ANNUAL REPORT AND FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 2018
DEVELOPING MINING FOR A BETTER FUTURE STRATEGIC REPORT GOVERNANCE FINANCIAL OVERVIEW Applying the Code in 2018 86 STATEMENTS Board Leadership and Purpose and vision 1 Company Purpose FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE Performance highlights 2 Chairman’s introduction 88 Independent auditors’ report 142 2018 overview 3 Senior Independent Director’s 90 Consolidated income statement 147 At a glance 4 introduction Consolidated statement of Letter from the Chairman 6 Group governance overview 92 comprehensive income 148 Letter from the CEO 8 Board activities 94 Consolidated statement of changes Developing mining for a 10 Stakeholders engagement 96 in equity 148 better future Shareholders engagement 97 Consolidated balance sheet 149 Building the cities of tomorrow 12 Division of Responsibilities Consolidated cash flow statement 150 Contributing to clean and affordable 14 Directors’ biographies 98 Notes to the financial statements 151 energy Board balance and skills 100 Parent company financial Electric transport gets green light 16 Roles in the Boardroom 101 statements 198 Strategy in action 18 Executive Committee members’ 102 Key performance indicators 20 biographies Risk management framework 22 Introduction to the Committees 104 OTHER INFORMATION Principal risks 24 Composition, Succession and Five year summary 205 Key risks 25 Evaluation Production statistics 207 Nomination and Governance 105 CREATING SUSTAINABLE Ore reserves and mineral 208 Committee report resources estimates VALUE FOR STAKEHOLDERS Board effectiveness 107 Glossary and definitions 218 Stakeholder engagement 34 Audit, Risk and Internal Control Shareholder information 223 Employees 36 Audit and Risk Committee report 108 Communities 38 Sustainability and Stakeholder 114 Suppliers 40 Management Committee report Customers 42 Project Committee report 116 Safety and health 44 Remuneration Environment 46 Remuneration and Talent 118 Management Committee report Value creation 50 Committee Chairman’s 119 Total economic contribution 51 introduction OPERATING PERFORMANCE Remuneration at a glance 121 2018 Directors’ Remuneration 122 Business model 54 Report Operating review 2018 Executive Remuneration 125 Key inputs and cost base 56 Report Operating excellence and 58 Summary of 2017 Directors’ 134 innovation Remuneration Policy Business units 60 Directors’ Report 137 Growth projects and opportunities 70 Statement of Directors’ 139 Exploration activities 73 Responsibilities The copper market 74 Financial review 76 Sustainability governance 82
In this Annual Report, the terms “Company”, “Group”, “we”, “us”, “our” and “ourselves” are used to refer to Antofagasta plc and, unless the context requires otherwise, its subsidiaries. These terms may be used as collective expressions where general reference is made to the companies in the Group and/or where no useful purpose is served by identifying any particular company or companies. STRATEGIC REPORT
OUR PURPOSE DEVELOPING MINING FOR A BETTER FUTURE
OUR VISION TO BE RECOGNISED AS AN INTERNATIONAL MINING COMPANY BASED IN CHILE, FOCUSED ON COPPER AND ITS BY-PRODUCTS, KNOWN FOR ITS OPERATING EFFICIENCY, CREATION OF SUSTAINABLE VALUE, HIGH PROFITABILITY AND AS A PREFERRED PARTNER IN THE GLOBAL MINING INDUSTRY.
