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USAF Counterproliferation Center CPC Outreach Journal #509 USAF COUNTERPROLIFERATION CENTER CPC OUTREACH JOURNAL Maxwell AFB, Alabama Issue No. 509, 19 June 2006 Articles & Other Documents: US Warns On Readiness Of North Korean Missile U.S. Sanctions Cost North Korea Millions U.S., Russia Reach Deal On Securing Soviet WMD Iran Seeks Aid In Asia In Resisting The West Iran's President Hints At Hope For Defusing Crisis Ahmadinejad Says Proposal By The West Is 'Step Forward' North Korea May Test Long-Range Missile North Korea Moves To Take Missile Through A Test Run At The Heart Of The United Front On Iran, Vagueness Iran To Seek Changes In Incentives Package On Crucial Terms Spy Who Turned Tide With Libya Is Brought Back To U.S. Feared Cyanide Attack On New York Subway Target Teheran North Koreans Said to Be Near a Missile Test The Untold Story of al-Qaeda's Plot to Attack the Subways Cyanide Plot Prompts Spy Support Welcome to the CPC Outreach Journal. As part of USAF Counterproliferation Center’s mission to counter weapons of mass destruction through education and research, we’re providing our government and civilian community a source for timely counterproliferation information. This information includes articles, papers and other documents addressing issues pertinent to US military response options for dealing with nuclear, biological and chemical threats and attacks. It’s our hope this information resource will help enhance your counterproliferation issue awareness. Established in 1998, the USAF/CPC provides education and research to present and future leaders of the Air Force, as well as to members of other branches of the armed services and Department of Defense. Our purpose is to help those agencies better prepare to counter the threat from weapons of mass destruction. Please feel free to visit our web site at www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/awc-cps.htm for in-depth information and specific points of contact. Please direct any questions or comments on CPC Outreach Journal to Jo Ann Eddy, CPC Outreach Editor, at (334) 953-7538 or DSN 493-7538. To subscribe, change e-mail address, or unsubscribe to this journal or to request inclusion on the mailing list for CPC publications, please contact Mrs. Eddy. The following articles, papers or documents do not necessarily reflect official endorsement of the United States Air Force, Department of Defense, or other US government agencies. Reproduction for private use or commercial gain is subject to original copyright restrictions. All rights are reserved London Financial Times June 16, 2006 US Warns On Readiness Of North Korean Missile By Demetri Sevastopulo in Washington and Anna Fifield in Seoul North Korean preparations for a possible long-range missile test have advanced to where Pyongyang could launch a Taepodong-2 missile on “very short notice,” a Bush administration official told the Financial Times on Thursday. The US has been monitoring activity at a launch site in North Korea for weeks following indications that Pyongyang was preparing to test an intercontinental ballistic missile for the first time. A senior Bush administration official last week said the US was not yet “on the edge of our seat”. But another official on Thursday said more recent intelligence suggested Pyongyang was now much closer to being ready to conduct a test. “They appear to be moving closer to the ability to actually conduct a launch on very short notice,” said the administration official. In 1998, Pyongyang stunned the US and Japan by firing an intermediate range Taepodong-1 missile over Japan into the Pacific Ocean. While US intelligence now shows that test preparations are very advanced, Washington does not know whether Kim Jong-il, the North Korean leader, will go ahead with a test. Taking the threat of a possible test very seriously, the Pentagon has positioned military assets to deal with any launch. Washington believes increasingly strident and frequent North Korean protests over US spy plane reconnaissance flights may signal its intention to test the Taepodong-2. US and South Korean officials have also urged North Korea to abandon any test. “We are currently trying to get all of the parties in the six-party talks process to send a strong message to North Korea to discourage them from launching,” said a senior US official. The Taepodong-2 is an untested two-, or three-, stage “integrated” missile. The three-stage version consists of a solid-fuel booster rocket strapped atop a Scud missile, which is in turn attached to a short-range Nodong missile. North Korea appears close to the position where it only needs to fuel the missile. Once it does, it would significantly increase the likelihood of a test since the move is dangerous and difficult to reverse. Vice-admiral Lowell Jacoby, then head of the Defence Intelligence Agency, last year told Congress that a three- stage