26-62 2.4 26-45 271 1 Bye at Alabama 23-41 -96 -1 -2 22 40-144 3.6 21-38 247 0 23 39-239 6.1 13-21 248 0 at Cincinnati 38-21 17 1 2 22 44-133 3.0 21-34 233 0 21 26-138 5.3 22-45 211 0 Bye at Charlotte 14-3 192 14 -1 23 42-212 5.0 19-28 192 0 9 26-80 3.1 10-26 132 2 at Hawaii 51-21 98 4 1 25 37-259 7.0 18-22 351 0 21 21-150 7.1 31-47 362 1 Old Dominion 35-3 174 5 2 18 40-195 4.9 12-23 176 1 13 36-81 2.3 14-27 116 3 at Utah St 27-14 297 15 0 29 52-216 4.2 22-31 293 0 14 29-63 2.2 18-34 149 7 at Middle Tennessee 38-10 93 6 2 21 45-198 4.4 16-24 168 0 15 31-53 1.7 14-33 220 6 Nevada 44-42 44 0 -1 23 34-224 6.6 26-37 384 0 23 31-56 1.8 25-42 508 1 FIU 30-41 104 8 -3 29 29-142 4.9 33-52 363 0 21 48-224 4.7 14-18 177 1 at New Mexico 27-24 -39 2 1 23 35-180 5.1 17-33 231 1 21 48-318 6.6 7-19 132 2 at Florida Atlantic 25-30 28 4 -4 21 41-128 3.1 20-39 253 1 17 45-189 4.2 12-18 164 0 Air Force 28-45 -42 -8 -2 22 23-166 7.2 17-31 269 1 30 74-413 5.6 2-4 64 0 WKU 30-23 -34 1 1 22 49-144 2.9 17-28 190 2 21 19-34 1.8 28-42 334 3 at Wyoming 13-16 51 0 1 18 55-235 4.3 8-14 110 2 18 34-156 4.6 10-20 138 1 at UTSA 7-9 -126 -11 -1 12 23-40 1.7 16-23 189 1 23 39-88 2.3 26-39 267 1 Boise St 52-59 -71 0 0 33 52-261 5.0 29-43 309 2 33 39-310 7.9 23-45 331 2 Southern Miss 27-28 11 1 -2 23 26-74 2.8 26-44 308 1 22 45-201 4.5 16-35 170 0 San Jose St 42-14 267 10 0 26 45-301 6.7 26-32 305 0 16 33-131 4.0 17-33 208 3 Bye Bye

† Colorado St RamsSt Colorado † Marshall

Average 26-19 32.1 1.9 -0.5 21 35-132 3.8 60.6% 238 1.9% 19 36-125 3.5 56.6% 212 7.1% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 34-28 75.2 3.8 0.0 25 41-211 5.2 63.6% 290 2.0% 22 37-183 5.0 57.0% 243 6.2%

Conference 26-18 55.3 3.5 -0.8 21 37-142 3.8 60.9% 230 2.3% 18 36-119 3.3 56.3% 198 6.7% MarshallThundering Herd Conference 36-29 75.6 2.9 0.0 25 42-230 5.5 67.1% 282 2.5% 22 39-200 5.2 54.5% 237 7.0% Away 24-18 28.3 1.5 -0.7 20 37-135 3.7 61.8% 231 1.6% 18 33-115 3.5 57.4% 223 5.6% Home 44-33 89.8 3.7 0.0 28 39-235 6.0 67.1% 323 1.4% 24 39-187 4.8 55.6% 281 3.7% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Miami, OH Chase Litton 20-30-208-1-1 Trey Rodriguez 18-54-3.0-0 Willie Johnson 7-88-12.6-0 Marshall Colorado St Oregon St Nick Stevens 26-39-334-3-1 Dalyn Dawkins 15-67-4.5-1 Michael Gallup 11-134-12.2-0 at NC State Chase Litton 26-43-350-2-1 Keion Davis 8-74-9.3-0 Tyre Brady 11-248-22.5-1 Marshall QB/WR † Colorado Nick Stevens 24-47-309-0-2 Dalyn Dawkins 14-43-3.1-0 Detrich Clark 5-72-14.4-0 Kent St Chase Litton 23-43-223-1-1 Tyler King 14-101-7.2-1 Marcel Williams 8-79-9.9-1 1.82 vs. Abilene Christian Nick Stevens 25-40-342-3-1 Izzy Matthews 12-94-7.8-0 Michael Gallup 10-108-10.8-1 Bye Colorado St DB's at Alabama Nick Stevens 21-38-247-2-2 Dalyn Dawkins 10-59-5.9-0 Michael Gallup 4-70-17.5-0 at Cincinnati Chase Litton 21-34-233-4-0 Keion Davis 20-93-4.7-1 Ryan Yurachek 6-77-12.8-3 Marshall RB's Bye at Charlotte Chase Litton 19-28-192-2-0 Keion Davis 23-122-5.3-0 Tyre Brady 6-88-14.7-2 0.49 vs. at Hawaii Nick Stevens 18-22-351-4-0 Dalyn Dawkins 17-130-7.6-1 Michael Gallup 8-212-26.5-1 Old Dominion Chase Litton 12-23-176-3-0 Tyler King 13-77-5.9-1 Tyre Brady 5-76-15.2-2 Colorado St LB's at Utah St Nick Stevens 22-31-293-2-0 Dalyn Dawkins 21-121-5.8-0 Michael Gallup 7-88-12.6-0 at Middle Tennessee Chase Litton 16-24-168-0-0 Tyler King 23-129-5.6-2 Willie Johnson 3-55-18.3-0 Marshall OL Nevada Nick Stevens 26-37-384-4-0 Dalyn Dawkins 17-191-11.2-1 Michael Gallup 13-263-20.2-3 FIU Chase Litton 33-52-363-3-2 Keion Davis 11-85-7.7-0 Tyre Brady 9-101-11.2-1 0.64 vs. at New Mexico Nick Stevens 17-33-231-2-0 Izzy Matthews 21-116-5.5-1 Olabisi Johnson 5-77-15.4-1 at Florida Atlantic Chase Litton 20-39-253-2-4 Tyler King 22-72-3.3-0 Marcel Williams 4-122-30.5-0 Colorado St DL Air Force Nick Stevens 17-31-269-2-3 Dalyn Dawkins 13-141-10.8-1 Michael Gallup 7-161-23.0-1 WKU Chase Litton 17-28-190-0-1 Tyler King 22-102-4.6-1 Willie Johnson 4-48-12.0-0 Marshall DL at Wyoming Nick Stevens 8-14-110-0-0 Dalyn Dawkins 29-154-5.3-0 Dalton Fackrell 2-61-30.5-0 at UTSA Chase Litton 16-23-189-1-1 Keion Davis 12-41-3.4-0 Obi Obialo 6-80-13.3-0 vs. 0.08 Boise St Nick Stevens 29-43-309-2-1 Dalyn Dawkins 32-161-5.0-2 Michael Gallup 11-102-9.3-1 Southern Miss Chase Litton 26-44-308-4-1 Tyler King 9-48-5.3-0 Hyleck Foster 5-87-17.4-0 Colorado St OL San Jose St Nick Stevens 26-32-305-3-0 Dalyn Dawkins 24-138-5.8-1 Cameron Butler 3-79-26.3-1 Bye Marshall LB'S Bye † Colorado St vs. 0.67 † Marshall Colorado St RB's Chase Litton 249-411-2853-23-12 Tyler King 152-714-4.7-6 Tyre Brady 56-777-13.9-7 Marshall DB's Nick Stevens 259-407-3484-27-10 Dalyn Dawkins 216-1349-6.2-8 Michael Gallup 93-1339-14.4-7 Marshall Leaders Keion Davis 161-671-4.2-5 Marcel Williams 41-512-12.5-2 vs. 0.87 Colorado St Leaders Izzy Matthews 122-588-4.8-8 Olabisi Johnson 35-476-13.6-2 Anthony Anderson 30-123-4.1-0 Willie Johnson 36-443-12.3-4 Colorado St QB/WR Rashaad Boddie 44-254-5.8-4 Detrich Clark 37-456-12.3-4 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Marshall ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Projected Box Score 2.87 vs. Las Vegas Line Colorado St ST's Colorado St By 5.5 This game features a couple of teams that started out fast and both had solid Projected Rushing Marshall K Las Vegas Total hopes of winning their conferences, but they combined to finish 3-7 over the 143 yards Marshall Colorado St 169 yards vs. 1.66 58 Points Projected Passing Colorado St K L/5 games of the season. CSt has the clear OFF edge at RB and Biletnikoff +/- Ratings 268 yards Marshall Colorado St 277 yards Marshall Coaches Colorado St By 6.0 finalist Michael Gallup at WR. Marshall has the clear edge on D. Marshall also Projected Yardage Total 0.80 vs. Game Grade ranks #58 in my pass D rankings (Rams #90). CSt is used to altitude and 411 yards Marshall Colorado St 445 yards Colorado St Coaches Colorado St By 3.1 played in this stadium this year. The final 3 factors all favor the Herd. Marshall Projected Final Score Marshall Pts Computer Yards faced the tougher sked and is #16 in my ST ratings, while CSt is #55. Doc 27 points Marshall Colorado St 28 points 6.61 vs. 3.27 Colorado St 445-411 Experience Rankings Colorado St Pts Holiday is a perfect 4-0 in bowl games and Mike Bobo is 0-2. I will take the Computer Points 61 Marshall Colorado St 22 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Colorado St 28-27 points in a possible upset. Team Schedule Strength

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Marshall Phil Steele 91 Marshall Colorado St 97 Marshall by 1 By 3.34 Points Best Bet: ★ Marshall 28 (+) Colorado St 27 MARSHALL (7-5) NEWSaturday, MEXICO December 16, 2017 • 4:30 BOWL pm COLORADO ST (7-5) ATS: 8-4 O/U: 6-6 ESPN • Dreamstyle Stadium • Albuquerque, NM ATS: 4-8 O/U: 6-6 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS MAR CSU 148 rush yd 181 257 pass yd 265 26 pts 26 -6 ytd to 0 #99 sked #114 CHECKLIST MAR CSU edge edge – QB 1/2 – RB 44 – WR 4 – OL 4 44 DL – 4 LB – 41/2 DB – 41/2 CCH – – SITE 44 – MTCH – – INT – 4 ST – 4 SKED – OVERALL MARSHALL BY 1’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Middle Tenn Blue Raiders 6-6 7-4 Arkansas St Red Wolves Blue Raiders Logs vs. CUSA vs. SUN Red Wolves Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 4-4 6-2 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 98 119 9/2 Vanderbilt 6-28 L 56 88 50 65 54 70 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 115 9/2 at Nebraska 36-43 L 101 49 63 55 33 42 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 98 114 9/9 at Syracuse 30-23 W 92 90 50 67 58 68 0-1 0-0 112 9/9 Bye 84 55 63 Middle Tenn Arkansas St 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 103 124 9/16 at Minnesota 3-34 L 101 78 41 82 38 10 0-1 0-0 112 9/16 Ark Pine Bluff 48-3 W 75 64 96 1-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 102 96 9/23 Bowling Green 24-13 W 121 86 63 112 126 31 #92 Rush Off #76 1-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 111 113 9/23 at SMU 21-44 L 65 69 66 40 104 124 2-2 1-3 0-0 0-0 102 104 9/30 at Florida Atlantic 20-38 L 108 77 73 75 114 49 #45 Pass Off #6 1-2 0-0 108 9/30 Bye 61 73 68 2-3 3-1 0-1 2-0 100 99 10/7 FIU 37-17 W 108 78 73 103 111 80 #68 Total Off #11 1-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 108 92 10/4 at GA Southern 43-25 W 58 75 57 128 120 78 3-3 3-2 1-1 1-1 103 100 10/14 at UAB 23-25 L 102 77 72 110 93 127 #93 Score Off #15 2-2 1-0 109 92 10/14 Coastal Carolina 51-17 W 65 79 46 125 123 112 3-4 5-1 1-2 2-0 102 112 10/20 Marshall 10-38 L 104 77 55 77 34 40 #64 Sks Allowed #80 3-2 3-3 2-0 2-1 111 100 10/19 Louisiana 47-3 W 51 89 13 94 117 82 3-5 1-3 98 10/28 Bye 114 85 46 #34 Rush Def #35 4-2 3-4 3-0 1-2 115 104 10/28 at New Mexico St 37-21 W 39 75 16 40 96 130 3-5 0-8 1-3 0-4 98 91 11/4 UTEP 30-3 W 115 87 45 130 120 107 #46 Pass Def #92 5-2 4-0 116 11/4 Bye 42 55 21 4-5 1-8 2-3 1-4 101 91 11/11 at Charlotte 35-21 W 113 80 41 109 113 74 #30 Total Def #56 5-2 3-6 4-0 2-3 116 97 11/11 at South Alabama 19-24 L 40 51 22 122 89 47 5-5 5-5 3-3 3-3 102 105 11/17 at WKU 38-41 L 107 83 53 112 93 83 #45 Score Def #51 5-3 2-8 4-1 1-5 111 89 11/18 Texas St 30-12 W 55 44 9 119 114 122 5-6 5-6 3-4 3-4 103 98 11/25 Old Dominion 41-10 W 102 79 52 128 104 113 #55 Sks By #19 6-3 4-6 5-1 4-3 110 102 11/25 at ULM 67-50 W 57 40 9 67 122 43 6-6 4-4 107 12/2 Bye 89 81 45 #43 Ypg Diff #15 7-3 9-2 6-1 2-0 112 111 12/2 Troy 25-32 L 39 44 33 57 47 54 6-6 7-4 4-4 6-2 107 109 12/16 † Arkansas St 81 82 44 37 40 43 -12 Total TO's -1 7-4 6-2 109 12/9 Bye 37 40 43 6-6 4-4 107 12/16 † Middle Tennessee 81 82 44 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Vanderbilt 6-28 -152 -1 -1 14 26-49 1.9 18-31 166 5 15 35-71 2.0 20-28 296 1 at Nebraska 36-43 34 7 -2 32 21-82 3.9 46-68 415 1 25 38-225 5.9 19-32 238 1 at Syracuse 30-23 55 -5 -1 20 33-94 2.8 22-36 269 1 25 49-126 2.6 27-44 182 6 Bye at Minnesota 3-34 -113 -7 -2 11 15-46 3.1 25-42 184 1 18 47-221 4.7 11-18 122 1 Ark Pine Bluff 48-3 213 14 5 26 37-137 3.7 26-34 356 3 12 39-56 1.4 15-26 224 4 Bowling Green 24-13 249 13 -3 27 43-243 5.7 24-32 290 1 14 29-1 0.0 21-35 283 3 at SMU 21-44 -150 -11 -2 20 29-143 4.9 23-43 284 3 31 54-311 5.8 16-32 266 2 at Florida Atlantic 20-38 15 -6 -3 23 24-69 2.9 32-52 385 2 29 50-252 5.0 22-29 187 0 Bye FIU 37-17 120 4 2 25 34-176 5.2 25-31 250 0 21 36-85 2.4 22-34 221 4 at GA Southern 43-25 -112 -5 -1 19 35-65 1.9 12-26 316 2 24 63-333 5.3 10-18 160 4 at UAB 23-25 -40 5 -1 26 32-131 4.1 24-44 263 2 21 44-260 5.9 16-31 174 0 Coastal Carolina 51-17 47 3 1 27 37-189 5.1 24-37 286 1 24 38-197 5.2 13-29 231 3 Marshall 10-38 -93 -6 -2 15 31-53 1.7 14-33 220 6 21 45-198 4.4 16-24 168 0 Louisiana 47-3 301 13 1 30 43-262 6.1 24-40 309 1 17 41-91 2.2 15-36 179 5 Bye at New Mexico St 37-21 161 14 0 27 40-120 3.0 25-40 297 5 13 32-35 1.1 20-40 221 7 UTEP 30-3 263 12 -1 18 36-210 5.8 13-30 190 1 6 32-89 2.8 10-23 48 3 Bye at Charlotte 35-21 101 5 1 21 41-202 4.9 18-31 255 2 16 32-98 3.1 18-30 258 2 at South Alabama 19-24 25 5 -5 23 33-66 2.0 28-45 299 4 18 32--3 -0.1 25-46 343 3 at WKU 38-41 -107 2 1 27 33-137 4.2 27-46 294 1 25 33-53 1.6 39-54 485 5 Texas St 30-12 281 14 1 25 61-240 3.9 20-33 229 1 11 30-85 2.8 8-25 103 2 Old Dominion 41-10 281 16 -2 30 50-320 6.4 21-30 266 2 14 33-185 5.6 15-27 120 1 at ULM 67-50 191 4 3 31 44-261 5.9 26-38 520 2 27 39-136 3.5 21-37 454 2 Bye Troy 25-32 313 18 -2 32 44-169 3.8 31-50 437 4 14 25-47 1.9 23-41 246 1 † Arkansas St Bye † Middle Tennessee

Average 25-24 48.2 2.7 -1.0 21 33-144 4.3 60.0% 253 5.5% 19 39-137 3.5 62.9% 212 6.9% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 39-25 118.5 6.9 -0.1 27 39-158 4.1 62.8% 341 5.9% 20 39-138 3.5 51.1% 242 9.4% ArkansasRedSt Wolves

Conference 29-24 67.5 4.0 -0.6 23 35-162 4.6 58.6% 265 5.4% 19 38-153 4.0 62.7% 208 6.0% TennRaiders Middle Blue Conference 40-23 150.9 8.3 -0.3 27 42-172 4.1 61.5% 337 6.5% 19 38-115 3.1 49.6% 242 9.9% Away 25-30 -14.8 -1.0 -0.8 21 30-113 3.8 59.0% 275 3.6% 22 43-168 4.0 64.6% 235 6.8% Home 35-13 231.0 12.4 1.2 28 44-199 4.5 64.4% 323 5.2% 16 35-95 2.8 47.1% 197 9.6% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Vanderbilt Brent Stockstill 18-31-166-1-1 Maurice Gordon 7-26-3.7-0 Richie James 10-112-11.2-1 Middle Tenn Arkansas St at Nebraska Justice Hansen 46-68-415-3-2 Warren Wand 12-69-5.8-0 Kendrick Edwards 8-100-12.5-1 at Syracuse Brent Stockstill 22-36-269-3-1 Ty Lee 18-50-2.8-1 Richie James 8-96-12.0-1 Middle Tenn QB/WR Bye at Minnesota John Urzua 19-34-135-0-2 Richie James 2-25-12.5-0 Patrick Smith 6-46-7.7-0 0.46 vs. Ark Pine Bluff Justice Hansen 24-31-336-5-0 Warren Wand 9-62-6.9-1 Justin McInnis 2-84-42.0-1 Bowling Green John Urzua 24-32-290-2-1 Jocquez Bruce 16-115-7.2-1 Brad Anderson 6-98-16.3-1 Arkansas St DB's at SMU Justice Hansen 16-26-234-2-0 Warren Wand 13-75-5.8-1 Blake Mack 5-102-20.4-1 at Florida Atlantic John Urzua 31-51-359-2-3 Brad Anderson 13-44-3.4-0 Ty Lee 8-136-17.0-1 Middle Tenn RB's Bye FIU John Urzua 25-31-250-1-0 Brad Anderson 11-112-10.2-0 Ty Lee 7-67-9.6-0 0.06 vs. at GA Southern Justice Hansen 12-26-316-4-4 Warren Wand 11-61-5.5-2 Chris Murray 5-188-37.6-2 at UAB John Urzua 23-42-268-1-2 Brad Anderson 15-81-5.4-0 Brad Anderson 9-137-15.2-1 Arkansas St LB's Coastal Carolina Justice Hansen 24-37-286-5-0 Justice Hansen 9-68-7.6-0 Justin McInnis 4-63-15.8-0 Marshall John Urzua 14-30-220-1-1 Brad Anderson 13-51-3.9-0 Ty Lee 4-95-23.8-0 Middle Tenn OL Louisiana Justice Hansen 23-37-275-2-0 Justice Hansen 13-121-9.3-1 Blake Mack 5-65-13.0-0 Bye vs. 1.37 at New Mexico St Justice Hansen 25-40-297-4-1 Jamal Jones 7-38-5.4-0 Justin McInnis 7-68-9.7-0 UTEP Brent Stockstill 13-30-190-3-1 Tavares Thomas 9-68-7.6-1 Ty Lee 6-80-13.3-1 Arkansas St DL Bye at Charlotte Brent Stockstill 18-31-255-3-0 Tavares Thomas 29-195-6.7-2 Ty Lee 6-121-20.2-1 Middle Tenn DL at South Alabama Justice Hansen 27-44-285-2-4 Justice Hansen 18-37-2.1-0 Blake Mack 5-94-18.8-0 at WKU Brent Stockstill 27-46-294-1-0 Tavares Thomas 18-92-5.1-2 Ty Lee 11-114-10.4-0 vs. 0.03 Texas St Justice Hansen 20-33-229-1-0 Warren Wand 29-145-5.0-1 Omar Bayless 3-45-15.0-0 Old Dominion Brent Stockstill 21-30-266-3-2 Terelle West 26-170-6.5-2 Ty Lee 8-70-8.8-0 Arkansas St OL at ULM Justice Hansen 26-38-520-4-1 Warren Wand 21-173-8.2-1 Justin McInnis 9-211-23.4-0 Bye Middle Tenn LB'S Troy Justice Hansen 31-50-437-2-3 Johnston White 9-65-7.2-0 Blake Mack 6-104-17.3-0 † Arkansas St 0.10 vs. Bye Arkansas St RB's † Middle Tennessee John Urzua 136-220-1522-7-9 Brad Anderson 89-491-5.5-0 Ty Lee 74-916-12.4-5 Middle Tenn DB's Justice Hansen 274-430-3630-34-15 Warren Wand 124-667-5.4-6 Justin McInnis 42-693-16.5-3 Middle Tenn Leaders Brent Stockstill 119-204-1440-14-5 Tavares Thomas 77-458-5.9-8 Brad Anderson 33-338-10.2-3 vs. 2.77 Arkansas St Leaders Logan Bonner 9-21-70-1-1 Johnston White 85-407-4.8-3 Chris Murray 45-645-14.3-9 Kyle Banks 6-11-49-0-0 Terelle West 47-243-5.2-3 Patrick Smith 29-329-11.3-2 Arkansas St QB/WR Chauncey Mason 1-1-34-0-0 Justice Hansen 115-380-3.3-6 Blake Mack 46-609-13.2-7 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Middle Tenn ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's Projected Box Score vs. 1.47 Las Vegas Line Middle Tenn - 63 0 12 29-89 15-26-114 Arkansas St ST's Arkansas St By 3.5 Arkansas St - -12 45 26 47-274 19-21-238 2 Projected Rushing Middle Tenn K ASt might have been the best team in the SBC, but did not share the title. MT Las Vegas Total 113 yards Middle Tenn Arkansas St 127 yards 1.47 vs. 63.5 Points came into the season in great shape with its pass game, but QB Brent Stockstill Projected Passing Arkansas St K +/- Ratings was inj’d after 2 games, missed 6, and his top WR Richie James was lost for the 278 yards Middle Tenn Arkansas St 317 yards Middle Tenn Coaches Arkansas St By 2.0 year after 8 games. With Stockstill in the lineup, MT avg 30 ppg, but without Projected Yardage Total vs. 0.30 Game Grade 390 yards Middle Tenn Arkansas St 444 yards Arkansas St Coaches Arkansas St By 3.7 him avg just 19.5 ppg. ASt has a legitimate DL led by Javon Rolland-Jones and Projected Final Score Middle Tenn Pts Bama transfer Dee Liner. I give MT the edge at LB, but ASt has the DB edge Computer Yards 24 points Middle Tenn Arkansas St 31 points 2.09 vs. 5.94 Arkansas St 444-390 with a #31 ranking in my pass D rankings (Blue Raiders #94). I like ASt to win Experience Rankings Arkansas St Pts Computer Points the game. 69 Middle Tenn Arkansas St 97 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Arkansas St 34-30 Team Schedule Strength

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Arkansas St Phil Steele 115 Middle Tenn Arkansas St 130 Arkansas St by 7 By 3.85 Points Arkansas St 37 Middle Tennessee 30 MIDDLE TENN (6-6) CAMELLIASaturday, December 16, 2017 BOWL • 8:00 pm ARKANSAS ST (7-4) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 4-8 ESPN • Crampton Bowl • Montgomery, AL ATS: 6-5 O/U: 4-7 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS MTSU A-ST 111 rush yd 161 292 pass yd 326 28 pts 31 -12 ytd to -1 #122 sked #130 CHECKLIST MTSU A-ST edge edge – QB 1/2 – RB 1/2 – WR 4 – OL – – DL 4 1/2 4 LB – – DB 4 1/2 – CCH – – SITE – – MTCH 4 4 INT – – ST – – SKED – OVERALL ARKANSAS ST BY 4 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Akron Zips 7-6 10-3 FAU Owls Zips Logs vs. MAC vs. CUSA Owls Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 6-3 9-0 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 101 137 6 9/2 at Penn St 0-52 L 89 83 94 4 18 8 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 97 117 9/1 Navy 19-42 L 64 113 93 84 101 41 0-1 0-0 99 9/9 Ark Pine Bluff 52-3 W 117 97 94 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 96 139 9 9/9 at Wisconsin 14-31 L 76 119 93 41 11 38 Akron FAU 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 99 118 9/16 Iowa St 14-41 L 115 97 117 50 82 47 0-2 0-0 100 9/16 Bethune-Cookman 45-0 W 91 120 101 1-2 2-1 0-0 1-0 97 105 9/23 at Troy 17-22 L 113 98 114 82 56 97 #119 Rush Off #6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 104 106 9/23 at Buffalo 31-34 L 78 113 55 108 109 128 1-3 0-4 0-0 0-0 98 96 9/30 at Bowling Green 34-23 W 107 102 121 113 126 28 #74 Pass Off #81 1-3 2-2 0-0 0-0 104 102 9/30 Middle Tennessee 38-20 W 75 114 49 108 77 73 2-3 2-3 1-0 0-1 101 99 10/7 Ball St 31-3 W 118 99 127 105 113 94 #118 Total Off #14 2-3 2-2 1-0 0-0 106 100 10/7 at Old Dominion 58-28 W 63 108 58 124 87 100 3-3 4-2 2-0 2-0 105 117 10/14 at Western Michigan 14-13 W 114 90 123 82 78 7 #103 Score Off #9 3-3 2-0 110 10/14 Bye 64 105 35 4-3 5-1 3-0 2-0 109 117 10/21 at Toledo 21-48 L 119 79 122 53 82 36 #109 Sks Allowed #14 3-3 4-2 2-0 3-0 110 107 10/21 North Texas 69-31 W 56 95 38 54 80 27 4-4 3-5 3-1 1-3 106 105 10/28 Buffalo 21-20 W 118 87 126 109 112 103 #100 Rush Def #66 4-3 5-2 3-0 3-1 114 108 10/28 at WKU 42-28 W 43 89 30 107 92 25 5-4 3-6 4-1 2-3 106 105 11/7 at Miami, OH 14-24 L 119 90 123 100 91 86 #83 Pass Def #94 5-3 6-2 4-0 3-1 116 111 11/3 Marshall 30-25 W 43 85 17 66 38 30 5-5 8-2 4-2 5-1 106 114 11/14 Ohio 37-34 W 116 90 126 45 61 11 #99 Total Def #78 6-3 4-5 5-0 2-3 116 105 11/11 at Louisiana Tech 48-23 W 47 79 18 81 86 73 6-5 2-9 5-2 1-6 105 89 11/21 Kent St 24-14 W 120 91 128 129 109 122 #60 Score Def #44 7-3 6-3 6-0 4-2 119 102 11/18 FIU 52-24 W 43 80 20 81 112 78 7-5 6-2 109 11/25 Bye 119 90 129 #92 Sks By #21 8-3 1-10 7-0 1-6 120 86 11/25 at Charlotte 31-12 W 39 72 18 115 120 72 7-5 5-1 6-2 2-0 107 117 12/2 † Toledo 28-45 L 119 83 126 53 82 36 #117 Ypg Diff #29 9-3 4-2 8-0 3-0 118 107 12/2 North Texas 41-17 W 35 69 24 54 80 27 7-6 6-3 107 12/9 Bye 119 85 129 +10 Total TO's +13 10-3 9-0 120 12/9 Bye 33 63 15 10-3 9-0 120 12/19 at Florida Atlantic 33 63 15 7-6 6-3 107 12/19 Akron 119 85 129 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at Penn St 0-52 -410 -12 0 12 34-73 2.1 14-29 86 3 24 34-247 7.3 21-31 322 0 Navy 19-42 -200 -7 0 16 24-40 1.7 21-33 286 2 23 68-416 6.1 3-10 110 0 Ark Pine Bluff 52-3 296 15 2 27 44-267 6.1 17-26 197 0 12 34-41 1.2 14-25 127 5 at Wisconsin 14-31 -316 -20 2 9 35-106 3.0 9-19 142 5 29 54-357 6.6 17-30 207 0 Iowa St 14-41 -177 -4 -3 19 24-38 1.6 27-44 293 5 23 37-191 5.2 24-33 317 0 Bethune-Cookman 45-0 502 25 0 32 58-439 7.6 19-32 180 2 7 33-61 1.8 9-22 56 4 at Troy 17-22 -126 -1 -2 23 35-99 2.8 20-40 268 2 24 29-179 6.2 28-42 314 1 at Buffalo 31-34 -46 -6 -1 22 37-262 7.1 17-29 150 1 28 57-204 3.6 18-27 254 2 at Bowling Green 34-23 -15 2 1 19 40-178 4.5 14-25 183 1 17 41-181 4.4 24-38 195 2 Middle Tennessee 38-20 -15 6 3 29 50-252 5.0 22-29 187 0 23 24-69 2.9 32-52 385 2 Ball St 31-3 7 -3 3 19 31-134 4.3 18-31 249 2 22 44-155 3.5 24-46 221 5 at Old Dominion 58-28 139 9 2 29 69-453 6.6 13-22 97 2 20 36-248 6.9 16-39 163 2 at Western Michigan 14-13 -211 -12 0 14 31-88 2.8 13-24 127 2 26 53-244 4.6 17-29 182 2 Bye at Toledo 21-48 -293 -12 -1 23 24-42 1.8 23-40 291 1 35 43-303 7.0 18-28 323 0 North Texas 69-31 384 12 3 37 48-447 9.3 24-35 357 0 25 33-137 4.2 31-47 283 1 Buffalo 21-20 -92 -9 0 19 25-76 3.0 21-29 286 1 28 34-141 4.1 34-50 313 1 at WKU 42-28 -9 -11 3 21 55-368 6.7 10-24 93 0 32 33-99 3.0 32-56 371 2 at Miami, OH 14-24 -147 -8 2 18 30-55 1.8 19-38 218 6 26 36-185 5.1 17-30 235 0 Marshall 30-25 -28 -4 4 17 45-189 4.2 12-18 164 0 21 41-128 3.1 20-39 253 1 Ohio 37-34 48 -5 3 18 32-121 3.8 22-38 322 0 23 43-282 6.6 10-23 113 0 at Louisiana Tech 48-23 -97 -13 -1 19 33-194 5.9 14-17 221 0 32 45-186 4.1 30-51 326 2

Kent St 24-14 -55 2 2 15 39-122 3.1 6-20 69 6 13 45-161 3.6 9-19 85 5 FAUOwls FIU 52-24 269 9 -1 27 46-333 7.2 18-25 239 1 18 31-85 2.7 20-33 218 4 Bye Zips Akron at Charlotte 31-12 308 21 -2 31 63-318 5.0 18-22 245 0 10 30-84 2.8 10-22 171 4 † Toledo 21-48 -293 -12 -1 23 24-42 1.8 23-40 291 1 35 43-303 7.0 18-28 323 0 North Texas 69-31 384 12 3 37 48-447 9.3 24-35 357 0 25 33-137 4.2 31-47 283 1 Bye Bye at Florida Atlantic Akron

Average 24-26 -103.1 -4.1 0.8 19 32-108 3.3 54.5% 221 7.7% 23 39-197 5.0 61.0% 235 4.9% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 40-24 83.6 1.3 1.0 24 47-283 6.1 64.2% 209 4.5% 23 40-166 4.1 56.2% 243 7.0% Conference 25-25 -102.6 -5.7 1.4 18 32-103 3.3 53.7% 225 8.0% 24 42-212 5.0 58.7% 219 5.0% Conference 45-23 127.4 2.8 1.3 26 50-315 6.3 67.1% 217 2.3% 23 34-124 3.6 57.0% 281 7.0% Away 18-32 -195.3 -7.0 0.4 18 32-93 2.9 50.8% 208 8.0% 25 39-228 5.8 63.0% 268 2.1% Home 42-23 158.3 5.3 1.4 26 45-283 6.3 66.3% 252 3.5% 20 38-140 3.7 57.7% 237 8.5% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving at Penn St Thomas Woodson 12-23-71-0-1 Kato Nelson 9-39-4.3-0 AJ Coney 2-25-12.5-0 Akron FAU Navy Daniel Parr 19-30-281-2-1 Kerrith Whyte 6-36-6.0-0 Willie Wright 3-92-30.7-1 Ark Pine Bluff Thomas Woodson 15-21-166-1-0 Warren Ball 20-146-7.3-3 Tra'Von Chapman 5-55-11.0-0 Akron QB/WR at Wisconsin Daniel Parr 9-19-142-1-0 Devin Singletary 17-68-4.0-1 De'Andre McNeal 3-103-34.3-1 Iowa St Thomas Woodson 25-40-240-2-1 Warren Ball 11-40-3.6-0 Kwadarrius Smith 3-76-25.3-1 0.44 vs. Bethune-Cookman Daniel Parr 15-26-165-1-1 Gregory Howell Jr 13-175-13.5-1 De'Andre McNeal 4-70-17.5-0 at Troy Thomas Woodson 20-40-268-1-2 Warren Ball 28-112-4.0-1 Kwadarrius Smith 4-103-25.8-1 FAU DB's at Buffalo Jason Driskel 17-29-150-0-1 Devin Singletary 22-156-7.1-3 Willie Wright 4-43-10.8-0 at Bowling Green Thomas Woodson 13-24-168-2-1 Van Edwards 14-70-5.0-1 Austin Wolf 3-68-22.7-1 Akron RB's Middle Tennessee Jason Driskel 22-29-187-1-0 Devin Singletary 24-133-5.5-4 Harrison Bryant 7-93-13.3-1 Ball St Thomas Woodson 17-30-211-2-0 Deltron Sands 6-52-8.7-1 AJ Coney 6-90-15.0-0 vs. 1.32 at Old Dominion Jason Driskel 13-22-97-0-1 Devin Singletary 26-194-7.5-2 Harrison Bryant 3-41-13.7-0 at Western Michigan Thomas Woodson 13-24-127-1-1 Manny Morgan 12-53-4.4-1 AJ Coney 3-38-12.7-0 FAU LB's Bye at Toledo Thomas Woodson 18-33-205-2-1 Van Edwards 9-25-2.8-0 Kwadarrius Smith 3-72-24.0-1 Akron OL North Texas Jason Driskel 24-35-357-2-0 Devin Singletary 17-123-7.2-3 Willie Wright 8-141-17.6-1 Buffalo Thomas Woodson 21-29-291-3-1 Deltron Sands 7-70-10.0-0 AJ Coney 7-91-13.0-0 vs. 0.99 at WKU Jason Driskel 10-24-93-1-1 Devin Singletary 36-244-6.8-4 Willie Wright 4-63-15.8-1 at Miami, OH Kato Nelson 19-38-218-1-0 Manny Morgan 10-41-4.1-0 Kwadarrius Smith 6-69-11.5-0 FAU DL Marshall Jason Driskel 11-17-104-0-0 Devin Singletary 28-203-7.3-1 Devin Singletary 2-72-36.0-1 Ohio Kato Nelson 22-38-322-4-0 Manny Morgan 14-55-3.9-1 Kwadarrius Smith 2-125-62.5-2 Akron DL at Louisiana Tech Jason Driskel 14-17-221-2-0 Devin Singletary 18-104-5.8-3 Kalib Woods 3-118-39.3-1 Kent St Kato Nelson 6-20-69-1-1 Van Edwards 9-55-6.1-0 Kobie Booker 1-25-25.0-1 vs. 2.23 FIU Jason Driskel 18-25-239-4-1 Devin Singletary 25-164-6.6-2 Kalib Woods 7-172-24.6-2 Bye FAU OL at Charlotte Jason Driskel 18-22-245-2-0 Devin Singletary 19-108-5.7-2 Willie Wright 9-103-11.4-1 † Toledo Kato Nelson 8-18-177-2-0 Manny Morgan 11-51-4.6-1 Kwadarrius Smith 3-114-38.0-1 Akron LB'S North Texas Jason Driskel 15-27-269-1-0 Devin Singletary 26-164-6.3-3 Kalib Woods 6-208-34.7-1 Bye vs. 1.35 Bye at Florida Atlantic FAU RB's Akron Thomas Woodson 159-278-1782-14-9 Manny Morgan 99-393-4.0-4 Kwadarrius Smith 33-719-21.8-7 Akron DB's Jason Driskel 166-253-1977-13-4 Devin Singletary 275-1796-6.5-29 Willie Wright 49-586-12.0-4 Akron Leaders Kato Nelson 61-125-909-8-2 Van Edwards 93-348-3.7-2 AJ Coney 41-523-12.8-3 vs. 0.78 FAU Leaders Daniel Parr 43-75-588-4-2 Gregory Howell Jr. 103-690-6.7-5 Kalib Woods 20-540-27.0-4 Robbie Kelley 12-20-186-2-0 Warren Ball 75-332-4.4-4 Tra'Von Chapman 51-463-9.1-2 FAU QB/WR Kamrin Solomon 2-2-82-2-0 Jason Driskel 71-360-5.1-6 Harrison Bryant 32-408-12.8-5 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Akron ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Projected Box Score vs. 3.02 Las Vegas Line FAU ST's Fau By 22.5 This is the largest point spread in a bowl game in 20+ yrs and it is deserved. Projected Rushing Akron K FAU won 10 games and 7 were by 24+. FAU outgained conf foes by 127 ypg Las Vegas Total 89 yards Akron FAU 302 yards vs. 1.89 63.5 Points and Akron, despite going 6-2 versus the weak MAC East, was actually Projected Passing FAU K +/- Ratings outgained by 103 ypg. Akron QB Thomas Woodson was susp’d a couple of 237 yards Akron FAU 226 yards Akron Coaches Fau By 15.0 games. Kato Nelson completed just 49%. Akron lost their top RB, Ohio St Projected Yardage Total 0.85 vs. Game Grade 326 yards Akron FAU 528 yards FAU Coaches Fau By 17.9 transfer Warren Ball early. FAU RB Devin Singletary will be the best player on Projected Final Score Akron Pts the field and my computer calls for the Owls to rush for 301 yards and pass for Computer Yards 20 points Akron FAU 38 points 1.29 vs. 11.58 Fau 528-326 226. FAU’s biggest edge is on ST’s. Akron does have the edge of being a huge Experience Rankings FAU Pts Computer Points bowl ‘dog as they should be highly motivated with no one giving them a chance 27 Akron FAU 1 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Fau 38-20 Team Schedule Strength to win. I like the Zips to keep this within the huge spread.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto FAU Phil Steele 83 Akron FAU 100 FAU by 14 By 10.28 Points Best Bet: ★ Akron 24 (+) FAU 38 AKRON (7-6) FAU (10-3) BOCATuesday, RATON December 19, 2017 • 7:00 BOWL pm ATS: 6-6-1 O/U: 3-10 ESPN • FAU Stadium • Boca Raton, FL ATS: 9-3-1 O/U: 6-7 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS AKRON FAU 80 rush yd 308 245 pass yd 224 21 pts 39 +10 ytd to +13 #81 sked #89 CHECKLIST AKRON FAU edge edge – QB 1/2 – RB 444 – WR – – OL 444 – DL 4 – LB – – DB 4 4 CCH – – SITE 444 – MTCH 44 4 INT – – ST 44444 – SKED – OVERALL FAU BY 16’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: LA Tech Bulldogs 6-6 7-5 SMU Mustangs Bulldogs Logs vs. CUSA vs. AAC Mustangs Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 4-4 4-4 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 114 9/2 Northwestern St 52-24 W 77 87 44 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 110 9/2 SF Austin 58-14 W 43 115 127 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 113 121 9/9 Miss St 21-57 L 69 87 44 34 34 107 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 112 101 9/9 North Texas 54-32 W 31 101 127 102 98 81 LA Tech SMU 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 109 116 9/16 at WKU 23-22 W 74 100 42 96 79 24 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 113 129 20 9/16 at TCU 36-56 L 36 91 124 13 10 39 2-1 2-1 1-0 1-1 112 118 9/23 at South Carolina 16-17 L 79 101 65 52 23 119 #55 Rush Off #44 2-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 113 111 9/23 Arkansas St 44-21 W 40 104 124 65 69 66 2-2 1-3 1-0 0-1 113 98 9/30 South Alabama 34-16 W 81 95 65 122 91 86 #64 Pass Off #16 3-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 116 92 9/30 Connecticut 49-28 W 28 103 125 82 96 117 3-2 2-2 1-0 0-1 113 97 10/7 at UAB 22-23 L 66 86 71 107 96 115 #57 Total Off #13 4-1 3-1 1-0 1-0 115 123 10/7 at Houston 22-35 L 23 97 122 51 45 63 3-3 1-1 110 10/14 Bye 68 88 87 #63 Score Off #8 4-2 1-1 115 10/14 Bye 27 95 101 3-3 4-2 1-1 2-1 110 109 10/21 Southern Miss 27-34 L 69 90 93 49 68 114 #64 Sks Allowed #38 4-2 2-5 1-1 0-3 115 103 10/21 at Cincinnati 31-28 W 29 96 103 109 101 1 3-4 1-6 1-2 1-2 107 92 10/28 at Rice 42-28 W 78 84 75 121 107 103 #80 Rush Def #113 5-2 2-6 2-1 1-3 114 107 10/27 Tulsa 38-34 W 32 100 95 59 128 64 4-4 5-3 2-2 4-1 107 103 11/4 North Texas 23-24 L 75 89 85 52 103 12 #56 Pass Def #121 6-2 7-0 3-1 4-0 113 127 15 11/4 UCF 24-31 L 27 98 90 10 45 23 4-5 6-3 2-3 5-0 105 116 11/11 Florida Atlantic 23-48 L 81 86 73 47 79 18 #64 Total Def #122 6-3 5-3 3-2 3-3 113 113 11/11 at Navy 40-43 L 27 99 89 32 109 70 4-6 0-10 2-4 0-6 102 85 11/18 at UTEP 42-21 W 73 92 99 130 120 109 #66 Score Def #113 6-4 8-1 3-3 5-1 113 126 18 11/18 at Memphis 45-66 L 28 108 97 29 84 12 5-6 6-4 3-4 3-4 102 107 11/25 UTSA 20-6 W 63 93 103 94 50 31 #97 Sks By #31 6-5 5-6 3-4 3-4 112 108 11/25 Tulane 41-38 W 27 117 104 90 112 101 6-6 4-4 106 12/2 Bye 67 84 105 #65 Ypg Diff #69 7-5 4-4 112 12/2 Bye 31 118 109 6-6 7-5 4-4 4-4 106 112 12/20 † SMU 65 83 106 25 116 109 +7 Total TO's +10 7-5 6-6 4-4 4-4 112 106 12/20 † Louisiana Tech 25 116 109 65 83 106

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Northwestern St 52-24 108 0 0 22 37-221 6.0 18-35 276 1 22 33-133 4.0 20-40 256 3 SF Austin 58-14 246 10 2 25 48-243 5.1 12-23 222 0 15 35-75 2.1 16-31 144 2 Miss St 21-57 -144 -1 -2 20 50-152 3.0 13-30 163 4 21 40-327 8.2 13-20 132 0 North Texas 54-32 0 -2 2 20 34-99 2.9 22-41 394 3 22 27-69 2.6 32-47 424 5 at WKU 23-22 61 -3 -1 20 30-122 4.1 22-39 306 1 23 41-141 3.4 25-35 226 4 at TCU 36-56 -156 -11 1 19 30-124 4.1 18-38 339 0 30 49-254 5.2 24-30 365 3 at South Carolina 16-17 -77 -6 1 17 28-80 2.9 23-33 281 1 23 32-143 4.5 22-35 295 2 Arkansas St 44-21 150 11 2 31 54-311 5.8 16-32 266 2 20 29-143 4.9 23-43 284 3 South Alabama 34-16 146 10 1 26 33-162 4.9 24-39 317 3 16 22-98 4.5 21-45 235 1 Connecticut 49-28 98 10 1 28 41-218 5.3 27-39 280 3 18 36--8 -0.2 22-28 408 8 at UAB 22-23 -3 -1 0 21 34-154 4.5 17-29 209 2 22 36-178 4.9 21-32 188 1 at Houston 22-35 81 3 0 30 26-147 5.7 41-59 397 2 27 40-265 6.6 20-28 198 0 Bye Bye Southern Miss 27-34 -136 -15 1 15 34-161 4.7 11-28 194 2 30 45-190 4.2 32-53 301 0 at Cincinnati 31-28 -3 0 1 26 44-140 3.2 26-37 295 3 26 42-249 5.9 22-35 189 2 at Rice 42-28 -17 5 4 24 39-180 4.6 21-32 237 2 19 46-247 5.4 7-17 187 1 Tulsa 38-34 123 -3 1 19 30-215 7.2 20-34 366 1 22 53-246 4.6 9-25 212 1 North Texas 23-24 -100 -7 1 19 41-147 3.6 16-28 168 2 26 41-204 5.0 23-37 211 2 UCF 24-31 -126 -2 2 21 37-206 5.6 27-52 283 0 23 36-203 5.6 23-40 412 2 Florida Atlantic 23-48 97 13 1 32 45-186 4.1 30-51 326 2 19 33-194 5.9 14-17 221 0 at Navy 40-43 -133 -3 0 21 31-165 5.3 16-30 261 2 24 72-559 7.8 0-1 0 0 at UTEP 42-21 136 10 1 28 49-343 7.0 15-28 203 2 18 36-164 4.6 11-25 246 3 at Memphis 45-66 -187 -4 0 28 37-259 7.0 15-35 218 1 32 46-333 7.2 22-28 331 1 UTSA 20-6 93 4 0 19 37-193 5.2 7-21 101 2 15 45-110 2.4 9-16 91 3 Tulane 41-38 -7 -3 -2 24 33-103 3.1 24-33 375 2 27 43-171 4.0 18-31 314 3

Bye SMUMustangs Bye

† SMU Bulldogs LA Tech † Louisiana Tech

Average 29-27 13.7 0.8 0.6 22 38-175 4.6 55.2% 232 6.1% 21 38-177 4.7 58.6% 216 5.4% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 40-36 7.2 0.5 0.8 24 37-186 5.0 58.3% 308 4.2% 24 42-213 5.0 62.9% 273 8.2% Conference 28-26 16.4 0.8 0.9 22 39-186 4.8 54.3% 218 5.9% 22 40-179 4.4 61.2% 209 6.0% Conference 36-38 -19.3 -0.3 0.4 25 35-182 5.2 61.4% 309 4.4% 25 46-252 5.5 63.0% 258 7.9% Away 29-22 20.0 1.0 1.0 22 36-176 4.9 60.9% 247 5.0% 21 38-175 4.6 59.7% 228 7.6% Home 44-28 69.1 3.0 1.1 24 40-199 5.0 58.3% 312 4.3% 21 37-128 3.5 58.4% 314 9.8% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Northwestern St J'Mar Smith 18-35-276-2-0 Jarred Craft 16-86-5.4-2 Boston Scott 4-55-13.8-0 LA Tech SMU SF Austin Ben Hicks 9-19-112-2-0 Braeden West 6-86-14.3-0 Brandon Benson 1-72-72.0-1 Miss St J'Mar Smith 10-23-140-0-1 Boston Scott 13-96-7.4-0 Marcus Gaines 3-104-34.7-0 LA Tech QB/WR North Texas Ben Hicks 20-39-312-4-1 Xavier Jones 13-74-5.7-2 Courtland Sutton 8-163-20.4-4 at WKU J'Mar Smith 22-39-306-1-1 Jarred Craft 14-81-5.8-0 Rhashid Bonnette 3-140-46.7-1 2.49 vs. at TCU Ben Hicks 17-37-305-2-2 Ke'Mon Freeman 12-57-4.8-2 Trey Quinn 7-116-16.6-1 at South Carolina J'Mar Smith 23-33-281-1-1 Jarred Craft 14-48-3.4-0 Teddy Veal 10-110-11.0-1 SMU DB's Arkansas St Ben Hicks 16-32-266-2-0 Xavier Jones 19-146-7.7-0 James Proche 3-131-43.7-2 South Alabama J'Mar Smith 24-39-317-3-0 Boston Scott 6-76-12.7-1 Teddy Veal 5-88-17.6-1 LA Tech RB's Connecticut Ben Hicks 27-37-280-4-0 Xavier Jones 13-72-5.5-1 Trey Quinn 15-116-7.7-2 at UAB J'Mar Smith 17-29-209-2-0 Boston Scott 14-48-3.4-0 Teddy Veal 5-74-14.8-1 1.44 vs. at Houston Ben Hicks 41-58-397-1-2 Xavier Jones 13-99-7.6-0 Courtland Sutton 11-160-14.5-0 Bye SMU LB's Bye Southern Miss J'Mar Smith 11-28-194-0-1 Boston Scott 11-106-9.6-1 Marlon Watts 5-121-24.2-0 LA Tech OL at Cincinnati Ben Hicks 26-37-295-2-1 Xavier Jones 15-80-5.3-1 Trey Quinn 17-186-10.9-0 at Rice J'Mar Smith 21-32-237-1-0 Boston Scott 17-87-5.1-3 Teddy Veal 11-118-10.7-0 1.20 vs. Tulsa Ben Hicks 19-32-338-2-0 Braeden West 2-89-44.5-1 Courtland Sutton 6-136-22.7-0 North Texas J'Mar Smith 16-28-168-0-0 Boston Scott 16-64-4.0-1 Rhashid Bonnette 6-77-12.8-0 SMU DL UCF Ben Hicks 27-51-283-1-0 Xavier Jones 19-84-4.4-1 James Proche 7-173-24.7-1 Florida Atlantic J'Mar Smith 30-51-326-1-0 Boston Scott 19-87-4.6-1 Teddy Veal 6-112-18.7-1 LA Tech DL at Navy Ben Hicks 16-29-261-4-1 Xavier Jones 18-106-5.9-1 Courtland Sutton 7-123-17.6-2 at UTEP J'Mar Smith 15-28-203-2-0 Jaqwis Dancy 15-135-9.0-1 Teddy Veal 6-66-11.0-1 vs. 0.48 at Memphis Ben Hicks 15-34-218-4-0 Xavier Jones 20-175-8.8-2 James Proche 4-70-17.5-0 UTSA J'Mar Smith 7-21-101-0-1 Boston Scott 20-138-6.9-1 Rhashid Bonnette 4-64-16.0-0 SMU OL Tulane Ben Hicks 24-33-375-4-2 Ke'Mon Freeman 15-41-2.7-2 Trey Quinn 6-139-23.2-2 Bye LA Tech LB'S Bye † SMU vs. 1.22 † Louisiana Tech SMU RB's J'Mar Smith 214-386-2758-13-5 Boston Scott 163-937-5.7-8 Teddy Veal 68-828-12.2-5 LA Tech DB's Ben Hicks 257-438-3442-32-9 Xavier Jones 170-1019-6.0-9 Trey Quinn 106-1191-11.2-12 LA Tech Leaders Westin Elliott 3-6-23-1-0 Jarred Craft 111-516-4.6-3 Rhashid Bonnette 32-576-18.0-2 vs. 2.19 SMU Leaders Rafe Peavey 4-4-116-1-0 Ke'Mon Freeman 126-527-4.2-11 Courtland Sutton 62-1017-16.4-12 Team 0-1-0-0-0 J'Mar Smith 110-356-3.2-5 Marlon Watts 22-319-14.5-0 SMU QB/WR DJ Gillins 1-4-76-1-0 Braeden West 65-512-7.9-2 James Proche 40-816-20.4-6 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) LA Tech ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Projected Box Score vs. 0.51 Las Vegas Line Chad Morris did a great job getting SMU to a bowl for the first time s/’12. They played SMU ST's Smu By 5 at just a 79.75 avg game grade the L/4 games. LT needed to win their L/2 to get to 6 Projected Rushing LA Tech K Las Vegas Total 205 yards LA Tech SMU 194 yards 0.70 vs. 70 Points wins, but only played at an avg game grade of 80.05 the L/4 games. Morris has left Projected Passing SMU K for Arkansas so SMU will be led by former LT HC Sonny Dykes. LT’s Skip Holtz is 3-0 +/- Ratings 265 yards LA Tech SMU 311 yards LA Tech Coaches Smu By 7.5 in bowls with the Bulldogs. SMU has the edge at all 4 areas on OFF. SMU avg 70 ypg Projected Yardage Total 1.20 vs. Game Grade more than their opponents allow on avg. LT has the edge on D in all 3 areas. The ST’s 470 yards LA Tech SMU 505 yards SMU Coaches Smu By 7.5 are even. SMU will have the crowd edge as they were the first choice of the Frisco Projected Final Score LA Tech Pts Computer Yards Bowl all season. LT did lead SC almost the entire game, missed a tying PAT vs UAB, 34 points LA Tech SMU 42 points 7.03 vs. 4.41 Smu 505-470 led SM by 11 with under 2 minutes left, and led NT late 3Q. SMU did win every game Experience Rankings SMU Pts Computer Points they were favored in, and lost every game they were a ‘dog. They were 4-3 ATS as a 120 LA Tech SMU 9 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Smu 42-34 Team Schedule Strength favorite. I like the over 70 in this one.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto LA Tech Phil Steele 113 LA Tech SMU 72 SMU by 9 By 2.62 Points SMU 44 Louisiana Tech 35 LOUISIANA TECH (6-6) FRISCOWednesday, December 20,BOWL 2017 • 8:00 pm SMU (7-5) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 6-6 ESPN • • Frisco, TX ATS: 6-5-1 O/U: 7-5 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS LT SMU 221 rush yd 190 238 pass yd 313 34 pts 41 +7 ytd to +10 #103 sked #67 CHECKLIST LT SMU edge edge – QB 4 – RB 1/2 – WR 44 1/2 – OL 1/2 4 DL – 4 LB – 41/2 DB – 4 4 CCH – – SITE 44 – MTCH – – INT – – ST – – SKED 44 OVERALL SMU BY 3 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Temple Owls 6-6 8-4 FIU Golden Panthers Owls Logs vs. AAC vs. CUSA Golden Panthers Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 4-4 5-3 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 130 9/2 at Notre Dame 16-49 L 93 68 23 14 27 49 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 103 109 8/31 at UCF 17-61 L 111 99 82 70 67 33 0-1 0-0 114 9/9 Villanova 16-13 W 95 77 23 0-1 0-0 100 9/9 Alcorn St 17-10 W 115 111 82 Temple FIU 1-1 0-3 0-0 0-0 113 97 9/15 UMass 29-21 W 98 90 45 103 108 121 1-1 0-0 100 9/16 Bye 118 110 110 2-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 111 125 21 9/21 at USF 7-43 L 96 81 24 42 24 64 #99 Rush Off #65 1-1 1-2 0-0 1-0 100 97 9/23 at Rice 13-7 W 116 115 107 117 100 104 2-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 107 124 9/30 Houston 13-20 L 120 81 52 54 51 60 #46 Pass Off #56 2-1 0-4 1-0 0-0 102 86 9/30 Charlotte 30-29 W 119 106 95 124 121 84 2-3 1-4 0-2 1-1 108 95 10/7 at East Carolina 34-10 W 120 77 36 106 130 128 #79 Total Off #62 3-1 2-3 2-0 0-1 99 100 10/7 at Middle Tennessee 17-37 L 103 111 80 108 78 73 3-3 1-4 1-2 0-3 111 89 10/14 Connecticut 24-28 L 118 74 51 96 111 118 #92 Score Off #74 3-2 3-2 2-1 1-1 96 114 10/14 Tulane 23-10 W 105 112 80 88 101 79 3-4 5-2 1-3 0-0 106 112 10/21 at Army West Point 28-31 L 117 70 57 85 105 65 #38 Sks Allowed #50 4-2 2-1 101 10/21 Bye 99 113 61 3-5 1-3 108 10/28 Bye 111 70 82 #84 Rush Def #79 4-2 6-1 2-1 3-0 101 116 10/28 at Marshall 41-30 W 96 111 62 74 28 29 3-5 5-2 1-3 3-2 108 116 11/2 Navy 34-26 W 111 75 100 21 104 95 #42 Pass Def #95 5-2 5-2 3-1 2-2 106 108 11/4 UTSA 14-7 W 90 110 68 70 43 28 4-5 3-6 2-3 1-4 111 106 11/10 at Cincinnati 35-24 W 110 82 107 95 97 111 #63 Total Def #83 6-2 3-6 4-1 1-4 107 95 11/11 Old Dominion 30-37 L 93 104 77 128 107 117 5-5 9-0 3-3 6-0 113 125 14 11/18 UCF 19-45 L 105 85 102 10 51 21 #74 Score Def #80 6-3 7-3 4-2 6-0 102 119 11/18 at Florida Atlantic 24-52 L 81 112 78 43 80 20 5-6 2-9 3-4 1-6 110 108 11/25 at Tulsa 43-22 W 107 87 96 72 127 70 #23 Sks By #83 6-4 6-5 4-3 4-3 101 105 11/25 WKU 41-17 W 89 115 71 108 95 75 6-6 4-4 115 12/2 Bye 104 88 93 #76 Ypg Diff #81 7-4 4-7 5-3 0-2 106 105 12/2 UMass 63-45 W 82 107 66 72 97 126 6-6 8-4 4-4 5-3 115 109 12/21 † FIU 97 81 93 77 111 67 -6 Total TO's -1 8-4 5-3 109 12/9 Bye 77 111 67 6-6 4-4 115 12/21 † Temple 97 81 93 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at Notre Dame 16-49 -276 -8 0 18 37-85 2.3 19-35 245 3 26 44-422 9.6 17-30 184 2 at UCF 17-61 -252 -18 -2 13 26-134 5.2 18-31 201 1 31 45-148 3.3 26-33 439 0 Villanova 16-13 -49 -2 1 17 27-79 2.9 20-34 274 1 19 30-20 0.7 27-41 382 3 Alcorn St 17-10 196 14 -1 26 40-137 3.4 21-33 328 2 12 25-78 3.1 22-34 191 2 UMass 29-21 -71 -5 1 20 34-119 3.5 24-39 268 2 25 33-81 2.5 23-39 377 9 Bye at USF 7-43 -323 -15 -4 7 33--4 -0.1 7-25 89 5 22 63-312 5.0 8-20 96 1 at Rice 13-7 23 -1 0 18 33-99 3.0 17-28 172 5 19 41-100 2.4 16-27 148 2 Houston 13-20 -64 -1 -2 22 37-142 3.8 20-42 182 1 23 31-162 5.2 25-36 226 0 Charlotte 30-29 -29 -3 -1 20 41-234 5.7 15-27 241 0 23 49-349 7.1 16-28 155 1 at East Carolina 34-10 236 9 0 24 46-179 3.9 21-33 344 0 15 22-34 1.5 20-38 253 4 at Middle Tennessee 17-37 -120 -4 -2 21 36-85 2.4 22-34 221 4 25 34-176 5.2 25-31 250 0 Connecticut 24-28 229 13 0 28 29-117 4.0 33-55 356 2 15 38-139 3.7 18-28 105 2 Tulane 23-10 199 5 0 23 44-218 5.0 17-31 220 0 18 40-203 5.1 5-16 36 3 at Army West Point 28-31 117 5 1 24 37-217 5.9 21-31 289 2 19 50-248 5.0 8-18 141 1 Bye Bye at Marshall 41-30 -104 -8 3 21 48-224 4.7 14-18 177 1 29 29-142 4.9 33-52 363 0 Navy 34-26 31 0 0 20 28-104 3.7 22-30 289 0 20 52-136 2.6 13-19 226 5 UTSA 14-7 54 -1 -1 18 37-100 2.7 18-25 215 0 19 40-156 3.9 13-22 105 4 at Cincinnati 35-24 24 4 -1 25 43-205 4.8 19-30 224 1 21 35-184 5.3 21-37 221 1 Old Dominion 30-37 48 6 -2 27 35-164 4.7 35-50 323 2 21 36-199 5.5 17-24 240 3 UCF 19-45 13 2 -5 19 35-196 5.6 17-42 201 1 17 40-130 3.3 18-28 254 2 at Florida Atlantic 24-52 -269 -9 1 18 31-85 2.7 20-33 218 4 27 46-333 7.2 18-25 239 1 at Tulsa 43-22 82 -5 3 20 34-193 5.7 21-29 258 1 25 54-314 5.8 6-19 55 2 WKU 41-17 -28 -5 3 18 34-122 3.6 18-27 251 0 23 28-46 1.6 30-49 355 5 Temple Owls Bye UMass 63-45 126 0 1 26 49-379 7.7 20-25 295 3 26 24-156 6.5 34-49 392 1 † FIU Bye † Temple FIU Golden PanthersFIUGolden Average 25-28 -4.3 -0.3 -0.5 20 35-136 3.9 57.4% 252 4.5% 21 41-182 4.4 57.8% 210 9.1% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 28-29 -13.0 -2.0 -0.1 21 38-165 4.4 64.9% 239 6.1% 23 36-174 4.8 65.4% 243 5.6% Conference 26-27 28.5 0.9 -1.1 21 36-142 4.0 55.9% 243 3.8% 20 42-176 4.2 57.3% 180 7.6% Conference 26-27 -53.1 -3.1 0.1 20 37-139 3.8 65.7% 227 6.6% 23 38-188 5.0 65.1% 232 6.2% Away 27-30 -23.3 -1.7 -0.2 20 38-146 3.8 59.0% 242 6.6% 21 45-252 5.6 49.4% 158 6.8% Home 31-22 80.9 2.3 -0.1 23 40-193 4.8 66.1% 268 3.2% 20 35-170 4.9 61.7% 211 8.6% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving at Notre Dame Logan Marchi 19-35-245-2-0 Ryquell Armstead 19-67-3.5-0 Isaiah Wright 4-79-19.8-0 Temple FIU at UCF Alex McGough 18-29-201-1-1 Napoleon Maxwell 4-61-15.3-1 Thomas Owens 4-99-24.8-1 Villanova Logan Marchi 20-34-274-0-0 David Hood 4-21-5.3-0 Ventell Bryant 7-79-11.3-0 Temple QB/WR Alcorn St Alex McGough 21-33-328-0-0 Alex Gardner 20-102-5.1-1 Julian Williams 5-129-25.8-0 UMass Logan Marchi 22-37-248-3-0 Ryquell Armstead 17-91-5.4-0 Isaiah Wright 4-69-17.3-1 2.44 vs. Bye at USF Frank Nutile 4-12-57-0-1 Rob Ritrovato 5-24-4.8-0 Adonis Jennings 2-33-16.5-0 FIU DB's at Rice Alex McGough 17-28-172-1-1 Alex Gardner 17-80-4.7-0 Tony Gaiter IV 4-54-13.5-0 Houston Logan Marchi 20-41-182-1-3 Ryquell Armstead 14-63-4.5-0 Isaiah Wright 5-53-10.6-0 Temple RB's Charlotte Alex McGough 14-26-206-1-1 Napoleon Maxwell 5-76-15.2-0 Thomas Owens 7-101-14.4-1 at East Carolina Logan Marchi 19-31-321-2-1 David Hood 20-106-5.3-1 Isaiah Wright 6-91-15.2-1 0.74 vs. at Middle Tennessee Alex McGough 20-31-209-1-1 Alex Gardner 10-42-4.2-0 Thomas Owens 11-162-14.7-1 Connecticut Logan Marchi 33-54-356-1-1 Ryquell Armstead 9-31-3.4-1 David Hood 8-91-11.4-0 FIU LB's Tulane Alex McGough 17-31-220-1-2 Alex Gardner 20-79-4.0-0 Thomas Owens 6-152-25.3-0 at Army West Point Frank Nutile 20-29-290-1-0 Ryquell Armstead 18-151-8.4-2 Isaiah Wright 3-79-26.3-0 Temple OL Bye Bye 0.08 vs. at Marshall Alex McGough 14-18-177-2-0 Napoleon Maxwell 11-93-8.5-1 Thomas Owens 7-114-16.3-2 Navy Frank Nutile 22-30-289-4-1 Isaiah Wright 4-40-10.0-0 Adonis Jennings 5-127-25.4-2 FIU DL UTSA Alex McGough 18-25-215-2-1 Shawndarri Phillips 11-45-4.1-0 Thomas Owens 8-72-9.0-1 at Cincinnati Frank Nutile 19-30-224-1-1 David Hood 23-108-4.7-1 Ventell Bryant 4-62-15.5-0 Temple DL Old Dominion Alex McGough 35-50-323-2-0 Alex Gardner 15-95-6.3-1 Thomas Owens 11-87-7.9-0 UCF Frank Nutile 17-40-201-2-4 David Hood 12-81-6.8-0 Adonis Jennings 2-88-44.0-1 0.54 vs. at Florida Atlantic Alex McGough 20-32-218-2-0 Alex Gardner 10-56-5.6-1 Sherman Thornton 2-55-27.5-1 at Tulsa Frank Nutile 20-28-262-3-0 David Hood 14-84-6.0-1 Adonis Jennings 3-89-29.7-1 FIU OL WKU Alex McGough 17-26-227-1-0 Shawndarri Phillips 17-69-4.1-2 Pharoah McKever 3-62-20.7-1 Bye Temple LB'S UMass Alex McGough 20-25-295-3-1 Alex McGough 11-108-9.8-1 Bryce Singleton 6-111-18.5-3 † FIU vs. 0.18 Bye FIU RB's † Temple Logan Marchi 136-245-1658-9-8 David Hood 116-562-4.8-4 Adonis Jennings 39-691-17.7-7 Temple DB's Alex McGough 231-354-2791-17-8 Alex Gardner 171-765-4.5-6 Thomas Owens 59-887-15.0-6 Temple Leaders Frank Nutile 104-171-1346-11-7 Ryquell Armstead 141-553-3.9-4 Isaiah Wright 41-595-14.5-3 vs. 1.93 FIU Leaders Thomas Owens 1-1-35-1-0 Shawndarri Phillips 98-453-4.6-4 Pharoah McKever 26-294-11.3-3 Todd Centeio 2-2-20-0-0 Isaiah Wright 23-194-8.4-1 Keith Kirkwood 39-575-14.7-7 FIU QB/WR Stone Wilson 1-1-24-1-0 Napoleon Maxwell 70-425-6.1-5 Tony Gaiter IV 31-293-9.5-1 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Temple ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score vs. 0.35 Las Vegas Line FIU ST's Temple By 7.5 Temple looked like they were going to miss the postseason in their first year Projected Rushing Temple K Las Vegas Total under new HC Geoff Collins. QB Frank Nutile started the L/5 and the Owls won 162 yards Temple FIU 142 yards vs. 0.47 56 Points Projected Passing FIU K 3 of their L/4 games. They avg 19.8 ppg the F7, but 31.8 ppg in Nutile’s starts. +/- Ratings 250 yards Temple FIU 244 yards Temple Coaches Temple By 4.0 Butch Davis did a great job his first year as FIU doubled its win total and pulled Projected Yardage Total vs. 1.50 Game Grade off 5 outright upsets. The Panthers veteran QB Alex McGough opened slow, but 412 yards Temple FIU 385 yards FIU Coaches Temple By 3.0 had a 12-2 ratio his L/6 games. Temple has the edge at WR, while FIU has the Projected Final Score Temple Pts Computer Yards slight edge at RB. Temple has the edge on D in all 3 areas, but FIU doesn’t 31 points Temple FIU 28 points 3.80 vs. 4.43 Temple 412-385 Experience Rankings FIU Pts have to leave the state and will have the crowd edge. FIU also has the ST’s Computer Points 111 Temple FIU 4 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Temple 31-28 edge. Despite getting over a td, FIU could pull the upset. Team Schedule Strength