antofagasta.co.uk 1 PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS RECORD YEAR OF PRODUCTION
FATALITIES AND LOST TIME COPPER NET CASH INJURY FREQUENCY RATE1 PRODUCTION2 COSTS3 2.0 1.50 725.3 1.43 709.4 704.3 704.8 1.7 1.29 1.6 1.6 1.25 630.2 1.20 1.5
5
2 LTIFR 1 0 1 Fatalities 14 15 16 17 18 14 15 16 17 18 14 15 16 17 18 1 1.6 Fatality LTIFR 725.3k tonnes $1.29/lb + See page 44 for more information + See pages 60 to 69 for more information + See pages 60 to 69 for more information
EBITDA3 EARNINGS MINERAL PER SHARE RESOURCES4 76.1 18.8 18.7 18.7 18.7 17.9 2,587 2,228 2,103 51.5 46.6 1,626 910 12.1 0.5 14 15 16 17 18 14 15 16 17 18 14 15 16 17 18 $2,228m 51.5 ¢/share 18.8bn tonnes
+ See page 76 for more information + See page 76 for more information + See page 208 for more information
1. Figures restated to include contractors in the transport division. 2. 100% of production at Los Pelambres, Centinela and Antucoya, and 50% of Zaldívar’s production. 3. Non IFRS measure, refer to the alternative performance measures in Note 37 to the financial statements. 4. Mineral resources (including ore reserves) held by the Group’s subsidiaries on a 100% basis and at Zaldívar on a 50% basis.
2 Antofagasta plc Annual Report 2018 2018 STRATEGIC REPORT OVERVIEW
DURING 2018
SAFETY Safety is our top priority. Regrettably, after 26 months without a fatality there was a fatal accident at Los Pelambres
COPPER PRODUCTION2 Record year of copper production – 725,300 tonnes, an increase of 3.0% compared with 2017 with higher production, particularly at Los Pelambres and Centinela
NET CASH COSTS3 Net cash costs $1.29/lb on lower grades at Centinela and higher input costs offset by higher by-product credits
EBITDA3 EBITDA of $2,228 million and margin of 47.0%, reflecting strong copper sales, lower copper price, lower grades and higher input costs
EARNINGS PER SHARE Earnings per share from continuing operations of 51.5 cents per share on lower EBITDA and higher depreciation and amortisation
DIVIDEND PER SHARE Total dividend of 43.8 cents per share, equivalent to a 65% pay-out ratio plus $100 million of net cash proceeds from the sale of non-core assets during the year
PROJECTS Encuentro Oxides project reached full capacity and Centinela’s molybdenum plant started operating. Los Pelambres $1.3 billion expansion project approved to produce 60,000 tonnes per year additional copper over 15 years from late 2021
antofagasta.co.uk 3 AT A GLANCE OUR BUSINESS TODAY Mining is the Group’s core business, representing over 96% of Group revenue and EBITDA. The Group operates four copper mines in Chile, two of which produce significant volumes of by-products. The Group also has a portfolio of growth opportunities located mainly in Chile. In addition to mining, the Group has a transport division providing rail and road cargo services in northern Chile predominantly to mining customers, which include some of the Group’s own operations.
COPPER PRODUCTION (TONNES) AND NET CASH COSTS1 ($/LB) PRODUCTS REVENUE EBITDA1,2 2018 2019 FORECAST GROWTH POTENTIAL CU 72,200 75-80,000 MINE LIFE EXTENSION ANTUCOYA −− Potential to process third parties’ −− 70% owned 10% 6% $1.99/lb $2.00/lb satellite ore bodies −− 21-year mine life −− Produces copper cathodes
CENTINELA EXPANSION CU AG 248,000 260-280,000 CENTINELA −− Building a second concentrator −− 70% owned AU MO 34% 29% $1.51/lb $1.35/lb −− 49-year mine life −− Produces copper cathodes and copper CU concentrates containing gold and silver and a separate molybdenum concentrate
