Visit the New, Improved

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Visit the New, Improved Rocky Mountain Institute/ volume xvi #2/fall/winter 2000 RMISolutions newsletter CALIFORNIA’S ELECTRICITY SUPPLYMYTHS by Thomas Feiler T’S RARE WHEN DISCUSSIONS OF A Once heralded as the nation’s leader in commodity dominate dinner-party restructuring its electric utilities and cre- chat, but that was the case on many ating competitive markets for electricity, I California is rethinking the wisdom of its California patios this summer. And everyone seems to have an opinion about actions. And the rest of the country is why the lights went out in San Francisco watching. All 49 other states and the fed- for several hours one day in June, why res- eral government are considering restruc- idents in San Diego saw their summer turing the electricity industry in their electric bills double, and why dire public jurisdictions. They can learn from warnings to reduce electricity use or risk California’s mistakes—or repeat them.5 blackouts have become commonplace When it comes to essentials like electricity, throughout the Golden State. the public is of two minds about markets and competition. Enthusiasm is strong CONTENTS when markets deliver lower costs or A wind farm in THE IMPACT OF GLOBALIZATION ... page 4 continued on next page southern California: NAT CAP IN CLEVELAND ...... page 6 the electricity supply is in- DESCARTES MEETS DARWIN .... page 7 creasing, just not in the way DEAR ROCKY ........... page 9 most people expect. AUSTRALIA’S CLIMATE CHALLENGE . page 10 CHINA:OVERCOMING COAL..... page 12 THAT’S LEADERSHIP ....... page 14 HOT SEAT............ page 16 RMI NEWS ........... page 18 LIFEAT RMI .......... page 21 THANKYOU,DONORS ....... page 27 STRATEGIC INFLUENCE IN CANADA . page 31 photo: Norm Clasen continued from maintenance and repair continued to political objectives. As a result, the type of previous page operate throughout the summer, proving competition that the new market has deliv- greater value, but ebbs quickly when mar- that the electricity supply infrastructure is ered is imperfect and immature in some kets produce pain. in fine shape. very important This past summer’s market volatility However, the entire electrical system—the ways that energy offered a vivid reminder of the funda- grid—is vulnerable. Four summers ago, a cannot be mental dependence of the economy and series of technical and human failures on a explained by society on reliable electric power. For a hot August day knocked out power to either classical economics or conspiracy growing number of high-tech companies, about 7.5 million customers in eight theories. Most notably, the architects of the cost of even tiny outages can be spec- western states and British Columbia. That the market focused almost entirely on the tacularly high. Increasing demand for reli- disruption, the second worst ever experi- supply side of the business (and the polit- able power has heightened political enced in the United States and the worst ical deals necessary to get the buy-in of the reactions and the search for quick fixes. In to hit this region, can be traced to the three large California utilities) but neg- inherent instability of lected, and in some cases obstructed, the a system that is ability of consumers to obtain energy serv- designed around a ices in more rational and cost-effective California’s power problems small number of ways. large, centrally con- In this half-baked competitive environ- are not the direct result of trolled facilities. ment, the wholesale power markets are competitive markets, but Simple and cost- behaving rationally, although quite errati- effective ways to cally, to supply and demand signals. San rather of a lack of robust increase the relia- Diegans’ electricity bills doubled because bility, resilience, San Diego Gas & Electric executives gam- competition. and stability of the bled in the marketplace and lost. Rather system, such as than secure supplies in advance to meet using small-scale, their customers’ summer needs, they gam- distributed generation technologies and bled that they could buy cheap electricity one of the bigger ironies of the electric end-use efficiency, are well known within in the spot market, and that rising summer industry restructuring debate, former free- the industry, but have not been pursued demand wouldn’t drive prices up. Both market proponents are proposing increased with any discipline or enthusiasm by the bets were terribly wrong, and now their government regulation, mandatory mem- traditional utilities. The utilities are used to customers are left holding the bag. bership in industry organizations, central- doing business the old way, delivering elec- The good news is that because of restruc- ized governance of grid operations, and tricity created by central power plants—a turing, Californians can now