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto FIU Phil Steele 79 Temple FIU 110 FIU by 1 By 0.64 Points Best Bet: H FIU 31 (+) Temple 30 TEMPLE (6-6) GASPARILLAThursday, December 21, 2017 • 8:00BOWL pm FIU (8-4) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 6-6 ESPN • Tropical Field • St Petersburg, FL ATS: 6-6 O/U: 8-4 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS TEMP FIU 169 rush yd 160 256 pass yd 227 34 pts 30 -6 ytd to -1 #78 sked #105 CHECKLIST TEMP FIU edge edge – QB 1/2 – RB 4 41/2 WR – – OL 1/2 4 DL – 1/2 LB – 41/2 DB – – CCH 44 – SITE 41/2 4 MTCH – – INT – – ST 4 4 SKED – OVERALL EVEN 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: UAB Blazers 8-4 8-4 Ohio Bobcats Blazers Logs vs. CUSA vs. MAC Bobcats Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 6-2 5-3 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 95 9/2 Alabama A&M 38-7 W 128 114 121 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 109 9/2 Hampton 59-0 W 94 66 22 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 97 101 9/9 at Ball St 31-51 L 128 95 121 109 124 59 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 113 9/8 at Purdue 21-44 L 87 47 22 83 63 79 UAB Ohio 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 95 96 9/16 Coastal Carolina 30-23 W 124 94 127 125 127 100 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 110 103 9/16 Kansas 42-30 W 89 59 17 87 98 97 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 96 101 9/23 at North Texas 43-46 L 115 92 112 81 89 89 #37 Rush Off #17 2-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 110 109 9/23 at Eastern Michigan 27-20 W 77 66 11 99 83 96 2-2 0-1 97 9/30 Bye 110 98 128 #106 Pass Off #96 3-1 0-5 1-0 0-1 112 101 9/30 at UMass 58-50 W 76 66 14 97 110 119 2-2 3-2 0-1 1-0 97 113 10/7 Louisiana Tech 23-22 W 107 96 115 66 86 71 #98 Total Off #39 4-1 2-3 1-0 0-1 112 100 10/7 Central Michigan 23-26 L 71 67 16 73 91 121 3-2 3-3 1-1 1-1 100 103 10/14 Middle Tennessee 25-23 W 110 93 127 102 77 72 #55 Score Off #14 4-2 1-5 1-1 1-1 108 98 10/14 at Bowling Green 48-30 W 66 66 3 103 126 31 4-2 0-7 2-1 0-3 100 89 10/21 at Charlotte 24-25 L 97 85 128 113 122 98 #58 Sks Allowed #20 5-2 2-5 2-1 1-2 110 98 10/21 Kent St 48-3 W 60 63 10 130 103 95 4-3 5-2 2-2 3-1 98 105 10/28 at Southern Miss 30-12 W 89 82 127 45 59 92 #72 Rush Def #10 6-2 3-5 3-1 2-2 114 105 10/31 Miami, OH 45-28 W 51 64 6 99 90 88 5-3 1-7 3-2 1-3 103 89 11/4 Rice 52-21 W 86 80 128 114 117 108 #22 Pass Def #109 7-2 8-1 4-1 5-0 114 123 11/8 Toledo 38-10 W 46 66 7 28 69 7 6-3 5-3 4-2 2-3 106 107 11/11 at UTSA 24-19 W 80 84 129 79 46 39 #36 Total Def #49 8-2 5-5 5-1 4-2 114 106 11/14 at Akron 34-37 L 45 61 11 116 90 126 7-3 3-6 5-2 3-5 108 115 11/18 at Florida 7-36 L 88 79 124 62 40 54 #46 Score Def #57 8-3 5-2 119 11/18 Bye 41 56 14 7-4 0-11 5-2 0-7 105 84 11/25 UTEP 28-7 W 97 80 125 130 121 107 #101 Sks By #39 8-3 5-6 5-2 3-4 115 105 11/24 at Buffalo 24-31 L 42 61 6 79 106 102 8-4 6-2 105 12/2 Bye 100 80 122 #70 Ypg Diff #39 8-4 5-3 112 12/2 Bye 43 64 9 8-4 8-4 6-2 5-3 105 112 12/22 † Ohio 105 76 123 52 66 9 +4 Total TO's -4 8-4 8-4 5-3 6-2 112 105 12/22 † UAB 52 66 9 105 76 123

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Alabama A&M 38-7 240 14 0 23 59-258 4.4 12-22 165 3 9 33-45 1.4 13-29 138 3 Hampton 59-0 312 15 1 22 53-248 4.7 13-19 172 0 7 32-47 1.5 6-24 61 3 at Ball St 31-51 127 0 -2 24 49-336 6.9 15-24 168 3 24 44-160 3.6 23-35 217 0 at Purdue 21-44 -162 -2 -2 23 38-173 4.6 17-29 223 1 25 44-263 6.0 16-24 295 1 Coastal Carolina 30-23 -53 -5 2 18 47-169 3.6 8-15 105 2 23 49-227 4.6 9-23 100 1 Kansas 42-30 -1 -1 0 22 42-196 4.7 16-22 254 1 23 32-108 3.4 30-47 343 5 at North Texas 43-46 -153 -12 0 16 36-74 2.1 17-36 321 4 28 44-287 6.5 15-29 261 1 at Eastern Michigan 27-20 18 4 -1 19 46-171 3.7 19-31 197 4 15 27-45 1.7 29-49 305 2 Bye at UMass 58-50 -71 -5 2 25 40-298 7.5 13-24 181 2 30 37-147 4.0 33-58 403 2 Louisiana Tech 23-22 3 1 0 22 36-178 4.9 21-32 188 1 21 34-154 4.5 17-29 209 2 Central Michigan 23-26 33 3 -3 21 39-190 4.9 17-31 160 2 18 31-68 2.2 25-35 249 2 Middle Tennessee 25-23 40 -5 1 21 44-260 5.9 16-31 174 0 26 32-131 4.1 24-44 263 2 at Bowling Green 48-30 19 -4 2 18 43-335 7.8 7-22 105 0 22 47-229 4.9 17-43 192 2 at Charlotte 24-25 -32 3 0 18 33-162 4.9 21-29 182 0 15 49-222 4.5 14-28 154 0 Kent St 48-3 308 16 1 23 43-336 7.8 9-20 138 3 7 37-102 2.8 7-17 64 4 at Southern Miss 30-12 70 7 1 21 49-209 4.3 16-29 208 3 14 26-81 3.1 19-38 266 0 Miami, OH 45-28 -5 5 2 26 36-149 4.1 21-33 294 0 21 23-98 4.3 28-51 350 1 Rice 52-21 -24 4 3 21 36-242 6.7 20-21 197 0 17 35-236 6.7 14-24 227 1 Toledo 38-10 216 9 -1 23 56-393 7.0 7-15 139 1 14 23-53 2.3 24-35 263 4 at UTSA 24-19 -34 -2 1 16 53-216 4.1 8-13 49 2 18 36-137 3.8 17-37 162 3 at Akron 34-37 -48 5 -3 23 43-282 6.6 10-23 113 0 18 32-121 3.8 22-38 322 0 at Florida 7-36 -229 -17 -4 8 18-3 0.2 14-20 177 3 25 50-257 5.1 15-30 152 2 Bye

UTEP 28-7 126 13 2 23 45-175 3.9 15-25 159 2 10 30-101 3.4 8-20 107 4 Blazers UAB at Buffalo 24-31 74 4 -2 20 43-159 3.7 15-30 265 2 16 26-56 2.2 19-30 294 2

Bye Bobcats Ohio Bye † Ohio † UAB

Average 30-24 6.7 0.1 0.3 19 42-190 4.5 61.6% 174 7.7% 19 39-170 4.4 51.4% 188 5.2% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 39-26 57.7 4.1 -0.3 22 44-244 5.6 54.8% 187 5.4% 18 33-111 3.4 56.8% 262 6.2% Conference 31-22 -0.5 1.1 1.0 20 42-190 4.6 62.0% 185 5.6% 19 36-169 4.7 51.4% 206 5.2% Conference 36-23 76.9 5.3 -0.6 22 44-252 5.8 51.2% 176 5.9% 16 31-97 3.1 57.4% 255 5.7% Away 27-32 -41.8 -3.5 -0.7 17 40-167 4.2 60.3% 184 9.9% 21 42-191 4.6 52.3% 202 3.0% Home 43-16 143.8 7.8 0.0 23 45-252 5.6 59.3% 193 5.0% 15 30-79 2.7 57.4% 222 9.1% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Alabama A&M AJ Erdely 11-20-152-2-0 Carlos Stephens 15-76-5.1-0 Collin Lisa 3-43-14.3-0 UAB Ohio Hampton Quinton Maxwell 7-9-100-1-1 AJ Ouellette 12-63-5.3-0 Cameron Odom 4-75-18.8-0 at Ball St AJ Erdely 15-24-168-0-0 Spencer Brown 17-151-8.9-0 Sederian Copeland 2-45-22.5-0 UAB QB/WR at Purdue Nathan Rourke 16-23-224-1-0 Julian Ross 9-55-6.1-1 Papi White 6-98-16.3-0 Coastal Carolina AJ Erdely 7-14-102-0-0 Spencer Brown 16-51-3.2-2 Collin Lisa 2-43-21.5-0 0.89 vs. Kansas Nathan Rourke 11-16-152-2-0 AJ Ouellette 10-102-10.2-1 Brendan Cope 5-104-20.8-0 at North Texas AJ Erdely 17-36-321-4-1 Spencer Brown 17-50-2.9-1 Andre Wilson 5-150-30.0-2 Ohio DB's at Eastern Michigan Nathan Rourke 19-32-197-2-0 AJ Ouellette 26-145-5.6-0 Cameron Odom 5-56-11.2-1 Bye UAB RB's at UMass Nathan Rourke 13-24-181-2-0 AJ Ouellette 12-125-10.4-1 Brendan Cope 7-126-18.0-1 Louisiana Tech AJ Erdely 21-32-188-0-0 Spencer Brown 25-165-6.6-1 Andre Wilson 8-105-13.1-0 vs. 0.06 Central Michigan Nathan Rourke 17-31-160-0-1 Nathan Rourke 13-105-8.1-3 Brendan Cope 6-58-9.7-0 Middle Tennessee AJ Erdely 16-31-174-1-1 Spencer Brown 31-167-5.4-1 Ronnie Turner Jr. 6-54-9.0-0 Ohio LB's at Bowling Green Nathan Rourke 7-22-105-1-2 Nathan Rourke 8-143-17.9-3 Andrew Meyer 3-84-28.0-1 at Charlotte AJ Erdely 21-29-182-1-0 Spencer Brown 16-71-4.4-0 Sederian Copeland 2-47-23.5-0 UAB OL Kent St Nathan Rourke 8-17-132-2-0 Dorian Brown 13-108-8.3-1 Papi White 2-82-41.0-0 at Southern Miss AJ Erdely 16-29-208-1-0 Spencer Brown 33-209-6.3-1 Xavier Ubosi 1-60-60.0-0 vs. 0.62 Miami, OH Nathan Rourke 21-33-294-3-0 AJ Ouellette 20-80-4.0-0 Brendan Cope 5-89-17.8-1 Rice AJ Erdely 20-21-197-3-0 Spencer Brown 17-140-8.2-3 Donnie Lee 5-84-16.8-1 Ohio DL Toledo Nathan Rourke 7-15-139-1-1 Dorian Brown 17-142-8.4-2 Papi White 3-91-30.3-0 at UTSA AJ Erdely 8-13-49-1-1 Spencer Brown 27-128-4.7-0 Ronnie Turner Jr. 2-16-8.0-1 UAB DL at Akron Nathan Rourke 9-22-110-0-2 Nathan Rourke 15-165-11.0-2 Papi White 6-68-11.3-0 at Florida AJ Erdely 14-19-177-1-1 Spencer Brown 8-17-2.1-0 Xavier Ubosi 1-74-74.0-1 vs. 1.73 Bye UTEP AJ Erdely 15-25-159-2-0 Spencer Brown 22-98-4.5-0 Collin Lisa 7-76-10.9-1 Ohio OL at Buffalo Nathan Rourke 15-30-265-1-1 Julian Ross 19-81-4.3-0 Cameron Odom 2-85-42.5-1 Bye UAB LB'S Bye † Ohio vs. 0.49 † UAB Ohio RB's AJ Erdely 181-293-2077-16-4 Spencer Brown 236-1289-5.5-10 Andre Wilson 48-619-12.9-6 UAB DB's Nathan Rourke 149-275-2031-15-7 AJ Ouellette 185-985-5.3-7 Papi White 31-520-16.8-2 UAB Leaders Tyler Johnston III 1-2-13-0-0 AJ Erdely 116-297-2.6-13 Collin Lisa 29-384-13.2-1 vs. 0.60 Ohio Leaders Quinton Maxwell 14-24-220-2-2 Nathan Rourke 134-877-6.5-21 Brendan Cope 35-494-14.1-4 Collin Lisa 1-1-3-0-0 James Noble III 49-271-5.5-0 Xavier Ubosi 9-208-23.1-1 Ohio QB/WR Brendan Cope 1-1-3-1-0 Dorian Brown 99-592-6.0-7 Andrew Meyer 29-433-14.9-2 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) UAB ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Projected Box Score vs. 3.81 Las Vegas Line Ohio ST's Ohio By 5 Projected Rushing UAB K Bill Clark is up for most national COY awards. OU turned the OFF over to Las Vegas Total 213 yards UAB Ohio 215 yards vs. 0.70 58 Points Canadian Nathan Rourke in week 2. OU WR Papi White will be the most Projected Passing Ohio K +/- Ratings explosive player on the field. OU has the edge on both the OL and DL’s, and at 135 yards UAB Ohio 193 yards UAB Coaches Ohio By 7.0 LB. UAB has the edge in 1 area, the DB’s, where they were #38 in my pass D Projected Yardage Total vs. 1.00 Game Grade 348 yards UAB Ohio 407 yards Ohio Coaches Ohio By 11.6 numbers, led by first team CUSA Darious Williams. Frank Solich has the bowl Projected Final Score UAB Pts game experience edge, but it must be noted that he is just 4-9 in bowl games. Computer Yards 28 points UAB Ohio 34 points 0.89 vs. 9.02 Ohio 407-348 OU’s biggest edge in this game is ST’s. UAB pulled 5 outright upsets and is Experience Rankings Ohio Pts Computer Points getting over a td. 130 UAB Ohio 76 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Ohio 34-28 Team Schedule Strength

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Ohio Phil Steele 129 UAB Ohio 116 Ohio by 3 By 8.13 Points Best Bet: ★ UAB 28 (+) Ohio 31

UAB (8-4) BAHAMASFriday, December 22, 2017 •BOWL 12:30 pm OHIO (8-4) ATS: 8-3-1 O/U: 4-8 ESPN • Thomas Robinson Stadium • Nassau Bahamas ATS: 8-4 O/U: 8-4 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UAB OHIO 114 rush yd 237 190 pass yd 178 27 pts 35 +4 ytd to -4 #129 sked #119 CHECKLIST UAB OHIO edge edge – QB 1/2 – RB – – WR 1/2 – OL 41/2 – DL 4 – LB 1/2 41/2 DB – – CCH 4 – SITE – – MTCH – 4 INT – – ST 4441/2 – SKED 1/2 OVERALL OHIO BY 6’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: C Michigan Chippewas 8-4 7-5 Wyoming Cowboys Chippewas Logs vs. MAC vs. MTW Cowboys Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 6-2 5-3 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 106 8/31 Rhode Island 30-27 W 75 90 110 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 120 9/2 at Iowa 3-24 L 98 85 119 69 30 40 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 108 9/9 at Kansas 45-27 W 71 89 110 89 94 100 0-1 0-0 108 9/9 Gardner-Webb 27-0 W 111 91 119 C Michigan Wyoming 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 108 109 9/16 at Syracuse 14-41 L 57 83 115 70 56 49 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 107 127 9/16 Oregon 13-49 L 114 102 123 1 34 19 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 104 108 9/23 Miami, OH 14-31 L 56 88 108 109 84 80 #93 Rush Off #120 1-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 104 101 9/23 Hawaii 28-21 W 124 100 94 66 115 130 2-2 1-3 0-1 0-2 101 111 9/30 at Boston College 8-28 L 64 90 118 94 50 66 #48 Pass Off #101 2-2 1-3 1-0 0-1 104 86 9/30 Texas St 45-10 W 121 104 96 127 119 120 2-3 4-1 0-1 1-0 100 112 10/7 at Ohio 26-23 W 73 91 121 71 67 16 #71 Total Off #126 3-2 1-0 106 10/7 Bye 121 93 93 3-3 4-1 1-1 1-0 104 115 10/14 Toledo 10-30 L 81 89 130 53 96 26 #53 Score Off #108 3-2 3-3 1-0 1-1 106 110 10/14 at Utah St 28-23 W 123 92 62 108 103 4 3-4 2-4 1-2 0-2 102 95 10/21 at Ball St 56-9 W 90 87 127 121 108 99 #32 Sks Allowed #58 4-2 4-2 2-0 2-0 109 116 10/21 at Boise St 14-24 L 122 88 72 93 48 7 4-4 2-2 106 10/28 Bye 91 73 123 #91 Rush Def #75 4-3 3-4 2-1 1-3 109 108 10/28 New Mexico 42-3 W 125 81 68 70 95 58 4-4 5-3 2-2 3-1 106 114 11/1 at Western Michigan 35-28 W 92 70 126 57 67 8 #23 Pass Def #5 5-3 6-3 3-1 4-1 113 112 11/4 Colorado St 16-13 W 124 69 64 33 102 46 5-4 3-6 3-2 1-4 110 115 11/8 Eastern Michigan 42-30 W 86 66 127 104 87 120 #54 Total Def #21 6-3 4-5 4-1 3-2 113 108 11/11 at Air Force 28-14 W 124 64 48 62 128 66 6-4 2-8 4-2 1-5 113 89 11/14 at Kent St 42-23 W 86 62 127 129 103 112 #68 Score Def #13 7-3 7-3 5-1 5-1 115 110 11/18 Fresno St 7-13 L 124 64 50 71 71 55 7-4 8-3 5-2 6-1 113 117 11/24 Northern Illinois 31-24 W 82 68 127 87 37 77 #27 Sks By #39 7-4 1-11 5-2 0-7 112 85 11/25 at San Jose St 17-20 L 122 66 49 123 124 41 8-4 6-2 115 12/2 Bye 80 63 123 #66 Ypg Diff #95 7-5 5-3 107 12/2 Bye 121 60 57 8-4 7-5 6-2 5-3 115 107 12/22 † Wyoming 76 68 124 118 62 56 +8 Total TO's +16 7-5 8-4 5-3 6-2 107 115 12/22 † Central Michigan 118 62 56 76 68 124

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Rhode Island 30-27 107 9 2 24 50-246 4.9 28-54 253 2 15 31-108 3.5 21-40 284 1 at Iowa 3-24 -30 -1 2 15 30-59 2.0 23-40 174 3 16 41-138 3.4 8-15 125 2 at Kansas 45-27 120 -3 1 26 35-123 3.5 28-37 467 0 29 34-147 4.3 32-62 323 2 Gardner-Webb 27-0 198 7 1 19 28-65 2.3 22-32 328 0 12 52-173 3.3 2-7 22 3 at Syracuse 17-41 -197 4 0 22 34-105 3.1 23-46 277 0 18 44-300 6.8 19-35 279 0 Oregon 13-49 -375 -22 1 10 32-117 3.7 10-25 66 2 32 65-307 4.7 18-30 251 2 Miami, OH 14-31 -49 -1 -2 19 38-117 3.1 20-39 228 0 20 40-177 4.4 11-19 217 2 Hawaii 28-21 -181 -13 2 11 29-177 6.1 9-19 92 2 24 38-170 4.5 29-40 280 2 at Boston College 8-28 -13 1 -1 18 33-116 3.5 22-43 180 3 17 53-224 4.2 14-21 85 0 Texas St 45-10 71 2 1 18 35-84 2.4 15-26 249 2 16 52-135 2.6 11-23 127 4 at Ohio 26-23 -33 -3 3 18 31-68 2.2 25-35 249 2 21 39-190 4.9 17-31 160 2 Bye Toledo 10-30 -155 -5 -2 12 21-62 3.0 17-38 182 0 17 56-310 5.5 10-18 89 1 at Utah St 28-23 -70 -9 4 14 36-85 2.4 18-26 208 3 23 37-131 3.5 20-39 232 3 at Ball St 56-9 247 8 0 22 45-256 5.7 16-23 199 2 14 41-81 2.0 20-34 127 8 at Boise St 14-24 -101 -6 -2 15 34-111 3.3 12-27 131 4 21 43-166 3.9 18-24 177 3 Bye New Mexico 42-3 125 5 7 18 32-75 2.3 16-28 234 0 13 40-115 2.9 10-25 69 2 at Western Michigan 35-28 50 -2 2 15 35-164 4.7 12-31 243 1 17 54-315 5.8 6-18 42 3 Colorado St 16-13 -51 0 -1 18 34-156 4.6 10-20 138 1 18 55-235 4.3 8-14 110 2 Eastern Michigan 42-30 4 -10 4 12 42-177 4.2 11-18 155 4 22 36-124 3.4 23-39 204 2 at Air Force 28-14 -149 -6 2 16 43-100 2.3 11-15 129 3 22 61-203 3.3 10-22 175 2 at Kent St 42-23 -44 -9 0 16 30-152 5.1 15-23 298 1 25 47-174 3.7 16-30 320 7 Fresno St 7-13 -25 -3 -1 12 28-77 2.8 20-33 231 1 15 45-147 3.3 14-23 186 1 Northern Illinois 31-24 121 -3 1 16 33-139 4.2 20-39 247 3 19 40-137 3.4 20-36 128 3 at San Jose St 17-20 37 3 0 17 43-187 4.3 18-38 170 2 14 43-146 3.4 15-29 174 2 Bye Bye † Wyoming † Central Michigan Wyoming Cowboys Wyoming LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 30-27 13.2 -1.2 0.7 18 36-144 4.0 55.6% 248 4.2% 20 43-191 4.4 54.6% 188 8.1% Michigan C Chippewas Average 22-18 -45.9 -3.6 1.3 15 34-108 3.2 55.9% 179 7.0% 19 48-172 3.6 56.0% 161 9.6% Conference 32-25 17.6 -3.1 0.8 16 34-142 4.1 55.3% 225 5.3% 19 44-189 4.3 54.7% 161 12.4% Conference 23-16 -51.9 -3.6 1.4 15 35-121 3.5 55.3% 167 7.8% 19 45-164 3.6 57.4% 175 7.9% Away 33-26 18.6 -0.6 0.7 20 35-141 4.0 59.2% 273 3.8% 20 45-204 4.6 53.7% 191 9.5% Home 25-16 -34.0 -3.4 1.4 15 31-107 3.4 55.7% 191 4.4% 19 50-183 3.7 56.8% 149 9.9% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Rhode Island Shane Morris 25-49-226-1-1 Jonathan Ward 19-147-7.7-1 Mark Chapman 5-88-17.6-0 C Michigan Wyoming at Iowa Josh Allen 23-40-174-0-2 Milo Hall 9-30-3.3-0 Austin Conway 7-47-6.7-0 at Kansas Shane Morris 28-37-467-5-0 Jonathan Ward 11-59-5.4-0 Mark Chapman 8-168-21.0-3 C Michigan QB/WR Gardner-Webb Josh Allen 22-32-328-2-0 Kellen Overstreet 14-33-2.4-1 Austin Conway 11-135-12.3-1 at Syracuse Shane Morris 22-45-279-2-2 Kumehnnu Gwilly 6-44-7.3-0 Cameron Cole 3-75-25.0-1 0.85 vs. Oregon Josh Allen 9-24-64-0-1 Milo Hall 11-43-3.9-0 Austin Conway 4-27-6.8-0 Miami, OH Shane Morris 15-33-195-1-2 Jonathan Ward 22-56-2.5-0 Eric Cooper 6-81-13.5-1 Wyoming DB's Hawaii Josh Allen 9-19-92-1-0 Trey Woods 15-135-9.0-1 Tyree Mayfield 2-27-13.5-0 at Boston College Shane Morris 21-42-171-0-3 Kumehnnu Gwilly 12-61-5.1-1 Tony Poljan 3-61-20.3-0 C Michigan RB's Texas St Josh Allen 14-24-219-3-0 Trey Woods 21-53-2.5-0 CJ Johnson 4-57-14.3-2 at Ohio Shane Morris 25-35-249-2-1 Tony Poljan 5-24-4.8-0 Tyler Conklin 10-136-13.6-2 vs. 0.40 Bye Toledo Shane Morris 17-37-182-1-2 Jonathan Ward 10-32-3.2-0 Mark Chapman 5-71-14.2-0 Wyoming LB's at Utah St Josh Allen 18-26-208-1-1 Trey Woods 15-40-2.7-0 James Price 4-72-18.0-0 at Ball St Shane Morris 16-21-199-4-0 Jonathan Ward 13-97-7.5-2 Corey Willis 5-98-19.6-3 C Michigan OL at Boise St Josh Allen 12-27-131-1-2 Josh Allen 18-62-3.4-1 Austin Conway 5-33-6.6-0 Bye 0.03 vs. New Mexico Josh Allen 16-28-234-4-0 Trey Woods 11-25-2.3-0 James Price 4-68-17.0-0 at Western Michigan Shane Morris 12-30-243-2-0 Jonathan Ward 18-130-7.2-1 Corey Willis 5-148-29.6-1 Wyoming DL Colorado St Josh Allen 10-20-138-0-0 Josh Allen 12-60-5.0-0 CJ Johnson 2-35-17.5-0 Eastern Michigan Shane Morris 11-18-155-3-0 Jonathan Ward 19-159-8.4-2 Corey Willis 6-71-11.8-2 C Michigan DL at Air Force Josh Allen 8-11-70-1-0 Trey Woods 11-47-4.3-1 Trey Woods 1-38-38.0-0 at Kent St Shane Morris 14-22-297-2-1 Jonathan Ward 13-80-6.2-1 Tyler Conklin 4-104-26.0-0 0.83 vs. Fresno St Nick Smith 20-32-231-1-0 Kellen Overstreet 10-31-3.1-0 Austin Conway 7-105-15.0-0 Northern Illinois Shane Morris 19-37-247-3-1 Jonathan Ward 21-159-7.6-1 Mark Chapman 3-74-24.7-1 Wyoming OL at San Jose St Nick Smith 17-37-171-1-2 Kellen Overstreet 17-139-8.2-0 CJ Johnson 4-106-26.5-1 Bye C Michigan LB'S Bye † Wyoming 0.81 vs. † Central Michigan Wyoming RB's Shane Morris 225-406-2910-26-13 Jonathan Ward 167-988-5.9-9 Mark Chapman 54-805-14.9-5 C Michigan DB's Josh Allen 141-251-1658-13-6 Trey Woods 133-474-3.6-2 Austin Conway 58-520-9.0-2 C Michigan Leaders Tony Poljan 10-17-61-0-0 Kumehnnu Gwilly 52-202-3.9-2 Corey Willis 42-625-14.9-9 vs. 0.05 Wyoming Leaders Nick Smith 40-74-471-2-2 Kellen Overstreet 88-386-4.4-3 CJ Johnson 26-459-17.7-6 Jonathan Ward 1-2-9-0-0 Romello Ross 51-197-3.9-1 Tyler Conklin 28-406-14.5-5 Wyoming QB/WR Austin Conway 2-2-22-0-0 Josh Allen 84-207-2.5-5 James Price 16-254-15.9-1 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) C Michigan ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Projected Box Score vs. 1.46 Las Vegas Line Wyoming ST's Even The big question for this bowl is whether NFL prospect Josh Allen will be healthy Projected Rushing C Michigan K Las Vegas Total 128 yards C Michigan Wyoming 123 yards vs. 1.15 44.5 Points enough to play. CM has the edge on OFF. Wyoming has a slight edge on D. Wyoming’s Projected Passing Wyoming K biggest edges is with their ST’s unit, and the site. Wyoming is used to altitude and +/- Ratings 225 yards C Michigan Wyoming 167 yards C Michigan Coaches C Michigan By 6.0 played at this stadium this year. This game looks like a toss-up and that is where the Projected Yardage Total vs. 0.35 Game Grade line is. 2 factors will have me leaning with the MAC squad. Over the L/4 games, CM 353 yards C Michigan Wyoming 290 yards Wyoming Coaches C Michigan By 3.3 played to an avg game grade of 82.2 and Wyoming to just a 74.7 grade. Wyoming Projected Final Score C Michigan Pts Computer Yards beat 2 bowl teams, but trailed in the 4Q in those wins. CM beat a Big 12 team on the 21 points C Michigan Wyoming 20 points 2.52 vs. 3.41 C Michigan 353-290 road, while also beating 3 bowl teams. CM was -6 ypg vs the 5 bowl teams they Experience Rankings Wyoming Pts Computer Points faced, while Wyoming was -109 ypg vs their 6 bowl foes. 55 C Michigan Wyoming 45 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: C Michigan 21-20 Team Schedule Strength

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Wyoming Phil Steele 95 C Michigan Wyoming 111 C Michigan by 3 By 0.89 Points Central Michigan 21 Wyoming 18 CENTRAL MICH (8-4) FAMOUSFriday, DecemberIDAHO 22, 2017 • 4:00 POTATOpm WYOMING (7-5) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-5-1 ESPN • Albertson’s Stadium • Boise, ID ATS: 7-5 O/U: 3-9 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS CM WYO 142 rush yd 133 224 pass yd 174 24 pts 19 +8 ytd to +16 #107 sked #111 CHECKLIST CM WYO edge edge 41/2 QB – 4 RB – 4 WR – – OL – – DL – – LB 4 4 DB – – CCH 4 – SITE 44 – MTCH – – INT – – ST 441/2 1/2 SKED – OVERALL WYOMING BY 1’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Texas Tech Red Raiders 6-6 9-2 USF Bulls Red Raiders Logs vs. BIG 12 vs. AAC Bulls Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 3-6 6-2 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 120 9/2 Eastern Washington 56-10 W 47 105 59 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 103 19 8/26 at San Jose St 42-22 W 38 36 48 115 111 52 1-0 0-0 125 9/9 Bye 40 79 59 1-0 0-0 119 19 9/2 Stony Brook 31-17 W 53 36 48 Texas Tech USF 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 125 111 9/16 Arizona St 52-45 W 31 66 129 61 57 121 2-0 0-0 119 21 9/9 Bye 52 36 92 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 123 121 9/23 at Houston 27-24 W 29 70 53 50 49 72 #96 Rush Off #9 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 121 109 22 9/15 Illinois 47-23 W 44 37 86 102 65 68 3-0 3-1 0-0 0-1 124 136 15 9/30 Oklahoma St 34-41 L 23 63 69 6 35 97 #11 Pass Off #54 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 125 111 21 9/21 Temple 43-7 W 42 24 64 96 81 24 3-1 1-3 0-1 0-1 124 102 10/7 at Kansas 65-19 W 32 63 81 69 112 82 #17 Total Off #9 4-0 1-3 1-0 1-0 125 95 18 9/30 at East Carolina 61-31 W 31 20 40 105 130 127 4-1 3-2 1-1 1-1 128 122 24 10/14 at West Virginia 35-46 L 26 57 82 9 64 100 #26 Score Off #16 5-0 2-0 125 18 10/7 Bye 35 22 57 4-2 4-2 1-2 2-1 125 125 10/21 Iowa St 13-31 L 21 52 97 67 47 41 #72 Sks Allowed #32 5-0 2-4 2-0 0-2 126 104 18 10/14 Cincinnati 33-3 W 32 17 42 106 98 104 4-3 6-1 1-3 3-1 120 133 10 10/28 at Oklahoma 27-49 L 25 58 90 3 32 80 #53 Rush Def #22 6-0 3-3 3-0 1-1 125 109 16 10/21 at Tulane 34-28 W 30 20 51 88 110 92 4-4 4-4 1-4 2-3 119 121 11/4 Kansas St 35-42 L 25 76 99 44 40 1 #124 Pass Def #58 7-0 4-3 4-0 2-2 121 117 17 10/28 Houston 24-28 L 31 22 65 52 49 73 4-5 1-8 1-5 1-5 117 114 11/11 † Baylor 38-24 W 21 77 112 74 91 52 #100 Total Def #28 7-1 3-5 4-1 2-3 120 95 11/4 at Connecticut 37-20 W 25 21 30 114 112 117 5-5 8-2 2-5 5-2 119 133 11 11/18 TCU 3-27 L 24 78 92 21 8 32 #94 Score Def #37 8-1 5-1 120 22 11/11 Bye 25 22 28 5-6 6-5 2-6 5-3 116 131 11/25 at Texas 27-23 W 28 78 97 33 10 36 #107 Sks By #21 8-1 2-8 5-1 1-5 118 105 23 11/16 Tulsa 27-20 W 25 23 30 61 129 58 6-6 3-6 121 12/2 Bye 33 72 99 #51 Ypg Diff #7 9-1 10-0 6-1 7-0 119 128 22 13 11/24 at UCF 42-49 L 24 25 51 14 45 17 6-6 9-2 3-6 6-2 121 119 12/23 † USF 29 72 101 30 26 51 +11 Total TO's +10 9-2 6-2 119 23 12/2 Bye 30 26 51 6-6 3-6 121 23 12/23 † Texas Tech 29 72 101 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Eastern Washington 56-10 325 13 3 32 40-177 4.4 31-35 449 2 19 36-81 2.3 23-36 220 1 at San Jose St 42-22 161 11 3 29 74-315 4.3 13-26 233 3 18 38-109 2.9 25-50 278 1 Bye Stony Brook 31-17 110 7 1 21 49-153 3.1 19-32 186 2 14 36-92 2.6 17-34 137 5 Arizona St 52-45 121 6 0 33 29-72 2.5 37-50 543 3 27 44-168 3.8 27-41 326 3 Bye at Houston 27-24 94 -8 4 17 33-200 6.1 29-45 321 2 25 31-110 3.5 32-52 317 2 Illinois 47-23 326 23 2 38 66-376 5.7 17-32 304 3 15 15-67 4.5 20-40 287 2 Oklahoma St 34-41 -213 -7 0 25 26-54 2.1 29-46 330 1 32 44-221 5.0 27-38 376 1 Temple 43-7 323 15 4 22 63-312 5.0 8-20 96 1 7 33--4 -0.1 7-25 89 5 at Kansas 65-19 235 13 2 30 52-313 6.0 22-27 290 3 17 33-112 3.4 23-43 256 1 at East Carolina 61-31 161 2 1 25 50-390 7.8 13-21 185 1 23 36-108 3.0 21-46 306 1 at West Virginia 35-46 117 -1 0 27 33-190 5.8 24-39 323 2 28 29-44 1.5 32-41 352 4 Bye Iowa St 13-31 -64 4 -2 24 41-129 3.1 31-41 207 2 20 36-208 5.8 22-36 192 0 Cincinnati 33-3 129 4 2 25 53-212 4.0 17-30 190 0 21 33-95 2.9 21-37 178 3 at Oklahoma 27-49 -180 -7 0 24 34-115 3.4 22-36 322 2 31 47-336 7.1 22-34 281 1 at Tulane 34-28 90 4 0 25 52-378 7.3 10-24 127 0 21 47-194 4.1 9-19 221 2 Kansas St 35-42 119 2 0 26 31-122 3.9 34-53 405 1 24 36-145 4.0 18-28 263 2 Houston 24-28 65 5 1 21 55-137 2.5 23-38 325 4 16 48-255 5.3 14-25 142 5 † Baylor 38-24 -186 -13 3 18 30-91 3.0 24-29 246 2 31 29-106 3.7 43-63 417 1 at Connecticut 37-20 278 6 -1 28 40-217 5.4 24-37 385 1 22 41-148 3.6 21-28 176 4

TCU 3-27 38 4 -1 21 41-174 4.2 18-36 153 3 17 42-204 4.9 6-17 85 1 USFBulls Bye at Texas 27-23 7 -2 2 16 34-62 1.8 20-45 333 3 18 33-116 3.5 29-51 272 1 Tulsa 27-20 64 -1 -2 21 45-279 6.2 11-28 142 0 22 55-166 3.0 14-28 191 5 Bye at UCF 42-49 120 -5 -1 27 39-150 3.8 24-45 503 3 32 40-160 4.0 29-44 373 0 † USF Bye † Texas Tech

Average 34-32 34.4 0.3 0.9 24 35-142 4.0 66.6% 327 5.4% 24 37-154 4.2 63.3% 280 3.8% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 38-23 166.1 6.5 0.9 26 53-265 5.0 53.8% 243 5.4% 19 38-126 3.3 52.7% 216 8.8% Texas Tech Texas Red Raiders Conference 31-34 -14.1 -0.8 0.4 23 36-139 3.9 63.6% 290 5.4% 24 37-166 4.5 63.2% 277 3.4% Conference 38-23 153.8 3.8 0.5 24 50-259 5.2 53.5% 244 4.1% 21 42-140 3.4 54.0% 210 9.9% Away 37-31 14.5 -3.0 1.8 22 36-162 4.5 63.8% 306 6.3% 25 34-137 4.1 63.7% 316 3.5% Home 34-16 169.5 8.8 1.3 25 55-245 4.4 52.8% 207 5.6% 16 37-112 3.1 49.2% 171 13.2% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Eastern Washington Nic Shimonek 26-30-384-3-0 Desmond Nisby 6-57-9.5-0 Derrick Willies 4-126-31.5-1 Texas Tech USF at San Jose St Quinton Flowers 11-22-212-2-0 D'Ernest Johnson 22-99-4.5-2 Marquez Scantling 6-91-15.2-0 Bye Texas Tech QB/WR Stony Brook Quinton Flowers 19-32-186-2-1 Quinton Flowers 18-67-3.7-0 Tyre McCants 2-74-37.0-1 Arizona St Nic Shimonek 37-50-543-6-0 Justin Stockton 12-47-3.9-0 Keke Coutee 12-186-15.5-1 0.87 vs. Bye at Houston Nic Shimonek 29-45-321-2-1 Justin Stockton 10-102-10.2-0 Keke Coutee 11-161-14.6-1 USF DB's Illinois Quinton Flowers 15-27-280-4-1 Quinton Flowers 25-106-4.2-1 Marquez Scantling 4-96-24.0-1 Oklahoma St Nic Shimonek 29-46-330-1-1 Justin Stockton 12-28-2.3-1 Cameron Batson 6-84-14.0-0 Texas Tech RB's Temple Quinton Flowers 8-20-96-0-0 Darius Tice 15-117-7.8-2 Tyre McCants 2-29-14.5-0 at Kansas Nic Shimonek 19-24-233-2-1 Justin Stockton 15-161-10.7-1 Keke Coutee 8-87-10.9-1 vs. 0.29 at East Carolina Quinton Flowers 10-18-160-2-0 D'Ernest Johnson 16-111-6.9-2 Marquez Scantling 6-94-15.7-1 at West Virginia Nic Shimonek 24-39-323-4-1 Justin Stockton 15-96-6.4-0 T.J Vasher 2-113-56.5-2 USF LB's Bye Iowa St Nic Shimonek 31-41-207-0-1 Tre King 20-82-4.1-0 Keke Coutee 8-72-9.0-0 Texas Tech OL Cincinnati Quinton Flowers 16-29-184-0-0 Quinton Flowers 15-80-5.3-1 Deange Antoine 3-50-16.7-0 at Oklahoma Nic Shimonek 22-36-322-4-1 Tre King 24-113-4.7-0 T.J Vasher 5-98-19.6-0 vs. 0.54 at Tulane Quinton Flowers 10-24-127-2-1 Darius Tice 13-141-10.8-1 Darnel Salomon 3-50-16.7-1 Kansas St Nic Shimonek 34-53-405-4-1 Tre King 16-71-4.4-1 Keke Coutee 12-189-15.8-2 USF DL Houston Quinton Flowers 23-38-325-0-0 Darius Tice 26-92-3.5-0 Marquez Scantling 10-186-18.6-0 † Baylor Nic Shimonek 24-29-246-2-0 Tre King 20-67-3.4-1 Dylan Cantrell 11-94-8.5-0 Texas Tech DL at Connecticut Quinton Flowers 24-37-385-3-1 Quinton Flowers 16-131-8.2-0 Marquez Scantling 6-152-25.3-1 TCU Nic Shimonek 17-33-137-0-1 Justin Stockton 21-124-5.9-0 Dylan Cantrell 7-55-7.9-0 vs. 1.20 Bye at Texas McLane Carter 16-37-237-0-2 Justin Stockton 7-45-6.4-0 Keke Coutee 9-168-18.7-0 USF OL Tulsa Quinton Flowers 11-28-142-2-1 Quinton Flowers 17-119-7.0-0 Darnel Salomon 2-44-22.0-1 Bye Texas Tech LB'S at UCF Quinton Flowers 24-45-503-4-1 Quinton Flowers 20-102-5.1-1 Tyre McCants 9-227-25.2-1 † USF 0.14 vs. Bye USF RB's † Texas Tech Nic Shimonek 296-434-3547-30-8 Justin Stockton 114-694-6.1-4 Keke Coutee 82-1242-15.1-9 Texas Tech DB's Quinton Flowers 171-320-2600-21-6 Quinton Flowers 182-972-5.3-10 Marquez Scantling 50-746-14.9-5 Texas Tech Leaders McLane Carter 23-46-359-2-2 Tre King 121-588-4.9-4 Dylan Cantrell 67-790-11.8-6 vs. 1.97 USF Leaders Brett Kean 7-11-64-0-0 Darius Tice 162-878-5.4-11 Tyre McCants 30-598-19.9-5 Jett Duffey 2-2-16-0-0 Desmond Nisby 61-274-4.5-7 Cameron Batson 55-464-8.4-5 USF QB/WR Chris Oladokun 1-1-12-0-0 D'Ernest Johnson 177-745-4.2-7 Darnel Salomon 28-465-16.6-4 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Texas Tech ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Projected Box Score 1.09 vs. Las Vegas Line USF ST's Usf By 2.5 Projected Rushing Texas Tech K After a slow start, USF dominated 4 straight foes, but lost their L/4 regular Las Vegas Total 133 yards Texas Tech USF 231 yards vs. 2.46 67 Points season games ATS. USF has a nice matchup edge with my #18 rated pass D vs Projected Passing USF K +/- Ratings the pass heavy TT OFF. Nik Shimonek is your typical first year TT QB. USF QB 334 yards Texas Tech USF 228 yards Texas Tech Coaches Texas Tech By 2.0 Quinton Flowers is dangerous. TT has a slight edge on OFF and USF a slight Projected Yardage Total 0.50 vs. Game Grade 467 yards Texas Tech USF 459 yards USF Coaches Texas Tech By 2.2 edge on D. Charlie Strong and his Tx squad was 2-1 vs Kingsbury. USF has the Projected Final Score Texas Tech Pts edge on ST’s. USF went just 1-2 vs bowl teams. TT beat AZSt, Hou, and Tx, Computer Yards 34 points Texas Tech USF 33 points 2.60 vs. 6.45 Texas Tech 467-459 and had close losses to OKSt, WV (blew 35-17 lead) and KSt (OT). I will go Experience Rankings USF Pts Computer Points with the more battle tested team to pull off the upset. 118 Texas Tech USF 36 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Texas Tech 34-33 Team Schedule Strength

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto USF Phil Steele 13 Texas Tech USF 112 Texas Tech by 1 By 3.85 Points Texas Tech 36 USF 35 TEXAS TECH (6-6) BIRMINGHAMSaturday, December 23, 2017 • 12:00 BOWL pm SOUTH FLORIDA (9-2) ATS: 6-5-1 O/U: 5-7 ESPN • • Birmingham, AL ATS: 5-6 O/U: 4-7 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS TTECH USF 150 rush yd 226 326 pass yd 229 36 pts 33 +11 ytd to +9 #14 sked #120 CHECKLIST TTECH USF edge edge – QB – 1/2 RB – 4 WR – – OL 1/2 – DL 4 – LB 1/2 – DB 4 1/2 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH 4 – INT – – ST 41/2 44444 SKED – OVERALL USF BY 1’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: San Diego St Aztecs 10-2 9-3 Army Black Knights Aztecs Logs vs. MTW vs. IND Black Knights Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 6-2 2-0 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 117 9/2 UC Davis 38-17 W 92 41 10 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 110 9/1 Fordham 64-6 W 62 100 116 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 112 9/9 at Arizona St 30-20 W 79 49 10 47 48 90 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 115 102 9/9 Buffalo 21-17 W 42 92 116 123 108 125 San Diego St Army 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 127 19 9/16 Stanford 20-17 W 73 50 6 12 28 16 2-0 1-1 0-0 1-0 113 133 8 9/16 at Ohio St 7-38 L 76 93 78 7 4 22 3-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 120 112 22 9/23 at Air Force 28-24 W 83 51 9 57 107 62 #12 Rush Off #1 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 112 110 9/23 at Tulane 17-21 L 88 105 98 94 96 68 4-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 120 115 19 9/30 Northern Illinois 34-28 W 87 60 34 103 62 101 #118 Pass Off #130 2-2 0-4 0-0 0-1 112 86 9/30 UTEP 35-21 W 101 110 72 129 128 89 5-0 2-2 1-0 1-0 120 101 19 10/7 at UNLV 41-10 W 90 58 17 38 127 113 #55 Total Off #85 3-2 1-4 0-0 1-1 109 91 10/7 at Rice 49-12 W 82 109 87 116 104 108 6-0 3-2 2-0 1-0 122 111 19 10/14 Boise St 14-31 L 85 53 34 94 59 14 #48 Score Off #52 4-2 2-3 0-0 0-2 113 110 10/14 Eastern Michigan 28-27 W 92 107 55 115 68 105 6-1 4-2 2-1 3-0 117 112 10/21 Fresno St 3-27 L 87 55 44 72 84 77 #95 Sks Allowed #1 5-2 3-4 0-0 1-3 112 106 10/21 Temple 31-28 W 85 105 65 117 70 57 6-2 3-4 2-2 1-3 112 95 10/28 at Hawaii 28-7 W 95 61 41 56 128 130 #8 Rush Def #67 6-2 0-0 111 10/28 Bye 81 109 50 7-2 1-8 3-2 0-4 113 83 11/4 at San Jose St 52-7 W 93 47 56 123 126 26 #27 Pass Def #24 6-2 4-4 0-0 3-2 111 113 11/4 at Air Force 21-0 W 76 108 35 45 125 42 8-2 4-2 117 11/11 Bye 83 42 69 #11 Total Def #35 7-2 4-5 1-0 1-5 116 116 11/11 Duke 21-16 W 69 103 31 82 28 96 8-2 2-8 4-2 2-4 117 107 11/18 Nevada 42-23 W 78 42 67 84 116 96 #15 Score Def #28 8-2 7-3 1-0 6-1 117 107 11/18 at North Texas 49-52 L 67 95 24 50 97 10 9-2 3-8 5-2 1-6 118 97 11/25 New Mexico 35-10 W 71 44 56 99 108 46 #68 Sks By #68 8-3 1-0 114 11/25 Bye 62 96 32 10-2 6-2 118 12/2 Bye 61 45 56 #19 Ypg Diff #56 8-3 6-5 1-0 4-4 114 115 12/9 † Navy 14-13 W 60 96 30 40 102 79 10-2 9-3 6-2 2-0 118 114 12/23 † Army West Point 58 44 55 42 96 46 +8 Total TO's +4 9-3 2-0 114 12/16 Bye 42 96 46 10-2 6-2 118 12/23 † San Diego St 58 44 55 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks UC Davis 38-17 198 11 1 27 52-276 5.3 17-23 237 2 16 27-57 2.1 19-24 258 1 Fordham 64-6 207 2 0 22 47-513 10.9 0-2 0 0 20 34-66 1.9 28-41 240 3 at Arizona St 30-20 10 -1 1 14 43-279 6.5 9-18 73 4 15 31-44 1.4 20-33 298 5 Buffalo 21-17 27 8 2 19 66-322 4.9 2-8 17 0 11 23-119 5.2 9-16 193 2 Stanford 20-17 99 11 3 21 49-166 3.4 21-29 187 6 10 22-174 7.9 10-21 80 4 at Ohio St 7-38 -308 -14 -1 16 58-259 4.5 2-8 19 0 30 32-270 8.4 29-37 316 2 at Air Force 28-24 114 5 0 19 41-187 4.6 10-16 180 1 14 60-220 3.7 2-6 33 0 at Tulane 17-21 15 7 -2 22 69-371 5.4 0-5 0 0 15 30-253 8.4 10-22 103 2 Northern Illinois 34-28 -154 -12 4 10 36-127 3.5 10-20 136 1 22 45-155 3.4 23-38 262 4 UTEP 35-21 171 6 -1 22 50-353 7.1 3-7 80 0 16 37-152 4.1 9-18 110 2 at UNLV 41-10 191 15 -1 27 46-302 6.6 14-24 172 1 12 31-106 3.4 12-28 177 3 at Rice 49-12 81 4 5 21 65-418 6.4 1-3 9 0 17 37-200 5.4 9-21 146 2 Boise St 14-31 12 1 -1 16 39-83 2.1 12-27 240 5 15 34-186 5.5 14-23 125 0 Eastern Michigan 28-27 49 0 1 21 61-413 6.8 0-5 0 0 21 26-135 5.2 19-27 229 0 Fresno St 3-27 -120 -1 -1 14 39-165 4.2 11-23 90 5 15 38-199 5.2 10-16 176 0 Temple 31-28 -117 -5 -1 19 50-248 5.0 8-18 141 1 24 37-217 5.9 21-31 289 2 at Hawaii 28-7 222 9 -1 21 53-334 6.3 5-11 83 1 12 23-35 1.5 19-33 160 3 Bye at San Jose St 52-7 448 23 2 31 71-554 7.8 6-7 94 1 8 21-33 1.6 12-22 167 2 at Air Force 21-0 202 8 0 20 59-392 6.6 0-0 0 0 12 34-95 2.8 6-13 95 2 Bye Duke 21-16 15 -5 1 17 57-226 4.0 1-1 42 0 22 33-89 2.7 19-30 164 4 Nevada 42-23 46 7 1 25 48-289 6.0 15-23 205 0 18 18-34 1.9 33-55 414 1 at North Texas 49-52 72 0 0 25 67-534 8.0 1-3 27 0 25 33-103 3.1 24-36 386 2 New Mexico 35-10 214 8 0 19 37-265 7.2 14-21 198 3 11 34-82 2.4 16-30 167 0 Bye Bye † Navy 14-13 -55 3 0 15 49-221 4.5 1-1 20 0 12 46-294 6.4 1-2 2 0 † Army West Point Bye Army Black KnightsArmy Black San Diego St AztecsSanSt Diego † San Diego St

Average 30-18 106.7 6.3 0.7 20 46-252 5.5 59.5% 158 12.4% 14 32-110 3.5 57.8% 193 7.0% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 30-21 29.9 1.2 0.3 20 58-356 6.1 31.1% 30 1.6% 19 34-166 5.0 62.6% 189 7.8% Conference 30-17 140.9 8.4 -0.1 22 47-272 5.8 57.2% 158 11.2% 13 32-112 3.5 55.4% 177 4.2% Conference 18-7 73.5 5.5 0.0 18 54-307 5.7 100.0% 10 0.0% 12 40-195 4.9 46.7% 49 13.3% Away 36-14 197.0 10.2 0.2 22 51-331 6.5 57.9% 120 10.5% 12 33-88 2.6 53.3% 167 10.7% Home 33-19 58.7 1.0 0.3 20 55-346 6.3 34.1% 47 2.4% 19 32-130 4.1 64.4% 204 8.0% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving UC Davis Christian Chapman 16-21-220-2-1 21-197-9.4-2 Kahale Warring 5-74-14.8-1 San Diego St Army Fordham Ahmad Bradshaw 0-2-0.001-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 9-177-19.7-2 Zach Saum 0-0-0.0-0 at Arizona St Christian Chapman 9-18-73-1-0 Rashaad Penny 18-216-12.0-1 Rashaad Penny 4-38-9.5-1 San Diego St QB/WR Buffalo Ahmad Bradshaw 2-8-17-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 25-147-5.9-1 Jordan Asberry 1-18-18.0-0 Stanford Christian Chapman 21-29-187-1-0 Rashaad Penny 32-175-5.5-1 Mikah Holder 7-85-12.1-0 1.29 vs. at Ohio St Ahmad Bradshaw 2-7-19-0-0 Darnell Woolfolk 15-74-4.9-1 Kell Walker 1-10-10.0-0 at Air Force Christian Chapman 10-16-180-1-0 Rashaad Penny 20-128-6.4-3 Mikah Holder 2-46-23.0-0 Army DB's at Tulane Ahmad Bradshaw 0-3-0.001-0-1 Andy Davidson 26-130-5.0-0 Zach Saum 0-0-0.0-0 Northern Illinois Christian Chapman 10-19-136-2-0 Rashaad Penny 25-107-4.3-0 Kahale Warring 3-39-13.0-1 San Diego St RB's UTEP Ahmad Bradshaw 3-5-80-1-0 Andy Davidson 14-100-7.1-1 Jordan Asberry 1-42-42.0-1 at UNLV Christian Chapman 14-24-172-0-0 Rashaad Penny 27-170-6.3-2 Mikah Holder 9-144-16.0-0 1.95 vs. at Rice Kelvin Hopkins 1-1-9-0-0 Kell Walker 10-127-12.7-3 Kjetil Cline 1-9-9.0-0 Boise St Christian Chapman 12-27-240-1-0 Rashaad Penny 21-53-2.5-1 Fred Trevillion 2-128-64.0-1 Army LB's Eastern Michigan Ahmad Bradshaw 0-3-0.001-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 19-171-9.0-1 Zach Saum 0-0-0.0-0 Fresno St Christian Chapman 10-20-77-0-0 Rashaad Penny 15-69-4.6-0 Mikah Holder 4-35-8.8-0 San Diego St OL Temple Ahmad Bradshaw 3-5-74-0-0 Darnell Woolfolk 18-132-7.3-3 Kell Walker 3-59-19.7-0 at Hawaii Christian Chapman 5-11-83-1-1 Rashaad Penny 30-253-8.4-2 Mikah Holder 3-55-18.3-1 1.06 vs. Bye at San Jose St Christian Chapman 4-5-77-1-1 Rashaad Penny 20-234-11.7-3 Fred Trevillion 1-40-40.0-0 Army DL at Air Force Ahmad Bradshaw 0-0-0.001-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 23-265-11.5-1 Zach Saum 0-0-0.0-0 Bye San Diego St DL Duke Ahmad Bradshaw 1-1-42-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 20-96-4.8-1 Kell Walker 1-42-42.0-0 Nevada Christian Chapman 15-23-205-1-0 Rashaad Penny 24-222-9.3-2 Mikah Holder 5-85-17.0-1 vs. 1.71 at North Texas Ahmad Bradshaw 1-3-27-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 27-244-9.0-2 John Trainor 1-27-27.0-0 New Mexico Christian Chapman 14-21-198-2-1 Rashaad Penny 22-203-9.2-2 Fred Trevillion 2-67-33.5-1 Army OL Bye Bye San Diego St LB'S † Navy Ahmad Bradshaw 1-1-20-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 21-94-4.5-1 Calen Holt 1-20-20.0-0 † Army West Point 0.16 vs. Bye Army RB's † San Diego St Christian Chapman 140-234-1848-13-4 Rashaad Penny 275-2027-7.4-19 Mikah Holder 43-602-14.0-2 San Diego St DB's Ahmad Bradshaw 13-40-279.004-1-2 Ahmad Bradshaw 210-1566-7.5-12 Kell Walker 5-111-22.2-0 San Diego St Leaders Ryan Agnew 4-7-47-0-0 Juwan Washington 122-715-5.9-7 Fred Trevillion 9-293-32.6-2 vs. 0.18 Army Leaders Kelvin Hopkins 6-18-76-1-1 Darnell Woolfolk 136-725-5.3-12 Jordan Asberry 3-78-26.0-1 Team 0-1-0-0-0 Chase Jasmin 33-137-4.2-2 Kahale Warring 18-248-13.8-3 Army QB/WR Zach Potter 0-1-0.1-0-0 Kell Walker 81-592-7.3-6 Jeff Ejekam 2-48-24.0-0 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) San Diego St ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's Projected Box Score vs. 2.08 Las Vegas Line San Diego St - -6 42 21 42-228 14-21-215 Army ST's San Diego St By 6.5 Army has a nice edge of having played just 2 weeks ago. Army did win their first CIC Army West Point - 49.5 7 18 62-282 3-9-50 -3 Projected Rushing San Diego St K Las Vegas Total trophy s/’96 and is attempting to get a rare 10 win season. Army has the edge in only 214 yards San Diego St Army 285 yards 1.68 vs. 46.5 Points 2 areas. Rashaad Penny will have success vs an Army D allowing 5.0 ypc. Army Projected Passing Army K +/- Ratings figures to have the crowd edge, with a good portion of their roster originating from 141 yards San Diego St Army 42 yards San Diego St Coaches San Diego St By 3.0 Tx. SDSt is the more talented team, but their biggest edge is that Rocky Long’s D’s Projected Yardage Total 0.70 vs. Game Grade 355 yards San Diego St Army 328 yards Army Coaches San Diego St By 1.6 always do well vs the option. He is 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS vs option teams. This year Projected Final Score San Diego St Pts the Aztecs held AF to 178 yards below their season avg, and then held NM to 121 Computer Yards 24 points San Diego St Army 22 points 6.85 vs. 3.97 San Diego St 355-328 yards below their season avg. They have the bowl practices to help prep for the option Experience Rankings Army Pts Computer Points and in the ‘14 bowl held Navy to a season low 271 yards, which was 161 ypg below 115 San Diego St Army 8 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: San Diego St 24-22 the Middies’ season avg. Team Schedule Strength

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto San Diego St Phil Steele 102 San Diego St Army 87 San Diego St by 10 By 2.88 Points San Diego St 27 Army 17 SAN DIEGO ST (10-2) ARMY (9-3) ARMEDSaturday, FORCES December 23, 2017 • 3:30 pmBOWL ATS: 8-4 O/U: 4-7-1 ESPN • Amon G Carter Stadium • Fort Worth, TX ATS: 5-7 O/U: 6-6 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS SDST ARMY 208 rush yd 288 150 pass yd 55 27 pts 24 +8 ytd to +4 #97 sked #100 CHECKLIST SDST ARMY edge edge – QB – 44 RB – 4 WR – – OL 44 41/2 DL – 4 LB – 44 DB – 1/2 CCH – – SITE 4 444 MTCH – – INT 4 – ST 4 – SKED – OVERALL SAN DIEGO ST BY 6 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Toledo Rockets 11-2 8-4 Appalachian St Mountaineers Rockets Logs vs. MAC vs. SUN Mountaineers Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 8-1 7-1 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 112 8/31 Elon 47-13 W 44 91 56 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 125 15 9/2 at Georgia 10-31 L 49 61 85 9 7 58 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 110 9/9 at Nevada 37-24 W 49 73 56 112 113 109 0-1 0-0 112 9/9 Savannah State 54-7 W 63 66 85 Toledo Appalachian St 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 116 9/16 Tulsa 54-51 W 54 75 16 43 117 85 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 113 83 9/16 at Texas St 20-13 W 60 70 98 130 123 119 3-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 131 14 9/23 at Miami, Fl 30-52 L 47 85 26 9 21 12 #26 Rush Off #28 2-1 3-0 1-0 1-0 109 126 9/23 Wake Forest 19-20 L 68 79 60 69 46 21 3-1 0-0 116 9/30 Bye 51 97 22 #21 Pass Off #72 2-2 1-0 111 9/30 Bye 77 76 78 3-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 116 109 10/7 Eastern Michigan 20-15 W 50 103 22 112 73 79 #8 Total Off #33 2-2 2-3 1-0 0-1 111 103 10/7 New Mexico St 45-31 W 75 74 84 41 92 116 4-1 3-3 1-0 1-1 115 104 10/14 at Central Michigan 30-10 W 53 96 26 81 89 130 #11 Score Off #33 3-2 2-3 2-0 1-1 110 100 10/14 at Idaho 23-20 W 72 70 73 104 113 93 5-1 4-3 2-0 3-0 117 109 10/21 Akron 48-21 W 53 82 36 119 79 122 #32 Sks Allowed #2 4-2 3-0 110 90 10/21 Coastal Carolina 37-29 W 75 59 85 123 123 124 6-1 2-5 3-0 0-3 120 91 10/26 at Ball St 58-17 W 38 79 17 124 113 85 #68 Rush Def #44 5-2 1-6 4-0 0-1 107 105 10/28 at UMass 27-30 L 62 60 108 72 95 124 7-1 6-2 4-0 4-0 123 116 11/2 Northern Illinois 27-17 W 33 72 5 94 37 120 #49 Pass Def #45 5-3 3-5 4-0 3-3 107 96 11/4 at ULM 45-52 L 58 60 101 71 121 49 8-1 7-2 5-0 4-1 123 114 11/8 at Ohio 10-38 L 28 69 7 46 66 7 #55 Total Def #39 5-4 0-8 4-1 0-4 103 88 11/9 GA Southern 27-6 W 51 67 92 127 118 37 8-2 2-8 5-1 2-4 118 98 11/15 at Bowling Green 66-37 W 34 81 8 100 123 11 #56 Score Def #33 6-4 5-1 103 11/18 Bye 46 63 77 9-2 6-5 6-1 4-3 120 111 11/24 Western Michigan 37-10 W 30 75 10 85 69 21 #83 Sks By #19 6-4 6-3 5-1 5-1 103 99 11/25 at Georgia St 31-10 W 47 64 78 112 102 119 10-2 4-3 7-1 3-0 122 109 12/2 † Akron 45-28 W 30 70 8 119 79 122 #13 Ypg Diff #31 7-4 5-6 6-1 4-3 107 96 12/2 Louisiana 63-14 W 47 58 70 81 108 85 11-2 8-1 122 12/2 Bye 28 71 8 +5 Total TO's +8 8-4 7-1 111 12/9 Bye 39 51 66 8-4 7-1 111 12/23 † Appalachian St 39 51 66 11-2 8-1 122 12/23 † Toledo 28 71 8 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Elon 47-13 378 18 -1 25 41-239 5.8 19-34 314 2 7 40-128 3.2 3-14 47 1 at Georgia 10-31 -84 -6 2 12 32-136 4.3 21-32 148 1 18 44-221 5.0 11-20 147 1 at Nevada 37-24 40 6 2 28 60-194 3.2 19-27 232 0 22 24-109 4.5 19-37 277 1 Savannah State 54-7 505 21 -2 27 47-274 5.8 16-22 345 1 6 33-77 2.3 5-18 37 3 Tulsa 54-51 131 0 -1 29 33-221 6.7 22-33 458 1 29 68-423 6.2 12-20 125 2 at Texas St 20-13 -102 -2 0 19 29-116 4.0 17-28 167 1 21 37-125 3.4 23-35 260 4 at Miami, Fl 30-52 -158 -4 0 23 35-85 2.4 29-50 344 4 27 26-254 9.8 27-36 333 2 Wake Forest 19-20 150 9 0 27 35-122 3.5 26-52 372 0 18 40-168 4.2 14-27 176 1 Bye Bye Eastern Michigan 20-15 93 3 2 24 42-130 3.1 23-34 289 4 21 23-73 3.2 24-40 253 0 New Mexico St 45-31 -107 -11 3 17 38-350 9.2 11-22 75 0 28 42-176 4.2 27-50 356 4 at Central Michigan 30-10 155 5 2 17 56-310 5.5 10-18 89 1 12 21-62 3.0 17-38 182 0 at Idaho 23-20 -36 0 0 14 38-121 3.2 19-26 155 1 14 36-112 3.1 15-28 200 6 Akron 48-21 293 12 1 35 43-303 7.0 18-28 323 0 23 24-42 1.8 23-40 291 1 Coastal Carolina 37-29 115 9 2 27 35-122 3.5 23-39 427 1 18 30-102 3.4 17-29 332 2 at Ball St 58-17 293 0 -1 16 34-335 9.9 8-18 267 0 16 46-204 4.4 18-37 105 3 at UMass 27-30 -32 -1 1 15 47-234 5.0 14-29 133 0 16 39-209 5.4 20-33 190 4 Northern Illinois 27-17 97 -2 1 23 40-166 4.2 23-31 361 1 25 40-185 4.6 24-44 245 2 at ULM 45-52 -61 -3 0 25 36-169 4.7 20-29 339 3 28 38-213 5.6 24-32 356 1 at Ohio 10-38 -216 -9 1 14 23-53 2.3 24-35 263 4 23 56-393 7.0 7-15 139 1 GA Southern 27-6 226 4 0 19 47-256 5.4 7-14 161 0 15 38-111 2.9 10-18 80 3 at Bowling Green 66-37 246 12 1 32 53-389 7.3 14-20 248 0 20 33-82 2.5 18-31 309 4 Bye Western Michigan 37-10 180 7 1 22 38-155 4.1 19-29 300 1 15 31-95 3.1 13-29 180 1 at Georgia St 31-10 138 6 -1 20 46-323 7.0 15-23 107 0 14 26-91 3.5 22-35 201 2 Mountaineers

† Akron 48-21 293 12 1 35 43-303 7.0 18-28 323 0 23 24-42 1.8 23-40 291 1 AppalachianSt Louisiana 63-14 239 9 3 27 47-357 7.6 18-23 251 0 18 35-162 4.6 15-26 207 3 Toledo Rockets Bye Bye † Appalachian St † Toledo

Average 39-26 130.5 4.2 0.4 24 41-218 5.3 63.7% 292 4.6% 20 36-166 4.7 52.7% 213 5.2% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 33-22 79.3 2.9 0.7 21 40-215 5.4 61.1% 223 2.4% 18 37-147 4.0 57.8% 212 9.7% Conference 38-21 145.1 3.8 0.6 23 41-233 5.7 64.8% 272 4.4% 19 34-139 4.1 51.3% 221 5.1% Conference 36-22 51.5 1.5 0.9 21 40-227 5.7 63.7% 210 2.9% 20 35-137 3.9 60.5% 249 9.9% Away 39-29 75.0 2.3 0.3 22 43-231 5.4 62.0% 250 4.4% 20 34-174 5.1 52.5% 233 6.4% Home 41-18 188.0 6.8 1.0 24 42-247 5.9 58.7% 272 1.2% 17 36-133 3.7 52.4% 198 9.5% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Elon Logan Woodside 19-31-314-0-0 Shakif Seymour 11-102-9.3-1 Cody Thompson 5-112-22.4-0 Toledo Appalachian St at Georgia Taylor Lamb 18-27-128-0-0 Taylor Lamb 10-66-6.6-1 Jalin Moore 4-34-8.5-0 at Nevada Logan Woodside 19-27-232-2-0 Terry Swanson 27-101-3.7-2 Cody Thompson 8-101-12.6-1 Toledo QB/WR Savannah State Taylor Lamb 12-15-327-5-0 Terrence Upshaw 10-86-8.6-1 Collin Reed 3-106-35.3-2 Tulsa Logan Woodside 22-33-458-6-1 Terry Swanson 19-139-7.3-1 Cody Thompson 9-178-19.8-3 1.35 vs. at Texas St Taylor Lamb 17-28-167-1-0 Terrence Upshaw 14-60-4.3-1 Malik Williams 4-68-17.0-0 at Miami, Fl Logan Woodside 28-48-342-3-0 Terry Swanson 20-79-4.0-0 Cody Thompson 5-114-22.8-0 Appalachian St DB's Wake Forest Taylor Lamb 26-50-372-2-0 Terrence Upshaw 15-86-5.7-0 TJ Watkins 3-102-34.0-1 Bye Toledo RB's Bye Eastern Michigan Logan Woodside 23-34-289-0-0 Art Thompkins 15-94-6.3-1 Diontae Johnson 8-97-12.1-0 0.45 vs. New Mexico St Taylor Lamb 10-21-48-0-2 Jalin Moore 19-241-12.7-2 Thomas Hennigan 6-66-11.0-1 at Central Michigan Logan Woodside 10-18-89-0-0 Terry Swanson 23-145-6.3-2 Diontae Johnson 2-32-16.0-0 Appalachian St LB's at Idaho Taylor Lamb 19-26-155-3-1 Jalin Moore 17-49-2.9-0 Ike Lewis 6-101-16.8-2 Akron Logan Woodside 17-24-304-5-1 Terry Swanson 20-123-6.2-0 Jon'Vea Johnson 5-102-20.4-2 Toledo OL Coastal Carolina Taylor Lamb 23-39-427-2-0 Malik Williams 15-72-4.8-2 Jalen Virgil 5-186-37.2-2 at Ball St Logan Woodside 8-17-267-3-0 Terry Swanson 11-105-9.5-1 Diontae Johnson 4-170-42.5-2 0.59 vs. at UMass Taylor Lamb 14-28-133-2-1 Marcus Williams Jr. 25-125-5.0-0 Ike Lewis 5-87-17.4-1 Northern Illinois Logan Woodside 23-31-361-0-0 Terry Swanson 29-116-4.0-3 Diontae Johnson 10-166-16.6-0 Appalachian St DL at ULM Taylor Lamb 20-29-339-4-0 Jalin Moore 21-114-5.4-2 Ike Lewis 7-87-12.4-3 at Ohio Logan Woodside 24-35-263-1-0 Shakif Seymour 11-77-7.0-0 Diontae Johnson 9-144-16.0-1 Toledo DL GA Southern Taylor Lamb 7-13-161-2-0 Marcus Williams Jr. 28-130-4.6-0 Ike Lewis 3-67-22.3-1 at Bowling Green Logan Woodside 13-18-232-2-0 Terry Swanson 23-192-8.3-0 Diontae Johnson 3-75-25.0-1 vs. 1.19 Bye Western Michigan Logan Woodside 19-29-300-2-1 Terry Swanson 21-94-4.5-1 Jon'Vea Johnson 4-96-24.0-0 Appalachian St OL at Georgia St Taylor Lamb 15-23-107-2-2 Jalin Moore 32-239-7.5-1 Ike Lewis 5-43-8.6-1 † Akron Logan Woodside 23-37-307-4-2 Terry Swanson 21-180-8.6-2 Diontae Johnson 9-118-13.1-2 Toledo LB'S Louisiana Taylor Lamb 17-22-242-4-0 Daetrich Harrington 17-118-6.9-1 Thomas Hennigan 5-99-19.8-4 Bye vs. 0.61 Bye † Appalachian St Appalachian St RB's † Toledo Logan Woodside 248-382-3758-28-5 Terry Swanson 231-1319-5.7-14 Diontae Johnson 72-1257-17.5-13 Toledo DB's Taylor Lamb 198-321-2606-27-6 Jalin Moore 161-912-5.7-9 Ike Lewis 47-666-14.2-8 Toledo Leaders Michael Julian 2-6-21-0-0 Shakif Seymour 113-704-6.2-12 Jon'Vea Johnson 41-675-16.5-5 vs. 0.86 Appalachian St Leaders Zac Thomas 6-10-33-0-0 Taylor Lamb 70-539-7.7-5 Thomas Hennigan 44-556-12.6-7 Mitchell Guadagni 1-6-16-0-1 Art Thompkins 102-618-6.1-2 Cody Thompson 28-537-19.2-4 Appalachian St QB/WR Malik Williams 1-2-27-1-0 Marcus Williams Jr. 73-360-4.9-0 Jalen Virgil 19-351-18.5-3 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Toledo ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's Projected Box Score 1.83 vs. Las Vegas Line Appalachian St - -1 31 25 49-297 14-33-119 Appalachian St ST's Toledo By 7.5 Toledo - 60 28 14 28-127 18-26-247 0 Projected Rushing Toledo K App St had a disappointing year, despite sharing the league title. They were Las Vegas Total 184 yards Toledo Appalachian St 216 yards 0.37 vs. 62.5 Points favored in every game except their opener with UGA, but only went 8-4. These Projected Passing Appalachian St K +/- Ratings teams are very evenly matched as I rate their RB’s, OL’s, LB’s, and DB’s all 276 yards Toledo Appalachian St 183 yards Toledo Coaches Toledo By 9.5 even. Both teams have veteran QB’s. The biggest edge at any position is on Projected Yardage Total vs. 0.80 Game Grade 460 yards Toledo Appalachian St 398 yards Appalachian St Coaches Toledo By 6.6 ST’s with Toledo at #8 and App St at #66. Toledo is playing with revenge after Projected Final Score Toledo Pts losing a tight game by 3 in last year’s Camellia Bowl. I expect a very similar Computer Yards 33 points Toledo Appalachian St 30 points 4.59 vs. 3.46 Toledo 460-398 game, but this time App St is getting over a td after being a slight favorite last Experience Rankings Appalachian St Pts Computer Points year. 79 Toledo Appalachian St 34 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Toledo 33-30 Team Schedule Strength

