Effects of Landfall Location and the Approach Angle of a Cyclone Vortex Encountering a Mesoscale Mountain Range
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Effects of Landfall Location and the Approach Angle of a Cyclone Vortex Encountering a Mesoscale Mountain Range
SEPTEMBER 2011 L I N A N D S A V A G E 2095 Effects of Landfall Location and the Approach Angle of a Cyclone Vortex Encountering a Mesoscale Mountain Range YUH-LANG LIN Department of Physics, and Department of Energy & Environmental Systems, and NOAA ISET Center, North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, North Carolina L. CROSBY SAVAGE III Wind Analytics, WindLogics, Inc., St. Paul, Minnesota (Manuscript received 3 November 2010, in final form 30 April 2011) ABSTRACT The orographic effects of landfall location, approach angle, and their combination on track deflection during the passage of a cyclone vortex over a mesoscale mountain range are investigated using idealized model simulations. For an elongated mesoscale mountain range, the local vorticity generation, driving the cyclone vortex track deflection, is more dominated by vorticity advection upstream of the mountain range, by vorticity stretching over the lee side and its immediate downstream area, and by vorticity advection again far downstream of the mountain as it steers the vortex back to its original direction of movement. The vorticity advection upstream of the mountain range is caused by the flow splitting associated with orographic blocking. It is found that the ideally simulated cyclone vortex tracks compare reasonably well with observed tracks of typhoons over Taiwan’s Central Mountain Range (CMR). In analyzing the relative vorticity budget, the authors found that jumps in the vortex path are largely governed by stretching on the lee side of the mountain. Based on the vorticity equation, this stretching occurs where fluid columns descend the lee slope so that the rate of stretching is governed mostly by the flow speed and the terrain slope. -
Improvement of Wind Field Hindcasts for Tropical Cyclones
Water Science and Engineering 2016, 9(1): 58e66 HOSTED BY Available online at www.sciencedirect.com Water Science and Engineering journal homepage: http://www.waterjournal.cn Improvement of wind field hindcasts for tropical cyclones Yi Pan a,b, Yong-ping Chen a,b,*, Jiang-xia Li a,b, Xue-lin Ding a,b a State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China b College of Harbor, Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China Received 16 August 2015; accepted 10 December 2015 Available online 21 February 2016 Abstract This paper presents a study on the improvement of wind field hindcasts for two typical tropical cyclones, i.e., Fanapi and Meranti, which occurred in 2010. The performance of the three existing models for the hindcasting of cyclone wind fields is first examined, and then two modification methods are proposed to improve the hindcasted results. The first one is the superposition method, which superposes the wind field calculated from the parametric cyclone model on that obtained from the cross-calibrated multi-platform (CCMP) reanalysis data. The radius used for the superposition is based on an analysis of the minimum difference between the two wind fields. The other one is the direct modification method, which directly modifies the CCMP reanalysis data according to the ratio of the measured maximum wind speed to the reanalyzed value as well as the distance from the cyclone center. Using these two methods, the problem of underestimation of strong winds in reanalysis data can be overcome. Both methods show considerable improvements in the hindcasting of tropical cyclone wind fields, compared with the cyclone wind model and the reanalysis data. -
Simulating Storm Surge and Inundation Along the Taiwan Coast During Typhoons Fanapi in 2010 and Soulik in 2013
Terr. Atmos. Ocean. Sci., Vol. 27, No. 6, 965-979, December 2016 doi: 10.3319/TAO.2016.06.13.01(Oc) Simulating Storm Surge and Inundation Along the Taiwan Coast During Typhoons Fanapi in 2010 and Soulik in 2013 Y. Peter Sheng1, *, Vladimir A. Paramygin1, Chuen-Teyr Terng 2, and Chi-Hao Chu 2 1 University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, U.S.A. 2 Central Weather Bureau, Taipei City, Taiwan, R.O.C. Received 10 January 2016, revised 9 June 2016, accepted 13 June 2016 ABSTRACT Taiwan is subjected to significant storm surges, waves, and coastal inundation during frequent tropical cyclones. Along the west coast, with gentler bathymetric slopes, storm surges often cause significant coastal inundation. Along the east coast with steep bathymetric slopes, waves can contribute significantly to the storm surge in the form of wave setup. To examine the importance of waves in storm surges and quantify the significance of coastal inundation, this paper presents numerical simulations of storm surge and coastal inundation during two major typhoons, Fanapi in 2010 and Soulik in 2013, which impacted the southwest and northeast coasts of Taiwan, respectively. The simulations were conducted with an integrated surge-wave modeling system using a large coastal model domain wrapped around the island of Taiwan, with a grid resolution of 50 - 300 m. During Fanapi, the simulated storm surge and coastal inundation near Kaohsiung are not as accurate as those obtained using a smaller coastal domain with finer resolution (40 - 150 m). During Soulik, the model simulations show that wave setup contributed significantly (up to 20%) to the peak storm surge along the northeast coast of Taiwan. -