LOS PELAMBRES INCREMENTAL CU AG 357,800 360-370,000 LOS PELAMBRES EXPANSION −− 60% owned AU MO 53% 64% $0.91/lb $1.05/lb −− Phase 1 will increase throughput capacity to −− 20-year mine life 190ktpd. Project was approved during 2018 −− Produces copper concentrates containing gold and −− Phase 2 will further increase silver and a separate molybdenum concentrate throughput capacity to 205ktpd and extend the life of mine
CU 47,300 55-60,000 MINE LIFE EXTENSION ZALDÍVAR −− Assessing viability of primary −− 50% owned (and operated) 4% $1.94/lb $1.75/lb sulphide leaching −− 12-year mine life −− Produces copper cathodes
6.1m tonnes HAULAGE CAPACITY INCREASE TRANSPORT −− Programme to increase the fleet’s −− Cargo transport system in the Antofagasta Region of Chile 4% 3% haulage capacity −− 900 km rail network
GROUP $4,733.1m $2,228.3m 725,300 750-790,000 $1.29/lb $1.30/lb
KEY CATHODES CONCENTRATE ROAD RAIL
1. Non-IFRS measure. Refer to the alternative performance measure in Note 37 to the financial statements. 2. Add to more than 100% as exclude $159 million of corporate costs and explorations and evaluations. See note 2 to the financial statements. 4 Antofagasta plc Annual Report 2018 STRATEGIC REPORT STRATEGY 1. THE EXISTING 2. ORGANIC AND 3. GROWTH BEYOND CORE BUSINESS SUSTAINABLE THE CORE BUSINESS The first pillar of the GROWTH OF THE The third pillar of the strategy is to optimise CORE BUSINESS strategy is to seek and enhance the existing The second pillar of growth beyond the core business: Los the strategy is to Group’s existing Pelambres, Centinela, achieve sustainable, operations, in Chile Antucoya, Zaldívar and organic growth by or internationally, the transport division. further developing through the acquisition the areas around the of high‑quality operating Group’s existing asset assets and/or high- base in Chile. potential early‑stage developments.
COPPER PRODUCTION (TONNES) AND NET CASH COSTS1 ($/LB) PRODUCTS REVENUE EBITDA1,2 2018 2019 FORECAST GROWTH POTENTIAL ANTUCOYA 72,200 75-80,000 MINE LIFE EXTENSION ANTUCOYA −− Potential to process third parties’ −− 70% owned $1.99/lb $2.00/lb satellite ore bodies CENTINELA −− 21-year mine life −− Produces copper cathodes ZALDÍVAR
248,000 260-280,000 CENTINELA EXPANSION CENTINELA −− Building a second concentrator −− 70% owned $1.51/lb $1.35/lb −− 49-year mine life −− Produces copper cathodes and copper concentrates containing gold and silver and LOS PELAMBRES a separate molybdenum concentrate
357,800 360-370,000 LOS PELAMBRES INCREMENTAL SANTIAGO LOS PELAMBRES EXPANSION −− 60% owned $0.91/lb $1.05/lb −− Phase 1 will increase throughput capacity to −− 20-year mine life 190ktpd. Project was approved during 2018 −− Produces copper concentrates containing gold and −− Phase 2 will further increase silver and a separate molybdenum concentrate throughput capacity to 205ktpd and extend the life of mine
47,300 55-60,000 MINE LIFE EXTENSION ZALDÍVAR −− Assessing viability of primary −− 50% owned (and operated) $1.94/lb $1.75/lb sulphide leaching −− 12-year mine life −− Produces copper cathodes
6.1m tonnes HAULAGE CAPACITY INCREASE TRANSPORT −− Programme to increase the fleet’s −− Cargo transport system in the Antofagasta Region of Chile haulage capacity −− 900 km rail network
GROUP $4,733.1m $2,228.3m 725,300 750-790,000 $1.29/lb $1.30/lb
antofagasta.co.uk 5 LETTER FROM THE CHAIRMAN CONSIDERED GROWTH
“I am proud to report record production of 725,300 tonnes which is due to the hard work of the operations teams, particularly at Centinela and Los Pelambres.”