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Toledo Phil Steele 105 Toledo Appalachian St 125 Toledo by 3 By 1.13 Points Best Bet: ★ Appalachian St 30 (+) Toledo 33 APPALACHIAN ST (8-4) DOLLARSaturday, GENERAL December 23, 2017 • 7:00 pm BOWL TOLEDO (11-2) ATS: 5-7 O/U: 5-7 ESPN • Ladd-Peebles Stadium • Mobile, AL ATS: 7-6 O/U: 7-6 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS APP ST TOL 218 rush yd 184 172 pass yd 276 26 pts 33 +8 ytd to +5 #126 sked #102 CHECKLIST APP ST TOL edge edge – QB 1/2 – RB – – WR 4 – OL – 4 DL – – LB – – DB – 1/2 CCH – 4 1/2 SITE – – MTCH – – INT – – ST 44 – SKED 4 OVERALL TOLEDO BY 1’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Houston Cougars 7-4 9-4 Fresno St Bulldogs Cougars Logs vs. AAC vs. MTW Bulldogs Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 5-3 7-2 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 119 9/2 at Bye 39 52 71 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 99 9/2 Incarnate Word 66-0 W 110 121 39 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 115 9/9 at Arizona 19-16 W 43 54 71 22 102 97 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 144 1 9/9 at Alabama 10-41 L 88 103 39 9 1 24 Houston Fresno St 1-0 1-1 0-0 1-0 119 99 9/16 Rice 38-3 W 48 58 30 110 106 95 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 105 138 6 9/16 at Washington 16-48 L 88 107 37 17 18 53 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 121 123 9/23 Texas Tech 24-27 L 50 49 72 29 70 53 #54 Rush Off #79 1-2 0-0 105 9/23 Bye 92 110 50 2-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 124 107 9/30 at Temple 20-13 W 54 51 60 120 81 52 #38 Pass Off #66 1-2 0-4 0-0 0-0 105 100 9/30 Nevada 41-21 W 93 113 62 118 101 79 3-1 4-1 1-0 1-0 123 115 10/7 SMU 35-22 W 51 45 63 23 97 122 #35 Total Off #83 2-2 1-5 1-0 0-2 107 88 10/7 at San Jose St 27-10 W 81 106 72 121 118 56 4-1 1-5 2-0 0-2 123 107 10/14 at Tulsa 17-45 L 47 49 68 45 129 67 #67 Score Off #78 3-2 3-2 2-0 1-1 107 112 10/14 New Mexico 38-0 W 84 100 69 73 91 48 4-2 5-1 2-1 2-1 118 118 25 10/19 Memphis 38-42 L 62 51 73 37 83 8 #14 Sks Allowed #5 4-2 6-1 3-0 2-1 112 117 10/21 at San Diego St 27-3 W 72 84 77 87 55 44 4-3 7-0 2-2 4-0 117 121 17 10/28 at USF 28-24 W 52 49 73 31 22 65 #47 Rush Def #15 5-2 2-5 4-0 1-3 117 96 10/28 UNLV 16-26 L 66 77 57 55 129 122 5-3 2-6 3-2 1-3 120 96 11/4 East Carolina 52-27 W 47 42 63 109 130 114 #119 Pass Def #38 5-3 2-7 4-1 0-4 112 100 11/4 BYU 20-13 W 73 79 60 119 71 102 6-3 4-2 120 11/11 Bye 39 44 62 #84 Total Def #16 6-3 3-6 4-1 1-5 110 95 11/11 at Hawaii 31-21 W 72 78 43 75 126 125 6-3 4-6 4-2 2-4 120 105 11/18 at Tulane 17-20 L 42 46 61 92 111 115 #39 Score Def #9 7-3 7-3 5-1 5-1 110 115 11/18 at Wyoming 13-7 W 71 71 55 124 64 50 6-4 6-4 4-3 4-3 116 116 11/24 Navy 24-14 W 37 52 63 38 101 68 #83 Sks By #23 8-3 9-2 6-1 7-0 113 124 25 11/25 Boise St 28-17 W 76 70 47 58 60 7 7-4 5-3 117 12/2 Bye 40 50 64 #63 Ypg Diff #36 9-3 9-2 7-1 7-0 117 124 25 12/2 at Boise St 14-17 L 83 71 40 58 60 7 7-4 9-4 5-3 7-2 117 117 12/24 † Fresno St 38 48 64 96 67 45 -2 Total TO's +8 9-4 7-2 117 12/9 Bye 96 67 45 7-4 5-3 117 12/24 † Houston 38 48 64 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at Bye Incarnate Word 66-0 488 18 2 26 40-199 5.0 23-37 414 0 8 27--30 -1.1 15-31 155 2 at Arizona 19-16 12 -3 0 18 37-158 4.3 25-32 225 0 21 39-152 3.9 22-37 219 1 at Alabama 10-41 -224 -10 -1 18 22-57 2.6 26-41 216 2 28 39-305 7.8 20-27 192 1 Rice 38-3 242 8 3 22 37-130 3.5 34-38 354 2 14 35-129 3.7 11-25 113 3 at Washington 16-48 -107 -3 1 18 31-119 3.8 21-36 194 1 21 30-92 3.1 25-28 328 1 Texas Tech 24-27 -94 8 -4 25 31-110 3.5 32-52 317 2 17 33-200 6.1 29-45 321 2 Bye at Temple 20-13 64 1 2 23 31-162 5.2 25-36 226 0 22 37-142 3.8 20-42 182 1 Nevada 41-21 190 6 0 22 38-192 5.1 25-33 312 1 16 23-61 2.7 31-49 253 3 SMU 35-22 -81 -3 0 27 40-265 6.6 20-28 198 0 30 26-147 5.7 41-59 397 2 at San Jose St 27-10 143 5 4 17 51-212 4.2 15-26 136 0 12 33-108 3.3 15-26 97 4 at Tulsa 17-45 -12 5 -2 25 47-146 3.1 25-41 258 3 20 53-288 5.4 9-18 128 1 New Mexico 38-0 204 3 1 17 36-227 6.3 13-23 299 1 14 37-109 2.9 15-30 213 2 Memphis 38-42 53 -3 -1 25 54-239 4.4 29-41 315 1 28 23-30 1.3 33-53 471 2 at San Diego St 27-3 120 1 1 15 38-199 5.2 10-16 176 0 14 39-165 4.2 11-23 90 5 at USF 28-24 -65 -5 -1 16 48-255 5.3 14-25 142 5 21 55-137 2.5 23-38 325 4 UNLV 16-26 -36 -3 -1 19 34-140 4.1 16-27 152 1 22 44-173 3.9 17-29 155 0 East Carolina 52-27 -32 -17 3 16 26-142 5.5 15-22 330 0 33 24-36 1.5 54-74 468 1 BYU 20-13 -26 -5 1 16 40-136 3.4 14-20 174 0 21 27-122 4.5 23-43 214 2 Bye at Hawaii 31-21 129 8 0 24 36-175 4.9 19-36 226 0 16 37-118 3.2 18-31 154 5 at Tulane 17-20 28 -1 -1 22 33-220 6.7 18-26 225 0 23 47-166 3.5 17-25 251 2 at Wyoming 13-7 25 3 1 15 45-147 3.3 14-23 186 1 12 28-77 2.8 20-33 231 1 Navy 24-14 89 -3 -1 16 32-103 3.2 21-27 277 2 19 60-217 3.6 3-8 74 3 Boise St 28-17 30 -1 0 18 30-99 3.3 23-36 332 0 19 31-107 3.5 25-36 294 2 Bye at Boise St 28-17 30 -1 0 18 30-99 3.3 23-36 332 0 19 31-107 3.5 25-36 294 2

† Fresno St Cougars Houston Bye Fresno St Bulldogs St Fresno † Houston

Average 28-23 18.5 -1.2 -0.2 21 38-175 4.6 70.1% 261 4.1% 23 39-149 3.8 61.8% 268 5.2% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 27-17 67.8 1.7 0.6 19 37-157 4.3 60.6% 230 2.3% 17 33-117 3.5 60.3% 202 7.7% Conference 29-26 5.5 -3.3 -0.1 21 39-192 4.9 67.9% 246 4.5% 25 41-145 3.6 63.1% 287 5.0% Conference 26-14 83.3 2.4 0.6 18 38-170 4.5 59.4% 221 2.4% 16 34-114 3.3 58.5% 194 9.0% Away 20-24 5.4 -0.6 -0.4 21 39-188 4.8 66.9% 215 5.0% 21 46-177 3.8 56.9% 221 5.6% Home 35-13 141.7 3.0 0.5 20 36-166 4.6 64.8% 281 1.7% 17 32-90 2.9 57.8% 214 5.0% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving at Bye Houston Fresno St Incarnate Word Chason Virgil 16-29-246-1-0 Ronnie Rivers 9-60-6.7-1 KeeSean Johnson 7-120-17.1-0 at Arizona Kyle Allen 25-32-225-1-2 Dillon Birden 14-83-5.9-1 Steven Dunbar 6-72-12.0-0 Houston QB/WR at Alabama Chason Virgil 21-34-180-1-1 Ronnie Rivers 9-29-3.2-0 Da'Mari Scott 7-67-9.6-0 Rice Kyle Allen 31-33-309-2-0 Mulbah Car 11-59-5.4-1 Linell Bonner 10-132-13.2-0 1.88 vs. at Washington Chason Virgil 11-20-98-1-1 Ronnie Rivers 10-29-2.9-0 KeeSean Johnson 4-51-12.8-0 Texas Tech Kyle Allen 24-39-217-1-2 Kyle Postma 4-52-13.0-1 Steven Dunbar 6-83-13.8-0 Fresno St DB's Bye at Temple Kyle Postma 25-36-226-1-1 Kyle Postma 15-81-5.4-0 Steven Dunbar 6-78-13.0-0 Houston RB's Nevada Marcus McMaryion 24-32-296-2-1 Ronnie Rivers 12-82-6.8-1 KeeSean Johnson 7-104-14.9-3 SMU Kyle Postma 19-27-176-2-2 Duke Catalon 22-177-8.0-2 Steven Dunbar 6-65-10.8-0 0.21 vs. at San Jose St Marcus McMaryion 15-26-136-0-0 Ronnie Rivers 19-105-5.5-2 KeeSean Johnson 2-52-26.0-0 at Tulsa Kyle Postma 25-41-258-0-2 Dillon Birden 11-82-7.5-1 Steven Dunbar 10-107-10.7-0 Fresno St LB's New Mexico Marcus McMaryion 13-23-299-3-0 Josh Hokit 14-70-5.0-1 Jamire Jordan 3-108-36.0-2 Memphis Kyle Postma 29-40-315-1-1 Dillon Birden 21-106-5.0-1 Linell Bonner 8-121-15.1-0 Houston OL at San Diego St Marcus McMaryion 10-16-176-0-0 Jordan Mims 21-112-5.3-0 Da'Mari Scott 3-57-19.0-0 at USF D'Eriq King 12-20-137-1-0 Mulbah Car 18-137-7.6-1 Courtney Lark 2-69-34.5-1 0.12 vs. UNLV Marcus McMaryion 16-27-152-0-0 Jordan Mims 12-68-5.7-2 Derrion Grim 4-68-17.0-0 East Carolina D'Eriq King 15-21-330-3-0 Duke Catalon 9-77-8.6-1 Steven Dunbar 6-171-28.5-1 Fresno St DL BYU Marcus McMaryion 14-20-174-0-0 Josh Hokit 13-59-4.5-0 Da'Mari Scott 4-61-15.3-0 Bye Houston DL at Hawaii Marcus McMaryion 19-36-226-4-2 Jordan Mims 12-55-4.6-0 KeeSean Johnson 6-91-15.2-2 at Tulane D'Eriq King 18-26-225-0-1 D'Eriq King 10-141-14.1-2 Linell Bonner 7-100-14.3-0 0.66 vs. at Wyoming Marcus McMaryion 14-23-186-1-0 Josh Hokit 21-69-3.3-0 KeeSean Johnson 6-48-8.0-0 Navy D'Eriq King 21-27-277-1-0 D'Eriq King 16-57-3.6-2 Steven Dunbar 8-142-17.8-1 Fresno St OL Boise St Marcus McMaryion 23-36-332-2-0 Jordan Mims 11-43-3.9-1 KeeSean Johnson 6-119-19.8-2 Bye Houston LB'S at Boise St Marcus McMaryion 16-34-172-0-1 Josh Hokit 9-46-5.1-0 KeeSean Johnson 5-58-11.6-0 † Fresno St 1.52 vs. Bye Fresno St RB's † Houston Kyle Postma 111-167-1125-5-6 Duke Catalon 138-621-4.5-8 Steven Dunbar 67-882-13.2-3 Houston DB's Marcus McMaryion 185-303-2384-14-4 Jordan Mims 142-604-4.3-6 KeeSean Johnson 69-918-13.3-8 Houston Leaders D'Eriq King 67-96-991-6-1 Mulbah Car 73-372-5.1-3 Linell Bonner 73-850-11.6-4 vs. 1.15 Fresno St Leaders Chason Virgil 48-83-524-3-2 Josh Hokit 117-519-4.4-7 Da'Mari Scott 53-543-10.2-1 Kyle Allen 80-105-751-4-4 D'Eriq King 63-341-5.4-8 D'Eriq King 29-264-9.1-2 Fresno St QB/WR Josh Hokit 2-2-81-2-0 Ronnie Rivers 95-473-5.0-5 Jamire Jordan 21-482-23.0-3 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Houston ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Projected Box Score 0.21 vs. Las Vegas Line Jeff Tedford did an incredible job as FSt won just 1 game last year and played in the Fresno St ST's Houston By 2.5 MW title game this year. DC Orlando Steinhauer came over from the CFL, but had no Projected Rushing Houston K Las Vegas Total 125 yards Houston Fresno St 87 yards vs. 0.66 49.5 Points problems adjusting to the college game as his D held foes to 53 ypg below their Projected Passing Fresno St K season avg. Despite using 3 QB’s, the Cougars completed 70% of their passes. The +/- Ratings 250 yards Houston Fresno St 277 yards Houston Coaches Fresno St By 0.0 top NFL prospect in this game is Nagurski Award winning DT Ed Oliver, who is just a Projected Yardage Total vs. 1.50 Game Grade true soph. The D’s are even. Houston has the edge on OFF, while FSt has the edge on 374 yards Houston Fresno St 364 yards Fresno St Coaches Houston By 0.5 ST’s and played at this site 6 weeks ago. The game is a toss-up. Houston’s OFF gains Projected Final Score Houston Pts Computer Yards 12 ypg less than their foes allow on avg, and FSt is -8 ypg in that category as well. 18 points Houston Fresno St 17 points 4.60 vs. 3.32 Houston 374-364 Houston limits foes to 30 ypg below their season avg, and FSt is even better at 53 Experience Rankings Fresno St Pts Computer Points ypg below. My computer is calling for 35 total points scored. I like the under 50 in this 41 Houston Fresno St 28 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Houston 18-17 Team Schedule Strength one.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Houston Phil Steele 70 Houston Fresno St 90 Houston by 1 By 1.28 Points Houston 18 Fresno St 17 FRESNO STATE (9-4) HAWAIISunday, December 24, BOWL2017 • 8:30 pm HOUSTON (7-4) ATS: 9-2-2 O/U: 4-9 ESPN • • Honolulu, HI ATS: 6-5 O/U: 2-9 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS FSU HOU 86 rush yd 137 284 pass yd 230 16 pts 15 +8 ytd to -2 #76 sked #84 CHECKLIST FSU HOU edge edge – QB 4 – RB 4 1/2 – WR – – OL 1/2 – DL 4 – LB – 1/2 DB – 4 1/2 CCH – 4 SITE – – MTCH – – INT – 1/2 ST – – SKED – OVERALL HOUSTON BY 1/2 4’s Phil Steele's 2017 Bowl Confidence Picks Team Rank FAU-Boca Raton 41 Auburn-Peach 40 Northwestern-Music City 39 Florida St-Independence 38 Louisville-Taxslayer 37 Michigan-Outback 36 Oklahoma St-Camping World 35 Troy-New Orleans 34 Utah-Heart of Dallas 33 Utah St-Arizona 32 Kansas St-Cactus 31 Oregon-Vegas 30 Penn St-Fiesta 29 WKU-Cure 28 North Carolina A&T 27 Ohio St-Cotton 26 San Diego St-Armed Forces 25 Texas-Texas 24 Ohio-Bahamas 23 Atkansas St-Camellia 22 Champ Game Winner 21 SMU-Frisco 20 TCU-Alamo 19 Duke-Quick Lane 18 Wisconsin-Orange 17 Alabama-Sugar 16 Toledo-Dollar General 15 Purdue-Foster Farms 14 Central Michigan-Idaho Potato 13 Boston College-Pinstripe 12 TexasTech-Birmingham 11 Michigan St-Holiday 10 Wake Forest-Belk 9 Notre Dame-Citrus 8 Marshall-New Mexico 7 FIU-Gasparilla 6 Arizona St-Sun 5 Houston-Hawaii 4 Navy-Military 3 Memphis-Liberty 2 Oklahoma-Rose 1 OVERALL: OVERALL: West Virginia Mountainers 7-5 6-6 Utah Utes Mountainers Logs vs. BIG 12 vs. PAC 12 Utes Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 5-4 3-6 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 127 22 21 9/2 † Virginia Tech 24-31 L 35 58 75 91 9 18 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 117 8/31 North Dakota 37-16 W 81 24 27 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 118 99 9/9 East Carolina 56-20 W 27 65 75 110 129 129 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 116 9/9 at BYU 19-13 W 59 25 27 83 40 31 West Virginia Utah 1-1 0-0 120 9/16 Delaware St 59-16 W 22 53 88 2-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 119 96 9/16 San Jose St 54-16 W 56 25 60 120 111 43 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 119 103 9/23 at Kansas 56-34 W 14 62 88 85 102 91 #72 Rush Off #70 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 121 119 23 9/22 at Arizona 30-24 W 48 18 8 16 80 77 3-1 1-0 120 23 9/30 Bye 11 65 88 #12 Pass Off #43 4-0 1-0 123 20 9/30 Bye 47 20 5 3-1 4-0 1-0 1-0 120 134 23 8 10/7 at TCU 24-31 L 10 64 95 12 14 15 #16 Total Off #46 4-0 3-2 1-0 2-1 123 128 20 10/7 Stanford 20-23 L 43 23 3 5 28 8 3-2 4-1 1-1 1-1 122 128 24 10/14 Texas Tech 46-35 W 9 64 100 26 57 82 #19 Score Off #57 4-1 5-1 1-1 3-1 123 132 13 10/14 at USC 27-28 L 46 24 6 13 6 30 4-2 0-6 2-1 0-3 125 112 23 10/21 at Baylor 38-36 W 11 69 96 52 93 35 #26 Sks Allowed #104 4-2 3-3 1-2 2-1 125 123 10/21 Arizona St 10-30 L 43 29 12 58 56 107 5-2 6-1 3-1 3-1 124 139 22 12 10/28 Oklahoma St 39-50 L 10 67 89 7 21 107 #104 Rush Def #36 4-3 4-4 1-3 1-4 120 115 10/28 at Oregon 20-41 L 50 29 13 19 22 76 5-3 6-2 3-2 4-1 124 132 14 11/4 Iowa St 20-16 W 13 62 93 74 34 78 #101 Pass Def #54 4-4 4-4 1-4 2-3 115 119 11/3 UCLA 48-17 W 50 33 18 22 59 76 6-3 5-4 4-2 3-3 126 123 23 11/11 at Kansas St 28-23 W 10 56 103 43 37 1 #111 Total Def #32 5-4 8-2 2-4 5-2 119 125 19 11/11 Washington St 25-33 L 42 31 12 37 22 72 7-3 5-5 5-2 4-3 127 127 24 11/18 Texas 14-28 L 12 48 121 35 12 35 #92 Score Def #42 5-5 8-2 2-5 5-2 118 135 16 11/18 at Washington 30-33 L 47 28 16 23 11 38 7-4 10-1 5-3 7-1 123 140 3 11/25 at Oklahoma 31-59 L 16 56 114 3 26 89 #107 Sks By #68 5-6 5-6 2-6 2-6 121 117 11/25 Colorado 34-13 W 53 29 13 60 73 25 7-5 5-4 122 12/2 Bye 19 66 118 #53 Ypg Diff #37 6-6 3-6 123 12/2 Bye 45 19 13 7-5 6-6 5-4 3-6 122 123 12/26 † Utah 36 69 119 46 24 11 -5 Total TO's -1 6-6 7-5 3-6 5-4 123 122 12/26 † West Virginia 46 24 11 36 69 119

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks † Virginia Tech 24-31 123 8 -1 29 35-221 6.3 31-54 371 2 21 45-234 5.2 15-27 235 1 North Dakota 37-16 257 15 0 27 47-272 5.8 23-32 227 3 12 28-55 2.0 14-31 187 1 East Carolina 56-20 144 10 2 31 47-211 4.5 24-34 403 1 21 32-142 4.4 23-47 328 0 at BYU 19-13 197 5 1 18 36-116 3.2 28-37 314 0 13 24-63 2.6 21-39 170 3 Delaware St 59-16 237 11 0 23 35-204 5.8 24-34 334 1 12 44-161 3.7 10-16 140 3 San Jose St 54-16 238 13 2 29 40-160 4.0 30-44 341 1 16 37-30 0.8 17-35 233 5 at Kansas 56-34 71 7 2 31 43-288 6.7 25-39 347 1 24 50-367 7.3 17-34 197 1 at Arizona 30-24 -107 -3 3 21 38-112 2.9 17-28 229 2 24 42-200 4.8 24-42 248 2 Bye Bye at TCU 24-31 102 12 -2 28 39-142 3.6 25-45 366 2 16 36-170 4.7 16-29 236 0 Stanford 20-23 -2 11 -2 25 33-144 4.4 20-40 238 2 14 31-196 6.3 13-24 188 0 Texas Tech 46-35 -117 1 0 28 29-44 1.5 32-41 352 4 27 33-190 5.8 24-39 323 2 at USC 27-28 -96 -10 2 20 41-169 4.1 17-28 267 4 30 33-174 5.3 27-50 358 0 at Baylor 38-36 -4 -7 0 23 29-118 4.1 26-37 375 1 30 42-127 3.0 24-40 370 6 Arizona St 10-30 -80 -3 -3 18 25-110 4.4 19-35 155 2 21 46-205 4.5 19-29 140 1 Oklahoma St 39-50 -115 -8 -1 19 30-62 2.1 20-42 285 1 27 56-246 4.4 20-34 216 0 at Oregon 20-41 -32 1 0 20 30-91 3.0 25-43 293 4 19 49-347 7.1 10-13 69 2 Iowa St 20-16 174 0 0 23 47-208 4.4 20-25 316 0 23 29-101 3.5 27-40 249 1 UCLA 48-17 257 12 1 24 50-272 5.4 15-22 234 2 12 32-134 4.2 11-16 115 1 at Kansas St 28-23 160 6 -2 20 26-120 4.6 27-46 372 2 14 42-173 4.1 13-26 159 4 Washington St 25-33 29 7 -5 27 36-62 1.7 21-40 305 7 20 17-27 1.6 40-69 311 1 Texas 14-28 -125 -1 -1 17 29-56 1.9 20-34 239 2 18 42-233 5.5 17-27 187 0 at Washington 30-33 -67 -1 -1 22 45-117 2.6 19-27 293 3 23 32-123 3.8 26-35 354 2 at Oklahoma 31-59 -258 -3 -2 24 50-251 5.0 10-20 137 0 27 35-313 8.9 16-19 333 0 Utes Utah Colorado 34-13 172 12 1 29 52-310 6.0 15-24 181 2 17 35-124 3.5 14-28 195 5 Bye Bye † Utah † West Virginia

Average 36-32 32.7 3.0 -0.4 25 37-160 4.4 63.0% 325 3.8% 22 41-205 5.1 58.7% 248 4.8% LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Average 30-24 63.8 4.9 -0.1 23 39-161 4.1 62.3% 256 8.0% 18 34-140 4.1 57.4% 214 5.6% Conference 33-35 -12.4 0.8 -0.7 24 36-143 4.0 62.3% 310 4.0% 23 41-213 5.3 60.4% 252 4.9% Conference 27-27 8.2 2.9 -0.4 23 39-154 4.0 58.5% 244 9.8% 20 35-170 4.8 60.1% 220 4.6% West Virginia Mountainers West Virginia Away 34-36 32.3 3.8 -0.8 26 37-190 5.1 59.8% 328 3.3% 22 42-231 5.5 57.7% 255 6.9% Home 33-21 124.4 9.6 -0.9 26 40-190 4.7 60.3% 240 8.0% 16 32-110 3.4 55.2% 196 6.0% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving † Virginia Tech Will Grier 31-53-371-3-1 Justin Crawford 13-106-8.2-0 Gary Jennings 13-189-14.5-1 West Virginia Utah North Dakota Tyler Huntley 23-32-227-1-1 Zack Moss 22-128-5.8-1 Darren Carrington 10-127-12.7-1 East Carolina Will Grier 19-25-352-5-0 Justin Crawford 15-118-7.9-2 David Sills 7-153-21.9-3 West Virginia QB/WR at BYU Tyler Huntley 27-36-300-0-0 Tyler Huntley 19-89-4.7-1 Darren Carrington 7-129-18.4-0 Delaware St Will Grier 19-27-304-3-1 Justin Crawford 15-102-6.8-3 Gary Jennings 6-128-21.3-0 vs. 0.12 San Jose St Tyler Huntley 30-43-341-4-1 Tyler Huntley 14-53-3.8-0 Darren Carrington 9-153-17.0-3 at Kansas Will Grier 25-39-347-2-1 Justin Crawford 18-125-6.9-1 David Sills 8-130-16.3-2 Utah DB's at Arizona Troy Williams 9-18-131-0-0 Zack Moss 14-73-5.2-0 Darren Carrington 4-76-19.0-0 Bye West Virginia RB's Bye at TCU Will Grier 25-45-366-3-1 Justin Crawford 19-111-5.8-0 Ka'Raun White 6-138-23.0-1 0.01 vs. Stanford Troy Williams 20-39-238-1-2 Zack Moss 15-79-5.3-1 Darren Carrington 7-99-14.1-1 Texas Tech Will Grier 32-41-352-5-1 Justin Crawford 14-47-3.4-1 Ka'Raun White 8-114-14.3-2 Utah LB's at USC Troy Williams 16-27-262-1-1 Zack Moss 20-141-7.1-0 Demari Simpkins 4-58-14.5-1 at Baylor Will Grier 26-37-375-5-0 Kennedy McKoy 7-55-7.9-0 David Sills 7-136-19.4-3 West Virginia OL Arizona St Tyler Huntley 19-35-155-0-4 Zack Moss 12-49-4.1-0 Darren Carrington 6-56-9.3-0 Oklahoma St Will Grier 20-42-285-2-4 Justin Crawford 13-45-3.5-0 Marcus Simms 3-80-26.7-1 vs. 0.26 at Oregon Tyler Huntley 25-43-293-2-0 Zack Moss 10-53-5.3-0 Darren Carrington 9-130-14.4-0 Iowa St Will Grier 20-25-316-2-1 Justin Crawford 25-102-4.1-0 Ka'Raun White 4-167-41.8-1 Utah DL UCLA Tyler Huntley 15-22-234-4-0 Zack Moss 23-153-6.7-2 Troy McCormick 2-88-44.0-2 at Kansas St Will Grier 27-46-372-4-2 Justin Crawford 17-113-6.6-0 Ka'Raun White 8-168-21.0-2 West Virginia DL Washington St Tyler Huntley 21-39-305-1-3 Tyler Huntley 20-51-2.6-0 Demari Simpkins 4-99-24.8-0 Texas Chris Chugunov 14-26-189-1-0 Justin Crawford 15-64-4.3-0 Gary Jennings 10-78-7.8-0 vs. 0.95 at Washington Tyler Huntley 19-27-293-2-1 Zack Moss 17-55-3.2-0 Raelon Singleton 5-81-16.2-2 at Oklahoma Chris Chugunov 10-20-137-0-0 Kennedy McKoy 25-137-5.5-3 David Sills 3-77-25.7-0 Utah OL Colorado Troy Williams 15-24-181-0-0 Zack Moss 26-196-7.5-2 Darren Carrington 6-64-10.7-0 Bye West Virginia LB'S Bye † Utah 0.16 vs. † West Virginia Utah RB's Will Grier 250-388-3490-34-12 Justin Crawford 191-1060-5.5-7 Gary Jennings 94-1030-11.0-1 West Virginia DB's Tyler Huntley 187-286-2246-15-10 Zack Moss 194-1023-5.3-9 Darren Carrington 66-918-13.9-6 West Virginia Leaders Chris Chugunov 34-62-407-2-0 Kennedy McKoy 111-570-5.1-7 David Sills 60-980-16.3-18 vs. 1.08 Utah Leaders Troy Williams 60-110-812-2-4 Tyler Huntley 143-480-3.4-4 Raelon Singleton 34-479-14.1-4 Team 0-1-0-0-0 Martell Pettaway 41-145-3.5-2 Ka'Raun White 58-978-16.9-11 Utah QB/WR Demari Simpkins 2-3-19-1-0 Devonta'e Henry-Cole 53-266-5.0-2 Siaosi Wilson 20-393-19.7-1 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) West Virginia ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Projected Box Score vs. 1.39 Las Vegas Line Utah ST's Utah By 6.5 The big news in this game is that WV QB Will Grier inj’d his finger and is Projected Rushing West Virginia K Las Vegas Total doubtful. Utah switched to more of a pass OFF this year and the unit operated 144 yards West Virginia Utah 190 yards vs. 2.02 56.5 Points Projected Passing Utah K at its best with Tyler Huntley under center. WV has the edge on the OL. Utah +/- Ratings 272 yards West Virginia Utah 252 yards West Virginia Coaches Utah By 1.0 has a large edge on D. The biggest edge is on ST’s as Utah is #15 in my Projected Yardage Total vs. 0.85 Game Grade rankings and WV is at the other end of the spectrum at #120. The Utah DL is 1 416 yards West Virginia Utah 442 yards Utah Coaches W Virginia By 0.8 of the best in the country led by Lowell Lotulelei and Filipo Mokofisi. Dana Projected Final Score West Virginia Pts Computer Yards Holgorson is 2-3 in bowl games, while Kyle Whittingham is 1 of the best at 9-1 27 points West Virginia Utah 32 points 0.17 vs. 6.67 Utah 442-416 Experience Rankings Utah Pts SU and 7-3 ATS. With a HC that knows how to win along with the D and ST’s Computer Points 125 West Virginia Utah 122 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Utah 32-27 edges, I will side with the Utes. Team Schedule Strength

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Utah Phil Steele 33 West Virginia Utah 53 Utah by 11 By 6.50 Points Utah 34 West Virginia 23 UTAH (6-6) HEART Tuesday,OF December DALLAS 26, 2017 • 1:20 pm BOWL WEST VIRGINIA (7-5) ATS: 9-3 O/U: 6-6 ESPN • Cotton Bowl Stadium • Dallas, TX ATS: 6-6 O/U: 8-4 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UTAH WVU 192 rush yd 149 244 pass yd 255 23 pts 30 -1 ytd to -5 #41 sked #39 CHECKLIST UTAH WVU edge edge 441/2 QB – – RB 4 – WR 41/2 – OL 1/2 441/2 DL – – LB – 4 DB – 4 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH – – INT 4 4441/2 ST – – SKED – OVERALL UTAH BY 6’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Duke Blue Devils 6-6 8-4 N Illinois Huskies Blue Devils Logs vs. ACC vs. MAC Huskies Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 3-5 6-2 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 119 9/2 NC Central 60-7 W 61 55 110 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 116 9/1 Boston College 20-23 L 102 89 75 68 29 67 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 123 123 9/9 Northwestern 41-1 W 51 51 110 26 28 115 0-1 0-0 110 9/9 Eastern Illinois 38-10 W 103 86 75 Duke N Illinois 2-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 127 112 9/16 Baylor 34-20 W 44 37 113 24 68 73 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 112 116 9/16 at Nebraska 21-17 W 97 77 64 55 42 27 3-0 1-2 0-0 0-1 127 119 9/23 at North Carolina 27-17 W 43 27 102 53 43 52 #61 Rush Off #40 2-1 0-0 115 9/23 Bye 106 65 99 4-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 128 131 14 9/29 Miami, Fl 6-31 L 50 19 116 3 15 15 #80 Pass Off #89 2-1 4-0 0-0 1-0 115 120 19 9/30 at San Diego St 28-34 L 103 62 101 87 60 34 4-1 3-1 1-1 0-0 124 113 10/7 at Virginia 21-28 L 53 22 92 74 44 102 #92 Total Off #90 2-2 1-4 0-0 0-1 115 95 10/7 Kent St 24-3 W 99 61 110 129 122 109 4-2 1-3 1-2 1-2 120 131 10/14 Florida St 10-17 L 60 20 106 58 9 29 #86 Score Off #49 3-2 3-3 1-0 1-1 115 108 10/14 at Buffalo 14-13 W 100 51 115 90 114 102 4-3 2-5 1-3 0-3 120 115 10/21 Pittsburgh 17-24 L 65 25 101 91 76 34 #80 Sks Allowed #68 4-2 1-6 2-0 1-2 115 96 10/21 at Bowling Green 48-17 W 103 42 117 98 126 25 4-4 6-1 1-4 2-1 116 132 13 10/28 at Virginia Tech 3-24 L 68 31 99 35 12 11 #58 Rush Def #11 5-2 2-5 3-0 0-3 118 110 10/26 Eastern Michigan 30-27 W 93 41 116 115 83 121 4-5 1-5 116 11/4 Bye 78 28 98 #12 Pass Def #56 6-2 7-1 4-0 4-0 116 123 11/2 at Toledo 17-27 L 94 37 120 33 72 5 4-5 7-2 1-5 1-0 116 116 11/11 at Army West Point 16-21 L 82 28 96 69 103 31 #22 Total Def #18 6-3 2-7 4-1 0-5 116 85 11/9 Ball St 63-17 W 99 40 113 126 124 125 4-6 5-4 1-5 4-3 116 127 11/18 Georgia Tech 43-20 W 82 31 119 52 34 108 #25 Score Def #26 7-3 6-4 5-1 4-2 118 110 11/15 Western Michigan 35-31 W 90 36 76 79 69 7 5-6 7-4 2-5 4-3 121 129 11/25 at Wake Forest 31-23 W 74 38 108 35 63 73 #48 Sks By #4 8-3 7-4 6-1 5-2 117 113 11/24 at Central Michigan 24-31 L 87 37 77 82 68 127 6-6 3-5 125 12/2 Bye 74 33 111 #47 Ypg Diff #40 8-4 6-2 115 12/2 Bye 97 37 75 6-6 8-4 3-5 6-2 125 115 12/26 † Northern Illinois 67 27 111 95 38 76 +1 Total TO's -3 8-4 6-6 6-2 3-5 115 125 12/26 † Duke 95 38 76 67 27 111

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks NC Central 60-7 366 22 1 30 47-243 5.2 26-34 281 1 8 31-64 2.1 11-18 94 3 Boston College 20-23 28 -3 0 18 35-164 4.7 16-39 203 0 21 50-148 3.0 26-42 191 2 Northwestern 41-17 347 19 1 34 59-233 3.9 29-45 305 1 15 21-22 1.0 14-33 169 4 Eastern Illinois 38-10 312 10 0 26 47-230 4.9 24-35 269 1 16 45-60 1.3 14-32 127 3 Baylor 34-20 110 15 2 24 51-246 4.8 20-35 184 5 9 27-57 2.1 12-34 263 4 at Nebraska 21-17 -171 -5 2 13 31-85 2.7 15-23 128 2 18 36-85 2.4 25-47 299 3 at North Carolina 27-17 11 5 1 20 45-186 4.1 18-34 202 3 15 33-118 3.6 17-32 259 4 Bye Miami, Fl 6-31 -60 5 -1 24 46-183 4.0 21-42 166 6 19 35-139 4.0 15-26 270 3 at San Diego St 28-34 154 12 -4 22 45-155 3.4 23-38 262 4 10 36-127 3.5 10-20 136 1 at Virginia 21-28 -55 -4 0 17 32-131 4.1 14-42 124 2 21 38-128 3.4 24-43 182 1 Kent St 24-3 135 6 1 15 50-152 3.0 13-22 114 4 9 43-102 2.4 6-17 29 7 Florida St 10-17 -110 -6 1 17 25-111 4.4 22-37 204 1 23 40-228 5.7 18-21 197 2 at Buffalo 14-13 58 13 -1 28 56-217 3.9 20-31 224 3 15 27-39 1.4 21-34 344 4 Pittsburgh 17-24 -126 2 -2 22 26-76 2.9 16-34 283 2 20 57-336 5.9 8-18 149 3 at Bowling Green 48-17 210 11 4 29 55-338 6.1 21-34 239 2 18 44-192 4.4 13-23 175 3 at Virginia Tech 3-24 -204 -13 -2 10 35-101 2.9 10-24 82 1 23 48-187 3.9 13-28 200 1 Eastern Michigan 30-27 -11 3 -1 18 36-114 3.2 23-40 278 2 15 33-96 2.9 23-45 307 2 Bye at Toledo 17-27 -97 2 -1 25 40-185 4.6 24-44 245 2 23 40-166 4.2 23-31 361 1 at Army West Point 16-21 -15 5 -1 22 33-89 2.7 19-30 164 4 17 57-226 4.0 1-1 42 0 Ball St 63-17 188 4 0 20 45-222 4.9 11-24 211 2 16 43-83 1.9 19-30 162 7 Georgia Tech 43-20 141 15 1 30 51-319 6.3 19-28 181 1 15 47-277 5.9 3-14 82 0 Western Michigan 35-31 -9 0 -2 17 49-248 5.1 6-11 64 0 17 44-110 2.5 15-27 211 5 at Wake Forest 31-23 107 8 0 22 45-97 2.2 25-44 346 0 14 35-145 4.1 16-34 191 2 at Central Michigan 24-31 -121 3 -1 19 40-137 3.4 20-36 128 3 16 33-139 4.2 20-39 247 3 Duke Blue Devils

Bye N Illinois Huskies Bye † Northern Illinois † Duke LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM

Average 26-21 42.7 6.1 0.1 23 41-168 4.1 55.7% 210 6.3% 17 39-161 4.1 50.3% 175 8.9% Average 30-21 56.3 4.7 -0.3 21 44-187 4.2 57.3% 197 6.6% 16 40-112 2.8 55.6% 216 10.6% Conference 20-23 -37.0 1.5 -0.3 20 38-151 3.9 50.9% 199 5.6% 19 42-195 4.7 52.8% 191 7.4% Conference 32-21 44.1 5.3 -0.1 21 46-202 4.3 57.0% 188 7.4% 16 38-116 3.0 56.9% 230 13.0% Away 20-23 -31.2 0.2 -0.4 18 38-121 3.2 49.4% 184 5.7% 18 42-161 3.8 51.4% 175 5.8% Home 35-19 107.2 3.3 -0.3 19 44-188 4.3 54.4% 190 5.3% 16 43-100 2.3 53.4% 171 13.5% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving NC Central Daniel Jones 19-25-213-2-0 Brittain Brown 10-120-12.0-1 Aaron Young 5-89-17.8-1 Duke N Illinois Boston College Ryan Graham 15-38-190-2-1 Ryan Graham 12-99-8.3-0 Chad Beebe 6-93-15.5-0 Northwestern Daniel Jones 29-45-305-2-1 Daniel Jones 16-108-6.8-2 TJ Rahming 12-127-10.6-0 Duke QB/WR Eastern Illinois Daniel Santacaterina 23-34-252-3-1 Jordan Huff 11-88-8.0-0 DJ Brown 7-88-12.6-0 Baylor Daniel Jones 20-35-184-0-1 Shaun Wilson 18-176-9.8-2 Brittain Brown 4-71-17.8-0 0.49 vs. at Nebraska Daniel Santacaterina 15-22-128-0-0 Jordan Huff 16-105-6.6-1 Christian Blake 5-77-15.4-0 at North Carolina Daniel Jones 18-34-202-1-0 Brittain Brown 10-90-9.0-0 TJ Rahming 6-73-12.2-0 N Illinois DB's Bye Miami, Fl Daniel Jones 21-41-166-0-1 Shaun Wilson 9-63-7.0-0 Johnathan Lloyd 9-82-9.1-0 Duke RB's at San Diego St Daniel Santacaterina 24-39-269-3-3 Jordan Huff 25-148-5.9-0 Christian Blake 13-160-12.3-2 at Virginia Daniel Jones 14-42-124-1-2 Brittain Brown 10-54-5.4-0 TJ Rahming 2-39-19.5-0 vs. 0.21 Kent St Marcus Childers 13-21-114-3-1 Marcus Childers 17-65-3.8-0 Shane Wimann 4-53-13.3-1 Florida St Daniel Jones 22-35-204-0-0 Shaun Wilson 13-66-5.1-0 TJ Rahming 8-111-13.9-0 N Illinois LB's at Buffalo Marcus Childers 20-31-224-1-0 Marcus Childers 27-79-2.9-1 DJ Brown 5-53-10.6-0 Pittsburgh Daniel Jones 15-33-272-2-1 Shaun Wilson 11-42-3.8-0 TJ Rahming 8-142-17.8-1 Duke OL at Bowling Green Marcus Childers 21-33-239-3-0 Tommy Mister 17-115-6.8-1 Chad Beebe 6-124-20.7-1 at Virginia Tech Daniel Jones 10-24-82-0-1 Daniel Jones 17-65-3.8-0 Johnathan Lloyd 2-43-21.5-0 vs. 0.79 Eastern Michigan Marcus Childers 23-40-278-2-0 Marcus Childers 16-54-3.4-1 DJ Brown 7-104-14.9-1 Bye N Illinois DL at Toledo Marcus Childers 23-43-235-0-2 Marcus Jones 14-80-5.7-0 Spencer Tears 3-63-21.0-0 at Army West Point Daniel Jones 19-29-164-0-1 Shaun Wilson 7-46-6.6-0 TJ Rahming 3-40-13.3-0 Duke DL Ball St Marcus Childers 10-22-141-4-0 Jordan Huff 6-57-9.5-1 Jauan Wesley 1-70-70.0-1 Georgia Tech Daniel Jones 18-26-177-2-0 Brittain Brown 14-116-8.3-1 Johnathan Lloyd 5-57-11.4-0 0.07 vs. Western Michigan Marcus Childers 6-11-64-1-0 Jordan Huff 25-185-7.4-2 Mitch Brinkman 1-26-26.0-1 at Wake Forest Daniel Jones 25-44-346-2-3 Shaun Wilson 17-38-2.2-0 TJ Rahming 8-90-11.3-0 N Illinois OL at Central Michigan Marcus Childers 20-36-128-1-2 Tre Harbison 9-52-5.8-1 Spencer Tears 5-41-8.2-0 Bye Duke LB'S Bye † Northern Illinois 1.33 vs. † Duke N Illinois RB's Daniel Jones 230-413-2439-12-11 Shaun Wilson 146-743-5.1-5 TJ Rahming 61-733-12.0-1 Duke DB's Marcus Childers 137-239-1440-15-5 Jordan Huff 127-740-5.8-4 Spencer Tears 39-461-11.8-4 Duke Leaders Quentin Harris 7-10-73-1-0 Brittain Brown 117-660-5.6-6 Johnathan Lloyd 37-364-9.8-1 0.68 vs. N Illinois Leaders Daniel Santacaterina 63-99-719-7-5 Marcus Childers 132-454-3.4-5 Christian Blake 39-421-10.8-4 Parker Boehme 1-2-6-0-0 Daniel Jones 145-432-3.0-6 Chris Taylor 20-284-14.2-1 N Illinois QB/WR Ryan Graham 15-38-190-2-1 Marcus Jones 82-347-4.2-3 Chad Beebe 28-417-14.9-1 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Duke ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None vs. 2.33 Las Vegas Line N Illinois ST's Duke By 5.5 Duke has won a grand total of 1 bowl game s/’61. NIU HC Rod Carey is 0-3 in bowls Projected Rushing Duke K both SU and ATS. NIU was in contention for the MAC West into the final week. The Las Vegas Total 141 yards Duke N Illinois 146 yards 0.90 vs. 47.5 Points Duke OFF was dynamic early with Daniel Jones throwing for 226 ypg and having a 5-2 Projected Passing N Illinois K ratio the F/4 games, but he struggled the rest of the year. He finished strong, +/- Ratings 217 yards Duke N Illinois 152 yards Duke Coaches Duke By 8.5 including 346 yards in the penultimate win over WF. Duke has my #22 rated D, and Projected Yardage Total 1.25 vs. holds foes to 41 ypg below their season avg. NIU switched QB’s mid-year. NIU is #8 Game Grade 358 yards Duke N Illinois 298 yards N Illinois Coaches Duke By 4.9 in the country, allowing just 4.9 yards per play. Their D is led by Sutton Smith, who Projected Final Score Duke Pts had 14 sks. NIU has the edge on the DL, but Duke has edges at LB and DB. NIU has Computer Yards 25 points Duke N Illinois 18 points 4.72 vs. 3.34 Duke 358-298 the edge of playing in the MAC title game 6 of the L8Y at this site. I think this will be a Experience Rankings N Illinois Pts lower scoring game with the two solid D’s. These teams are very close talent wise, so Computer Points 82 Duke N Illinois 114 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Duke 25-18 I will take the points with the Huskies.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Duke Phil Steele 41 Duke N Illinois 94 Duke by 3 By 1.38 Points Duke 20 Northern Illinois 17 DUKE (6-6) QUICKTuesday, December LANE 26, 2017 • 5:15BOWL pm NORTHERN ILLINOIS (8-4) ATS: 6-5-1 O/U: 2-10 ESPN • • Detroit, MI ATS: 6-6 O/U: 6-6 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS DUKE NIU 145 rush yd 142 224 pass yd 131 27 pts 16 +1 ytd to -3 #57 sked #106 CHECKLIST DUKE NIU edge edge 1/2 QB – – RB – 1/2 WR – – OL – – DL 41/2 4 LB – 1/2 DB – 41/2 CCH – – SITE 41/2 – MTCH – – INT – – ST 4 441/2 SKED – OVERALL DUKE BY 2’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: UCLA Bruins 6-6 7-5 Kansas St Wildcats Bruins Logs vs. PAC 12 vs. BIG 12 Wildcats Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 4-5 5-4 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 119 9/3 Texas A&M 45-44 W 17 25 85 31 21 6 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 133 20 9/2 Central Arkansas 55-19 W 37 40 1 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 101 9/9 Hawaii 56-23 W 25 22 85 71 115 116 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 133 91 19 9/9 Charlotte 55-7 W 33 68 1 120 118 123 UCLA Kansas St 2-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 120 25 9/16 at Memphis 45-48 L 20 27 81 33 73 7 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 133 120 18 9/16 at Vanderbilt 7-14 L 29 62 2 59 29 54 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 121 129 9/23 at Stanford 34-58 L 17 31 71 10 31 11 #112 Rush Off #42 2-1 0-0 129 9/23 Bye 37 54 1 2-2 3-1 0-1 0-1 118 116 9/30 Colorado 27-23 W 14 37 82 57 53 53 #5 Pass Off #99 2-1 0-4 0-0 0-1 129 116 9/30 Baylor 33-20 W 33 57 1 34 83 19 3-2 1-1 118 10/7 Bye 13 41 74 #20 Total Off #96 3-1 2-2 1-0 1-0 129 125 10/7 at Texas 34-40 L 33 49 1 20 16 24 3-2 3-2 1-1 1-1 118 119 10/14 at Arizona 30-47 L 14 40 76 15 72 92 #31 Score Off #36 3-2 5-0 1-1 2-0 127 132 6 10/14 TCU 6-26 L 36 46 1 12 16 17 3-3 4-3 1-2 1-3 116 119 10/21 Oregon 31-14 W 15 58 86 14 20 68 #88 Sks Allowed #58 3-3 5-1 1-2 2-1 124 133 9 10/21 Oklahoma 35-42 L 44 38 2 3 22 78 4-3 6-1 2-2 3-1 119 136 10/28 at Washington 23-44 L 16 52 71 29 6 60 #129 Rush Def #18 3-4 1-6 1-3 0-4 124 95 10/28 at Kansas 30-20 W 44 42 1 104 115 86 4-4 4-4 2-3 1-4 119 115 11/3 at Utah 17-48 L 22 59 76 50 33 18 #40 Pass Def #129 4-4 4-4 2-3 1-4 121 119 11/4 at Texas Tech 42-35 W 44 40 1 25 76 99 4-5 5-4 2-4 4-2 116 123 11/11 Arizona St 44-37 W 22 63 78 48 47 82 #123 Total Def #98 5-4 6-3 3-3 4-2 123 126 23 11/11 West Virginia 23-28 L 43 37 1 10 56 103 5-5 9-2 3-4 7-1 119 132 12 11/18 at USC 23-28 L 18 61 98 8 10 52 #118 Score Def #59 5-5 8-2 3-4 5-2 121 136 10 11/18 at Oklahoma St 45-40 W 53 38 2 7 21 88 5-6 5-6 3-5 2-6 121 118 11/24 California 30-27 W 20 55 120 109 54 53 #101 Sks By #61 6-5 7-4 4-4 5-3 126 129 11/25 Iowa St 20-19 W 46 34 1 65 49 65 6-6 4-5 121 12/2 Bye 22 53 114 #85 Ypg Diff #101 7-5 5-4 126 12/2 Bye 51 36 1 6-6 7-5 4-5 5-4 121 126 12/26 † Kansas St 20 52 114 59 35 1 -9 Total TO's +10 7-5 6-6 5-4 4-5 126 121 12/26 † UCLA 59 35 1 20 52 114

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Texas A&M 45-44 83 6 -3 29 25-63 2.5 35-59 491 3 23 63-382 6.1 9-30 89 6 Central Arkansas 55-19 98 -12 3 16 31-186 6.0 10-16 333 1 28 55-223 4.1 27-35 198 4 Hawaii 56-23 -10 0 1 25 26-132 5.1 24-29 373 3 25 42-281 6.7 24-39 234 1 Charlotte 55-7 325 18 3 28 51-304 6.0 17-23 189 1 10 28-110 3.9 10-25 58 0 at Memphis 45-48 73 5 0 31 35-170 4.9 34-56 463 1 26 37-162 4.4 23-39 398 2 at Vanderbilt 7-14 7 2 -1 13 35-201 5.7 10-28 76 2 11 32-65 2.0 14-23 205 1 at Stanford 34-58 42 4 -3 27 15-115 7.7 40-60 480 1 23 45-405 9.0 16-24 148 0 Bye Colorado 27-23 33 1 -1 25 35-95 2.7 28-45 372 1 24 38-191 5.0 17-38 243 0 Baylor 33-20 -31 1 1 19 43-225 5.2 7-17 119 0 18 27-84 3.1 26-44 291 3 Bye at Texas 34-40 -152 -16 0 16 39-140 3.6 14-23 254 3 32 40-166 4.2 30-51 380 0 at Arizona 30-47 -196 1 -4 28 38-190 5.0 20-34 219 5 27 61-457 7.5 9-13 148 0 TCU 6-26 -179 -7 0 10 29-70 2.4 11-30 146 2 17 36-98 2.7 27-37 297 1 Oregon 31-14 88 -2 2 22 37-142 3.8 21-36 266 2 24 62-246 4.0 8-15 74 4 Oklahoma 35-42 -207 -10 0 18 42-268 6.4 12-14 144 0 28 38-209 5.5 32-41 410 2 at Washington 23-44 -210 -9 1 15 28-62 2.2 19-33 170 4 24 58-333 5.7 9-12 109 0 at Kansas 30-20 -142 -5 1 15 43-202 4.7 8-13 138 4 20 28-64 2.3 23-48 418 4 at Utah 17-48 -257 -12 -1 12 32-134 4.2 11-16 115 1 24 50-272 5.4 15-22 234 2 at Texas Tech 42-35 -119 -2 0 24 36-145 4.0 18-28 263 2 26 31-122 3.9 34-53 405 1 Arizona St 44-37 -11 -4 0 25 33-192 5.8 25-45 381 0 29 61-294 4.8 21-37 290 2 West Virginia 23-28 -160 -6 2 14 42-173 4.1 13-26 159 4 20 26-120 4.6 27-46 372 2 at USC 23-28 84 4 -1 28 31-80 2.6 32-52 421 4 24 41-153 3.7 17-28 264 1 at Oklahoma St 45-40 -89 -12 1 18 49-217 4.4 10-13 204 3 30 31-85 2.7 32-53 425 4 UCLABruins California 30-27 4 -2 0 24 37-69 1.9 27-36 393 4 26 42-216 5.1 25-41 242 1 Iowa St 20-19 -115 -6 0 12 30-109 3.6 16-22 155 1 18 30-115 3.8 24-36 264 2 Bye Bye KansasWildcats St † Kansas St † UCLA LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM

Average 34-37 -23.1 -0.7 -0.8 24 31-120 3.9 63.1% 345 5.8% 25 50-283 5.7 57.1% 206 5.6% Average 32-26 -63.7 -4.6 0.8 17 39-187 4.8 57.7% 182 9.1% 22 34-122 3.6 62.2% 310 4.9% Conference 29-36 -47.0 -2.1 -0.8 23 32-120 3.8 62.5% 313 6.2% 25 51-285 5.6 59.6% 195 4.3% Conference 30-30 -132.7 -7.0 0.6 16 39-172 4.4 58.6% 176 10.2% 23 32-118 3.7 62.3% 362 4.6% Away 29-46 -77.3 -1.2 -1.3 24 30-125 4.2 62.2% 311 6.4% 25 49-297 6.1 64.5% 217 3.6% Home 32-23 -38.4 -3.1 1.3 17 38-191 5.0 58.1% 178 6.1% 20 34-137 4.0 65.5% 270 5.3% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Texas A&M Josh Rosen 35-59-491-4-0 Soso Jamabo 7-46-6.6-1 Caleb Wilson 15-203-13.5-0 UCLA Kansas St Central Arkansas Jesse Ertz 10-16-333-4-0 Skylar Thompson 3-49-16.3-0 Byron Pringle 3-121-40.3-1 Hawaii Josh Rosen 22-25-329-5-0 Nate Starks 7-42-6.0-0 Theo Howard 7-110-15.7-1 UCLA QB/WR Charlotte Jesse Ertz 16-21-178-0-0 Alex Barnes 16-99-6.2-1 Isaiah Zuber 7-73-10.4-0 at Memphis Josh Rosen 34-56-463-4-2 Bolu Olorunfunmi 13-77-5.9-0 Darren Andrews 10-175-17.5-1 1.89 vs. at Vanderbilt Jesse Ertz 10-28-76-0-2 Jesse Ertz 24-126-5.3-1 Isaiah Zuber 4-37-9.3-0 at Stanford Josh Rosen 40-60-480-3-2 Soso Jamabo 12-100-8.3-1 Jordan Lasley 11-158-14.4-1 Kansas St DB's Bye Colorado Josh Rosen 28-45-372-1-1 Soso Jamabo 21-70-3.3-1 Jordan Lasley 7-146-20.9-0 UCLA RB's Baylor Jesse Ertz 7-17-119-1-0 Jesse Ertz 12-95-7.9-1 Isaiah Zuber 4-79-19.8-1 Bye vs. 0.20 at Texas Jesse Ertz 12-18-224-2-1 Alex Delton 12-79-6.6-2 Dalton Schoen 5-128-25.6-2 at Arizona Josh Rosen 20-34-219-0-3 Bolu Olorunfunmi 10-102-10.2-2 Jordan Lasley 6-77-12.8-0 Kansas St LB's TCU Alex Delton 11-29-146-0-0 Alex Delton 19-39-2.1-0 Byron Pringle 3-80-26.7-0 Oregon Josh Rosen 21-36-266-2-0 Bolu Olorunfunmi 13-76-5.8-1 Christian Pabico 4-99-24.8-1 UCLA OL Oklahoma Alex Delton 12-14-144-1-1 Alex Delton 27-142-5.3-3 Byron Pringle 2-70-35.0-0 at Washington Josh Rosen 12-21-93-1-0 Soso Jamabo 9-28-3.1-0 Darren Andrews 8-73-9.1-1 vs. 0.74 at Kansas Alex Delton 4-7-98-0-0 Alex Barnes 23-128-5.6-2 Byron Pringle 3-92-30.7-0 at Utah Devon Modster 8-12-103-1-0 Bolu Olorunfunmi 16-63-3.9-0 Darren Andrews 3-66-22.0-1 Kansas St DL at Texas Tech Alex Delton 13-20-167-1-1 Justin Silmon 2-45-22.5-0 Dalton Schoen 5-103-20.6-0 Arizona St Josh Rosen 25-45-381-1-1 Bolu Olorunfunmi 15-79-5.3-1 Jordan Lasley 7-162-23.1-1 UCLA DL West Virginia Skylar Thompson 13-26-159-0-2 Dalvin Warmack 14-96-6.9-0 Isaiah Zuber 4-45-11.3-0 at USC Josh Rosen 32-52-421-3-1 Soso Jamabo 9-62-6.9-0 Jordan Lasley 10-204-20.4-3 vs. 0.95 at Oklahoma St Skylar Thompson 10-13-204-3-0 Skylar Thompson 17-93-5.5-1 Byron Pringle 4-166-41.5-3 California Josh Rosen 13-18-202-2-0 Brandon Stephens 20-83-4.2-1 Jordan Lasley 12-227-18.9-1 Kansas St OL Iowa St Skylar Thompson 15-21-152-1-0 Dalvin Warmack 10-42-4.2-0 Isaiah Zuber 7-56-8.0-1 Bye UCLA LB'S Bye † Kansas St 0.07 vs. † UCLA Kansas St RB's Josh Rosen 282-451-3717-26-10 Bolu Olorunfunmi 105-542-5.2-5 Jordan Lasley 61-1136-18.6-8 UCLA DB's Jesse Ertz 55-100-930-7-3 Alex Barnes 134-702-5.2-6 Byron Pringle 28-705-25.2-6 UCLA Leaders Devon Modster 30-45-376-2-0 Soso Jamabo 88-447-5.1-6 Darren Andrews 60-778-13.0-10 vs. 0.02 Kansas St Leaders Skylar Thompson 48-76-662-5-2 Alex Delton 80-342-4.3-5 Isaiah Zuber 51-510-10.0-4 Caleb Wilson 1-1-39-0-0 Brandon Stephens 44-183-4.2-1 Caleb Wilson 38-485-12.8-1 Kansas St QB/WR Alex Delton 42-75-585-2-2 Jesse Ertz 65-336-5.2-3 Dalton Schoen 23-470-20.4-3 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) UCLA ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score 2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's vs. 5.42 Las Vegas Line Kansas St 11 60 35 27 32-31 31-49-338 Kansas St ST's Kansas St By 2.5 Bill Snyder is 1 of the greatest head coaches in the country, so it is a surprise UCLA 14 -1.5 40 16 39-331 12-24-136 1 Projected Rushing UCLA K Las Vegas Total to me that he is just 8-10 in bowl games SU. UCLA is led by interim HC Jedd 84 yards UCLA Kansas St 264 yards vs. 1.12 64.5 Points Fisch, who called all the plays as the OC. The UCLA D suffered a bunch of inj’s Projected Passing Kansas St K +/- Ratings to the front 7 and allowed a ridiculous 283 rush ypg and 5.7 ypc. KSt was down 364 yards UCLA Kansas St 169 yards UCLA Coaches Kansas St By 6.5 to their third string QB Skylar Thompson over the L/3 games, but he acquitted Projected Yardage Total vs. 3.10 Game Grade himself well. The Wildcats matchup well as they like to run the ball and go vs 448 yards UCLA Kansas St 433 yards Kansas St Coaches Kansas St By 0.5 Projected Final Score UCLA Pts that porous rush D. While KSt is further away, they usually travel better to bowl Computer Yards 28 points UCLA Kansas St 35 points 1.96 vs. 11.55 Ucla 448-433 games. I was already leaning with KSt with the D and coaching edge, but then Experience Rankings Kansas St Pts tossed in the ST’s. I rate KSt with the #1 ST’s unit, while UCLA is way down at Computer Points 43 UCLA Kansas St 60 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Kansas St 35-28 #116. I am surprised that KSt is favored by less than fg.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Kansas St Phil Steele 7 UCLA Kansas St 38 Kansas St by 7 By 9.59 Points Best Bet: ★★ Kansas St 35 UCLA 28 KANSAS ST (7-5) CACTUSTuesday, December 26, 2017BOWL • 9:00 pm UCLA (6-6) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 6-6 ESPN • • Phoenix, AZ ATS: 4-8 O/U: 8-4 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS K-ST UCLA 251 rush yd 78 185 pass yd 353 35 pts 27 +11 ytd to -9 #59 sked #8 CHECKLIST K-ST UCLA edge edge – QB 444 – RB 1/2 – WR 1/2 1/2 OL – 44 DL – 4 LB – – DB 1/2 444 CCH – 41/2 SITE – – MTCH – – INT – 44444 ST – – SKED 44 OVERALL KANSAS ST BY 6’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Florida St Seminoles 6-6 8-4 Southern Miss Golden Eagles Seminoles Logs vs. ACC vs. CUSA Golden Eagles Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 3-5 6-2 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 141 3 1 9/2 † Alabama 7-24 L 11 1 11 1 2 24 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 121 9/2 Kentucky 17-24 L 82 93 66 51 35 31 0-1 0-0 136 10 9/9 Bye 28 3 11 0-1 0-0 106 9/9 Southern 45-0 W 91 85 66 Florida St Southern Miss 0-1 0-0 136 11 9/16 Bye 45 5 108 1-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 109 100 9/16 at ULM 28-17 W 84 74 50 120 105 130 0-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 136 121 12 9/23 NC State 21-27 L 59 5 110 30 30 76 #84 Rush Off #39 2-1 0-0 110 9/23 Bye 73 72 93 0-2 4-0 0-1 1-0 131 124 9/30 at Wake Forest 26-19 W 58 9 43 65 45 25 #92 Pass Off #47 2-1 2-2 0-0 1-0 110 100 9/30 North Texas 28-43 L 71 70 92 62 88 46 1-2 3-0 1-1 1-0 131 136 13 10/7 Miami, Fl 20-24 L 65 12 14 5 13 27 #107 Total Off #33 2-2 3-0 0-1 0-0 105 115 10/7 at UTSA 31-29 W 79 76 108 62 37 53 1-3 4-2 1-2 1-2 131 120 10/14 at Duke 17-10 W 58 9 29 60 20 106 #79 Score Off #47 3-2 0-6 1-1 0-2 108 92 10/14 UTEP 24-0 W 61 75 114 129 127 119 2-3 4-3 2-2 1-3 131 118 10/21 Louisville 28-31 L 48 11 58 7 45 67 #104 Sks Allowed #12 4-2 3-3 2-1 1-1 109 110 10/21 at Louisiana Tech 34-27 W 49 68 114 69 90 93 2-4 4-4 2-3 2-3 126 121 10/27 at Boston College 3-35 L 47 13 37 72 36 78 #33 Rush Def #28 5-2 4-3 3-1 2-2 105 98 10/28 UAB 12-30 L 45 59 92 89 82 127 2-5 4-4 2-4 2-2 121 121 11/4 Syracuse 24-21 W 59 16 59 60 71 11 #36 Pass Def #25 5-3 3-5 3-2 0-5 100 115 11/4 at Tennessee 10-24 L 48 68 83 79 50 20 3-5 8-1 3-4 6-1 121 137 11/11 at Clemson 14-31 L 53 16 54 14 3 116 #24 Total Def #17 5-4 1-8 3-2 1-4 100 89 11/11 at Rice 43-34 W 65 62 80 117 119 113 3-6 3-5 121 11/18 Delaware St 77-6 W 66 16 42 #33 Score Def #39 6-4 1-9 4-2 1-5 100 90 11/18 Charlotte 66-21 W 57 68 56 115 115 79 4-6 4-6 3-5 3-5 123 118 11/25 at Florida 38-22 W 50 13 29 61 39 22 #36 Sks By #61 7-4 7-4 5-2 4-3 104 109 11/25 at Marshall 28-27 W 45 67 62 77 35 15 5-6 4-7 3-5 4-4 125 100 12/2 ULM 42-10 W 46 13 25 70 127 15 #71 Ypg Diff #17 8-4 6-2 106 12/2 Bye 44 68 71 6-6 3-5 125 12/9 Bye 32 8 16 -7 Total TO's 0 8-4 6-6 6-2 3-5 106 125 12/27 † Florida St 61 59 69 32 8 16 8-4 6-2 106 12/27 † Southern Miss 61 59 69 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks † Alabama 7-24 -19 2 -3 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2 Kentucky 17-24 110 7 -2 19 38-55 1.4 22-40 309 2 12 35-78 2.2 11-20 176 1 Bye Southern 45-0 337 20 1 27 44-197 4.5 20-32 280 2 7 26-62 2.4 10-26 78 3 Bye at ULM 28-17 204 8 0 23 48-284 5.9 17-32 250 3 15 37-218 5.9 11-27 112 1 NC State 21-27 17 -6 -1 15 26-104 4.0 22-39 278 4 21 37-110 3.0 23-33 255 1 Bye at Wake Forest 26-19 -97 -2 1 15 43-149 3.5 11-21 121 5 17 34-96 2.8 24-35 271 2 North Texas 28-43 -125 -6 2 18 29-145 5.0 19-42 270 2 24 46-174 3.8 24-41 366 2 Miami, Fl 20-24 69 2 -1 22 43-203 4.7 17-28 203 4 20 29-83 2.9 19-44 254 3 at UTSA 31-29 -11 -9 -1 18 30-246 8.2 15-21 212 1 27 33-102 3.1 27-43 367 3 at Duke 17-10 110 6 -1 23 40-228 5.7 18-21 197 2 17 25-111 4.4 22-37 204 1 UTEP 24-0 276 14 0 20 45-202 4.5 16-27 221 0 6 22-17 0.8 14-28 130 2 Louisville 28-31 -46 1 -2 23 38-155 4.1 16-28 248 2 22 44-293 6.7 13-21 156 2 at Louisiana Tech 34-27 136 15 -1 30 45-190 4.2 32-53 301 0 15 34-161 4.7 11-28 194 2 at Boston College 3-35 -116 -9 -3 10 29-64 2.2 12-27 149 2 19 55-241 4.4 7-21 88 0 UAB 12-30 -70 -7 -1 14 26-81 3.1 19-38 266 0 21 49-209 4.3 16-29 208 3 Syracuse 27-24 -120 -8 0 13 37-207 5.6 12-19 136 3 21 40-149 3.7 31-55 314 3 at Tennessee 10-24 69 4 -2 18 42-118 2.8 13-34 161 4 14 38-95 2.5 10-21 115 2 at Clemson 14-31 -149 -12 0 12 24-21 0.9 13-32 208 5 24 52-227 4.4 20-30 151 2 at Rice 43-34 136 2 0 28 36-186 5.2 22-31 331 0 26 49-254 5.2 10-16 127 4 Delaware St 77-6 290 17 2 23 32-246 7.7 18-24 236 0 6 24-15 0.6 13-33 177 6 Charlotte 66-21 346 13 2 27 42-363 8.6 20-27 221 0 14 38-142 3.7 9-25 96 0 at Florida 38-22 -64 -5 3 12 34-88 2.6 10-21 128 2 17 34-96 2.8 18-39 184 5 at Marshall 28-27 -11 -1 2 22 45-201 4.5 16-35 170 0 23 26-74 2.8 26-44 308 1 ULM 42-10 204 9 -2 26 45-305 6.8 15-23 199 0 17 22-38 1.7 28-47 262 2 Bye

