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UNDERSTANDING THE HOUTHI CONFLICT IN NORTHERN YEMEN: A SOCIAL MOVEMENT APPROACH BY AndrewDumm Submitted to the Faculty of the School of International Service of American University in Partiai Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of the Arts m International Affairs Chair: Professor Carl LeVan Dean of the School of International Service CJOfD Date 2010 American University Washington, D.C. 20016 AMERICAN UNJVERSJTY liBRARY Cf:55() UMI Number: 1484559 All rights reserved INFORMATION TO ALL USERS The quality of this reproduction is dependent upon the quality of the copy submitted. In the unlikely event that the author did not send a complete manuscript and there are missing pages, these will be noted. Also, if material had to be removed, a note will indicate the deletion. UMI ....----Dissertation Publishing.....___ UMI 1484559 Copyright 2010 by ProQuest LLC. All rights reserved. This edition of the work is protected against unauthorized copying under Title 17, United States Code. Pro uesr ---- ProQuest LLC 789 East Eisenhower Parkway P.O. Box 1346 Ann Arbor, Ml48106-1346 ©COPYRIGHT by AndrewDumm 2010 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED To my parents UNDERSTANDING THE HOUTHI CONFLICT IN NORTHERN YEMEN: A SOCIAL MOVEMENT APPROACH BY AndrewDumm ABSTRACT Since 2004, the Yemeni government has been fighting a bloody civil war with local Zaydi Shia forces known as the Houthis in the country's north. Conventional explanations rooted in the recent history of the civil war fail to adequately account for the rise of the rebels and their fundamental grievances, however. A social movement approach, which can contextualize the Houthi rebellion within a historical evolution of Zaydi movements, is used here to · explain the transition of the Houthis from non-violent social movement to armed insurrectionary group. The Yemeni regime's anti-Zaydi policies and nationalist narrative, along with a competing Wahhabi religious movement, led to a series of inter- and intra-movement disputes that fostered the rise of increasingly oppositional Zaydi factions like the Houthi. The interplay between the Houthi leadership's complex framing of Zaydi grievances and escalating regime challenger interactions over a public protest movement explains the Houthis' recourse to violence in 2004. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT ............................................................................................................... .ii LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS ....................................................................................... v Chapter I. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................... ! II. A SOCIAL MOVEMENT THEORY FRAMEWORK. ............................................ 5 Rational Collective Action .............................................................................. 6 Examining Cultural Fault-Lines .................................................................. lO Inter- and Intra-Movement Framing Disputes ........................................... 12 Theoretical Explanations for Violence ......................................................... 17 III. THE HOUTHI CONFLICT SINCE 2004 .......................................................... 21 0 ngm. o fH ost1·1·. Itles, 2003-2004 ................................................................. 24 A 'Protracted' Conflict, 2005-2010 .............................................................. 31 Houthi Family Leadership ............................................................... 32 Aggressive Tactics ............................................................................. 35 Civilian Deaths and Displacement ................................................... 37 Arbitrary Detentions ......................................................................... 38 The Tribal Dimension ....................................................................... 39 Failed Mediation ............................................................................... 41 Conventional Explanations for the War ..................................................... -43 iii The Counterterrorist Argument ...................................................... -43 A Regional Proxy War ....................................................................... 50 The Houthis as a Charismatic Leadership Cult ............................... 58 The Houthis as Resource-seeking Separatists .................................. 61 IV. ZAYDI CULTURAL IDENTITY AND HISTORICAL GRIEVANCE. ................ 67 Zaydism within Islam .................................................................................. 67 The Imamate and Descent-based Rule ....................................................... 70 Zaydi Responses to the New Republic ......................................................... 73 State Frames of Zaydis and the Imamate: The Role of Past and Present.. 75 V. REVIVALIST CURRENTS: EARLY ZAYDI SOCIAL MOVEMENTS ................ 81 Wahhabi Influence in Saada........................................................................ 81 The Revivalist Response .............................................................................. 88 Political Opportunity Structure: The Failure of al Haqq............................ g2 VI. ZAYDI RADICALIZATION: THE BELIEVING YOUTH .................................. 97 Husayn al Houthi and a Militant Believing Youth .................................... 1o2 Revisiting the Houthi Slogan ..................................................................... 107 VII. EXPLAINING THE USE OF VIOLENCE. ..................................................... 114 Regime-Challenger Interactions and Framing, 2004-2010 ..................... 115 VIII. CONCLUSION .............................................................................................. 123 BIBLIOGRAPHY ................................................................................................... 127 iv LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS Figure 1. Historical Evolution ofthe Houthi Movement ................................................... 17 2. North Yemen ...................................................................................................... 30 3. Yemen: Administrative Divisions, 2002 .......................................................... -40 4. US Foreign Military Financing to Yemen, 1998-2010 ..................................... -48 5. Population Density in Yemen, 2002 .................................................................. 57 6. Distribution of Ethnoreligious Groups and Key Tribal Areas in Yemen, 2002 .................................................................................................................... 68 7· Cemetery in Saada .............................................................................................. 87 Table 1. Social versus Insurrectionary Movements ......................................................... 19 v CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION Since 2004, the Yemeni government has been fighting a bloody civil war with _local Zaydi Shia forces in Saada and the surrounding provinces in the country's north. The rebels, collectively known as the Houthis (after their succession of leaders from the same prominent Zaydi family), claim to be fighting a reactive war in defense of a 'besieged' Zaydi religious community. For its part, Sanaa has variously characterized the Houthi leadership and their "Believing Youth" followers as radical religious extremists, terrorists, and historical revanchists. The intractability of the conflict and its seeming development along religious, tribal, and regional lines has also generated competing explanations for the war from observers outside of Yemen. While mainstream explanations for the Houthi rebellion offer important, partial accounts of the protracted nature of the war, they fail to explain the Houthis' fundamental motivations or contextualize the group's confrontation with the regime in 2004. In particular, these accounts do not isolate the exogenous and endogenous factors that led the Houthis to abandon a well developed model of non-violent Zaydi Islamic social movements for an insurrectionary protest movement in 2003. This paper applies concepts of social movement theory literature to account for the rise of a more militant Believing Youth faction within Zaydi 1 revivalism as well as the Houthis' embrace of violent resistance vis-a-vis the Saleh regime. This study finds that, as a social movement heir to Zaydi revivalism, the Houthi rebellion is a product of both exogenous and endogenous catalysts for violence. On one hand, regime-challenger interactions during a non-violent Believing Youth protest movement in 2003-4led the Yemeni government to crack down on the Zaydi cultural community at large, intensifying long-held grievances; on the other hand, rebel leaders' framing techniques effectively emphasized an escalating and existential communal threat using a critique of the regime's foreign policy to mobilize armed resistance. It was the specific interplay between social movement framing and regime repression that led to the Houthis' jump from peaceful protest movement to violent insurrectionary movement in 2004. The Houthi rebellion, therefore, is not merely a product of traditional social and political group grievances. Although a circumscribed political opportunity structure in Yemen and persistent socioeconomic underdevelopment in the Saada basin are underlying and contributing factors to the call to arms, Zaydi movements predating the Houthis confronted