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DEPREM Dosya 1 DEPREM Dosya 1 Nevzat Ersan / Prof. Dr. Semih Ergintav Doç. Dr. Ziyadin Çakır / Doç. Dr. Uğur Doğan Prof. Dr. Atilla Ansal / Prof. Dr. Ali Pınar Prof. Dr. S.Ümit Dikmen / Prof. Dr. Mustafa Erdik Doç. Dr. Şinasi Kaya / Doç. Dr. Elif Sertel Prof. Dr. Mikdat Kadıoğlu / Mahmut Baş Dr. Murat Nurlu / Kerem Kuterdem Bekir Tekin / Semra Erbay Cenk Erkmen / Kazım Gökhan Elgin Prof. Dr. Kaya Özgen / Prof. Dr. Uğur Ersoy Doç.Dr. Nurdan M. Apaydın / Doç.Dr. Beyza Taşkın Doç. Dr. Seda Kundak / Prof. Dr. Metin Başoğlu Doç.Dr. Ebru Şalcıoğlu / Prof. Dr. Hasan Boduroğlu Selamet Yazıcı / Prof.Dr. Ünal Aydemir İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi Vakfı Prof.Dr. Faruk Karadoğan / Prof. Dr. Attila Çiner Yayını Prof.Dr. Ahmet Yakut / Cenk Erkmen Tülay Uran /Savaş Altıok / Şükran Özdemir EKİM - ARALIK 2014 SAYI 66 Prof. Dr. Ayla Ödekan Metin Tükenmez *(/(&(ÜÞ GÜVENLE Þ1ß$('Þ<258=« 7HNIHQRODUDNJYHQOLYHVDÝOÐNOÐELU oDOÐàPDRUWDPÐVDÝODPDNDFLOGXUXPODUD KD]ÐUOÐNOÐROPDN\DUDODQPDODUÐHQJHOOHPHNLoLQ JHUHNHQWP|QOHPOHULDOPDNHQHUMLYH GRÝDOND\QDNWNHWLPLQLQHQD]DLQGLULOPHVL\OH oHYUHQLQNRUXQPDVÐQÐVDÝODPDN DVODWDYL]YHUPHGLÝLPL]SUHQVLSOHULPL] hONHPL]LQYHGQ\D|OoHÝLQGHVHNW|UP]Q V|]VDKLELNXUXPODUÐQGDQELULROPDQÐQELOLQFL\OH LQVDQDGHÝHUYHUHUHN\DàDPDGHÝHUNDWDQ HVHUOHU\DUDWPD\DYHJHOHFHÝLJYHQOH LQàDHWPH\HGHYDPHGL\RUX] www.tekfeninsaat.com.tr itü vakfı dergisi 1 itüéYDNIÏéGHUJLVL 1 DEPREM DosyaDosya 1 NevzatNevzat Ersan / Prof. Dr. Semih ErgintavErgintav 'Ro'U=L\DGLQdDN×U'Ro'U8ùXU'RùDQ'Ro'U=L\DGLQdDN×U'Ro'U8ùXU'RùDQ 3URI'U$WLOOD$QVDO3URI'U$OL3×QDU3URI'U$WLOOD$QVDO3URI'U$OL3×QDU 3URI'U6hPLW'LNPHQ3URI'U0XVWDID(UGLN 'Ro'UûLQDVL.D\D'Ro'U(OLI6HUWHO'Ro'UûLQDVL.D\D'Ro'U(OLI6HUWHO 3URI'U0LNGDW.DG×RùOX0DKPXW%Dü3URI'U0LNGDW.DG×RùOX0DKPXW%Dü 0XUDW1XUOX.HUHP.XWHUGHP0XUDW1XUOX.HUHP.XWHUGHP %HNLU7HNLQ6HPUD(UED\%HNLU7HNLQ6HPUD(UED\ &HQN(UNPHQ.D]×P*|NKDQ(OJLQ&HQN(UNPHQ.D]×P*|NKDQ(OJLQ 3URI'U.D\Dg]JHQ3URI'U8ùXU(UVR\3URI'U.D\Dg]JHQ3URI'U8ùXU(UVR\ 'Ro'U1XUGDQ0$SD\G×Q'Ro'U%H\]D7DüN×Q'Ro'U1XUGDQ0$SD\G×Q'Ro'U%H\]D7DüN×Q 'Ro'U6HGD.XQGDN3URI'U0HWLQ%DüRùOX'Ro'U6HGD.XQGDN3URI'U0HWLQ%DüRùOX 'Ro'U(EUXûDOF×RùOX3URI'U+DVDQ%RGXURùOX'Ro'U(EUXûDOF×RùOX3URI'U+DVDQ%RGXURùOX 6HODPHW<D]×F×3URI'UhQDO$\GHPLU6HODPHW<D]×F×3URI'UhQDO$\GHPLU éVWDQEXOå7HNQLNåhQLYHUVLWHVLå9DNIæ 3URI'U)DUXN.DUDGRùDQ3URI'U$WWLODdLQHU3URI'U)DUXN.DUDGRùDQ3URI'U$WWLODdLQHU <D\æQæ 3URI'U$KPHW<DNXW&HQN(UNPHQ3URI'U$KPHW<DNXW&HQN(UNPHQ 7OD\8UDQ6DYDü$OW×RNûNUDQg]GHPLU7OD\8UDQ6DYDü$OW×RNûNUDQg]GHPLU (.