Intersubjective Reasoning in Political Deliberation: a Theory and Method for Assessing Deliberative Transformation at Small
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INTERSUBJECTIVE REASONING REASONING IN POLITICALIN POLITICAL DELIBERATION DELIBERATION A TheoryTheory andand Method Method for for Assessing Assessing Deliberative Deliberati ve TrTransformationanformation at at Small Small andand LaLargerge ScaleScale 202019/419/4 Simon Niemeyer Centre for Deliberative Democracy and Global Governance University of Canberra INTERSUBJECTIVE REASONING IN POLITICAL DELIBERATION ABOUT THE SERIES The Centre for Deliberative Democracy & Global Governance working paper series makes preliminary findings of research on deliberative democracy publicly available in advance of publication in journals and books. The series aims to present new research that makes original, high-quality contributions to the theory and practice of deliberative democracy informed by recent literature in the field. For further information see: http://www.governanceinstitute.edu.au/centres/deliberative-democracy-and-global-governance/working-paper-series. Views expressed in working papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of the Centre’s members. INTERSUBJECTIVE REASONING IN POLITICAL DELIBERATION A Theory and Method for Assessing Deliberative Transformation at Small and Large Scale Simon Niemeyer Associate Professor Centre for Deliberative Democracy and Global Governance Institute for Governance and Policy Analysis University of Canberra [email protected] Working Paper Series No. 2019/4 Centre for Deliberative Democracy & Global Governance Institute for Governance and Policy Analysis University of Canberra ACT 2601 DELDEM.CANBERRA.EDU.AU GOVERNANCEINSTITUTE.EDU.AU 1 INTERSUBJECTIVE REASONING IN POLITICAL DELIBERATION ABSTRACT This paper advances a theory and method for evaluating political reasoning from a deliberative democratic perspective, as well as its transformative effects and outcomes. Deliberative reasoning, according to the theory, involves taking into account considerations (values and beliefs) and integrating attitudes toward them (opinions) into reasoning to arrive at a prefered course of action. In the absence of reasoning pathologies, groups engaged in deliberation tend to converge toward an intersubjectively shared pattern of reasoning. This manifests as a shared rationale, comprising an embedded complex network of “if-then” relationships, or system of reasoning that translates opinions regarding all relevant considerations into preferences — where relevant considerations are agreed on by all (consideration metaconsensus). Deliberation thus improves shared reasoning and facilitates greater integration of considerations. Under non-deliberative conditions, rationales become fractured, less integrative and incorporate fewer considerations. A shared rationale is both constituted by and constitutive of the deliberative situation. It supports deliberative reflection, providing a shared framework for making sense of the world, but its ability to do so is dependent on the deliberative conditions under which it is formed. Disagreement can (and should) still occur within a rationale. Deliberative contestation can promote the development of ever more integrative rationales that incorporate a wider set of relevant considerations. Because a rationale is deliberatively constructed it cannot be easily modelled a priori, but it can be observed. A shared rationale implies a degree of consistency of (dis)agreement regarding considerations among pairs of individuals compared to (dis)agreement among their preferences, or Intersubjective Consistency (IC). Fourteen deliberative minipublic studies are presented as evidence, thirteen demonstrating an improvement in IC. The wider application of the method is also demonstrated by comparing reasoning among climate change sceptics to non-sceptics. The implications of the theory and findings for understanding and improving deliberative reasoning in wider political systems are discussed. Keywords: deliberative democracy, deliberative reasoning, deliberative pathologies, deliberative transformation, group reasoning, deliberative minipublics ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The development of this paper has involved a large community of scholars. It has benefited from comments provided by Andre Bächtiger, Quinlan Bowman, Nicole Curato, John Dryzek, Andrea Felicetti, Dannica Fleuß, Robert Goodin, Kim Hosking, Benjamin Leruth, Lala Murodova, Selen Ercan, PerOla Öberg, Andreas Schaefer, Jurg Steiner, Viktor Valgardsson and Albert Weale. Special thanks to Francesco Veri for his work on developing the IC index, and Jonathan Pickering and his editing skills. The ideas in this paper and the data involved have taken a good deal of time develop and collect. There are too many individuals who assisted with this process to name here and I apologize to those who I have neglected to mention. Earlier versions of this paper have been presented at departmental seminars at Uppsala University, University of Stuttgart, KU Leuven, University of Canberra and I thank the many individuals who attended and provided valuable feedback. 