Looking Ahead 2029 Group 5
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Looking Ahead 2029 Appendix 4I Group 5 5 134 Looking Ahead 2029 - Group 5 Appendix 4I List of Schools Collegiates • Forest Hill Collegiate Institute • John Polanyi Collegiate Institute • Lawrence Park Collegiate Institute • Leaside High School • North Toronto Collegiate Institute • Northern Secondary School EdVance Programs • Yorkdale Secondary School 135 Looking Ahead 2029 - Group 5 Appendix 4I Key Facts Number of Secondary Schools 2019 2029 Change Enrolment 7,462 7,241 -221 7 Less than 65% Capacity 6,636 6,636 - Utilization Surplus Space -826 -605 221 0 (Capacity - Enrolment) Utilization Over 100% Rate 108% 104% -3% Utilization (Enrolment / Capacity) 5 136 Looking Ahead 2029 - Group 5 Appendix 4I Context Map 137 Looking Ahead 2029 - Capacity Targets Appendix 4I Potential reduction over the next 10 years • The number of students attending schools in this group is higher than the number of TDSB students that reside within the group. • This could be due to large French programs at some schools (Lawrence Park CI, Leaside HS, and/or large legacy technical- commercial boundaries at Northern SS. • Future potential reductions in capacity would only be possible if the number of students attending these schools from other areas were to decline. Achieving a 90% utilization target would be challenging for small collegiates in this group and not recommended. 138 Looking Ahead 2029 - Group 5 Appendix 4I Movement of Students Movements of Students Between School Groups - 2019 There are 143 students coming into Group 5 schools for Special Education programs. 620 students are coming into Group 5 for French programs. There are 1,220 students coming into Group 5 schools for Regular and Specialized programs. There are 649 students residing in Group 5 who are leaving the Group for Regular and Group 5 Specialized programs. Very few (19) students leave Group 5 for French programs. 84 students are leaving Group 5 for Special Education programs. • There are large numbers of students coming into Group 5 schools from other Groups for regular and French programs. • This can be attributed in part due to large legacy technical and commercial schools that provide as of right access to other areas • There are more students entering this group for special education programs than leave, likely due to a large Gifted program at Northern SS • Very few students leave for French programs. Leaside HS and Lawrence Park CI have very large French programs. 139 Appendix 4I Roadmap to 2029 – List of Preliminary Concepts • Future Reviews to Explore Opportunities to Address Elementary Accommodation Pressures • Future reviews to explore how capacity in secondary schools in this Group may be used to address elementary accommodation pressures. • Secondary schools in this Group are generally fully utilized. However, they also experience a large influx of students residing in other Groups that could decrease, contingent on how a number of measures currently being considered shift how students have historically made decisions about the schools they attend. • These measures include the proposed dissolution of technical and commercial boundaries, changes to the Optional Attendance policy and a new proposed policy for Specialized Schools and Programs. • A decrease in the migration of students into this Group over time may create opportunities for space to be used to address elementary accommodation pressures. • Exploration of changes to French as a Secondary Language pathways to address enrolment imbalances and program sizes • Explore options to dissolve legacy technical and commercial boundaries • Northern SS has legacy technical and commercial boundaries • Introduction of FAST programs to increase/expand offerings in Skills and Technology • FAST programs are an opportunity to expand access for students who wish to pursue pathways in the skilled trades. • FAST programs will maximize the use of specialized spaces within schools, and align with Specialist High Skills Major (SHSM programs). 140 Appendix 4J School Inventory - Group 5 Current Situation 5 Years Out (2024) 10 Years Out (2029) School LOI Actual Util. Under Over Projected Util. Under Over Projected Util. Under Over School Name Capacity % Underutilized % Overutilized % Underutilized % Overutilized % Underutilized % Overutilized Type (2017) Enrolment Rate Capacity Capacity Enrolment Rate Capacity Capacity Enrolment Rate Capacity Capacity Forest Hill Collegiate Institute Collegiate 96 906 801 113% -105 ||||||||||||| 805 100% -4 797 100% 4 John Polanyi Collegiate Institute Collegiate 35 785 1,032 76% 247 ||||||||||||||||||||||| 744 72% 288 ||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 701 68% 331 |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| Lawrence Park Collegiate Institute Collegiate 108 1,200 882 136% -318 |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 1,379 156% -497 ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 1,245 141% -363 ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| Leaside High School Collegiate 99 1,024 894 115% -130 |||||||||||||| 1,241 139% -347 ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 1,179 132% -285 ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| North Toronto Collegiate Institute Collegiate 107 1,390 1,233 113% -157 |||||||||||| 1,401 114% -168 |||||||||||| 1,260 102% -27 || Northern Secondary School Collegiate 104 1,720 1,794 96% 74 |||| 1,619 90% 175 ||||||||| 1,651 92% 143 ||||||| Yorkdale Secondary School EdVance 23 437 273 160% -164 |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 408 149% -135 |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 408 149% -135 ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| Collegiates and Technical-Commercial Schools - 2019 Enrolment Breakdown and Programs Offered Special Regular French French Special School Name Education Specialized Programs and Specialist High Skills Majors (SHSMs) Track Imm. Ext. Education Programs Forest Hill Collegiate Institute 906 John Polanyi Collegiate Institute 785 SHSM - Transportation | Math and Science Focus | SHSM - Justice, Comm. Safety and Emer. Serv. | SHSM - Business | SHSM - Health and Wellness Lawrence Park Collegiate Institute 653 470 77 SHSM - Hospitality and Tourism Leaside High School 423 320 281 North Toronto Collegiate Institute 1,377 13 Autism Northern Secondary School 1,329 391 Gifted LD Deaf/Hear Advanced Placement | SHSM - Health and Wellness | SHSM - Transportation Collegiates - Attendance Area Summary 2019: Attending Regular Track Locally Total In- Total Attending School Name Area Local School Students (Reg. Track) and % Forest Hill Collegiate Institute 797 565 71% John Polanyi Collegiate Institute 1,238 459 37% Lawrence Park Collegiate Institute 1,254 612 49% Leaside High School 685 398 58% North Toronto Collegiate Institute 1,563 892 57% Northern Secondary School 673 229 34% Collegiates - Attending School Summary: Regular Program 2019 Total Total Out of Total In-District Regular Track - Regular Track - School Name Enrol. Reg District (Reg. (Reg. Track) and % In District Out of District Track Track) and % Forest Hill Collegiate Institute 906 565 62% 341 38% |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| John Polanyi Collegiate Institute 785 459 58% 326 42% |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| Lawrence Park Collegiate Institute 653 612 94% 41 6% ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| |||||| Leaside High School 423 398 94% 25 6% |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| ||||| North Toronto Collegiate Institute 1,377 892 65% 485 35% |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| Northern Secondary School 1,329 229 17% 1,100 83% ||||||||||||||||| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 141.