Telecommunikation Satellites: the Actual Situation and Potential Future Developments
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Telecommunikation Satellites: The Actual Situation and Potential Future Developments Dr. Manfred Wittig Head of Multimedia Systems Section D-APP/TSM ESTEC NL 2200 AG Noordwijk [email protected] March 2003 Commercial Satellite Contracts 25 20 15 Europe US 10 5 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 European Average 5 Satellites/Year US Average 18 Satellites/Year Estimation of cumulative value chain for the Global commercial market 1998-2007 in BEuro 35 27 100% 135 90% 80% 225 Spacecraft Manufacturing 70% Launch 60% Operations Ground Segment 50% Services 40% 365 30% 20% 10% 0% 1 Consolidated Turnover of European Industry Commercial Telecom Satellite Orders 2000 30 2001 25 2002 3 (7) Firm Commercial Telecom Satellite Orders in 2002 Manufacturer Customer Satellite Astrium Hispasat SA Amazonas (Spain) Boeing Thuraya Satellite Thuraya 3 Telecommunications Co (U.A.E.) Orbital Science PT Telekommunikasi Telkom-2 Indonesia Hangar Queens or White Tails Orders in 2002 for Bargain Prices of already contracted Satellites Manufacturer Customer Satellite Alcatel Space New Indian Operator Agrani (India) Alcatel Space Eutelsat W5 (France) (1998 completed) Astrium Hellas-Sat Hellas Sat Consortium Ltd. (Greece-Cyprus) Commercial Telecom Satellite Orders in 2003 Manufacturer Customer Satellite Astrium Telesat Anik F1R 4.2.2003 (Canada) Planned Commercial Telecom Satellite Orders in 2003 SES GLOBAL Three RFQ’s: SES Americom ASTRA 1L ASTRA 1K cancelled four orders with Alcatel Space in 2001 INTELSAT Launched five satellites in the last 13 month average fleet age: 11 Years of remaining life PanAmSat No orders expected Concentration on cash flow generation Eutelsat HB 7A HB 8 expected at the end of 2003 Telesat Ordered Anik F1R from Astrium Planned Commercial Telecom Satellite Orders in 2003 Arabsat & are expected to replace Spacebus 300 Shin Satellite (solar-array steering problems) Korea Telecom Negotiation with Alcatel Space for Koreasat Binariang Sat. Negotiation with Boeing for BSS 376 and BSS 601 System Satellite Manufacturers are freesing plant expansion and reduce staff to survive Commercial Fixed Satellite Service Operators SES Global No sales figures available before end of March Staff reduction in Luxembourg and Princeton 300 Staff of SES Astra reduced by 7-10 % SES expects flat sales for 2003 RFQ for three new Sat’s issued Intelsat $ 1.1 billion sales in 2001 $ 992 million sales in 2002 = 9.8 % sales decline 2003 considered difficult as well Point-to-point customers migrate to fiber optic cables Modest investment in WildBlue Plans broadband offering in 2004 PanAmSat $ 870.1 million sales in 2001 $ 812.3 million sales in 2002 cancelled one spacecraft order with Boeing Commercial Fixed Satellite Service Operators Eutelsat Euro 659 million sales in 2002 Sales forecast for 2003 is 7 % better than 2002 Launched two Satellites in 2002: HB 6 HB 7 Arianne 5 Launch Failure New Skies $ 200.5 million sales in 2002 Sales forecast for 2003 is 6-11 % better than 2002 Operates a fleet of six Satellites Two launches in 2002 Delivery of NSS 8 delayed from 2003 to 2005 Boeing