2020 Election Results

November 2020 2020 Election: Cicely’s Key Takeaways

Top 5 Takeaways

1. Two Key Numbers Drove Results: Early Votes & COVID Cases 2. Blue Wave became Blue Shift 3. Shy Biden Voter v. Secret Trump Voter 4. Minority Populations Drive Turnout; Not a One Size Fits All Approach 5. Red States are Now Purple States

2 2020 Election: Key Takeaway - Early Votes Exceed 103.2 Million

3 Source: Bloomberg Government 2020 Election: Key Takeaway - COVID Cases Increase Prior to Election Day

231,000 Americans died from COVID

Cases & hospitalizations at all time high in 44 states

U.S. surpassed 100,000 cases per day

COVID-19 - #1 issue for voters

4 2020 Election Presidential Race

November 2020

5 Presidential Results – 1988, 1992

Source: 270toWin 6 Presidential Results – 1996, 2000

Source: 270toWin 7 Presidential Races – 2004, 2008

Source: 270toWin 8 Presidential Races – 2012, 2016

Source: 270toWin 9 2020 Election: Presidential Race

Source: 270toWin 10 2020 Election: Presidential Race

11 2020 Election: Presidential Race Voter Attitudes About COVID-19

12 2020 Election: Presidential Race

13 2020 Election U.S. Senate

November 2020

14 2020 Election: U.S. Senate

Senate control remains in flux and will be a determinative factor in a Biden Administration Agenda.

Both parties are preparing for runoffs in Georgia’s two Senate seats on January 5, 2021.

For Democrats to lead the Senate, they need to win both Georgia runoff races which would result in a 50-50 Senate; Vice President would be the tie vote.

15 Source: Bloomberg Government 2020 Election: U.S. Senate

Georgia Runoffs (Jan. 5, 2021) Democrats Republicans • Sen. David Perdue (R) faces (D) • Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) faces (D) 48 50 Incoming Freshmen • (R-TN) • (D-CO) • (D-AZ • Ben Ray Luján (D-NM) • Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) • Roger Marshall (R-KS) • (R-AL)

Defeated Incumbent Senators • Cory Gardner (R-CO) defeated by Hickenlooper • Doug Jones (D-AL) defeated by Tuberville • Martha McSally (R-AZ) defeated by Kelly

Source: Bloomberg Government; The Associated Press as of Nov. 11 as of 9 p.m. EST Note: Yellow indicates independents caucus with Democrats; gray indicates uncalled or runoff races 16 2020 Election: Record Fundraising $13.9 Billion

SENATE

17 Source: Bloomberg Government 2020 Election: Georgia Runoff

Race Results

Jon Ossoff David Perdue

Sen. David Perdue (R) is seeking a second term against Jon Ossoff (D), a documentary film producer who raised $30 million in 2017 for a nationally watched House special election • Perdue defeated Michelle Nunn (D) in 2014, 53%-45%

Source: Bloomberg Government 18 2020 Election: Georgia Runoff

Race Results

Raphael Warnock Kelly Loeffler

Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) will face pastor Raphael Warnock (D) in a Jan. 5. 2021, runoff • Loeffler was appointed in January 2020 to succeed Johnny Isakson (R), who was re-elected 55%-41% in 2016 • Multiple candidates shared the same all-party ballot in the special election

Source: Bloomberg Government 19 117th Congress: Senate Democratic Leadership

Democratic Leader & Democratic Policy and Communications Chair of Conference Committee Chair Sen. (D-NY) Sen. (D-MI)

Democratic Whip Democratic Conference Vice Chair Sen. (D-IL) Sen. (D-MA)

Democratic Conference Vice Chair Assistant Democratic Leader Sen. (D-VA) Sen. (D-WA)

20 117th Congress: Senate Democratic Leadership

Democratic Steering Committee Chair Sen. (D-MN) Secretary of the Conference Sen. (D-WI)

Chair of Outreach Democratic Policy & Communications Sen. (I-VT) Committee Vice Chair Sen. (D-NJ)

Democratic Policy & Communications Vice Chair of Outreach Committee Vice Chair Sen. (D-NV) Sen. (D-WV)

21 117th Congress: Senate Republican Leadership

Republican Leader Republican Policy Committee Chair Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) Sen. (R-MO