2 INTERSUBJECTIVE REASONING IN POLITICAL DELIBERATION BIO Simon Niemeyer is an Associate Professor and co-founder of the Centre for Deliberative Democracy and Global Governance, Institute for Governance and Policy Analysis at the University of Canberra. His research covers the broad fields of deliberative democracy and environmental governance. His research has contributed to major theoretical insights in deliberative democracy, with practical implications, informing the design of deliberative minipublics, as well as improving the broader democratic process. He completed his PhD at the Australian National University and since then has been the recipient of a number of Australian Research Council Awards — including ARC Postdoctoral and Future Fellowships. He has led major international research projects, both in Australia and overseas, most recently based in Sweden at the Department of Government at Uppsala University. His more recent research investigates methods for assessing the deliberativeness of democratic systems and mechanisms for diffusion of the impacts of minipublics across different scales. FUNDING DECLARATION The findings reported involved data collected across multiple research projects, many of which were funded by the Australian Research Council (ARC). The Uppsala case study was funded by a grant from the Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsrådet). The final development of the ideas and methods for analysing results has most recently been supported by an ARC Discovery grant (DP180103014). CITATION DETAILS Please cite this paper as: Niemeyer, Simon (2019). “Intersubjective reasoning in Political Deliberation: A Theory and Method for Assessing Deliberative Transformation.” Centre for Deliberative Democracy and Global Governance working paper 2019/4. Canberra, Australia: Centre for Deliberative Democracy and Global Governance. 3 INTERSUBJECTIVE REASONING IN POLITICAL DELIBERATION INTRODUCTION Political deliberation is supposed to induce reasoning-based reflection in determining courses of action (preferences) taking into account relevant considerations (Bächtiger et al., 2018), but what does a deliberatively reasoned outcome look like? The early ideal of consensus has been largely abandoned by deliberative democrats in favour of a legitimate role for preserving difference (Dryzek and Niemeyer, 2006).1 Preference transformation is also problematic. Although it indicates that deliberation has induced a change in position among individuals, it also potentially harbours a constellation of other possible effects (Luskin et al., 2002), including manifestly non-deliberative transformations induced, for example, by non-deliberative forms of issue framing (Druckman, 2001). Claims that an observed deliberative transformation connotes deliberative quality may draw upon observation of the quality of the verbal deliberative exchanges that produced it. The most common method for assessing procedural quality involves some variation of the Discourse Quality Index (DQI, Steenbergen et al., 2003), which assesses degree of sincerity, openness and respectful exchange of reasons. But triangulating transformation and procedure in this way may not produce concordant results (Baccaro et al., 2016). Moreover, the DQI method is much contested as to whether it fully captures the possibilities for what might constitute a deliberative process (Bächtiger et al., 2010). There is a growing literature dedicated to the epistemic value of deliberation (e.g. Landemore, 2017), demonstrating that deliberation converges toward a more “correct” result . Deliberative reasoning should surely result in correct outcomes, but its fundamental scope is messier than sorting factual claims concerning what “is”. Deliberation also involves axiological consideration of what values “ought” to influence our decisions, including collectively constructed ideas of the common good (Cohen, 1997) and otherwise coordinating among conflicting views of what should be (Landwehr, 2010). At the individual level it also gives pause to reflect on which values we hold as important in determining our positions (Elster, 1983). This normative dimension of deliberation makes it much harder to independently assess what a ‘right’ decision involves without reference to those values. This leaves us with the challenge of conceptualizing deliberative reasoning and observing it in deliberative forums, and wider political systems, without having to pre-determine what such an outcome looks like (Bohman, 1998). An account