é0ååå$5$/,.åå 6$<,å 3URI'U$\ODgGHNDQ3URI'U$\ODgGHNDQ 0HWLQ7NHQPH]0HWLQ7NHQPH] ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... “Küçük Kıyamet’ten “Büyük Trajedi”ye Ülkemizin Deprem Gerçeği 7 Nevzat Ersan Marmara Bölgesi’nde Deprem Tehlikesi Açısından En Sıcak Nokta: İstanbul 12 Prof. Dr. Semih Ergintav, Doç.Dr. Ziyadin Çakır, Doç.Dr. Uğur Doğan VAKFI DERGİSİ İstanbul Deprem Senaryoları EKİM-ARALIK 2014 | SAYI 66 16 Prof. Dr. Atilla Ansal İmtiyaz Sahibi: Deprem Erken Uyarı Sistemleri İTÜ Vakfı adına Prof. Dr. Mehmet Karaca 27 Prof. Dr. Ali Pınar, Prof. Dr. S. Ümit Dikmen, Prof. Dr. Mustafa Erdik Deprem Hasarlarının Uzaktan Algılama Verileri ile Belirlenmesi Yayın Kurulu: 32 Doç.Dr. Şinasi Kaya, Doç.Dr. Elif Sertel Prof. Dr. Yıldız Sey Afet Yönetimi Nedir ve Nasıl Olmalıdır? Y. Müh. Naci Endem 37 Prof. Dr. Mikdat Kadıoğlu Dr. Y. Müh. (Mimar) Doğan Hasol Prof. Dr. Mete Tapan Afetlerin Değirmenine Su Taşımak Kenan Çolpan 40 Y. Müh. Mahmut Baş Kenan Mete AFAD Başkanlığının Deprem Konusundaki Faaliyetleri Hatice Yazıcı Şahinli 48 Dr. Murat Nurlu Yazı İşleri Müdürü: Deprem Sorununa Ulusal Ölçekte Stratejik Yaklaşım: Ulusal Deprem Hatice Yazıcı Şahinli 51 Stratejisi ve Eylem Planı (UDSEP-2023) Kerem Kuterdem, Bekir Tekin, Semra Erbay, Cenk Erkmen, Dr. Murat Nurlu Yayın Koordinatörü: Kenan Mete İstanbul Sismik Riskin Azaltılması ve Acil durum Hazırlık Projesi (İSMEP) 54 Kazım Gökhan Elgin “Deprem Dosyası” Danışmanı: Depreme Dayanıklı İnşaat Teknolojileri ve Yüksek Binalar: Prof. Dr. Faruk Karadoğan 58 Sorunlar, Öneriler Prof. Dr. Kaya Özgen Reklam ve Halkla İlişkiler: Az Katlı Yapıların Deprem Dayanımları ile İlgili Bir İrdeleme Fahri Sarrafoğlu 62 Prof. Dr. Uğur Ersoy Katkıda Bulunanlar: Ulaşım Sistemindeki Güçlendirme Çalışmaları Zeynep Şahin Tutuk, Gülşah Seyhan, 65 Doç. Dr. Nurdan Apaydın Osman Keskin, Altan Bal, Depreme Karşı Güçlendirmede Karşılaşılan Güçlükler ve Çözüm Önerileri Arzu Eryılmaz, Gözde Çalışır, 70 Doç. Dr. Beyza Taşkın Yavuz Dürüst, Engin Yıldırım, Ömer Yılmaz Deprem ve Ekonomik Kayıplar 74 Doç. Dr. Seda Kundak Yönetim Yeri: İTÜ Vakfı Merkezi Deprem Travmasının Kitlesel Etkilerine Yönelik Bir Ruh Sağlığı Modeli İTÜ Maçka Yerleşkesi 80394 78 Prof. Dr. Metin Başoğlu, Doç. Dr. Ebru Şalcıoğlu Teşvikiye / İSTANBUL Deprem ve Farkındalık