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The New York Times Poll

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The New York Times Poll For papers of 10/21 and 10/22 The New York Times Poll New Jersey October 14-19, 2005 Total N = 1,013 Registered Voters N = 869 Likely Voters N = 750 Results are based on the total statewide sample unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents. Percentages labeled with a "L" have been adjusted to reflect past turnout by geographical region of the state, and include only registered voters who are determined to be likely to vote based on intention of voting, attention to the campaign, and history of voting. Trends are based on the following surveys: NEW YORK TIMES POLLS: OCT. 1981, NOV. 1991, MARCH 1995, OCT. 2000, OCT. 2001, OCT. 2002 NEW YORK TIMES/CBS NEWS POLLS:. SEPT. 1997, OCT. 1997 NEW YORK TIMES/WCBS-TV POLLS. SEPT. 1993, OCT. 1993 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/20-23/01 88 8 4 10/19-24/02 61 27 13 10/14-19/05 38 55 7 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Codey is handling his job as acting governor of New Jersey? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/14-19/05 55 23 22 Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the election district where you now live, or aren't you? Yes No DK/NA 10/14-19/05 82 18 - 3. Is your opinion of Jon Corzine favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Jon Corzine yet to have an opinion? Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 10/14-19/05* 29 27 29 14 - 4. Is your opinion of Doug Forrester favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Doug Forrester yet to have an opinion? Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 10/14-19/05* 21 25 32 21 - 5. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2005 election campaign for governor of New Jersey -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far? A lot Some Not much No attention DK/NA 9/20-26/93* 1 25 50 22 3 - 10/16-18/93* 1 31 50 16 3 - 9/11-14/97* 1 12 41 36 10 - 10/25-29/97* 1 26 55 16 3 - 10/20-23/01* 21 47 25 7 - 10/14-19/05* 24 49 22 5 1 1 VARIED WORDING: HOW MUCH ATTENTION HAVE YOU BEEN ABLE TO PAY TO THIS YEAR=S CAMPAIGN FOR GOVERNOR OF NEW JERSEY B A LOT, SOME, NOT MUCH OR NO ATTENTION SO FAR? 6. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2005 election in November -- would you say you will definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election? Definitely Probably Probably Definitely vote vote not vote not vote DK/NA 10/14-19/05* 79 17 2 1 1 NOTE: THOSE WHO SAID THEY WOULD ADEFINITELY NOT VOTE@ WERE NOT ASKED Q.7-12. 7. If the 2005 election for governor of New Jersey were being held today, would you vote for Jon Corzine, the Democratic candidate or Doug Forrester, the Republican candidate? CANDIDATES’ NAMES ARE ROTATED Corzine Forrester Other Won’t vote DK/NA 10/14-19/05* 48 33 2 2 15 10/14-19/05*L 46 37 2 1 14 2 8. ASKED OF THOSE WHO DID NOT NAME A CANDIDATE IN Q.7: Well as of today, do you lean more towards Jon Corzine or more towards Doug Forrester? Corzine Forrester Other Won=t vote DK/NA 10/14-19/05* 52 36 2 1 8 10/14-19/05*L 49 41 2 1 6 9. ASKED OF THOSE WHO NAMED A CANDIDATE IN Q.7: Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? Made up Might change DK/NA 10/14-19/05* 65 33 2 10/14-19/05*L 66 32 2 CORZINE VOTERS 69 29 2 FORRESTER VOTERS 64 34 2 10. ASKED OF THOSE WHO DID NOT NAME CORZINE IN Q.7 OR Q.8: Would you consider voting for Jon Corzine or is that something you would not consider? Consider Not consider DK/NA 10/14-19/05* 38 53 10 10/14-19/05*L 36 56 8 FORRESTER VOTERS 31 67 2 11. ASKED OF THOSE WHO DID NOT NAME FORRESTER IN Q.7 OR Q.8: Would you consider voting for Doug Forrester, or is that something you would not consider? Consider Not consider DK/NA 10/14-19/05* 35 52 13 10/14-19/05*L 33 56 11 CORZINE VOTERS 27 66 8 12. ASKED OF THOSE WHO NAMED CORZINE OR FORRESTER IN Q.7 OR Q.8: Would you