Effectiveness and Immunogenicity of One Dose of HPV Vaccine Compared with No HPV Vaccination
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Effectiveness and immunogenicity of one dose of HPV vaccine compared with no vaccination, two doses, or three doses August 2019 – Final report Report contributors: Nicholas Henschke, Hanna Bergman, Brian Buckley, Elise Cogo, Katrin Probyn, Yanina Sguassero, Gemma Villanueva (Cochrane Response) Chantelle Garritty, Adrienne Stevens, Candyce Hamel (Ottawa Hospital Research Institute), Disclaimer: The authors of this report declare no conflicts of interest Trusted evidence. Informed decisions. Better health. One dose of HPV vaccine versus no vaccine, two (or three) doses 2 Table of contents Table of contents ............................................................................................................................................... 2 List of figures .................................................................................................................................................... 3 List of tables ...................................................................................................................................................... 4 Abbreviations ..................................................................................................................................................... 5 Executive summary ............................................................................................................................................ 6 Introduction ....................................................................................................................................................... 9 Methods .............................................................................................................................................................. 9 Search methods ...................................................................................................................................................... 9 Selection criteria ..................................................................................................................................................... 9 Study selection and data collection ..................................................................................................................... 10 Risk of bias assessment ........................................................................................................................................ 10 Data analysis ......................................................................................................................................................... 11 Summarising and interpreting results ................................................................................................................. 12 Results .............................................................................................................................................................. 13 Results of the search ............................................................................................................................................. 13 Characteristics of included studies ...................................................................................................................... 13 Risk of bias in included studies ............................................................................................................................ 19 Comparison 1. Effectiveness and immunogenicity of one dose of HPV vaccine compared with no HPV vaccination ............................................................................................................................................................ 23 Comparison 2. Effectiveness and immunogenicity of one dose of HPV vaccine compared with two doses ..... 34 Comparison 3. Effectiveness and immunogenicity of one dose of HPV vaccine compared with three doses .. 45 Conclusions ...................................................................................................................................................... 56 References ........................................................................................................................................................ 60 Appendix 1. Search strategies ......................................................................................................................... 63 Appendix 2. Included studies .......................................................................................................................... 65 Appendix 3. Causal DAG model for HPV vaccination in adolescents and young adult study populations... 68 Appendix 4. Characteristics of included studies ............................................................................................. 69 Appendix 5. ROBINS-I Summary ...................................................................................................................... 76 Appendix 6. SIGN-50 Summary........................................................................................................................ 78 Appendix 7. GRADE tables ............................................................................................................................... 79 One dose of HPV vaccine versus no vaccine, two (or three) doses 3 List of figures Figure 1. Ratio of HPV 16 and 18 GMTs for one dose bivalent HPV vaccine versus control (HAV vaccine) at 48 months follow-up, unadjusted results ................................................................................................................ 23 Figure 2. Histological abnormalities for one dose bivalent HPV vaccine versus no vaccine, adjusted results. 24 Figure 3. Prevalence of HPV infection for one dose bivalent HPV vaccine versus no vaccine, adjusted results25 Figure 4. One-time incident HPV infection for one dose bivalent HPV vaccine versus control (HAV), unadjusted results ................................................................................................................................................................... 25 Figure 5. Persistent HPV infection for one dose bivalent HPV vaccine versus control (HAV), unadjusted results .............................................................................................................................................................................. 26 Figure 6. Ratios of HPV GMTs for one dose quadrivalent HPV vaccine versus no vaccine at 72 months follow- up, unadjusted results ......................................................................................................................................... 27 Figure 7. HPV 6, 11, 16, and 18 seropositivity at 72 months follow-up for one dose quadrivalent HPV vaccine versus no vaccine ................................................................................................................................................. 27 Figure 8. Histological abnormalities for one dose quadrivalent HPV vaccine versus no vaccine, unadjusted results ................................................................................................................................................................... 30 Figure 9. Cytological abnormalities for one dose quadrivalent HPV vaccine versus no vaccine, unadjusted results ................................................................................................................................................................... 31 Figure 10. Genital warts for one dose quadrivalent HPV vaccine versus no vaccine, unadjusted results ........ 33 Figure 11. HPV infections for one dose quadrivalent HPV vaccine versus no vaccine over a 7-year follow-up period, unadjusted results ................................................................................................................................... 34 Figure 12. HPV 16 and 18 antibody titres for one dose versus two doses bivalent HPV vaccine at 24 to 84 months follow-up, unadjusted results .............................................................................................................................. 35 Figure 13. HPV 16 and 18 seropositivity for one dose versus two doses bivalent HPV vaccine at 24- and 48- months follow-up, unadjusted results ................................................................................................................ 36 Figure 14. CIN1, CIN2, CIN3 for one versus two doses bivalent HPV vaccine, unadjusted results .................... 36 Figure 15. Prevalence of HPV infection for one versus two doses bivalent HPV vaccine, unadjusted results .. 37 Figure 16. 7-year cumulative HPV infection for one versus two doses bivalent HPV vaccine, unadjusted results .............................................................................................................................................................................. 38 Figure 17. One-time incidence of HPV infection for one versus two doses bivalent HPV vaccine, unadjusted results ................................................................................................................................................................... 38 Figure 18. Persistent HPV infection for one versus two doses bivalent HPV vaccine, unadjusted results ........ 39 Figure 19. Ratio of GMTs for one dose versus two doses quadrivalent HPV vaccine at 12 to 72 months follow- up. ......................................................................................................................................................................... 40 Figure 20. HPV 6, 11, 16, and