Krause Fund Research Spring 2020 The Carlyle Group (CG) April 14, 2020 Stock Rating HOLD Financial Services – Alternative Asset Management Analyst Target Price $25 - 27 Justin Koress Krause Fund DCF Model $27
[email protected] Relative P/E Ratio (EPS20) $21 Relative P/B Ratio $25 Investment Thesis Price Data Current Stock Price $22.68 We recommend a HOLD rating for The Carlyle Group because of its diversified 52Wk RanGe $15.21 - $34.98 investments within key drivers in the Asset Management industry, such as Key Statistics corporate private equity, with an emphasis to capitalize on the ESG investment Market Cap (B) $7.90 trend. However, CG’s use of leverage will expose them to extreme risks associated Shares OutstandinG (M) 348.23 with COVID-19. Five Year Beta 1.77 Current Dividend Yield 4.17% Drivers of Thesis Price/EarninGs (TTM) 8.04x Price/EarninGs (FY1) 13.98x • With private capital dry powder at a record $2.3 trillion dollars, Profitability alternative managers will be able to create high-quality investments at Profit MarGin 35.07% distressed valuations in response to COVID-19. Return on Equity (TTM) 39.88% Return on Assets (TTM) 17.15% • CGs management team has a proven track record in locating Debt to Equity Ratio 365.01% companies that weather economic downturns, providing tremendous investment opportunities in a destabilized market. 25.00 • The alternative asset management business is intensely competitive, with competition based on a variety of factors, including investment 20.00 performance, a record number of private investment funds, and lack of 19.00 20.28 investor liquidity due to COVID-19.