Bye Seminoles St Florida † Florida St LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM † Southern Miss Average 27-22 6.6 -0.4 -0.6 17 35-151 4.3 57.9% 193 10.1% 18 37-136 3.7 55.2% 201 7.0% Average 31-23 116.4 5.0 0.0 22 39-189 4.8 56.1% 249 3.4% 17 36-132 3.7 51.4% 190 6.9% SouthernEagles MissGolden Conference 20-25 -41.5 -3.5 -0.9 17 35-141 4.0 56.3% 193 12.6% 20 40-164 4.1 57.6% 212 5.1% Conference 33-26 84.6 2.6 0.4 22 37-202 5.4 58.0% 249 1.1% 20 37-142 3.8 53.9% 225 6.7% Away 18-24 -55.8 -3.3 -0.5 15 33-98 3.0 53.5% 169 12.3% 18 40-157 3.9 56.1% 166 6.7% Home 32-20 145.7 6.8 0.3 21 37-174 4.7 56.3% 261 2.9% 14 36-114 3.2 49.7% 176 6.5% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving † Alabama Deondre Francois 19-33-210-1-2 Cam Akers 10-30-3.0-0 Keith Gavin 8-61-7.6-0 Florida St Southern Miss Kentucky Kwadra Griggs 15-26-222-2-0 Ito Smith 16-37-2.3-0 Korey Robertson 7-111-15.9-2 Bye Florida St QB/WR Southern Kwadra Griggs 15-23-209-2-0 T-Rod Daniels 10-83-8.3-1 Allenzae Staggers 5-62-12.4-1 Bye 1.02 vs. at ULM Kwadra Griggs 17-32-250-3-1 Ito Smith 27-219-8.1-1 Allenzae Staggers 4-75-18.8-1 NC State James Blackman 22-38-278-1-0 Cam Akers 12-56-4.7-0 Auden Tate 9-138-15.3-1 Southern Miss DB's Bye at Wake Forest James Blackman 11-21-121-1-0 Jacques Patrick 19-120-6.3-1 Auden Tate 2-47-23.5-1 Florida St RB's North Texas Kwadra Griggs 19-42-270-1-0 Ito Smith 13-102-7.8-2 Allenzae Staggers 5-112-22.4-1 Miami, Fl James Blackman 17-28-203-2-2 Cam Akers 20-121-6.1-0 Auden Tate 3-56-18.7-1 1.35 vs. at UTSA Keon Howard 15-20-212-3-0 Ito Smith 17-178-10.5-1 Quez Watkins 5-78-15.6-1 at Duke James Blackman 18-21-197-1-2 Cam Akers 15-115-7.7-1 Nyqwan Murray 5-81-16.2-0 Southern Miss LB's UTEP Keon Howard 16-27-221-1-2 Ito Smith 28-120-4.3-2 Jaylond Adams 2-104-52.0-1 Louisville James Blackman 16-28-248-2-2 Cam Akers 16-75-4.7-0 Nyqwan Murray 4-95-23.8-1 Florida St OL at Louisiana Tech Keon Howard 32-53-301-3-2 Tez Parks 15-77-5.1-0 Korey Robertson 9-127-14.1-2 at Boston College James Blackman 11-26-102-0-1 Cam Akers 18-42-2.3-0 Nyqwan Murray 3-102-34.0-0 0.28 vs. UAB Keon Howard 14-25-207-1-0 Ito Smith 12-36-3.0-0 Ito Smith 3-93-31.0-1 Syracuse James Blackman 12-19-136-1-0 Cam Akers 22-199-9.0-2 Nyqwan Murray 3-60-20.0-1 Southern Miss DL at Tennessee Keon Howard 7-22-100-0-1 Ito Smith 20-51-2.6-0 Korey Robertson 8-122-15.3-0 at Clemson James Blackman 13-32-208-1-1 Cam Akers 12-40-3.3-0 Nyqwan Murray 4-73-18.3-0 Florida St DL at Rice Kwadra Griggs 22-31-331-3-0 Ito Smith 24-150-6.3-2 Korey Robertson 8-159-19.9-2 Delaware St James Blackman 11-15-179-3-0 Ryan Green 7-96-13.7-2 Keith Gavin 4-78-19.5-0 1.21 vs. Charlotte Kwadra Griggs 20-27-221-1-0 Ito Smith 15-153-10.2-3 Korey Robertson 6-91-15.2-1 at Florida James Blackman 10-21-128-2-1 Jacques Patrick 15-67-4.5-0 Ermon Lane 1-39-39.0-0 Southern Miss OL at Marshall Kwadra Griggs 16-35-170-3-0 Ito Smith 29-150-5.2-1 Korey Robertson 7-118-16.9-1 ULM James Blackman 14-22-197-1-2 Jacques Patrick 19-155-8.2-2 Ermon Lane 3-45-15.0-0 Florida St LB'S Bye Bye 0.91 vs. † Florida St † Southern Miss Southern Miss RB's James Blackman 155-271-1997-15-11 Cam Akers 181-931-5.1-7 Nyqwan Murray 40-604-15.1-4 Florida St DB's Kwadra Griggs 135-240-1793-15-2 Ito Smith 232-1321-5.7-13 Korey Robertson 72-1070-14.9-11 Florida St Leaders Deondre Francois 19-33-210-1-2 Jacques Patrick 118-687-5.8-6 Auden Tate 35-464-13.3-7 1.54 vs. Southern Miss Leaders Keon Howard 96-170-1199-8-5 Tez Parks 51-278-5.5-1 Allenzae Staggers 43-469-10.9-5 J.J Cosentino 7-8-53-1-0 Amir Rasul 26-127-4.9-0 Keith Gavin 27-276-10.2-0 Southern Miss QB/WR Allenzae Staggers 0-1-0.1-0-0 Kwadra Griggs 75-231-3.1-2 Ito Smith 36-370-10.3-2 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Florida St ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None 1.91 vs. Las Vegas Line Southern Miss ST's Florida St By 16.5 FSU may be 6-6, but that was vs the 13th toughest sked, while SM faced the Projected Rushing Florida St K #127 sked (4th easiest). One of the main things to look for when trying to find Las Vegas Total 146 yards Florida St Southern Miss 109 yards vs. 0.25 49 Points value in a bowl game is finding a team that is excited and wants to be there vs Projected Passing Southern Miss K a team that will find it hard to get fired up for their opponent. This gm has that. +/- Ratings 186 yards Florida St Southern Miss 208 yards Florida St Coaches Florida St By 16.5 FSU played well in the ssn finale to get to 6 wins and keep their bowl streak Projected Yardage Total vs. 0.70 alive. Interim HC Haggins is well liked, but is just keeping the seat warm for Game Grade 332 yards Florida St Southern Miss 317 yards Southern Miss Coaches Florida St By 8.2 Taggart. Play this game during the ssn at FSU and have it mean something and Projected Final Score Florida St Pts the Seminoles would roll, but that is not the case here. FS James is sitting out Computer Yards 33 points Florida St Southern Miss 18 points 8.22 vs. 0.95 Florida St 332-317 the bowl. SM will have the crowd edge and be far more excited to be here and Experience Rankings Southern Miss Pts they have weapons like RB Smith QB Griggs. I’ll call for FSU to win by just over Computer Points 44 Florida St Southern Miss 85 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Florida St 33-18 a td as SM keeps it closer than expected. Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Florida St Phil Steele 20 Florida St Southern Miss 123 Florida St by 9 By 7.27 Points Florida St 30 Southern Miss 21 SOUTHERN MISS (8-4) INDEPENDENCEWednesday, December 27, 2017 • 1:30 BOWL pm FLORIDA ST (6-6) ATS: 8-4 O/U: 6-6 ESPN • Independence Stadium • Shreveport, LA ATS: 3-7-2 O/U: 4-8 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS SMISS FSU 128 rush yd 157 212 pass yd 161 20 pts 35 0 ytd to -7 #127 sked #13 CHECKLIST SMISS FSU edge edge – QB 4 – RB 1/2 – WR 1/2 4 OL – – DL 41/2 – LB 41/2 – DB 44 4 CCH – 441/2 SITE – – MTCH – 44 INT – – ST 44 – SKED 44444 OVERALL FLORIDA ST BY 7’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Iowa Hawkeyes 7-5 7-5 Boston College Eagles Hawkeyes Logs vs. BIG 10 vs. ACC Eagles Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 4-5 4-4 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 109 9/2 Wyoming 24-3 W 69 30 40 98 85 119 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 109 9/1 at Northern Illinois 23-20 W 68 29 67 102 89 75 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 120 9/9 at Iowa St 44-41 W 68 23 40 48 78 29 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 120 9/9 Wake Forest 10-34 L 75 30 67 81 59 30 Iowa Boston College 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 123 100 9/16 North Texas 31-14 W 64 24 34 85 89 58 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-1 112 131 9/16 Notre Dame 20-49 L 81 33 63 11 22 70 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 122 140 4 9/23 Penn St 19-21 L 58 29 13 8 8 7 #94 Rush Off #24 1-2 3-0 0-1 1-0 110 142 2 9/23 at Clemson 7-34 L 84 50 32 4 2 103 3-1 2-1 0-1 0-0 124 117 9/30 at Michigan St 10-17 L 59 33 18 36 18 111 #88 Pass Off #115 1-3 2-2 0-2 0-1 111 101 9/30 Central Michigan 28-8 W 94 50 66 64 90 118 3-2 2-2 0-2 0-1 121 104 10/7 Illinois 45-16 W 77 32 18 115 83 91 #108 Total Off #81 2-3 4-1 0-2 0-1 112 128 16 10/7 Virginia Tech 10-23 L 91 47 56 42 10 26 4-2 1-2 122 10/14 Bye 76 34 21 #68 Score Off #82 2-4 4-2 0-3 1-2 112 122 10/14 at Louisville 45-42 W 93 43 60 11 32 58 4-2 3-3 1-2 1-2 122 124 10/21 at Northwestern 10-17 L 79 37 20 46 31 60 #50 Sks Allowed #11 3-4 5-1 1-3 2-0 116 118 10/21 at Virginia 41-10 W 84 46 74 74 26 100 4-3 4-3 1-3 1-3 123 116 10/28 Minnesota 17-10 W 85 35 61 100 53 81 #37 Rush Def #102 4-4 2-4 2-3 2-3 121 126 10/27 Florida St 35-3 W 72 36 78 47 13 37 5-3 7-1 2-3 5-0 123 144 3 11/4 Ohio St 55-24 W 91 27 25 2 5 57 #50 Pass Def #32 5-4 3-3 126 11/4 Bye 69 26 82 6-3 9-0 3-3 6-0 128 134 25 6 11/11 at Wisconsin 14-38 L 78 24 29 26 8 55 #34 Total Def #69 5-4 6-3 3-3 4-1 126 128 11/11 NC State 14-17 L 68 26 85 29 33 101 6-4 4-6 3-4 2-5 125 117 11/18 Purdue 15-24 L 97 29 34 76 53 82 #20 Score Def #36 5-5 3-7 3-4 2-5 125 98 11/18 † Connecticut 39-16 W 77 26 104 118 117 117 6-5 4-7 3-5 3-5 120 114 11/25 at Nebraska 56-14 W 101 32 24 68 83 44 #48 Sks By #68 6-5 4-7 3-4 2-5 124 114 11/25 at Syracuse 42-14 W 69 27 99 55 91 28 7-5 4-5 124 12/2 Bye 90 26 35 #83 Ypg Diff #80 7-5 4-4 128 12/2 Bye 55 31 100 7-5 7-5 4-5 4-4 124 128 12/27 † Boston College 94 25 32 51 29 99 +4 Total TO's +8 7-5 7-5 4-4 4-5 128 124 12/27 † Iowa 51 29 99 94 25 32

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Wyoming 24-3 30 1 -2 16 41-138 3.4 8-15 125 2 15 30-59 2.0 23-40 174 3 at Northern Illinois 23-20 -28 3 0 21 50-148 3.0 26-42 191 2 18 35-164 4.7 16-39 203 0 at Iowa St 44-41 30 7 1 29 41-164 4.0 27-41 333 1 22 26-120 4.6 25-46 347 1 Wake Forest 10-34 -4 4 -4 19 41-142 3.5 18-41 163 1 15 52-158 3.0 13-19 151 3 North Texas 31-14 130 11 0 28 59-238 4.0 16-27 197 1 17 17-112 6.6 18-29 193 1 Notre Dame 20-49 -211 3 -1 22 44-185 4.2 24-41 215 1 19 51-515 10.1 11-27 96 1 Penn St 19-21 -306 -18 1 11 23-82 3.6 13-22 191 1 29 51-295 5.8 31-48 284 4 at Clemson 7-34 -244 -15 0 12 34-97 2.9 15-32 141 1 27 58-342 5.9 17-26 140 2 at Michigan St 10-17 -69 -8 -2 11 25-19 0.8 17-32 212 3 19 40-88 2.2 18-28 212 2 Central Michigan 28-8 13 -1 1 17 53-224 4.2 14-21 85 0 18 33-116 3.5 22-43 180 3 Illinois 45-16 -5 0 2 20 38-191 5.0 18-34 250 1 20 30-200 6.7 22-45 246 1 Virginia Tech 10-23 -87 -4 1 16 33-153 4.6 14-33 191 0 20 48-109 2.3 22-33 322 5 Bye at Louisville 45-42 -70 2 1 27 59-364 6.2 12-28 191 2 25 36-293 8.1 19-39 332 0 at Northwestern 10-17 -27 -7 -1 14 33-89 2.7 19-33 223 2 21 46-147 3.2 21-36 192 3 at Virginia 41-10 265 0 3 19 47-237 5.0 19-24 275 0 19 26-95 3.7 19-42 152 3 Minnesota 17-10 34 0 -1 15 33-125 3.8 15-27 190 0 15 43-142 3.3 9-29 139 4 Florida St 35-3 116 9 3 19 55-241 4.4 7-21 88 0 10 29-64 2.2 12-27 149 2 Ohio St 55-24 116 4 4 24 38-243 6.4 21-32 244 1 20 30-163 5.4 18-34 208 1 Bye at Wisconsin 14-38 -316 -13 1 5 26-25 1.0 8-24 41 4 18 49-247 5.0 11-18 135 2 NC State 14-17 -20 3 0 20 54-236 4.4 10-22 111 5 17 40-217 5.4 14-33 150 1 Purdue 15-24 -36 -3 -2 17 38-82 2.2 16-33 176 6 20 29-65 2.2 22-37 229 4 † Connecticut 39-16 -27 -1 2 14 49-330 6.7 7-15 55 0 15 41-171 4.2 14-33 241 2 at Nebraska 56-14 238 11 3 23 47-313 6.7 13-20 192 0 12 21-67 3.2 23-42 200 1 at Syracuse 42-14 164 5 2 24 56-333 5.9 16-20 248 1 19 28-137 4.9 24-34 280 1 Iowa Hawkeyes Iowa Bye Bye † Boston College † Iowa Boston College Eagles College Boston LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM

Average 28-20 -15.1 -1.3 0.3 18 37-142 3.9 56.2% 198 6.5% 19 34-142 4.1 55.8% 213 6.3% Average 26-23 -11.1 0.7 0.7 19 48-224 4.7 53.5% 163 3.8% 19 40-198 5.0 51.4% 200 5.8% Conference 27-20 -41.2 -3.8 0.6 16 33-130 3.9 54.5% 191 7.0% 19 38-157 4.2 55.2% 205 6.9% Conference 26-22 15.0 0.5 0.8 20 47-225 4.8 50.2% 176 4.5% 19 40-177 4.5 55.3% 210 6.7% Away 27-25 -28.8 -2.0 0.4 16 34-122 3.5 56.0% 200 6.7% 18 36-134 3.7 57.6% 217 5.3% Home 20-22 -32.2 2.3 0.0 19 47-197 4.2 48.6% 142 3.9% 17 42-197 4.7 51.6% 175 8.2% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Wyoming Nate Stanley 8-15-125-3-1 Akrum Wadley 24-116-4.8-0 Nick Easley 4-77-19.3-1 Iowa Boston College at Northern Illinois Anthony Brown 26-42-191-2-1 Jon Hilliman 25-58-2.3-0 Kobay White 6-76-12.7-0 at Iowa St Nate Stanley 27-41-333-5-0 Akrum Wadley 28-118-4.2-1 Akrum Wadley 4-72-18.0-1 Iowa QB/WR Wake Forest Anthony Brown 11-29-119-1-3 Thadd Smith 5-46-9.2-0 Jeff Smith 5-56-11.2-0 North Texas Nate Stanley 16-27-197-2-0 Toren Young 19-78-4.1-0 Akrum Wadley 2-80-40.0-0 vs. 1.55 Notre Dame Anthony Brown 24-40-215-2-2 Jon Hilliman 22-122-5.5-0 Charlie Callinan 7-82-11.7-2 Penn St Nate Stanley 13-22-191-2-0 Akrum Wadley 19-80-4.2-1 Akrum Wadley 4-75-18.8-1 Boston College DB's at Clemson Anthony Brown 14-30-133-0-1 AJ Dillon 18-57-3.2-1 Jeff Smith 4-58-14.5-0 at Michigan St Nate Stanley 16-31-197-0-0 Akrum Wadley 17-30-1.8-1 T.J Hockenson 3-46-15.3-0 Iowa RB's Central Michigan Anthony Brown 14-21-85-1-0 AJ Dillon 25-120-4.8-1 Jeff Smith 2-35-17.5-0 Illinois Nate Stanley 17-32-247-3-1 Akrum Wadley 23-115-5.0-1 Noah Fant 3-78-26.0-0 vs. 0.40 Virginia Tech Anthony Brown 13-30-166-0-0 Anthony Brown 7-51-7.3-0 Travis Levy 3-42-14.0-0 Bye Boston College LB's at Louisville Anthony Brown 5-17-100-1-1 AJ Dillon 39-272-7.0-4 Tommy Sweeney 4-57-14.3-0 at Northwestern Nate Stanley 19-33-223-1-1 Akrum Wadley 26-90-3.5-0 Matt Vandeberg 3-90-30.0-0 Iowa OL at Virginia Anthony Brown 19-24-275-3-0 AJ Dillon 24-89-3.7-0 Kobay White 3-85-28.3-1 Minnesota Nate Stanley 15-27-190-1-1 Akrum Wadley 16-70-4.4-1 Noah Fant 3-67-22.3-1 vs. 0.06 Florida St Anthony Brown 6-20-54-1-0 AJ Dillon 33-149-4.5-1 Kobay White 2-46-23.0-1 Ohio St Nate Stanley 20-31-226-5-0 Akrum Wadley 20-118-5.9-0 T.J Hockenson 5-71-14.2-2 Boston College DL Bye at Wisconsin Nate Stanley 8-24-41-0-1 James Butler 8-30-3.8-0 Nick Easley 2-19-9.5-0 Iowa DL NC State Darius Wade 8-15-82-0-0 AJ Dillon 36-196-5.4-1 Tommy Sweeney 4-55-13.8-0 Purdue Nate Stanley 16-33-176-1-1 Akrum Wadley 22-78-3.5-1 Nick Easley 5-60-12.0-0 vs. 0.31 † Connecticut Darius Wade 7-15-55-1-0 AJ Dillon 24-200-8.3-2 Tommy Sweeney 2-42-21.0-0 at Nebraska Nate Stanley 13-20-192-2-0 Akrum Wadley 19-159-8.4-3 Noah Fant 3-116-38.7-2 Boston College OL at Syracuse Darius Wade 16-20-248-1-0 AJ Dillon 23-193-8.4-3 Travis Levy 2-51-25.5-1 Bye Iowa LB'S Bye † Boston College vs. 0.29 † Iowa Boston College RB's Nate Stanley 188-336-2338-25-6 Akrum Wadley 230-1021-4.4-9 Nick Easley 50-498-10.0-4 Iowa DB's Anthony Brown 134-258-1367-11-9 AJ Dillon 268-1432-5.3-13 Kobay White 32-396-12.4-2 Iowa Leaders Colten Rastetter 2-2-33-0-0 James Butler 81-364-4.5-1 Noah Fant 28-486-17.4-10 0.90 vs. Boston College Leaders Darius Wade 46-75-528-2-1 Jon Hilliman 163-622-3.8-5 Tommy Sweeney 29-375-12.9-3 Tyler Wiegers 1-2-3-1-0 Toren Young 45-193-4.3-2 Matt Vandeberg 27-375-13.9-2 Boston College QB/WR Jeff Smith 2-4-59-2-0 Thadd Smith 35-287-8.2-2 Jeff Smith 23-278-12.1-0 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Iowa ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None 0.74 vs. Las Vegas Line Boston College ST's Iowa By 2.5 BC lost 3 of their F/4 gms, losing each by 24+. AJ Dillon took over as the Projected Rushing Iowa K Las Vegas Total feature RB and BC went 6-2 down the stretch beating FSU by 32 and topping 174 yards Iowa Boston College 214 yards 1.20 vs. 45.5 Points L’Ville on the road. Dillon rushed for 1099 yds in just the L/6 gms alone. BC did Projected Passing Boston College K +/- Ratings lose QB Brown (inj) and Darius Wade took over the L/3 gms. Iowa rates the 143 yards Iowa Boston College 139 yards Iowa Coaches Boston College By 5.0 edge at QB with Stanley, but BC has the better run game. Iowa allows 4.1 ypc Projected Yardage Total 0.75 vs. Game Grade and BC 5.0. BC has my #1 rated pass eff D, but Iowa is not far behind at #7. 316 yards Iowa Boston College 353 yards Boston College Coaches Boston College By 0.3 Projected Final Score Iowa Pts Iowa rates the edge on ST’s, but BC will have the crowd edge only 210 miles Computer Yards 23 points Iowa Boston College 19 points 3.59 vs. 2.61 Boston College 353-316 away from NY and has experience playing in this bowl game in ‘14. While the Experience Rankings Boston College Pts teams are similar in both talent and style, BC is +15 ypg in conf play and Iowa Computer Points 66 Iowa Boston College 46 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Iowa 23-19 is -41 ypg & I’ll call for BC to pull off the outright upset.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Iowa Phil Steele 21 Iowa Boston College 5 Boston College by 3 By 0.98 Points Boston College 23 Iowa 20 IOWA (7-5) PINSTRIPE BOWL BOSTON COLLEGE (7-5) ATS: 5-5-2 O/U: 5-7 Wednesday, December 27, 2017 • 5:15 pm ATS: 9-3 O/U: 4-7-1 ESPN • • Bronx, NY COMPUTER PROJECTIONS IOWA BC 185 rush yd 210 120 pass yd 134 24 pts 17 +4 ytd to +8 #5 sked #9 CHECKLIST IOWA BC edge edge 4 QB – – RB 4 – WR – – OL 41/2 4 DL – 1/2 LB – – DB 1/2 4 CCH – – SITE 41/2 – MTCH – – INT 4 44 ST – – SKED – OVERALL EVEN OVERALL: OVERALL: Missouri Tigers 7-5 6-6 Texas Longhorns Tigers Logs vs. SEC vs. BIG 12 Longhorns Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 4-4 5-4 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 117 9/2 Missouri St 72-43 W 16 53 77 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 106 23 9/2 Maryland 41-51 L 12 13 20 58 39 35 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 117 118 9/9 South Carolina 13-31 L 12 64 77 32 26 126 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 114 99 9/9 San Jose St 56-0 W 16 29 20 110 113 40 Missouri Texas 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-0 112 117 9/16 Purdue 3-35 L 10 71 80 77 72 93 1-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 118 138 4 9/16 at USC 24-27 L 9 30 56 3 14 77 1-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 108 126 15 9/23 Auburn 14-51 L 22 78 46 24 9 23 #35 Rush Off #95 1-2 0-0 122 9/23 Bye 18 24 48 1-3 0-2 104 9/30 Bye 24 82 44 #14 Pass Off #36 1-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 122 120 9/28 at Iowa St 17-7 W 18 22 63 45 72 39 1-3 4-1 0-2 1-1 104 119 10/7 at Kentucky 34-40 L 26 85 49 78 35 37 #7 Total Off #56 2-2 3-1 1-0 1-0 125 129 10/7 Kansas St 40-34 W 20 16 24 33 49 1 1-4 6-0 0-3 3-0 106 139 4 10/14 at Georgia 28-53 L 22 83 36 18 4 22 #10 Score Off #60 3-2 4-1 2-0 1-1 127 134 12 10/14 † Oklahoma 24-29 L 20 14 61 2 23 88 1-5 2-4 0-4 1-2 108 100 10/21 Idaho 68-21 W 27 97 37 110 109 90 #7 Sks Allowed #104 3-3 5-1 2-1 2-1 128 140 10 10/21 Oklahoma St 10-13 L 22 16 54 4 28 83 2-5 3-4 0-4 2-3 112 99 10/28 at Connecticut 52-12 W 22 93 26 103 104 115 #60 Rush Def #6 3-4 0-7 2-2 0-4 130 113 10/28 at Baylor 38-7 W 28 15 20 54 99 28 3-5 3-4 0-4 3-3 116 119 11/4 Florida 45-16 W 19 82 24 67 36 53 #109 Pass Def #108 4-4 7-1 3-2 4-1 133 133 10 11/4 at TCU 7-24 L 29 13 33 20 7 15 4-5 4-5 1-4 0-5 120 115 11/11 Tennessee 50-17 W 16 74 19 88 38 24 #89 Total Def #42 4-5 1-8 3-3 0-6 131 94 11/11 Kansas 42-27 W 34 11 35 111 114 95 5-5 4-6 2-4 0-6 124 108 11/18 at Vanderbilt 45-17 W 14 65 15 94 59 120 #94 Score Def #31 5-5 7-3 4-3 5-2 127 127 24 11/18 at West Virginia 28-14 W 35 12 35 12 48 121 6-5 4-7 3-4 1-6 126 109 11/25 at Arkansas 48-45 W 12 57 19 40 84 74 #27 Sks By #31 6-5 5-6 5-3 2-6 131 116 11/24 Texas Tech 23-27 L 33 10 36 28 78 97 7-5 4-4 124 12/2 Bye 13 56 14 #26 Ypg Diff #46 6-6 5-4 126 12/2 Bye 34 9 26 7-5 6-6 4-4 5-4 124 126 12/27 † Texas 14 54 14 49 12 26 -4 Total TO's +4 6-6 7-5 5-4 4-4 126 124 12/27 † Missouri 49 12 26 14 54 14

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Missouri St 72-43 323 14 0 35 41-294 7.2 21-34 521 1 21 39-139 3.6 24-35 353 4 Maryland 41-51 -9 8 -1 26 31-98 3.2 34-53 375 5 18 43-263 6.1 12-15 219 1 South Carolina 13-31 64 1 -3 21 37-178 4.8 14-32 245 1 20 40-172 4.3 18-28 187 1 San Jose St 56-0 452 24 2 32 59-406 6.9 16-29 217 0 8 23-42 1.8 15-29 129 1 Purdue 3-35 -274 -16 -2 10 24-70 2.9 12-28 133 0 26 50-205 4.1 26-34 272 3 at USC 24-27 -102 -8 -2 17 35-68 1.9 21-40 298 5 25 37-71 1.9 28-51 397 3 Auburn 14-51 -142 -1 -4 21 31-124 4.0 23-39 216 2 22 53-263 5.0 16-21 219 1 Bye Bye at Iowa St 17-7 56 1 1 19 52-141 2.7 19-26 171 2 18 15-10 0.7 24-49 246 4 at Kentucky 34-40 82 2 -1 24 33-213 6.5 22-43 355 1 22 39-188 4.8 22-37 298 1 Kansas St 40-34 152 16 0 32 40-166 4.2 30-51 380 0 16 39-140 3.6 14-23 254 3 at Georgia 28-53 -384 -14 0 10 24-59 2.5 15-25 253 0 24 51-370 7.3 18-26 326 1 † Oklahoma 24-29 -90 3 1 23 39-139 3.6 21-43 289 3 20 39-174 4.5 18-28 344 2 Idaho 68-21 380 13 0 28 30-183 6.1 24-34 475 1 15 38-81 2.1 22-36 197 5 Oklahoma St 10-13 -145 -13 0 13 33-42 1.3 22-36 241 3 26 51-146 2.9 25-38 282 2 at Connecticut 52-12 229 8 0 31 34-175 5.1 34-43 408 2 23 41-121 3.0 22-52 233 5 at Baylor 38-7 178 7 2 19 35-171 4.9 27-36 256 3 12 37-31 0.8 21-38 218 3 Florida 45-16 106 9 1 26 46-227 4.9 15-21 228 0 17 31-93 3.0 20-29 256 1 at TCU 7-24 -80 -3 0 14 26-9 0.3 21-44 254 7 17 46-177 3.8 19-27 166 2 Tennessee 50-17 374 13 3 29 53-433 8.2 14-30 226 1 16 36-146 4.1 16-32 139 5 Kansas 42-27 7 -1 2 18 40-113 2.8 24-34 258 3 19 35-96 2.7 27-43 268 4 at Vanderbilt 45-17 27 -8 3 17 39-191 4.9 10-25 235 0 25 30-51 1.7 28-52 348 2 at West Virginia 28-14 125 1 1 18 42-233 5.5 17-27 187 0 17 29-56 1.9 20-34 239 2 at Arkansas 48-45 250 16 -1 35 60-248 4.1 25-42 448 3 19 31-133 4.3 14-30 313 2 Texas Tech 23-27 -7 2 -2 18 33-116 3.5 29-51 272 1 16 34-62 1.8 20-45 333 3 Missouri Tigers

Bye Longhorns Texas Bye † Texas † Missouri LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM

Average 39-32 86.3 3.1 -0.3 24 38-200 5.3 57.8% 312 3.0% 21 40-164 4.1 59.7% 262 7.5% Average 29-22 44.8 3.1 0.3 21 39-142 3.7 59.8% 267 6.8% 18 36-106 3.0 57.9% 258 7.1% Conference 35-34 47.1 2.3 -0.3 23 40-209 5.2 53.7% 276 3.1% 21 39-177 4.6 59.6% 261 5.5% Conference 25-20 21.8 1.4 0.6 19 38-126 3.3 60.3% 256 6.3% 18 36-99 2.7 57.8% 261 7.7% Away 41-33 40.8 0.8 0.2 23 38-177 4.7 59.6% 340 3.4% 23 38-173 4.5 52.8% 304 5.6% Home 35-25 75.0 6.0 0.2 23 39-157 4.0 61.0% 291 4.7% 17 38-125 3.3 58.5% 248 7.3% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Missouri St Drew Lock 21-34-521-7-1 Damarea Crockett 18-202-11.2-2 J'Mon Moore 4-187-46.8-2 Missouri Texas Maryland Shane Buechele 34-52-375-2-1 Chris Warren 6-31-5.2-0 Collin Johnson 7-125-17.9-1 South Carolina Drew Lock 14-32-245-1-2 Damarea Crockett 18-97-5.4-0 Jason Reese 2-88-44.0-1 Missouri QB/WR San Jose St 15-27-222-1-0 Chris Warren 16-166-10.4-2 Armanti Foreman 5-51-10.2-1 Purdue Drew Lock 12-28-133-0-2 Ish Witter 7-25-3.6-0 J'Mon Moore 3-61-20.3-0 0.39 vs. at USC Sam Ehlinger 21-40-298-2-2 Chris Warren 4-15-3.8-0 Collin Johnson 7-191-27.3-0 Auburn Drew Lock 23-39-216-2-1 Damarea Crockett 13-57-4.4-0 Johnathon Johnson 10-85-8.5-0 Texas DB's Bye Bye Missouri RB's at Iowa St Shane Buechele 19-26-171-1-1 Chris Warren 16-44-2.8-1 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 4-36-9.0-0 at Kentucky Drew Lock 22-42-355-3-0 Ish Witter 17-139-8.2-0 Emanuel Hall 4-129-32.3-1 vs. 1.17 Kansas St Sam Ehlinger 30-50-380-2-1 Sam Ehlinger 20-107-5.4-0 Reggie Hemphill 12-121-10.1-0 at Georgia Drew Lock 15-25-253-4-1 Damarea Crockett 9-32-3.6-0 Emanuel Hall 4-141-35.3-2 Texas LB's † Oklahoma Sam Ehlinger 19-39-278-1-0 Sam Ehlinger 22-106-4.8-1 Chris Warren 4-55-13.8-0 Idaho Drew Lock 23-33-467-6-1 Larry Rountree 12-97-8.1-0 J'Mon Moore 11-174-15.8-1 Missouri OL Oklahoma St Sam Ehlinger 22-36-241-0-1 Chris Warren 12-33-2.8-0 John Burt 2-99-49.5-0 at Connecticut Drew Lock 31-37-377-5-0 Ish Witter 10-73-7.3-1 Johnathon Johnson 5-128-25.6-1 0.04 vs. at Baylor Shane Buechele 27-34-256-1-1 Toneil Carter 15-70-4.7-1 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 5-55-11.0-1 Florida Drew Lock 15-20-228-3-1 Larry Rountree 15-83-5.5-3 Emanuel Hall 5-113-22.6-0 Texas DL at TCU Shane Buechele 21-44-254-1-0 Daniel Young 12-31-2.6-0 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 6-109-18.2-0 Tennessee Drew Lock 13-28-217-4-1 Ish Witter 24-216-9.0-1 Emanuel Hall 5-102-20.4-2 Missouri DL Kansas Shane Buechele 22-32-249-1-1 Daniel Young 21-67-3.2-0 Lorenzo Joe 5-98-19.6-1 at Vanderbilt Drew Lock 10-25-235-3-0 Ish Witter 16-102-6.4-0 Albert Okwuegbunam 5-116-23.2-2 0.52 vs. at West Virginia Sam Ehlinger 12-19-136-2-1 Daniel Young 12-85-7.1-1 Reggie Hemphill 2-58-29.0-0 at Arkansas Drew Lock 25-42-448-5-2 Ish Witter 39-170-4.4-1 J'Mon Moore 10-160-16.0-1 Texas OL Texas Tech Sam Ehlinger 26-47-239-1-2 Daniel Young 13-55-4.2-1 Armanti Foreman 5-78-15.6-1 Bye Missouri LB'S Bye † Texas vs. 0.06 † Missouri Texas RB's Drew Lock 224-385-3695-43-12 Ish Witter 171-992-5.8-5 J'Mon Moore 60-1017-17.0-10 Missouri DB's Sam Ehlinger 147-260-1803-10-7 Sam Ehlinger 103-364-3.5-2 Collin Johnson 51-725-14.2-2 Missouri Leaders Micah Wilson 5-10-48-0-1 Larry Rountree 112-629-5.6-6 Emanuel Hall 33-817-24.8-8 vs. 1.64 Texas Leaders Shane Buechele 131-199-1350-6-4 Daniel Young 69-325-4.7-3 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 37-431-11.6-2 Team 0-1-0-0-0 Damarea Crockett 80-481-6.0-2 Johnathon Johnson 38-639-16.8-5 Texas QB/WR Lil'Jordan Humphrey 1-3-27-0-0 Chris Warren 71-314-4.4-6 Reggie Hemphill 36-400-11.1-0 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Missouri ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score vs. 1.15 Las Vegas Line Texas ST's Missouri By 2.5 This is the 1st bowl gm for each s/’14 & as B12 rivals, Tx won 6 of the L/7 Projected Rushing Missouri K mtgs. TX will be w/o DB Elliot & OL Williams (both sitting out). MO comes in on Las Vegas Total 140 yards Missouri Texas 140 yards 1.57 vs. 60.5 Points a 6 gm win streak which they outscored their foes 54-24. While that is Projected Passing Texas K impressive, not a single one of their 7 wins came over a FBS team that was +/- Ratings 281 yards Missouri Texas 327 yards Missouri Coaches Texas By 4.0 bowl eligible (0-5 in those games). LY Drew Lock had a 12-0 ratio vs non P5 Projected Yardage Total vs. 1.00 tms & just 11-10 vs the SEC. TY he has an amazing 33-6 ratio vs non bowl Game Grade 421 yards Missouri Texas 467 yards Texas Coaches Texas By 6.8 teams & 10-6 vs bowl teams. He completed just 54% vs the SEC. After losing Projected Final Score Missouri Pts Computer Yards to TT to fall to 6-6, Tom Herman said it was important to win the bowl game. 28 points Missouri Texas 32 points 2.52 vs. 5.02 Texas 467-421 The clincher is Herman is 9-1 ATS as a ‘dog and won 6 of those outright so I’ll Experience Rankings Texas Pts Computer Points call for the ‘Horns to pull off the minor outright upset, making this a ‘Best Bet’ 19 Missouri Texas 10 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Texas 32-28 selection. Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Texas Phil Steele 68 Missouri Texas 14 Texas by 7 By 2.50 Points Best Bet: ★★ Texas 34 (+) Missouri 27 TEXAS (6-6) Wednesday,TEXAS December BOWL 27, 2017 • 9:00 pm MISSOURI (7-5) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 3-9 ESPN • NRG Stadium • Houston, TX ATS: 7-5 O/U: 7-5 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS TEXAS MIZZ 134 rush yd 153 327 pass yd 283 30 pts 30 +4 ytd to -4 #29 sked #82 CHECKLIST TEXAS MIZZ edge edge – QB 4 – RB 4 – WR 1/2 – OL 4 4 DL – 44 LB – 44 DB – 41/2 CCH – 44 SITE – – MTCH – – INT – – ST 1/2 44 1/2 SKED – OVERALL TEXAS BY 7 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Purdue Boilermakers 6-6 7-5 Arizona Wildcats Boilermakers Logs vs. BIG 10 vs. PAC 12 Wildcats Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 4-5 5-4 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 111 123 16 9/2 † Louisville 28-35 L 79 62 79 19 17 34 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 113 9/2 Northern Arizona 62-24 W 40 106 97 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 113 114 9/8 Ohio 44-21 W 83 63 79 87 47 22 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 119 9/9 Houston 16-19 L 22 102 97 43 54 71 Purdue Arizona 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 112 9/16 at Missouri 35-3 W 77 72 93 10 71 80 1-1 0-2 0-0 0-1 115 91 9/15 at UTEP 63-16 W 23 92 76 127 128 107 2-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 121 129 8 9/23 Michigan 10-28 L 72 64 113 42 3 15 #83 Rush Off #3 2-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 119 121 23 9/22 Utah 24-30 L 16 80 77 48 18 8 2-2 0-1 119 9/30 Bye 86 58 109 #55 Pass Off #110 2-2 0-1 117 9/30 Bye 19 69 100 2-2 3-1 0-1 0-1 119 120 10/7 Minnesota 31-17 W 84 59 106 87 39 7 #74 Total Off #12 2-2 3-2 0-1 0-2 117 116 10/7 at Colorado 45-42 W 18 70 105 59 48 44 3-2 5-0 1-1 2-0 121 136 7 10/14 at Wisconsin 9-17 L 80 62 103 21 12 65 #97 Score Off #6 3-2 3-2 1-1 1-1 119 118 10/14 UCLA 47-30 W 15 72 92 14 40 76 3-3 2-4 1-2 1-2 123 107 10/21 at Rutgers 12-14 L 86 65 81 83 64 56 #95 Sks Allowed #14 4-2 4-3 2-1 1-3 121 121 10/21 at California 45-44 W 9 67 102 115 40 87 3-4 3-4 1-3 2-2 119 112 10/28 Nebraska 24-25 L 80 62 119 60 63 38 #30 Rush Def #88 5-2 7-1 3-1 4-1 122 129 15 10/28 Washington St 58-37 W 9 57 101 36 19 66 3-5 2-6 1-4 0-5 116 105 11/4 Illinois 29-10 W 77 63 81 117 83 58 #86 Pass Def #122 6-2 7-2 4-1 5-1 127 131 23 17 11/4 at USC 35-49 L 4 57 71 11 14 40 4-5 6-3 2-4 4-2 117 125 11/11 at Northwestern 13-23 L 70 54 71 49 29 59 #47 Total Def #117 6-3 1-8 4-2 0-6 126 109 11/11 Oregon St 49-28 W 8 68 79 87 99 85 4-6 6-4 2-5 3-4 117 125 11/18 at Iowa 24-15 W 76 53 82 97 29 34 #18 Score Def #110 7-3 5-5 5-2 2-5 126 117 11/18 at Oregon 28-48 L 6 67 75 19 25 103 5-6 5-6 3-5 2-6 122 118 11/25 Indiana 31-24 W 78 48 80 93 36 50 #58 Sks By #39 7-4 6-5 5-3 5-3 121 121 11/25 at Arizona St 30-42 L 6 77 82 34 41 60 6-6 4-5 122 12/2 Bye 71 43 78 #62 Ypg Diff #55 7-5 5-4 120 12/2 Bye 10 74 52 6-6 7-5 4-5 5-4 122 120 12/27 † Arizona 69 41 78 12 75 52 +3 Total TO's +4 7-5 6-6 5-4 4-5 120 122 12/27 † Purdue 12 75 52 69 41 78

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks † Louisville 28-35 -180 -2 -1 25 21-51 2.4 33-57 293 4 27 33-146 4.4 30-46 378 0 Northern Arizona 62-24 33 -6 3 23 47-506 10.8 7-14 89 1 29 42-185 4.4 27-50 377 2 Ohio 44-21 162 2 2 25 44-263 6.0 16-24 295 1 23 38-173 4.6 17-29 223 1 Houston 16-19 -12 3 0 21 39-152 3.9 22-37 219 1 18 37-158 4.3 25-32 225 0 at Missouri 35-3 274 16 2 26 50-205 4.1 26-34 272 3 10 24-70 2.9 12-28 133 0 at UTEP 63-16 283 17 1 29 65-326 5.0 20-23 175 1 12 14-17 1.2 18-39 201 2 Michigan 10-28 -234 -15 1 9 20-30 1.5 13-30 159 5 24 44-139 3.2 21-31 284 4 Utah 24-30 107 3 -3 24 42-200 4.8 24-42 248 2 21 38-112 2.9 17-28 229 2 Bye Bye Minnesota 31-17 111 6 -2 22 29-132 4.6 25-36 307 4 16 47-227 4.8 11-25 101 0 at Colorado 45-42 16 -4 -1 25 42-413 9.8 12-14 154 0 29 58-300 5.2 19-32 251 4 at Wisconsin 9-17 -273 -10 2 14 26-66 2.5 13-29 155 3 24 53-295 5.6 13-18 199 1 UCLA 47-30 196 -1 4 27 61-457 7.5 9-13 148 0 28 38-190 5.0 20-34 219 5 at Rutgers 12-14 257 17 -2 25 41-279 6.8 23-44 195 0 8 37-130 3.5 9-18 87 1 at California 45-44 38 -7 1 24 46-345 7.5 10-15 166 0 31 47-172 3.7 29-49 301 2 Nebraska 24-25 -108 -5 0 20 38-199 5.2 16-28 164 1 25 27-40 1.5 32-50 431 3 Washington St 58-37 -68 -19 1 13 34-310 9.1 10-17 275 0 32 17-51 3.0 58-84 602 1 Illinois 29-10 185 10 0 25 44-209 4.8 18-28 226 1 15 35-80 2.3 12-27 170 5 at USC 35-49 -262 -5 -2 25 43-234 5.4 14-31 146 5 30 52-331 6.4 20-26 311 1 at Northwestern 13-23 48 0 -1 22 22-40 1.8 38-61 398 3 22 38-94 2.5 26-46 296 1 Oregon St 49-28 242 4 0 26 55-534 9.7 5-7 68 0 22 40-151 3.8 16-28 209 4 at Iowa 24-15 36 3 2 20 29-65 2.2 22-37 229 4 17 38-82 2.2 16-33 176 6 at Oregon 28-48 -258 3 -1 27 45-171 3.8 18-35 159 2 24 50-353 7.1 14-21 235 1 Indiana 31-24 -44 2 0 22 43-272 6.3 16-30 181 1 20 32-124 3.9 32-60 373 3 at Arizona St 30-42 49 6 1 24 51-245 4.8 15-21 194 3 18 49-227 4.6 11-17 163 4

Bye Wildcats Arizona Bye

† Arizona PurdueBoilermakers † Purdue LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM

Average 24-19 19.5 2.0 0.3 21 34-151 4.4 59.1% 240 6.8% 19 37-133 3.6 56.2% 238 6.1% Average 42-34 30.3 -0.5 0.3 24 48-324 6.8 61.7% 170 5.6% 25 40-187 4.7 62.3% 277 6.4% Conference 20-19 -2.4 0.9 0.0 20 32-144 4.4 57.0% 224 6.8% 19 39-135 3.5 55.8% 235 7.8% Conference 40-39 6.7 -2.2 0.0 24 47-323 6.9 60.0% 173 6.2% 26 43-210 4.9 63.9% 280 7.5% Away 20-18 27.0 4.0 0.3 22 32-118 3.7 59.2% 257 6.5% 18 37-136 3.7 56.1% 212 4.8% Home 43-28 83.0 -2.7 0.8 22 46-360 7.8 59.2% 175 3.1% 25 35-141 4.0 63.7% 310 5.5% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving † Louisville David Blough 18-26-175-2-2 Tario Fuller 8-29-3.6-0 Jackson Anthrop 7-82-11.7-2 Purdue Arizona Northern Arizona Brandon Dawkins 7-13-89-1-0 Brandon Dawkins 7-92-13.1-2 Tony Ellison 5-79-15.8-1 Ohio David Blough 11-13-235-3-0 Tario Fuller 16-142-8.9-1 Cole Herdman 2-87-43.5-1 Purdue QB/WR Houston Brandon Dawkins 17-29-178-0-0 JJ Taylor 17-87-5.1-0 Shun Brown 4-79-19.8-0 at Missouri David Blough 22-28-187-1-0 Tario Fuller 19-90-4.7-1 Cole Herdman 1-54-54.0-0 0.46 vs. at UTEP Brandon Dawkins 18-21-155-3-0 Brandon Dawkins 14-133-9.5-3 Tyrell Johnson 4-45-11.3-0 Michigan Elijah Sindelar 7-16-103-1-0 Richie Worship 2-18-9.0-0 Terry Wright 4-64-16.0-0 Arizona DB's Utah Brandon Dawkins 24-42-248-1-3 Brandon Dawkins 18-90-5.0-1 Tony Ellison 6-78-13.0-1 Bye Purdue RB's Bye Minnesota Elijah Sindelar 19-26-248-1-0 DJ Knox 7-56-8.0-0 Anthony Mahoungou 2-76-38.0-0 0.57 vs. at Colorado Khalil Tate 11-12-142-1-0 Khalil Tate 14-327-23.4-4 Tony Ellison 1-60-60.0-0 at Wisconsin Elijah Sindelar 13-29-155-0-1 DJ Knox 7-31-4.4-0 Brycen Hopkins 2-48-24.0-0 Arizona LB's UCLA Khalil Tate 9-13-148-1-0 Khalil Tate 15-230-15.3-2 Shun Brown 3-61-20.3-0 at Rutgers Elijah Sindelar 15-29-138-0-2 DJ Knox 13-84-6.5-0 Anthony Mahoungou 4-47-11.8-1 Purdue OL at California Khalil Tate 10-15-166-2-1 Khalil Tate 17-137-8.1-1 Shun Brown 2-57-28.5-1 Nebraska David Blough 16-28-164-1-0 Richie Worship 18-89-4.9-1 Jackson Anthrop 6-55-9.2-1 0.82 vs. Washington St Khalil Tate 10-17-275-2-1 JJ Taylor 13-152-11.7-2 Jamie Nunley 2-116-58.0-1 Illinois David Blough 16-24-194-0-0 DJ Knox 14-85-6.1-1 Brycen Hopkins 3-53-17.7-0 Arizona DL at USC Khalil Tate 14-31-146-2-2 Khalil Tate 26-161-6.2-1 Shun Brown 8-78-9.8-1 at Northwestern Elijah Sindelar 37-60-376-2-1 DJ Knox 6-22-3.7-0 Jared Sparks 11-130-11.8-0 Purdue DL Oregon St Khalil Tate 5-7-68-0-1 Khalil Tate 16-206-12.9-2 Tyrell Johnson 3-44-14.7-0 at Iowa Elijah Sindelar 22-37-229-3-0 Markell Jones 14-74-5.3-0 Anthony Mahoungou 7-135-19.3-2 vs. 1.78 at Oregon Khalil Tate 18-35-159-1-2 Nick Wilson 17-73-4.3-2 Tony Ellison 6-52-8.7-1 Indiana Elijah Sindelar 15-29-159-2-0 Markell Jones 31-217-7.0-0 Anthony Mahoungou 2-88-44.0-1 Arizona OL at Arizona St Khalil Tate 11-13-132-0-0 JJ Taylor 12-74-6.2-1 Shawn Poindexter 2-53-26.5-0 Bye Purdue LB'S Bye † Arizona 0.13 vs. † Purdue Arizona RB's Elijah Sindelar 153-275-1703-14-6 Markell Jones 92-480-5.2-1 Anthony Mahoungou 33-560-17.0-6 Purdue DB's Khalil Tate 93-152-1277-9-8 Khalil Tate 133-1353-10.2-12 Shun Brown 38-499-13.1-5 Purdue Leaders David Blough 102-157-1103-9-4 DJ Knox 79-460-5.8-1 Jackson Anthrop 44-391-8.9-5 vs. 1.48 Arizona Leaders Brandon Dawkins 70-114-732-5-4 JJ Taylor 135-827-6.1-5 Tony Ellison 33-496-15.0-3 Joe Schopper 2-2-44-0-0 Tario Fuller 43-261-6.1-2 Brycen Hopkins 23-324-14.1-3 Arizona QB/WR Rhett Rodriguez 1-1-10.1-0-0 Nick Wilson 120-585-4.9-6 Tyrell Johnson 21-261-12.4-0 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Purdue ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None vs. 0.49 Las Vegas Line Arizona ST's Arizona By 3 In bowl games Rich Rod is 5-5 SU & 2-8 ATS and Jeff Brohm is 2-0 SU & 1-1. Projected Rushing Purdue K QB Tate came in for an inj’d Dawkins in the 1Q vs Colorado with the Cats at 2- Las Vegas Total 204 yards Purdue Arizona 251 yards vs. 0.29 65.5 Points 2. He guided them to a 5-3 finish & even earned some Heisman attention after Projected Passing Arizona K rushing for 327 & 230 yds his F/2 gms. He did avg just 110 ypg the L/6. AZ +/- Ratings 261 yards Purdue Arizona 205 yards Purdue Coaches Purdue By 2.0 rates the edges at QB & on the OL and has my #10 rated OFF w/PU at just Projected Yardage Total vs. 1.00 #54. PU has an even larger edge on D with their biggest edges on the DL and Game Grade 465 yards Purdue Arizona 456 yards Arizona Coaches Purdue By 3.4 at LB. PU has my #30 rated D & AZ comes in at #94, all’g foes 50 ypg more Projected Final Score Purdue Pts Computer Yards than their ssn avg. PU has also faced my #23 toughest sked & AZ just #68, but 34 points Purdue Arizona 30 points 1.98 vs. 5.04 Purdue 465-456 they are even statistically. I rate Purdue the stronger team and they are getting Experience Rankings Arizona Pts Computer Points points & I’ll make this a ‘Best Bet’ selection by calling for the Boilermakers to 39 Purdue Arizona 42 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Purdue 34-30 pull off the outright upset. Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Arizona Phil Steele 18 Purdue Arizona 59 Purdue by 4 By 3.06 Points Best Bet: ★ Purdue 34 (+) Arizona 30 ARIZONA (7-5) FOSTERWednesday, FARMS December 27, 2017 • 8:30 BOWL pm PURDUE (6-6) ATS: 5-6-1 O/U: 9-3 FOX • Levi’s Stadium • Santa Clara, CA ATS: 8-4 O/U: 3-9 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS ARIZ PUR 261 rush yd 220 193 pass yd 242 31 pts 36 +4 ytd to +3 #70 sked #22 CHECKLIST ARIZ PUR edge edge 44 QB – 1/2 RB – – WR – 1/2 OL – – DL 41/2 – LB 41/2 – DB – 1/2 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH – – INT 4 4 ST – – SKED 44 OVERALL PURDUE BY 1/2 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Virginia Cavaliers 6-6 6-6 Navy Midshipmen Cavaliers Logs vs. ACC vs. AAC Midshipmen Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 3-5 4-4 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 111 9/2 William & Mary 28-10 W 108 47 83 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 117 97 9/1 at Florida Atlantic 42-19 W 84 101 41 64 113 93 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 112 113 9/9 Indiana 17-34 L 106 57 83 85 42 32 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 109 9/9 Tulane 23-21 W 70 84 41 80 81 77 Virginia Navy 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 94 9/16 Connecticut 38-18 W 112 51 105 103 76 114 2-0 1-0 117 9/16 Bye 72 88 52 2-1 2-1 0-0 1-0 108 111 9/22 at Boise St 42-23 W 90 60 105 76 45 49 #126 Rush Off #2 2-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 117 111 9/23 Cincinnati 42-32 W 71 87 87 107 71 100 3-1 0-0 113 9/30 Bye 78 44 108 #41 Pass Off #129 3-0 1-3 2-0 0-0 117 112 9/30 at Tulsa 31-21 W 46 84 94 44 127 48 3-1 4-1 0-0 1-1 113 124 10/7 Duke 28-21 W 74 44 102 53 22 92 #100 Total Off #42 4-0 1-3 3-0 0-2 118 107 10/7 Air Force 48-45 W 34 90 101 89 123 19 4-1 1-5 1-0 0-3 117 114 10/14 at North Carolina 20-14 W 79 35 94 55 54 38 #101 Score Off #61 5-0 4-1 3-0 1-1 116 118 25 10/14 at Memphis 27-30 L 23 97 86 37 81 9 5-1 3-4 2-0 1-3 118 116 10/21 Boston College 10-41 L 74 26 100 84 46 74 #95 Sks Allowed #7 5-1 5-0 3-1 3-0 116 126 20 10/21 UCF 21-31 L 25 100 80 17 35 31 5-2 3-5 2-1 1-3 113 119 10/28 at Pittsburgh 14-31 L 83 34 79 87 65 44 #81 Rush Def #63 5-2 3-2 116 10/28 Bye 23 103 84 5-3 4-3 2-2 3-2 112 129 11/4 Georgia Tech 40-36 W 89 35 88 41 39 79 #15 Pass Def #62 5-2 3-5 3-2 1-3 116 108 11/2 at Temple 26-34 L 21 104 95 111 75 100 6-3 5-4 3-2 2-4 116 122 11/11 at Louisville 21-38 L 85 34 68 5 58 87 #36 Total Def #58 5-3 6-3 3-3 3-2 113 113 11/11 SMU 43-40 W 32 109 70 27 99 89 6-4 9-0 3-3 6-0 115 138 2 11/18 at Miami, Fl 28-44 L 95 35 70 17 6 37 #66 Score Def #75 6-3 8-2 4-3 6-2 113 135 9 11/18 at Notre Dame 17-24 L 32 109 63 4 17 118 6-5 8-3 3-4 4-3 117 126 24 11/24 Virginia Tech 0-10 L 92 33 69 54 15 4 #48 Sks By #116 6-4 6-4 4-3 4-3 116 116 11/24 at Houston 14-24 L 38 101 68 37 52 63 6-6 3-5 117 12/2 Bye 102 35 77 #75 Ypg Diff #48 6-5 4-4 115 12/2 Bye 52 102 80 6-6 6-6 3-5 4-4 117 115 12/28 at Navy 106 34 77 40 102 79 +2 Total TO's -6 6-5 8-3 4-4 1-0 115 114 12/9 † Army West Point 13-14 L 40 102 79 60 96 30 6-6 3-5 117 12/28 Virginia 106 34 77 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks William & Mary 28-10 114 7 1 19 32-92 2.9 27-40 262 3 12 41-168 4.1 7-13 72 2 at Florida Atlantic 42-19 200 7 0 23 68-416 6.1 3-10 110 0 16 24-40 1.7 21-33 286 2 Indiana 17-34 6 3 1 22 25-55 2.2 39-66 259 1 19 41-111 2.7 19-30 197 4 Tulane 23-21 64 4 -2 15 52-194 3.7 4-12 132 3 11 46-191 4.2 8-13 71 1 Connecticut 38-18 192 4 1 27 31-171 5.5 30-40 455 1 23 41-207 5.0 18-26 227 2 Bye at Boise St 42-23 57 -1 1 21 40-167 4.2 19-29 273 1 22 24-30 1.3 28-53 353 4 Cincinnati 42-32 183 9 0 31 72-569 7.9 2-3 53 0 22 23-58 2.5 28-46 381 2 Bye at Tulsa 31-21 167 12 -1 24 68-421 6.2 3-4 90 0 12 39-229 5.9 12-18 115 0 Duke 28-21 55 4 0 21 38-128 3.4 24-43 182 1 17 32-131 4.1 14-42 124 2 Air Force 48-45 -64 -5 2 22 57-471 8.3 4-12 86 0 27 55-340 6.2 10-17 281 2 at North Carolina 20-14 148 11 2 23 47-156 3.3 19-31 249 4 12 35-211 6.0 7-18 46 2 at Memphis 27-30 -63 -5 -4 19 68-314 4.6 1-8 20 1 24 29-118 4.1 24-40 279 2 Boston College 10-41 -265 0 -3 19 26-95 3.7 19-42 152 3 19 47-237 5.0 19-24 275 0 UCF 21-31 -64 -3 -2 19 59-248 4.2 5-14 171 0 22 42-247 5.9 16-24 236 1 at Pittsburgh 14-31 4 1 0 20 31-102 3.3 22-42 212 3 19 40-176 4.4 10-18 134 1 Bye Georgia Tech 40-36 -42 -1 0 15 25-97 3.9 21-43 260 0 16 52-220 4.2 6-22 179 5 at Temple 26-34 -31 0 0 20 52-136 2.6 13-19 226 5 20 28-104 3.7 22-30 289 0 at Louisville 21-38 -216 -11 0 16 28-63 2.3 19-36 214 4 27 43-298 6.9 15-26 195 2 SMU 43-40 133 3 0 24 72-559 7.8 0-1 0 0 21 31-165 5.3 16-30 261 2 at Miami, Fl 28-44 81 3 -1 18 28-55 2.0 28-37 384 5 15 32-148 4.6 15-28 210 3 at Notre Dame 17-24 -9 7 0 23 72-277 3.8 3-8 41 0 16 31-163 5.3 9-18 164 1 Virginia Tech 0-10 -154 -11 0 9 20-5 0.3 17-34 186 4 20 53-202 3.8 14-21 143 0 at Houston 14-24 -89 3 1 19 60-217 3.6 3-8 74 3 16 32-103 3.2 21-27 277 2

Bye Cavaliers Virginia Midshipmen Navy Bye at Navy † Army West Point 13-14 55 -3 0 12 46-294 6.4 1-2 2 0 15 49-221 4.5 1-1 20 0 LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Virginia Average 24-27 -1.7 0.8 0.2 19 31-99 3.2 58.8% 257 6.2% 18 40-178 4.4 53.6% 180 8.4% Average 29-28 40.2 2.4 -0.2 21 62-343 5.5 41.6% 84 11.9% 19 36-165 4.6 63.3% 222 5.1% Conference 20-29 -48.6 -0.5 -0.3 18 30-88 2.9 54.9% 230 7.8% 18 42-203 4.9 50.3% 163 7.5% Conference 28-29 37.5 2.9 -1.0 21 63-332 5.3 44.9% 96 17.4% 19 34-152 4.5 64.5% 239 4.4% Away 25-30 14.8 0.6 0.4 20 35-109 3.1 61.1% 266 9.7% 19 35-173 5.0 52.4% 188 8.4% Home 35-34 50.4 1.6 -0.4 22 62-408 6.5 35.7% 88 7.1% 21 39-200 5.1 60.0% 246 6.2% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving William & Mary Kurt Benkert 27-39-262-3-0 Jordan Ellis 20-80-4.0-1 Doni Dowling 6-76-12.7-0 Virginia Navy at Florida Atlantic Zach Abey 3-10-110-1-1 Zach Abey 32-235-7.3-2 Tyler Carmona 1-56-56.0-0 Indiana Kurt Benkert 39-66-259-1-0 Jordan Ellis 14-44-3.1-1 Olamide Zaccheaus 12-72-6.0-0 Virginia QB/WR Tulane Zach Abey 4-12-132-1-1 Zach Abey 29-108-3.7-0 Tyler Carmona 1-79-79.0-1 Connecticut Kurt Benkert 30-40-455-3-1 Jordan Ellis 20-95-4.8-1 Doni Dowling 6-136-22.7-1 2.54 vs. Bye at Boise St Kurt Benkert 19-29-273-3-0 Jordan Ellis 24-93-3.9-2 Andre Levrone 5-141-28.2-2 Navy DB's Cincinnati Zach Abey 2-3-53-1-0 Zach Abey 20-128-6.4-2 Tyler Carmona 2-53-26.5-1 Bye Virginia RB's at Tulsa Zach Abey 3-4-90-0-0 Zach Abey 36-185-5.1-3 Malcolm Perry 2-53-26.5-0 Duke Kurt Benkert 24-43-182-3-2 Jordan Ellis 25-96-3.8-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 8-69-8.6-1 vs. 0.39 Air Force Zach Abey 4-11-86-2-0 Zach Abey 29-214-7.4-2 Malcolm Perry 2-45-22.5-1 at North Carolina Kurt Benkert 19-31-249-2-0 Jordan Ellis 27-136-5.0-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 5-100-20.0-1 Navy LB's at Memphis Zach Abey 1-7-20-0-2 Zach Abey 37-146-3.9-3 Darryl Bonner 1-20-20.0-0 Boston College Kurt Benkert 17-33-126-0-1 Jordan Ellis 12-58-4.8-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 6-57-9.5-0 Virginia OL UCF Zach Abey 2-4-115-1-1 Zach Abey 25-126-5.0-1 Malcolm Perry 1-75-75.0-1 at Pittsburgh Kurt Benkert 22-42-212-2-1 Jordan Ellis 15-58-3.9-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 8-80-10.0-0 vs. 0.06 Bye Georgia Tech Kurt Benkert 21-43-260-3-1 Jordan Ellis 13-48-3.7-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 9-98-10.9-0 Navy DL at Temple Zach Abey 6-9-111-0-1 Zach Abey 25-60-2.4-0 Malcolm Perry 4-94-23.5-0 at Louisville Kurt Benkert 19-36-214-1-1 Jordan Ellis 13-58-4.5-1 Andre Levrone 6-92-15.3-0 Virginia DL SMU Zach Abey 0-0-0-0-0 Malcolm Perry 33-282-8.5-4 Zach Abey 0-0-0.0-0 at Miami, Fl Kurt Benkert 28-37-384-4-1 Olamide Zaccheaus 5-29-5.8-0 Joe Reed 2-81-40.5-1 vs. 0.75 at Notre Dame Zach Abey 3-6-41-1-1 Zach Abey 29-87-3.0-1 Anthony Gargiulo 1-21-21.0-0 Virginia Tech Kurt Benkert 17-34-186-0-0 Jordan Ellis 10-9-0.9-0 Andre Levrone 2-59-29.5-0 Navy OL at Houston Zach Abey 2-4-45-0-0 Malcolm Perry 15-82-5.5-1 Tyler Carmona 1-40-40.0-0 Bye Virginia LB'S Bye Zach Abey 1-1-2-0-0 Malcolm Perry 30-250-8.3-1 Malcolm Perry 1-2-2.0-0 at Navy 0.21 vs. † Army West Point Navy RB's Virginia Kurt Benkert 282-473-3062-25-8 Jordan Ellis 204-799-3.9-6 Olamide Zaccheaus 80-833-10.4-5 Virginia DB's Zach Abey 31-71-805-7-7 Zach Abey 280-1325-4.7-14 Tyler Carmona 14-381-27.2-4 Virginia Leaders Lindell Stone 2-9-26-0-2 Lamont Atkins 27-182-6.7-1 Andre Levrone 31-662-21.4-7 0.18 vs. Navy Leaders Garret Lewis 10-23-195-2-2 Malcolm Perry 122-1068-8.8-9 Malcolm Perry 13-303-23.3-2 TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 19-101-5.3-1 Doni Dowling 48-632-13.2-5 Navy QB/WR Malcolm Perry 1-2-5-1-1 Chris High 125-520-4.2-2 Darryl Bonner 7-182-26.0-1 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Virginia ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None vs. 0.29 Las Vegas Line Navy ST's Navy By 1 This is Navy’s 6th str bowl and they’ve covered their L/4 incl a win in the Military Bowl Projected Rushing Virginia K Las Vegas Total in ’15. UVA has not been to a bowl game in 6Y and opened 5-1, but then went 1-5 56 yards Virginia Navy 330 yards 0.35 vs. 55 Points and were outg’d by 99 ypg down the stretch with their 5 losses by an avg of 15.1 ppg Projected Passing Navy K +/- Ratings and no loss closer than 10. Navy got here in similar fashion, opening 5-0 then 1-6, 265 yards Virginia Navy 34 yards Virginia Coaches Navy By 1.0 but the Middies 6 losses were all by 10 or less and all vs bowl tms. Navy looks like the Projected Yardage Total vs. 1.25 Game Grade stronger team, but HC Mendenhall knows how to defend the option. Dating back to his 321 yards Virginia Navy 364 yards Navy Coaches Navy By 2.9 days at BYU he is 9-1 SU/ATS vs option tms, incl their lone win the L/6 gms when Projected Final Score Virginia Pts Computer Yards they beat GT. All 9 sets of my power ratings call for a close game, but also for a score 23 points Virginia Navy 26 points 3.27 vs. 2.75 Navy 364-321 in the 40’s. Mendenhall knows the option & Navy’s D is holding foes to 62 ypg below Experience Rankings Navy Pts Computer Points their avg & I’ll call for this game to be a low scoring affair. 77 Virginia Navy 102 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Navy 26-23

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Virginia Phil Steele 43 Virginia Navy 62 Navy by 1 By 0.52 Points Navy 24 Virginia 23 VIRGINIA (6-6) MILITARYThursday, December 28, 2017 BOWL • 1:30 pm NAVY (6-6) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 5-7 ESPN • Navy-Marine Corps Stadium • Annapolis, MD ATS: 4-8 O/U: 4-8 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS VIRG NAVY 66 rush yd 331 244 pass yd 43 24 pts 28 +3 ytd to -6 #49 sked #50 CHECKLIST VIRG NAVY edge edge – QB 1/2 – RB 441/2 4 WR – – OL 41/2 4 DL – 41/2 LB – 444 DB – – CCH 1/2 – SITE 444 441/2 MTCH – – INT 4 – ST – 1/2 SKED – OVERALL VIRGINIA BY 1/2 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Virginia Tech Hokies 9-3 9-3 Oklahoma St Cowboys Hokies Logs vs. ACC vs. BIG 12 Cowboys Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 5-3 6-3 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 118 21 22 9/3 † West Virginia 31-24 W 91 9 18 35 58 75 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 133 116 10 9/2 Tulsa 59-24 W 10 43 98 48 73 53 1-0 0-0 126 18 9/9 Delaware 27-0 W 77 14 18 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 137 97 11 9/9 at South Alabama 44-7 W 5 41 98 118 109 96 Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 2-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 124 97 16 9/16 at East Carolina 64-17 W 79 16 8 106 130 128 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 137 120 9 9/16 at Pittsburgh 59-21 W 2 35 106 49 60 48 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 128 101 13 9/23 Old Dominion 38-0 W 54 13 19 101 82 92 #63 Rush Off #48 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 141 129 6 16 9/23 TCU 31-44 L 2 34 83 11 12 41 4-0 4-0 0-0 2-0 129 141 12 2 9/30 Clemson 17-31 L 41 11 10 7 2 102 #61 Pass Off #1 3-1 3-0 0-1 0-0 136 124 15 9/30 at Texas Tech 41-34 W 6 35 97 23 63 69 4-1 2-3 0-1 0-2 128 112 16 10/7 at Boston College 23-10 W 42 10 26 91 47 56 #61 Total Off #2 4-1 1-1 136 15 10/7 Bye 7 33 83 5-1 1-1 128 15 10/14 Bye 44 13 18 #63 Score Off #3 4-1 0-5 1-1 0-2 136 116 14 10/14 Baylor 59-16 W 6 27 85 43 82 41 5-1 1-6 1-1 0-4 128 112 14 10/21 North Carolina 59-7 W 38 14 17 61 57 43 #45 Sks Allowed #45 5-1 3-3 2-1 2-1 140 128 10 10/21 at Texas 13-10 W 4 28 83 22 16 54 6-1 4-4 2-1 1-4 132 116 13 10/28 Duke 24-3 W 35 12 11 68 31 99 #16 Rush Def #27 6-1 5-2 3-1 3-1 139 124 11 22 10/28 at West Virginia 50-39 W 7 21 107 10 67 89 7-1 7-0 3-1 5-0 132 130 13 9 11/4 at Miami, Fl 10-28 L 36 9 10 15 17 44 #21 Pass Def #120 7-1 7-1 4-1 4-1 139 134 11 8 11/4 Oklahoma 52-62 L 9 18 102 3 32 97 7-2 4-4 3-2 3-3 129 125 17 11/11 at Georgia Tech 22-28 L 41 13 6 52 35 97 #12 Total Def #73 7-2 6-3 4-2 4-2 135 130 12 24 11/11 at Iowa St 49-42 W 7 19 104 76 39 57 7-3 4-6 3-3 2-4 128 116 11/18 Pittsburgh 20-14 W 48 15 6 83 57 81 #5 Score Def #86 8-2 5-5 5-2 3-4 136 121 10 11/18 Kansas St 40-45 L 7 21 88 53 38 2 8-3 6-5 4-3 3-4 126 117 24 11/24 at Virginia 10-0 W 54 15 4 92 33 69 #36 Sks By #39 8-3 1-10 5-3 0-8 131 98 18 11/25 Kansas 58-17 W 8 31 91 117 105 94 9-3 5-3 126 22 12/2 Bye 56 14 3 #22 Ypg Diff #4 9-3 6-3 132 18 12/2 Bye 8 32 94 9-3 9-3 5-3 6-3 126 132 22 17 12/28 † Oklahoma St 54 15 3 6 31 94 +7 Total TO's +1 9-3 9-3 6-3 5-3 132 126 17 22 12/28 † Virginia Tech 6 31 94 54 15 3