describe your support for (Jon Corzine/Doug Forrester) as strongly favoring him, or do you like (Jon Corzine/Doug Forrester) but with reservations, or do you support (Jon Corzine/Doug Forrester) because you dislike (Jon Corzine/Doug Forrester)? Strongly favor Reservations Dislike other DK/NA 10/14-19/05* 30 49 16 6 10/14-19/05*L 32 48 15 5 CORZINE VOTERS 38 46 11 5 FORRESTER VOTERS 29 46 22 3 13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, do you expect Jon Corzine or Douglas Forrester to finally win the election for governor of New Jersey in November? Corzine Forrester DK/NA 10/14-19/05* 55 22 23 CORZINE VOTERS 78 6 16 FORRESTER VOTERS 39 41 20 14. If the 2005 election for governor of New Jersey were being held today and acting governor Richard Codey was running as the Democratic candidate, would you vote for Richard Codey, the Democratic candidate, or Doug Forrester, the Republican candidate? Codey Forrester Other Won't vote DK/NA 10/14-19/05* 53 34 1 1 11 10/14-19/05*L 53 35 1 1 11 3 15. As you may know, there is a public question on the ballot that would amend the Constitution of New Jersey to establish the office of Lieutenant Governor. If the election were being held today, would you vote for the amendment and create the office of Lieutenant Governor or would you vote against it? For Against DK/NA 10/14-19/05* 55 25 21 10/14-19/05*L 57 23 19 16. Is your opinion of Richard Codey favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Richard Codey yet to have an opinion? Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 10/14-19/05* 45 12 22 21 - 17. Is your opinion of Frank Lautenberg favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Frank Lautenberg yet to have an opinion? Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 10/19-24/02* 46 21 16 16 1 10/14-19/05* 26 24 19 31 1 18. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about George W. Bush yet to have an opinion? Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 10/14-19/05* 36 55 8 - - 19. Is your opinion of Bill Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Bill Clinton yet to have an opinion? Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 10/14-19/05* 59 31 9 1 1 20. Is your opinion of former Governor Tom Kean favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Tom Kean yet to have an opinion? Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 10/14-19/05* 47 13 14 25 1 21. Is your opinion of Hillary Rodham Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Hillary Rodham Clinton yet to have an opinion? Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 10/14-19/05* 43 36 15 6 - 4 22. What do you think is the most important issue in deciding how YOU vote in this November's election for governor of New Jersey? 10/20-23/01* 10/19-24/02*1 10/14-19/05* Abortion 4 2 2 Corruption 3 Guns 3 3 Environment 1 1 1 Economy 11 4 Gas/Heating oil crisis 1 Property taxes 21 Taxes, general 26 10 19 Morals/principals/scandals of candidates 8 5 Education 14 6 7 The elderly 2 1 Campaign ads/tone/debates 5 - Medicare 1 1 - Social Security 1 1 Health care 1 2 3 Prescription drugs 2 - George W. Bush 1 - Democrats 1 1 1 Republicans 1 - 1 Crime 1 - - War 1 - Iraq 1 - Terrorism - - Misc. Social issues 1 2 Jobs/employment 2 3 3 Stem cell research 1 Affordable housing 1 Budget 2 Other 27 18 7 DK/NA 18 20 14 1 QUESTION READ: A. ELECTION FOR SENATE FROM NEW JERSEY@ ROTATE Q.23 AND Q.24 23. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jon Corzine is handling his job as United States Senator? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/20-23/01 58 12 30 10/19-24/02 50 15 35 10/14-19/05 48 24 28 24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 1 10/19-24/02 52 18 30 10/14-19/05 40 21 39 1 QUESTION READ: LOOKING BACK, DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF THE WAY FRANK LAUTENBERG HANDLED HIS JOB AS UNITED STATES SENATOR? 5 25.
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