choose from a government price controls. system that is easily controlled and monop- rapidly growing number of alternative elec- In thinking about appropriate responses, it olized, but vulnerable to large-scale disrup- tricity suppliers (with several offering envi- is helpful to look past five troubling myths tion. ronmentally friendly renewable electricity) now circulating about the cause of the that might take a more measured and cau- recent problems and the role of competi- tious approach to purchasing electricity for Myth #2: Competitive tion in the electric power industry. their customers. Consumers were initially power markets are to slow to realize they could switch elec- blame tricity companies, but a growing number of Myth #1: The electricity California’s power problems are not the San Diegans are now voting with their supply system is failing direct result of competitive markets, but feet. Such signals should motivate utilities California’s power supply crisis has come rather of a lack of robust competition in to improve their practices. even though none of the state’s power the markets. The structure of the new plants or transmission lines has failed. In power markets, after all, was designed to fact, many parts of the system that were serve not only economic efficiency but also supposed to be taken off-line for regular continued on page 22 page 2 S THIS ISSUE OF RMI SOLUTIONS in which readers are EDITOR’S NOTE came together, it took on a geo- invited to pose ques- Agraphic perspective. tions to RMI about You’ll find insight into the causes of Cali- the contents of the newsletter. by Brent Gardner-Smith fornia’s spike in electricity prices, why We’ve created a guest column slot, called China’s consumption of coal is down, how “Other Voices,” to showcase complemen- the fight to limit greenhouse gases in Aus- tary ideas and insights from colleagues out- Finally, “Board tralia is going, why the Canadian finance side RMI. We found the inaugural column Spotlight” intro- minister sounds more like an environment by Harlan Cleveland to be a thought-pro- duces the vital, minister, and what manufacturers in voking piece on how the world is interesting, and Cleveland are doing to put into practice changing, and will continue to change. exceptional people who serve on the principles of Natural Capitalism. Making a return appearance in this issue is RMI’s Board of RMI staffers fanned out across the globe “Dear Rocky,” a feature where we share a Directors. The first this year to work on different projects, and few of the hundreds of questions posed to spotlight is shining on Christine Loh, who it spurred our reporting on topics as our outreach specialists each year. has made waves as a member of Hong diverse as the green Olympic village in Answering these questions is a big part of Kong’s legislature and now as a citizen Sydney and why Taiwan shouldn’t com- RMI’s mission, and we devote a consider- activist trying to improve the city’s envi- plete its fourth nuclear power plant. able amount of our time and energy to ronment. Also in this edition, you’ll find some new being a clearinghouse of information for I hope you enjoy this issue. features. We’ve added “Hot Seat,” a forum people trying to make a difference. Don’t Drop Off Our List— If you are already a donor of $20 or more, Donate and Keep you don’t need to do anything except sit back and enjoy the newsletter. (Thank you RMISolutions Coming! for your support!) If you are not currently a supporter of RMI, but enjoy reading the newsletter, colleagues, and developed more features— either in print or online at www.rmi.org, by Dale Levy, including a reader feedback section. We we encourage you to send a donation of at Development think the newsletter is significantly better least $20. This will ensure that you con- Solutions Director than it was last year. tinue receiving three times a We’ve also looked at the size of our year. Please use the enclosed envelope to mailing list, which through the years has send your contribution. grown to include 20,000 names. If you can’t afford a minimum contribu- As we made changes to the newsletter and tion, please let us know of your unique sit- AS RMI’S NEW DEVELOPMENT DIRECTOR, reflected on the costs of production, paper, uation and we will send you the I’ve challenged almost every assumption and postage, we began wondering: how newsletter as a gift. about fund-raising here. As you can many people on this list are still interested We are working hard to make Solutions a imagine, this has led to many interesting in receiving this newsletter and are current source of news and insight on the issues and stimulating conversations! RMI supporters? on which RMI focuses. And we think it is Of course, vibrant debate is not Well, this question led to another of those an excellent way to stay connected with uncommon at RMI, especially when lively discussions.