Jean-Paul Luksic Chairman
We are fortunate to have substantial mineral resources and we know DEAR SHAREHOLDERS, that these resources will all one day be developed. The judgement It is now 40 years since the Luksic family acquired a stake in we have to make is when. We think of this as ‘considered growth’. Antofagasta and began the process of creating one of the world’s leading copper mining companies. During the years in which I have Evidence of our conviction to growing and developing our resource been at the helm of the Company, as CEO of the mining division base over time has been our commitment to investing through the from 1998 and subsequently as Chairman of the Board, it has been cycle. It is in line with this that we completed the acquisition of our fascinating to see the huge changes which have taken place, both shareholding in Zaldívar in 2015 and the construction of Antucoya in the industry and in Antofagasta. with first production in the same year. We continually review and assess our portfolio of opportunities and expansion plans. And as We have grown from being a regional railway business to becoming part of this process the Board recently approved the expansion of a company focused on copper mining, developing and operating Los Pelambres after the project had been fully reviewed and all large-scale open pit mines at Los Pelambres, Centinela and risks and uncertainties minimised to acceptable levels. Construction Antucoya, as well as acquiring a 50% stake and operatorship of is now under way and the first phase of the expansion is expected Zaldívar in 2015. I am proud to be able to report that this year we to add an average of 60,000 tonnes of copper production per year have had record production of 725,300 tonnes which is due to the between 2021 and 2036. The project also includes a desalination hard work of the operations teams, particularly at Centinela and plant to improve the water security of the whole mine and ensure Los Pelambres. that the expansion will not need to rely on local supplies. CONSIDERED GROWTH We are also considering expanding our production at Centinela While our production hit record levels during 2018, global trade and having evaluated two development alternatives, have decided tensions led to a fall in the copper price in the second half of the year, to advance one of these alternatives, the construction of a second highlighting once again how the fundamentals of our industry are so concentrator, to the next stage of evaluation. often shaped by geopolitical circumstances. The cyclical nature of the copper industry has fundamentally shaped the way we think about the future, focusing our attention on those elements that we can control: the pace of our developments, costs, ensuring safe and reliable operations and maintaining good community and employee relations.
6 Antofagasta plc Annual Report 2018 STRATEGIC REPORT
PROCESS ENSURES SAFETY CREATING A DIVERSE WORKFORCE After more than two years without a fatality at one of our mines, Diversity is another big issue being tackled by the Board and I it is with great sadness that I have to report that a contractor challenge everyone in the business to see how we can improve the suffered a fatal accident at Los Pelambres in October. My level of diversity across our workforce. To my mind ensuring that the condolences go to the family of Jorge Pérez Barraza. We have most talented people are drawn to Antofagasta and want to stay here undertaken a full investigation of the incident and have implemented is not just the right thing to do – it is good business. While we still have the recommendations with direct oversight by senior management. much to do, I was enormously proud that three women at Antofagasta were honoured by Women In Mining as being identified as some of Safety remains the Group’s top priority and this tragic incident the 100 most inspirational women in mining today. provides a salutary reminder that we must always remain alert. It is the duty of all of us – including those with the most experience OUTLOOK – to follow the rigorous procedures and processes that we have in It is our view that the copper market continues to look tight, with the place to maintain a safe working environment and to ensure that outlook for 2019 and beyond positive for copper prices. The growing those working around us are doing the same. After many years demand for copper as a critical element in renewable energy and in the industry I know that people can become lulled into a false electromobility is here to stay and represents strong new sources sense of security through familiarity with the mining environment. of demand, which we believe will help offset the worst excesses We all have to guard against that and the complacency it of continued global trade disputes. With growing production, new sometimes breeds. developments under way and an attractive portfolio of future projects, GOVERNANCE: TALENT ESSENTIAL FOR THE FUTURE Antofagasta is well positioned to meet this demand with its next phase of considered growth. We announced in November that Francisca Castro, who has served as an independent Non-Executive Director since 2016, has As I said at the beginning of this letter, we have experienced many ups been appointed as chair of Antofagasta’s Remuneration and Talent and downs over the past 