Constructing copulas from shock models with imprecise distributions MatjaˇzOmladiˇc Institute of Mathematics, Physics and Mechanics, Ljubljana, Slovenia
[email protected] Damjan Skuljˇ Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
[email protected] November 19, 2019 Abstract The omnipotence of copulas when modeling dependence given marg- inal distributions in a multivariate stochastic situation is assured by the Sklar's theorem. Montes et al. (2015) suggest the notion of what they call an imprecise copula that brings some of its power in bivari- ate case to the imprecise setting. When there is imprecision about the marginals, one can model the available information by means of arXiv:1812.07850v5 [math.PR] 18 Nov 2019 p-boxes, that are pairs of ordered distribution functions. By anal- ogy they introduce pairs of bivariate functions satisfying certain con- ditions. In this paper we introduce the imprecise versions of some classes of copulas emerging from shock models that are important in applications. The so obtained pairs of functions are not only imprecise copulas but satisfy an even stronger condition. The fact that this con- dition really is stronger is shown in Omladiˇcand Stopar (2019) thus raising the importance of our results. The main technical difficulty 1 in developing our imprecise copulas lies in introducing an appropriate stochastic order on these bivariate objects. Keywords. Marshall's copula, maxmin copula, p-box, imprecise probability, shock model 1 Introduction In this paper we propose copulas arising from shock models in the presence of probabilistic uncertainty, which means that probability distributions are not necessarily precisely known. Copulas have been introduced in the precise setting by A.