Recommended publications
  • June 2018 June 3Rd, 2018 19 Men and 6 Women NBC's Meet the Press
    June 2018 June 3rd, 2018 19 men and 6 women NBC's Meet the Press with Chuck Todd: 5 men and 1 woman Frm. Mayor Rudy Giuliani (M) PM Justin Trudeau (M) Joshua Johnson (M) Peggy Noonan (W) Rich Lowry (M) Ben Rhodes (M) CBS's Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan: 5 men and 2 women Gov. John Kasich (M) Rep. Will Hurd (M) Frm. Amb. Robert Gallucci (M) Dr. Jung Pak (W) David Nakamura (M) Susan Page (W) Michael Crowley (M) ABC's This Week with George Stephanopoulos: 5 men and 2 women Frm. Mayor Rudy Giuliani (M) Frm. Amb. Bill Richardson (M) Tom Bossert (M) Sue Mi Terry (W) Frm. Speaker Newt Gingrich (M) Karen Finney (W) Patrick Gaspard (M) CNN's State of the Union with Jake Tapper: *With Guest Host Dana Bash 1 man and 1 woman Rep. Kevin McCarthy (M) Minister Chrystia Freeland (W) Fox News' Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace: 3 men and 0 women Corey Lewandowski (M) Guy Benson (M) Larry Kudlow (M) June 10th, 2018 13 men and 6 women NBC's Meet the Press with Chuck Todd: No Data Available CBS's Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan: 4 men and 4 women Frm. Amb. Susan Rice (W) Dir. Larry Kudlow (M) Sen. Edward Markey (M) Evan Osnos (M) Seung Min Kim (W) Selena Zito (W) Molly Ball (W) Kenneth Starr (M) ABC's This Week with George Stephanopoulos: 1 man and 0 women Jonathan Cheng (M) CNN's State of the Union with Jake Tapper: 1 man and 2 women Dir.
    [Show full text]
  • Sustainable Development, Technological Singularity and Ethics
    European Research Studies Journal Volume XXI, Issue 4, 2018 pp. 714- 725 Sustainable Development, Technological Singularity and Ethics Vyacheslav Mantatov1, Vitaly Tutubalin2 Abstract: The development of modern convergent technologies opens the prospect of a new technological order. Its image as a “technological singularity”, i.e. such “transhuman” stage of scientific and technical progress, on which the superintelligence will be practically implemented, seems to be quite realistic. The determination of the basic philosophical coordinates of this future reality in the movement along the path of sustainable development of mankind is the most important task of modern science. The article is devoted to the study of the basic ontological, epistemological and moral aspects in the reception of the coming technological singularity. The method of this study is integrating dialectical and system approach. The authors come to the conclusion: the technological singularity in the form of a “computronium” (superintelligence) opens up broad prospects for the sustainable development of mankind in the cosmic dimension. This superintelligence will become an ally of man in the process of cosmic evolution. Keywords: Technological Singularity, Superintelligence, Convergent Technologies, Cosmocentrism, Human and Universe JEL code: Q01, Q56. 1East Siberia State University of Technology and Management, Ulan-Ude, Russia [email protected] 2East Siberia State University of Technology and Management, Ulan-Ude, Russia, [email protected] V. Mantatov, V. Tutubalin 715 1. Introduction Intelligence organizes the world by organizing itself. J. Piaget Technological singularity is defined as a certain moment or stage in the development of mankind, when scientific and technological progress will become so fast and complex that it will be unpredictable.