40 years, and I have no doubt that the future Management Committee, with the appointment effective in May 2019. will bring many new opportunities and challenges. What I have learnt Ms Castro is replacing Tim Baker as chair and I would like to thank though is that by focusing on what we do best – maintaining our costs, them both, and indeed all of our committee members, for their hard running safe and efficient operations, and managing our development work over the course of the year. programmes – we can ensure that Antofagasta will still be here in another 40 years. The role of the Remuneration and Talent Management Committee is vital to ensuring that Antofagasta performs at its full potential. I would like to finish by thanking all of our employees and contractors Partly this is about ensuring that we maintain strong and without whose hard work none of this would be possible and our transparent relations with our employees and the communities in shareholders for their continued support. which we work. I am proud that we have maintained such strong employee and union relations, successfully completing a number of major wage negotiations this year and recording yet another year Jean-Paul Luksic without strikes – an unbroken record. Chairman We engage constantly with our workforce, not only in the years when there are negotiations, but every year as this open dialogue is key to maintaining good relations and develops the trust that has built up between the Company and its employees. TAILINGS FACILITIES FAREWELL TO BILL HAYES The Group has four tailings storage facilities, At this year’s AGM Bill Hayes will not put himself forward for two at Los Pelambres in central Chile and two re-election as a director. Bill has been a Non-Executive Director in northern Chile. The active tailings dam at for 12 years, of which five were as the Senior Independent Director. Los Pelambres is monitored continuously and I would like to thank Bill for all the work he has done for us and carefully managed. All of the Group’s facilities are his contribution to the success of the Company. built using the downstream method, are managed by dedicated teams and are reviewed twice a year by an independent tailings board comprised of highly qualified independent experts. The Company supports recent proposals to introduce an international independent developed standard and classification system that monitors the safety risk of tailings storage facilities and will work with the International Council on Mining and Metals (ICMM) and other bodies to ensure its success.
+ See page 47 for more information
antofagasta.co.uk 7 LETTER FROM THE CEO A YEAR OF TWO HALVES
“By focusing on what we do well – producing profitable tonnes throughout the cycle – the Group was able to successfully navigate significant volatility in the global commodity markets.”
Iván Arriagada Chief Executive Officer
As a result, I am pleased to say that 2018 saw record production, with DEAR SHAREHOLDERS, Antofagasta producing 725,300 tonnes of copper. I am pleased to share with you the significant progress we have made during the year in many important areas. This progress demonstrates the On costs, we worked very hard to maintain tight control, with full year net transformational changes under way in the Group that underpin a set of cash costs coming in at $1.29/lb, below our guidance. Indeed, our cost solid results in 2018. performance improved during the year with the Group recording net cash costs of $0.99/lb in the fourth quarter, the lowest since 2012. This As part of our annual strategy review with the Board, during the result for the year is due not only to the increased production and higher year we devoted time to discussing how best to describe the ultimate by-product prices but also to our successful Cost and Competitiveness purpose of what we do as an organisation. This is what motivates Programme which yielded 10c/lb of cost savings. That is equivalent to all of us who work at Antofagasta, beyond the immediate tasks that $184 million over the whole of 2018 and we are now targeting a further everyone is expected to accomplish in her or his specific role. This $100 million in 2019. is very important as ultimately, as a business organisation, we work to be a cause for good in wider society, placing the common good at By focusing on what we do well – producing profitable tonnes throughout the centre of what we do. We concluded that the description which the cycle – the Group was able to successfully navigate significant best reflects our purpose can be summarised as: Developing Mining volatility in the global commodity markets. This translated into EBITDA for a Better Future. We will be sharing our strategy during 2019 for the full year of $2,228 million representing a margin of 47%. I am with a clear reference to our organisational purpose. confident that the Group is now well positioned for further production growth in 2019 and a further strong performance on costs, which will RESULTS – SAFETY, PRODUCTION AND COSTS support strong cash flow generation and returns. Although we achieved our planned results and a record production in The Group’s operations have achieved an improved level of operating 2018, very regrettably I must report that in October, after more than stability and we go into 2019 with real momentum for