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks † West Virginia 31-24 -123 -8 1 21 45-234 5.2 15-27 235 1 29 35-221 6.3 31-54 371 2 Tulsa 59-24 208 -1 0 25 37-332 9.0 21-26 308 2 26 60-244 4.1 20-38 188 1 Delaware 27-0 80 3 1 15 28-81 2.9 16-29 222 1 12 46-107 2.3 8-17 116 4 at South Alabama 44-7 330 17 2 29 37-163 4.4 26-41 342 1 12 27-41 1.5 14-24 134 4 at East Carolina 64-17 394 22 3 34 62-287 4.6 25-33 388 1 12 31-40 1.3 11-30 241 2 at Pittsburgh 59-21 285 10 0 27 35-104 3.0 26-37 572 1 17 34-103 3.0 20-35 288 2 Old Dominion 38-0 433 25 0 32 57-271 4.8 21-32 311 1 7 24-64 2.7 8-26 85 1 TCU 31-44 33 -6 -3 26 31-101 3.3 22-42 398 3 32 52-238 4.6 22-33 228 2 Clemson 17-31 10 3 -3 17 28-90 3.2 30-45 252 2 14 43-146 3.4 12-21 186 3 at Texas Tech 41-34 213 7 0 32 44-221 5.0 27-38 376 1 25 26-54 2.1 29-46 330 1 at Boston College 23-10 77 4 -1 20 48-109 2.3 22-33 322 5 16 33-163 4.9 14-33 191 0 Bye Bye Baylor 59-16 360 7 1 29 38-276 7.3 20-33 471 0 22 46-219 4.8 14-36 168 1 North Carolina 59-7 211 10 3 21 46-181 3.9 15-27 202 1 11 42-54 1.3 8-22 118 6 at Texas 13-10 145 13 0 26 51-146 2.9 25-38 282 2 13 33-42 1.3 22-36 241 3 Duke 24-3 204 13 2 23 48-187 3.9 13-28 200 1 10 35-101 2.9 10-24 82 1 at West Virginia 50-39 115 8 1 27 56-246 4.4 20-34 216 0 19 30-62 2.1 20-42 285 1 at Miami, Fl 10-28 -130 1 -1 22 43-102 2.4 20-32 197 4 21 34-210 6.2 12-24 219 2 Oklahoma 52-62 -124 2 -1 32 34-213 6.3 28-54 448 3 30 40-187 4.7 24-36 598 5 at Georgia Tech 22-28 -143 -5 1 14 36-105 2.9 14-26 153 2 19 57-261 4.6 2-8 140 0 at Iowa St 49-42 31 -7 1 23 37-146 3.9 25-31 376 2 30 29-105 3.6 30-47 386 2 Pittsburgh 20-14 9 2 1 18 40-157 3.9 17-37 218 2 16 30-55 1.8 20-33 311 4 Kansas St 40-45 89 12 -1 30 31-85 2.7 32-53 425 4 18 49-217 4.4 10-13 204 3 at Virginia 10-0 154 11 0 20 53-202 3.8 14-21 143 0 9 20-5 0.3 17-34 186 4 Kansas 58-17 420 18 1 29 42-167 4.0 32-44 494 2 11 30-69 2.3 17-32 172 3 Bye Bye

† Oklahoma St Tech Hokies Virginia † Virginia Tech LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Oklahoma St Cowboys St Oklahoma

Average 29-14 98.0 6.8 0.6 21 45-167 3.8 60.0% 237 5.7% 15 36-119 3.3 46.9% 187 8.9% Average 46-30 175.4 6.7 0.1 28 39-183 4.7 64.5% 392 4.5% 21 38-132 3.5 57.9% 269 6.7% Conference 23-15 49.0 4.9 0.3 19 43-142 3.3 58.2% 211 6.8% 15 37-124 3.4 47.7% 179 10.1% Conference 44-34 142.4 6.0 -0.1 28 40-178 4.4 62.9% 387 4.6% 22 37-133 3.6 58.6% 290 6.5% Away 27-18 38.2 4.2 0.5 22 48-173 3.6 64.0% 240 7.6% 18 35-150 4.3 47.5% 225 5.5% Home 50-35 164.3 5.3 -0.5 29 36-196 5.5 61.5% 424 5.6% 23 46-196 4.2 56.9% 260 8.0% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving † West Virginia Josh Jackson 15-26-235-1-0 Josh Jackson 11-101-9.2-1 Cam Phillips 7-138-19.7-1 Virginia Tech Oklahoma St Tulsa Mason Rudolph 20-24-303-3-0 Justice Hill 15-132-8.8-1 James Washington 6-145-24.2-2 Delaware Josh Jackson 16-28-222-2-0 Jalen Holston 8-32-4.0-0 Cam Phillips 6-90-15.0-1 Virginia Tech QB/WR at South Alabama Mason Rudolph 25-38-335-3-0 JD King 8-64-8.0-0 James Washington 2-98-49.0-1 at East Carolina Josh Jackson 24-31-372-5-0 Travon McMillian 11-72-6.5-0 Cam Phillips 14-189-13.5-3 0.43 vs. at Pittsburgh Mason Rudolph 23-32-497-5-1 Justice Hill 11-91-8.3-2 Jalen McCleskey 7-162-23.1-3 Old Dominion Josh Jackson 20-30-298-3-1 Coleman Fox 11-66-6.0-0 Cam Phillips 7-106-15.1-0 Oklahoma St DB's TCU Mason Rudolph 22-41-398-2-2 Justice Hill 25-102-4.1-1 James Washington 6-153-25.5-1 Clemson Josh Jackson 29-44-251-1-2 Coleman Fox 5-39-7.8-0 Cam Phillips 7-74-10.6-0 Virginia Tech RB's at Texas Tech Mason Rudolph 27-38-376-3-1 Justice Hill 30-164-5.5-0 James Washington 9-127-14.1-1 at Boston College Josh Jackson 22-33-322-1-1 Travon McMillian 17-88-5.2-1 Sean Savoy 9-139-15.4-1 vs. 0.50 Bye Bye Oklahoma St LB's Baylor Mason Rudolph 19-31-459-3-0 Justice Hill 14-117-8.4-1 James Washington 6-235-39.2-1 North Carolina Josh Jackson 10-20-132-3-0 Coleman Fox 7-58-8.3-0 Cam Phillips 5-49-9.8-1 Virginia Tech OL at Texas Mason Rudolph 25-38-282-0-0 Justice Hill 33-117-3.5-0 Marcell Ateman 4-87-21.8-0 Duke Josh Jackson 13-27-200-1-0 Deshawn McClease 15-75-5.0-1 Chris Cunningham 3-48-16.0-0 vs. 0.66 at West Virginia Mason Rudolph 20-34-216-3-1 JD King 36-142-3.9-1 James Washington 7-91-13.0-2 at Miami, Fl Josh Jackson 20-32-197-0-2 Travon McMillian 15-52-3.5-0 Cam Phillips 7-101-14.4-0 Oklahoma St DL Oklahoma Mason Rudolph 28-54-448-5-2 Justice Hill 30-228-7.6-2 James Washington 7-128-18.3-1 at Georgia Tech Josh Jackson 14-26-153-0-0 Sean Savoy 3-32-10.7-1 Eric Kumah 6-82-13.7-0 Virginia Tech DL at Iowa St Mason Rudolph 25-31-376-3-0 Justice Hill 25-134-5.4-3 Jalen McCleskey 5-109-21.8-0 Pittsburgh Josh Jackson 17-37-218-1-1 Deshawn McClease 14-70-5.0-0 Cam Phillips 8-117-14.6-1 0.60 vs. Kansas St Mason Rudolph 32-53-425-3-2 Justice Hill 23-91-4.0-1 James Washington 8-159-19.9-2 at Virginia Josh Jackson 14-21-143-1-1 Steven Peoples 22-71-3.2-0 Hezekiah Grimsley 5-56-11.2-0 Oklahoma St OL Kansas Mason Rudolph 31-43-438-2-0 Justice Hill 16-58-3.6-1 Dillon Stoner 4-113-28.3-1 Bye Virginia Tech LB'S Bye † Oklahoma St 0.89 vs. † Virginia Tech Oklahoma St RB's Josh Jackson 214-355-2743-19-8 Travon McMillian 104-439-4.2-2 Cam Phillips 71-964-13.6-7 Virginia Tech DB's Mason Rudolph 297-457-4553-35-9 Justice Hill 245-1347-5.5-14 James Washington 69-1423-20.6-12 Virginia Tech Leaders A.J Bush 7-11-99-1-0 Deshawn McClease 90-406-4.5-3 Sean Savoy 39-454-11.6-4 vs. 1.23 Oklahoma St Leaders Taylor Cornelius 6-10-148-0-0 JD King 97-466-4.8-4 Marcell Ateman 54-1049-19.4-8 Oscar Bradburn 1-1-1-0-0 Josh Jackson 108-274-2.5-4 Eric Kumah 23-252-11.0-1 Oklahoma St QB/WR Keondre Wudtee 1-3-7-0-0 LD Brown 33-211-6.4-3 Jalen McCleskey 49-633-12.9-5 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Virginia Tech ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None 4.18 vs. Las Vegas Line Oklahoma St ST's Oklahoma St By 4 It’s no surprise that OSU has a huge edge on OFF as they avg 576 ypg w/QB Projected Rushing Virginia Tech K Rudolph having a 35-9 ratio throwing to perhaps the best set of WR’s in the Las Vegas Total 143 yards Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 116 yards vs. 0.51 63 Points country led by Biletnikoff winner Washington & a run game that powers for 4.7 Projected Passing Oklahoma St K ypc. VT QB Jackson has a 9-7 ratio vs P5 tms & the Hokies topped 24 pts just +/- Ratings 252 yards Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 372 yards Virginia Tech Coaches Oklahoma St By 6.0 once vs P5 teams and OSU avg 45 ppg vs the big boys. VT has the edge on D Projected Yardage Total vs. 1.00 all’g almost 100 ypg less & has my #3 rated ST’s vs the Pokes #94 unit. All ssn Game Grade 395 yards Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 488 yards Oklahoma St Coaches Oklahoma St By 6.7 I have felt OSU is close to the elite teams & VT has been more middle of the Projected Final Score Virginia Tech Pts Computer Yards road. Here is a stat that shows my thinking. OSU has outgained their 10 P5 29 points Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 35 points 6.10 vs. 3.90 Oklahoma St 488-395 foes (8 are in bowls) by 156 ypg. VT has only outg’d their P5 foes by 30 ypg & Experience Rankings Oklahoma St Pts Computer Points only faced 6 bowl teams. I’ll call for OSU to win by over a td, making this a 103 Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 25 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Oklahoma St 35-29 ‘Best Bet’ selection. Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Virginia Tech Phil Steele 61 Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 22 Oklahoma St by 8 By 2.20 Points Best Bet: ★ Oklahoma St 35 Virginia Tech 27 VIRGINIA TECH (9-3) CAMPINGThursday, December WORLD 28, 2017 • 5:15 BOWL pm OKLAHOMA ST (9-3) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 3-8-1 ESPN • • Orlando, FL ATS: 6-5-1 O/U: 9-3 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS VT OSU 145 rush yd 104 239 pass yd 369 29 pts 34 +7 ytd to +1 #66 sked #56 CHECKLIST VT OSU edge edge – QB 441/2 – RB 41/2 – WR 441/2 – OL 4 1/2 DL – 4 LB – 4 DB – – CCH 4 – SITE – – MTCH 4 – INT – 4441/2 ST – – SKED 4 OVERALL OKLAHOMA ST BY 4’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Stanford Cardinal 9-4 10-3 TCU Horned Frogs Cardinal Logs vs. PAC 12 vs. BIG 12 Horned Frogs Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 7-3 7-3 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 102 14 8/26 † Rice 62-7 W 21 8 43 113 103 85 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 123 9/2 Jackson St 63-0 W 13 15 26 1-0 0-0 131 14 9/2 Bye 13 6 43 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 120 23 9/9 at Arkansas 28-7 W 10 15 26 21 45 102 Stanford TCU 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 137 14 6 9/9 at USC 24-42 L 8 19 38 8 13 25 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 129 113 20 9/16 SMU 56-36 W 13 10 39 36 91 124 1-1 2-0 0-1 0-0 127 117 19 9/16 at San Diego St 17-20 L 12 28 16 73 50 6 #32 Rush Off #52 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 129 141 16 6 9/23 at Oklahoma St 44-31 W 11 12 41 2 34 83 1-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 129 121 9/23 UCLA 58-34 W 10 31 11 17 31 71 #98 Pass Off #58 4-0 1-0 134 9 9/30 Bye 12 12 16 2-2 2-2 1-1 1-0 128 117 9/30 Arizona St 34-24 W 8 30 9 55 64 106 #75 Total Off #52 4-0 3-1 1-0 1-0 134 120 8 23 10/7 West Virginia 31-24 W 12 14 15 10 64 95 3-2 4-0 2-1 1-0 128 123 20 10/7 at Utah 23-20 W 5 28 8 43 23 3 #39 Score Off #34 5-0 3-2 2-0 1-1 132 127 6 10/14 at Kansas St 26-6 W 12 16 17 36 46 1 4-2 4-2 3-1 1-2 132 123 23 10/14 Oregon 49-7 W 5 32 6 8 17 43 #20 Sks Allowed #32 6-0 1-5 3-0 0-3 135 95 4 10/21 Kansas 43-0 W 18 13 23 89 118 64 5-2 4-1 132 22 10/21 Bye 4 33 5 #73 Rush Def #4 7-0 5-2 4-0 3-1 135 130 4 25 10/28 at Iowa St 7-14 L 18 9 18 64 39 55 5-2 1-6 4-1 0-4 128 110 20 10/26 at Oregon St 15-14 W 8 29 4 85 92 92 #73 Pass Def #75 7-1 4-4 4-1 3-2 133 133 10 11/4 Texas 24-7 W 20 7 15 29 13 33 6-2 7-2 5-1 4-2 127 124 18 25 11/4 at Washington St 21-24 L 11 23 3 35 24 72 #72 Total Def #19 8-1 8-1 5-1 5-1 135 138 8 5 11/11 at Oklahoma 20-38 L 19 4 28 3 32 93 6-3 8-1 5-2 5-1 131 139 9 11/10 Washington 30-22 W 13 23 5 24 6 33 #30 Score Def #12 8-2 5-5 5-2 2-5 133 119 11 11/18 at Texas Tech 27-3 W 21 8 32 24 78 92 7-3 5-5 6-2 2-5 128 116 20 11/18 California 17-14 W 13 22 5 109 54 62 #23 Sks By #4 9-2 1-10 6-2 1-7 136 112 10 11/24 Baylor 45-22 W 22 8 16 70 89 64 8-3 9-2 7-2 6-2 132 132 20 9 11/25 Notre Dame 38-20 W 12 21 6 5 19 111 #79 Ypg Diff #27 10-2 8-1 7-2 5-1 135 138 10 2 12/2 † Oklahoma 17-41 L 20 8 23 3 32 93 9-3 1-0 7-2 0-0 130 137 14 11 12/2 † USC 28-31 L 13 22 5 8 13 25 +15 Total TO's +4 10-3 7-3 132 13 12/9 Bye 23 10 24 10-3 7-3 132 15 13 12/28 † TCU 23 10 24 9-4 7-3 130 13 15 12/28 † Stanford 13 22 5 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks † Rice 62-7 415 13 2 27 36-287 8.0 21-37 369 2 14 38-146 3.8 10-24 95 2 Jackson St 63-0 477 17 1 24 36-242 6.7 23-30 300 0 7 42-24 0.6 7-14 41 5 Bye at Arkansas 28-7 94 11 -1 24 42-195 4.6 21-31 166 1 13 31-129 4.2 9-23 138 3 at USC 24-42 -281 -12 2 16 26-170 6.5 15-28 172 2 28 48-307 6.4 21-26 316 1 SMU 56-36 156 11 -1 30 49-254 5.2 24-30 365 3 19 30-124 4.1 18-38 339 0 at San Diego St 17-20 -99 -11 -3 10 22-174 7.9 10-21 80 4 21 49-166 3.4 21-29 187 6 at Oklahoma St 44-31 -33 6 3 32 52-238 4.6 22-33 228 2 26 31-101 3.3 22-42 398 3 UCLA 58-34 -42 -4 3 23 45-405 9.0 16-24 148 0 27 15-115 7.7 40-60 480 1 Bye Arizona St 34-24 95 -5 1 17 33-331 10.0 15-24 173 0 22 46-214 4.7 16-25 195 3 West Virginia 31-24 -102 -12 2 16 36-170 4.7 16-29 236 0 28 39-142 3.6 25-45 366 2 at Utah 23-20 2 -11 2 14 31-196 6.3 13-24 188 0 25 33-144 4.4 20-40 238 2 at Kansas St 26-6 179 7 0 17 36-98 2.7 27-37 297 1 10 29-70 2.4 11-30 146 2 Oregon 49-7 195 13 1 25 41-248 6.0 21-28 256 0 12 43-276 6.4 5-13 33 2 Kansas 43-0 454 18 0 22 42-191 4.5 20-28 284 1 4 31--25 -0.8 8-18 46 4 Bye at Iowa St 7-14 52 -3 -2 14 34-172 5.1 12-25 135 1 17 33-53 1.6 21-35 202 2 at Oregon St 15-14 -42 -8 2 12 27-81 3.0 16-33 141 1 20 41-138 3.4 13-22 126 2 Texas 24-7 80 3 0 17 46-177 3.8 19-27 166 2 14 26-9 0.3 21-44 254 7 at Washington St 21-24 -232 -16 0 9 27-93 3.4 9-20 105 2 25 29-93 3.2 34-48 337 3 at Oklahoma 20-38 -109 -2 0 19 32-155 4.8 14-29 269 2 21 41-200 4.9 18-27 333 1 Washington 30-22 81 1 1 21 44-195 4.4 16-27 211 1 20 33-135 4.1 17-23 190 2 at Texas Tech 27-3 -38 -4 1 17 42-204 4.9 6-17 85 1 21 41-174 4.2 18-36 153 3 California 17-14 41 2 0 21 38-193 5.1 17-26 185 0 19 28-155 5.5 20-29 182 1 Baylor 45-22 44 11 3 25 36-112 3.1 26-36 325 3 14 29-79 2.7 21-34 314 8 StanfordCardinal

Notre Dame 38-20 -87 1 3 18 38-152 4.0 14-22 176 2 17 44-154 3.5 12-29 261 6 Horned Frogs TCU † Oklahoma 20-38 -109 -2 0 19 32-155 4.8 14-29 269 2 21 41-200 4.9 18-27 333 1 † USC 24-42 -281 -12 2 16 26-170 6.5 15-28 172 2 28 48-307 6.4 21-26 316 1 Bye LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM † TCU † Stanford Average 32-21 -8.6 -3.2 1.2 18 34-206 6.0 57.4% 184 4.8% 21 38-171 4.5 62.8% 228 8.2% Average 33-18 85.4 4.7 0.3 21 39-176 4.5 66.1% 238 4.6% 17 34-100 2.9 52.3% 229 10.0% Conference 30-23 -34.1 -4.4 1.3 18 35-206 5.9 57.8% 177 3.1% 22 36-175 4.9 65.5% 242 5.8% Conference 28-19 38.3 2.2 0.5 20 38-160 4.2 63.4% 226 4.7% 18 34-102 3.0 53.9% 246 9.9% Away 27-23 -56.4 -7.0 0.9 15 30-165 5.6 50.8% 178 7.0% 22 40-167 4.2 63.8% 232 8.0% Home 44-15 184.8 8.0 0.8 22 41-191 4.7 71.1% 279 5.0% 14 33-59 1.8 51.8% 227 13.5% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving † Rice Keller Chryst 14-24-253-2-0 13-180-13.8-1 Connor Wedington 6-82-13.7-0 Stanford TCU Jackson St Kenny Hill 18-23-206-4-1 13-67-5.2-0 TreVontae Hights 1-56-56.0-1 Bye Stanford QB/WR at Arkansas Kenny Hill 21-31-166-0-1 Darius Anderson 15-106-7.1-1 John Diarse 4-36-9.0-0 at USC Keller Chryst 15-28-172-2-0 Bryce Love 17-160-9.4-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 4-67-16.8-1 vs. 0.27 SMU Kenny Hill 24-30-365-4-0 Darius Anderson 14-89-6.4-2 KaVontae Turpin 7-88-12.6-1 at San Diego St Keller Chryst 8-19-56-0-2 Bryce Love 13-184-14.2-2 Trenton Irwin 6-49-8.2-0 TCU DB's at Oklahoma St Kenny Hill 22-33-228-1-1 Darius Anderson 26-160-6.2-3 Jaelan Austin 1-43-43.0-0 UCLA KJ Costello 13-19-123-2-0 Bryce Love 30-263-8.8-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 5-62-12.4-0 Stanford RB's Bye Arizona St KJ Costello 15-24-173-1-0 Bryce Love 25-301-12.0-3 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 4-63-15.8-1 0.61 vs. West Virginia Kenny Hill 15-28-188-1-0 Kyle Hicks 11-71-6.5-0 John Diarse 4-70-17.5-0 at Utah Keller Chryst 7-14-106-0-0 Bryce Love 20-152-7.6-1 Kaden Smith 2-57-28.5-0 TCU LB's at Kansas St Kenny Hill 27-37-297-0-0 Kyle Hicks 16-58-3.6-0 KaVontae Turpin 5-70-14.0-0 Oregon Keller Chryst 15-21-181-3-1 Bryce Love 17-147-8.6-2 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 6-112-18.7-2 Stanford OL Kansas Kenny Hill 19-26-278-5-0 Darius Anderson 12-62-5.2-0 John Diarse 4-130-32.5-1 Bye vs. 0.25 at Iowa St Kenny Hill 12-25-135-0-2 Darius Anderson 12-95-7.9-0 Jaelan Austin 3-39-13.0-0 at Oregon St Keller Chryst 16-33-141-1-1 Cameron Scarlett 17-72-4.2-0 Kaden Smith 2-37-18.5-0 TCU DL Texas Kenny Hill 18-26-146-0-0 Darius Anderson 18-99-5.5-1 John Diarse 2-37-18.5-0 at Washington St KJ Costello 9-20-105-0-1 Bryce Love 16-69-4.3-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 3-52-17.3-0 Stanford DL at Oklahoma Kenny Hill 13-28-270-1-0 Darius Anderson 7-42-6.0-1 Kyle Hicks 3-71-23.7-1 Washington KJ Costello 16-27-211-0-0 Bryce Love 30-166-5.5-3 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 5-130-26.0-0 vs. 0.42 at Texas Tech Shawn Robinson 6-17-85-1-0 Shawn Robinson 10-84-8.4-0 1-28-28.0-0 California KJ Costello 17-26-185-1-1 Bryce Love 14-101-7.2-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 7-79-11.3-0 TCU OL Baylor Kenny Hill 26-36-325-3-0 Sewo Olonilua 10-71-7.1-1 Jarrison Stewart 6-72-12.0-1 Notre Dame KJ Costello 14-22-176-4-0 Bryce Love 20-125-6.3-0 Kaden Smith 3-65-21.7-1 Stanford LB'S † Oklahoma Kenny Hill 27-37-234-2-1 Kenny Hill 13-51-3.9-0 John Diarse 5-66-13.2-1 † USC KJ Costello 10-22-192-2-0 Bryce Love 22-125-5.7-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 2-87-43.5-0 0.77 vs. Bye † TCU TCU RB's † Stanford KJ Costello 110-185-1386-11-2 Bryce Love 237-1973-8.3-17 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 43-720-16.7-6 Stanford DB's Kenny Hill 242-360-2838-21-6 Darius Anderson 128-768-6.0-8 John Diarse 33-543-16.5-3 Stanford Leaders Keller Chryst 76-142-921-8-4 Cameron Scarlett 86-385-4.5-8 Trenton Irwin 40-444-11.1-2 vs. 0.50 TCU Leaders Shawn Robinson 13-27-184-3-0 Kyle Hicks 133-597-4.5-4 Jalen Reagor 28-407-14.5-7 Ryan Burns 5-7-57-1-0 Trevor Speights 34-127-3.7-0 Kaden Smith 23-414-18.0-5 TCU QB/WR KaVontae Turpin 2-2-68-1-0 Sewo Olonilua 59-272-4.6-7 Desmon White 38-390-10.3-4 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Stanford ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None 0.99 vs. Las Vegas Line TCU ST's Tcu By 2.5 HC’s Shaw & Patterson get the most out of their teams and are 2 of my favorite Projected Rushing Stanford K coaches. The star player is Heisman runner up RB Love who despite playing the Las Vegas Total 146 yards Stanford TCU 166 yards 0.22 vs. 49 Points 2H of the yr on a bum ankle rushed for 1,973 (8.3). The tms were almost dead Projected Passing TCU K even in my OFF rankings with Stanford better running it & the Frogs better thru +/- Ratings 147 yards Stanford TCU 225 yards Stanford Coaches Tcu By 4.0 the air w/QB Hill completing 67%. This is not your typical Stanford D as they Projected Yardage Total vs. are allowing 4.5 ypc. The L5Y they have held P12 foes to 103 ypg below their Game Grade 293 yards Stanford TCU 392 yards TCU Coaches Tcu By 7.6 ssn avg, but just 13 ypg TY despite the presence of AA’s DT Phillips & S Reid. Projected Final Score Stanford Pts Computer Yards TCU allows just 2.9 ypc & 52% completions despite playing in the wide open 17 points Stanford TCU 25 points 2.59 vs. 1.44 Tcu 392-293 B12 and facing OU twice. TCU has held foes to 122 ypg below their avg. I will Experience Rankings TCU Pts Computer Points go with the tougher D of the Frogs, they will also have a decent crowd edge as 49 Stanford TCU 3 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Tcu 25-17 well and I’ll call for TCU to win by over a td. Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Stanford Phil Steele 8 Stanford TCU 32 TCU by 8 By 1.15 Points TCU 25 Stanford 17 STANFORD (9-4) ALAMO BOWL TCU (10-3) ATS: 6-7 O/U: 7-6 Thursday, December 28, 2017 • 9:00 pm ATS: 6-6-1 O/U: 3-10 ESPN • • San Antonio, TX COMPUTER PROJECTIONS STAN TCU 127 rush yd 166 141 pass yd 212 13 pts 26 +15 ytd to +4 #4 sked #32 CHECKLIST STAN TCU edge edge – QB 41/2 41/2 RB – – WR – 1/2 OL – – DL 41/2 – LB 1/2 – DB 4 – CCH – – SITE 44 – MTCH 4 – INT – 4 ST – 4 SKED – OVERALL TCU BY 3’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Wash St Cougars 9-3 9-3 Michigan St Spartans Cougars Logs vs. PAC 12 vs. BIG 10 Spartans Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 6-3 7-2 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 124 24 9/2 Montana St 31-0 W 15 46 73 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 106 9/2 Bowling Green 35-10 W 67 60 118 99 118 65 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 124 108 20 9/9 Boise St 47-44 W 18 50 73 66 62 113 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 115 119 9/9 Western Michigan 28-14 W 58 35 118 108 72 85 Wash St Michigan St 2-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 121 106 21 9/16 Oregon St 52-23 W 26 52 75 74 94 101 2-0 0-0 118 9/16 Bye 41 26 126 3-0 0-3 1-0 0-0 123 103 18 9/23 Nevada 45-7 W 28 57 81 102 103 75 #129 Rush Off #67 2-0 2-1 0-0 1-1 118 133 9/23 Notre Dame 18-38 L 41 16 127 7 22 70 4-0 4-0 1-0 2-0 125 134 16 5 9/29 USC 30-27 W 27 41 67 13 8 33 #2 Pass Off #77 2-1 3-1 0-0 0-1 117 124 9/30 Iowa 17-10 W 36 18 111 59 33 18 5-0 4-1 2-0 1-1 127 128 11 10/7 at Oregon 33-10 W 27 38 61 6 19 50 #32 Total Off #91 3-1 4-0 1-0 1-0 120 131 7 10/7 at Michigan 14-10 W 39 21 111 45 2 13 6-0 3-3 3-0 0-3 132 116 8 10/13 at California 3-37 L 31 31 52 111 52 96 #41 Score Off #106 4-1 3-2 2-0 0-2 124 118 21 10/14 at Minnesota 30-27 W 39 18 121 99 42 25 6-1 4-3 3-1 1-3 127 114 15 10/21 Colorado 28-0 W 36 27 70 47 71 47 #127 Sks Allowed #42 5-1 3-3 3-0 0-3 124 119 18 10/21 Indiana 17-9 W 40 15 112 92 44 26 7-1 5-2 4-1 3-1 129 122 15 10/28 at Arizona 37-58 L 36 19 66 9 57 101 #42 Rush Def #5 6-1 4-3 4-0 2-2 124 124 16 10/28 at Northwestern 31-39 L 48 16 124 58 27 97 7-2 6-2 4-2 5-1 124 127 25 18 11/4 Stanford 24-21 W 35 24 72 11 23 3 #9 Pass Def #31 6-2 7-1 4-1 4-1 123 143 24 7 11/4 Penn St 27-24 W 39 19 110 17 11 9 8-2 5-4 5-2 2-4 125 119 19 11/11 at Utah 33-25 W 37 22 72 42 31 12 #15 Total Def #9 7-2 7-2 5-1 5-1 128 139 13 11 11/11 at Ohio St 3-48 L 38 18 99 1 15 53 9-2 6-2 126 15 11/18 Bye 40 18 80 #47 Score Def #23 7-3 4-6 5-2 2-5 124 110 22 11/18 Maryland 17-7 W 51 19 100 91 76 66 9-2 9-2 6-2 6-2 126 132 14 15 11/25 at Washington 14-41 L 41 17 83 21 12 42 #13 Sks By #39 8-3 4-7 6-2 3-5 123 108 21 11/25 at Rutgers 40-7 W 52 18 92 110 76 40 9-3 6-3 124 21 12/2 Bye 50 22 82 #12 Ypg Diff #30 9-3 7-2 127 19 12/2 Bye 49 17 87 9-3 9-3 6-3 7-2 124 127 21 18 12/28 † Michigan St 43 21 81 47 17 87 -2 Total TO's +2 9-3 9-3 7-2 6-3 127 124 18 21 12/28 † Washington St 47 17 87 43 21 81

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Montana St 31-0 368 20 0 27 25-150 6.0 40-48 361 2 7 32-115 3.6 5-12 28 3 Bowling Green 35-10 253 16 -2 25 46-215 4.7 22-36 250 0 9 24-67 2.8 10-31 145 1 Boise St 47-44 54 6 1 25 27-22 0.8 49-67 433 5 19 44-164 3.7 19-28 237 4 Western Michigan 28-14 262 10 -1 21 49-296 6.0 13-21 161 2 11 36-116 3.2 12-27 79 4 Oregon St 52-23 137 6 2 27 16-60 3.8 42-58 431 3 21 33-155 4.7 24-37 199 3 Bye Nevada 45-7 409 18 1 31 34-55 1.6 38-50 505 4 13 24-46 1.9 14-30 105 5 Notre Dame 18-38 141 5 -3 26 32-151 4.7 32-53 345 2 21 40-182 4.6 14-20 173 1 USC 30-27 135 8 1 23 30-122 4.1 34-51 340 5 15 29-163 5.6 15-29 164 2 Iowa 17-10 69 8 2 19 40-88 2.2 18-28 212 2 11 25-19 0.8 17-32 212 3 at Oregon 33-10 92 7 1 20 25-87 3.5 24-42 282 4 13 45-132 2.9 15-27 145 4 at Michigan 14-10 -48 -4 5 13 40-158 4.0 11-22 94 0 17 39-102 2.6 16-35 198 4 at California 3-37 -28 -2 -7 16 26-23 0.9 32-48 314 9 18 32-106 3.3 21-38 259 2 at Minnesota 30-27 75 5 -1 19 50-245 4.9 9-18 120 0 14 27-74 2.7 16-32 216 3 Colorado 28-0 232 8 -1 21 35-194 5.5 20-43 212 2 13 40-80 2.0 13-34 94 3 Indiana 17-9 22 5 -1 19 44-89 2.0 16-30 185 3 14 35-94 2.7 22-34 158 2 at Arizona 37-58 68 19 -1 32 17-51 3.0 58-84 602 1 13 34-310 9.1 10-17 275 0 at Northwestern 31-39 108 0 -1 28 31-95 3.1 39-57 445 1 28 28-64 2.3 34-50 368 1 Stanford 24-21 232 16 0 25 29-93 3.2 34-48 337 3 9 27-93 3.4 9-20 105 2 Penn St 27-24 8 3 2 25 24-74 3.1 33-56 400 2 22 21-65 3.1 27-48 401 3 at Utah 33-25 -29 -7 5 20 17-27 1.6 40-69 311 1 27 36-62 1.7 21-40 305 7 at Ohio St 3-48 -329 -10 -1 15 34-64 1.9 18-36 131 6 25 42-335 8.0 15-23 189 0 Bye Maryland 17-7 87 7 0 19 51-271 5.3 2-14 20 0 12 31-83 2.7 13-25 121 4 at Washington 14-41 -76 -1 -4 19 14--24 -1.7 37-55 369 5 20 45-328 7.3 11-17 93 1 at Rutgers 40-7 319 22 3 27 58-209 3.6 21-31 222 2 5 12-14 1.2 6-19 98 2

Bye WashCougars St Bye

† Michigan St MichiganSpartansSt † Washington St LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM

Average 31-24 132.8 8.2 -0.2 24 25-72 2.9 67.6% 375 6.6% 16 35-146 4.2 53.8% 167 10.9% Average 23-20 80.6 5.6 0.2 21 42-163 3.9 58.2% 215 5.0% 16 30-101 3.4 53.7% 197 7.4% Conference 28-27 84.8 6.0 -0.4 23 23-70 3.0 64.5% 355 6.6% 17 36-159 4.5 53.7% 182 9.3% Conference 22-20 34.6 4.0 0.9 20 41-144 3.5 57.2% 203 5.5% 16 29-94 3.3 55.7% 218 7.4% Away 24-34 5.4 3.2 -1.2 21 20-33 1.7 64.1% 376 6.7% 18 38-188 4.9 56.1% 215 10.1% Home 23-16 120.3 7.7 -0.4 22 41-169 4.1 57.1% 225 4.6% 14 30-89 3.0 53.0% 184 8.3% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Montana St Luke Falk 33-39-311-3-0 Jamal Morrow 10-89-8.9-1 James Williams 13-163-12.5-2 Wash St Michigan St Bowling Green Brian Lewerke 22-33-250-3-0 Brian Lewerke 8-69-8.6-0 Darrell Stewart 6-85-14.2-0 Boise St Tyler Hilinski 25-33-240-3-1 James Williams 14-31-2.2-0 Renard Bell 7-107-15.3-0 Wash St QB/WR Western Michigan Brian Lewerke 13-21-161-1-1 LJ Scott 18-86-4.8-1 Felton Davis 4-69-17.3-0 Oregon St Luke Falk 37-49-396-6-0 James Williams 5-46-9.2-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 10-194-19.4-3 0.64 vs. Bye Nevada Luke Falk 36-47-478-5-0 Jamal Morrow 11-73-6.6-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 4-114-28.5-2 Michigan St DB's Notre Dame Brian Lewerke 31-51-340-2-1 LJ Scott 11-61-5.5-0 Hunter Rison 4-73-18.3-0 USC Luke Falk 34-51-340-2-1 Jamal Morrow 6-91-15.2-1 Renard Bell 3-101-33.7-0 Wash St RB's Iowa Brian Lewerke 18-28-212-2-0 Brian Lewerke 12-42-3.5-0 Felton Davis 9-114-12.7-2 at Oregon Luke Falk 24-42-282-3-0 Gerard Wicks 7-58-8.3-0 Kyle Sweet 7-86-12.3-0 vs. 1.31 at Michigan Brian Lewerke 11-22-94-1-0 Brian Lewerke 15-61-4.1-1 Darrell Stewart 3-42-14.0-0 at California Luke Falk 28-43-286-0-5 Jamal Morrow 8-51-6.4-0 Isaiah Johnson-Mack 6-59-9.8-0 Michigan St LB's at Minnesota Brian Lewerke 9-18-120-0-1 LJ Scott 25-194-7.8-2 Felton Davis 2-35-17.5-0 Colorado Luke Falk 17-34-197-3-0 Jamal Morrow 11-73-6.6-1 Tay Martin 4-78-19.5-1 Wash St OL Indiana Brian Lewerke 16-29-185-1-0 LJ Scott 22-87-4.0-1 Cody White 6-99-16.5-0 at Arizona Tyler Hilinski 45-61-509-2-4 James Williams 6-28-4.7-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 11-136-12.4-0 vs. 1.63 at Northwestern Brian Lewerke 39-57-445-4-1 Brian Lewerke 9-30-3.3-0 Cody White 9-165-18.3-2 Stanford Luke Falk 34-48-337-3-1 Jamal Morrow 16-66-4.1-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 7-67-9.6-1 Michigan St DL Penn St Brian Lewerke 33-56-400-2-1 LJ Scott 14-43-3.1-1 Felton Davis 12-181-15.1-1 at Utah Luke Falk 40-69-311-3-2 Jamal Morrow 7-32-4.6-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 10-64-6.4-1 Wash St DL at Ohio St Brian Lewerke 18-36-131-0-2 LJ Scott 8-30-3.8-0 Cody White 5-42-8.4-0 Bye vs. 0.22 Maryland Brian Lewerke 2-14-20-0-0 LJ Scott 29-147-5.1-1 Matt Sokol 1-12-12.0-0 at Washington Luke Falk 37-55-369-1-3 Jamal Morrow 5-11-2.2-1 Jamal Morrow 10-76-7.6-0 Michigan St OL at Rutgers Brian Lewerke 21-31-222-1-0 Gerald Holmes 10-59-5.9-1 Felton Davis 6-72-12.0-0 Bye Wash St LB'S Bye † Michigan St 0.99 vs. † Washington St Michigan St RB's Luke Falk 357-534-3593-30-13 Jamal Morrow 86-522-6.1-4 Tavares Martin Jr. 70-831-11.9-9 Wash St DB's Brian Lewerke 233-396-2580-17-7 LJ Scott 182-785-4.3-6 Felton Davis 51-658-12.9-8 Wash St Leaders Tyler Hilinski 91-129-904-5-6 James Williams 89-381-4.3-1 Isaiah Johnson-Mack 60-555-9.3-5 0.45 vs. Michigan St Leaders Trishton Jackson 1-1-5-0-0 Brian Lewerke 110-489-4.4-5 Darrell Stewart 48-486-10.1-2 Gerard Wicks 32-156-4.9-1 Renard Bell 36-525-14.6-3 Michigan St QB/WR Connor Heyward 0-1-0.1-0-0 Madre London 79-287-3.6-3 Cody White 32-449-14.0-2 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Wash St ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None vs. 0.65 Las Vegas Line Michigan St ST's Wash St By 1.5 This is the 2nd straight yr that Wazzu is in this bowl. LY vs a depleted MN D but Projected Rushing Wash St K managed just 12 pts & 303 ttl yds. TY the Cougars are depleted as they are Las Vegas Total -21 yards Wash St Michigan St 145 yards 0.75 vs. 46 Points without their top 2 WR’s who are off the tm & star DL Mata’afa must sit the 1H. Projected Passing Michigan St K HC Leach is 7-5 in bowls, but just 4-8 ATS. MSU has my #23 rated pass eff D +/- Ratings 368 yards Wash St Michigan St 173 yards Wash St Coaches Michigan St By 3.5 to battle Wazzu’s talented QB Falk. Wazzu won their home games by 20 ppg & Projected Yardage Total vs. 0.75 were +224 ypg in those. They were just 2-3 away from home & outscored by Game Grade 347 yards Wash St Michigan St 319 yards Michigan St Coaches Wash St By 2.0 10 ppg. The Cougars D, led by DC Grinch is underrated, holding foes to 96 ypg Projected Final Score Wash St Pts Computer Yards below their ssn avg and I rate as the #20 D. The Spartans took on the tougher 19 points Wash St Michigan St 21 points 2.84 vs. 4.56 Wash St 347-319 sked & have my #11 rated D. HC Dantonio is 5-5 in bowls, but won his L/4 non Experience Rankings Michigan St Pts Computer Points playoff bowl games outright all as a dog. I’ll call for Sparty to pull off the minor 15 Wash St Michigan St 129 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Michigan St 21-19 outright upset. Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Michigan St Phil Steele 44 Wash St Michigan St 11 Michigan St by 3 By 1.73 Points Michigan St 23 Washington St 20 WASHINGTON ST (9-3) HOLIDAYThursday, December 28, 2017BOWL • 9:00 pm MICHIGAN ST (9-3) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 5-7 ESPN • SDCCU Stadium • San Diego, CA ATS: 7-5 O/U: 5-7 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WSU MSU -19 rush yd 157 380 pass yd 169 20 pts 23 -2 ytd to +2 #34 sked #17 CHECKLIST WSU MSU edge edge 41/2 QB – – RB – 1/2 WR – – OL 1/2 – DL 1/2 – LB 4 4 DB – – CCH 1/2 – SITE 1/2 – MTCH – – INT – – ST – – SKED 4 OVERALL MICHIGAN ST BY 1 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Texas A&M Aggies 7-5 7-5 Wake Forest Demon Deacons Aggies Logs vs. SEC vs. ACC Demon Deacons Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 4-4 4-4 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 118 9/3 at UCLA 44-45 L 31 21 6 17 25 85 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 119 8/31 Presbytrian 51-7 W 96 50 30 0-1 0-0 120 9/9 Nicholls 24-14 W 36 17 6 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 116 9/9 at Boston College 34-10 W 81 59 30 75 30 67 Texas A&M Wake Forest 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 100 9/16 Louisiana 45-21 W 35 17 11 78 111 44 2-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 124 105 9/16 Utah St 46-10 W 86 61 36 111 116 55 2-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 117 117 9/23 † Arkansas 50-43 W 36 15 3 34 39 122 #74 Rush Off #46 3-0 2-1 1-0 1-0 126 109 9/23 at Appalachian St 20-19 W 69 46 21 68 79 60 3-1 3-1 1-0 1-1 120 117 9/30 South Carolina 24-17 W 30 17 4 53 26 113 #65 Pass Off #35 4-0 0-2 1-0 0-1 124 131 9/30 Florida St 19-26 L 65 45 25 58 9 43 4-1 5-0 2-0 2-0 120 149 1 10/7 Alabama 12-27 L 22 17 4 1 1 11 #76 Total Off #29 4-1 5-0 1-1 3-0 124 142 2 10/7 at Clemson 14-28 L 64 46 34 11 3 107 4-2 3-2 2-1 3-1 123 124 10/14 at Florida 19-17 W 30 19 5 41 30 19 #43 Score Off #32 4-2 1-2 125 10/14 Bye 69 45 64 5-2 3-1 125 10/21 Bye 33 21 3 #80 Sks Allowed #26 4-2 3-2 1-2 2-1 125 129 10/21 at Georgia Tech 24-38 L 71 43 69 34 36 119 5-2 5-2 3-1 2-2 125 125 10/28 Miss St 14-35 L 34 23 2 21 30 21 #64 Rush Def #93 4-3 5-3 1-3 2-3 124 123 10/28 Louisville 42-32 W 71 54 63 6 45 70 5-3 6-2 3-2 4-1 120 133 16 11/4 Auburn 27-42 L 40 23 3 12 8 50 #68 Pass Def #104 5-3 7-1 2-3 5-1 125 141 5 11/4 at Notre Dame 37-48 L 63 49 69 5 15 116 5-4 3-6 3-3 1-5 119 101 11/11 New Mexico 55-14 W 44 27 4 94 98 42 #60 Total Def #107 5-4 4-5 2-3 2-3 126 121 11/11 at Syracuse 64-43 W 46 65 84 57 73 15 6-4 5-5 3-3 2-4 121 116 11/18 at Mississippi 31-24 W 39 24 4 15 77 33 #82 Score Def #62 6-4 7-3 3-3 5-1 129 129 25 11/18 NC State 30-24 W 33 66 73 30 32 90 7-4 8-3 4-3 5-2 122 130 19 11/25 at LSU 21-45 L 36 24 3 31 6 81 #6 Sks By #55 7-4 5-6 4-3 2-5 129 121 11/25 Duke 23-31 L 35 63 73 74 38 108 7-5 4-4 120 12/2 Bye 41 29 4 #74 Ypg Diff #72 7-5 4-4 125 12/2 Bye 37 62 55 7-5 7-5 4-4 4-4 120 125 12/29 † Wake Forest 41 30 4 35 60 54 +4 Total TO's +7 7-5 7-5 4-4 4-4 125 120 12/29 † Texas A&M 35 60 54 41 30 4

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at UCLA 44-45 -83 -6 3 23 63-382 6.1 9-30 89 6 29 25-63 2.5 35-59 491 3 Presbytrian 51-7 239 16 0 28 45-248 5.5 20-27 239 1 12 45-207 4.6 2-9 41 3 Nicholls 24-14 55 14 2 27 47-195 4.1 24-36 198 4 13 31-74 2.4 13-25 264 2 at Boston College 34-10 4 -4 4 15 52-158 3.0 13-19 151 3 19 41-142 3.5 18-41 163 1 Louisiana 45-21 171 10 3 27 40-179 4.5 21-34 301 1 17 29-93 3.2 28-44 216 2 Utah St 46-10 321 15 1 26 59-291 4.9 16-27 297 1 11 31-42 1.4 15-37 225 2 † Arkansas 50-43 44 -1 0 20 42-285 6.8 14-27 216 1 21 45-226 5.0 13-27 231 6 at Appalachian St 20-19 -150 -9 0 18 40-168 4.2 14-27 176 1 27 35-122 3.5 26-52 372 0 South Carolina 24-17 117 6 0 20 49-237 4.8 19-27 159 1 14 26-23 0.9 17-30 256 7 Florida St 19-26 97 2 -1 17 34-96 2.8 24-35 271 2 15 43-149 3.5 11-21 121 5 Alabama 19-27 -47 0 -2 16 40-71 1.8 19-29 237 4 16 44-232 5.3 13-22 123 3 at Clemson 14-28 -117 -9 2 16 35-133 3.8 14-30 203 3 25 48-190 4.0 29-41 263 1 at Florida 19-17 -108 -7 1 10 38-83 2.2 8-24 180 2 17 42-242 5.8 17-26 129 5 Bye Bye at Georgia Tech 24-38 -133 -9 -1 20 31-110 3.5 17-30 252 1 29 66-427 6.5 5-11 68 3 Miss St 14-35 -84 -4 -2 15 28-96 3.4 16-41 189 3 19 52-228 4.4 12-21 141 2 Louisville 42-32 102 -4 0 26 39-164 4.2 28-34 461 1 30 42-191 4.5 28-46 332 7 Auburn 27-42 -153 -10 0 13 34-143 4.2 16-33 200 1 23 52-228 4.4 20-27 268 2 at Notre Dame 37-48 -123 4 -1 34 40-239 6.0 30-48 348 1 30 46-380 8.3 23-38 330 1 New Mexico 55-14 418 14 1 25 23-63 2.7 30-43 499 1 11 42-120 2.9 7-17 24 1 at Syracuse 64-43 113 0 1 33 51-371 7.3 25-38 363 1 33 32-178 5.6 38-67 443 2 at Mississippi 31-24 0 -1 1 18 44-119 2.7 19-32 272 1 19 39-202 5.2 19-34 189 3 NC State 30-24 -168 -10 2 18 28-87 3.1 19-28 247 0 28 42-175 4.2 34-52 327 1 at LSU 21-45 -319 -13 -3 14 27-55 2.0 16-30 227 2 27 56-250 4.5 20-31 351 4 Duke 23-31 -107 -8 0 14 35-145 4.1 16-34 191 2 22 45-97 2.2 25-44 346 0 Bye Bye Texas A&M Texas Aggies † Wake Forest † Texas A&M LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM

Average 31-29 0.9 0.2 0.3 19 40-159 4.0 54.7% 231 7.0% 19 40-165 4.1 59.0% 224 11.0% Average 34-26 6.5 -1.3 0.6 22 41-184 4.5 62.6% 267 4.5% 23 43-192 4.5 55.3% 253 5.7% WakeDemonDeaconsForest Conference 26-31 -68.8 -3.8 -0.6 16 38-136 3.6 52.3% 210 6.2% 20 45-204 4.6 60.1% 211 14.7% Conference 31-29 -26.1 -5.3 0.9 20 38-158 4.1 62.9% 267 5.2% 25 45-194 4.3 58.2% 258 6.2% Away 33-35 -93.2 -5.6 0.4 17 43-185 4.3 46.2% 197 8.4% 23 41-197 4.7 58.8% 278 11.9% Home 35-22 80.7 1.8 0.3 22 40-172 4.3 66.5% 284 3.8% 20 41-144 3.5 55.0% 232 8.6% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving at UCLA Nick Starkel 6-13-62-0-0 Trayveon Williams 22-203-9.2-2 Christian Kirk 5-60-12.0-0 Texas A&M Wake Forest Presbytrian Kendall Hinton 7-8-124-2-0 Arkeem Byrd 7-75-10.7-0 Greg Dortch 4-55-13.8-2 Nicholls Kellen Mond 12-21-105-1-0 Kendall Bussey 15-97-6.5-1 Christian Kirk 6-47-7.8-1 Texas A&M QB/WR at Boston College John Wolford 13-19-151-1-0 John Wolford 20-92-4.6-1 Greg Dortch 6-56-9.3-1 Louisiana Kellen Mond 21-34-301-3-1 Jacob Kibodi 4-101-25.3-1 Damion Ratley 2-86-43.0-0 1.13 vs. Utah St John Wolford 12-22-242-2-0 Arkeem Byrd 19-120-6.3-1 Tabari Hines 5-129-25.8-0 † Arkansas Kellen Mond 14-27-216-2-1 Kellen Mond 10-109-10.9-0 Christian Kirk 5-110-22.0-2 Wake Forest DB's at Appalachian St John Wolford 14-27-176-2-0 John Wolford 13-77-5.9-0 Scotty Washington 4-79-19.8-0 South Carolina Kellen Mond 19-27-159-0-0 Kellen Mond 16-95-5.9-0 Jhamon Ausbon 3-43-14.3-0 Texas A&M RB's Florida St John Wolford 24-34-271-0-1 John Wolford 19-63-3.3-1 Greg Dortch 10-110-11.0-0 Alabama Kellen Mond 19-29-237-1-1 Trayveon Williams 15-38-2.5-0 Trayveon Williams 4-60-15.0-0 0.37 vs. at Clemson Kendall Hinton 14-30-203-2-0 Kendall Hinton 24-92-3.8-0 Greg Dortch 5-78-15.6-0 at Florida Kellen Mond 8-24-180-0-1 Kellen Mond 15-52-3.5-1 Damion Ratley 2-72-36.0-0 Wake Forest LB's Bye Bye Texas A&M OL at Georgia Tech John Wolford 17-30-252-2-1 Cade Carney 19-92-4.8-0 Greg Dortch 8-125-15.6-0 Miss St Nick Starkel 8-15-133-1-1 Trayveon Williams 10-32-3.2-0 Camron Buckley 2-88-44.0-1 0.56 vs. Louisville John Wolford 28-34-461-5-0 Matt Colburn II 24-134-5.6-0 Greg Dortch 10-167-16.7-4 Auburn Nick Starkel 11-22-184-2-0 Trayveon Williams 15-103-6.9-0 Damion Ratley 4-82-20.5-2 Wake Forest DL at Notre Dame John Wolford 28-45-331-2-1 Matt Colburn II 20-120-6.0-1 Alex Bachman 8-116-14.5-1 New Mexico Nick Starkel 21-30-416-4-0 Trayveon Williams 7-28-4.0-1 Roshauud Paul 7-129-18.4-0 Texas A&M DL at Syracuse John Wolford 25-38-363-3-0 Matt Colburn II 31-237-7.6-2 Tabari Hines 9-124-13.8-0 at Mississippi Nick Starkel 19-32-272-1-1 Trayveon Williams 26-75-2.9-0 Damion Ratley 5-111-22.2-1 0.50 vs. NC State John Wolford 19-28-247-3-1 Matt Colburn II 12-38-3.2-1 Tabari Hines 8-139-17.4-3 at LSU Nick Starkel 16-30-227-2-3 Trayveon Williams 17-55-3.2-1 Christian Kirk 7-78-11.1-1 Wake Forest OL Duke John Wolford 16-33-191-2-2 John Wolford 12-48-4.0-0 Alex Bachman 3-90-30.0-1 Bye Texas A&M LB'S Bye † Wake Forest 1.32 vs. † Texas A&M Wake Forest RB's Kellen Mond 117-227-1375-8-6 Trayveon Williams 166-733-4.4-7 Christian Kirk 58-730-12.6-7 Texas A&M DB's John Wolford 207-325-2792-25-6 Matt Colburn II 145-754-5.2-6 Greg Dortch 53-722-13.6-9 Texas A&M Leaders Nick Starkel 81-142-1294-10-5 Keith Ford 122-493-4.0-11 Damion Ratley 26-603-23.2-6 vs. 1.32 Wake Forest Leaders Kendall Hinton 27-47-399-4-0 John Wolford 125-615-4.9-10 Tabari Hines 45-625-13.9-5 Jake Hubenak 13-17-98-0-0 Kellen Mond 89-340-3.8-3 Jhamon Ausbon 38-459-12.1-2 Wake Forest QB/WR Jamie Newman 2-4-8-0-1 Arkeem Byrd 74-378-5.1-1 Scotty Washington 36-573-15.9-2 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Texas A&M ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None 2.32 vs. Las Vegas Line Wake Forest ST's Wake Forest By 3 WF had an ugly start on OFF under HC Clawson took over as the horrible OL Projected Rushing Texas A&M K Las Vegas Total avg just 216 ypg in ’14 & in ’15 he went to 4 frosh starters on the OL & had 129 yards Texas A&M Wake Forest 182 yards 0.01 vs. 64.5 Points just 330 & 311 ypg the L2Y. The unit has now become a strength, going from Projected Passing Wake Forest K +/- Ratings 3.6 ypc & 39 sacks in ‘16 to 4.5 ypc & 17 sacks. Not coincidentally, Wolford has 298 yards Texas A&M Wake Forest 294 yards Texas A&M Coaches Wake Forest By 6.5 become a better QB, having a negative ratio each of his F3Y & 25-6 TY. WF avg Projected Yardage Total vs. 1.75 Game Grade 451 ypg & 34 ppg. The Deacons D is allowing 444 ypg & 38 yards above what 427 yards Texas A&M Wake Forest 476 yards Wake Forest Coaches Wake Forest By 8.6 Projected Final Score Texas A&M Pts their foes come in avg & the L/4 weeks they allowed 569 ypg. A&M was just 1-5 Computer Yards 30 points Texas A&M Wake Forest 37 points 6.22 vs. 3.07 Wake Forest 476-427 vs bowl teams, while WF was 4-5 vs a tougher sked. A&M fired Sumlin. QB Experience Rankings Wake Forest Pts Starkel returned from inj & in his 5 starts, the Aggies avg 36 ppg. The D Computer Points 121 Texas A&M Wake Forest 32 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Wake Forest 37-30 allowed the L/5 P5 foes 37 ppg. I’ll call for WF to win by a td.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Texas A&M Phil Steele 55 Texas A&M Wake Forest 10 Wake Forest by 7 By 3.15 Points Wake Forest 37 Texas A&M 30 WAKE FOREST (7-5) BELK BOWL TEXAS A&M (7-5) ATS: 8-3-1 O/U: 6-6 Friday, December 29, 2017 • 1:00 pm ATS: 7-4-1 O/U: 6-6 ESPN • Bank of America • Charlotte, NC COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WF A&M 202 rush yd 113 286 pass yd 330 38 pts 31 +7 ytd to +4 #19 sked #45 CHECKLIST WF A&M edge edge 4 QB – – RB 4 – WR 1/2 1/2 OL – – DL 4 – LB 4 – DB – 44 CCH – 41/2 SITE – – MTCH – – INT – 41/2 ST 44 – SKED – OVERALL WAKE FOREST BY 1 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: NC State Wolfpack 8-4 7-5 Arizona St Sun Devils Wolfpack Logs vs. ACC vs. PAC 12 Sun Devils Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 6-2 6-3 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 113 9/2 † South Carolina 28-35 L 26 20 36 22 32 126 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 102 8/31 New Mexico St 37-31 W 33 48 90 60 94 110 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 122 104 9/9 Marshall 37-20 W 29 19 36 93 43 55 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 112 116 9/9 San Diego St 20-30 L 47 48 90 79 49 10 NC State Arizona St 1-1 0-0 122 9/16 Furman 49-16 W 34 20 103 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 111 125 9/16 at Texas Tech 45-52 L 61 57 121 31 66 129 2-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 121 136 12 9/23 at Florida St 27-21 W 30 30 76 59 5 110 #51 Rush Off #50 1-2 3-0 0-0 0-0 113 130 24 9/23 Oregon 37-35 W 60 61 106 3 32 59 3-1 2-2 1-0 0-0 126 114 9/30 Syracuse 33-25 W 32 27 103 63 68 27 #29 Pass Off #49 2-2 2-2 1-0 1-1 117 128 9/30 at Stanford 24-34 L 55 64 106 8 30 9 4-1 4-1 2-0 1-1 125 124 24 17 10/5 Louisville 39-25 W 29 26 69 9 27 33 #30 Total Off #40 2-3 1-1 118 10/7 Bye 55 66 86 5-1 2-4 3-0 0-2 127 117 20 10/14 at Pittsburgh 35-17 W 28 26 110 78 73 13 #45 Score Off #40 2-3 6-0 1-1 3-0 118 141 5 10/14 Washington 13-7 W 51 69 117 19 11 45 6-1 4-0 129 16 10/21 Bye 26 24 94 #7 Sks Allowed #122 3-3 4-2 2-1 1-2 123 125 10/21 at Utah 30-10 W 58 56 107 43 29 12 6-1 6-1 4-0 4-1 129 140 14 9 10/28 at Notre Dame 14-35 L 26 25 98 5 17 91 #29 Rush Def #82 4-3 6-2 3-1 4-1 128 126 21 10/28 USC 17-48 L 57 44 83 17 14 43 6-2 7-1 4-0 5-1 128 137 20 6 11/4 Clemson 31-38 L 32 30 87 14 2 112 #97 Pass Def #118 4-4 5-4 3-2 2-4 123 117 11/4 Colorado 41-30 W 62 53 77 51 64 26 6-3 5-4 4-1 3-3 128 126 11/11 at Boston College 17-14 W 29 33 101 68 26 85 #52 Total Def #109 5-4 4-5 4-2 2-4 123 116 11/11 at UCLA 37-44 L 48 47 82 22 63 78 7-3 6-4 5-1 3-3 129 129 25 11/18 at Wake Forest 24-30 L 30 32 90 33 66 73 #49 Score Def #88 5-5 1-9 4-3 0-7 120 108 11/18 at Oregon St 40-24 W 38 47 71 88 99 88 7-4 3-8 5-2 1-6 129 118 11/25 North Carolina 33-21 W 32 30 90 64 53 23 #48 Sks By #17 6-5 7-4 5-3 5-3 121 121 11/25 Arizona 42-30 W 34 41 60 6 77 82 8-4 6-2 129 12/2 Bye 29 28 101 #34 Ypg Diff #84 7-5 6-3 122 12/2 Bye 32 42 36 8-4 7-5 6-2 6-3 129 122 12/29 † Arizona St 26 28 102 27 45 33 +5 Total TO's +5 7-5 8-4 6-3 6-2 122 129 12/29 † NC State 27 45 33 26 28 102

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks † South Carolina 28-35 258 17 -1 29 35-89 2.5 45-64 415 4 12 21-31 1.5 17-29 215 3 New Mexico St 37-31 -149 -8 2 19 40-79 2.0 24-30 321 7 27 30-151 5.0 40-58 398 6 Marshall 37-20 34 5 2 23 33-144 4.4 29-36 341 2 18 25-101 4.0 26-43 350 1 San Diego St 20-30 -10 1 -1 15 31-44 1.4 20-33 298 5 14 43-279 6.5 9-18 73 4 Furman 49-16 161 9 3 25 39-242 6.2 24-30 248 1 16 47-133 2.8 11-19 196 2 at Texas Tech 45-52 -121 -6 0 27 44-168 3.8 27-41 326 3 33 29-72 2.5 37-50 543 3 at Florida St 27-21 -17 6 1 21 37-110 3.0 23-33 255 1 15 26-104 4.0 22-39 278 4 Oregon 37-35 88 3 0 23 53-142 2.7 24-39 347 4 20 30-120 4.0 19-35 281 2 Syracuse 33-25 18 9 1 29 47-256 5.4 21-34 206 0 20 30-59 2.0 30-48 385 3 at Stanford 24-34 -95 5 -1 22 46-214 4.7 16-25 195 3 17 33-331 10.0 15-24 173 0 Louisville 39-25 50 -2 0 23 39-153 3.9 20-32 367 0 25 29-116 4.0 26-48 354 4 Bye at Pittsburgh 35-17 120 -2 2 18 38-248 6.5 14-25 198 0 20 32-95 3.0 24-45 231 1 Washington 13-7 55 3 0 17 32-40 1.3 29-41 245 2 14 31-91 2.9 17-30 139 5 Bye at Utah 30-10 80 3 3 21 46-205 4.5 19-29 140 1 18 25-110 4.4 19-35 155 2 at Notre Dame 14-35 -159 -11 -1 14 24-50 2.1 17-37 213 1 25 54-318 5.9 10-19 104 2 USC 17-48 -250 -14 0 15 30-79 2.6 18-31 278 6 29 46-341 7.4 19-35 266 3 Clemson 31-38 76 8 -1 27 34-153 4.5 31-50 338 1 19 35-224 6.4 20-38 191 0 Colorado 41-30 129 4 1 27 54-381 7.1 18-34 202 0 23 39-109 2.8 23-41 345 5 at Boston College 17-14 20 -3 0 17 40-217 5.4 14-33 150 1 20 54-236 4.4 10-22 111 5 at UCLA 37-44 11 4 0 29 61-294 4.8 21-37 290 2 25 33-192 5.8 25-45 381 0 at Wake Forest 24-30 168 10 -2 28 42-175 4.2 34-52 327 1 18 28-87 3.1 19-28 247 0 at Oregon St 40-24 78 1 2 24 49-286 5.8 12-19 167 1 23 33-106 3.2 26-37 269 2 North Carolina 33-21 136 3 1 25 45-292 6.5 20-30 204 0 22 24-83 3.5 21-45 277 2 Arizona 42-30 -49 -6 -1 18 49-227 4.6 11-17 163 4 24 51-245 4.8 15-21 194 3 Bye Bye NC State Wolfpack State NC

† Arizona St SunSt Arizona Devils † NC State LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM

Average 31-25 72.1 4.1 0.4 23 38-177 4.7 64.0% 272 2.6% 19 34-132 3.9 55.8% 245 6.4% Average 32-31 -19.4 -0.8 0.4 21 45-180 4.0 63.6% 248 10.1% 22 35-179 5.1 61.5% 268 8.2% Conference 30-24 71.4 3.6 0.3 24 40-201 5.0 61.2% 256 1.4% 20 32-126 3.9 55.0% 259 6.1% Conference 31-29 5.2 0.3 0.4 22 47-208 4.4 61.8% 225 8.5% 21 36-183 5.1 58.7% 245 7.3% Away 24-25 65.0 2.8 -0.2 21 36-148 4.1 60.2% 260 3.3% 18 36-145 4.1 56.0% 198 8.2% Home 30-30 -26.6 -2.4 0.1 19 41-142 3.4 64.0% 265 12.4% 22 39-191 4.9 59.7% 242 11.8% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving † South Carolina Ryan Finley 45-64-415-2-0 15-81-5.4-1 Kelvin Harmon 10-114-11.4-0 NC State Arizona St New Mexico St Manny Wilkins 22-27-300-2-0 Kalen Ballage 18-79-4.4-2 John Humphrey 7-123-17.6-1 Marshall Ryan Finley 29-36-341-3-0 Reggie Gallaspy 12-61-5.1-2 Kelvin Harmon 9-121-13.4-1 NC State QB/WR San Diego St Manny Wilkins 20-33-298-2-0 Kalen Ballage 15-44-2.9-1 Frank Darby 3-111-37.0-1 Furman Ryan Finley 22-27-231-1-0 Nyheim Hines 11-92-8.4-1 Jaylen Samuels 6-75-12.5-0 1.10 vs. at Texas Tech Manny Wilkins 27-41-326-3-0 Kalen Ballage 16-56-3.5-1 N'Keal Harry 13-148-11.4-1 at Florida St Ryan Finley 22-32-230-2-0 Nyheim Hines 24-94-3.9-0 Jakobi Meyers 5-112-22.4-1 Arizona St DB's Oregon Manny Wilkins 24-39-347-1-0 Demario Richard 21-64-3.0-1 N'Keal Harry 7-170-24.3-1 Syracuse Ryan Finley 20-33-186-1-0 Nyheim Hines 19-115-6.1-1 Stephen Louis 4-67-16.8-1 NC State RB's at Stanford Manny Wilkins 15-24-181-0-2 Demario Richard 22-80-3.6-2 Demario Richard 3-57-19.0-0 Louisville Ryan Finley 20-31-367-1-0 Nyheim Hines 18-102-5.7-2 Kelvin Harmon 6-133-22.2-1 0.30 vs. Bye at Pittsburgh Ryan Finley 14-25-198-1-0 Nyheim Hines 16-135-8.4-1 Kelvin Harmon 3-113-37.7-0 Arizona St LB's Washington Manny Wilkins 29-41-245-0-0 Demario Richard 8-23-2.9-0 N'Keal Harry 9-79-8.8-0 Bye NC State OL at Utah Manny Wilkins 19-29-140-0-1 Demario Richard 18-93-5.2-1 N'Keal Harry 8-72-9.0-0 at Notre Dame Ryan Finley 17-37-213-1-1 Reggie Gallaspy 11-47-4.3-0 Kelvin Harmon 7-97-13.9-1 0.45 vs. USC Manny Wilkins 17-29-259-1-0 Demario Richard 15-70-4.7-0 Kyle Williams 7-121-17.3-1 Clemson Ryan Finley 31-50-338-3-2 Reggie Gallaspy 6-46-7.7-0 Kelvin Harmon 8-155-19.4-1 Arizona St DL Colorado Manny Wilkins 18-34-202-2-0 Demario Richard 25-189-7.6-1 N'Keal Harry 6-81-13.5-1 at Boston College Ryan Finley 13-32-146-0-1 Nyheim Hines 19-110-5.8-1 Kelvin Harmon 5-68-13.6-0 NC State DL at UCLA Manny Wilkins 21-37-290-1-1 Demario Richard 21-125-6.0-1 N'Keal Harry 6-95-15.8-1 at Wake Forest Ryan Finley 34-52-327-1-1 Jaylen Samuels 7-50-7.1-1 Kelvin Harmon 8-105-13.1-0 1.14 vs. at Oregon St Manny Wilkins 12-19-167-2-0 Demario Richard 17-119-7.0-3 N'Keal Harry 3-68-22.7-0 North Carolina Ryan Finley 20-30-204-0-1 Nyheim Hines 22-196-8.9-2 Jakobi Meyers 7-101-14.4-0 Arizona St OL Arizona Manny Wilkins 11-17-163-3-1 Demario Richard 22-165-7.5-2 Frank Darby 1-48-48.0-0 Bye NC State LB'S Bye † Arizona St vs. 0.31 † NC State Arizona St RB's Ryan Finley 287-449-3196-16-6 Nyheim Hines 181-1040-5.7-9 Kelvin Harmon 65-993-15.3-4 NC State DB's Manny Wilkins 235-370-2918-17-5 Demario Richard 185-977-5.3-12 N'Keal Harry 73-1000-13.7-7 NC State Leaders Jaylen Samuels 1-2-25-0-0 Reggie Gallaspy 105-436-4.2-5 Jakobi Meyers 56-651-11.6-4 vs. 1.30 Arizona St Leaders Blake Barnett 3-5-40-0-1 Kalen Ballage 153-657-4.3-6 Kyle Williams 59-678-11.5-6 Gavin Locklear 1-1-20-0-0 Jaylen Samuels 72-387-5.4-11 Jaylen Samuels 68-547-8.0-4 Arizona St QB/WR N'Keal Harry 1-1-14-1-0 Manny Wilkins 130-269-2.1-6 Jalen Harvey 33-558-16.9-1 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) NC State ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None vs. 0.35 Las Vegas Line Arizona St ST's NC State By 6.5 The P12 his historically good in this bowl, winning 5 of the L/6 & usually has the Projected Rushing NC State K Las Vegas Total crowd edge. NCSt has one of the nation’s best DL, led by Nagurski winner B. 188 yards NC State Arizona St 121 yards vs. 1.63 59.5 Points Chubb. The OFF’s are close, but the Wolfpack has my #23 D & the Sun Devils Projected Passing Arizona St K +/- Ratings check in at #55. ASt has a large edge on ST’s. ASt faced 11 bowl teams & went 281 yards NC State Arizona St 261 yards NC State Coaches NC State By 6.0 5-2-1 ATS as a ‘dog, including 4 outright upsets. I was very high on the Projected Yardage Total vs. Game Grade Wolfpack TY & they didn’t disappoint, outgaining both Clemson & SC in losses & 470 yards NC State Arizona St 382 yards Arizona St Coaches NC State By 7.4 Projected Final Score NC State Pts getting stopped at the WF GL down 7 at the end. The Wolfpack were just 1-7 Computer Yards 32 points NC State Arizona St 26 points 2.99 vs. 3.59 NC State 470-382 ATS as a favorite. The talent gap isn’t big and ASt will be playing 1 final game Experience Rankings Arizona St Pts for HC Graham, who in his 6th yr brought in all these recruits & I’ll call for the Computer Points 7 NC State Arizona St 54 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: NC State 32-27 outright upset, making this a ‘Best Bet’ selection.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Arizona St Phil Steele 16 NC State Arizona St 28 Arizona St by 1 By 0.60 Points Best Bet: ★ Arizona St 28 (+) NC State 27 NC STATE (8-4) Friday,SUN December BOWL 29, 2017 • 2:00 pm ARIZONA ST (7-5) ATS: 4-8 O/U: 4-8 CBS • Sun Bowl Stadium • El Paso, TX ATS: 7-4-1 O/U: 5-7 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS NCST ASU 200 rush yd 131 272 pass yd 223 32 pts 24 +5 ytd to +5 #23 sked #25 CHECKLIST NCST ASU edge edge – QB – – RB 4 – WR 1/2 4 OL – 41/2 DL – – LB – 1/2 DB – – CCH – – SITE 4 4 MTCH – – INT 444 – ST 44 – SKED – OVERALL ARIZONA ST BY 3’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Northwestern Wildcats 9-3 7-5 Kentucky Wildcats Wildcats Logs vs. BIG 10 vs. SEC Wildcats Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 7-2 4-4 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 124 108 9/2 Nevada 31-20 W 24 26 115 90 108 109 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 121 104 9/2 at Southern Miss 24-17 W 51 35 31 82 93 66 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 123 123 9/9 at Duke 17-41 L 26 28 115 51 51 110 1-0 0-0 119 9/9 Eastern Kentucky 27-16 W 64 27 31 Northwestern Kentucky 1-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 119 100 9/16 Bowling Green 49-7 W 39 31 74 105 121 43 2-0 2-0 0-0 1-0 116 123 7 9/16 at South Carolina 23-13 W 67 32 25 37 23 65 2-1 0-0 123 9/23 Bye 35 35 82 #71 Rush Off #58 3-0 1-1 1-0 1-0 121 126 20 9/23 Florida 27-28 L 70 33 30 66 26 6 2-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 123 138 10 9/30 at Wisconsin 24-33 L 35 34 77 17 13 55 #51 Pass Off #100 3-1 2-1 1-1 0-1 121 107 9/30 Eastern Michigan 24-20 W 68 36 31 106 80 75 2-2 5-0 0-1 2-0 125 139 4 10/7 Penn St 7-31 L 47 34 85 15 9 12 #59 Total Off #103 4-1 1-3 1-1 0-2 119 104 10/7 Missouri 40-34 W 78 35 37 26 85 49 2-3 3-2 0-2 1-1 123 112 10/14 at Maryland 37-21 W 52 29 74 57 58 66 #53 Score Off #86 5-1 2-1 117 10/14 Bye 77 37 11 3-3 4-2 1-2 1-2 124 122 10/21 Iowa 17-10 W 46 31 60 79 37 20 #88 Sks Allowed #88 5-1 4-2 2-1 1-2 117 121 10/21 at Miss St 7-45 L 78 39 11 24 33 29 4-3 6-1 2-2 4-0 124 124 16 10/28 Michigan St 39-31 W 58 27 97 48 16 124 #9 Rush Def #59 5-2 3-4 2-2 0-4 113 116 10/28 Tennessee 29-26 W 86 47 19 82 46 8 5-3 4-4 3-2 3-2 125 115 11/4 at Nebraska 31-24 W 49 31 46 54 61 27 #100 Pass Def #113 6-2 3-5 3-2 1-4 113 112 11/4 Mississippi 34-37 L 80 51 19 18 78 51 6-3 4-5 4-2 2-4 125 117 11/11 Purdue 23-13 W 49 29 59 70 54 71 #38 Total Def #90 6-3 4-5 3-3 0-5 111 113 11/11 at Vanderbilt 44-21 W 71 57 25 90 50 119 7-3 5-5 5-2 2-5 125 118 11/18 Minnesota 39-0 W 45 30 48 111 58 44 #19 Score Def #81 7-3 9-1 4-3 6-1 116 134 7 11/18 at Georgia 13-42 L 64 50 18 9 14 13 8-3 2-9 6-2 0-8 129 104 23 11/25 at Illinois 42-7 W 44 25 39 123 81 67 #31 Sks By #39 7-4 7-4 4-4 4-4 115 127 11/25 Louisville 17-44 L 73 58 14 4 42 87 9-3 7-2 131 20 12/2 Bye 38 23 49 #44 Ypg Diff #107 7-5 4-4 112 12/2 Bye 69 67 19 9-3 7-5 7-2 4-4 131 112 20 12/29 † Kentucky 34 18 49 68 70 20 +5 Total TO's +5 7-5 9-3 4-4 7-2 112 131 12/29 † Northwestern 68 70 20 34 18 49