Subsidence Warming As an Underappreciated Ingredient in Tropical Cyclogenesis
NOVEMBER 2015 K E R N S A N D C H E N 4237 Subsidence Warming as an Underappreciated Ingredient in Tropical Cyclogenesis. Part I: Aircraft Observations BRANDON W. KERNS AND SHUYI S. CHEN Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, Florida (Manuscript received 15 December 2014, in final form 15 July 2015) ABSTRACT The development of a compact warm core extending from the mid-upper levels to the lower troposphere and related surface pressure falls leading to tropical cyclogenesis (TC genesis) is not well understood. This study documents the evolution of the three-dimensional thermal structure during the early developing stages of Typhoons Fanapi and Megi using aircraft dropsonde observations from the Impact of Typhoons on the Ocean in the Pacific (ITOP) field campaign in 2010. Prior to TC genesis, the precursor disturbances were characterized by warm (cool) anomalies above (below) the melting level (;550 hPa) with small surface pressure perturbations. Onion-shaped skew T–logp profiles, which are a known signature of mesoscale subsidence warming induced by organized mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), are ubiquitous throughout the ITOP aircraft missions from the precursor disturbance to the tropical storm stages. The warming partially erodes the lower-troposphere (850–600 hPa) cool anomalies. This warming results in increased surface pressure falls when superposed with the upper-troposphere warm anomalies associated with the long-lasting MCSs/cloud clusters. Hydrostatic pressure analysis suggests the upper-level warming alone would not result in the initial sea level pressure drop associated with the transformation from a disturbance to a TC. -
Downloaded 10/01/21 02:24 PM UTC 4916 JOURNAL of the ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES VOLUME 72
DECEMBER 2015 T A N G E T A L . 4915 Horizontal Transition of Turbulent Cascade in the Near-Surface Layer of Tropical Cyclones JIE TANG Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai, and Key Laboratory of Mesoscale Severe Weather, Ministry of Education, and School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China DAVID BYRNE Environmental Physics Group, Institute of Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynamics, ETH Zurich,€ Zurich, Switzerland JUN A. ZHANG National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, Florida YUAN WANG Key Laboratory of Mesoscale Severe Weather, Ministry of Education, and School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China XIAO-TU LEI,DAN WU,PING-ZHI FANG, AND BING-KE ZHAO Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai, China (Manuscript received 15 December 2014, in final form 7 July 2015) ABSTRACT Tropical cyclones (TC) consist of a large range of interacting scales from hundreds of kilometers to a few meters. The energy transportation among these different scales—that is, from smaller to larger scales (up- scale) or vice versa (downscale)—may have profound impacts on TC energy dynamics as a result of the associated changes in available energy sources and sinks. From multilayer tower measurements in the low- level (,120 m) boundary layer of several landing TCs, the authors found there are two distinct regions where the energy flux changes from upscale to downscale as a function of distance to the storm center. The boundary between these two regions is approximately 1.5 times the radius of maximum wind. Two-dimensional tur- bulence (upscale cascade) occurs more typically at regions close to the inner-core region of TCs, while 3D turbulence (downscale cascade) mostly occurs at the outer-core region in the surface layer. -
The Impact of Dropwindsonde on Typhoon Track Forecasts in DOTSTAR and T-PARC
1 Eyewall Evolution of Typhoons Crossing the Philippines and Taiwan: An 2 Observational Study 3 Kun-Hsuan Chou1, Chun-Chieh Wu2, Yuqing Wang3, and Cheng-Hsiang Chih4 4 1Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan 5 2Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan 6 3International Pacific Research Center, and Department of Meteorology, University of 7 Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii 8 4Graduate Institute of Earth Science/Atmospheric Science, Chinese Culture University, 9 Taipei, Taiwan 10 11 12 13 14 Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences 15 (For Special Issue on “Typhoon Morakot (2009): Observation, Modeling, and 16 Forecasting Applications”) 17 (Accepted on 10 May, 2011) 18 19 ___________________ 20 Corresponding Author’s address: Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, 21 National Taiwan University, 55, Hwa-Kang Road, Yang-Ming-Shan, Taipei 111, Taiwan. 22 ([email protected]) 1 23 Abstract 24 This study examines the statistical characteristics of the eyewall evolution induced by 25 the landfall process and terrain interaction over Luzon Island of the Philippines and Taiwan. 26 The interesting eyewall evolution processes include the eyewall expansion during landfall, 27 followed by contraction in some cases after re-emergence in the warm ocean. The best 28 track data, advanced satellite microwave imagers, high spatial and temporal 29 ground-observed radar images and rain gauges are utilized to study this unique eyewall 30 evolution process. The large-scale environmental conditions are also examined to 31 investigate the differences between the contracted and non-contracted outer eyewall cases 32 for tropical cyclones that reentered the ocean. -