is late & will replace NSS 703 which saves $ 250 million Global Launch Capabilities 66 Launches per Year 2002 Commercial Launch Deals Arianespace: 9 Contracts AMC-13,-15 SES Americom Atlantic Bird 1 Eutelsat DirecTV 7S DirecTV Inc. iPSTAR-1 Shin Satellite Public Co. Ltd. Satmex 6 Satellites Mexicanos SA Spainsat Hispasat Star One C1 Star One SA Telkom-2 PT Telkomunikasi Indonesia Boeing Launch Services: 2 Contracts Inteldat 10-series Intelsat Thuraya-3 Thuraya International Launch Services (ILS): 5 Contracts AMC-10,-11 SES Americom Hellas-Sat Hellas-Sat Intelsat 10 series Intelsat MBSat Mobile Broadcasting Corp. Previous Years Commercial Launches Arianespace: 2002 9 2001 15 2000 27 Boeing Launch Services: 2002 2 2001 5 2000 4 International Launch Services (ILS): 2002 5 2001 10 The Way Forward Profit margin of satellite manufacturers have disappeard New technologies can be introduced in two years Manufacturers will face a heavy burden to demonstrate that new technology is reliable Operators are not willing to pay for new technologies, they can do a lot with existing technology Consolidation of Operators is a way to survive in the short term Introduction of new services – diversification - is a way to achieve growing business Predicted Payloads 2001 100 80 60 40 Payload Unis 20 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year Broadband Mobile Broadcast DBS DAB Predicted Payloads 2000 140 120 100 80 60 40 Payload Unis 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Broadband Mobile Broadcast DBS Predicted Payloads 2001 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 Payload Unis 5 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year Broadcast DBS DAB TV Broadcast -Today TRANSPARENT SATELLITE DVB compatible High rate link DVB compatible High rate link broadcasting centre #1 broadcasting centre #2 MASTER STATION Home Receivers broadcasting centre broadcasting #3 centre #N Contribution Links DVB-S MULTIPLEXING DVB SKYPLEX VIDEO 1 PES VIDEO 1 PES SINGLE CH. AUDIO 1 PES AUDIO 1 PES TRANSPORT DATA 1 PES DATA 1 PES MUX VIDEO 2 PES VIDEO 2 PES SINGLE CH. AUDIO 2 PES AUDIO 2 PES TRANSPORT DATA 2 PES DATA 2 PES MUX VIDEO 3 PES VIDEO 3 PES SINGLE CH. AUDIO 3 PES AUDIO 3 PES TRANSPORT DATA 3 PES DATA 3 PES MUX PACKET MULTIPLEXER TRANSPORT MULTIPLEXER VIDEO N PES VIDEO N PES SINGLE CH. AUDIO N PES AUDIO N PES TRANSPORT DATA N PES MUX DATA N PES ON- GROUND ON- BOARD DVB-S using Skyplex SKYPLEX PROCESSOR High rate link low rate DVB compatible links broadcasting centre #1 broadcasting centre broadcasting #2 centre #3 broadcasting Home Receivers centre #N SKYPLEX Architecture SKYPLEX Frequency Plan BW = 33 MHz BW = 33 MHz BW = 33 MHz Channel 2 Channel 3 Channel 1 Channel N Digital Multi- programme TV Digital Multi- programme TV SKYPLEX SKYPLEX Signal Processing SKYPLEX History One Skyplex processor developed under ESA contract is in-orbit at Eutelsat's Hot Bird 4 satellite launched in February 1998. Three second generation processors ordered from Alenia Aerospazio (I) by Eutelsat for the Hot Bird 5 satellite, launched in October 1998. ESA developement contract for an Enhanced Skyplex with Alenia Aerospazio (I) and SPAR (Cd) Eigth second generation processors are ordered from Alenia Aerospazio (I) by Eutelsat for the Hot Bird 6 satellite, launched in August 2002. SKYPLEX HB 4 Block Diagram To Satellite Payload Interface Phase Demodulator AGC I Interp. Matched Saw f1 A/D DPD Filter Decision Buffer M Q Timing U Phase Demodulator AGC I Matched Saw f2 A/D DPD Interp. Filter Decision Buffer L Processor Q Timing Controller T Phase Demodulator AGC I Matched Saw f3 A/D DPD Interp. Filter Decision Buffer I Q Timing 14 14 Conv . Conv . QPSK IMUX P D/A Interl. Encoder Mod Phase Demodulator GHz GHz AGC I Matched Saw f4 A/D DPD Interp. L Filter Decision Buffer Q Timing E Demodulator Phase AGC I Matched Saw f5 A/D DPD Interp. Filter Decision Buffer X Q Timing E Phase Demodulator AGC I Matched Saw f6 A/D DPD Interp. Filter Decision Buffer R Q Timing Mult . Mult . Mult . Mult . Mult . Master Clock SKYPLEX HB 4 PCB SKYPLEX Uplink Station VIDEO INPUT PES SOURCE ENCODER AUDIO INPUT SOURCE PES RS QPSK RF SCRAMBLER ENCODER (204,188) MOD FRONT -END DATA INPUT PES CLK SOURCE ENCODER CONTROL UNIT SINGLE CHANNEL TRANSPORT MUX CLOCK DRIVE MASTER DVB CLOCK RECEIVER TO TV MONITOR SKYPLEX System Elements Hot Bird 5 SKYPLEX Performance SCPC Uplink Rate: 2.292 Mbps, 6.111 Mbps, 6.875 Mbps, 7.333 Mbps TDMA Uplink Rate: From 382 Kbps to 7.333 Mbps Number of TDMA Uplinks: Up to 6 Demodulator Performance: < BER 10^-5 for Eb/No = 10.6 dB Frequency: 12.51984/12.53902/12.55820 GHz Mass: 7 Kg Power Consumption: 50 W Hot Bird 5 SKYPLEX Configuration 2 2 RF OUT1 IN1 (F1) 1 4 SKYPLEX 1 1 Filter 4 (F1) 3 F1 (F2) 3 2 2 RF OUT2 IN2 (F2) 1 4 SKYPLEX 2 1 Filter (F2) 3 F2 (F3) 4 3 2 2 RF OUT3 IN3 (F3) 1 4 1 Filter SKYPLEX 3 (F3) F3 (F1) 4 3 3 Hot Bird 5 Coverage Receive Transmit Hot Bird 6 SKYPLEX Configuration 2 2 RF OUT1 IN1 (F1) 1 4 SKYPLEX 1 1 Filter 4 (F1) 3 F1 (F2) 3 2 2 RF OUT2 IN2 (F2) 1 4 SKYPLEX 2 1 Filter (F2) 3 F2 (F3) 4 3 2 2 RF OUT3 IN3 (F3) 1 4 1 Filter SKYPLEX 3 (F3) F3 (F1) 4 3 3 2 2 RF OUT4 IN4 (F4) 1 4 1 Filter SKYPLEX 4 (F4) F3 (F1) 4 3 3 HB 6 Launch 21 August 2002 ATLAS V Cap Canaveral Hot Bird 6 Coverage Receive Transmit Enhanced SKYPLEX Performance SCPC Uplink Rate: 2.292 Mbps, 6.111 Mbps, 6.875 Mbps, 7.333 Mbps TDMA Uplink Rate: From 382 Kbps to 7.333 Mbps Number of TDMA Uplinks: Up to 6 Demodulator Performance: < BER 10^-5 for Eb/No = 10.6 dB Frequency: 12.51984/12.53902/12.55820 GHz Turbo Decoding Mass: 5 Kg Power Consumption: 40 W Enhanced SKYPLEX: Processing Overview PACK. DIG. SYNC. & DEM. 1 BUFF. PACK. SYNC. & 1 BUFF. RF IN DOWN DIG. MODIFIED 2 CONV. QPSK MOD RF OUT CONV. DEMUX SCRAMBLER INTERL. ENCOD. & UPCONV. & R- S PARITY MUX SCRAMBLER 18 PACK. DIG. SYNC. & DEM. 6 BUFF. REFER. OSCILL. Skyplex Turbo Decoder Star Network with a Transparent Payload and Hub Station AMERHIS Reference Model: Mesh Network with a Regenerative Payload (no Hub Station) AMERHIS Mission SIT: Satellite Interactive Terminal NCC Gateway SIT SIT Gateway SIT America Europe Earth seen by AMAZONAS AMERHIS SYSTEM OBP NORTH AMERICAN COVERAGE BRAZILIAN COVERAGE EUROPEAN COVERAGE SOUTH AMERICAN COVERAGE AMERHIS Connectivity Uplink Format: MF-TDMA according to DVB-RCS standard (MPEG-2 option) Granularity: up 64 carriers per transponder (0,5Mbps each) Available Data rates: 0.5, 1, 2, 4 & 8 Mbps , combinable in the same transponder 36 1R1 1R2