    [Show full text]
  • Democratic Primary Preview: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina CLINTON PRESSED in IOWA, but HOLDS WIDE LEADS ELSEWHERE
    NEWS Release 1615 L Street, N.W., Suite 700 Washington, D.C. 20036 Tel (202) 419-4350 Fax (202) 419-4399 FOR RELEASE: MONDAY, DECEMBER 3, 2007 10:00AM Democratic Primary Preview: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina CLINTON PRESSED IN IOWA, BUT HOLDS WIDE LEADS ELSEWHERE A Survey Conducted in Association with The Associated Press Also inside… Iraq, health care top issues Clinton by far the most electable But electability matters less than in ‘04 Clinton, Obama split black vote in South Carolina FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Andrew Kohut, Director Scott Keeter, Director of Survey Research Carroll Doherty and Michael Dimock, Associate Directors Pew Research Center for the People & the Press 202/419-4350 http://www.people-press.org Democratic Primary Preview: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina CLINTON PRESSED IN IOWA, BUT HOLDS WIDE LEADS ELSEWHERE Democrats enter the presidential primary campaign upbeat about their candidates and united in their views on major issues. Sen. Hillary Clinton is the clear frontrunner in New Hampshire and South Carolina, where she holds 19-point and 14-point leads, respectively. However in Iowa she is in a statistical tie with Barack Obama. Clinton has a clear advantage on the key issue of Democratic Horse Race health care, and leads among Democratic women voters in Based on Likely Voters* all three states – where women constitute majorities of the Natl IA NH SC likely caucus and primary electorates. Her lead is also % % % % Clinton 48 31 38 45 particularly wide among older voters – voters over age 50 in Obama 22 26 19 31 all three states favor her over Obama by more than two-to- Edwards 11 19 15 10 Richardson 3 10 10 1 one.
    [Show full text]
  • WNBC/Marist Poll Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 Š Phone 845.575.5050 Š Fax 845.575.5111
    WNBC/Marist Poll Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 Phone 845.575.5050 Fax 845.575.5111 www.maristpoll.marist.edu EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Wednesday 6:00 p.m. February 22, 2006 All references must be sourced WNBC/Marist Poll Contact: Dr. Lee M. Miringoff Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho Marist College 845.575.5050 National Poll: Campaign 2008 Hillary Clinton and Condoleezza Rice Are Top Contenders Among Their Party’s Faithful But Is America Ready for a Woman President? This WNBC/Marist Poll reports: • Hillary Clinton is the Democratic presidential primary frontrunner and most voters think she is going to run: Hillary Clinton is a formidable favorite among Democrats for her party’s presidential nomination. A majority of Democrats like her more than they did just two years ago. Democrats generally think she is ideologically about right, neither too liberal nor too conservative. Most of them would like to see her enter the presidential contest in 2008, and many think she will. But like the other potential Democratic and Republican presidential candidates for 2008, Senator Clinton faces a general electorate that is divided over who they would like to see in the race. She is competitive, though politically polarizing, against two of the three Republican presidential frontrunners. But most registered voters do not think she is likely to win. A majority of both Democrats and independents believe she will be treated more harshly on the campaign hustings than other potential presidential candidates. ¾ Senator Hillary Clinton outpaces the field of potential Democratic candidates nationwide for the party’s 2008 presidential nomination. Clinton receives 40% among Democrats and Democratic leaning independents.
    [Show full text]
  • The Democrats
    CBS NEWS POLL For release: Friday, June 29, 2007 6:30 P.M. EDT CAMPAIGN 2008 June 26-28, 2007 Many Americans are looking for even more choices in the race for the presidency than the 18 announced candidates they now have: Should Fred Thompson decide to officially enter the race for the Republican nomination, he is already a strong contender, tying John McCain for second place, after Rudy Giuliani. Americans would like a third political party (especially self-described Independents, and primary voters who say they are dissatisfied with their current choices) -- but Americans have historically liked the idea of more candidate choices. But as of now, most don’t know much about or have an opinion of New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg, who recently dropped out of the Republican Party, perhaps in anticipation of a run at the presidency in 2008 as a third-party candidate. And on the Democratic side, where most primary voters are satisfied with the choices, Hillary Clinton continues to lead Barack Obama. MIKE BLOOMBERG AND A THIRD PARTY New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg's recent party registration change from Republican to “Unaffiliated” has many speculating that he is preparing an independent run for President. That speculation has sparked debate about the need for a third political party. 53% say that a third party is needed to compete with the Democratic and Republican parties. 41% disagree. These views are similar to what they were in 1996, and in 1992 voters also expressed the desire for a new party. Half of both Republicans and Democrats do not think there is a need for a third political party, but 71% of Independents say there is.
    [Show full text]
  • Face the Nation."
