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Final PEROW Report, Appendices

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Final PEROW Report, Appendices Pacific Electric ROW/West Santa Ana Branch Corridor Alternatives Analysis Report Alternatives Analysis Final APPENDICES A. Urban Design Report (Submitted Separately) B. Travel Demand Modeling C. Air Quality and Climate Change Technical Results D. Capital Cost Analysis E. Operating and Cost Estimate and Financial Analysis F. Outreach Meeting Record G. Public Comment Log June 29, 2012 Pacific Electric ROW/West Santa Ana Branch Corridor Alternatives Analysis Report Alternatives Analysis Final Appendix A: Urban Design Report (Submitted Separately) June 29, 2012 Pacific Electric ROW/West Santa Ana Branch Corridor Alternatives Analysis Report Alternatives Analysis Final Appendix B: Travel Demand Modeling Report June 29, 2012 Pacific Electric ROW/West Santa Ana Branch Alternatives Analysis Travel Demand Modeling Report Final March 2012 Pacific Electric ROW/West Santa Ana Branch Travel Demand Modeling Report Alternatives Analysis Appendix B TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 8 2. Model Validation .................................................................................................................................... 9 2.1. Transit Routes Selected For Validation ....................................................................................... 10 2.2. Highway Network Modifications ................................................................................................. 17 2.3. Transit Network Modifications .................................................................................................... 18 2.4. Initial Model Run ......................................................................................................................... 21 2.5. Bus Run Times Validation ............................................................................................................ 27 2.6. Metrolink Service Adjustment .................................................................................................... 34 2.7. Transit Validation Summary ........................................................................................................ 34 3. Travel Demand Model Results ............................................................................................................. 39 3.1. Results Overview ......................................................................................................................... 39 3.2. No Build ....................................................................................................................................... 40 3.3. TSM Alternative ........................................................................................................................... 40 3.4. Build Alternatives ........................................................................................................................ 42 3.4.1. Light Rail Alternative – East Bank Option 1 .................................................................. 42 3.4.2. Light Rail Alternative – West Bank Option 2 ................................................................. 43 3.4.3. Light Rail Alternative – West Bank Option 3 ................................................................. 44 3.4.4. Maglev Alternative – West Bank Option 3 .................................................................... 45 3.4.5. Bus Rapid Transit – HOV Running ................................................................................. 45 3.4.6. Bus Rapid Transit – Street Running ............................................................................... 46 3.5. Sensitivity Runs ........................................................................................................................... 47 3.5.1. Streetcar Alternative – West Bank Option 3 ................................................................. 47 3.5.2. Light Rail Alternative – West Bank Option 3 – Completely Grade Separated .............. 48 3.5.3. Maglev Alternative – West Bank Option 3 – With Private Fare .................................... 49 3.5.4. Light Rail Alternative – West Bank Option 3 – MOS Option 1 ...................................... 50 3.5.5. Light Rail Alternative – West Bank Option 3 – MOS Option 2 ...................................... 51 3.5.6. Light Rail Alternative – West Bank Option 3 – MOS Option 3 ...................................... 51 4. Cost Effectiveness Index ....................................................................................................................... 53 5. Summary and Conclusions ................................................................................................................... 55 Appendix A. Build Alternatives – Boardings by Station and Mode of Access ............................................. 56 Appendix B. Sensitivity Runs – Boardings by Station and Mode of Access ................................................ 68 iii March 2012 Pacific Electric ROW/West Santa Ana Branch Travel Demand Modeling Report Alternatives Analysis Appendix B FIGURES Figure 2.1 ‐ PEROW/WSAB and Northern Connections Areas .................................................................... 10 Figure 2.2 ‐ Metrolink Service Map ............................................................................................................. 11 Figure 2.3 ‐ PEROW/WSAB Area Validation Bus Routes ............................................................................. 14 Figure 2.4 ‐ Northern Connections Area Validation Bus Routes ................................................................. 15 Figure 2.5 ‐ Metrolink Lines Included in Validation .................................................................................... 16 Figure 2.6 ‐ Metro Rail Lines Included in Validation ................................................................................... 17 Figure 2.7 ‐ 2006 Base Model Highway Network Modifications ................................................................ 18 Figure 2.8 ‐ Bus Speed Functions ‐ Peak Period, Local Bus ......................................................................... 27 Figure 2.9 ‐ Bus Speed Functions ‐ Peak Period, Rapid Bus ........................................................................ 28 Figure 2.10 ‐ Bus Speed Functions ‐ Off‐Peak Period, Local Bus ................................................................. 29 Figure 2.11 ‐ Bus Speed Functions ‐ Off‐Peak Period, Rapid Bus ................................................................ 30 TABLES Table 2.1 ‐ Proportion of Transit Travel in Peak and Off‐Peak Periods ...................................................... 12 Table 2.2 ‐ PEROW/WSAB Area Bus Services Included in Validation ......................................................... 12 Table 2.3 ‐ Northern Connections Area Bus Services Included in Validation ............................................. 13 Table 2.4 ‐ Metrolink Commuter Rail Lines Included in Validation ............................................................ 15 Table 2.5 ‐ Metro Rail Lines Included in Validation .................................................................................... 16 Table 2.6 ‐ Bus Route Modifications – PEROW/WSAB Area ....................................................................... 19 Table 2.7 ‐ Bus Route Modifications – Northern Connections Area ........................................................... 20 Table 2.8 ‐ Bus Route Modifications Due to Highway Network Changes ................................................... 20 Table 2.9 ‐ 2006 HBW Average Weekday Person Trips .............................................................................. 21 Table 2.10 ‐ 2006 HBO Average Weekday Person Trips ............................................................................. 21 Table 2.11 ‐ 2006 NHB Average Weekday Person Trips ............................................................................. 22 Table 2.12 ‐ 2006 HBU Average Weekday Person Trips ............................................................................. 22 Table 2.13 ‐ 2000 CTPP HBW Average Weekday Person Trips ................................................................... 22 Table 2.14 ‐ Difference in HBW Average Weekday Person Trips ‐ Run with Network Modifications vs CTPP Observed ............................................................................................................................................ 23 Table 2.15 ‐ CTPP HBW Average Weekday Transit Trips ............................................................................ 23 Table 2.16 ‐ Original LACMTA Model HBW Average Weekday Transit Trips .............................................. 23 Table 2.17 ‐ Run with Network Modifications HBW Average Weekday Transit Trips ................................ 24 Table 2.18 ‐ Difference in HBW Average Weekday Transit Trips ‐ Run with Network Modifications vs CTPP Observed ............................................................................................................................................ 24 Table 2.19 ‐ Model Run with Network Modifications and Original LACMTA Model vs Observed ‐ Bus Boardings Summary .................................................................................................................................... 25 Table 2.20 ‐ Model Run with Network Modifications and Original LACMTA Model vs Observed ‐ Metro Rail Boardings Summary ............................................................................................................................
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