Republican Whip Republican Conference Vice Chair Sen. (R-SD) Sen. (R-IA)

RSCC Chair Republican Conference Chair Sen. (R-FL) Sen. (R-WY)

22 2020 Election U.S. House

November 2020

23 2020 Election: U.S. House

24 Source: Bloomberg Government 2020 Election: U.S. House Balance of Power

Democrats Republicans 220 204

Source: Bloomberg Government Note: Gray indicates uncalled races - 11 25 2020 Election: U.S. House By the Numbers

Elected to Other Office Defeated in General CA-08 – Paul Cook (R), elected to San Bernardino County Board of Supervisors IA-01 – Abby Finkenauer (D) OK-05 – Kendra Horn (D) KS-01 – Roger Marshall (R), elected to Senate SC-01 – Joe Cunningham (D) FL-26 – Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) MT-AL – Greg Gianforte (R), elected governor FL-27 – Donna Shalala (D) NM-02 – Xochitl Torres Small (D) NM-03 – Ben Ray Luján (D), elected to Senate MN-07 – Collin Peterson (D) WA-10 – Denny Heck (D), elected lieutenant governor

Did Not Seek Re-election Defeated in Primary AL-02 – Martha Roby (R) NC-06 – Mark Walker (R) CA-53 – Susan Davis (D) NY-02 – Peter King (R) CO-03 – Scott Tipton (R) KS-02 – Steve Watkins (R) FL-03 – Ted Yoho (R) NY-15 – José Serrano (D) FL-15 – Ross Spano (R) MO-01 – Lacy Clay (D) FL-19 – Francis Rooney (R) NY-17 – Nita Lowey (D) IA-04 – Steve King (R) NY-16 – Eliot Engel (D) GA-07 – Rob Woodall (R) OR-02 – Greg Walden (R) IL-03 – Dan Lipinski (D) VA-05 – Denver Riggleman (R) HI-02 – Tulsi Gabbard (D) TN-01 – Phil Roe (R) IA-02 – Dave Loebsack (D) TX-11 – Michael Conaway (R) IL-15 – John Shimkus (R) TX-13 – Mac Thornberry (R) IN-01 – Pete Visclosky (D) TX-17 – Bill Flores (R) Defeated for Other Office IN-05 – Susan Brooks (R) TX-22 – Pete Olson (R) LA-05 – Ralph Abraham (R) TX-23 – Will Hurd (R) AL-01 – Bradley Byrne (R), lost Senate primary MI-03 – Justin Amash (L) TX-24 – Kenny Marchant (R) GA-09 – Doug Collins (R), defeated in Senate special election MI-10 – Paul Mitchell (R) WI-05 – Jim Sensenbrenner (R) MA-04 – Joe Kennedy (D), lost Senate primary NC-02 – George Holding (R) UT-01 – Rob Bishop (R), lost primary for lieutenant governor

26 Source: Bloomberg Government 117th Congress: House Democratic Leadership

Assistant Democratic Leader Speaker of the House Rep. Katherine Clark (D-MA) Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA)

Democratic Majority Leader Democratic Caucus Vice Chair Rep. Steny Hoyer (D-MD) Rep. Pete Aguilar (D-CA)

Democratic Caucus Leadership Democratic Majority Whip Representative Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC) Rep. Colin Allred (D-TX)

27 117th Congress: House Democratic Leadership

Democratic Policy and Communications Committee Co-Chairs

Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-MI) Rep. Ted Lieu (D-CA) Rep. Matt Cartwright (D-PA) Rep. Joe Neguse (D-CO)

DCCC Chair – Two Members are vying for DCCC Chair. Election will occur after Thanksgiving.

Rep. Tony Cardenas Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-CA) (D-NY)

28 117th Congress: House Republican Leadership

House Minority Leader Republican Conference Vice Chair Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) Rep. Mike Johnson (R-LA)

Minority Republican Whip Rep. Steve Scalise (R-LA) Republican Conference Secretary Rep. Richard Hudson (R-NC)

Republican Conference Chair Rep. (R-WY)

29 117th Congress: House Republican Leadership

Republican Policy Committee Chair Rep. Gary Palmer (R-AL)

NRCC Chair Rep. Tom Emmer (R-MN)

30 2020 Election Governors

November 2020

31 2020 Election Gubernatorial Races

32 Source: Bloomberg Government 33