    © 2008, CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved. PLEASE CREDIT ANY QUOTES OR EXCERPTS FROM THIS CBS TELEVISION PROGRAM TO "CBS NEWS' FACE THE NATION." CBS News FACE THE NATION Sunday, March 2, 2008 GUESTS: Governor BILL RICHARDSON (D-NM) Senator CHRISTOPHER DODD (D-CT) Obama Surrogate Senator EVAN BAYH (D-IN) Clinton Surrogate MODERATOR/PANELIST: Mr. Bob Schieffer – CBS News This is a rush transcript provided for the information and convenience of the press. Accuracy is not guaranteed. In case of doubt, please check with FACE THE NATION - CBS NEWS (202)-457-4481 BOB SCHIEFFER, host: Today on FACE THE NATION, it's down to Texas and Ohio now. It'll be a showdown this Tuesday with contests there which could decide which Democrat will run against Senator John McCain, and the campaign rhetoric is red hot. Senator Hillary Clinton argues she's the one who's ready to be president. But is that fair to Senator Barack Obama? We'll talk to two senators on opposite sides: for Senator Obama, Chris Dodd, senator from Connecticut; for Senator Clinton, Evan Bayh, senator from Indiana. Then we'll talk to Governor Bill Richardson, who ran against both candidates, but who has not yet endorsed either. Will he make an endorsement? We'll find out. Then I'll have a final word on the passing of a conservative and a gentleman. But first, Texas and Ohio on FACE THE NATION. Announcer: FACE THE NATION, with CBS News chief Washington correspondent Bob Schieffer. And now, from CBS News in Washington, Bob Schieffer. SCHIEFFER: And good morning again.
    [Show full text]
  • New Mexico Statehood and Political Inequality • the Case of Nuevomexicanos
    View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by UNM Open Journals Portal (The University of New Mexico) • New Mexico Statehood and Political Inequality • The Case of Nuevomexicanos PHILLIP B. GONZALES rior to the late 1880s, the civic and political leaders of Nuevomexica- nos generally disagreed on the question of statehood for territorial New Mexico. As one faction or another put the issue on the public agenda, Pthose who favored it joined Euroamerican (the vernacular “Anglo”) settlers who believed that statehood would accelerate the modern development of the territory to everyone’s benefit and enable the people to enjoy the political sovereignty that regular membership among the states in the Union held out. Opponents generally believed that the territory was not yet ready for statehood, and especially that it would burden the mass of poor Spanish-speaking citizens with unaffordable taxes until the territory’s economy could develop sufficiently.1 But as David Holtby’s recent book on New Mexico’s achievement of statehood indicates, Nuevomexicano spokesmen at the turn of the twentieth century clearly, if not unequivocally, supported the statehood movement. The success of the statehood proposition rested on this support. Nuevomexicanos constituted the majority of New Mexico’s population and statehood required that the population ratify the 1910 constitution. A great deal thus rode on Nuevomexicano leaders Phillip B. (Felipe) Gonzales is professor of Sociology at the University of New Mexico (UNM). At UNM he was formerly associate dean of faculty, College of Arts & Sciences; chair of Sociology; and director of the Southwest Hispanic Research Institute.