Bayesian Inference of Drag Parameters Using AXBT Data from Typhoon Fanapi
JULY 2013 S R A J E T A L . 2347 Bayesian Inference of Drag Parameters Using AXBT Data from Typhoon Fanapi 1 1 # IHAB SRAJ,* MOHAMED ISKANDARANI, ASHWANTH SRINIVASAN, W. CARLISLE THACKER, @ 1 JUSTIN WINOKUR,* ALEN ALEXANDERIAN, CHIA-YING LEE, 1 SHUYI S. CHEN, AND OMAR M. KNIO* * Duke University, Durham, North Carolina 1 University of Miami, Miami, Florida # University of Miami, and Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, Florida @ University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas (Manuscript received 8 August 2012, in final form 9 January 2013) ABSTRACT The authors introduce a three-parameter characterization of the wind speed dependence of the drag co- efficient and apply a Bayesian formalism to infer values for these parameters from airborne expendable bathythermograph (AXBT) temperature data obtained during Typhoon Fanapi. One parameter is a multi- plicative factor that amplifies or attenuates the drag coefficient for all wind speeds, the second is the maximum wind speed at which drag coefficient saturation occurs, and the third is the drag coefficient’s rate of change with increasing wind speed after saturation. Bayesian inference provides optimal estimates of the parameters as well as a non-Gaussian probability distribution characterizing the uncertainty of these estimates. The efficiency of this approach stems from the use of adaptive polynomial expansions to build an inexpensive surrogate for the high-resolution numerical model that couples simulated winds to the oceanic temperature data, dramatically reducing the computational burden of the Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling. These results indicate that the most likely values for the drag coefficient saturation and the corresponding wind 2 2 speed are about 2.3 3 10 3 and 34 m s 1, respectively; the data were not informative regarding the drag coefficient behavior at higher wind speeds. -
Development and Evaluation of Storm Surge Warning System in Taiwan
DEVELOPMENT AND EVALUATION OF STORM SURGE WARNING SYSTEM IN TAIWAN MEI-YING LIN1*, MING-DA CHIOU2, CHIH-YING CHEN3, HAO-YUAN CHENG4, WEN-CHEN LIU5, and WEN-YIH SUN6 1Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, National Applied Research Laboratories, Taiw an. 2Institute of Oceanography, National Taiwan University, Taiwan. 3Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California, Davis, California, USA. 4Graduate Institute of Hydrological & Oceanic Sciences, National Central University, Taiwan. 5Department of Civil and Disaster Prevention Engineering, National United University, Taiwan 6Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Purdue University, USA. ABSTRACT We used three numerical experiments for developing and evaluating a storm surge warning to examine the performance of storm surge forecasting when triggered by typhoon forecasts from TAPEX (Taiwan Cooperative Precipitation Ensemble Forecast Experiment) and to identify the characteristics of storm surges along Taiwan's coast. The results show that the accuracy of storm surge forecasting is dominated by the track, the intensity, and the driving flow of a typhoon. However, in some cases, e.g., Typhoon Soulik in 2013, the wave effect on storm surges is not negligible, and the simulations exhibit a significant bias. To determine the source of this discrepancy, we observed surge deviations from the tide gauge measure for 23 typhoon events and found that the distribution of maximum surge heights peaks at both 40 and 160 cm. Since mechanisms for the rise in water level to 160 cm are not induced only by a storm forcing, we proposed that the wave effect on storm surges was responsible for the bias at this specific location. -
The Responses of Cyclonic and Anticyclonic Eddies to Typhoon Forcing
PUBLICATIONS Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans RESEARCH ARTICLE The responses of cyclonic and anticyclonic eddies to typhoon 10.1002/2017JC012814 forcing: The vertical temperature-salinity structure changes Special Section: associated with the horizontal convergence/divergence Oceanic Responses and Feedbacks to Tropical Shan-Shan Liu1, Liang Sun1,2 , Qiaoyan Wu2 , and Yuan-Jian Yang3 Cyclones 1School of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui, China, 2State Key Laboratory of Satellite Ocean Environment Dynamics, Second Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, Key Points: Hangzhou, China, 3Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Sciences and Satellite Remote Sensing of Anhui Province, Anhui The AE (CE) is divergence (convergence) of warm and fresh Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Hefei, China water, which can modulate the horizontal mass and heat transports The inflow of warm water weakened Abstract The responses of the cyclonic eddies (CEs) and anticyclonic eddies (AEs) to typhoon forcing in the SST cooling in CEs, which leads to the Western North Pacific Ocean (WNPO) are analyzed using Argo profiles. Both CEs and AEs have the the observed SST cooling in CEs much less than modeled primary cooling at the surface (0–10 m depth) and deep upwelling from the top of thermocline (200 m The secondary cooling center locates depth) down to deeper ocean shortly after typhoon forcing. Due to the deep upwelling, part of warm and at 100 m depth in the anticyclonic fresh water at the top of AEs move out of the eddy, which leads to a colder and saltier subsurface in the AEs eddies and 350 m depth in the cyclonic eddies after the passage of the typhoon. -