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Nevada 31-20 167 8 0 27 50-156 3.1 28-38 352 1 19 26-142 5.5 16-37 199 0 at Southern Miss 24-17 -110 -7 2 12 35-78 2.2 11-20 176 1 19 38-55 1.4 22-40 309 2 at Duke 17-41 -347 -19 -1 15 21-22 1.0 14-33 169 4 34 59-233 3.9 29-45 305 1 Eastern Kentucky 27-16 118 5 2 22 39-207 5.3 16-24 229 3 17 20-62 3.1 31-43 256 1 Bowling Green 49-7 326 9 -1 30 43-303 7.0 24-31 375 2 21 30-96 3.2 27-44 256 3 at South Carolina 23-13 -5 6 0 20 47-184 3.9 16-26 169 1 14 20-54 2.7 24-37 304 2 Bye Florida 27-28 -55 1 1 21 32-120 3.8 18-27 220 4 20 36-186 5.2 17-27 209 1 at Wisconsin 24-33 -62 7 1 20 34-25 0.7 29-45 219 8 13 37-109 2.9 11-20 197 2 Eastern Michigan 24-20 -84 -4 2 16 37-53 1.4 18-27 175 5 20 27-13 0.5 27-47 299 5 Penn St 7-31 -116 -8 -3 15 30-67 2.2 23-43 198 4 23 38-95 2.5 29-41 286 5 Missouri 40-34 -82 -2 1 22 39-188 4.8 22-37 298 1 24 33-213 6.5 22-43 355 1 at Maryland 37-21 191 11 -2 30 44-238 5.4 27-49 293 1 19 31-85 2.7 17-38 255 2 Bye Iowa 17-10 27 7 1 21 46-147 3.2 21-36 192 3 14 33-89 2.7 19-33 223 2 at Miss St 7-45 -181 -11 -2 14 29-115 4.0 14-30 145 3 25 48-282 5.9 19-27 159 0 Michigan St 39-31 -108 0 1 28 28-64 2.3 34-50 368 1 28 31-95 3.1 39-57 445 1 Tennessee 29-26 -74 -10 -4 17 36-289 8.0 7-16 82 0 27 55-203 3.7 18-23 242 7 at Nebraska 31-24 138 5 1 26 45-232 5.2 19-35 243 0 21 31-112 3.6 21-38 225 1 Mississippi 34-37 -18 -2 0 23 45-219 4.9 20-25 236 4 25 26-91 3.5 31-41 382 3 Purdue 23-13 -48 0 1 22 38-94 2.5 26-46 296 1 22 22-40 1.8 38-61 398 3 at Vanderbilt 44-21 59 0 3 21 47-232 4.9 13-17 195 1 21 20-60 3.0 30-43 308 5 Minnesota 39-0 181 15 5 22 55-277 5.0 9-13 86 2 7 38-139 3.7 2-11 43 6 at Georgia 13-42 -242 -8 0 17 37-124 3.4 12-23 138 3 25 44-381 8.7 9-14 123 1 at Illinois 42-7 207 10 2 21 47-306 6.5 13-21 140 2 11 33-100 3.0 14-31 139 4 Louisville 17-44 -224 -12 0 20 43-228 5.3 8-19 110 3 32 43-346 8.0 15-21 216 0 Bye Bye KentuckyWildcats † Kentucky † Northwestern LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM NorthwesternWildcats

Average 30-20 46.3 3.8 0.4 23 40-161 4.0 60.7% 244 6.6% 19 34-111 3.3 57.5% 248 6.6% Average 26-29 -74.8 -3.7 0.4 19 39-170 4.4 60.1% 181 10.0% 22 34-162 4.7 65.3% 264 6.9% Conference 29-19 45.6 5.2 0.8 23 41-161 4.0 59.5% 226 6.5% 18 33-96 2.9 57.6% 246 7.9% Conference 27-31 -74.8 -3.3 -0.1 19 39-184 4.7 60.7% 185 8.5% 23 35-184 5.2 66.7% 260 7.8% Away 30-25 25.4 2.8 0.2 22 38-165 4.3 55.7% 213 8.2% 20 38-128 3.3 53.5% 224 5.8% Home 28-29 -59.9 -3.4 0.3 20 39-186 4.8 62.3% 193 11.4% 24 34-159 4.6 65.7% 280 7.3% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Nevada Clayton Thorson 28-38-352-2-1 Justin Jackson 30-109-3.6-0 Bennett Skowronek 8-123-15.4-0 Northwestern Kentucky at Southern Miss Stephen Johnson 11-20-176-1-0 Benny Snell 20-67-3.4-0 C.J Conrad 3-97-32.3-1 at Duke Clayton Thorson 11-29-120-0-2 Justin Jackson 7-18-2.6-1 Riley Lees 2-31-15.5-1 Northwestern QB/WR Eastern Kentucky Stephen Johnson 15-22-224-1-0 Benny Snell 19-103-5.4-1 Blake Bone 3-93-31.0-0 Bowling Green Clayton Thorson 23-30-370-2-0 Justin Jackson 18-121-6.7-3 Garrett Dickerson 9-150-16.7-0 1.35 vs. at South Carolina Stephen Johnson 16-25-169-0-1 Benny Snell 32-102-3.2-2 Garrett Johnson 4-41-10.3-0 Bye Kentucky DB's Florida Stephen Johnson 17-25-196-3-0 Sihiem King 5-64-12.8-0 Garrett Johnson 4-56-14.0-1 at Wisconsin Clayton Thorson 29-45-219-3-2 Jeremy Larkin 7-37-5.3-0 Flynn Nagel 5-52-10.4-0 Northwestern RB's Eastern Michigan Stephen Johnson 18-27-175-2-0 Benny Snell 21-75-3.6-1 Garrett Johnson 8-61-7.6-0 Penn St Clayton Thorson 19-36-142-0-2 Justin Jackson 16-66-4.1-0 Macan Wilson 4-39-9.8-0 0.74 vs. Missouri Stephen Johnson 22-36-298-2-1 Benny Snell 20-117-5.9-2 Garrett Johnson 7-111-15.9-1 at Maryland Clayton Thorson 27-49-293-1-2 Justin Jackson 28-171-6.1-2 Macan Wilson 5-74-14.8-0 Kentucky LB's Bye Iowa Clayton Thorson 21-36-192-0-0 Justin Jackson 25-93-3.7-0 Macan Wilson 5-47-9.4-0 Northwestern OL at Miss St Stephen Johnson 13-28-117-0-2 Stephen Johnson 6-54-9.0-0 Lynn Bowden Jr. 3-38-12.7-0 Michigan St Clayton Thorson 33-48-356-2-0 Justin Jackson 17-41-2.4-1 Flynn Nagel 8-87-10.9-1 0.55 vs. Tennessee Stephen Johnson 6-15-46-0-0 Benny Snell 27-180-6.7-3 Tavin Richardson 3-52-17.3-0 at Nebraska Clayton Thorson 19-35-243-0-2 Justin Jackson 31-154-5.0-1 Macan Wilson 5-107-21.4-0 Kentucky DL Mississippi Stephen Johnson 19-24-204-1-0 Benny Snell 28-176-6.3-3 C.J Conrad 5-75-15.0-1 Purdue Clayton Thorson 26-46-296-1-0 Justin Jackson 25-46-1.8-0 Bennett Skowronek 7-117-16.7-1 Northwestern DL at Vanderbilt Stephen Johnson 13-17-195-0-0 Benny Snell 17-116-6.8-3 Lynn Bowden Jr. 3-79-26.3-0 Minnesota Clayton Thorson 9-13-86-3-0 Justin Jackson 31-166-5.4-0 Garrett Dickerson 2-26-13.0-2 1.21 vs. at Georgia Stephen Johnson 12-22-138-0-0 Benny Snell 22-94-4.3-1 Blake Bone 1-45-45.0-0 at Illinois Clayton Thorson 13-21-140-1-1 Justin Jackson 18-144-8.0-1 Bennett Skowronek 1-52-52.0-0 Kentucky OL Louisville Stephen Johnson 8-19-110-0-0 Benny Snell 29-211-7.3-2 Kayaune Ross 3-44-14.7-0 Bye Northwestern LB'S Bye † Kentucky 0.67 vs. † Northwestern Kentucky RB's Clayton Thorson 258-426-2809-15-12 Justin Jackson 255-1154-4.5-9 Bennett Skowronek 42-619-14.7-5 Northwestern DB's Stephen Johnson 170-280-2048-10-4 Benny Snell 256-1318-5.1-18 Garrett Johnson 46-500-10.9-2 Northwestern Leaders Matt Alviti 7-11-105-1-0 Jeremy Larkin 75-391-5.2-5 Flynn Nagel 46-474-10.3-2 0.40 vs. Kentucky Leaders Lynn Bowden Jr 3-4-92-0-1 Stephen Johnson 97-358-3.7-3 C.J Conrad 16-286-17.9-4 Justin Jackson 1-1-12-1-0 Corey Acker 4-88-22.0-1 Macan Wilson 32-446-13.9-1 Kentucky QB/WR Drew Barker 2-4-33-0-0 Sihiem King 72-334-4.6-2 Tavin Richardson 22-282-12.8-1 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Northwestern ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None vs. 0.22 Las Vegas Line Kentucky ST's Northwestern By 7.5 If KY holds the rush edge, they usually win. If they outrushed their opponent Projected Rushing Northwestern K they were 6-1. They lost 3 games by 38, 29 & 27, being outrushed by 181 ypg. Las Vegas Total 173 yards Northwestern Kentucky 124 yards vs. 0.80 51 Points 2 of those rush D’s were in the Top 25. Here they run into the #10 rush D in Projected Passing Kentucky K NW. NW has career rush leader in Jackson, and in the L/4 games rushed for +/- Ratings 253 yards Northwestern Kentucky 201 yards Northwestern Coaches Northwestern By 17.5 227 ypg & 4.9 ypc. I always think of HC Fitzgerald as great as a ‘dog & poor as Projected Yardage Total 1.15 vs. a favorite. He opened his career just 14-30-1 in the favorites role, but is Game Grade 427 yards Northwestern Kentucky 325 yards Kentucky Coaches Northwestern By 10.1 actually 13-7 ATS the L3Y as a favorite. KY is -75 ypg & NW is + 46 ypg. NW Projected Final Score Northwestern Pts Computer Yards will have the rush edge & come into this as the hottest team in , 30 points Northwestern Kentucky 16 points 6.08 vs. 1.02 Northwestern 427-325 winning their L/7 both SU & ATS. NW has edges at almost every position with Experience Rankings Kentucky Pts Computer Points KY’s only edge being the crowd with Lexington just 214 miles away. I’ll call for 17 Northwestern Kentucky 20 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Northwestern 30-16 NW to win by over 2 td’s. Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Northwestern Phil Steele 45 Northwestern Kentucky 56 Northwestern by 15 By 5.06 Points Northwestern 31 Kentucky 16 KENTUCKY (7-5) MUSICFriday, December CITY 29, 2017 • 4:30BOWL pm NORTHWESTERN(9-3) ATS: 3-9 O/U: 6-6 ESPN • • Nashville, TN ATS: 9-3 O/U: 6-6 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UK NW 129 rush yd 203 195 pass yd 218 16 pts 33 +5 ytd to +5 #52 sked #61 CHECKLIST UK NW edge edge – QB 1/2 – RB 1/2 – WR 4 – OL – – DL 44 – LB 41/2 – DB 44 – CCH 4 41/2 SITE – – MTCH 44 – INT – 4 ST – – SKED – OVERALL NORTHWESTERN BY 8 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Utah St Aggies 6-6 6-6 New Mexico St Aggies Aggies Logs vs. MTW vs. AAC Aggies Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 4-4 4-4 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 137 9 9/1 at Wisconsin 10-59 L 118 109 101 46 10 38 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 113 8/31 at Arizona St 31-37 L 60 94 110 33 48 90 0-1 0-0 103 9/7 Idaho St 51-13 W 119 120 101 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 105 9/9 at New Mexico 30-28 W 56 104 110 62 121 14 Utah St New Mexico St 1-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 105 124 9/16 at Wake Forest 10-46 L 111 116 55 86 61 36 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 105 103 9/16 Troy 24-27 L 47 99 120 80 55 102 1-2 1-3 0-0 0-0 103 92 9/23 at San Jose St 61-10 W 118 117 54 123 118 54 #56 Rush Off #125 1-2 0-3 0-1 0-1 103 87 9/23 UTEP 41-14 W 49 95 116 129 129 85 2-2 1-3 1-0 0-3 107 107 9/29 BYU 40-24 W 100 108 29 113 60 47 #71 Pass Off #4 2-2 1-2 0-1 0-1 104 114 9/30 at Arkansas 24-42 L 40 85 119 31 56 122 3-2 3-2 1-0 1-0 111 122 10/7 Colorado St 14-27 L 104 104 29 38 87 59 #70 Total Off #27 2-3 2-2 0-1 1-0 103 111 10/7 at Appalachian St 31-45 L 41 92 116 75 74 84 3-3 3-2 1-1 1-0 110 106 10/14 Wyoming 23-28 L 108 103 4 123 92 62 #44 Score Off #55 2-4 0-4 0-2 0-1 104 91 10/14 at GA Southern 35-27 W 40 94 124 127 116 99 3-4 2-4 1-2 1-2 107 100 10/21 at UNLV 52-28 W 112 94 4 55 128 110 #68 Sks Allowed #101 3-4 1-2 104 10/21 Bye 39 98 130 4-4 5-2 2-2 3-0 111 119 10/28 Boise St 14-41 L 101 94 3 94 51 7 #117 Rush Def #62 3-4 4-2 1-2 3-0 104 115 10/28 Arkansas St 21-37 L 40 96 130 39 75 16 4-5 3-5 2-3 1-4 107 104 11/4 at New Mexico 24-10 W 102 96 2 87 97 38 #17 Pass Def #78 3-5 2-6 1-3 1-3 103 88 11/4 at Texas St 45-35 W 55 93 129 123 106 127 5-5 3-3 109 11/11 Bye 108 96 2 #75 Total Def #67 4-5 2-3 103 11/11 Bye 50 95 130 5-5 3-7 3-3 1-6 109 91 11/18 Hawaii 38-0 W 108 98 3 81 126 126 #70 Score Def #87 4-5 4-5 2-3 3-2 103 98 11/18 at Louisiana 34-47 L 44 96 129 98 104 69 6-5 4-7 4-3 3-4 113 106 11/25 at Air Force 35-38 L 105 94 2 75 123 55 #68 Sks By #6 4-6 3-7 2-4 2-4 99 95 11/25 Idaho 17-10 W 48 98 123 111 110 118 6-6 4-4 111 12/2 Bye 94 94 2 #78 Ypg Diff #41 5-6 4-7 3-4 3-4 99 97 12/2 South Alabama 22-17 W 53 93 124 125 90 59 6-6 6-6 4-4 4-4 111 99 12/29 † New Mexico St 104 90 2 64 84 122 +4 Total TO's -1 6-6 4-4 99 12/9 Bye 64 84 122 6-6 4-4 111 12/29 † Utah St 104 90 2 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at Wisconsin 10-59 -174 -9 -2 16 27-85 3.1 25-41 219 1 25 45-234 5.2 15-23 244 3 at Arizona St 31-37 149 8 -2 27 30-151 5.0 40-58 398 6 19 40-79 2.0 24-30 321 7 Idaho St 51-13 293 15 0 30 49-255 5.2 27-32 341 2 15 38-113 3.0 17-31 190 2 at New Mexico 30-28 70 2 2 23 26-99 3.8 34-57 401 1 21 37-176 4.8 20-38 254 1 at Wake Forest 10-46 -321 -15 -1 11 31-42 1.4 15-37 225 2 26 59-291 4.9 16-27 297 1 Troy 24-27 -94 -8 0 18 17-51 3.0 32-45 331 0 26 38-190 5.0 25-41 286 1 at San Jose St 61-10 427 19 2 29 57-318 5.6 28-41 271 4 10 37-108 2.9 8-22 54 3 UTEP 41-14 235 6 3 21 29-179 6.2 26-43 283 0 15 36-135 3.8 10-34 92 3 BYU 40-24 -108 -6 6 14 44-112 2.5 16-30 176 4 20 46-210 4.6 12-29 186 0 at Arkansas 24-42 -139 -11 -1 18 14-11 0.8 23-38 344 2 29 51-230 4.5 19-26 264 0 Colorado St 14-27 -297 -15 0 14 29-63 2.2 18-34 149 7 29 52-216 4.2 22-31 293 0 at Appalachian St 31-45 107 11 -3 28 42-176 4.2 27-50 356 4 17 38-350 9.2 11-22 75 0 Wyoming 23-28 70 9 -4 23 37-131 3.5 20-39 232 3 14 36-85 2.4 18-26 208 3 at GA Southern 35-27 226 12 -2 25 26-92 3.5 32-53 399 3 13 50-192 3.8 6-9 73 2 at UNLV 52-28 128 0 1 25 47-265 5.6 20-29 323 1 25 53-375 7.1 13-30 85 2 Bye Boise St 14-41 -254 -14 0 13 27-93 3.4 18-34 186 0 27 45-163 3.6 24-34 370 3 Arkansas St 21-37 -161 -14 0 13 32-35 1.1 20-40 221 7 27 40-120 3.0 25-40 297 5 at New Mexico 24-10 -97 -9 2 12 24-129 5.4 13-24 114 0 21 57-265 4.6 12-22 75 1 at Texas St 45-35 59 -4 2 26 33-119 3.6 31-49 503 1 30 36-163 4.5 33-53 400 4 Bye Bye Hawaii 38-0 157 0 0 20 39-311 8.0 12-20 164 0 20 47-172 3.7 19-35 146 4 at Louisiana 34-47 -103 -3 -3 26 19-89 4.7 32-44 313 2 29 47-279 5.9 21-35 226 1

at Air Force 35-38 81 -9 0 19 29-237 8.2 17-30 284 1 28 82-407 5.0 4-12 33 1 AggiesSt Utah Idaho 17-10 188 7 1 23 37-172 4.6 31-49 231 2 16 38-41 1.1 19-35 174 11 Bye South Alabama 22-17 138 5 2 26 23-40 1.7 40-61 451 3 21 24-22 0.9 26-46 331 5 † New Mexico St Bye New Mexico St Aggies LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM † Utah St Average 31-27 -7.9 -2.8 0.3 19 37-170 4.6 58.6% 224 6.4% 22 50-220 4.4 55.9% 182 7.1% Average 30-31 56.3 0.9 -0.1 23 27-101 3.7 62.7% 353 5.3% 22 40-165 4.2 58.4% 233 9.8% Conference 33-23 26.9 -2.4 0.1 19 36-193 5.4 58.2% 215 6.4% 22 51-224 4.4 56.6% 158 8.0% Conference 29-31 45.0 0.8 -0.4 23 29-97 3.4 62.7% 351 5.6% 22 39-170 4.4 59.1% 233 10.3% Away 32-32 7.3 -3.8 0.3 19 36-179 5.0 58.4% 239 4.5% 23 56-280 5.0 50.0% 131 8.1% Home 25-21 61.2 -0.8 1.2 20 28-95 3.5 62.6% 303 5.0% 21 35-102 2.9 53.6% 236 12.8% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving at Wisconsin Kent Myers 25-41-219-0-3 Tonny Lindsey 6-28-4.7-0 Jaren Colston-Green 1-40-40.0-0 Utah St New Mexico St at Arizona St Tyler Rogers 40-57-398-3-2 Jason Huntley 5-84-16.8-1 Jaleel Scott 8-149-18.6-2 Idaho St Kent Myers 24-26-323-2-1 Eltoro Allen 19-103-5.4-1 Ron'Quavion Tarver 7-75-10.7-1 Utah St QB/WR at New Mexico Tyler Rogers 34-57-401-4-1 Larry Rose III 21-99-4.7-0 Izaiah Lottie 2-98-49.0-2 at Wake Forest Jordan Love 6-13-171-1-0 Eltoro Allen 13-20-1.5-0 Zach Van Leeuwen 2-77-38.5-0 1.41 vs. Troy Tyler Rogers 32-45-331-3-0 Larry Rose III 12-69-5.8-0 Izaiah Lottie 4-93-23.3-2 at San Jose St Kent Myers 18-24-181-2-1 Eltoro Allen 18-89-4.9-0 Dax Raymond 3-47-15.7-0 New Mexico St DB's UTEP Tyler Rogers 26-43-283-2-1 Larry Rose III 17-144-8.5-2 Jaleel Scott 4-74-18.5-0 BYU Kent Myers 16-27-176-2-1 LaJuan Hunt 18-65-3.6-0 Ron'Quavion Tarver 6-76-12.7-1 Utah St RB's at Arkansas Tyler Rogers 23-38-344-2-1 Larry Rose III 8-25-3.1-0 Jaleel Scott 9-174-19.3-1 Colorado St Kent Myers 17-29-152-1-0 LaJuan Hunt 8-19-2.4-0 Eltoro Allen 5-45-9.0-0 vs. 0.78 at Appalachian St Tyler Rogers 27-50-356-2-6 Jason Huntley 10-96-9.6-0 Jason Huntley 3-111-37.0-1 Wyoming Jordan Love 8-18-109-0-3 LaJuan Hunt 18-73-4.1-0 Dax Raymond 5-72-14.4-0 New Mexico St LB's at GA Southern Tyler Rogers 31-51-382-3-2 Jason Huntley 16-99-6.2-0 Anthony Muse 5-106-21.2-0 at UNLV Jordan Love 19-27-316-2-0 LaJuan Hunt 16-101-6.3-3 Jordan Nathan 3-92-30.7-1 Utah St OL Bye Boise St Jordan Love 17-32-168-1-0 Tre Miller 7-40-5.7-0 Ron'Quavion Tarver 3-77-25.7-1 0.29 vs. Arkansas St Tyler Rogers 20-40-221-1-2 Larry Rose III 18-55-3.1-1 OJ Clark 7-113-16.1-0 at New Mexico Jordan Love 13-24-114-0-1 LaJuan Hunt 14-117-8.4-2 Ron'Quavion Tarver 2-40-20.0-0 New Mexico St DL at Texas St Tyler Rogers 29-46-474-3-0 Larry Rose III 19-81-4.3-1 Jaleel Scott 7-130-18.6-1 Bye Utah St DL Bye Tyler Rogers 17-24-184-1-0 Jason Huntley 6-58-9.7-0 Larry Rose III 7-101-14.4-1 Hawaii Jordan Love 9-14-113-1-1 LaJuan Hunt 13-111-8.5-1 Braelon Roberts 2-55-27.5-1 vs. 1.04 at Louisiana Nick Jeanty 31-49-231-0-1 Larry Rose III 22-100-4.5-2 Jaleel Scott 8-77-9.6-0 at Air Force Jordan Love 17-30-284-2-0 Gerold Bright 9-102-11.3-1 Ron'Quavion Tarver 4-86-21.5-2 New Mexico St OL Idaho Tyler Rogers 40-61-451-2-1 Larry Rose III 12-52-4.3-0 Jaleel Scott 9-134-14.9-0 Bye Utah St LB'S South Alabama † New Mexico St vs. 0.30 Bye New Mexico St RB's † Utah St Jordan Love 103-189-1380-8-6 LaJuan Hunt 149-695-4.7-10 Ron'Quavion Tarver 40-472-11.8-7 Utah St DB's Tyler Rogers 319-512-3825-26-16 Larry Rose III 170-792-4.7-9 Jaleel Scott 73-1042-14.3-8 Utah St Leaders Kent Myers 125-199-1275-8-7 Kent Myers 80-291-3.6-5 Dax Raymond 36-414-11.5-1 vs. 1.24 New Mexico St Leaders Nick Jeanty 48-72-389-1-4 Jason Huntley 65-432-6.6-1 OJ Clark 44-492-11.2-3 Aaren Vaughns 1-2-29-1-0 Eltoro Allen 68-284-4.2-1 Jordan Nathan 25-324-13.0-2 New Mexico St QB/WR Conner Cramer 1-1-17-1-0 Nick Jeanty 11-44-4.0-0 Larry Rose III 49-474-9.7-2 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Utah St ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score 2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's 3.08 vs. Las Vegas Line New Mexico St - 56.5 7 21 34-132 20-38-189 New Mexico St ST's Utah St By 4 Utah St - -31 41 20 36-256 17-27-260 2 Projected Rushing Utah St K Las Vegas Total 164 yards Utah St New Mexico St 144 yards 2.14 vs. 61 Points NMSt is playing in its 1st bowl s/’60, winning the last 2 to get to 6 wins. They Projected Passing New Mexico St K +/- Ratings will be everyone’s sentimental favorite. UTSt has been to bowls in 6 of the L7Y, 233 yards Utah St New Mexico St 306 yards Utah St Coaches Utah St By 11.0 but is hungry off a 3-9 season in ’16. The teams are close statistically with UTSt Projected Yardage Total 1.00 vs. Game Grade having faced the tougher sked. The biggest edge for either team is on ST’s. HC 397 yards Utah St New Mexico St 450 yards New Mexico St Coaches N Mexico St By 0.5 Projected Final Score Utah St Pts Wells is 2-1 in bowl games and this is HC Martins 1st. Most of my 9 sets of Computer Yards 35 points Utah St New Mexico St 28 points 7.92 vs. 3.36 N Mexico St 450-397 power ratings have UTSt by a or more & I agree. Experience Rankings New Mexico St Pts Computer Points 107 Utah St New Mexico St 14 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Utah St 35-28

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Utah St Phil Steele 104 Utah St New Mexico St 118 Utah St by 7 By 4.56 Points Utah St 35 New Mexico St 28 NEW MEXICO ST (6-6) ARIZONAFriday, December 29, 2017BOWL • 5:30 pm UTAH ST (6-6) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 5-7 CBS • Arizona Stadium • Tucson, AZ ATS: 6-6 O/U: 7-5 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS NMST UT ST 149 rush yd 178 304 pass yd 226 26 pts 37 -1 ytd to +4 #121 sked #98 CHECKLIST NMST USU edge edge 1/2 QB – 4 RB – 1/2 WR – – OL 1/2 4 DL – – LB – – DB 41/2 – CCH 41/2 4 SITE – – MTCH – – INT – – ST 44444 – SKED 4 OVERALL UTAH STATE BY 5’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: USC Trojans 11-2 11-2 Ohio St Buckeyes Trojans Logs vs. PAC 12 vs. BIG 10 Buckeyes Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 9-1 9-1 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 118 4 9/2 Western Michigan 49-31 W 5 6 25 106 59 85 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 135 113 2 8/31 at Indiana 49-21 W 3 4 46 74 31 32 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 137 130 6 14 9/9 Stanford 42-24 W 8 13 25 8 19 38 1-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 137 140 2 5 9/9 Oklahoma 16-31 L 3 2 46 2 20 12 USC Ohio St 2-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 138 118 4 9/16 Texas 27-24 W 3 14 77 9 30 56 1-1 2-0 1-0 0-0 133 113 8 9/16 Army West Point 38-7 W 7 4 22 76 93 78 3-0 3-0 1-0 0-0 134 119 5 9/23 at California 30-20 W 10 10 37 75 53 78 #36 Rush Off #15 2-1 1-1 1-0 0-0 134 95 10 9/23 UNLV 54-21 W 6 6 28 31 128 73 4-0 4-0 2-0 1-0 134 125 5 16 9/29 at Washington St 27-30 L 13 8 33 27 41 67 #20 Pass Off #28 3-1 1-3 1-0 0-1 132 108 11 9/30 at Rutgers 56-0 W 4 6 21 90 59 45 4-1 1-4 2-1 0-2 132 106 14 10/7 Oregon St 38-10 W 14 7 10 89 102 97 #15 Total Off #6 4-1 3-1 2-0 1-0 136 116 10 10/7 Maryland 62-14 W 3 6 30 40 53 48 5-1 4-1 3-1 1-1 132 123 13 10/14 Utah 28-27 W 13 6 30 46 24 6 #24 Score Off #5 5-1 3-3 3-0 2-1 140 116 9 10/14 at Nebraska 56-14 W 3 5 47 70 48 39 6-1 5-1 4-1 3-1 130 136 11 13 10/21 at Notre Dame 14-49 L 12 7 30 6 18 88 #50 Sks Allowed #38 6-1 4-0 144 6 10/21 Bye 2 5 52 6-2 4-3 4-1 3-1 126 128 21 10/28 at Arizona St 48-17 W 17 14 43 57 44 83 #56 Rush Def #7 6-1 7-0 4-0 4-0 144 143 6 2 10/28 Penn St 39-38 W 2 5 47 14 4 4 7-2 6-2 5-1 4-1 131 127 17 23 11/4 Arizona 49-35 W 11 14 40 4 57 71 #98 Pass Def #18 7-1 5-3 5-0 2-3 144 123 3 11/4 at Iowa 24-55 L 2 5 57 91 27 25 8-2 5-5 6-1 2-5 132 117 15 11/11 at Colorado 38-24 W 9 10 32 56 72 16 #76 Total Def #8 7-2 7-2 5-1 5-1 139 128 11 13 11/11 Michigan St 48-3 W 1 15 53 38 18 99 9-2 5-5 7-1 3-4 132 119 12 11/18 UCLA 28-23 W 8 10 52 18 61 98 #60 Score Def #22 8-2 2-8 6-1 0-7 143 104 8 11/18 Illinois 52-14 W 1 9 47 121 82 59 10-2 8-1 130 11 11/25 Bye 10 11 33 #2 Sks By #12 9-2 8-3 7-1 5-3 143 129 8 11/25 at Michigan 31-20 W 1 7 48 43 5 51 10-2 1-0 8-1 0-0 130 130 11 14 12/2 † Stanford 31-28 W 7 12 32 8 19 38 #28 Ypg Diff #1 10-2 12-0 8-1 9-0 143 138 8 3 12/2 † Wisconsin 27-21 W 2 7 38 25 3 37 11-2 9-1 132 8 12/9 Bye 7 14 35 +1 Total TO's +1 11-2 9-1 143 12/9 Bye 3 7 38 11-2 9-1 143 8 5 12/29 † Ohio St 3 7 38 11-2 9-1 132 5 8 12/29 † USC 7 14 35 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Western Michigan 49-31 164 1 -1 25 34-232 6.8 23-33 289 2 24 48-263 5.5 12-23 94 1 at Indiana 49-21 159 1 3 26 51-292 5.7 20-35 304 1 25 27-17 0.6 42-68 420 5 Stanford 42-24 281 12 -2 28 48-307 6.4 21-26 316 1 16 26-170 6.5 15-28 172 2 Oklahoma 16-31 -140 -6 1 21 34-167 4.9 19-35 183 3 27 37-104 2.8 27-35 386 2 Texas 27-24 102 8 2 25 37-71 1.9 28-51 397 3 17 35-68 1.9 21-40 298 5 Army West Point 38-7 308 14 1 30 32-270 8.4 29-37 316 2 16 58-259 4.5 2-8 19 0 at California 30-20 -60 1 4 22 38-133 3.5 26-38 223 1 21 33-113 3.4 22-52 303 3 UNLV 54-21 400 17 -1 34 40-190 4.8 31-44 474 3 17 41-176 4.3 11-20 88 4 at Washington St 27-30 -135 -8 -1 15 29-163 5.6 15-29 164 2 23 30-122 4.1 34-51 340 5 at Rutgers 56-0 419 11 2 24 37-275 7.4 20-31 353 2 13 41-117 2.9 11-27 92 1 Oregon St 38-10 193 10 0 26 37-184 5.0 24-36 328 1 16 36-122 3.4 16-29 197 2 Maryland 62-14 518 27 0 33 50-281 5.6 23-36 303 0 6 42-50 1.2 3-13 16 6 Utah 28-27 96 10 -2 30 33-174 5.3 27-50 358 0 20 41-169 4.1 17-28 267 4 at Nebraska 56-14 240 26 0 41 47-279 5.9 31-39 354 1 15 16-44 2.8 27-47 349 0 at Notre Dame 14-49 -161 -5 -3 18 31-76 2.5 25-36 260 5 23 47-377 8.0 9-22 120 1 Bye at Arizona St 48-17 250 14 0 29 46-341 7.4 19-35 266 3 15 30-79 2.6 18-31 278 6 Penn St 39-38 246 10 -2 27 39-201 5.2 33-39 328 2 17 35-91 2.6 17-29 192 2 Arizona 49-35 262 5 2 30 52-331 6.4 20-26 311 1 25 43-234 5.4 14-31 146 5 at Iowa 24-55 -116 -4 -4 20 30-163 5.4 18-34 208 1 24 38-243 6.4 21-32 244 1 at Colorado 38-24 36 0 2 23 38-193 5.1 21-34 329 1 23 34-110 3.2 27-49 376 3 Michigan St 48-3 329 10 1 25 42-335 8.0 15-23 189 0 15 34-64 1.9 18-36 131 6 UCLA 28-23 -84 -4 1 24 41-153 3.7 17-28 264 1 28 31-80 2.6 32-52 421 4 Illinois 52-14 438 22 0 27 59-325 5.5 16-29 218 1 5 28-89 3.2 4-14 16 2 USC Trojans USC Bye at Michigan 31-20 55 1 1 17 48-226 4.7 9-15 124 3 16 36-100 2.8 17-32 195 5

† Stanford 42-24 281 12 -2 28 48-307 6.4 21-26 316 1 16 26-170 6.5 15-28 172 2 Buckeyes St Ohio † Wisconsin 27-21 151 0 -1 16 42-238 5.7 12-26 211 0 16 32-60 1.9 20-41 238 3 Bye Bye LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM † Ohio St † USC Average 35-26 84.8 3.7 0.1 24 39-195 5.0 63.5% 295 4.9% 21 36-158 4.4 53.9% 246 9.4% Average 42-20 231.3 9.9 0.1 26 42-249 5.9 65.2% 274 4.5% 16 36-109 3.0 54.7% 184 9.2% Conference 36-24 99.7 4.4 0.3 25 41-216 5.3 63.5% 288 3.7% 21 34-135 3.9 55.0% 269 9.7% Conference 44-20 243.9 10.4 0.0 26 45-262 5.9 64.2% 259 3.6% 15 33-88 2.7 53.1% 189 9.1% Away 31-28 14.7 1.0 0.2 22 38-180 4.8 62.8% 261 6.6% 21 35-159 4.5 52.9% 268 8.8% Home 44-18 299.9 13.4 0.0 28 42-253 6.0 68.3% 287 4.5% 15 39-119 3.0 52.9% 121 14.2% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Western Michigan Sam Darnold 23-33-289-0-2 Ronald Jones 18-159-8.8-3 Deontay Burnett 7-142-20.3-0 USC Ohio St at Indiana JT Barrett 20-35-304-3-0 JK Dobbins 29-181-6.2-0 6-136-22.7-1 Stanford Sam Darnold 21-26-316-4-2 Stephen Carr 11-119-10.8-0 Deontay Burnett 9-121-13.4-2 USC QB/WR Oklahoma JT Barrett 19-35-183-0-1 JK Dobbins 13-72-5.5-1 KJ Hill 5-44-8.8-0 Texas Sam Darnold 28-49-397-3-2 Ronald Jones 18-47-2.6-0 Deontay Burnett 8-123-15.4-2 0.25 vs. Army West Point JT Barrett 25-33-270-2-0 JK Dobbins 13-172-13.2-2 KJ Hill 8-74-9.3-0 at California Sam Darnold 26-38-223-2-1 Stephen Carr 20-82-4.1-1 Deontay Burnett 9-76-8.4-1 Ohio St DB's UNLV Dwayne Haskins 15-23-228-2-1 JK Dobbins 14-95-6.8-0 Parris Campbell 3-105-35.0-1 at Washington St Sam Darnold 15-29-164-0-1 Ronald Jones 14-128-9.1-1 Tyler Vaughns 6-89-14.8-0 USC RB's at Rutgers JT Barrett 14-22-275-3-0 Demario McCall 11-103-9.4-1 Johnnie Dixon 3-115-38.3-2 Oregon St Sam Darnold 23-35-316-3-1 Ronald Jones 12-79-6.6-1 Tyler Vaughns 5-68-13.6-1 0.08 vs. Maryland JT Barrett 20-31-261-3-0 JK Dobbins 13-96-7.4-1 Binjimen Victor 4-55-13.8-1 Utah Sam Darnold 27-50-358-3-0 Ronald Jones 17-111-6.5-1 Deontay Burnett 8-99-12.4-0 Ohio St LB's at Nebraska JT Barrett 27-33-325-5-0 JK Dobbins 12-106-8.8-1 KJ Hill 7-80-11.4-2 at Notre Dame Sam Darnold 20-28-229-2-1 Ronald Jones 12-32-2.7-0 Deontay Burnett 8-113-14.1-1 USC OL Bye at Arizona St Sam Darnold 19-35-266-3-0 Ronald Jones 18-216-12.0-2 Tyler Vaughns 6-126-21.0-2 vs. 0.88 Penn St JT Barrett 33-39-328-4-0 JT Barrett 17-95-5.6-0 KJ Hill 12-102-8.5-0 Arizona Sam Darnold 20-26-311-2-1 Ronald Jones 27-194-7.2-3 Tyler Vaughns 4-59-14.8-1 Ohio St DL at Iowa JT Barrett 18-34-208-3-4 JT Barrett 14-63-4.5-0 Johnnie Dixon 4-81-20.3-2 at Colorado Sam Darnold 21-34-329-2-0 Ronald Jones 25-142-5.7-1 Steven Mitchell 4-91-22.8-0 USC DL Michigan St JT Barrett 14-21-183-2-2 Mike Weber 9-162-18.0-2 Binjimen Victor 2-65-32.5-1 UCLA Sam Darnold 17-28-264-0-1 Ronald Jones 28-122-4.4-2 Steven Mitchell 4-56-14.0-0 vs. 0.57 Illinois JT Barrett 11-19-141-2-0 Mike Weber 11-108-9.8-2 Parris Campbell 3-59-19.7-0 Bye Ohio St OL at Michigan Dwayne Haskins 6-7-94-0-0 JK Dobbins 15-101-6.7-1 KJ Hill 2-53-26.5-0 † Stanford Sam Darnold 17-24-325-2-0 Ronald Jones 30-140-4.7-2 Michael Pittman 7-146-20.9-1 USC LB'S † Wisconsin JT Barrett 12-26-211-2-2 JK Dobbins 17-174-10.2-0 Terry McLaurin 2-92-46.0-1 Bye vs. 0.69 Bye † Ohio St Ohio St RB's † USC Sam Darnold 277-435-3787-26-12 Ronald Jones 242-1486-6.1-18 Deontay Burnett 74-975-13.2-9 USC DB's JT Barrett 228-353-2928-35-9 JK Dobbins 181-1364-7.5-7 Parris Campbell 38-576-15.2-3 USC Leaders Matt Fink 6-9-43-0-0 Stephen Carr 63-363-5.8-3 Tyler Vaughns 51-690-13.5-5 vs. 0.20 Ohio St Leaders Dwayne Haskins 40-57-565-4-1 JT Barrett 150-743-5.0-10 KJ Hill 55-546-9.9-3 Team 0-2-0-0-0 Vavae Malepeai 48-259-5.4-0 Steven Mitchell 41-644-15.7-4 Ohio St QB/WR Joe Burrow 7-11-61-0-0 Mike Weber 96-608-6.3-10 Terry McLaurin 28-434-15.5-6 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) USC ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None vs. 0.40 Las Vegas Line Ohio St ST's Ohio St By 7.5 Projected Rushing USC K OSU will have the crowd edge as their fans travel better. OSU is off the charts Las Vegas Total 104 yards USC Ohio St 239 yards 0.34 vs. 64.5 Points on computer numbers & has played to a 111.7 in my avg game grades, while Projected Passing Ohio St K USC has played to an avg grade of 98.0. OSU has not dominated their toughest +/- Ratings 270 yards USC Ohio St 280 yards USC Coaches Ohio St By 13.0 foes. Against their top 4 opponents, they went 3-1 with the only win by more Projected Yardage Total vs. 1.50 than 6 being against UM, when they got a TD with under 2 min left. USC had Game Grade 374 yards USC Ohio St 519 yards Ohio St Coaches Ohio St By 15.6 over 20 players inj when they limped into ND & lost by 35. USC has lost 3 DL, a Projected Final Score USC Pts Computer Yards K & an OL for the season, but has gotten healthier each week. With Darnold, 25 points USC Ohio St 39 points 0.67 vs. 4.24 Ohio St 519-374 Jones, Burnett & co., they have the talent to take this to the wire. I’ll call for Experience Rankings Ohio St Pts Computer Points USC to keep it closer than expected. 72 USC Ohio St 38 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Ohio St 39-25

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Ohio St Phil Steele 15 USC Ohio St 25 Ohio St by 14 By 3.57 Points Ohio St 31 USC 28 USC (11-2) COTTONFriday, December 29, 2017BOWL • 8:30 pm OHIO STATE (11-2) ATS: 4-9 O/U: 6-7 ESPN • AT&T Stadium • Arlington, TX ATS: 7-6 O/U: 9-4 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS USC OSU 105 rush yd 231 262 pass yd 270 26 pts 41 +1 ytd to +1 #24 sked #18 CHECKLIST USC OSU edge edge 1/2 QB 1/2 – RB – 1/2 WR – – OL 4 – DL 4 – LB – – DB – – CCH 41/2 – SITE 44 – MTCH 4 – INT – – ST – – SKED – OVERALL OHIO STATE BY 6 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Louisville Cardinals 8-4 8-4 Miss St Bulldogs Cardinals Logs vs. ACC vs. SEC Bulldogs Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 4-4 4-4 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 111 16 9/2 † Purdue 35-28 W 19 17 34 79 62 79 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 117 9/2 Charleston Southern 49-0 W 36 45 107 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 123 116 17 9/9 at North Carolina 47-35 W 24 10 34 61 31 63 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 113 9/9 at Louisiana Tech 57-21 W 34 34 107 69 87 44 Louisville Miss St 2-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 124 140 14 3 9/16 Clemson 21-47 L 15 12 90 12 2 86 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 125 132 12 9/16 LSU 37-7 W 27 28 72 21 3 18 2-1 1-2 1-1 0-0 122 98 19 9/23 Kent St 43-3 W 13 25 45 128 119 111 #13 Rush Off #14 3-0 3-0 1-0 0-0 130 127 17 11 9/23 at Georgia 3-31 L 20 19 69 19 7 58 3-1 1-1 124 17 9/30 Murray St 55-10 W 15 28 61 #15 Pass Off #109 3-1 3-1 1-1 1-0 125 130 24 13 9/30 at Auburn 10-49 L 22 21 58 21 7 13 4-1 4-1 1-1 2-0 124 125 17 24 10/5 at NC State 25-39 L 9 27 33 29 26 69 #3 Total Off #45 3-2 1-2 121 10/7 Bye 30 29 59 4-2 2-4 1-2 0-3 122 112 10/14 Boston College 42-45 L 11 32 58 93 43 60 #13 Score Off #36 3-2 1-5 1-2 0-3 121 102 10/14 BYU 35-10 W 34 33 24 124 73 91 4-3 2-3 1-3 2-2 118 131 10/21 at Florida St 31-28 W 7 45 67 48 11 58 #80 Sks Allowed #6 4-2 5-1 1-2 2-1 121 117 10/21 Kentucky 45-7 W 24 33 29 78 39 11 5-3 4-3 2-3 1-3 123 124 10/28 at Wake Forest 32-42 L 6 45 70 71 54 63 #52 Rush Def #24 5-2 5-2 2-2 3-1 125 125 10/28 at Texas A&M 35-14 W 21 30 21 34 23 2 5-4 2-4 122 11/4 Bye 6 56 80 #79 Pass Def #13 6-2 2-6 3-2 0-1 130 108 21 11/4 UMass 34-23 W 23 21 34 73 94 124 5-4 6-3 2-4 3-2 122 116 11/11 Virginia 38-21 W 5 58 87 85 34 68 #59 Total Def #10 7-2 9-0 3-2 6-0 127 143 18 1 11/11 Alabama 24-31 L 23 20 23 2 1 21 6-4 4-6 3-4 2-4 122 121 11/18 Syracuse 56-10 W 5 52 86 49 86 17 #71 Score Def #24 7-3 4-6 3-3 1-5 127 108 17 11/18 at Arkansas 28-21 W 22 20 23 36 87 91 7-4 7-4 4-4 4-4 123 116 11/25 at Kentucky 44-17 W 4 42 87 73 58 14 #58 Sks By #31 8-3 5-6 4-3 2-5 128 116 16 11/23 Mississippi 28-31 L 24 20 37 15 71 38 8-4 4-4 127 12/2 Bye 4 40 79 #5 Ypg Diff #16 8-4 4-4 123 24 12/2 Bye 28 18 20 8-4 8-4 4-4 4-4 130 123 12/30 † Miss St 4 39 80 53 19 21 +3 Total TO's -2 8-4 8-4 4-4 4-4 123 130 24 12/30 † Louisville 53 19 21 4 39 80

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks † Purdue 35-28 180 2 1 27 33-146 4.4 30-46 378 0 25 21-51 2.4 33-57 293 4 Charleston Southern 49-0 522 27 0 29 50-281 5.6 20-36 274 0 2 39-18 0.5 3-8 15 1 at North Carolina 47-35 304 15 0 35 44-312 7.1 25-39 393 2 20 23-17 0.7 29-38 384 2 at Louisiana Tech 57-21 144 1 2 21 40-327 8.2 13-20 132 0 20 50-152 3.0 13-30 163 4 Clemson 21-47 -180 -4 -1 21 27-116 4.3 21-42 317 5 25 48-297 6.2 23-33 316 4 LSU 37-7 195 12 0 25 48-285 5.9 15-23 180 1 13 29-133 4.6 13-29 137 2 Kent St 42-3 389 12 -1 23 27-165 6.1 23-30 374 1 11 54-139 2.6 2-5 11 2 at Georgia 3-31 -124 0 -1 15 37-177 4.8 15-33 103 0 15 42-203 4.8 9-12 201 0 Murray St 55-10 596 33 -1 38 46-312 6.8 32-45 364 3 5 22-19 0.9 10-21 61 0 at Auburn 10-49 -160 4 0 18 47-194 4.1 13-37 157 2 14 39-244 6.3 14-17 267 2 at NC State 25-39 -50 2 0 25 29-116 4.0 26-48 354 4 23 39-153 3.9 20-32 367 0 Bye Boston College 42-45 70 -2 -1 25 36-293 8.1 19-39 332 0 27 59-364 6.2 12-28 191 2 BYU 35-10 370 27 -1 35 53-306 5.8 20-31 240 0 8 17-29 1.7 17-29 147 1 at Florida St 31-28 46 -1 2 22 44-293 6.7 13-21 156 2 23 38-155 4.1 16-28 248 2 Kentucky 45-7 181 11 2 25 48-282 5.9 19-27 159 0 14 29-115 4.0 14-30 145 3 at Wake Forest 32-42 -102 4 0 30 42-191 4.5 28-46 332 7 26 39-164 4.2 28-34 461 1 at Texas A&M 35-14 84 4 2 19 52-228 4.4 12-21 141 2 15 28-96 3.4 16-41 189 3 Bye UMass 34-23 43 9 -2 21 45-254 5.6 14-26 139 0 12 32-127 4.0 15-28 223 1 Virginia 38-21 216 11 0 27 43-298 6.9 15-26 195 2 16 28-63 2.3 19-36 214 4 Alabama 24-31 -114 3 0 22 49-172 3.5 13-24 158 1 19 38-202 5.3 10-18 242 5 Syracuse 56-10 392 5 4 27 42-411 9.8 17-30 316 1 22 45-197 4.4 13-34 138 1 at Arkansas 28-21 127 7 -1 19 48-195 4.1 12-23 153 2 12 34-97 2.9 12-18 124 4 at Kentucky 44-17 224 12 0 32 43-346 8.0 15-21 216 0 20 43-228 5.3 8-19 110 3 Mississippi 28-31 146 16 -3 27 62-294 4.7 14-32 207 3 11 32-108 3.4 10-22 247 4 Bye Miss St Bulldogs Bye Louisville Cardinals Louisville † Miss St † Louisville LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM

Average 39-27 173.8 7.4 0.3 28 38-250 6.6 61.0% 311 6.2% 20 38-154 4.0 58.4% 233 6.8% Average 32-20 117.8 10.1 -0.2 23 48-250 5.2 54.1% 170 3.3% 13 34-127 3.7 51.8% 175 10.6% Conference 37-33 87.0 3.8 0.5 27 38-254 6.6 56.4% 299 7.9% 23 40-176 4.4 60.8% 290 6.1% Conference 26-24 41.9 7.1 -0.1 21 49-228 4.7 51.4% 157 5.0% 14 34-150 4.4 52.4% 194 12.3% Away 36-32 100.3 5.7 0.5 29 39-234 6.0 62.0% 305 6.8% 23 34-128 3.8 64.4% 311 5.8% Home 36-16 191.9 15.0 -0.6 26 51-268 5.3 57.8% 194 2.5% 11 31-105 3.4 50.0% 165 10.4% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving † Purdue Lamar Jackson 30-46-378-2-0 Lamar Jackson 21-107-5.1-0 Jay Smith 8-117-14.6-0 Louisville Miss St Charleston Southern Nick Fitzgerald 16-29-239-2-0 Aeris Williams 16-83-5.2-1 2-68-34.0-0 at North Carolina Lamar Jackson 25-39-393-3-0 Malik Williams 13-149-11.5-0 Jaylen Smith 9-183-20.3-1 Louisville QB/WR at Louisiana Tech Nick Fitzgerald 12-18-124-3-1 Nick Fitzgerald 10-111-11.1-2 Aeris Williams 1-28-28.0-0 Clemson Lamar Jackson 21-42-317-3-1 Lamar Jackson 17-64-3.8-0 Traveon Samuel 2-100-50.0-0 1.96 vs. LSU Nick Fitzgerald 15-23-180-2-0 Aeris Williams 23-146-6.3-0 Keith Mixon 6-97-16.2-1 Kent St Lamar Jackson 18-22-299-2-2 Malik Williams 9-47-5.2-2 Seth Dawkins 4-75-18.8-1 Miss St DB's at Georgia Nick Fitzgerald 14-29-83-0-2 Nick Gibson 5-52-10.4-0 Deddrick Thomas 2-41-20.5-0 Murray St Lamar Jackson 18-26-249-3-0 Lamar Jackson 7-100-14.3-1 Corey Reed 4-94-23.5-0 Louisville RB's at Auburn Nick Fitzgerald 13-33-157-1-2 Nick Fitzgerald 13-56-4.3-0 Jamal Couch 2-60-30.0-0 at NC State Lamar Jackson 26-47-354-1-1 Lamar Jackson 19-73-3.8-2 Dez Fitzpatrick 10-134-13.4-0 vs. 0.68 Bye Boston College Lamar Jackson 19-39-332-2-1 Lamar Jackson 22-180-8.2-3 Dez Fitzpatrick 7-127-18.1-1 Miss St LB's BYU Nick Fitzgerald 19-30-241-2-2 Aeris Williams 23-114-5.0-1 Keith Mixon 5-69-13.8-0 at Florida St Lamar Jackson 13-21-156-1-0 Lamar Jackson 23-178-7.7-1 Jaylen Smith 5-49-9.8-0 Louisville OL Kentucky Nick Fitzgerald 18-26-155-1-0 Nick Fitzgerald 12-115-9.6-2 Donald Gray 6-51-8.5-0 at Wake Forest Lamar Jackson 27-44-330-1-1 Lamar Jackson 27-161-6.0-3 Jaylen Smith 6-73-12.2-0 0.79 vs. at Texas A&M Nick Fitzgerald 12-21-141-2-1 Nick Fitzgerald 18-105-5.8-1 Farrod Green 3-51-17.0-0 Bye Miss St DL UMass Nick Fitzgerald 14-25-139-0-2 Nick Fitzgerald 17-135-7.9-2 Jesse Jackson 4-36-9.0-0 Virginia Lamar Jackson 15-26-195-3-0 Lamar Jackson 15-147-9.8-1 Jaylen Smith 5-84-16.8-2 Louisville DL Alabama Nick Fitzgerald 13-24-158-0-0 Aeris Williams 22-97-4.4-2 Deddrick Thomas 2-30-15.0-0 Syracuse Lamar Jackson 14-26-270-2-0 Malik Williams 9-180-20.0-2 Jaylen Smith 3-95-31.7-1 vs. 1.22 at Arkansas Nick Fitzgerald 12-23-153-2-0 Nick Fitzgerald 22-101-4.6-1 Reggie Todd 3-50-16.7-1 at Kentucky Lamar Jackson 15-21-216-2-0 Lamar Jackson 18-156-8.7-0 Jaylen Smith 6-75-12.5-1 Miss St OL Mississippi Keytaon Thompson 13-27-195-1-1 Keytaon Thompson 26-121-4.7-1 Jordan Thomas 4-65-16.3-0 Bye Louisville LB'S Bye † Miss St 0.67 vs. † Louisville Miss St RB's Lamar Jackson 241-399-3489-25-6 Lamar Jackson 208-1443-6.9-17 Jay Smith 53-873-16.5-6 Louisville DB's Nick Fitzgerald 159-286-1782-15-11 Aeris Williams 224-1019-4.5-5 Keith Mixon 18-275-15.3-1 Louisville Leaders Jawon Pass 23-33-238-2-0 Malik Williams 62-518-8.4-4 Dez Fitzpatrick 45-699-15.5-9 vs. 0.08 Miss St Leaders Keytaon Thompson 21-46-261-2-1 Nick Fitzgerald 162-984-6.1-14 Jesse Jackson 24-238-9.9-0 Reggie Bonnafon 0-1-0-0-0 Reggie Bonnafon 86-446-5.2-7 Seth Dawkins 39-604-15.5-4 Miss St QB/WR Reggie Todd 0-1-0-0-1 Kylin Hill 70-364-5.2-2 Deddrick Thomas 20-234-11.7-4 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Louisville ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None vs. 2.36 Las Vegas Line Miss St ST's Louisville By 6.5 Projected Rushing Louisville K LY the Card’s did great early and finished poorly. TY they were 5-4, but played Las Vegas Total 222 yards Louisville Miss St 240 yards 0.42 vs. 63 Points their best in a 3-0 finish with an avg game grade of 110.6. QB Jackson helped Projected Passing Miss St K the OFF avg 176 ypg above what their opponents normally allow, which is 2nd in +/- Ratings 266 yards Louisville Miss St 170 yards Louisville Coaches Louisville By 7.0 the country. The D allowed 410 ypg the F/9 games, but just 315 ypg the L/3. Projected Yardage Total 2.75 vs. MSt lost QB Fitzgerald vs Ole Miss. True frosh Thompson has 299 yards rushing. Game Grade 488 yards Louisville Miss St 410 yards Miss St Coaches Louisville By 2.9 MSt has my #19 rated D & L’Ville is just #44. MSt also lost their HC Mullen, both Projected Final Score Louisville Pts Computer Yards coordinators & will be led by interim HC Knox. Petrino needs a solid finish after 34 points Louisville Miss St 29 points 6.59 vs. 4.33 Louisville 488-410 an unexpected 4 losses & I’ll call for L’Ville to win by over 2 td’s, making this a Experience Rankings Miss St Pts Computer Points ‘Best Bet’ selection. 63 Louisville Miss St 86 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Louisville 35-25

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Louisville Phil Steele 54 Louisville Miss St 46 Louisville by 15 By 2.26 Points Best Bet: ★ Louisville 35 Mississippi St 20 LOUISVILLE (8-4) TAXSLAYERSaturday, December 30, 2017 •BOWL 12:00 pm MISSISSIPPI ST (8-4) ATS: 5-7 O/U: 6-6 ESPN • Everbank Field • Jacksonville, FL ATS: 7-5 O/U: 4-8 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS L’VILL MSU 246 rush yd 242 240 pass yd 158 35 pts 25 +3 ytd to -2 #71 sked #21 CHECKLIST L’VILL MSU edge edge 4444 QB – – RB – 44 WR – – OL – – DL 4 – LB – – DB 4 444 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH – 4 INT – – ST 44 – SKED 44 OVERALL LOUISVILLE BY 4 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Iowa St Cyclones 7-5 10-2 Memphis Tigers Cyclones Logs vs. BIG 12 vs. AAC Tigers Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 5-4 7-2 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 120 9/2 Northern Iowa 42-24 W 50 72 29 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 122 96 8/31 ULM 37-29 W 30 74 17 120 119 106 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 121 9/9 Iowa 41-44 L 48 78 29 68 23 40 1-0 0-0 120 9/9 Bye 30 69 17 Iowa St Memphis 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 118 99 9/16 at Akron 41-14 W 50 82 47 115 97 117 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 120 121 25 9/16 UCLA 48-45 W 33 73 7 20 27 81 2-1 0-0 120 9/23 Bye 45 74 25 #114 Rush Off #31 2-0 0-0 120 9/23 Southern Illinois 44-31 W 33 73 10 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 120 122 9/28 Texas 7-17 L 45 72 39 18 22 63 #32 Pass Off #8 3-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 118 9/30 at UCF 13-40 L 39 71 7 38 52 71 2-2 4-0 0-1 1-0 117 139 3 10/7 at Oklahoma 38-31 W 56 65 55 2 18 46 #78 Total Off #4 3-1 1-3 0-1 0-2 114 93 10/6 at Connecticut 70-31 W 49 82 6 96 98 118 3-2 1-4 1-1 0-2 122 98 10/14 Kansas 45-0 W 56 65 44 74 117 63 #51 Score Off #2 4-1 5-0 1-1 3-0 118 116 25 10/14 Navy 30-27 W 37 81 9 23 97 86 4-2 4-2 2-1 1-2 125 125 10/21 at Texas Tech 31-13 W 67 47 41 21 52 97 #20 Sks Allowed #14 5-1 4-2 2-1 2-1 118 118 25 10/19 at Houston 42-38 W 37 83 8 62 51 73 5-2 7-0 3-1 4-0 130 135 25 4 10/28 TCU 14-7 W 64 39 55 18 9 18 #31 Rush Def #99 6-1 3-4 3-1 1-2 120 110 24 10/27 Tulane 56-26 W 37 88 45 88 108 106 6-2 5-3 4-1 3-2 132 124 14 11/4 at West Virginia 16-20 L 74 34 78 13 62 93 #82 Pass Def #123 7-1 2-7 4-1 1-4 123 108 22 11/3 at Tulsa 41-14 W 34 88 13 53 129 61 6-3 7-2 4-2 4-2 130 135 24 12 11/11 Oklahoma St 42-49 L 76 39 57 7 19 104 #46 Total Def #121 8-1 5-1 126 20 11/11 Bye 30 81 9 6-4 1-9 4-3 1-6 130 114 11/18 at Baylor 23-13 W 70 45 72 65 90 64 #29 Score Def #104 8-1 6-4 5-1 3-3 126 113 18 11/18 SMU 66-45 W 29 84 12 28 108 97 7-4 6-5 5-3 4-4 129 121 11/25 at Kansas St 19-20 L 65 49 65 46 34 1 #97 Sks By #68 9-1 3-8 6-1 2-5 126 96 17 11/25 East Carolina 70-13 W 23 85 8 100 130 95 7-5 5-4 129 12/2 Bye 66 48 69 #61 Ypg Diff #35 10-1 2-0 7-1 0-0 127 118 16 12 12/2 at UCF 55-62 L 18 76 5 38 52 71 7-5 10-2 5-4 7-2 129 130 12/30 at Memphis 48 47 68 17 78 6 +11 Total TO's +14 10-2 7-2 131 19 12/8 Bye 17 78 6 10-2 7-5 7-2 5-4 131 129 19 12/30 Iowa St 17 78 6 48 47 68 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Northern Iowa 42-24 27 3 2 24 35-134 3.8 27-36 271 0 21 22-119 5.4 23-38 259 2 ULM 37-29 -9 -9 2 16 39-319 8.2 10-25 97 1 25 49-146 3.0 21-37 279 2 Iowa 41-44 -30 -7 -1 22 26-120 4.6 25-46 347 1 29 41-164 4.0 27-41 333 1 Bye at Akron 41-14 177 4 3 23 37-191 5.2 24-33 317 0 19 24-38 1.6 27-44 293 5 UCLA 48-45 -73 -5 0 26 37-162 4.4 23-39 398 2 31 35-170 4.9 34-56 463 1 Bye Southern Illinois 44-31 71 1 1 24 36-176 4.9 22-36 288 0 23 37-103 2.8 30-49 290 0 Texas 7-17 -56 -1 -1 18 15-10 0.7 24-49 246 4 19 52-141 2.7 19-26 171 2 at UCF 13-40 -207 -2 -3 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0 at Oklahoma 38-31 -64 -7 1 21 32-81 2.5 20-27 368 1 28 35-190 5.4 25-34 323 2 at Connecticut 70-31 234 10 3 34 45-231 5.1 39-55 480 1 24 34-167 4.9 21-35 310 4 Kansas 45-0 212 10 2 15 43-106 2.5 18-30 212 3 5 33-62 1.9 11-26 44 0 Navy 30-27 63 5 4 24 29-118 4.1 24-40 279 2 19 68-314 4.6 1-8 20 1 at Texas Tech 31-13 64 -4 2 20 36-208 5.8 22-32 192 0 24 41-129 3.1 31-41 207 2 at Houston 42-38 -53 3 1 28 23-30 1.3 33-53 471 2 25 54-239 4.4 29-41 315 1 TCU 14-7 -52 3 2 17 33-53 1.6 21-35 202 2 14 34-172 5.1 12-25 135 1 Tulane 56-26 232 0 0 18 32-259 8.1 18-31 298 0 18 52-122 2.3 15-31 203 7 at West Virginia 16-20 -174 0 0 23 29-101 3.5 27-40 249 1 23 47-208 4.4 20-25 316 0 at Tulsa 41-14 222 11 1 28 37-191 5.2 28-40 333 0 17 35-145 4.1 18-31 157 3 Oklahoma St 42-49 -31 7 -1 30 29-105 3.6 30-47 386 2 23 37-146 3.9 25-31 376 2 Bye at Baylor 23-13 63 -4 2 21 40-214 5.4 14-28 180 0 25 38-133 3.5 26-36 198 2 SMU 66-45 187 4 0 32 46-333 7.2 22-28 331 1 28 37-259 7.0 15-35 218 1 at Kansas St 19-20 115 6 0 18 30-115 3.8 24-36 264 2 12 30-109 3.6 16-22 155 1 East Carolina 70-13 169 -4 3 23 34-333 9.8 10-15 302 0 27 37-115 3.1 28-54 351 2 Memphis Tigers

Bye Cyclones St Iowa at UCF 13-40 -207 -2 -3 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0 at Memphis Bye LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Iowa St Average 30-21 20.9 0.8 0.9 21 32-120 3.7 62.9% 270 3.6% 20 36-134 3.7 67.4% 234 5.1% Average 48-33 71.9 1.2 1.2 26 36-209 5.9 62.9% 339 3.3% 25 44-197 4.5 57.8% 279 5.1% Conference 26-19 8.6 1.1 0.8 20 32-110 3.5 61.7% 255 4.6% 19 39-143 3.7 69.5% 214 4.5% Conference 49-33 97.1 3.0 1.2 27 35-206 5.9 65.1% 365 3.4% 24 45-216 4.8 56.9% 258 6.5% Away 28-19 30.2 -0.8 1.3 21 34-152 4.5 66.8% 262 2.0% 22 36-135 3.8 71.8% 249 5.9% Home 50-31 91.4 -1.1 1.4 23 36-243 6.7 60.3% 285 2.8% 24 45-176 3.9 53.3% 261 5.2% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Northern Iowa Jacob Park 27-35-271-2-1 David Montgomery 14-82-5.9-2 Allen Lazard 8-108-13.5-0 Iowa St Memphis ULM Riley Ferguson 10-25-97-0-1 Darrell Henderson 12-169-14.1-2 Anthony Miller 2-23-11.5-0 Iowa Jacob Park 25-46-347-4-1 David Montgomery 20-112-5.6-1 Hakeem Butler 5-128-25.6-2 Iowa St QB/WR Bye at Akron Jacob Park 24-33-317-2-0 David Montgomery 22-127-5.8-1 Trever Ryen 6-80-13.3-0 1.48 vs. UCLA Riley Ferguson 23-38-398-6-1 Darrell Henderson 14-105-7.5-0 Anthony Miller 9-185-20.6-2 Bye Memphis DB's Southern Illinois Riley Ferguson 22-36-288-2-0 Patrick Taylor 16-77-4.8-1 John Williams 2-74-37.0-0 Texas Jacob Park 24-48-246-1-3 David Montgomery 9-34-3.8-0 Allen Lazard 5-63-12.6-0 Iowa St RB's at UCF Riley Ferguson 27-49-321-1-3 Darrell Henderson 6-48-8.0-0 Tony Pollard 3-75-25.0-0 at Oklahoma Kyle Kempt 18-24-343-3-0 David Montgomery 17-55-3.2-1 Trever Ryen 4-99-24.8-1 0.26 vs. at Connecticut Riley Ferguson 34-48-431-7-0 Doroland Dorceus 22-122-5.5-2 Anthony Miller 15-224-14.9-4 Kansas Kyle Kempt 13-20-122-1-0 David Montgomery 21-68-3.2-3 Allen Lazard 3-40-13.3-0 Memphis LB's Navy Riley Ferguson 24-40-279-3-0 Darrell Henderson 12-94-7.8-0 Anthony Miller 10-90-9.0-2 at Texas Tech Kyle Kempt 22-32-192-3-1 David Montgomery 28-164-5.9-0 Marchie Murdock 4-68-17.0-0 Iowa St OL at Houston Riley Ferguson 33-53-471-1-1 Patrick Taylor 14-39-2.8-4 Anthony Miller 10-178-17.8-0 TCU Kyle Kempt 21-35-202-2-1 David Montgomery 25-74-3.0-0 Allen Lazard 6-106-17.7-0 0.66 vs. Tulane Riley Ferguson 18-31-298-3-1 Darrell Henderson 10-112-11.2-1 Anthony Miller 6-75-12.5-1 at West Virginia Kyle Kempt 27-40-249-1-1 David Montgomery 26-115-4.4-0 Hakeem Butler 4-62-15.5-0 Memphis DL at Tulsa Riley Ferguson 27-39-298-4-0 Darrell Henderson 14-123-8.8-0 Phil Mayhue 4-74-18.5-0 Oklahoma St Zeb Noland 17-28-263-0-1 David Montgomery 21-105-5.0-3 Allen Lazard 9-126-14.0-2 Iowa St DL Bye at Baylor Zeb Noland 14-28-180-2-0 David Montgomery 27-144-5.3-0 Hakeem Butler 1-67-67.0-1 vs. 0.73 SMU Riley Ferguson 21-27-320-2-1 Darrell Henderson 10-147-14.7-2 Anthony Miller 8-163-20.4-2 at Kansas St Kyle Kempt 24-36-264-2-0 Sheldon Croney 13-63-4.8-0 Allen Lazard 6-95-15.8-0 Memphis OL East Carolina Riley Ferguson 9-13-299-3-0 Patrick Taylor 6-127-21.2-2 Anthony Miller 3-144-48.0-1 Bye Iowa St LB'S at UCF Riley Ferguson 30-42-471-4-1 Darrell Henderson 15-109-7.3-1 Anthony Miller 14-195-13.9-3 at Memphis vs. 0.01 Bye Memphis RB's Iowa St Kyle Kempt 137-205-1473-13-3 David Montgomery 234-1094-4.7-11 Allen Lazard 61-799-13.1-9 Iowa St DB's Riley Ferguson 278-441-3971-36-9 Darrell Henderson 130-1154-8.9-9 Anthony Miller 92-1407-15.3-17 Iowa St Leaders Jacob Park 100-162-1181-9-5 Sheldon Croney 29-151-5.2-1 Hakeem Butler 36-586-16.3-6 vs. 1.90 Memphis Leaders Riley Patterson 5-8-49-1-1 Patrick Taylor 140-798-5.7-13 Tony Pollard 34-501-14.7-4 Zeb Noland 36-66-533-2-1 Joel Lanning 34-115-3.4-1 Marchie Murdock 37-475-12.8-5 Memphis QB/WR Anthony Miller 1-3-35-0-0 Tony Pollard 29-222-7.7-2 Phil Mayhue 30-436-14.5-2 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Iowa St ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None vs. 2.53 Las Vegas Line Memphis ST's Memphis By 3.5 Projected Rushing Iowa St K Memphis has a balanced OFF that avg 548 ypg, 5.9 ypc & the super passing Las Vegas Total 145 yards Iowa St Memphis 181 yards 0.10 vs. 66 Points combo of Ferguson & Miller. They avg 91ypg more than their opponents allow & Projected Passing Memphis K ISU avg 24 ypg less. Memphis is also playing in their home stadium & will have a +/- Ratings 303 yards Iowa St Memphis 281 yards Iowa St Coaches Memphis By 4.0 large crowd edge. Memphis has my #6 ST’s & ISU is just #69. ISU has a large Projected Yardage Total 0.50 vs. edge on D as they allow over 100 ypg less. The ‘Clones have also taken on the Game Grade 448 yards Iowa St Memphis 462 yards Memphis Coaches Iowa St By 2.9 #20 toughest sked, facing 10 P5 teams, including 9 in bowls. Memphis has faced Projected Final Score Iowa St Pts Computer Yards just 1 P5 team & just 6 bowl teams overall. The ‘Clones D did hold OU to just 31 32 points Iowa St Memphis 34 points 2.99 vs. 5.17 Memphis 462-448 points. This game is a tossup & I’ll call for Memphis to win by the slimmest of Experience Rankings Memphis Pts Computer Points margins. 71 Iowa St Memphis 5 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Memphis 34-32