    [Show full text]
  • Election Summary Report PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY
    Election Summary Report 02/05/08 PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY 22:36:27 Summary For Jurisdiction Wide, All Counters, All Races Registered Voters 75175 - Cards Cast 12839 Num. Report Precinct 132 - Num. Reporting 132 17.08% 100.00% PRESIDENT-DEMOCRATIC Vote for One DEM Total Number of Precincts 132 Precincts Reporting 132 100.0 % Times Counted 7139/31708 22.5 % Total Votes 7040 MIKE GRAVEL 27 0.38% JOHN EDWARDS 677 9.62% CHRIS DODD 5 0.07% HILLARY CLINTON 2983 42.37% JOE BIDEN 36 0.51% BARACK OBAMA 3096 43.98% BILL RICHARDSON 54 0.77% DENNIS KUCINICH 120 1.70% Write-in Votes 42 0.60% PRESIDENT-REPUBLICAN Vote for One REP Total Number of Precincts 132 Precincts Reporting 132 100.0 % Times Counted 4622/21660 21.3 % Total Votes 4532 MIKE HUCKABEE 674 14.87% DUNCAN HUNTER 11 0.24% FRED THOMPSON 184 4.06% TOM TANCREDO 7 0.15% RUDY GIULIANI 253 5.58% JOHN H. COX 6 0.13% SAM BROWNBACK 3 0.07% RON PAUL 231 5.10% JOHN MCCAIN 1847 40.75% MITT ROMNEY 1274 28.11% ALAN KEYES 18 0.40% Write-in Votes 24 0.53% PRESIDENT-AIP Vote For One AIP Total Number of Precincts 132 Precincts Reporting 132 100.0 % Times Counted 196/1837 10.7 % Total Votes 125 DIANE BEALL TEMPLIN 20 16.00% DON J. GRUNDMANN 33 26.40% MAD MAX RIEKSE 29 23.20% Write-in Votes 43 34.40% PRESIDENT-LIBERTARIAN Vote For One LIB Total Number of Precincts 132 Precincts Reporting 132 100.0 % Times Counted 69/619 11.1 % Total Votes 51 BARRY HESS 5 9.80% DAVE HOLLIST 0 0.00% ALDEN LINK 0 0.00% DANIEL IMPERATO 0 0.00% CHRISTINE SMITH 14 27.45% GEORGE PHILLIES 1 1.96% ROBERT MILNES 0 0.00% MICHAEL P.
    [Show full text]
  • Final Environmental Impact Statement Ochoco Summit Trail System Project Chapter 3 – Environmental Consequences – Wildlife
    Final Environmental Impact Statement Ochoco Summit Trail System Project Chapter 3 – Environmental Consequences – Wildlife Wildlife _________________________________________ This section includes a summary of the Wildlife specialist’s report and Biological Evaluation; the entire report is in the Ochoco Summit Trail System project record, located at the Ochoco National Forest, Prineville, Oregon. General Effects to Wildlife With all management activities, there are negative effects to some species and benefits to others that must be considered and balanced along with the need for those human activities. Negative effects of recreational OHV use on wildlife may include wildlife mortality, direct and indirect loss of habitat, displacement, and reduced connectivity. Factors that influence the vulnerability of different wildlife species include behavior and ecology. For example, animals that tend to stay closer to shelter, such as gray squirrel and woodchuck, can tolerate closer encounters with humans because they can quickly escape (Frid and Dill 2002; Gill et al. 1996). Other species tend to forage less and spend less time in quality habitat near human activity (Gill et al. 1996). Still other species may respond positively to human development and use of OHV trails and roads; potential benefits are related to habitat, mobility, and food resources. Openings, shrubs and grasses may develop alongside roads, providing additional foraging habitats. Cleared roads and trails are utilized as travel corridors for some species. No road construction is proposed for the Ochoco Summit project; however, there are ongoing effects of existing roads, and the effects of existing roads and proposed OHV trails are similar. Road widths vary from 14 to 35 feet depending on single or double lane and maintenance of right of way.
    [Show full text]
  • Defense 2045: Assessing the Future Security Environment And
    NOVEMBER 2015 1616 Rhode Island Avenue NW Washington, DC 20036 202-887-0200 | www.csis.org Defense 2045 Lanham • Boulder • New York • London 4501 Forbes Boulevard Assessing the Future Security Environment and Implications Lanham, MD 20706 301- 459- 3366 | www.rowman.com for Defense Policymakers Cover photo: Shutterstock.com A Report of the CSIS International Security Program AUTHOR ISBN 978-1-4422-5888-4 David T. Miller 1616 Rhode Island Avenue NW FOREWORD Washington,Ë|xHSLEOCy258884z DC 20036v*:+:!:+:! Joseph S. Nye Jr. 202-887-0200 | www.csis.org Blank Defense 2045 Assessing the Future Security Environment and Implications for Defense Policymakers AUTHOR David T. Miller FOREWORD Joseph S. Nye Jr. A Report of the CSIS International Security Program November 2015 Lanham • Boulder • New York • London 594-62791_ch00_3P.indd 1 11/6/15 7:13 AM hn hk io il sy SY ek eh About CSIS hn hk io il sy SY ek eh For over 50 years, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) has worked to hn hk io il sy SY ek eh develop solutions to the world’s greatest policy challenges. ­Today, CSIS scholars are hn hk io il sy SY ek eh providing strategic insights and bipartisan policy solutions to help decisionmakers chart hn hk io il sy SY ek eh a course toward a better world. hn hk io il sy SY ek eh CSIS is a nonprofit organ ization headquartered in Washington, D.C. The Center’s 220 full- time staff and large network of affiliated scholars conduct research and analy sis and hn hk io il sy SY ek eh develop policy initiatives that look into the future and anticipate change.