what we expect two years without a fatality, a contractor suffered a fatal accident at to be another record-setting year, with production increasing by up to Los Pelambres. I am convinced that a fatality free environment is possible, 9% to 750-790,000 tonnes at net cash costs of $1.30/lb. as demonstrated by the prior 26 months without a fatal accident, and is an absolute imperative in how we conduct our operations. The safety of INNOVATION FOR THE FUTURE our workforce remains our number one priority and we will continue to Much of the progress we have made in recent years reflects not only work without compromise to this end. our focus on costs but also the culture of continuous innovation that On production, 2018 was a record year for Antofagasta, albeit one with Antofagasta is building. At the heart of this culture is the development two distinct halves. We started the year with lower ore grades at all of of three initiatives to drive innovation: seeking new ideas from our our operations, with a consequential reduction in copper production. employees and contractors, investing in large scale ‘strategic’ change However, in line with our mine plans ore grades recovered steadily and accelerating the adoption of digital solutions across our organisation. during the year.
8 Antofagasta plc Annual Report 2018 STRATEGIC REPORT
Our workforce has been a continual source of ideas for running our REDUCING OUR ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT operation more efficiently, maximising uptime and improving reliability. Copper mining is a key component in the move to a more sustainable Since 2017 we’ve received more than 200 ideas from employees and world, with multiple applications in zero emission transportation and external parties of which 49 progressed to become innovation proposals renewable power generation technologies. However, mining undoubtedly and 16 are either being implemented or assessed in detail. has a big impact on the environment, and we are improving the way We have also introduced a number of larger scale innovations during the we operate to reduce the impact we make on the environment and also year. We are improving copper recoveries at Zaldívar, developing a new on neighbouring communities, while at the same time explaining what approach to leaching primary sulphides and investigating new large- we are doing and why we are doing it and listening to community volume material moving technologies. members’ concerns. The increased use of data and technology – the digitalisation of During 2018 we took some big steps towards realising our ambition operations – is where we see the future of mining. As a company to reduce the environmental impact we make. In June Zaldívar signed we are investing significantly into this area and have an implementation a renewable energy contract which, from 2020, will see the mine being budget of $40 million to strengthen our technological platform, powered 100% by renewable energy – a first in the Chilean mining including critical operating systems and connectivity, as a key enabler industry. Not only will this remove the equivalent of 350,000 tonnes of to progressing with our digital transformation. We have applied advanced greenhouse gases per year, it will also significantly reduce Zaldívar’s data analytics to our processing plants to better understand and improve power costs. their performance and we are now working on the design of a Remote We are also improving the energy efficiency of our plants and working Centre that will allow integrated operations management at Centinela. to safeguard wildlands and forests in the Los Pelambres region. It’s not just at the operating level that we’re seeing the benefits of BUILDING A WORKFORCE FOR THE 21ST CENTURY improved data. At Los Pelambres we constantly monitor the tailings deposits and as part of the Programa Tranque project we expect to Our operating achievements in 2018 are a real testament to the start releasing the monitoring results online early next year. This will dedication, hard work and expertise of our workforce and I would like provide the community with real time information, helping to build to thank them for everything that they have achieved. It also reflects trust between ourselves and our neighbours. Antofagasta’s continued strong labour relations and I am proud that we have maintained our unbroken record with another year without a strike. EFFICIENT CAPITAL ALLOCATION One of my current focuses is on improving diversity across our We are also taking a more innovative approach to the way we allocate workforce and as part of this commitment we joined the 30% Club, capital as an organisation. Over the past couple of years we have worked an international organisation that promotes gender balance. I want to sell down non-core assets, reallocating capital either to shareholders to make sure that everybody – no matter what their gender, race or or back into our core copper business where we believe we are best background – can thrive at Antofagasta. In driving this effort I have placed to maximise returns. As part of this process in July 2018 we been struck by the huge contribution that individuals can make sold our electricity transmission lines at Centinela for $117 million. This in changing our culture. For instance, three of Antofagasta’s was