A Study on Satellite Data Assimilation with Different Atovs in Typhoon Numerical Experiments
Vol.19 No.3 JOURNAL OF TROPICAL METEOROLOGY September 2013 Article ID: 1006-8775(2013) 03-0242-11 A STUDY ON SATELLITE DATA ASSIMILATION WITH DIFFERENT ATOVS IN TYPHOON NUMERICAL EXPERIMENTS 1 2 1 3 DONG Hai-ping (董海萍) , LI Xing-wu (李兴武) , GUO Wei-dong (郭卫东) , GAO Tai-chang (高太长) (1. Air force Meteorological Center, Beijing 100843 China; 2. Unit 95026 of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), Foshan 528227 China; 3. Institute of Meteorology, PLA University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 211101 China) Abstract: Based on the newly developed Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) and its three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR) system, this study constructed twelve experiments to explore the impact of direct assimilation of different ATOVS radiance on the intensity and track simulation of super-typhoon Fanapi (2010) using a data assimilation cycle method. The result indicates that the assimilation of ATOVS radiance could improve typhoon intensity effectively. The average bias of the central sea level pressure (CSLP) drops to 18 hPa, compared to 42 hPa in the experiment without data assimilation. However, the influence due to different radiance data is not significant, which is less than 6 hPa on average, implying limited improvement from sole assimilation of ATOVS radiance. The track issue is studied in the following steps. First, the radiance from the same sensor of different satellites could produce different effect. For the AMSU-A, NOAA-15 and NOAA-18, they produce equivalent improvement, whereas NOAA-16 produces slightly poor effect. And for the AMSU-B, NOAA-15 and NOAA-16, they produce equivalent and more positive effect than that provided by the AMSU-A. -
Simulating Storm Surge & Inundation in Kaohsiung Area During Typhoon Fanapi in 2010
Simulating Storm Surge & Inundation in Kaohsiung Area during Typhoon Fanapi in 2010 Y. Peter Sheng and Vladimir Paramygin Civil and Coastal Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida Yu-heng Tseng Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan ABSTRACT More than 75% of the world’s population lives within 100 miles from the coastline. Coastal communities and ecosystems around the world are subjected to increasing hazard of storm surge and coastal inundation due to tropical cyclones as well as climate change and sea level rise, compounded by growing coastal population and development. Coastal inundation has caused major flooding and loss of valuable lives and properties along the west coast of Taiwan. For example, major flooding occurred in the City of Kaohsiung during Typhoon Fanapi in September 2010. To mitigate the damage caused by tropical cyclone and coastal inundation, it is essential to develop an integrated modeling system for forecasting the storm surge and coastal inundation during tropical cyclones in Taiwan. This paper presents a preliminary simulation of the storm surge and coastal inundation in Kaohsiung area during Typhoon Fanapi. The modeling system is based on the 3-D curvilinear-grid hydrodynamic model CH3D, which has been used to simulate the storm surge and coastal inundation during numerous tropical cyclones in the U.S. The modeling system includes a large-scale model domain which includes the Taiwan Strait, the East China Sea and the Pacific Ocean on the east and south coasts of Taiwan, using a 500 m grid resolution. A coastal domain with 40 m resolution is used near the coastal region of Kaohsiung. -
WWRP, 01. 7Th International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-VII)
WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION WORLD WEATHER RESEARCH PROGRAMME WWRP 2011 - 1 7th International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-VII) Saint-Gilles-Les-Bains, La Réunion, France 15 - 20 November 2010 WMO/TD-No.1561 March 2011 Table of Contents FOREWORD.................................................................................................................................................................... i PREFACE........................................................................................................................................................................ iii INTRODUCTION.............................................................................................................................................................. 1 KEYNOTE SESSIONS Tropical Cyclone Surface Wind Structure and the Related Pressure-Wind Relationships...............................................4 Tropical Cyclone Probabilistic Forecasting and Related Product Development Issues and Applications for User Risk Assessment............................................................................................................................7 Tropical Cyclone Precipitation (QPE/QPF) and Related Inland Flood Modelling .............................................................8 WORKSHOP TOPICS Structure and Intensity Change........................................................................................................................................11 Tropical Cyclone Formation and Extratropical Transition.................................................................................................18