Hand Analysis

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Hand Analysis th ACBL Charity Game 29 November 2010 Set 69894 Analysis by Brian Gunnell, author of Bridge Bites and founder of The Wednesday Game (www.wednesdaygame.com). ♠ 5 West North East South ♥ T2 1♦ Pass 1♥ ♠ KQT7 West North East South 5 ♦ AQ8642 Pass 2♦ Pass 3♦ ♥ AK4 1♦ Pass Pass ♣ A932 All Pass 1♠ 1NT 2♠ 3♣ Disciples of the Rule of 20 (in which 1 ♦ K754 ♠ T432 ♠ QJ76 ♣ K4 All Pass we add our HCP to the number of South could make a Weak Jump ♥ AJ93 ♥ 74 cards in our two longest suits and ♠ A9843 ♠ J62 Shift, if available, but otherwise a ♦ K73 ♦ J5 open if the total is 20 or more) will ♥ QJ8 ♥ T962 Pass seems to be the most prudent ♣ Q6 ♣ KJT74 open 1♦ with North’s hand. That’s all ♦ A962 ♦ 83 course of action. North’s 1NT rebid ♠ AK98 well and good, but it does mean that ♣ 9 ♣ AJ63 (opposite a silent Partner) shows 18- Dlr North ♥ KQ865 N-S will be in danger of getting too ♠ 5 19, after which South cheerfully N-S Vul ♦ T9 high. However, if North opens one-of- competes to 3♣. a-suit with that type of hand, then Dlr North ♥ 753 ♣ 85 None Vul ♦ QJT The Play in Clubs: West leads the South must show a modicum of ♥Q, won in Dummy. The ♠K is taken restraint and not force to game with her moderate 12-count. ♣ QT8752 by West’s Ace, the Heart return is The Play in 3♦: Dummy wins the Spade lead, a Club goes on the other won in Dummy and Declarer’s Heart loser goes on the ♠Q. Now the ♣T is high Spade, then ♣A and out a Club. West wins this and fires back a low finessed and when the dust has cleared Declarer will have 9 tricks. trump, Declarer takes her Ace and ruffs a Club. West should not overruff! If he does, Declarer’s ♦Q drops East’s Jack for 10 tricks … if West does ♠ Q6 West North East South not overruff then Declarer still has a guess in the trump suit and may go ♥ KQ7 Pass Pass wrong (she shouldn’t but let’s give her the opportunity!). 2 ♦ AKQJT632 1♥ Dbl Rdbl 2♣ ♣ Pass 2♦ 2♥ Pass ♠ AJT76 West North East South Pass 3♦ Pass Pass ♥ 8 1♦ 3♥ ♠ AKT ♠ J952 3♥ 4♦ Dbl All Pass 6 3NT All Pass ♥ A9832 ♥ J64 ♦ 93 This wild deal could produce a ♣ 96543 The Play in 3NT: If North congenially ♦ 7 ♦ 94 thousand different auctions, maybe leads Partner’s suit then Declarer has ♣ T932 ♣ AK84 even the one shown above. ♠ K2 ♠ Q43 no more than 11 tricks … but if North ♠ 8743 The Play in Diamonds: East starts ♥ AJ53 ♥ T leads a Spade then Declarer scores Dlr East ♥ T5 out with a high Club, but Declarer ♦ JT86 ♦ AKQ72 an extra Spade trick and 12 in total. N-S Vul ♦ 85 ruffs that, sets up a Heart ruff in ♣ KQ2 ♣ AT87 The Play in 6♦: This makes if trumps Dummy, and it’s 10 tricks. An are 2-2, and if trumps are 3-1 then it ♣ QJ765 ♠ 985 opening trump lead doesn’t help the Dlr East ♥ KQ97642 will be necessary to score four Clubs. defenders’ cause as they are unable to lead a second one to stop the ruff. E-W Vul ♦ 54 The combined chances are 76%, so a The Play in 4♥: North might try a spectacular underlead of her Diamonds fine slam, but a hard one to reach, (in search of a Club ruff), but that is a dubious strategy when holding ♣ J with or without a Heart preempt. natural trump tricks (although great merriment would ensue if North did The Play in Hearts: The obvious losers are a Spade, two Hearts, two lead a low Diamond, Dummy played low and South’s Eight won the trick!). Diamonds and a Club. So, seven tricks for Declarer? No, the defense Instead, North plays Diamonds from the top and Declarer ruffs the second can force Declarer by repeated Club leads, holding her to six tricks. one. The bidding places North with Club shortness and most or all of the missing major suit high cards. That being so, Declarer can make his ♠ KJT8764 South West North East contract by cashing ♠A and ♠K, and leading a low Heart. North must win ♥ QT2 2NT Pass 4♥ Pass but is now end-played … either she leads a trump and gives up a trick 7 4♠ Pass 4NT Pass that way … or she must lead a Diamond and concede a ruff and sluff. ♦ KT ♣ Q 5♣ Pass 5♦ Pass 6♣ Pass 7NT All Pass ♠ T86 South West North East ♠ 5 ♠ 93 This grand slam deal provides us with ♥ K763 Pass Pass 1♣ 1♦ ♥ J97 ♥ K853 a few Roman Key Card nuances. 