followed in August with the sale of our holding in the El Arrayan employees – Cecilia Arrue, Angie Caro and Laura Cristoffanini – wind farm, which provides Los Pelambres with renewable energy, for were recognised by Women In Mining as among the “100 Global $28 million. Both sales follow a number of exits in 2017, most significant Inspirational Women In Mining” in 2018. This is a huge accolade and of which was the disposal of our interest in the Alto Maipo hydro their work, alongside many other women at Antofagasta, has been power project. critical to our successful development. At the same time we are investing in our core business and in November COPPER MARKET announced the Board’s approval of the expansion of Los Pelambres. With work starting at the beginning of 2019 the project is expected to Although the copper price performed well in the first half of 2018 add an average of 60,000 tonnes per annum of copper production over uncertainty was the dominant theme in the second half of the year 15 years, beginning in the second half of 2021. At a cost of $1.3 billion, and the price weakened. Markets suffered from persistent volatility as the project includes a $500 million desalination plant and will increase international trade negotiations failed to reach a conclusive agreement. plant throughput from 175,000 tonnes of ore per day to 190,000 tonnes. However, the fundamentals remain positive with a supply deficit in 2018 that is expected to grow in 2019. With the year starting with progress We have taken a different approach to this expansion project in two in the trade negotiations the copper price has strengthened and if key areas. First of all, we have taken advantage during the period of the negotiations are concluded successfully we expect the price market downturn to advance further the project’s detailed engineering will strengthen further. In line with the market, we believe the mid to and develop a detailed project execution plan securing the best longer-term outlook is favourable with continued new uses of copper possible terms from our suppliers and contractors. In so doing we and limited opportunities for supply growth. have significantly mitigated key risk areas around timing and cost control. Second, instead of financing the project from our cash flow As I said at the beginning of this letter, 2018 really was a year of two we will debt finance 100% of the project, benefiting from the strength halves not just in respect of our production performance but also for of our balance sheet to secure very attractive rates and maximise the market. However, I am delighted that the Company and our people project returns. rose to the occasion and delivered a record level of production establishing real momentum as we go into 2019.
Iván Arriagada Chief Executive Officer
antofagasta.co.uk 9 DEVELOPING MINING FOR A BETTER FUTURE Future demand for copper will be driven by continued urbanisation and rapidly rising adoption of renewable energy and electric vehicles.
Since early this century, demand for the industrial metal has INCREASING MARKET DEMAND been driven by urbanisation, propelled by China where 58% of FOR COPPER the population now lives in a city compared to only 39% in 2002. Copper is essential to modern society and a greener future. It can Urbanisation and industrialisation in India and Southeast Asian play a vital role in addressing some of the world’s major challenges countries are expected to dominate copper consumption growth such as the availability of affordable and clean energy, air and noise beyond 2020 as the rate of Chinese demand growth slows. pollution and sustainable urban development. A growing middle class in emerging economies is also boosting sales The metal is corrosion resistant, extremely malleable and an of copper-rich consumer goods such as electronic devices and cars. exceptional conductor of heat and electricity, making it a key input Going forward, copper demand growth will also be fuelled by for efficient energy use and green technologies. For centuries, it has renewable energy and electric vehicles pushed by the falling costs held a central role in humankind’s development due to its unique of these environmentally-friendly technologies and the world’s need combination of properties. to find cleaner solutions for modern life. Today copper is a key component of everyday life from mobile The fact that copper is 100% recyclable only enhances its credentials telephones to the roofs, heating and electric wiring in people’s homes. as a metal able to contribute to the United Nation’s Sustainable It is needed for power generation and transmission, motor vehicles, Development Goals. domestic appliances – such as air conditioning and televisions – and industrial machinery. REFINED CONSUMPTION BY MARKET TRENDS REGION 2000-2040 BUILDING 12 The most important market is China, which accounted for THE CITIES approximately 48% of global copper consumption in 2018, OF TOMORROW significantly more than Europe and North America combined, Copper is a vital which consumed 16% and 10% respectively. An estimated 15-25% building block for of Chinese consumption is re-exported as manufactured products. urbanisation and However, longer-term growth over the next 20 years is expected greener, healthier to come predominantly from the rest of Asia. buildings.