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Memphis Phil Steele 12 Iowa St Memphis 82 Memphis by 1 By 2.18 Points Memphis 32 Iowa St 31 IOWA STATE (7-5) LIBERTYSaturday, December 30, 2017BOWL • 12:30 pm MEMPHIS (10-2) ATS: 8-3-1 O/U: 4-8 ESPN • Liberty Bowl Stadium • Memphis, TN ATS: 7-4-1 O/U: 9-3 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS ISU MEMP 146 rush yd 194 302 pass yd 274 30 pts 35 +11 ytd to +14 #20 sked #88 CHECKLIST ISU MEMP edge edge – QB 41/2 – RB 1/2 – WR 1/2 – OL – 4 DL – 4 LB – – DB – 4 CCH – – SITE 444 – MTCH – – INT – – ST – 4441/2 SKED 441/2 OVERALL MEMPHIS BY 2 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Washington Huskies 10-2 10-2 Penn St Nittany Lions Huskies Logs vs. PAC 12 vs. BIG 10 Nittany Lions Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 7-2 7-2 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 102 8 9/1 at Rutgers 30-14 W 6 16 73 104 84 69 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 101 6 9/2 Akron 52-0 W 4 18 8 89 83 94 1-0 0-0 136 7 9/9 Montana 63-7 W 15 21 73 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 139 120 4 9/9 Pittsburgh 33-14 W 4 12 8 37 71 28 Washington Penn St 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 138 105 6 9/16 Fresno St 48-16 W 17 18 53 88 107 37 2-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 139 93 5 9/16 Georgia St 56-0 W 6 9 3 126 118 104 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 138 118 7 9/23 at Colorado 37-10 W 21 17 38 51 42 47 #38 Rush Off #62 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 140 122 4 9/23 at Iowa 21-19 W 8 8 7 58 29 13 4-0 1-3 1-0 0-1 140 106 6 9/30 at Oregon St 42-7 W 20 14 38 83 102 89 #73 Pass Off #26 4-0 2-1 1-0 0-1 138 119 4 9/30 Indiana 45-14 W 9 10 8 92 48 12 5-0 3-2 2-0 0-2 140 117 6 10/7 California 38-7 W 16 15 66 98 56 88 #54 Total Off #28 5-0 2-2 2-0 0-1 139 125 4 10/7 at Northwestern 31-7 W 15 9 12 47 34 85 6-0 2-3 3-0 1-1 141 118 5 10/14 at Arizona St 7-13 L 19 11 45 51 69 117 #17 Score Off #7 6-0 3-0 141 3 10/14 Bye 16 7 2 6-1 3-1 136 12 10/21 Bye 28 6 62 #20 Sks Allowed #85 6-0 5-1 3-0 2-1 141 127 2 19 10/21 Michigan 42-13 W 16 4 5 41 2 22 6-1 4-3 3-1 2-2 136 119 12 10/28 UCLA 44-23 W 29 6 60 16 52 71 #1 Rush Def #17 7-0 6-1 4-0 4-0 143 144 2 6 10/28 at Ohio St 38-39 L 14 4 4 2 5 47 7-1 5-4 4-1 2-4 136 120 12 11/4 Oregon 38-3 W 28 4 37 16 20 84 #19 Pass Def #43 7-1 6-2 4-1 4-1 143 123 7 24 11/4 at Michigan St 24-27 L 17 11 9 39 19 110 8-1 6-3 5-1 5-2 139 131 9 11/10 at Stanford 22-30 L 24 6 33 13 23 5 #5 Total Def #20 7-2 4-5 4-2 3-3 138 112 16 11/11 Rutgers 35-6 W 18 12 10 98 76 44 8-2 5-5 5-2 2-5 135 118 16 11/18 Utah 33-30 W 23 11 38 47 28 16 #6 Score Def #7 8-2 4-6 5-2 3-4 138 111 13 11/18 Nebraska 56-44 W 20 13 22 69 73 40 9-2 9-2 6-2 6-2 132 126 15 14 11/25 Washington St 41-14 W 21 12 42 41 17 83 #10 Sks By #10 9-2 4-7 6-2 2-6 138 110 12 11/25 at Maryland 66-3 W 17 16 26 98 74 79 10-2 7-2 134 13 12/16 Bye 21 11 39 #11 Ypg Diff #14 10-2 7-2 135 9 12/16 Bye 15 16 27 10-2 10-2 7-2 7-2 134 139 12 9 12/30 † Penn St 21 9 36 11 16 27 +11 Total TO's +14 10-2 10-2 7-2 7-2 139 134 9 12 12/30 † Washington 11 16 27 21 9 36

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at Rutgers 30-14 59 -2 2 17 24-84 3.5 17-30 284 1 19 42-131 3.1 24-35 178 1 Akron 52-0 410 12 0 24 34-247 7.3 21-31 322 0 12 34-73 2.1 14-29 86 3 Montana 63-7 343 15 3 25 37-213 5.8 24-28 293 0 10 33-31 0.9 19-31 132 6 Pittsburgh 33-14 -30 -10 2 14 24-148 6.2 15-28 164 1 24 45-155 3.4 24-41 187 5 Fresno St 48-16 107 3 -1 21 30-92 3.1 25-28 328 1 18 31-119 3.8 21-36 194 1 Georgia St 56-0 206 -2 5 19 24-166 6.9 21-29 360 1 21 49-150 3.1 18-32 170 3 at Colorado 37-10 103 0 2 20 39-254 6.5 11-21 160 0 20 43-120 2.8 22-30 191 5 at Iowa 21-19 306 18 -1 29 51-295 5.8 31-48 284 4 11 23-82 3.6 13-22 191 1 at Oregon St 42-7 325 24 1 32 41-216 5.3 26-34 293 3 8 28-110 3.9 11-22 74 0 Indiana 45-14 18 1 3 20 37-39 1.1 24-37 331 5 19 47-177 3.8 15-32 175 1 California 38-7 284 13 0 22 38-162 4.3 27-42 215 1 9 26--40 -1.5 16-26 133 8 at Northwestern 31-7 116 8 3 23 38-95 2.5 29-41 286 5 15 30-67 2.2 23-43 198 4 at Arizona St 7-13 -55 -3 0 14 31-91 2.9 17-30 139 5 17 32-40 1.3 29-41 245 2 Bye Bye Michigan 42-13 237 9 0 25 35-224 6.4 17-26 282 2 16 42-103 2.5 16-28 166 7 UCLA 44-23 210 9 -1 24 58-333 5.7 9-12 109 0 15 28-62 2.2 19-33 170 4 at Ohio St 38-39 -246 -10 2 17 35-91 2.6 17-29 192 2 27 39-201 5.2 33-39 328 2 Oregon 38-3 173 3 1 19 39-247 6.3 11-19 204 0 16 55-247 4.5 7-13 31 2 at Michigan St 24-27 -8 -3 -2 22 21-65 3.1 27-48 401 3 25 24-74 3.1 33-56 400 2 at Stanford 22-30 -81 -1 -1 20 33-135 4.1 17-23 190 2 21 44-195 4.4 16-27 211 1 Rutgers 35-6 104 8 1 18 31-90 2.9 16-21 214 2 10 39-157 4.0 7-20 43 1 Utah 33-30 67 1 1 23 32-123 3.8 26-35 354 2 22 45-117 2.6 19-27 293 3 Nebraska 56-44 143 11 -1 32 35-263 7.5 26-39 346 2 21 26-67 2.6 26-41 399 4 Washington St 41-14 76 1 4 20 45-328 7.3 11-17 93 1 19 14--24 -1.7 37-55 369 5 at Maryland 66-3 231 17 2 28 48-286 6.0 25-40 248 1 11 25-124 5.0 21-37 179 5 Bye Bye WashingtonHuskies

† Penn St Lions PennNittany St † Washington LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM

Average 37-15 134.3 5.3 0.9 21 37-190 5.1 69.3% 222 5.0% 16 35-92 2.6 63.8% 185 10.1% Average 42-16 123.9 4.9 1.2 23 34-167 4.9 64.5% 286 6.7% 18 35-119 3.4 57.9% 210 9.0% Conference 34-15 122.4 5.2 0.8 22 40-210 5.3 66.5% 195 6.0% 16 35-92 2.6 64.2% 191 10.9% Conference 40-19 100.1 6.6 0.8 24 37-161 4.4 64.4% 287 7.9% 17 33-117 3.6 58.8% 231 8.5% Away 28-15 70.2 3.6 0.8 21 34-156 4.6 63.8% 213 8.0% 17 38-119 3.2 65.8% 180 5.8% Home 46-13 155.4 4.1 1.4 22 31-168 5.4 66.4% 288 6.2% 18 40-126 3.1 53.8% 175 10.8% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving at Rutgers Jake Browning 17-30-284-2-0 Myles Gaskin 7-59-8.4-0 3-85-28.3-0 Washington Penn St Akron Trace McSorley 18-25-280-2-1 14-172-12.3-2 Juwan Johnson 4-84-21.0-0 Montana Jake Browning 22-26-259-2-1 Salvon Ahmed 9-54-6.0-1 Will Dissly 5-79-15.8-2 Washington QB/WR Pittsburgh Trace McSorley 15-28-164-3-1 Saquon Barkley 14-88-6.3-1 Saquon Barkley 4-45-11.3-1 Fresno St Jake Browning 19-22-255-4-0 Myles Gaskin 8-56-7.0-2 Hunter Bryant 3-99-33.0-0 0.12 vs. Georgia St Trace McSorley 18-23-309-4-0 Saquon Barkley 10-47-4.7-0 Saquon Barkley 4-142-35.5-1 at Colorado Jake Browning 11-21-160-1-1 Myles Gaskin 27-202-7.5-2 Dante Pettis 3-54-18.0-0 Penn St DB's at Iowa Trace McSorley 31-48-284-1-1 Saquon Barkley 28-211-7.5-1 Saquon Barkley 12-94-7.8-0 at Oregon St Jake Browning 26-34-293-3-1 Myles Gaskin 15-113-7.5-1 Dante Pettis 12-105-8.8-3 Washington RB's Indiana Trace McSorley 23-36-315-2-1 Saquon Barkley 20-56-2.8-0 DaeSean Hamilton 9-122-13.6-3 California Jake Browning 27-40-215-2-0 Myles Gaskin 24-91-3.8-2 Hunter Bryant 9-121-13.4-1 vs. 0.15 at Northwestern Trace McSorley 25-34-245-1-0 Saquon Barkley 16-75-4.7-2 Saeed Blacknall 4-74-18.5-0 at Arizona St Jake Browning 17-30-139-0-0 Myles Gaskin 14-67-4.8-0 Dante Pettis 7-56-8.0-0 Penn St LB's Bye Bye Washington OL Michigan Trace McSorley 17-26-282-1-1 Saquon Barkley 15-108-7.2-2 DaeSean Hamilton 6-115-19.2-0 UCLA Jake Browning 8-11-98-0-1 Myles Gaskin 27-169-6.3-1 Lavon Coleman 2-46-23.0-0 vs. 0.51 at Ohio St Trace McSorley 17-29-192-2-0 Trace McSorley 13-49-3.8-1 Mike Gesicki 6-57-9.5-0 Oregon Jake Browning 11-19-204-2-1 Myles Gaskin 17-123-7.2-1 Dante Pettis 4-87-21.8-1 Penn St DL at Michigan St Trace McSorley 26-47-381-3-3 Saquon Barkley 14-63-4.5-0 DaeSean Hamilton 7-112-16.0-1 at Stanford Jake Browning 17-23-190-0-0 Myles Gaskin 18-120-6.7-3 Aaron Fuller 4-53-13.3-0 Washington DL Rutgers Trace McSorley 16-21-214-2-0 Trace McSorley 13-44-3.4-1 Juwan Johnson 5-78-15.6-0 Utah Jake Browning 26-35-354-2-0 Myles Gaskin 17-52-3.1-2 Myles Gaskin 6-114-19.0-1 0.88 vs. Nebraska Trace McSorley 24-36-325-3-0 Saquon Barkley 17-158-9.3-3 Juwan Johnson 5-105-21.0-0 Washington St Jake Browning 11-17-93-0-0 Myles Gaskin 25-192-7.7-4 Ty Jones 2-23-11.5-0 Penn St OL at Maryland Trace McSorley 22-33-237-2-0 Tommy Stevens 12-113-9.4-3 Juwan Johnson 6-63-10.5-0 Bye Washington LB'S Bye † Penn St 0.22 vs. † Washington Penn St RB's Jake Browning 212-308-2544-18-5 Myles Gaskin 208-1282-6.2-19 Dante Pettis 62-721-11.6-7 Washington DB's Trace McSorley 252-386-3228-26-8 Saquon Barkley 199-1134-5.7-16 DaeSean Hamilton 48-747-15.6-7 Washington Leaders KJ Carta-Samuels 8-10-82-0-0 Lavon Coleman 85-396-4.7-4 Hunter Bryant 22-331-15.0-1 vs. 0.54 Penn St Leaders Tommy Stevens 14-27-158-3-0 Trace McSorley 132-431-3.3-11 Juwan Johnson 48-635-13.2-1 Dante Pettis 1-1-36-0-0 Salvon Ahmed 60-387-6.5-3 Will Dissly 19-230.1-12.1-2 Penn St QB/WR Saquon Barkley 2-2-36-1-0 Tommy Stevens 27-190-7.0-4 Saquon Barkley 47-594-12.6-3 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Washington ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None vs. 0.30 Las Vegas Line Penn St ST's Penn St By 2 Projected Rushing Washington K Las Vegas Total PSU would be in the playoffs had they held onto an 11 point 4Q lead with 5 min 136 yards Washington Penn St 134 yards vs. 0.04 55 Points to go at OSU. UW has the D edge, holding foes to 121 ypg below their season Projected Passing Penn St K +/- Ratings avg with 2 AA’s in DT Vea & LB Victor. PSU has a solid D, allowing just 329 ypg. 225 yards Washington Penn St 250 yards Washington Coaches Penn St By 6.0 PSU has a good-sized edge on OFF w/Barkley & McSorley, and avg 96 ypg more Projected Yardage Total 0.40 vs. Game Grade than their foes normally allowed, while UW’s OFF avg exactly what their 361 yards Washington Penn St 384 yards Penn St Coaches Penn St By 4.4 Projected Final Score Washington Pts opponents allowed. PSU played the tougher sked & 8 of my 9 sets of power Computer Yards 24 points Washington Penn St 32 points 1.62 vs. 1.53 Penn St 384-361 ratings has them winning by 4+. PSU gets the call as a ‘Best Bet’ selection as Experience Rankings Penn St Pts they’ll win by over a td. Computer Points 13 Washington Penn St 11 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Penn St 32-24

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Washington Phil Steele 64 Washington Penn St 48 Penn St by 8 By 0.09 Points Best Bet: ★ Penn St 32 Washington 24 WASHINGTON (10-2) FIESTASaturday, December 30,BOWL 2017 • 4:00 pm PENN STATE (10-2) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-6 ESPN • University of Phoenix Stadium • Glendale, AZ ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-6 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WASH PSU 153 rush yd 143 228 pass yd 252 25 pts 35 +11 ytd to +14 #65 sked #48 CHECKLIST WASH PSU edge edge – QB 1/2 – RB 1/2 – WR 4 – OL – 4 DL – – LB – – DB – – CCH – – SITE 4 – MTCH – – INT – – ST – – SKED 4 OVERALL PENN STATE BY 3 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Wisconsin Badgers 12-1 10-2 Miami, Fl Hurricanes Badgers Logs vs. BIG 10 vs. ACC Hurricanes Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 9-1 7-2 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 104 9 9/1 Utah St 59-10 W 46 10 38 118 109 101 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 133 18 9/2 Bethune-Cookman 41-13 W 34 5 16 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 139 96 9 9/9 Florida Atlantic 31-14 W 41 11 38 76 119 93 1-0 0-0 131 16 9/9 Bye 20 8 16 Wisconsin Miami, Fl 2-0 1-2 0-0 0-2 135 111 10 9/16 at BYU 40-6 W 30 11 57 105 58 35 1-0 0-0 131 17 9/16 Bye 14 15 14 3-0 0-0 138 9 9/23 Bye 23 11 56 #21 Rush Off #73 1-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 131 116 14 9/23 Toledo 52-30 W 9 21 12 47 85 26 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 138 123 10 9/30 Northwestern 33-24 W 17 13 55 35 34 77 #94 Pass Off #50 2-0 4-0 0-0 1-0 131 128 14 9/29 at Duke 31-6 W 3 15 15 50 19 116 4-0 3-2 1-0 2-0 136 116 9 10/7 at Nebraska 38-17 W 21 11 64 70 36 41 #50 Total Off #58 3-0 1-2 1-0 1-1 136 131 13 10/7 at Florida St 24-20 W 5 13 27 65 12 14 5-0 3-2 2-0 1-1 136 121 7 10/14 Purdue 17-9 W 21 12 65 80 62 103 #30 Score Off #57 4-0 3-1 2-0 2-0 136 127 11 10/14 Georgia Tech 25-24 W 7 15 15 25 36 129 6-0 3-3 3-0 1-2 134 111 5 10/21 Maryland 38-13 W 20 10 66 68 61 76 #42 Sks Allowed #72 5-0 4-3 3-0 2-1 134 120 8 10/21 Syracuse 27-19 W 10 19 18 57 72 33 7-0 2-5 4-0 0-4 134 102 5 10/28 at Illinois 24-10 W 20 11 67 113 86 110 #2 Rush Def #41 6-0 1-7 4-0 0-5 133 108 8 10/28 at North Carolina 24-19 W 11 18 32 77 56 56 8-0 3-5 5-0 0-5 131 117 4 11/4 at Indiana 45-17 W 26 12 62 97 41 43 #4 Pass Def #52 7-0 7-1 5-0 3-1 130 132 9 13 11/4 Virginia Tech 28-10 W 15 17 44 36 9 10 9-0 6-3 6-0 3-3 134 128 6 25 11/11 Iowa 38-14 W 26 8 55 78 24 29 #1 Total Def #40 8-0 8-1 6-0 6-1 133 140 7 3 11/11 Notre Dame 41-8 W 17 14 38 4 17 114 10-0 8-2 7-0 5-2 136 129 5 19 11/18 Michigan 24-10 W 26 4 49 37 3 39 #3 Score Def #20 9-0 6-4 6-0 3-3 138 115 2 11/18 Virginia 44-28 W 17 6 37 95 35 70 11-0 5-6 8-0 2-6 136 118 5 11/25 at Minnesota 31-0 W 29 3 34 113 65 58 #8 Sks By #2 10-0 4-7 7-0 2-5 138 116 2 11/24 at Pittsburgh 14-24 L 19 9 61 86 51 100 12-0 10-2 9-0 8-1 136 143 3 8 12/2 † Ohio St 21-27 L 25 3 37 2 7 38 #8 Ypg Diff #45 10-1 11-1 7-1 7-1 136 137 7 1 12/2 † Clemson 3-38 L 23 10 68 11 2 108 12-1 9-1 138 6 12/9 Bye 22 3 34 +3 Total TO's +15 10-2 7-2 131 11 12/9 Bye 31 11 74 12-1 10-2 9-1 7-2 138 127 6 11 12/30 at Miami, Fl 22 3 34 31 11 74 10-2 12-1 7-2 9-1 127 138 11 6 12/30 Wisconsin 31 11 74 22 3 34 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Utah St 59-10 174 9 2 25 45-234 5.2 15-23 244 3 16 27-85 3.1 25-41 219 1 Bethune-Cookman 41-13 200 8 2 28 34-317 9.3 18-31 233 0 20 30-121 4.0 25-39 229 1 Florida Atlantic 31-14 316 20 -2 29 54-357 6.6 17-30 207 0 9 35-106 3.0 9-19 142 5 Bye at BYU 40-6 299 17 2 28 49-235 4.8 18-19 256 1 11 26-81 3.1 11-20 111 2 Bye Bye Toledo 52-30 158 4 0 27 26-254 9.8 27-36 333 2 23 35-85 2.4 29-50 344 4 Northwestern 33-24 62 -7 -1 13 37-109 2.9 11-20 197 2 20 34-25 0.7 29-45 219 8 at Duke 31-6 60 -5 2 19 35-139 4.0 15-26 270 3 24 46-183 4.0 21-42 166 6 at Nebraska 38-17 85 3 1 19 49-353 7.2 9-17 113 1 16 26-110 4.2 18-35 271 1 at Florida St 24-20 -69 -2 1 20 29-83 2.9 19-44 254 3 22 43-203 4.7 17-28 203 4 Purdue 17-9 273 10 -2 24 53-295 5.6 13-18 199 1 14 26-66 2.5 13-29 155 3 Georgia Tech 25-24 200 8 1 24 36-184 5.1 23-38 297 3 16 53-226 4.3 3-8 55 2 Maryland 38-13 172 5 0 23 41-215 5.2 16-24 225 0 18 35-143 4.1 13-30 125 2 Syracuse 27-19 81 -1 3 22 32-136 4.3 26-43 344 0 23 51-264 5.2 14-42 135 4 at Illinois 24-10 17 2 2 19 45-168 3.7 10-19 135 1 17 33-134 4.1 9-31 152 5 at North Carolina 24-19 -13 -11 2 16 32-59 1.8 17-41 356 2 27 46-176 3.8 20-46 252 3 at Indiana 45-17 141 8 2 24 52-237 4.6 15-22 170 3 16 21-40 1.9 20-34 226 4 Virginia Tech 28-10 130 -1 1 21 34-210 6.2 12-24 219 2 22 43-102 2.4 20-32 197 4 Iowa 38-14 316 13 -1 18 49-247 5.0 11-18 135 2 5 26-25 1.0 8-24 41 4 Notre Dame 41-8 113 5 4 18 42-237 5.6 15-24 137 0 13 36-109 3.0 13-27 152 5 Michigan 24-10 91 1 0 14 40-182 4.6 9-19 143 3 13 37-58 1.6 11-26 176 2 Virginia 44-28 -81 -3 1 15 32-148 4.6 15-28 210 3 18 28-55 2.0 28-37 384 5 at Minnesota 31-0 323 12 -1 20 39-287 7.4 17-21 169 0 8 39-93 2.4 3-9 40 2 at Pittsburgh 14-24 -113 -6 1 14 23-45 2.0 15-36 187 4 20 45-152 3.4 18-29 193 1 † Ohio St 21-27 -151 0 1 16 32-60 1.9 20-41 238 3 16 42-238 5.7 12-26 211 0 † Clemson 3-38 -117 -8 -2 10 30-104 3.5 14-29 110 4 18 41-77 1.9 25-34 254 4 WisconsinBadgers

Bye FlHurricanes Miami, Bye LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM at Miami, Fl Wisconsin Average 34-13 162.9 7.2 0.2 21 45-229 5.1 62.2% 187 6.9% 14 31-93 3.0 49.1% 161 10.6% Average 30-20 45.8 -1.0 1.3 20 32-160 5.0 54.0% 246 6.5% 21 41-146 3.5 56.3% 214 10.4% Conference 31-14 132.9 4.7 0.1 19 44-215 4.9 59.8% 172 7.3% 14 32-93 2.9 47.1% 162 10.7% Conference 24-21 8.7 -3.2 1.0 18 31-123 3.9 50.5% 250 7.8% 21 44-160 3.6 55.7% 204 11.1% Away 33-13 119.0 7.0 1.2 21 44-223 5.0 64.0% 180 6.5% 14 31-116 3.7 47.1% 169 9.0% Home 37-19 114.4 2.9 1.7 22 34-212 6.3 60.7% 253 4.5% 19 39-137 3.5 56.2% 214 10.6% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Utah St Alex Hornibrook 15-23-244-3-0 Jonathan Taylor 9-87-9.7-1 Troy Fumagalli 5-105-21.0-1 Wisconsin Miami, Fl Bethune-Cookman Malik Rosier 17-28-217-3-0 Mark Walton 16-148-9.3-2 Darrell Langham 3-65-21.7-1 Florida Atlantic Alex Hornibrook 16-28-201-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 26-223-8.6-3 Troy Fumagalli 8-92-11.5-1 Wisconsin QB/WR Bye at BYU Alex Hornibrook 18-19-256-4-0 Jonathan Taylor 18-128-7.1-1 Danny Davis 2-67-33.5-0 vs. 0.51 Bye Bye Miami, Fl DB's Toledo Malik Rosier 27-36-333-3-1 Mark Walton 11-204-18.5-1 Braxton Berrios 5-105-21.0-1 Northwestern Alex Hornibrook 11-20-197-1-2 Jonathan Taylor 19-80-4.2-2 Quintez Cephus 4-99-24.8-0 Wisconsin RB's at Duke Malik Rosier 15-26-270-2-1 Mark Walton 17-51-3.0-0 Ahmmon Richards 3-106-35.3-1 at Nebraska Alex Hornibrook 9-17-113-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 25-249-10.0-2 Quintez Cephus 4-68-17.0-1 0.29 vs. at Florida St Malik Rosier 19-44-254-3-1 Travis Homer 3-29-9.7-0 Braxton Berrios 8-90-11.3-2 Purdue Alex Hornibrook 13-18-199-1-2 Jonathan Taylor 30-219-7.3-1 Quintez Cephus 5-100-20.0-1 Miami, Fl LB's Georgia Tech Malik Rosier 23-37-297-1-0 Travis Homer 20-170-8.5-1 Darrell Langham 5-100-20.0-0 Maryland Alex Hornibrook 16-24-225-2-1 Jonathan Taylor 22-126-5.7-1 Troy Fumagalli 7-83-11.9-0 Wisconsin OL Syracuse Malik Rosier 26-43-344-2-0 Travis Homer 20-95-4.8-1 Ahmmon Richards 6-99-16.5-0 at Illinois Alex Hornibrook 10-19-135-0-1 Jonathan Taylor 12-73-6.1-0 Kendric Pryor 2-37-18.5-0 vs. 0.63 at North Carolina Malik Rosier 16-38-356-3-1 Travis Homer 16-40-2.5-0 Jeff Thomas 3-101-33.7-1 at Indiana Alex Hornibrook 13-20-158-2-1 Jonathan Taylor 29-183-6.3-1 AJ Taylor 3-63-21.0-0 Miami, Fl DL Virginia Tech Malik Rosier 10-21-193-2-3 Travis Homer 14-95-6.8-1 Christopher Herndon 2-61-30.5-1 Iowa Alex Hornibrook 11-18-135-2-3 Jonathan Taylor 29-157-5.4-0 Danny Davis 4-74-18.5-0 Wisconsin DL Notre Dame Malik Rosier 15-24-137-1-0 Travis Homer 18-146-8.1-0 Lawrence Cager 2-45-22.5-0 Michigan Alex Hornibrook 9-19-143-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 19-132-6.9-0 AJ Taylor 3-79-26.3-1 0.55 vs. Virginia Malik Rosier 15-28-210-3-2 Travis Homer 17-96-5.6-1 Ahmmon Richards 4-51-12.8-1 at Minnesota Alex Hornibrook 15-19-151-3-0 Jonathan Taylor 20-149-7.5-1 Kendric Pryor 3-51-17.0-0 Miami, Fl OL at Pittsburgh Malik Rosier 15-34-187-2-0 Malik Rosier 12-31-2.6-0 Braxton Berrios 4-61-15.3-1 † Ohio St Alex Hornibrook 19-40-229-0-2 Jonathan Taylor 15-41-2.7-0 Danny Davis 3-50-16.7-0 Wisconsin LB'S † Clemson Malik Rosier 14-29-110-0-2 Deejay Dallas 6-44-7.3-0 Braxton Berrios 7-51-7.3-0 Bye 1.88 vs. Bye at Miami, Fl Miami, Fl RB's Wisconsin Alex Hornibrook 175-284-2386-21-15 Jonathan Taylor 273-1847-6.8-13 Troy Fumagalli 43-516-12.0-4 Wisconsin DB's Malik Rosier 212-388-2908-25-11 Travis Homer 151-902-6.0-7 Braxton Berrios 51-625-12.3-9 Wisconsin Leaders Jack Coan 5-5-36-0-0 Bradrick Shaw 96-365-3.8-4 Quintez Cephus 30-501-16.7-6 0.40 vs. Miami, Fl Leaders Braxton Berrios 1-1-17-0-0 Mark Walton 56-428-7.6-3 Christopher Herndon 40-477-11.9-4 Garrett Groshek 1-1-9-0-0 Garrett Groshek 57-294-5.2-2 AJ Taylor 23-370-16.1-4 Miami, Fl QB/WR Evan Shirrefs 2-7-16-0-0 Malik Rosier 122-427-3.5-5 Ahmmon Richards 24-439-18.3-3 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Wisconsin ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None 0.47 vs. Las Vegas Line Miami, Fl ST's Wisconsin By 6 I picked Miami as my #2 Surprise team in my magazine. They got as high as #2 Projected Rushing Wisconsin K Las Vegas Total in the Playoff rankings, but lost their star TE & one of their top WR’s prior to the 186 yards Wisconsin Miami, Fl 76 yards 0.58 vs. 45 Points ACC title game. Rosier completed just 49% the L/6 games. Miami’s D comes to Projected Passing Miami, Fl K +/- Ratings play in big games as they held VT, ND & Clemson to 90 ypg below their season 189 yards Wisconsin Miami, Fl 203 yards Wisconsin Coaches Wisconsin By 9.5 avg. Clemson only had 331 yards. UW has the nation’s top D statistically, Projected Yardage Total vs. 0.25 Game Grade allowing just 253 ypg. The Badgers took on a light sked, but held foes to 136 375 yards Wisconsin Miami, Fl 279 yards Miami, Fl Coaches Wisconsin By 8.4 Projected Final Score Wisconsin Pts ypg below their season avg, which is 4th best. While UW comes in avg 5.1 ypc, Computer Yards 26 points Wisconsin Miami, Fl 16 points 4.17 vs. 1.39 Wisconsin 375-279 keep in mind ND was at 7.0 ypc & Miami held them to 109 rush yards. Both have Experience Rankings Miami, Fl Pts gread D’s & can be stopped on OFF. I’ll call for Miami to keep this game close in Computer Points 33 Wisconsin Miami, Fl 73 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Wisconsin 26-16 a lower than expected scoring game.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Wisconsin Phil Steele 47 Wisconsin Miami, Fl 31 Wisconsin by 3 By 2.78 Points Wisconsin 20 Miami, FL 17 WISCONSIN (12-1) ORANGESaturday, December 30, BOWL2017 • 8:00 pm MIAMI (10-2) ATS: 8-5 O/U: 7-6 ESPN • • Miami Gardens, FL ATS: 5-7 O/U: 2-10 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WISC MIA 175 rush yd 59 195 pass yd 189 26 pts 12 +4 ytd to +15 #51 sked #33 CHECKLIST WISC MIA edge edge 441/2 QB 1/2 1/2 RB – – WR – – OL – – DL – 1/2 LB – 4 DB – – CCH – – SITE 41/2 44 MTCH – – INT 1/2 41/2 ST – – SKED 1/2 OVERALL WISCONSIN BY 5 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: South Carolina Gamecocks 8-4 8-4 Michigan Wolverines Gamecocks Logs vs. SEC vs. BIG 10 Wolverines Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 5-3 5-4 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 127 9/2 † NC State 35-28 W 22 32 126 26 20 36 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 128 11 17 9/2 † Florida 33-17 W 41 22 37 25 14 3 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 118 117 9/9 at Missouri 31-13 W 32 26 126 12 64 77 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 108 8 9/9 Cincinnati 36-14 W 44 9 37 101 75 91 South Carolina Michigan 2-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 123 116 9/16 Kentucky 13-23 L 37 23 65 67 32 25 2-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 110 7 9/16 Air Force 29-13 W 42 6 83 40 106 26 2-1 2-1 1-1 1-0 118 112 9/23 Louisiana Tech 17-16 W 52 23 119 79 101 65 #108 Rush Off #43 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 129 121 8 9/23 at Purdue 28-10 W 42 3 15 72 64 113 3-1 3-1 1-1 1-0 117 120 9/30 at Texas A&M 17-24 L 53 26 113 30 17 4 #79 Pass Off #112 4-0 1-0 131 8 9/30 Bye 48 3 23 3-2 2-2 1-2 0-1 117 115 10/7 Arkansas 48-22 W 60 28 120 24 54 126 #109 Total Off #101 4-0 3-1 1-0 1-0 131 120 7 10/7 Michigan St 10-14 L 45 2 13 39 21 111 4-2 3-2 2-2 0-2 121 115 10/14 at Tennessee 15-9 W 62 25 78 59 47 10 #98 Score Off #86 4-1 3-2 1-1 0-2 127 118 17 10/14 at Indiana 27-20 W 42 2 12 87 38 37 5-2 3-2 122 10/21 Bye 64 23 79 #72 Sks Allowed #114 5-1 6-0 2-1 3-0 127 141 19 2 10/21 at Penn St 13-42 L 41 2 22 16 4 5 5-2 3-4 3-2 0-4 122 111 10/28 Vanderbilt 34-27 W 69 24 65 102 55 120 #43 Rush Def #21 5-2 3-4 2-2 2-2 125 111 10/28 Rutgers 35-14 W 49 3 23 92 66 42 6-2 8-0 4-2 5-0 121 140 2 11/4 at Georgia 10-24 L 61 25 48 7 6 14 #72 Pass Def #1 6-2 4-4 3-2 1-4 125 116 11/4 Minnesota 33-10 W 38 3 32 108 52 55 6-3 3-5 4-3 3-4 122 114 11/11 Florida 28-20 W 63 30 51 58 41 56 #51 Total Def #3 7-2 4-5 4-2 2-4 127 112 21 11/11 at Maryland 35-10 W 36 2 61 89 75 40 7-3 5-3 121 11/18 Wofford 31-10 W 58 27 60 #26 Score Def #14 8-2 10-0 5-2 7-0 129 136 19 5 11/18 at Wisconsin 10-24 L 37 3 39 26 4 49 8-3 10-1 5-3 7-1 121 137 4 11/25 Clemson 10-34 L 56 28 59 11 2 106 #61 Sks By #8 8-3 9-2 5-3 7-1 129 143 8 11/25 Ohio St 20-31 L 43 5 51 1 7 48 8-4 5-3 123 12/2 Bye 78 30 58 #89 Ypg Diff #25 8-4 5-4 129 12/2 Bye 42 6 65 8-4 8-4 5-3 5-4 121 129 1/1 † Michigan 56 33 59 44 4 65 +9 Total TO's -2 8-4 8-4 5-4 5-3 129 121 1/1 † South Carolina 44 4 65 56 33 59

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks † NC State 35-28 -258 -17 1 12 21-31 1.5 17-29 215 3 29 35-89 2.5 45-64 415 4 † Florida 33-17 241 10 1 19 49-215 4.4 12-26 218 5 9 27-11 0.4 14-26 181 6 at Missouri 31-13 -64 -1 3 20 40-172 4.3 18-28 187 1 21 37-178 4.8 14-32 245 1 Cincinnati 36-14 214 3 0 16 37-193 5.2 17-29 221 1 13 30-68 2.3 15-40 132 4 Kentucky 13-23 5 -6 0 14 20-54 2.7 24-37 304 2 20 47-184 3.9 16-26 169 1 Air Force 29-13 127 2 0 17 42-190 4.5 14-23 169 2 15 49-168 3.4 1-9 64 3 Louisiana Tech 17-16 77 6 -1 23 32-143 4.5 22-35 295 2 17 28-80 2.9 23-33 281 1 at Purdue 28-10 234 15 -1 24 44-139 3.2 21-31 284 4 9 20-30 1.5 13-30 159 5 at Texas A&M 17-24 -117 -6 0 14 26-23 0.9 17-30 256 7 20 49-237 4.8 19-27 159 1 Bye Arkansas 48-22 28 0 4 19 36-159 4.4 16-31 199 1 19 32-106 3.3 20-37 224 2 Michigan St 10-14 48 4 -5 17 39-102 2.6 16-35 198 4 13 40-158 4.0 11-22 94 0 at Tennessee 15-9 70 3 0 19 40-194 4.9 15-24 129 1 16 39-120 3.1 11-19 133 7 at Indiana 27-20 51 3 2 17 44-271 6.2 10-20 58 0 14 29-80 2.8 21-43 198 2 Bye at Penn St 13-42 -237 -9 0 16 42-103 2.5 16-28 166 7 25 35-224 6.4 17-26 282 2 Vanderbilt 34-27 -54 -1 1 26 37-212 5.7 19-29 174 1 27 23-107 4.7 27-49 333 0 Rutgers 35-14 276 16 -1 25 51-334 6.5 13-20 137 1 9 31-94 3.0 8-16 101 5 at Georgia 10-24 -168 -12 -1 14 17-43 2.5 21-36 227 2 26 53-242 4.6 16-22 196 1 Minnesota 33-10 263 1 1 14 37-371 10.0 8-13 56 3 13 44-90 2.0 5-12 74 5 Florida 28-20 168 12 -1 24 47-220 4.7 19-29 249 3 12 22-78 3.5 17-39 223 4 at Maryland 35-10 -35 1 2 16 38-160 4.2 9-18 145 0 15 32-180 5.6 18-38 160 1 Wofford 31-10 162 9 3 23 38-195 5.1 22-28 194 2 14 41-155 3.8 5-9 72 1 at Wisconsin 10-24 -91 -1 0 13 37-58 1.6 11-26 176 2 14 40-182 4.6 9-19 143 3 Clemson 10-34 -262 -17 0 10 25-81 3.2 16-29 126 1 27 45-184 4.1 25-38 285 1 Ohio St 20-31 -55 -1 -1 16 36-100 2.8 17-32 195 5 17 48-226 4.7 9-15 124 3 Bye Bye

† Michigan MichiganWolverines † South Carolina LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM

Average 24-21 -34.4 -2.5 0.8 18 32-127 4.0 61.9% 213 7.1% 21 38-147 3.9 60.3% 228 6.1% Gamecocks SouthCarolina Average 26-18 86.3 3.7 -0.2 18 41-186 4.5 54.5% 169 11.3% 14 35-126 3.6 47.6% 143 13.2% Conference 25-20 -16.5 -1.4 0.8 19 33-135 4.1 61.1% 216 7.4% 20 38-157 4.1 55.8% 210 6.8% Conference 23-19 50.4 3.2 -0.3 18 41-182 4.5 54.3% 157 11.7% 14 35-140 4.0 50.2% 148 11.8% Away 22-20 -107.4 -6.6 0.6 16 29-93 3.2 59.9% 203 9.5% 22 43-173 4.1 64.0% 230 8.5% Home 27-16 145.5 4.2 -1.0 18 40-215 5.3 55.9% 163 10.5% 13 40-134 3.3 43.0% 98 17.5% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving † NC State Jake Bentley 17-29-215-3-1 12-27-2.3-1 Deebo Samuel 5-83-16.6-2 South Carolina Michigan † Florida Wilton Speight 11-25-181-1-2 Ty Isaac 11-114-10.4-0 Tarik Black 2-83-41.5-1 at Missouri Jake Bentley 18-28-187-1-0 Ty'Son Williams 14-78-5.6-0 Hayden Hurst 3-69-23.0-1 South Carolina QB/WR Cincinnati Wilton Speight 17-29-221-2-0 Ty Isaac 20-133-6.7-0 Kekoa Crawford 4-83-20.8-1 Kentucky Jake Bentley 24-36-304-2-2 Rico Dowdle 8-23-2.9-0 Deebo Samuel 5-122-24.4-1 vs. 0.95 Air Force Wilton Speight 14-23-169-0-0 Ty Isaac 16-89-5.6-0 Tarik Black 5-55-11.0-0 Louisiana Tech Jake Bentley 22-34-295-1-1 Ty'Son Williams 13-95-7.3-1 Bryan Edwards 6-122-20.3-0 Michigan DB's at Purdue John O'Korn 18-26-270-1-1 Chris Evans 14-97-6.9-2 Sean McKeon 5-82-16.4-0 at Texas A&M Jake Bentley 17-30-256-2-0 Ty'Son Williams 14-73-5.2-0 Shi Smith 3-86-28.7-1 South Carolina RB's Bye Arkansas Jake Bentley 16-31-199-3-0 Rico Dowdle 11-61-5.5-0 Hayden Hurst 2-76-38.0-1 vs. 1.72 Michigan St John O'Korn 16-35-198-0-3 Karan Higdon 12-65-5.4-0 Grant Perry 5-61-12.2-0 at Tennessee Jake Bentley 15-24-129-0-0 AJ Turner 14-86-6.1-1 Bryan Edwards 6-63-10.5-0 Michigan LB's at Indiana John O'Korn 10-20-58-0-0 Karan Higdon 25-200-8.0-3 Donovan Peoples-Jones 4-34-8.5-0 Bye South Carolina OL at Penn St John O'Korn 16-28-166-0-0 Karan Higdon 15-45-3.0-1 Grant Perry 3-46-15.3-0 Vanderbilt Jake Bentley 19-29-174-1-0 AJ Turner 15-121-8.1-1 Shi Smith 5-76-15.2-1 vs. 1.38 Rutgers Brandon Peters 10-14-124-1-0 Karan Higdon 18-158-8.8-2 Sean McKeon 3-31-10.3-0 at Georgia Jake Bentley 21-35-227-1-2 AJ Turner 8-35-4.4-0 Hayden Hurst 7-93-13.3-0 Michigan DL Minnesota Brandon Peters 8-13-56-1-0 Karan Higdon 16-200-12.5-2 Sean McKeon 3-30-10.0-1 Florida Jake Bentley 19-29-249-0-3 AJ Turner 22-136-6.2-0 OrTre Smith 5-60-12.0-0 South Carolina DL at Maryland Brandon Peters 9-18-145-2-0 Chris Evans 15-80-5.3-2 Zach Gentry 3-63-21.0-1 Wofford Jake Bentley 22-28-194-1-0 AJ Turner 11-69-6.3-1 Bryan Edwards 8-90-11.3-1 0.20 vs. at Wisconsin Brandon Peters 9-18-157-0-0 Chris Evans 11-25-2.3-0 Donovan Peoples-Jones 4-64-16.0-0 Clemson Jake Bentley 16-29-126-1-2 Ty'Son Williams 13-53-4.1-0 Bryan Edwards 6-70-11.7-1 Michigan OL Ohio St John O'Korn 17-32-195-1-1 Chris Evans 11-67-6.1-0 Kekoa Crawford 2-57-28.5-0 Bye South Carolina LB'S Bye † Michigan vs. 0.68 † South Carolina Michigan RB's Jake Bentley 226-362-2555-16-11 AJ Turner 92-517-5.6-3 Bryan Edwards 59-705-11.9-4 South Carolina DB's John O'Korn 83-156-956-2-6 Karan Higdon 147-929-6.3-11 Grant Perry 25-307-12.3-1 South Carolina Leaders Hayden Hurst 0-1-0.1-0-0 Ty'Son Williams 92-460-5.0-1 Hayden Hurst 41-518-12.6-2 vs. 0.01 Michigan Leaders Wilton Speight 44-81-581-3-2 Chris Evans 126-661-5.2-6 Sean McKeon 29-285-9.8-3 Team 0-2-0-0-0 Rico Dowdle 60-206-3.4-1 Shi Smith 26-350-13.5-2 Michigan QB/WR Brandon Peters 37-64-486-4-0 Ty Isaac 88-548-6.2-3 Zach Gentry 15-276-18.4-2 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) South Carolina ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score 2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's 1.53 vs. Las Vegas Line Michigan 19 46.5 28 24 45-141 18-37-214 Michigan ST's Michigan By 8 South Carolina 11 -5 33 17 17-85 25-36-341 1 Projected Rushing South Carolina K Las Vegas Total SC is 6-1 ATS as a ‘dog with 4 outright wins. HC Harbaugh is just 5-10 ATS as a 81 yards South Carolina Michigan 178 yards vs. 1.25 43 Points favorite. SC overachieved, winning 8 games & playing in the weak SEC East. Projected Passing Michigan K +/- Ratings They avoided LSU, Bama & Aub out of the West. Their win over NCSt was 152 yards South Carolina Michigan 195 yards South Carolina Coaches Michigan By 17.5 misleading as they were outgained by 258 yds. On the ssn, SC was outgained by Projected Yardage Total vs. 1.30 Game Grade 34 ypg. UM won the same amount of games, but outgained their foes by 86 ypg. 233 yards South Carolina Michigan 373 yards Michigan Coaches Michigan By 10.6 UM’s D allowed just 269 ypg, while SC allowed 375 ypg. UM has the potential to Projected Final Score South Carolina Pts Computer Yards 12 points South Carolina Michigan 23 points 1.73 vs. 7.29 Michigan 373-233 be a top 10 team to open up ‘18 and will finish off the season with an impressive Experience Rankings Michigan Pts win by 2 td’s. Computer Points 26 South Carolina Michigan 127 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Michigan 23-12

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Michigan Phil Steele 52 South Carolina Michigan 17 Michigan by 14 By 5.56 Points Michigan 24 South Carolina 10 MICHIGAN (8-4) OUTBACKMonday, January 1, 2018 •BOWL 12:00 pm SOUTH CAROLINA (8-4) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-5-1 ESPN2 • • Tampa, FL ATS: 8-4 O/U: 4-8 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS MICH S CAR 179 rush yd 98 201 pass yd 133 24 pts 10 -2 ytd to +9 #35 sked #42 CHECKLIST MICH S CAR edge edge – QB 41/2 44 RB – – WR 1/2 1/2 OL – 4 DL – 41/2 LB – 44 DB – 4 CCH – – SITE – 4 MTCH – – INT 4 – ST – 1/2 SKED – OVERALL MICHIGAN BY 6’ 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: UCF Knights 12-0 10-3 Auburn Tigers Knights Logs vs. AAC vs. SEC Tigers Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 9-0 7-2 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 103 8/31 FIU 61-17 W 70 67 33 111 99 82 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 128 95 12 9/2 GA Southern 41-7 W 7 12 7 124 126 62 1-0 0-0 113 9/9 Bye 65 67 33 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 129 141 13 3 9/9 at Clemson 6-14 L 6 7 7 14 4 83 UCF Auburn 1-0 0-0 113 9/16 Bye 51 67 21 1-1 0-0 130 15 9/16 Mercer 24-10 W 18 8 9 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 113 116 9/23 at Maryland 38-10 W 46 67 44 15 48 57 #34 Rush Off #22 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 126 108 15 9/23 at Missouri 51-14 W 24 9 23 22 78 46 2-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 118 118 9/30 Memphis 40-13 W 38 52 71 39 71 7 #7 Pass Off #68 3-1 3-1 1-0 1-1 130 125 13 24 9/30 Miss St 49-10 W 21 7 13 22 21 58 3-0 2-3 1-0 0-1 122 107 25 10/7 at Cincinnati 51-23 W 35 42 51 110 88 117 #5 Total Off #26 4-1 2-2 2-0 0-1 134 110 12 10/7 Mississippi 44-23 W 19 5 28 36 57 70 4-0 1-5 2-0 1-2 125 92 22 10/14 East Carolina 63-21 W 24 41 50 109 130 120 #1 Score Off #25 5-1 4-2 3-0 1-1 133 124 10 10/14 at LSU 23-27 L 17 8 27 29 10 71 5-0 5-1 3-0 3-1 126 116 20 10/21 at Navy 31-21 W 17 35 31 25 100 80 #7 Sks Allowed #95 5-2 2-4 3-1 0-3 130 112 21 10/21 at Arkansas 52-20 W 19 9 28 35 62 109 6-0 4-0 126 18 10/28 Austin Peay 73-33 W 12 40 27 #65 Rush Def #32 6-2 4-1 133 19 10/28 Bye 13 7 33 7-0 6-2 4-0 3-1 127 113 15 11/4 at SMU 31-24 W 10 45 23 27 98 90 #111 Pass Def #14 6-2 5-3 4-1 3-2 133 120 16 11/4 at Texas A&M 42-27 W 12 8 50 40 23 3 8-0 3-6 5-0 2-4 127 96 14 11/11 Connecticut 49-24 W 12 43 27 117 115 115 #94 Total Def #14 7-2 9-0 5-1 6-0 134 139 10 2 11/11 Georgia 40-17 W 13 9 60 6 7 14 9-0 5-5 6-0 3-3 125 113 14 11/18 at Temple 45-19 W 10 51 21 105 85 102 #53 Score Def #10 8-2 4-5 6-1 4-3 139 99 6 11/18 ULM 42-14 W 11 7 57 54 122 45 10-0 9-1 7-0 6-1 125 118 13 22 11/24 USF 49-42 W 14 45 17 24 25 51 #92 Sks By #13 9-2 11-0 6-1 7-0 137 143 6 1 11/25 Alabama 26-14 W 9 4 66 2 1 27 11-0 3-0 8-0 0-0 128 118 12 16 12/2 Memphis 62-55 W 18 61 13 39 71 7 #18 Ypg Diff #10 10-2 9-0 7-1 6-0 139 139 4 6 12/2 † Georgia 7-28 L 9 5 70 6 7 14 12-0 9-0 129 10 12/2 Bye 18 61 13 +15 Total TO's +1 10-3 7-2 136 7 12/9 Bye 9 5 70 12-0 10-3 9-0 7-2 129 136 10 7 1/1 † Auburn 18 61 13 9 5 70 10-3 12-0 7-2 9-0 136 129 7 10 1/1 † UCF 9 5 70 18 61 13 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FIU 61-17 252 18 2 31 45-148 3.3 26-33 439 0 13 26-134 5.2 18-31 201 1 GA Southern 41-7 457 17 -2 25 53-351 6.6 15-26 184 3 8 47-70 1.5 4-9 8 6 Bye at Clemson 6-14 -164 -5 2 13 42-38 0.9 13-24 79 11 18 36-96 2.7 20-31 185 4 Bye Mercer 24-10 264 14 -5 26 43-146 3.4 32-37 364 1 12 35-100 2.9 20-32 146 0 at Maryland 38-10 231 0 2 18 39-250 6.4 18-30 178 0 18 37-42 1.1 17-28 155 5 at Missouri 51-14 142 1 4 22 53-263 5.0 16-21 219 1 21 31-124 4.0 23-39 216 2 Memphis 40-13 207 2 3 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2 Miss St 49-10 160 -4 0 14 39-244 6.3 14-17 267 2 18 47-194 4.1 13-37 157 2 at Cincinnati 51-23 124 2 1 23 21-141 6.7 16-19 374 1 21 26-113 4.3 23-40 278 1 Mississippi 44-23 132 2 0 25 51-326 6.4 14-21 235 1 23 30-83 2.8 34-51 346 1 East Carolina 63-21 256 17 0 33 42-238 5.7 25-31 365 2 16 37-187 5.1 15-33 160 1 at LSU 23-27 -9 3 1 17 44-189 4.3 9-26 165 3 14 39-157 4.0 13-25 206 4 at Navy 31-21 64 3 2 22 42-247 5.9 16-24 236 1 19 59-248 4.2 5-14 171 0 at Arkansas 52-20 295 7 1 26 47-345 7.3 21-30 284 0 19 42-171 4.1 15-26 163 6 Austin Peay 73-33 137 9 2 27 36-142 3.9 28-31 347 1 18 44-143 3.3 12-19 209 0 Bye at SMU 31-24 126 2 -2 23 36-203 5.6 23-40 412 2 21 37-206 5.6 27-52 283 0 at Texas A&M 42-27 153 10 0 23 52-228 4.4 20-27 268 2 13 34-143 4.2 16-33 200 1 Connecticut 49-24 106 -1 1 22 35-173 4.9 25-38 346 2 23 45-212 4.7 18-31 201 3 Georgia 40-17 258 12 1 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 at Temple 45-19 -13 -2 5 17 40-130 3.3 18-28 254 2 19 35-196 5.6 17-42 201 1 ULM 42-14 222 9 1 25 48-317 6.6 18-24 235 0 16 41-116 2.8 16-36 214 2 UCF KnightsUCF

USF 49-42 -120 5 1 32 40-160 4.0 29-44 373 0 27 39-150 3.8 24-45 503 3 Tigers Auburn Alabama 26-14 94 7 0 25 49-168 3.4 22-29 240 1 18 38-211 5.6 13-23 103 2 Memphis 40-13 207 2 3 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2 † Georgia 40-17 258 12 1 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 Bye Bye LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM † Auburn † UCF Average 49-25 111.9 4.6 1.3 26 39-201 5.2 69.7% 339 3.1% 21 38-166 4.4 54.4% 263 4.9% Average 34-17 141.7 5.5 0.1 22 46-228 5.0 67.0% 226 8.8% 16 38-135 3.5 55.0% 178 9.2% Conference 47-27 80.3 3.1 1.0 26 38-208 5.4 67.5% 345 3.7% 23 39-185 4.8 53.1% 288 4.3% Conference 37-20 118.1 4.0 0.6 22 46-235 5.1 65.4% 230 6.6% 18 37-152 4.1 54.7% 195 8.4% Away 39-19 106.4 1.0 1.6 21 36-194 5.5 64.5% 291 4.3% 20 39-161 4.1 50.6% 218 4.0% Home 38-14 226.7 8.1 -0.7 24 47-256 5.4 73.7% 254 5.6% 15 39-117 3.0 52.1% 165 7.8% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving FIU McKenzie Milton 16-21-360-4-1 Jawon Hamilton 12-56-4.7-1 Dredrick Snelson 4-98-24.5-0 UCF Auburn GA Southern Jarrett Stidham 14-24-185-2-1 Kerryon Johnson 16-136-8.5-1 Will Hastings 4-68-17.0-1 Bye UCF QB/WR at Clemson Jarrett Stidham 13-24-79-0-0 Kamryn Pettway 22-74-3.4-0 Ryan Davis 8-32-4.0-0 Bye 0.45 vs. Mercer Jarrett Stidham 32-37-364-0-1 Kamryn Pettway 34-128-3.8-3 Will Hastings 3-71-23.7-0 at Maryland McKenzie Milton 18-30-178-1-0 McKenzie Milton 6-94-15.7-0 Jordan Akins 3-57-19.0-1 Auburn DB's at Missouri Jarrett Stidham 13-17-218-1-0 Kam Martin 9-74-8.2-0 Nate Craig-Myers 2-61-30.5-1 Memphis McKenzie Milton 19-31-253-3-1 Adrian Killins 9-115-12.8-1 Tre'Quan Smith 3-71-23.7-2 UCF RB's Miss St Jarrett Stidham 13-16-264-2-0 Kerryon Johnson 23-116-5.0-3 Eli Stove 2-75-37.5-0 at Cincinnati McKenzie Milton 16-19-374-5-0 Marlon Williams 1-47-47.0-0 Tre'Quan Smith 5-165-33.0-3 vs. 1.43 Mississippi Jarrett Stidham 14-21-235-2-0 Kerryon Johnson 28-204-7.3-3 Ryan Davis 2-75-37.5-1 East Carolina McKenzie Milton 21-27-324-2-0 Greg McCrae 5-64-12.8-1 Tre'Quan Smith 5-93-18.6-0 Auburn LB's at LSU Jarrett Stidham 9-26-165-1-0 Kerryon Johnson 31-156-5.0-1 Ryan Davis 2-67-33.5-0 at Navy McKenzie Milton 15-23-233-1-1 Adrian Killins 15-122-8.1-2 Dredrick Snelson 3-72-24.0-0 UCF OL at Arkansas Jarrett Stidham 19-28-218-0-1 Kamryn Pettway 11-90-8.2-3 Darius Slayton 4-146-36.5-1 Austin Peay McKenzie Milton 24-26-275-3-0 Noah Vedral 5-37-7.4-1 Dredrick Snelson 5-90-18.0-2 vs. 1.43 Bye at SMU McKenzie Milton 23-40-412-1-2 Adrian Killins 14-145-10.4-2 Tre'Quan Smith 7-141-20.1-0 Auburn DL at Texas A&M Jarrett Stidham 20-27-268-3-0 Kerryon Johnson 29-145-5.0-1 Darius Slayton 2-99-49.5-1 Connecticut McKenzie Milton 24-36-311-2-0 Otis Anderson 9-84-9.3-2 Tre'Quan Smith 7-120-17.1-1 UCF DL Georgia Jarrett Stidham 16-23-214-3-0 Kerryon Johnson 32-167-5.2-0 Kerryon Johnson 2-66-33.0-1 at Temple McKenzie Milton 16-23-208-4-0 Otis Anderson 5-58-11.6-0 Tre'Quan Smith 4-89-22.3-1 vs. 1.63 ULM Jarrett Stidham 18-24-235-2-1 Kerryon Johnson 22-137-6.2-1 Darius Slayton 4-89-22.3-1 USF McKenzie Milton 29-44-373-4-1 Adrian Killins 15-82-5.5-1 Dredrick Snelson 4-81-20.3-2 Auburn OL Alabama Jarrett Stidham 21-28-237-0-0 Kerryon Johnson 30-104-3.5-1 Ryan Davis 11-139-12.6-0 Memphis McKenzie Milton 28-40-494-5-3 Otis Anderson 15-113-7.5-1 Tre'Quan Smith 6-161-26.8-2 UCF LB'S † Georgia Jarrett Stidham 16-32-145-1-0 Kerryon Johnson 13-44-3.4-0 Ryan Davis 7-65-9.3-0 Bye vs. 1.25 Bye † Auburn Auburn RB's † UCF McKenzie Milton 249-360-3795-35-9 Adrian Killins 111-762-6.9-10 Tre'Quan Smith 54-1082-20.0-13 UCF DB's Jarrett Stidham 218-327-2827-17-4 Kerryon Johnson 263-1320-5.0-17 Ryan Davis 76-768-10.1-5 UCF Leaders Noah Vedral 22-29-276-1-0 McKenzie Milton 93-497-5.3-7 Dredrick Snelson 42-656-15.6-7 vs. 1.77 Auburn Leaders Ryan Davis 1-2-62-1-0 Kam Martin 68-429-6.3-2 Darius Slayton 24-574-23.9-5 Otis Anderson 58-456-7.9-4 Jordan Akins 30-459-15.3-4 Auburn QB/WR Malik Willis 6-7-45-1-0 Kamryn Pettway 76-305-4.0-6 Will Hastings 20-408-20.4-3 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) UCF ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None 2.30 vs. Las Vegas Line Auburn ST's Auburn By 9.5 Projected Rushing UCF K UCF’s explosive OFF scored 49 ppg & avg 540 ypg. Upon closer inspection, UCF Las Vegas Total 107 yards UCF Auburn 236 yards vs. 0.39 67 Points took on 1 of the weakest slates of D’s any team faced. The highest ranked D Projected Passing Auburn K they opposed was #49 in my rankings & just 3 of their 13 foes ranked higher +/- Ratings 269 yards UCF Auburn 300 yards UCF Coaches Auburn By 8.5 than #85. Auburn comes in with my #7 rated D & 1 of the best front 7’s in the Projected Yardage Total vs. 0.80 country. The G5 NYD bowl team is 3-1 SU/ATS & is always more motivated. The Game Grade 376 yards UCF Auburn 536 yards Auburn Coaches Auburn By 9.6 lone loss was LY & that was when WM came in unbeaten. UCF comes in Projected Final Score UCF Pts Computer Yards unbeaten & Auburn has knocked off a pair of undefeated #1 teams, each by 27 points UCF Auburn 37 points 2.75 vs. 8.70 Auburn 536-376 DD’s. While those wins were at home, Bama & UGA are a lot stronger than this Experience Rankings Auburn Pts Computer Points UCF squad & I’ll call for the Tigers to win by over 2 td’s. 53 UCF Auburn 6 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Auburn 37-27

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Auburn Phil Steele 78 UCF Auburn 19 Auburn by 17 By 5.95 Points Auburn 40 UCF 23 UCF (12-0) PEACHMonday, January 1, BOWL2018 • 12:30 pm AUBURN (10-3) ATS: 6-4-1 O/U: 7-4 ESPN • Mercedez-Benz Stadium • Atlanta, GA ATS: 5-6-2 O/U: 7-6 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UCF AUB 107 rush yd 256 282 pass yd 317 28 pts 39 +15 ytd to +1 #79 sked #3 CHECKLIST UCF AUB edge edge 1/2 QB – – RB 41/2 – WR – – OL 1/2 – DL 444 – LB 44 – DB 4 – CCH 4 – SITE 41/2 – MTCH – 44 INT – 41/2 ST – – SKED 4441/2 OVERALL AUBURN BY 10 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 9-3 9-3 LSU Tigers Fighting Irish Logs vs. IND vs. SEC Tigers Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 6-3 6-2 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 130 116 9/2 Temple 49-16 W 14 27 49 93 68 23 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 118 13 9/2 † BYU 27-0 W 18 11 9 73 33 15 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 134 126 24 15 9/9 Georgia 19-20 L 7 24 49 11 16 58 1-0 0-0 132 12 9/9 Chattanooga 45-10 W 19 5 9 Notre Dame LSU 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-1 131 112 9/16 at Boston College 49-20 W 11 22 70 81 33 63 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 132 125 12 9/16 at Miss St 7-37 L 21 3 18 27 28 72 2-1 2-0 1-1 0-0 133 118 9/23 at Michigan St 38-18 W 7 22 70 41 16 127 #7 Rush Off #30 2-1 2-1 0-1 0-0 127 113 25 9/23 Syracuse 35-26 W 27 4 14 63 52 36 3-1 2-2 2-1 1-0 134 111 22 9/30 Miami, OH 52-17 W 8 23 70 109 75 98 #104 Pass Off #85 3-1 3-1 0-1 1-0 126 104 25 9/30 Troy 21-24 L 29 5 37 69 55 105 4-1 1-4 2-1 0-3 135 115 21 10/7 at North Carolina 33-10 W 4 24 75 54 52 60 #24 Total Off #53 3-2 3-1 0-1 3-0 121 127 21 10/7 at Florida 17-16 W 25 8 20 48 25 8 5-1 3-1 136 16 10/14 Bye 4 21 84 #22 Score Off #72 4-2 5-1 1-1 3-0 124 133 10 10/14 Auburn 27-23 W 29 10 71 17 8 27 5-1 6-1 3-1 4-1 136 130 13 11 10/21 USC 49-14 W 6 18 88 12 7 30 #72 Sks Allowed #85 5-2 3-3 2-1 1-2 127 116 24 10/21 at Mississippi 40-24 W 30 12 49 23 66 75 6-1 6-1 4-1 4-0 140 129 9 14 10/28 NC State 35-14 W 5 17 91 26 25 98 #49 Rush Def #23 6-2 3-1 128 23 10/28 Bye 27 10 59 7-1 5-3 5-1 2-3 141 125 5 11/4 Wake Forest 48-37 W 5 15 116 63 49 69 #51 Pass Def #20 6-2 8-0 3-1 5-0 128 144 19 1 11/4 at Alabama 10-24 L 24 10 73 1 1 29 8-1 8-0 6-1 6-0 140 133 3 7 11/11 at Miami, Fl 8-41 L 4 17 114 17 14 38 #44 Total Def #13 6-3 4-5 3-2 1-4 129 108 11/11 Arkansas 33-10 W 31 5 90 35 88 88 8-2 6-3 6-2 4-3 135 113 9 11/18 Navy 24-17 W 4 17 118 32 109 63 #32 Score Def #16 7-3 4-6 4-2 0-6 129 111 21 11/18 at Tennessee 30-10 W 27 5 84 96 41 26 9-2 8-3 6-2 7-2 135 128 9 11/25 at Stanford 20-38 L 5 19 111 12 21 6 #83 Sks By #17 8-3 7-4 5-2 4-3 130 122 19 11/25 Texas A&M 45-21 W 31 6 81 36 24 3 9-3 6-3 132 15 12/2 Bye 9 24 112 #24 Ypg Diff #20 132 17 12/2 Bye 9-3 9-3 6-3 6-2 128 132 14 16 1/1 † LSU 8 23 112 19 6 86 +5 Total TO's +8 9-3 9-3 6-2 6-3 132 128 16 14 1/1 † Notre Dame 19 6 86 8 23 112

Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Temple 49-16 276 8 0 26 44-422 9.6 17-30 184 2 18 37-85 2.3 19-35 245 3 † BYU 27-0 382 20 1 26 57-296 5.2 15-18 183 0 6 14--5 -0.4 12-24 102 3 Georgia 19-20 -61 2 0 18 37-55 1.5 20-40 210 3 16 43-185 4.3 16-29 141 2 Chattanooga 45-10 212 10 2 22 46-222 4.8 9-18 232 2 12 27-68 2.5 15-32 174 5 at Boston College 49-20 211 -3 1 19 51-515 10.1 11-27 96 1 22 44-185 4.2 24-41 215 1 at Miss St 7-37 -195 -12 0 13 29-133 4.6 13-29 137 2 25 48-285 5.9 15-23 180 1 at Michigan St 38-18 -141 -5 3 21 40-182 4.6 14-20 173 1 26 32-151 4.7 32-53 345 2 Syracuse 35-26 30 -6 0 18 38-151 4.0 14-23 263 2 24 27-76 2.8 34-55 308 3 Miami, OH 52-17 126 2 2 21 39-333 8.5 10-23 170 2 19 33-115 3.5 19-37 262 3 Troy 21-24 65 5 -2 21 29-162 5.6 21-32 266 0 16 42-206 4.9 16-28 157 3 at North Carolina 33-10 222 14 1 27 57-341 6.0 17-31 146 1 13 28-86 3.1 19-42 179 2 at Florida 17-16 39 2 0 18 48-216 4.5 9-16 125 2 16 38-194 5.1 10-16 108 5 Bye Auburn 27-23 9 -3 -1 14 39-157 4.0 13-25 206 4 17 44-189 4.3 9-26 165 3 USC 49-14 161 5 3 23 47-377 8.0 9-22 120 1 18 31-76 2.5 25-36 260 5 at Mississippi 40-24 246 5 3 26 55-393 7.1 9-13 200 3 21 28-153 5.5 17-34 194 3 NC State 35-14 159 11 1 25 54-318 5.9 10-19 104 2 14 24-50 2.1 17-37 213 1 Bye Wake Forest 48-37 123 -4 1 30 46-380 8.3 23-38 330 1 34 40-239 6.0 30-48 348 1 at Alabama 10-24 7 2 -1 16 42-151 3.6 15-31 155 6 14 36-116 3.2 11-24 183 4 at Miami, Fl 8-41 -113 -5 -4 13 36-109 3.0 13-27 152 5 18 42-237 5.6 15-24 137 0 Arkansas 33-10 97 4 1 21 39-198 5.1 11-16 217 2 17 34-142 4.2 16-33 176 1