3 ♦ AK Dbl 2♦ 2♥ All Pass ♦ QJ6 ♦ 98743 Some points of interest: ♣ QJ75 South’s Negative Double showed ♣ JT9432 ♣ 75 - Bidding 4NT after the Jacoby both majors, and perhaps she was auction 2NT 3♥, 3♠ is a natural slam ♠ Q953 ♠ A4 ♠ AQ2 tempted to take one more call in view Dlr South invitation … but bidding 4NT after a ♥ Q2 ♥ JT ♥ A64 of her Club shortness and extra Both Vul ♦ A52 Texas Transfer is Roman Key Card. ♦ T95 ♦ QJ832 trump. But even if she does bid again - 5♣ shows 1 or 4 Key Cards (using ♣ K983 ♣ AT62 there’s no guarantee that North will go ♣ AK86 1430 responses). ♠ KJ72 to game. As can be seen, there are - 5♦ is the cheapest non-signoff and as such is the Queen Ask. Dlr South ♥ A9854 10 tricks available in Hearts, but that - 6♣ says “I have the ♠Q and also the ♣K”. Furthermore, it denies the ♥K E-W Vul ♦ 764 does require a 2-2 Heart break (or by the failure to respond 5♥. extreme good fortune in Spades), and - 7NT: Unless South tragically has ♣AK doubleton, North counts 13 tricks. ♣ 4 we cannot see many N-S pairs bidding this game. ♠ K42 West North East South ♥ AKJ4 Pass 2NT Pass 3♣ ♠ T72 West North East South 8 ♦ Q4 Pass 3♥ Pass ?? ♥ QT86 Pass Pass 1♣ 1♦ ♣ AK97 What next? 4NT would be natural 1♥ 2♦ Dbl Pass here, denying a Heart fit, showing four 4 ♦ AT72 ♠ AQ5 ♠ 876 ♣ Q6 3♣ 3♦ All Pass Spades and inviting slam. How about East’s Support Double showed three ♥ T53 ♥ 8762 4♦? That’s also natural (at least a 5- ♠ Q5 ♠ A843 Hearts, and North’s 3♦ was perhaps ♦ T952 ♦ 87 card suit) and with obvious slam ♥ A973 ♥ K52 inspired by the Law of Total Tricks. ♣ J65 ♣ QT84 interest. Unless yours is one of those ♦ 843 ♦ 5 But this deal is not a triumph for the ♠ JT93 rare partnerships that have a well- ♣ KJT5 ♣ A9872 Law as 3♦ is down two on routine Dlr West ♥ Q9 defined follow-up to 4♦, perhaps 4NT ♠ KJ96 defense (Club opening lead won by None Vul ♦ AKJ63 is the way to go, and we will leave it East’s Ace, and a low Spade at Trick to North to decide whether or not to Dlr West ♥ J4 ♣ 32 Both Vul ♦ KQJ96 2). In fact, if Declarer misguesses the accept. When the missing Spade Spades there is a Spade ruff for down honors are favorably placed and the Diamonds are not 5-1, it is the ♣ 43 three! optimists who are rewarded. ♠ A6542 West North East South ♠ AQ West North East South ♥ A2 1♠ Pass ?? ♥ AKQ 2NT? Pass ?? 9 ♦ A96 If N-S are playing Bergen Raises then 13 ♦ J4 That 2NT opening is hardly ideal, but ♣ AK5 South will bid a preemptive 3♠ and ♣ KJT962 then neither is the alternative of North will raise to game. If South opening 1♣ and reversing (or jump ♠ 8 ♠ KT3 does not have that as an option she ♠ 963 ♠ 854 shifting) into Hearts. If North does ♥ KJ943 ♥ QT5 must choose between: (a) Pass ♥ JT6 ♥ 97 open 2NT what should South do? ♦ 73 ♦ KQJ8 (eminently reasonable), or (b) 2♠ ♦ KQ3 ♦ T8762 There’s a “game or slam?” decision to ♣ J9432 ♣ Q86 (somewhat dubious), or (c) a Forcing ♣ AQ73 ♣ 854 be made, also a “Spades, Hearts or ♠ QJ97 NT followed by a Spade bid (our ♠ KJT72 No Trump?” decision. Our own guess Dlr North ♥ 876 choice). Pass turns out to be the Dlr North ♥ 85432 (and that’s all it is) would be to treat E-W Vul ♦ T542 winner because if South makes so Both Vul ♦ A95 the South hand as 5=4 in the majors much as a peep North will charge into (those Hearts hardly qualify as a 5- ♣ T7 game. Anyway, 4♠ is a so-so ♣ card suit anyway) and use Stayman. contract, as picking up ♠KTxx for no losers is less than 40%. On the If North shows a 4-card major then South would try for slam, but when she actual layout there are 9 tricks only when the Spades decline to oblige. responds 3♦, South bids 3♠ (or 3♥ if playing Smolen) showing 5-4 in the majors, and lets North pick the contract. North might well be nervous ♠ K West North East South about the Diamonds and go for the 5-2 Spade fit. The bottom line is 11 ♥ Q94 Pass 2♠ tricks in Hearts, Spades or No Trump. Easy to play, awkward to bid. 10 ♦ KQ Pass 2NT Pass 3♦ ♣ AQ98653 Pass 4♠ All Pass ♠ AK65 West North East South In the above auction, South’s 3♦ ♥ KQJ9 1♥ Pass ♠ 87 ♠ Q652 showed a feature and, one way or 14 Pass Dbl 2♣ Pass ♥ AKT873 ♥ 2 ♦ K7 another, we expect that many Souths ♣ KQ7 Pass Dbl Pass 2♠ ♦ J74 ♦ 86532 will declare 4♠.
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