CONTRIBUTING 14 TO CLEAN AND 50,000 AFFORDABLE ENERGY 45,000 Electricity generated 40,000 from solar and wind will power copper REFINED35,000 CONSUMPTION BY REGION demand growth in 30,000 energy markets in coming years. 25,000
20,000 ELECTRIC 16 TRANSPORT 15,000 GETS GREEN LIGHT 10,000
Electrification of 5,000 transport is expected to take off in the next 0 2015 2020 2025 2030 decade providing a significant boost to China North America Rest of copper demand. Other Asia Europe World Source: Wood Mackenzie, Copper Outlook December 2018
10 Antofagasta plc Annual Report 2018 STRATEGIC REPORT GLOBAL COPPER CONSUMPTION BY MARKET SECTOR1 Growth in total consumption from 2017 to 2040 is estimated to be 1.8% per year and will reach 43.8mt, underpinned by electrification in transportation, buildings and manufacturing. In addition, governments continue to establish targets for renewable energy, which results in higher copper demand.
2017
30% 25%
29.1mt Total consumption 11%
24% 10%
2040
22% CONSTRUCTION 28% CONSUMER AND GENERAL
−− Power cables −− Home air conditioners −− Building wire −− Refrigerators −− Transformers −− Washing machines −− Non-electrical2 43.8mt −− Televisions −− Mobiles Total consumption 18% −− Computers
23% 9% ELECTRICAL NETWORK TRANSPORT
−− Power grid −− Auto/Trains/Ships −− Power generation −− Infrastructure −− Electric vehicles −− EV charging facilities 1. Including direct use of scrap. INDUSTRIAL 2. Non-electrical includes heating ventilation and MACHINERY air conditioning (HVAC), hardware water/gas. Source: Wood Mackenzie, Copper Outlook December 2018 −− Industrial motors
antofagasta.co.uk 11 BUILDING THE CITIES OF TOMORROW
COPPER IS A VITAL BUILDING BLOCK FOR URBANISATION AND GREENER, HEALTHIER BUILDINGS.
Today 55% of the world’s population live in cities, Copper demand will also be pushed by an increasingly up from just under 47% in 2000. This global trend is digital economy. Society’s need for high-speed internet expected to rise to 64.5% by 2040 driven by India, services is expected to sharply increase demand for China and Nigeria, according to the United Nations. higher quality copper telecommunications cables in Rising urbanisation and industrialisation is a major residential and business properties. stimulus for sustained and strong copper demand. Meanwhile, tougher housing regulations are gradually The metal is a key component of the wiring, plumbing, imposing higher energy efficiency standards and lower heating and cooling, lighting and roofing of homes, emission rates on new buildings to reduce negative as well as the commercial services, transport, power impacts on the climate and the environment. Copper’s and telecommunications systems needed for vibrant, superior thermal and electrical conductivity will make modern cities. it indispensable for the greener buildings of the future. Growing wealth will also boost copper intensity in Copper stands to benefit from urbanisation but also homes and offices. Greater spending on electrical contribute to smarter and cleaner cities. goods will lead to higher electricity consumption and a larger number of power sockets, all of which consume copper.
WORLD URBANISATION PROSPECTS AS A PERCENTAGE POPULATION (%)
2015 2030