version of the Taepodong-2 had the “theoretical capability [to] reach most of the continental US”. But some experts doubt whether the missile has the range to hit the US and whether it can carry a significant payload. The US believes North Korea is trying to develop the technology to put a nuclear warhead on an ICBM that could reach the US, but has not yet succeeded. South Korea is “bracing” for a possible missile launch, Ban Ki-moon, South Korea’s foreign minister, said on Thursday. “We are very concerned that international opinion turns increasingly negative towards North Korea, especially the six party talks [which] are still in a deadlock,” Mr Ban said. “North Korea should stop its plan, if [there is] any, to fire a missile and come back to the negotiating table.” Tensions over the missile test preparations come as delegates from the two Koreas are meeting in the Southern city of Kwangju to celebrate the sixth anniversary of a historic summit between Kim Jong-il and Kim Dae-jung, then president of South Korea. Inter-Korean relations have warmed significantly since the summit, but there has been no follow-up meeting, as pledged at the time. Kim Dae-jung is preparing to return to Pyongyang at the end of this month, a visit that the current South Korean government hopes will pave the way for a second summit. “We are in a state of truce, not having resolved the issue of war and peace. The threat of war is constantly around us,” said Ahn Kyong-ho, the chief Northern delegate. “As we look to the future of the nation, we must think big and implement it.” Earlier this week, Stephen Hadley, the White House national security adviser, said it would be a “bad idea” for North Korea to conduct a test, and urged Pyongyang to return to the six-party talks which have been stalled since last September. North Korea has refused to return to the talks because of US financial sanctions that are crippling its economy. Another US administration official said: “Our concerns about North Korea’s missile programme are pretty well known. North Korea should abide by the long-range missile test moratorium it has observed since 1999.” http://news.ft.com/cms/s/190275d6-fcd3-11da-9599-0000779e2340.html (Return to Articles and Documents List) Washington Times June 16, 2006 Pg. 3 U.S. Sanctions Cost North Korea Millions By Bill Gertz, The Washington Times U.S. economic "defensive measures" aimed at curbing illegal activities by North Korea have cost the Pyongyang regime millions of dollars in lost cash over the past several months through banking restrictions and other actions, U.S. officials estimate. One sign that the economic measures are hurting the communist regime in North Korea is Pyongyang's continued refusal to rejoin six-nation talks on its nuclear program until the United States lifts what it regards as sanctions, said Bush administration officials involved in Asia matters. "We think the defensive measures are hurting them," said one official who spoke on the condition of anonymity. North Korean officials have told Chinese officials that they will not come back to the six-party talks until the United States lifts economic restrictions imposed on the Macau-based Banco Delta Asia, something the Bush administration is refusing to do, saying the measures are not nuclear-related, but simply efforts to protect the U.S. financial system and to pressure Pyongyang into halting activities such as counterfeiting U.S. currency. The Bush administration official pointed out that U.S. financial actions against North Korea were never part of the agenda of talks aimed at halting covert North Korean nuclear programs. Those talks also include representatives of China, South Korea, Japan and Russia. Officials said there are intelligence reports that North Korea is continuing work on its nuclear programs, including plutonium-fueled efforts and a uranium-enrichment program that remains couched in mystery. The impoverished communist-ruled state has earned hard cash through counterfeiting U.S. currency, specifically a high-quality forged $100 bill. Its other activities include selling illegal drugs, such as heroin and cocaine. The latest U.S. action was a May 8 ban that blocked any U.S.-based company from flying the North Korean flag on its merchant ships. The ban was imposed after the government learned that North Korea was selling its flag to companies at two to three times the usual international price as a way to raise cash. The Clinton administration permitted the flaggings in 2000. Weeks after the Bush-era ban went into effect, U.S. intelligence agencies detected launch-preparation activities at a North Korean missile facility that indicate the regime may be preparing to conduct a missile test. Officials said the North Koreans are unpredictable and could be engaging in brinksmanship, but they do not expect Pyongyang to break its self-imposed moratorium on missile tests.
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