    [Show full text]
  • Green Goo: Nanobiotechnology Comes Alive!
    Communiqué January/February 2003 Issue # 77 Green Goo: Nanobiotechnology Comes Alive! Issue: If the word registers in the public consciousness at all, "nanotechnology" conjures up visions of itty- bitty mechanical robots building BMWs, burgers or brick walls. For a few, nanotech inspires fear that invisible nanobots will go haywire and multiply uncontrollably until they suffocate the planet – a scenario known as "Gray Goo." Still others, recalling Orwell’s 1984, see nanotech as the path to Big Brother’s military-industrial dominance, a kind of “gray governance.” Gray Goo or gray governance – both are plausible outcomes of nanotechnology – the manipulation of matter at the scale of the nanometer (one billionth of a meter) – but possibly diversionary images of our techno-future. The first and greatest impact of nano-scale technologies may come with the merger of nanotech and biotech – a newly recognized discipline called nanobiotechnology. While Gray Goo has grabbed the headlines, self- replicating nanobots are not yet possible. The more likely future scenario is that the merger of living and non- living matter will result in hybrid organisms and products that end up behaving in unpredictable and uncontrollable ways – get ready for “Green Goo!” Impact: Roughly one-fifth (21%) of nanotech businesses in the USA are currently focusing on nanobiotechnology for the development of pharmaceutical products, drug delivery systems and other healthcare-related products.1 The US National Science Foundation predicts that the market for nano-scale products will reach $1 trillion per annum by 2015. As with biotech before it, nanotech is also expected to have a major impact on food and agriculture.
    [Show full text]
  • Ray Kurzweil Reader Pdf 6-20-03
    Acknowledgements The essays in this collection were published on KurzweilAI.net during 2001-2003, and have benefited from the devoted efforts of the KurzweilAI.net editorial team. Our team includes Amara D. Angelica, editor; Nanda Barker-Hook, editorial projects manager; Sarah Black, associate editor; Emily Brown, editorial assistant; and Celia Black-Brooks, graphics design manager and vice president of business development. Also providing technical and administrative support to KurzweilAI.net are Ken Linde, systems manager; Matt Bridges, lead software developer; Aaron Kleiner, chief operating and financial officer; Zoux, sound engineer and music consultant; Toshi Hoo, video engineering and videography consultant; Denise Scutellaro, accounting manager; Joan Walsh, accounting supervisor; Maria Ellis, accounting assistant; and Don Gonson, strategic advisor. —Ray Kurzweil, Editor-in-Chief TABLE OF CONTENTS LIVING FOREVER 1 Is immortality coming in your lifetime? Medical Advances, genetic engineering, cell and tissue engineering, rational drug design and other advances offer tantalizing promises. This section will look at the possibilities. Human Body Version 2.0 3 In the coming decades, a radical upgrading of our body's physical and mental systems, already underway, will use nanobots to augment and ultimately replace our organs. We already know how to prevent most degenerative disease through nutrition and supplementation; this will be a bridge to the emerging biotechnology revolution, which in turn will be a bridge to the nanotechnology revolution. By 2030, reverse-engineering of the human brain will have been completed and nonbiological intelligence will merge with our biological brains. Human Cloning is the Least Interesting Application of Cloning Technology 14 Cloning is an extremely important technology—not for cloning humans but for life extension: therapeutic cloning of one's own organs, creating new tissues to replace defective tissues or organs, or replacing one's organs and tissues with their "young" telomere-extended replacements without surgery.
    [Show full text]