Asset Variance Risk and Compound Option Prices∗ Hitesh Doshiy Jan Ericssonz Mathieu Fournierx Sang Byung Seo{ July 13, 2021 Abstract We evaluate the empirical validity of the compound option framework. In a model where corporate securities are options on a firm’s assets, option contracts on these can be viewed as options on options, or compound options. We estimate a model with priced asset variance risk and find that it jointly explains the level and time variation of both equity index (SPX) and credit index (CDX) option prices well out-of-sample. This suggests that the two options markets are priced consistently, contrary to recent findings. We show that variance risk is important for establishing pricing consistency between equity, credit, and related derivatives. JEL classification: G12, G13 ∗An earlier version of this paper was entitled \Variance risk premia across three derivatives markets". We thank participants at the Tsinghua Finance Workshop 2019, a McGill University brown bag 2019, Tremblant Workshop 2020, ITAM/HEC Montreal Cancun Derivatives Workshop 2020, and the Virtual Derivatives Workshop 2021. In particular we are grateful to Patrick Augustin, Christian Dorion, Bjørn Eraker, Zhiguo He (discussant), Kris Jacobs, Mete Kilic, Philippe Mueller, Chay Ornthanalai, Nick Pan, Neil Pearson, Ivan Shaliastovich, and Aurelio Vasquez for helpful comments. yBauer College of Business, University of Houston (e-mail:
[email protected]) zDesautels Faculty of Management, McGill University (e-mail:
[email protected]) xHEC Montreal (e-mail:
[email protected]) {Wisconsin School of Business, University of Wisconsin-Madison (e-mail:
[email protected]) Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3885357 1 Introduction Option pricing theory, which emerged in the seventies, not only spawned a new field of research on derivatives pricing but also a new approach to valuing corporate securities.