Tel: 0212 291 34 75 – 230 73 71 83 Prof. Dr. Hasan Boduroğlu Faks: 0212 231 46 33 Depremden Sonra Yeniden Ayağa Kalkabilen Bir Türkiye İçin Baskı: 86 Zorunlu Deprem Sigortası Azra Matbaacılık Selamet Yazıcı Litros Yolu 2.Matbaacılar Sitesi E Blok 1.Bodrum No.11 Topkapı 1999 Kocaeli Depremi Sonrasında Eğitim, Araştırma ve Zeytinburnu / İSTANBUL 88 Uygulama Çalışmalarıyla Merkez ve Enstitülerimiz Tel: 0212 674 10 51 – 612 79 27 Prof. Dr. Ünal Aydemir, Prof. Dr. Faruk Karadoğan, Prof. Dr. Attila Çiner, Prof. Dr. Mustafa Erdik, Prof. Dr. Ahmet Yakut E-posta: [email protected] Afad Başkanlığından Deprem Araştırmalarına Destek www.ituvakif.org.tr 104 Ulusal Deprem Araştırma Programı (UDAP) Cenk Erkmen, Tülay Uran, Savaş Altıok, Şükran Özdemir, Dr. Murat Nurlu Yayın Türü: Yaygın, Süreli İki Usta/İki Yorum 108 Prof. Dr. Ayla Ödekan Bu dergide yayımlanan imzalı yazılar yazarlarının görüşünü yansıtmaktadır. Teknokent Dosyası Dergiyi ve yayın kurulunu bağlayıcı 113 nitelik taşımaz. 121 İTÜ’den Haberler İTÜ Vakıf Dergisi’nde yayımlanan yazı ve fotoğrafl ardan kaynak belirtilmek koşulu Vakıf’tan Haberler ile alıntı yapılabilir. 138 Spor 144 Metin Tükenmez 2 itü vakfı dergisi 65'0XG65'05VCPFCTVNCTÍPCVCDKDKPCNCTFCXG VGUKUCVNCTÍPFCMWNNCPÍNCPì\QECO%CO[P+UÍXG5GU;CNÍVÍO /CN\GOGNGTK;CRÍ/CN\GOGNGTK;{PGVOGNKíK #$ nGTnGXGUKPFG%'KëCTGVKVCëÍOC[CJCK\FKT itü vakfı dergisi 3 ì\QECO%CO[PTPNGTUCFGEGDKQTP MCVGIQTKUKPGXGTKNGP'7%'$UGTVKHKMCUÍPCUCJKRVKT BU SAYIDA Sayın Okurlar, 2014 yılının son sayısını çıkardığımız için mutluyuz. tabanlı girişimcilik projelerini seçti. 2014 yılı Bu sayımızda da dosya konumuzu her zaman olduğu inovasyon dahilerinin seçildiği bu yarışma ve ARI gibi Türkiye’nin güncelliği hiç eksilmeyen bir alanına, Teknokent kapsamındaki şirketlerce gerçekleştirilen Deprem’e ayırdık. Yurt içinden ve yurt dışından Ar-GE çalışmaları ile yeni buluşlar ‘Teknokent birçok bilim insanı ve uzman değerli yazılarıyla Dosyası’nda yer almaktadır. bu sayımıza katkıda bulundular. Ve ilk kez gelen İTÜ’den haberler dosyası her zamanki gibi yine çok yazıların tümünü 66. Sayımıza sığdıramadığımız için zengin. Gerçekleştirilen bilimsel, sanatsal, sportif bir sonraki sayımızın dosya konusunun da Deprem etkinlikler, kazanılan ulusal ve uluslararası ödüller, olmasına karar verdik. Böylece 66. Sayı Deprem mezunlarla buluşmalar Üniversitemizin yaşamındaki Dosya – 1, 67. Sayı ise Deprem Dosya - 2 olarak canlılığı ortaya çıkarmaktadır. sizlere sunulmuş olacak. Dergide yer alan yazıların, depremle ilgili farklı bilim Yayın Kurulumuz 68. Sayıdan başlayarak dergi dosya dallarının ve farklı kurumların mensupları tarafından konularının belirlenmesi için hazırlık çalışmalarına yazılmış olması da konuya geniş bir bakış açısı başlamıştır. 