Navy 24-17 9 -7 0 16 31-163 5.3 9-18 164 1 23 72-277 3.8 3-8 41 0 LSUTigers at Tennessee 30-10 -6 5 2 17 43-200 4.7 11-15 81 1 12 34-38 1.1 14-25 249 2 at Stanford 20-38 87 -1 -3 17 44-154 3.5 12-29 261 6 18 38-152 4.0 14-22 176 2 Texas A&M 45-21 319 13 3 27 56-250 4.5 20-31 351 4 14 27-55 2.0 16-30 227 2 Bye Bye † LSU † Notre Dame LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Notre DameFighting Irish Notre Average 35-22 88.3 1.4 0.4 21 44-279 6.4 50.9% 176 8.0% 20 39-153 4.0 56.6% 214 5.3% Average 28-19 100.4 3.8 0.7 20 43-211 4.9 59.9% 201 10.5% 16 33-126 3.8 52.9% 185 10.0% Conference 33-24 72.0 1.6 0.3 21 46-270 5.9 51.0% 177 8.3% 20 36-151 4.2 57.8% 224 4.8% Conference 26-21 64.5 2.0 0.9 19 44-212 4.8 57.4% 184 13.6% 17 36-147 4.1 51.2% 185 10.0% Away 30-25 53.2 0.0 -0.4 19 46-260 5.7 50.0% 166 10.4% 19 37-162 4.4 57.1% 210 3.8% Home 34-19 122.0 3.8 0.5 21 41-190 4.6 60.7% 256 9.7% 17 34-123 3.7 52.0% 201 8.3% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Temple Brandon Wimbush 17-30-184-2-1 Josh Adams 19-161-8.5-2 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-80-20.0-1 Notre Dame LSU † BYU Danny Etling 14-17-173-0-0 Derrius Guice 27-120-4.4-2 DJ Chark 4-77-19.3-0 Georgia Brandon Wimbush 20-40-210-0-0 Josh Adams 19-53-2.8-0 Josh Adams 6-60-10.0-0 Notre Dame QB/WR Chattanooga Danny Etling 8-14-227-1-0 Derrius Guice 15-102-6.8-2 DJ Chark 3-103-34.3-0 at Boston College Brandon Wimbush 11-24-96-0-1 Josh Adams 18-229-12.7-0 Alize Mack 5-43-8.6-0 vs. 0.67 at Miss St Danny Etling 13-29-137-0-0 Derrius Guice 15-76-5.1-0 Darrel Williams 2-37-18.5-0 at Michigan St Brandon Wimbush 14-20-173-1-0 Josh Adams 9-56-6.2-0 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-61-15.3-0 LSU DB's Syracuse Danny Etling 10-17-188-2-0 Darrel Williams 16-92-5.8-1 Drake Davis 2-98-49.0-1 Miami, OH Brandon Wimbush 7-18-119-3-0 Josh Adams 8-159-19.9-2 Miles Boykin 1-54-54.0-1 Notre Dame RB's Troy Danny Etling 17-25-198-2-1 Darrel Williams 17-69-4.1-0 DJ Chark 4-105-26.3-0 at North Carolina Ian Book 17-31-146-1-2 Deon McIntosh 12-124-10.3-2 Alize Mack 6-38-6.3-0 vs. 0.34 at Florida Danny Etling 9-16-125-1-0 Russell Gage 6-52-8.7-1 DJ Chark 1-47-47.0-0 Bye LSU LB's Auburn Danny Etling 13-24-206-1-0 Russell Gage 2-71-35.5-0 DJ Chark 5-150-30.0-0 USC Brandon Wimbush 9-19-120-2-0 Josh Adams 19-191-10.1-3 Kevin Stepherson 3-58-19.3-1 Notre Dame OL at Mississippi Danny Etling 9-13-200-2-0 Derrius Guice 22-276-12.5-1 Darrel Williams 4-105-26.3-0 NC State Brandon Wimbush 10-19-104-2-0 Josh Adams 27-202-7.5-1 Durham Smythe 3-52-17.3-1 0.92 vs. Bye Wake Forest Brandon Wimbush 15-30-280-1-0 Brandon Wimbush 12-110-9.2-2 Chase Claypool 9-180-20.0-1 LSU DL at Alabama Danny Etling 12-26-137-0-1 Darrel Williams 7-83-11.9-1 DJ Chark 3-53-17.7-0 at Miami, Fl Brandon Wimbush 10-21-119-1-2 Josh Adams 16-40-2.5-0 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-68-17.0-0 Notre Dame DL Arkansas Danny Etling 11-16-217-2-0 Derrius Guice 21-147-7.0-3 DJ Chark 4-130-32.5-2 Navy Brandon Wimbush 9-18-164-2-0 Josh Adams 18-106-5.9-0 Kevin Stepherson 5-103-20.6-2 0.00 vs. at Tennessee Danny Etling 11-15-81-0-0 Derrius Guice 24-97-4.0-1 Darrel Williams 3-30-10.0-0 at Stanford Brandon Wimbush 11-28-249-2-2 Brandon Wimbush 17-61-3.6-0 Kevin Stepherson 3-112-37.3-1 LSU OL Texas A&M Danny Etling 19-30-347-3-0 Derrius Guice 28-127-4.5-1 DJ Chark 5-86-17.2-1 Bye Notre Dame LB'S Bye † LSU vs. 0.97 † Notre Dame LSU RB's Brandon Wimbush 133-267-1818-16-6 Josh Adams 191-1386-7.3-9 Equanimeous St. Brown31-468-15.1-4 Notre Dame DB's Danny Etling 146-242-2236-14-2 Derrius Guice 216-1151-5.3-11 DJ Chark 35-811-23.2-3 Notre Dame Leaders Ian Book 32-56-292-2-3 Brandon Wimbush 137-765-5.6-14 Chase Claypool 28-391-14.0-2 vs. 0.14 LSU Leaders Myles Brennan 14-24-182-1-2 Darrel Williams 136-776-5.7-9 Darrel Williams 22-327-14.9-0 TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Deon McIntosh 65-368-5.7-5 Kevin Stepherson 19-359-18.9-5 LSU QB/WR Russell Gage 0-1-0-0-0 Russell Gage 27-217-8.0-1 Russell Gage 19-270-14.2-3 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Notre Dame ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score 2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's vs. 0.98 Las Vegas Line Notre Dame - 52 31 23 51-263 18-26-186 LSU ST's Lsu By 3 ND has the best OL in the nation, capped off by winning the Joe Moore Awd. LSU 22 -8 28 17 38-285 7-14-151 -1 Projected Rushing Notre Dame K Las Vegas Total They have 2 AA’s in Nelson & McGlinchey. The unit will need to live up to that 224 yards Notre Dame LSU 178 yards 0.72 vs. 51.5 Points billing for the Irish to win. ND was avg 7.0 ypc in the Miami game, but their Projected Passing LSU K +/- Ratings powerful rush attack was grounded the L/3 games, avg just 142 rushing ypg & 173 yards Notre Dame LSU 200 yards Notre Dame Coaches Lsu By 4.0 3.8 ypc. ND lost their L/4 games ATS. LSU took the opposite tact. They lost 2 of Projected Yardage Total 1.00 vs. Game Grade their F/5 games, but covered their L/7 games. The LSU D held foes to 88 ypg 397 yards Notre Dame LSU 377 yards LSU Coaches Notre Dame By 9.8 Projected Final Score Notre Dame Pts below their season avg & ND held foes to 50 ypg below. ND took on my #2 Computer Yards 28 points Notre Dame LSU 23 points 2.65 vs. 3.11 Notre Dame 397-377 toughest sked, while LSU only faced my #55 toughest so the Irish is more battle Experience Rankings LSU Pts tested. I’ll call for ND to pull off the outright upset by the slimmest of margin in Computer Points 84 Notre Dame LSU 95 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Notre Dame 28-23 a lower than expected scoring game.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength LSU Phil Steele 2 Notre Dame LSU 51 Notre Dame by 1 By 0.46 Points Notre Dame 21 (+) LSU 20 NOTRE DAME (9-3) CITRUSMonday, January 1, 2018BOWL • 1:00 pm LSU (9-3) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-6 ABC • Camping World Stadium • Orlando, FL ATS: 8-4 O/U: 5-7 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS ND LSU 190 rush yd 183 177 pass yd 203 25 pts 27 +3 ytd to +6 #2 sked #55 CHECKLIST ND LSU edge edge 1/2 QB – – RB – – WR – 41/2 OL – – DL 41/2 – LB 4 – DB 41/2 41/2 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH 1/2 – INT – – ST 1/2 441/2 SKED – OVERALL NOTRE DAME BY 1 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Georgia Bulldogs 12-1 12-1 Oklahoma Sooners Bulldogs Logs vs. SEC vs. BIG 12 Sooners Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 8-1 9-1 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 113 15 9/2 Appalachian St 31-10 W 9 7 58 49 61 85 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 139 93 7 9/2 UTEP 56-7 W 2 19 12 119 116 117 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 134 15 24 9/9 at Notre Dame 20-19 W 11 16 58 7 24 49 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 140 137 5 2 9/9 at Ohio St 31-16 W 2 20 12 3 2 46 Georgia Oklahoma 2-0 0-0 129 13 9/16 Samford 42-14 W 16 7 32 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 142 111 2 9/16 Tulane 56-14 W 5 13 67 90 87 82 3-0 3-0 0-0 1-0 127 130 11 17 9/23 Miss St 31-3 W 19 7 58 20 19 69 #11 Rush Off #27 3-0 0-3 0-0 0-0 143 112 3 9/23 at Baylor 49-41 W 5 14 42 39 76 20 4-0 3-1 1-0 0-1 131 119 7 9/30 at Tennessee 41-0 W 16 4 41 37 43 3 #111 Pass Off #3 4-0 1-0 139 3 9/30 Bye 2 16 56 5-0 3-2 2-0 0-2 135 120 5 10/7 at Vanderbilt 45-14 W 17 4 45 86 31 96 #36 Total Off #1 4-0 2-2 1-0 0-1 139 117 3 10/7 Iowa St 31-38 L 2 18 46 56 65 55 6-0 1-4 3-0 0-3 139 106 4 10/14 Missouri 53-28 W 18 4 22 22 83 36 #23 Score Off #4 4-1 3-2 1-1 2-0 134 127 12 10/14 † Texas 29-24 W 2 23 88 20 14 61 7-0 4-0 137 3 10/21 Bye 8 8 14 #20 Sks Allowed #45 5-1 3-3 2-1 1-2 133 124 9 10/21 at Kansas St 42-35 W 3 22 78 44 38 2 7-0 3-3 4-0 3-2 137 122 3 10/28 † Florida 42-7 W 8 8 10 46 26 34 #12 Rush Def #40 6-1 4-3 3-1 1-3 133 120 10 10/28 Texas Tech 49-27 W 3 32 80 25 58 90 8-0 6-2 5-0 4-2 140 121 2 11/4 South Carolina 24-10 W 7 6 14 61 25 48 #2 Pass Def #88 7-1 7-1 4-1 4-1 134 139 8 11 11/4 at Oklahoma St 62-52 W 3 32 97 9 18 102 9-0 7-2 6-0 5-1 139 134 2 10 11/11 at Auburn 17-40 L 6 7 14 13 9 60 #4 Total Def #57 8-1 8-1 5-1 5-1 138 135 5 8 11/11 TCU 38-20 W 3 32 93 19 4 28 9-1 7-3 6-1 4-3 134 116 7 11/18 Kentucky 42-13 W 9 14 13 64 50 18 #4 Score Def #52 9-1 1-9 6-1 0-7 138 94 3 11/18 at Kansas 41-3 W 2 33 87 113 110 94 10-1 5-5 7-1 4-4 135 122 7 11/25 at Georgia Tech 38-7 W 7 14 11 49 46 105 #55 Sks By #61 10-1 7-4 7-1 5-3 140 127 3 11/25 West Virginia 59-31 W 3 26 89 16 56 114 7-2 5-1 142 134 6 4 12/2 † Auburn 28-7 W 5 15 11 13 9 60 #9 Ypg Diff #3 11-1 8-1 8-1 5-1 140 135 2 10 12/2 † TCU 41-17 W 1 27 76 19 4 28 12-1 8-1 139 3 12/2 Bye 5 13 10 +5 Total TO's +5 12-1 9-1 141 2 12/9 Bye 1 32 75 12-1 12-1 8-1 9-1 139 144 3 2 1/1 † Oklahoma 5 13 10 1 32 75 12-1 12-1 9-1 8-1 144 142 2 3 1/1 † Georgia 1 32 75 5 13 10 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Appalachian St 31-10 84 6 -2 18 44-221 5.0 11-20 147 1 12 32-136 4.3 21-32 148 1 UTEP 56-7 509 24 1 35 38-180 4.7 32-36 496 1 11 21-73 3.5 16-27 94 1 at Notre Dame 20-19 61 -2 0 16 43-185 4.3 16-29 141 2 18 37-55 1.5 20-40 210 3 at Ohio St 31-16 140 6 -1 27 37-104 2.8 27-35 386 2 21 34-167 4.9 19-35 183 3 Samford 42-14 210 6 0 22 54-284 5.3 9-15 175 0 16 23-22 1.0 26-35 227 3 Tulane 56-14 340 4 0 24 32-197 6.2 20-30 434 1 20 62-237 3.8 6-12 54 3 Miss St 31-3 124 0 1 15 42-203 4.8 9-12 201 0 15 37-177 4.8 15-33 103 0 at Baylor 49-41 102 -2 0 20 40-342 8.6 13-19 283 2 22 35-60 1.7 33-50 463 4 at Tennessee 41-0 236 13 3 20 55-294 5.3 7-17 84 2 7 29-62 2.1 11-23 80 3 Bye at Vanderbilt 45-14 313 16 -1 27 54-423 7.8 10-14 126 2 11 22-64 2.9 17-31 172 0 Iowa St 31-38 64 7 -1 28 35-190 5.4 25-34 323 2 21 32-81 2.5 20-27 368 1 Missouri 53-28 384 14 0 24 51-370 7.3 18-26 326 1 10 24-59 2.5 15-25 253 0 † Texas 29-24 90 -3 -1 20 39-174 4.5 18-28 344 2 23 39-139 3.6 21-43 289 3 Bye at Kansas St 42-35 207 10 0 28 38-209 5.5 32-41 410 2 18 42-268 6.4 12-14 144 0 † Florida 42-7 144 -1 1 14 35-292 8.3 4-7 101 0 15 41-183 4.5 10-25 66 5 Texas Tech 49-27 180 7 0 31 47-336 7.1 22-34 281 1 24 34-115 3.4 22-36 322 2 South Carolina 24-10 168 12 1 26 53-242 4.6 16-22 196 1 14 17-43 2.5 21-36 227 2 at Oklahoma St 62-52 124 -2 1 30 40-187 4.7 24-36 598 5 32 34-213 6.3 28-54 448 3 at Auburn 17-40 -258 -12 -1 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 TCU 38-20 109 2 0 21 41-200 4.9 18-27 333 1 19 32-155 4.8 14-29 269 2 Kentucky 42-13 242 8 0 25 44-381 8.7 9-14 123 1 17 37-124 3.4 12-23 138 3 at Kansas 41-3 314 14 2 24 36-157 4.4 23-35 312 1 10 27-32 1.2 19-34 123 1 at Georgia Tech 38-7 245 11 1 23 43-247 5.7 12-17 224 0 12 46-188 4.1 2-9 38 1 West Virginia 59-31 258 3 2 27 35-313 8.9 16-19 333 0 24 50-251 5.0 10-20 137 0

† Auburn 17-40 -258 -12 -1 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 Bulldogs Georgia † TCU 38-20 109 2 0 21 41-200 4.9 18-27 333 1 19 32-155 4.8 14-29 269 2 Oklahoma Sooners Oklahoma Bye Bye LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM † Oklahoma † Georgia Average 35-13 162.7 5.6 0.4 20 45-264 5.8 61.5% 170 6.6% 15 32-113 3.5 55.0% 158 7.0% Average 45-25 198.5 5.5 0.4 26 39-216 5.6 71.8% 367 5.3% 20 36-144 4.0 59.1% 241 5.7% Conference 36-14 168.3 5.8 0.7 20 45-277 6.1 62.6% 169 8.0% 15 32-118 3.7 53.0% 159 7.1% Conference 44-29 159.2 3.8 0.5 25 39-233 5.9 69.6% 346 5.7% 21 35-140 4.0 59.9% 280 4.9% Away 33-13 129.0 3.9 0.7 19 43-246 5.7 57.8% 149 8.9% 15 36-129 3.6 50.3% 137 9.2% Home 48-23 243.3 7.8 0.3 28 38-236 6.2 73.9% 367 3.3% 20 39-152 3.9 58.3% 207 6.0% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Appalachian St Jake Fromm 10-15-143-1-0 Nick Chubb 15-96-6.4-2 Javon Wims 3-81-27.0-1 Georgia Oklahoma UTEP 19-20-329-3-0 Abdul Adams 7-53-7.6-0 Mark Andrews 7-134-19.1-1 at Notre Dame Jake Fromm 16-29-141-1-1 Sony Michel 13-73-5.6-1 Terry Godwin 2-36-18.0-1 Georgia QB/WR at Ohio St Baker Mayfield 27-35-386-3-0 Trey Sermon 17-62-3.6-0 Dimitri Flowers 7-98-14.0-1 Samford Jake Fromm 8-13-165-3-0 Nick Chubb 16-131-8.2-2 Terry Godwin 4-98-24.5-2 0.76 vs. Tulane Baker Mayfield 17-27-331-4-0 Abdul Adams 8-93-11.6-0 Marquise Brown 6-155-25.8-1 Miss St Jake Fromm 9-12-201-2-0 Nick Chubb 15-81-5.4-2 Terry Godwin 2-80-40.0-1 Oklahoma DB's at Baylor Baker Mayfield 13-19-283-3-0 Abdul Adams 11-164-14.9-1 Mark Andrews 3-72-24.0-1 at Tennessee Jake Fromm 7-15-84-1-1 Nick Chubb 16-109-6.8-0 Terry Godwin 2-43-21.5-0 Georgia RB's Bye at Vanderbilt Jake Fromm 7-11-102-2-0 Sony Michel 12-150-12.5-1 Terry Godwin 2-70-35.0-1 2.06 vs. Iowa St Baker Mayfield 24-33-306-2-0 Trey Sermon 18-90-5.0-0 Dimitri Flowers 7-95-13.6-0 Missouri Jake Fromm 18-26-326-2-1 D'Andre Swift 6-94-15.7-0 Javon Wims 5-95-19.0-0 Oklahoma LB's † Texas Baker Mayfield 17-27-302-2-1 Trey Sermon 20-96-4.8-0 Mark Andrews 4-104-26.0-1 Bye Georgia OL at Kansas St Baker Mayfield 32-41-410-2-1 Rodney Anderson 19-147-7.7-1 Marquise Brown 6-126-21.0-0 † Florida Jake Fromm 4-7-101-1-1 Sony Michel 6-137-22.8-2 D'Andre Swift 3-84-28.0-0 0.79 vs. Texas Tech Baker Mayfield 22-34-281-4-1 Rodney Anderson 24-181-7.5-1 CeeDee Lamb 9-147-16.3-2 South Carolina Jake Fromm 16-22-196-2-0 Nick Chubb 20-102-5.1-0 Terry Godwin 3-53-17.7-0 Oklahoma DL at Oklahoma St Baker Mayfield 24-36-598-5-2 Rodney Anderson 21-111-5.3-1 Marquise Brown 9-265-29.4-2 at Auburn Jake Fromm 13-28-184-1-0 Nick Chubb 11-27-2.5-1 Javon Wims 3-96-32.0-0 Georgia DL TCU Baker Mayfield 18-27-333-3-0 Rodney Anderson 23-151-6.6-2 Rodney Anderson 5-139-27.8-2 Kentucky Jake Fromm 9-14-123-1-1 Nick Chubb 15-151-10.1-2 Javon Wims 6-83-13.8-1 vs. 0.97 at Kansas Baker Mayfield 20-30-257-3-0 Rodney Anderson 16-77-4.8-0 Grant Calcaterra 4-67-16.8-0 at Georgia Tech Jake Fromm 12-16-224-2-0 Sony Michel 13-85-6.5-1 Ahkil Crumpton 2-78-39.0-1 Oklahoma OL West Virginia Baker Mayfield 14-17-281-3-0 Rodney Anderson 13-118-9.1-4 CeeDee Lamb 4-92-23.0-1 † Auburn Jake Fromm 16-22-183-2-0 D'Andre Swift 7-88-12.6-1 Mecole Hardman 4-67-16.8-0 Georgia LB'S † TCU Baker Mayfield 15-23-243-4-0 Rodney Anderson 24-93-3.9-0 Marquise Brown 3-87-29.0-1 Bye 0.46 vs. Bye † Oklahoma Oklahoma RB's † Georgia Jake Fromm 145-230-2173-21-5 Nick Chubb 191-1175-6.2-13 Javon Wims 38-631-16.6-6 Georgia DB's Baker Mayfield 262-369-4340-41-5 Rodney Anderson 162-960-5.9-11 Marquise Brown 49-981-20.0-6 Georgia Leaders 4-7-28-0-0 Sony Michel 131-948-7.2-13 Terry Godwin 29-540-18.6-6 vs. 1.60 Oklahoma Leaders Kyler Murray 18-21-359-3-0 Trey Sermon 119-710-6.0-5 Mark Andrews 58-906-15.6-8 Brice Ramsey 1-4-10-0-2 D'Andre Swift 73-597-8.2-3 Mecole Hardman 22-323-14.7-3 Oklahoma QB/WR Trey Sermon 1-1-42-0-0 Abdul Adams 59-542-9.2-1 CeeDee Lamb 40-741-18.5-7 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Georgia ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score None 2.59 vs. Las Vegas Line Oklahoma ST's Georgia By 2 The “Granddaddy of them all” is a battle of OFF vs D. OU has 1 of the nation’s Projected Rushing Georgia K Las Vegas Total best OL’s, a deep set of RB’s, a Mackey Awd winning TE, dangerous WR’s & the 256 yards Georgia Oklahoma 147 yards vs. 0.23 60 Points Heisman winner. Despite facing 9 bowl teams, they avg 199 ypg more than what Projected Passing Oklahoma K +/- Ratings their opponents allowed on avg. OU’s much maligned D did hold foes to 33 ypg 173 yards Georgia Oklahoma 323 yards Georgia Coaches Oklahoma By 2.0 below their season avg. UGA has my #4 rated D, led by SEC DPOY Smith. The Projected Yardage Total 1.50 vs. Game Grade Bulldogs D held foes to 158 ypg below their season avg. UGA also has the ST’s 429 yards Georgia Oklahoma 470 yards Oklahoma Coaches Oklahoma By 4.7 Projected Final Score Georgia Pts edge. I find it tough to go against each. I normally side with the team that has Computer Yards 33 points Georgia Oklahoma 31 points 8.17 vs. 2.80 Oklahoma 470-429 the stronger D & ST’s, but OU has taken on the tougher sked and the majority of Experience Rankings Oklahoma Pts UGA’s foes had below avg passing attacks. I’ll call for OU to advance to the Nat’l Computer Points 12 Georgia Oklahoma 29 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Georgia 33-31 Champ by the slimmest of margins.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Georgia Phil Steele 36 Georgia Oklahoma 3 Oklahoma by 1 By 5.37 Points Oklahoma 34 (+) Georgia 33 GEORGIA (12-1) ROSEMonday, January BOWL 1, 2018 • 5:00 pm OKLAHOMA (12-1) ATS: 9-4 O/U: 5-8 ESPN • Rose Bowl • Pasadena, CA ATS: 9-4 O/U: 7-5-1 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UGA OKLA 269 rush yd 141 163 pass yd 296 35 pts 27 +5 ytd to +5 #38 sked #16 CHECKLIST UGA OKLA edge edge – QB 441/2 4 RB – – WR 4 – OL 4 – DL – 44 LB – 41/2 DB – 4 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH – – INT 4 44 ST – – SKED 4 OVERALL GEORGIA BY 1 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Alabama Crimson Tide 11-1 12-1 Clemson Tigers Crimson Tide Logs vs. SEC vs. ACC Tigers Logs FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 7-1 8-1 FOE TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- TM REC TM +/- FOE +/- REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 141 138 1 3 9/2 † Florida St 24-7 W 1 2 24 11 1 11 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 102 5 9/2 Kent St 56-3 W 27 3 83 127 92 114 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 144 103 1 9/9 Fresno St 41-10 W 9 1 24 88 103 39 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 141 129 3 13 9/9 Auburn 14-6 W 14 4 83 6 7 7 Alabama Clemson 2-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 142 119 1 9/16 Colorado St 41-23 W 4 1 28 61 93 29 2-0 2-0 0-0 1-0 140 124 3 14 9/16 at Louisville 47-21 W 12 2 86 15 12 90 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 141 124 1 9/23 at Vanderbilt 59-0 W 1 1 17 62 20 118 #10 Rush Off #33 3-0 1-2 1-0 0-1 142 110 2 9/23 Boston College 34-7 W 4 2 103 84 50 32 4-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 145 114 1 9/30 Mississippi 66-3 W 1 1 24 25 38 26 #86 Pass Off #52 4-0 4-0 2-0 0-0 141 129 2 12 9/30 at Virginia Tech 31-17 W 7 2 102 41 11 10 5-0 4-1 2-0 2-0 149 120 1 10/7 at Texas A&M 27-12 W 1 1 11 22 17 4 #21 Total Off #31 5-0 4-1 3-0 1-1 142 124 2 10/7 Wake Forest 28-14 W 11 3 107 64 46 34 6-0 2-3 3-0 0-2 146 111 1 10/14 Arkansas 41-9 W 1 1 23 32 55 116 #12 Score Off #21 6-0 3-3 4-0 1-1 141 115 2 10/13 at Syracuse 24-27 L 10 3 111 63 71 28 7-0 3-3 4-0 0-3 145 115 1 10/21 Tennessee 45-7 W 1 1 21 66 41 9 #50 Sks Allowed #72 6-1 4-1 136 7 10/21 Bye 13 3 111 8-0 5-0 144 1 10/28 Bye 1 1 24 #3 Rush Def #13 6-1 4-2 4-1 3-1 136 130 7 10/28 Georgia Tech 24-10 W 15 2 112 33 37 102 8-0 6-2 5-0 3-1 144 128 1 19 11/4 LSU 24-10 W 1 1 29 24 10 73 #7 Pass Def #8 7-1 6-2 5-1 4-0 137 128 6 20 11/4 at NC State 38-31 W 14 2 112 32 30 87 9-0 7-2 6-0 3-2 143 127 1 18 11/11 at Miss St 31-24 W 2 1 21 23 20 23 #2 Total Def #6 8-1 3-5 6-1 3-4 137 121 4 11/11 Florida St 31-14 W 14 3 116 53 16 54 10-0 7-0 142 11/18 Mercer 56-0 W 3 1 27 #1 Score Def #2 9-1 7-1 137 4 11/18 The Citadel 61-3 W 16 2 107 11-0 9-2 7-0 6-1 143 137 1 6 11/25 at Auburn 14-26 L 2 1 27 9 4 66 #27 Sks By #1 10-1 8-3 7-1 5-3 137 121 4 11/25 at South Carolina 34-10 W 11 2 106 56 28 59 11-1 5 #2 Ypg Diff #6 11-1 10-1 7-1 7-1 139 136 1 7 12/2 † Miami, Fl 38-3 W 11 2 108 23 10 68 11-1 12-1 7-1 8-1 140 143 4 1 1/1 † Clemson 2 1 22 15 2 100 +12 Total TO's +5 12-1 8-1 143 1 12/2 Bye 15 2 100 12-1 0-0 8-1 0-0 143 140 1 4 11/1 † Alabama 15 2 100 2 1 22 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks † Florida St 24-7 19 -2 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3 Kent St 56-3 545 29 -1 34 43-353 8.2 25-35 312 0 5 44-119 2.7 1-5 1 0 Fresno St 41-10 224 10 1 28 39-305 7.8 20-27 192 1 18 22-57 2.6 26-41 216 2 Auburn 14-6 164 5 -2 18 36-96 2.7 20-31 185 4 13 42-38 0.9 13-24 79 11 Colorado St 41-23 96 1 2 23 39-239 6.1 13-21 248 0 22 40-144 3.6 21-38 247 0 at Louisville 47-21 180 4 1 25 48-297 6.2 23-33 316 4 21 27-116 4.3 21-42 317 5 at Vanderbilt 59-0 599 35 2 38 66-496 7.5 17-27 181 1 3 16-40 2.5 7-22 38 0 Boston College 34-7 244 15 0 27 58-342 5.9 17-26 140 2 12 34-97 2.9 15-32 141 1 Mississippi 66-3 360 15 2 26 51-365 7.2 15-24 248 0 11 26-88 3.4 14-29 165 5 at Virginia Tech 31-17 -10 -3 3 14 43-146 3.4 12-21 186 3 17 28-90 3.2 30-45 252 2 at Texas A&M 27-19 47 0 2 16 44-232 5.3 13-22 123 3 16 40-71 1.8 19-29 237 4 Wake Forest 28-14 117 9 -2 25 48-190 4.0 29-41 263 1 16 35-133 3.8 14-30 203 3 Arkansas 41-9 269 8 -1 23 43-308 7.2 13-21 188 2 15 29-27 0.9 23-43 200 5 at Syracuse 24-27 -123 -12 1 16 25-113 4.5 22-32 204 4 28 50-162 3.2 20-33 278 6 Tennessee 45-7 496 28 -1 35 53-272 5.1 22-33 332 2 7 30-64 2.1 9-16 44 4 Bye Bye Georgia Tech 24-10 198 11 0 21 45-221 4.9 22-33 207 0 10 43-198 4.6 3-13 32 4 LSU 24-10 -7 -2 1 14 36-116 3.2 11-24 183 4 16 42-151 3.6 15-31 155 6 at NC State 38-31 -76 -8 1 19 35-224 6.4 20-38 191 0 27 34-153 4.5 31-50 338 1 at Miss St 31-24 114 -3 0 19 38-202 5.3 10-18 242 5 22 49-172 3.5 13-24 158 1 Florida St 31-14 149 12 0 24 52-227 4.4 20-30 151 2 12 24-21 0.9 13-32 208 5 Mercer 56-0 369 13 1 22 42-265 6.3 14-18 265 0 9 39-107 2.7 7-22 54 0 The Citadel 61-3 446 17 2 27 26-183 7.0 31-41 479 1 10 54-155 2.9 1-8 61 1 at Auburn 14-26 -94 -10 0 15 38-211 5.6 13-23 103 2 25 49-168 3.4 22-29 240 1 at South Carolina 34-10 262 17 0 27 45-184 4.1 25-38 285 1 10 25-81 3.2 16-29 126 1 Clemson Tigers Bye † Miami, Fl 38-3 117 8 2 18 41-77 1.9 25-34 254 4 10 30-104 3.5 14-29 110 4 † Clemson Bye LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Alabama Crimson Tide Alabama Crimson † Alabama Average 39-12 207.7 7.8 1.0 23 44-265 6.0 62.0% 200 8.0% 15 34-94 2.8 54.6% 164 8.7% Average 35-13 170.2 8.0 0.4 23 42-204 4.9 67.2% 244 6.0% 15 36-113 3.1 51.6% 165 11.8% Conference 38-12 223.0 8.9 0.6 23 46-275 6.0 59.4% 200 9.9% 14 35-98 2.8 54.7% 155 11.7% Conference 33-16 88.4 4.0 0.7 21 44-204 4.7 66.0% 212 6.9% 17 34-119 3.5 52.6% 209 10.1% Away 31-15 137.0 4.0 1.4 20 46-263 5.8 58.3% 149 12.0% 16 36-98 2.7 58.4% 177 6.6% Home 35-8 266.1 14.0 -0.4 25 44-230 5.2 69.2% 248 4.2% 11 39-109 2.8 41.7% 104 17.4% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving † Florida St Jalen Hurts 10-18-96-1-0 Damien Harris 9-73-8.1-1 Calvin Ridley 7-82-11.7-1 Alabama Clemson Kent St Kelly Bryant 16-22-236-1-1 Travis Etienne 8-81-10.1-1 Milan Richard 2-70-35.0-0 Fresno St Jalen Hurts 14-18-128-1-0 Jalen Hurts 10-154-15.4-2 Calvin Ridley 5-45-9.0-0 Alabama QB/WR Auburn Kelly Bryant 19-29-181-0-0 Kelly Bryant 19-59-3.1-2 Ray-Ray McCloud 6-81-13.5-0 Colorado St Jalen Hurts 12-17-248-2-0 Jalen Hurts 11-103-9.4-1 Calvin Ridley 3-92-30.7-1 0.21 vs. at Louisville Kelly Bryant 22-32-316-1-0 Travis Etienne 6-98-16.3-1 Ray-Ray McCloud 7-115-16.4-1 at Vanderbilt Tua Tagovailoa 8-10-103-2-0 Damien Harris 12-151-12.6-3 Jerry Jeudy 3-68-22.7-1 Clemson DB's Boston College Kelly Bryant 17-26-140-0-2 Travis Etienne 9-113-12.6-2 Hunter Renfrow 6-53-8.8-0 Mississippi Jalen Hurts 12-19-197-2-0 Jalen Hurts 10-101-10.1-1 Cam Sims 1-60-60.0-0 Alabama RB's at Virginia Tech Kelly Bryant 12-21-186-1-0 Kelly Bryant 19-94-4.9-0 Tavien Feaster 2-63-31.5-1 at Texas A&M Jalen Hurts 13-22-123-1-0 Damien Harris 14-124-8.9-1 Jalen Hurts 5-68-13.6-0 1.42 vs. Wake Forest Kelly Bryant 21-29-200-1-1 Travis Etienne 15-67-4.5-1 Hunter Renfrow 6-61-10.2-0 Arkansas Jalen Hurts 12-19-155-1-1 Damien Harris 9-125-13.9-2 Calvin Ridley 4-51-12.8-0 Clemson LB's at Syracuse Kelly Bryant 12-17-116-0-0 Travis Etienne 5-68-13.6-1 Hunter Renfrow 5-64-12.8-0 Tennessee Jalen Hurts 13-21-198-1-0 Damien Harris 13-72-5.5-1 Calvin Ridley 8-82-10.3-0 Alabama OL Bye Bye vs. 0.29 Georgia Tech Kelly Bryant 22-33-207-2-0 Kelly Bryant 12-67-5.6-0 Deon Cain 4-57-14.3-1 LSU Jalen Hurts 11-24-183-1-0 Jalen Hurts 14-44-3.1-1 Calvin Ridley 3-61-20.3-0 Clemson DL at NC State Kelly Bryant 20-38-191-1-1 Tavien Feaster 7-105-15.0-1 Deon Cain 9-84-9.3-1 at Miss St Jalen Hurts 10-19-242-1-0 Damien Harris 8-93-11.6-1 Calvin Ridley 5-171-34.2-0 Alabama DL Florida St Kelly Bryant 20-30-151-0-0 Travis Etienne 14-97-6.9-2 Hunter Renfrow 4-35-8.8-0 Mercer Jalen Hurts 7-7-180-3-0 5-54-10.8-0 Calvin Ridley 3-103-34.3-1 0.79 vs. The Citadel Kelly Bryant 17-22-230-3-0 Tavien Feaster 4-69-17.3-1 Tee Higgins 6-178-29.7-2 at Auburn Jalen Hurts 13-23-177-1-0 Jalen Hurts 17-80-4.7-0 Cam Sims 1-65-65.0-0 Clemson OL at South Carolina Kelly Bryant 23-34-272-2-1 Travis Etienne 9-41-4.6-1 Tee Higgins 3-84-28.0-0 Bye Alabama LB'S † Miami, Fl Kelly Bryant 23-29-252-1-0 Travis Etienne 6-24-4.0-1 Ray-Ray McCloud 6-100-16.7-0 † Clemson 1.17 vs. Bye Clemson RB's † Alabama Jalen Hurts 136-224-2005-15-1 Damien Harris 110-906-8.2-11 Calvin Ridley 50-828-16.6-3 Alabama DB's Kelly Bryant 244-362-2678-13-6 Travis Etienne 103-736-7.1-12 Deon Cain 52-659-12.7-6 Alabama Leaders Tua Tagovailoa 35-53-470-8-1 Jalen Hurts 136-766-5.6-8 Cam Sims 14-259-18.5-1 0.67 vs. Clemson Leaders Zerrick Cooper 25-41-256-2-0 Tavien Feaster 103-667-6.5-8 Hunter Renfrow 55-571-10.4-3 JK Scott 1-1--9-0-0 Bo Scarbrough 108-549-5.1-8 Jerry Jeudy 13-244-18.8-2 Clemson QB/WR Hunter Johnson 21-27-234-2-1 Kelly Bryant 173-646-3.7-11 Ray-Ray McCloud 46-502-10.9-1 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Alabama ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score 2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's 1.30 vs. Las Vegas Line Alabama 1 -6.5 31 16 34-221 14-32-155 Clemson ST's Alabama By 3 Clemson has the nation’s best DL & the D has held foes to 138 ypg below their ssn avg. Clemson 3 51 35 31 42-91 36-57-420 -2 Projected Rushing Alabama K Clemson has a solid rush attack & is 8-4-1 ATS. HC Swinney is 7-3 SU/8-2 ATS in his Las Vegas Total 2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's 177 yards Alabama Clemson 135 yards 1.07 vs. 47 Points L/10 postssn gms. Clemson beat 5 ranked foes, while Bama beat 3. Despite that, I feel Alabama 2 -6.5 45 18 46-138 16-25-335 Projected Passing Clemson K the perfect storm will see the Tide crash in & win. Bama’s D was beat up down the +/- Ratings Clemson 1 50.5 40 31 38-145 30-47-405 -1 172 yards Alabama Clemson 203 yards Alabama Coaches Clemson By 3.0 stretch. They not only get back most of the LB’s that missed the end of the ssn, but Projected Yardage Total 0.50 vs. also Miller & Lewis. Bama has a great OL with my #1 set of RB’s that avg 6.0 ypc. Game Grade 348 yards Alabama Clemson 339 yards Clemson Coaches Alabama By 0.6 Ridley is a top NFL prospect. Hurts should be highly motivated after LY’s poor title Projected Final Score Alabama Pts game & his rating is 19 pts higher than Bryant. I give Bama the edge on OFF along Computer Yards 25 points Alabama Clemson 22 points 7.14 vs. 0.29 Alabama 348-339 with a slight edge on D. defense. Bama feels like the ‘dog as they barely made the Experience Rankings Clemson Pts playoffs. They are playing with legit revenge & enter off a loss. I’ll call for Bama to win Computer Points 67 Alabama Clemson 108 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Alabama 25-22 by over a td, making this a ‘Best Bet’ selection.

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength Alabama Phil Steele 57 Alabama Clemson 29 Alabama by 8 By 6.85 Points Best Bet: ★★ Alabama 28 Clemson 20 ALABAMA (11-1) SUGARMonday, January 1, BOWL2018 • 8:45 pm CLEMSON (12-1) ATS: 5-6-1 O/U: 5-7 ESPN • Mercedes-Benz Superdome • New Orleans, LA ATS: 8-4-1 O/U: 5-8 COMPUTER PROJECTIONS BAMA CLEM 175 rush yd 125 170 pass yd 212 23 pts 24 +12 ytd to +5 #54 sked #28 CHECKLIST BAMA CLEM edge edge 1/2 QB – 44 RB – – WR – 4 OL – – DL 4 – LB – 4 DB – 1/2 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH – 1/2 INT – 441/2 ST – – SKED 4 OVERALL ALABAMA BY 6 4’s OVERALL: OVERALL: Alabama Crimson Tide 12-1 13-1 Georgia Bulldogs Crimson Tide Logs vs. SEC vs. SEC Bulldogs Logs TM FOE TM FOE FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 7-1 8-1 TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM +/- TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/- REC REC CONF CONF +/- TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC REC TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 141 138 1 3 9/2 † Florida St 24-7 W 1 2 24 11 1 11 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 113 15 9/2 Appalachian St 31-10 W 9 7 58 49 61 85 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 144 103 1 9/9 Fresno St 41-10 W 9 1 24 88 103 39 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 134 15 24 9/9 at Notre Dame 20-19 W 11 16 58 7 24 49 Alabama Georgia 2-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 142 119 1 9/16 Colorado St 41-23 W 4 1 28 61 93 29 2-0 0-0 129 13 9/16 Samford 42-14 W 16 7 32 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 141 124 1 9/23 at Vanderbilt 59-0 W 1 1 17 62 20 118 #10 Rush Off #8 3-0 3-0 0-0 1-0 127 130 11 17 9/23 Miss St 31-3 W 19 7 58 20 19 69 4-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 145 114 1 9/30 Mississippi 66-3 W 1 1 24 25 38 26 #91 Pass Off #110 4-0 3-1 1-0 0-1 131 119 7 9/30 at Tennessee 41-0 W 16 4 41 37 43 3 5-0 4-1 2-0 2-0 149 120 1 10/7 at Texas A&M 27-12 W 1 1 11 22 17 4 #27 Total Off #31 5-0 3-2 2-0 0-2 135 120 5 10/7 at Vanderbilt 45-14 W 17 4 45 86 31 96 6-0 2-3 3-0 0-2 146 111 1 10/14 Arkansas 41-9 W 1 1 23 32 55 116 #12 Score Off #17 6-0 1-4 3-0 0-3 139 106 4 10/14 Missouri 53-28 W 18 4 22 22 83 36 7-0 3-3 4-0 0-3 145 115 1 10/21 Tennessee 45-7 W 1 1 21 66 41 9 #54 Sks Allowed #25 7-0 4-0 137 3 10/21 Bye 8 8 14 8-0 5-0 144 1 10/28 Bye 1 1 24 #1 Rush Def #20 7-0 3-3 4-0 3-2 137 122 3 10/28 † Florida 42-7 W 8 8 10 46 26 34 8-0 6-2 5-0 3-1 144 128 1 19 11/4 LSU 24-10 W 1 1 29 24 10 73 #3 Pass Def #8 8-0 6-2 5-0 4-2 140 121 2 11/4 South Carolina 24-10 W 7 6 14 61 25 48 9-0 7-2 6-0 3-2 143 127 1 18 11/11 at Miss St 31-24 W 2 1 21 23 20 23 #1 Total Def #6 9-0 7-2 6-0 5-1 139 134 2 10 11/11 at Auburn 17-40 L 6 7 14 13 9 60 10-0 7-0 142 11/18 Mercer 56-0 W 3 1 27 #1 Score Def #5 9-1 7-3 6-1 4-3 134 116 7 11/18 Kentucky 42-13 W 9 14 13 64 50 18 11-0 9-2 7-0 6-1 143 137 1 6 11/25 at Auburn 14-26 L 2 1 27 9 4 66 #21 Sks By #37 10-1 5-5 7-1 4-4 135 122 7 11/25 at Georgia Tech 38-7 W 7 14 11 49 46 105 5 #2 Ypg Diff #9 11-1 7-2 7-1 5-1 139 134 6 4 12/2 † Auburn 28-7 W 5 15 11 13 9 60 11-1 12-1 0-0 8-1 140 143 4 1 1/1 † Clemson 24-6 W 2 1 22 15 2 100 +13 Total TO's +5 12-1 12-1 8-1 9-1 142 143 3 2 1/1 † Oklahoma 54-48 W 5 13 10 1 32 75 12-1 13-1 0-0 8-1 143 143 4 3 1/7 † Georgia 2 1 22 5 13 10 13-1 12-1 8-1 0-0 143 143 3 4 1/1 † Alabama 5 13 10 2 1 22 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks † Florida St 24-7 19 -2 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3 Appalachian St 31-10 84 6 -2 18 44-221 5.0 11-20 147 1 12 32-136 4.3 21-32 148 1 Fresno St 41-10 224 10 1 28 39-305 7.8 20-27 192 1 18 22-57 2.6 26-41 216 2 at Notre Dame 20-19 61 -2 0 16 43-185 4.3 16-29 141 2 18 37-55 1.5 20-40 210 3 Colorado St 41-23 96 1 2 23 39-239 6.1 13-21 248 0 22 40-144 3.6 21-38 247 0 Samford 42-14 210 6 0 22 54-284 5.3 9-15 175 0 16 23-22 1.0 26-35 227 3 at Vanderbilt 59-0 599 35 2 38 66-496 7.5 17-27 181 1 3 16-40 2.5 7-22 38 0 Miss St 31-3 124 0 1 15 42-203 4.8 9-12 201 0 15 37-177 4.8 15-33 103 0 Mississippi 66-3 360 15 2 26 51-365 7.2 15-24 248 0 11 26-88 3.4 14-29 165 5 at Tennessee 41-0 236 13 3 20 55-294 5.3 7-17 84 2 7 29-62 2.1 11-23 80 3 at Texas A&M 27-19 47 0 2 16 44-232 5.3 13-22 123 3 16 40-71 1.8 19-29 237 4 at Vanderbilt 45-14 313 16 -1 27 54-423 7.8 10-14 126 2 11 22-64 2.9 17-31 172 0 Arkansas 41-9 269 8 -1 23 43-308 7.2 13-21 188 2 15 29-27 0.9 23-43 200 5 Missouri 53-28 384 14 0 24 51-370 7.3 18-26 326 1 10 24-59 2.5 15-25 253 0 Tennessee 45-7 496 28 -1 35 53-272 5.1 22-33 332 2 7 30-64 2.1 9-16 44 4 Bye Bye † Florida 42-7 144 -1 1 14 35-292 8.3 4-7 101 0 15 41-183 4.5 10-25 66 5 LSU 24-10 -7 -2 1 14 36-116 3.2 11-24 183 4 16 42-151 3.6 15-31 155 6 South Carolina 24-10 168 12 1 26 53-242 4.6 16-22 196 1 14 17-43 2.5 21-36 227 2 at Miss St 31-24 114 -3 0 19 38-202 5.3 10-18 242 5 22 49-172 3.5 13-24 158 1 at Auburn 17-40 -258 -12 -1 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 Mercer 56-0 369 13 1 22 42-265 6.3 14-18 265 0 9 39-107 2.7 7-22 54 0 Kentucky 42-13 242 8 0 25 44-381 8.7 9-14 123 1 17 37-124 3.4 12-23 138 3 at Auburn 14-26 -94 -10 0 15 38-211 5.6 13-23 103 2 25 49-168 3.4 22-29 240 1 at Georgia Tech 38-7 245 11 1 23 43-247 5.7 12-17 224 0 12 46-188 4.1 2-9 38 1

Georgia Bulldogs Georgia † Auburn 17-40 -258 -12 -1 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 † Clemson 24-6 73 2 1 16 42-141 3.4 16-24 120 2 14 33-64 1.9 18-37 124 5 † Oklahoma 54-48 -4 -3 0 21 34-317 9.3 20-29 210 2 24 45-242 5.4 24-36 289 5 LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM Alabama Crimson Tide Alabama Crimson † Georgia † Alabama Average 38-11 197.3 7.3 1.0 22 44-256 5.8 62.3% 194 8.0% 15 34-92 2.7 54.1% 161 9.1% Average 36-16 150.8 5.0 0.4 20 45-267 6.0 62.3% 173 6.6% 15 33-122 3.7 56.0% 168 7.7% Conference 38-12 223.0 8.9 0.6 23 46-275 6.0 59.4% 200 9.9% 14 35-98 2.8 54.7% 155 11.7% Conference 36-14 168.3 5.8 0.7 20 45-277 6.1 62.6% 169 8.0% 15 32-118 3.7 53.0% 159 7.1% Away 30-14 126.3 3.7 1.3 20 45-243 5.4 59.8% 144 11.4% 16 36-93 2.6 56.3% 168 8.0% Home 37-13 202.0 7.7 0.0 22 48-284 5.9 66.1% 195 3.7% 14 28-94 3.3 59.8% 183 4.9% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving † Florida St Jalen Hurts 10-18-96-1-0 Damien Harris 9-73-8.1-1 Calvin Ridley 7-82-11.7-1 Alabama Georgia Appalachian St Jake Fromm 10-15-143-1-0 Nick Chubb 15-96-6.4-2 Javon Wims 3-81-27.0-1 Fresno St Jalen Hurts 14-18-128-1-0 Jalen Hurts 10-154-15.4-2 Calvin Ridley 5-45-9.0-0 Alabama QB/WR at Notre Dame Jake Fromm 16-29-141-1-1 Sony Michel 13-73-5.6-1 Terry Godwin 2-36-18.0-1 Colorado St Jalen Hurts 12-17-248-2-0 Jalen Hurts 11-103-9.4-1 Calvin Ridley 3-92-30.7-1 0.63 vs. Samford Jake Fromm 8-13-165-3-0 Nick Chubb 16-131-8.2-2 Terry Godwin 4-98-24.5-2 at Vanderbilt Tua Tagovailoa 8-10-103-2-0 Damien Harris 12-151-12.6-3 Jerry Jeudy 3-68-22.7-1 Georgia DB's Miss St Jake Fromm 9-12-201-2-0 Nick Chubb 15-81-5.4-2 Terry Godwin 2-80-40.0-1 Mississippi Jalen Hurts 12-19-197-2-0 Jalen Hurts 10-101-10.1-1 Cam Sims 1-60-60.0-0 Alabama RB's at Tennessee Jake Fromm 7-15-84-1-1 Nick Chubb 16-109-6.8-0 Terry Godwin 2-43-21.5-0 at Texas A&M Jalen Hurts 13-22-123-1-0 Damien Harris 14-124-8.9-1 Jalen Hurts 5-68-13.6-0 0.88 vs. at Vanderbilt Jake Fromm 7-11-102-2-0 Sony Michel 12-150-12.5-1 Terry Godwin 2-70-35.0-1 Arkansas Jalen Hurts 12-19-155-1-1 Damien Harris 9-125-13.9-2 Calvin Ridley 4-51-12.8-0 Georgia LB's Missouri Jake Fromm 18-26-326-2-1 D'Andre Swift 6-94-15.7-0 Javon Wims 5-95-19.0-0 Tennessee Jalen Hurts 13-21-198-1-0 Damien Harris 13-72-5.5-1 Calvin Ridley 8-82-10.3-0 Alabama OL Bye Bye 1.11 vs. † Florida Jake Fromm 4-7-101-1-1 Sony Michel 6-137-22.8-2 D'Andre Swift 3-84-28.0-0 LSU Jalen Hurts 11-24-183-1-0 Jalen Hurts 14-44-3.1-1 Calvin Ridley 3-61-20.3-0 Georgia DL South Carolina Jake Fromm 16-22-196-2-0 Nick Chubb 20-102-5.1-0 Terry Godwin 3-53-17.7-0 at Miss St Jalen Hurts 10-19-242-1-0 Damien Harris 8-93-11.6-1 Calvin Ridley 5-171-34.2-0 Alabama DL at Auburn Jake Fromm 13-28-184-1-0 Nick Chubb 11-27-2.5-1 Javon Wims 3-96-32.0-0 Mercer Jalen Hurts 7-7-180-3-0 Bo Scarbrough 5-54-10.8-0 Calvin Ridley 3-103-34.3-1 0.02 vs. Kentucky Jake Fromm 9-14-123-1-1 Nick Chubb 15-151-10.1-2 Javon Wims 6-83-13.8-1 at Auburn Jalen Hurts 13-23-177-1-0 Jalen Hurts 17-80-4.7-0 Cam Sims 1-65-65.0-0 Georgia OL at Georgia Tech Jake Fromm 12-16-224-2-0 Sony Michel 13-85-6.5-1 Ahkil Crumpton 2-78-39.0-1 Alabama LB'S † Auburn Jake Fromm 16-22-183-2-0 D'Andre Swift 7-88-12.6-1 Mecole Hardman 4-67-16.8-0 † Clemson Jalen Hurts 16-24-120-2-0 Damien Harris 19-77-4.1-0 Calvin Ridley 4-39-9.8-1 vs. 0.13 † Oklahoma Jake Fromm 20-29-210-2-0 Sony Michel 11-181-16.5-3 Javon Wims 6-73-12.2-1 † Georgia Georgia RB's † Alabama Jalen Hurts 152-248-2125-17-1 Damien Harris 129-983-7.6-11 Calvin Ridley 54-867-16.1-4 Alabama DB's Jake Fromm 165-259-2383-23-5 Nick Chubb 205-1320-6.4-15 Javon Wims 44-704-16.0-7 Alabama Leaders Tua Tagovailoa 35-53-470-8-1 Jalen Hurts 147-806-5.5-8 Cam Sims 14-259-18.5-1 1.10 vs. Georgia Leaders Jacob Eason 4-7-28-0-0 Sony Michel 142-1129-8.0-16 Terry Godwin 34-591-17.4-6 JK Scott 1-1--9-0-0 Bo Scarbrough 120-573-4.8-8 Jerry Jeudy 13-244-18.8-2 Georgia QB/WR Brice Ramsey 1-4-10-0-2 D'Andre Swift 77-603-7.8-3 Mecole Hardman 23-338-14.7-3 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Alabama ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score 2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's vs. 0.21 Las Vegas Line Alabama 13 50.5 38 15 47-189 11-16-190 Georgia ST's Alabama By 3.5 Alabama had a banged up LB corps at the end of the year and barely made it into the playoffs. The Tide proved Georgia 8 -1.5 10 12 38-193 11-31-106 -2 Projected Rushing Alabama K they belonged by dominating No. 1 Clemson 24-6 holding the potent Tigers attack to just 188 total yards and Las Vegas Total Clemson had under 100 yards offense mid 4Q. Alabama’s offensive line did a decent job against the best 2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's 190 yards Alabama Georgia 194 yards vs. 0.44 44.5 Points defensive line in the country. Georgia got involved in a shootout last week with a botched squib kick giving Alabama 2 -7.5 32 26 51-350 13-21-162 Projected Passing Georgia K them a gift FG prior to the half and momentum to come back from a 17 point deficit. This will be a defensive +/- Ratings Georgia 3 50.5 28 18 29-113 19-34-281 1 153 yards Alabama Georgia 138 yards Alabama Coaches Georgia By 1.0 lower scoring game with both teams trying to establish the rush. My computer has this right where Las Vegas does as it has Alabama winning 24.3 to 20.5 so a 4 point margin and a total of 45. Alabama has an edge on the Projected Yardage Total 1.25 vs. Game Grade defenseive line and secondary and Georgia at LB especially with Anfernee Jennings out for Alabama. I give Jake 343 yards Alabama Georgia 332 yards Georgia Coaches Alabama By 0.7 Fromm the edge thowing it but Jalen Hurts has a solid 15-1 ratio this year and is a dynamic runner and his Projected Final Score Alabama Pts running ability could be a key difference. The RB’s are even as these are the top two units in the country and Computer Yards you could debate for weeks which one is #1 and which one is #2. Nick Saban is 11-0 against his former 24 points Alabama Georgia 20 points 5.00 vs. 0.78 Alabama 343-332 assistants and the Crimson Tide players know what it was like to get to the brink of a title and let it slip away Experience Rankings Georgia Pts like they did last year. That left a bad taste in their mouths for 12 months and they finally reclaim the title POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED Computer Points Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Alabama 24-20 67 Alabama Georgia 12 TO: versus a Georgia team that is off a big two OT win and playing in their first ever playoff title game. Team Schedule Strength Alabama Phil Steele 45 Alabama Georgia 25 Alabama by 11 Alabama 27 Georgia 16 By 4.22 Points OVERALL: OVERALL: North Dakota St Bison 13-1 14-0 James Madison Dukes Bison Logs vs. MVFC vs. CAA Dukes Logs TM FOE TM FOE FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 7-1 9-0 TM FOE AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM +/- TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/- REC REC CONF CONF +/- TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC REC TM FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 111 58 2 9/2 Miss Valley St 72-7 W 124 126 62 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 101 1 9/2 at East Carolina 34-14 W 124 126 62 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 112 103 2 6 9/9 at Eastern Washington 40-13 W 125 126 62 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 76 1 9/9 East Tenn St 52-0 W 125 126 62 North Dakota St James Madison 2-0 0-0 116 2 9/23 Bye 128 125 89 2-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 116 73 1 9/16 Norfolk St 75-14 W 128 125 89 2-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 116 74 2 9/23 Robert Morris 56-0 W 130 124 79 #4 Rush Off #19 3-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 118 99 1 9/23 Maine 28-10 W 130 124 79 3-0 1-3 0-0 0-1 118 83 2 9/30 Missouri St 38-11 W 128 123 87 #88 Pass Off #41 4-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 118 94 1 9/30 at Delaware 20-10 W 128 123 87 4-0 0-4 1-0 0-1 116 94 2 10/7 at Indiana St 52-0 W 128 120 78 #8 Total Off #21 5-0 2-0 116 1 10/7 Bye 128 120 78 5-0 3-2 2-0 1-1 122 110 2 12 10/14 at Youngstown St 27-24 W 127 116 99 #2 Score Off #8 6-0 4-2 2-0 2-1 116 110 1 11 10/7 Villanova 30-8 W 127 116 99 6-0 5-1 3-0 2-1 121 107 2 25 10/21 Western Illinois 24-12 W 126 107 71 #31 Sks Allowed #76 7-0 2-4 3-0 0-3 118 92 1 10/14 at William & Mary 46-14 W 126 107 71 7-0 4-3 4-0 3-1 120 109 2 8 10/28 Northern Iowa 30-14 W 126 119 35 #7 Rush Def #6 7-0 5-2 4-0 3-1 119 98 1 17 10/21 New Hampshire 21-0 W 126 119 35 8-0 6-2 5-0 3-2 120 113 5 10 11/4 at South Dakota St 21-33 L 127 122 39 #3 Pass Def #12 8-0 2-6 5-0 0-4 119 88 1 10/28 at Rhode Island 38-3 W 127 122 39 8-1 7-2 5-1 4-2 116 111 4 25 11/11 South Dakota 49-14 W 127 118 37 #1 Total Def #3 9-0 5-4 6-0 3-3 120 102 1 11/4 Richmond 20-13 W 127 118 37 9-1 6-3 6-1 4-3 120 104 4 11/18 at Illinois St 20-7 W 128 118 29 #2 Score Def #1 10-0 8-2 7-0 6-0 118 96 1 11 11/11 at Elon 31-3 W 128 118 29 10-1 10-2 7-1 8-0 120 102 4 9 11/25 San Diego 38-3 W 125 111 35 #23 Sks By #5 11-0 10-2 8-0 7-1 119 101 1 10 12/2 Stony Brook 26-7 W 125 111 35 11-1 10-2 7-1 7-1 122 100 4 5 12/9 Wofford 42-10 W 122 105 46 12-0 11-2 9-0 7-1 119 112 1 11 12/9 Weber St 31-28 W 122 105 46 12-1 12-1 7-1 8-1 123 104 4 1 12/16 Sam Houston St 55-13 W 122 104 42 +17 Total TO's +24 13-0 11-2 9-0 6-2 119 120 1 5 12/16 South Dakota St 51-16 W 122 104 42 13-1 14-0 7-1 9-0 123 122 1/6 † James Madison 122 104 42 14-0 13-1 9-0 7-1 122 127 1 4 1/6 † North Dakota St 122 104 42 Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Net Offense Comp Yds Defense Comp Yds Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Score Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Miss Valley St 72-7 625 28 1 31 53-498 9.4 11-17 185 0 3 27--31 -1.1 7-22 89 5 at East Carolina 34-14 252 -5 2 23 44-422 9.6 15-22 192 1 28 30-70 0.0 28-53 292 1 at Eastern Washington40-13 328 20 0 31 63-375 6.0 13-22 157 1 11 24-70 2.9 10-30 134 2 East Tenn St 52-10 251 10 0 24 39-122 3.1 25-33 304 1 14 32-57 0.0 12-27 118 2 Bye Norfolk St 75-14 637 33 -1 39 65-472 7.3 20-27 256 0 6 30-43 0.0 7-17 48 2 Robert Morris 56-0 393 17 4 21 48-260 5.4 15-24 190 4 4 24-44 1.8 3-16 13 1 Maine 28-10 173 10 1 25 43-191 4.4 21-31 281 3 15 36-137 0.0 20-41 162 4 Missouri St 38-11 200 6 2 21 31-214 6.9 15-21 220 1 15 37-117 3.2 16-21 117 0 at Delaware 20-10 118 7 1 18 54-254 4.7 10-19 93 2 11 37-140 0.0 7-18 89 3 at Indiana St 52-0 206 14 5 24 44-246 5.6 21-27 202 0 10 31-124 4.0 8-19 118 2 Bye at Youngstown St 27-24 55 5 0 21 41-280 6.8 11-21 113 1 16 45-150 3.3 11-15 188 6 Villanova 30-8 142 3 2 17 30-45 1.5 20-28 271 2 14 48-144 0.0 5-19 30 6 Western Illinois 24-12 186 7 -1 18 48-181 3.8 11-18 221 1 11 23-31 1.3 17-28 185 5 at William & Mary 46-14 91 6 4 19 50-180 3.6 16-28 209 3 13 32-144 0.0 12-31 154 6 Northern Iowa 30-14 148 4 3 15 41-169 4.1 8-23 136 1 11 37-48 1.3 14-22 109 6 New Hampshire 21-0 146 8 2 19 45-163 3.6 20-27 176 4 11 32-27 0.0 12-32 166 6 at South Dakota St21-33 -136 -5 -4 18 27-108 4.0 16-28 229 3 23 36-144 4.0 23-33 329 2 at Rhode Island 38-3 207 9 2 20 38-187 4.9 15-19 163 3 11 32-29 0.0 10-22 114 7 South Dakota 49-14 228 -2 0 21 46-340 7.4 11-12 307 0 23 38-187 4.9 30-47 232 4 Richmond 20-13 18 4 -1 21 39-113 2.9 18-32 229 4 17 19-20 0.0 27-45 304 4 at Illinois St 20-7 63 6 1 15 53-267 5.0 2-8 15 4 9 30-106 3.5 8-22 113 0 at Elon 31-3 185 8 -1 23 35-190 5.4 23-32 217 0 15 48-97 0.0 8-18 125 3 San Diego 38-3 298 10 2 20 46-301 6.5 9-17 171 4 10 29-62 2.1 14-29 112 2 Stony Brook 26-7 -7 5 5 20 38-49 1.3 26-35 255 5 15 33-104 0.0 15-36 207 0 Wofford 42-10 287 13 1 21 49-261 5.3 12-17 203 0 8 37-134 3.6 3-12 43 1 Weber St 31-28 220 15 0 26 44-190 4.3 21-45 359 3 11 32-91 0.0 12-30 238 0 Sam Houston St 55-13 290 5 3 26 48-471 9.8 11-18 171 0 21 18-63 3.5 29-52 289 1 South Dakota St 51-16 97 -9 8 16 39-257 6.6 20-29 206 1 25 35-120 0.0 19-48 246 5 JamesDukesMadison North Dakota St Bison St Dakota North LEADERSAVERAGES& TEAM † James Madison † North Dakota St Average 40-12 226.5 9.1 1.2 22 46-284 6.2 60.8% 180 7.3% 13 31-89 2.9 52.4% 148 10.1% Average 36-10 175.2 8.4 1.7 22 43-186 4.3 66.2% 232 8.1% 14 34-89 0.0 43.2% 154 12.5% Conference 33-14 118.8 4.4 0.8 19 41-226 5.5 60.1% 180 7.0% 15 35-113 3.3 61.4% 174 12.1% Conference 29-8 119.2 6.7 1.7 20 41-152 3.7 67.3% 210 10.4% 14 35-94 0.0 44.3% 150 14.9% Away 32-15 103.2 8.0 0.4 22 46-255 5.6 59.4% 143 8.5% 14 33-119 3.6 50.4% 176 10.1% Away 34-8 150.3 7.5 1.5 20 44-203 4.6 65.3% 171 8.2% 13 37-103 0.0 41.6% 121 21.3% By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Miss Valley St Easton Stick 5-5-100-2-0 Lance Dunn 7-142-20.3-2 RJ Urzendowski 3-73-24.3-2 North Dakota St James Madison at East Carolina Bryan Schor 17-24-204-1-1 Cardon Johnson 17-265-15.6-2 David Eldridge 3-51-17.0-1 at Eastern Washington Easton Stick 13-20-124-0-0 Bruce Anderson 23-160-7.0-1 Nate Jenson 5-75-15.0-0 North Dakota St QB/WR East Tenn St Bryan Schor 25-33-304-5-1 Marcus Marshall 9-31-3.4-0 Ishmael Hyman 6-93-15.5-2 Bye #N/A vs. #N/A Norfolk St Bryan Schor 12-16-149-2-1 Trai Sharp 9-130-14.4-1 Clayton Cheatham 1-47-47.0-1 Robert Morris Easton Stick 11-15-132-2-0 Lance Dunn 3-111-37.0-3 Jeff Lilies 3-53-17.7-0 James Madison DB's Maine Bryan Schor 21-31-281-4-1 Marcus Marshall 19-135-7.1-0 Ezrah Archie 9-90-10.0-1 Missouri St Easton Stick 15-21-220-2-0 Bruce Anderson 11-106-9.6-1 RJ Urzendowski 6-82-13.7-1 North Dakota St RB's at Delaware Bryan Schor 10-19-93-0-1 Trai Sharp 36-185-5.1-1 Ishmael Hyman 2-51-25.5-0 at Indiana St Easton Stick 18-23-191-4-0 Lance Dunn 16-74-4.6-2 Darrius Shepherd 6-94-15.7-0 #N/A vs. #N/A Bye at Youngstown St Easton Stick 11-20-113-2-0 Easton Stick 11-172-15.6-1 Darrius Shepherd 5-49-9.8-0 James Madison LB's Villanova Bryan Schor 20-28-271-2-1 Trai Sharp 11-25-2.3-0 Terrence Alls 7-83-11.9-0 Western Illinois Easton Stick 11-18-221-1-2 Bruce Anderson 21-93-4.4-0 RJ Urzendowski 4-100-25.0-1 North Dakota St OL at William & Mary Bryan Schor 13-24-186-1-2 Marcus Marshall 11-64-5.8-2 Terrence Alls 7-113-16.1-0 Northern Iowa Easton Stick 8-23-136-1-2 Bruce Anderson 26-78-3.0-1 RJ Urzendowski 2-46-23.0-1 #N/A vs. #N/A New Hampshire Bryan Schor 20-27-176-2-1 Trai Sharp 18-83-4.6-0 John Miller 5-65-13.0-0 at South Dakota St Easton Stick 16-28-229-2-3 Ty Brooks 6-49-8.2-0 Darrius Shepherd 7-95-13.6-0 James Madison DL at Rhode Island Bryan Schor 14-17-150-4-0 Percy Agyei-Obese 10-95-9.5-0 Terrence Alls 5-73-14.6-1 South Dakota Easton Stick 11-12-307-1-0 Lance Dunn 9-152-16.9-3 Jeff Lilies 2-96-48.0-0 North Dakota St DL Richmond Bryan Schor 18-32-229-0-1 Trai Sharp 13-60-4.6-1 David Eldridge 4-81-20.3-0 at Illinois St Easton Stick 2-8-15-0-0 Bruce Anderson 22-95-4.3-1 Dallas Freeman 1-12-12.0-0 #N/A vs. #N/A at Elon Bryan Schor 22-29-214-0-1 Bryan Schor 9-76-8.4-3 Terrence Alls 5-73-14.6-0 San Diego Easton Stick 9-16-171-3-0 Bruce Anderson 14-112-8.0-0 RJ Urzendowski 5-55-11.0-1 James Madison OL Stony Brook Bryan Schor 26-35-255-2-0 Percy Agyei-Obese 7-15-2.1-0 Terrence Alls 10-94-9.4-1 Wofford Easton Stick 11-16-184-3-0 Seth Wilson 15-74-4.9-0 Connor Wentz 1-48-48.0-1 North Dakota St LB'S Weber St Bryan Schor 21-45-359-1-1 Marcus Marshall 14-128-9.1-2 Riley Stapleton 8-189-23.6-1 Sam Houston St Easton Stick 10-17-160-4-1 Seth Wilson 24-194-8.1-0 Bruce Anderson 2-54-27.0-2 #N/A vs. #N/A South Dakota St Bryan Schor 18-25-203-2-0 Marcus Marshall 15-203-13.5-2 David Eldridge 5-75-15.0-0 † James Madison James Madison RB's † North Dakota St Easton Stick 151-242-2303-27-8 Bruce Anderson 216-1153-5.3-11 RJ Urzendowski 35-589-16.8-8 North Dakota St DB's Bryan Schor 257-385-3074-26-12 Marcus Marshall 132-820-6.2-10 Terrence Alls 53-681-12.8-2 North Dakota St Leaders Cole Davis 11-20-157-1-0 Lance Dunn 89-786-8.8-15 Darrius Shepherd 35-485-13.9-0 #N/A vs. #N/A James Madison Leaders Cole Johnson 14-23-141-1-1 Trai Sharp 159-715-4.5-29 David Eldridge 41-524-12.8-5 Henry Van Dellen 4-9-27-0-0 Easton Stick 98-628-6.4-12 Jeff Lilies 19-294-15.5-3 James Madison QB/WR Hunter Etheridge 1-1-8-0-0 Cardon Johnson 37-347-9.4-3 Riley Stapleton 35-508-14.5-5 Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) North Dakota St ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box Score 2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's #N/A vs. #N/A Las Vegas Line James Madison 27 15 40-201 11-18-242 1 James Madison ST's North Dakota St -4.5 North Dakota St 17 20 39-132 19-38-216 0 Projected Rushing North Dakota St K This is a meeting of the Preseason #1 & #2 teams. Returning National Champion James Madison Las Vegas Total 238 yards North Dakota St James Madison 134 yards #N/A vs. #N/A 48 Points comes into this game with a 26 game win streak including a 27-17 win over North Dakota St LY in the Projected Passing James Madison K semi-finals and a perfect 14-0 TY. The Bison are 13-1 since that loss. LY the Dukes won on the road 27- +/- Ratings 131 yards North Dakota St James Madison 169 yards North Dakota St Coaches North Dakota St -5 17. They jumped out to a 17-0 2Q lead, but was 17-17 after 3Q. JMU scored 10 pts on their first two Projected Yardage Total #N/A vs. #N/A drives of the 4Q and NDSU was SOD on their final 2 poss. JMU finished with a 443-348 yd edge (-1 Game Grade 369 yards North Dakota St James Madison 303 yards James Madison Coaches #N/A TO). The Bison have the offensive edge (#8 to #21) which is why the are actually the favorite here. I Projected Final Score North Dakota St Pts expect this game to be close and so slightly lean with JMU plus the points. I think the better play here Computer Yards 22 points North Dakota St James Madison 18 points #N/A vs. #N/A North Dakota St 369-303 is the UNDER as JMU has the FCS #1 scoring & #3 ttl defense while NDSU has the #2 scoring & #1 ttl Experience Rankings James Madison Pts defense. POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED Computer Points #N/A North Dakota St James Madison #N/A TO: North Dakota St 22-18

Return to Table of Contents of Table Returnto Team Schedule Strength #N/A Phil Steele #N/A North Dakota St James Madison #N/A North Dakota St by 3 #N/A (UNDER 48) North Dakota St 21 James Madison 18