68. Sayımızın konusunun “Eğitim” getirmektedir. Seçkin üniversitelerimizin öğretim olması kararlaştırılmıştır. İTÜ’nün eğitim konusunda üyeleri ve araştırmacılarının yanı sıra, ilgili kamu yenilikler arayan bir kurum olduğu ve uluslararası kuruluşlarının, meslek odalarının, yerel yönetimlerin ortamdaki yerini sürekli olarak daha üst düzeylere araştırmalarını ve deneyimlerini dergimizde toplamış yükseltme çalışmalarını yürüttüğü düşünülerek olmaktan Yayın Kurulu olarak onur duyuyor ve konuyu daha geniş çevrelere açmak, tartışılmasını değerli yazarlarımıza teşekkür ediyoruz. sağlamak ve tanıtmak istenmektedir. Sanat sayfamızda Prof. Dr. Ayla Ödekan’ın İki Usta/ Okurlarımızdan, dergimizin yeni sayılarında yer İki Yorum başlıklı yazısı, İTÜ’de yer alan iki sanat vermek üzere ‘dosya konusu’ önerisi ve katkı eserinin sanatçılar tarafından nasıl yorumlandığını bekliyoruz. anlatmaktadır. Kuruluşundan günümüze kadar 2015 yılının ülkemiz, İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi ve birçok ünlü sanatçının çalışmalarına yer vermiş birey olarak herkes için daha verimli, mutlu ve barış olan İTÜ’nün hayatına katılmış olan sanat ve/veya sanatçılar konusuna bundan sonraki sayılarımızda içinde geçmesini dileriz. da yer vermeye devam edeceğiz. Son olarak bu sayımızın hazırlanmasında yaptığı İTÜ ARI Teknokent, Türkiye’nin en önemli girişimci değerli katkılar için Prof Dr. Faruk Karadoğan’a destek projelerinden ‘İTÜ Çekirdek’te, teknoloji teşekkürlerimizi iletiriz. Saygılarımızla, Prof. Dr. Yıldız Sey 4 itü vakfı dergisi itü vakfı dergisi 5 DEPREM 6 itü vakfı dergisi “Küçük Kıyamet”ten “Büyük Trajedi”ye Ülkemizin Deprem Gerçeği masının önüne geçilip geçilmeyeceğidir. İnşaat mühendisliği bu soruya kendi mesleki disiplini çerçevesinde yanıt ver- mekle kalmamış, deprem bilincinin oluş- turulması, deprem önlemleri ile ilgili top- lumun eğitilmesi, inşaat mühendislerinin niteliğinin yükseltilmesi, konuyla ilgili kamuoyunu bilgilendirmeye kadar geniş bir yelpazede sorumluluğunu yerine
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