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OPEN SEATS Announced They Will Not Be Running for Reelection, Compared with Only Four House Democrats

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OPEN SEATS Announced They Will Not Be Running for Reelection, Compared with Only Four House Democrats ELECTION ’O8 The biggest challenge facing congressional Republicans this election cycle is dealing with the exodus of their colleagues from Capitol Hill — 17 House Republicans (and four GOP senators) have OPEN SEATS announced they will not be running for reelection, compared with only four House Democrats. Politico Rating: Toss-Up Arizona’s 1st District New Mexico’s 1st District Ohio’s 15th District Ohio’s 16th District New Jersey’s 7th District Rick Renzi (R) Heather Wilson (R) Deborah Pryce (R) Ralph Regula (R) Mike Ferguson (R) Running for Senate Seat Major city in district: Major city in district: Major city in district: Major city in district: Flagstaff Major city in district: Columbus Canton Hunterdon and Somer- Albuquerque set Counties Republican contend- Republican contender: Republican contend- ers: Bill Konopnicki, Republican contender: 2006 2006 2006 Steve Stivers 2006 ers: Matt Miller, Kirk 2006 Republican contenders: Sydney Hay Darren White Percentage Percentage Percentage Percentage Schuring Percentage None declared Democratic contend- Democratic contenders: Democratic contender: 52% ers: Ann Kirkpatrick, 50% Martin Heinrich, Mi- 50% Mary Jo Kilroy 58% Democratic contender: 49% Democratic contender: Mary Kim Titla chelle Lujan Grisham John Boccieri Linda Stender 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential Bush 54% Bush 48% Bush 50% Bush 54% Bush 53% Kerry 46% Kerry 51% Kerry 50% Kerry 46% Kerry 47% Politico Rating: Likely Republican Illinois’ 18th District Colorado’s 6th District Wyoming At Large Alabama’s 2nd District Ray LaHood (R) Tom Tancredo (R) Barbara Cubin (R) Rep. Terry Everett (R) Major city in district: Major city in district: Major city in district: Major city in district: Peoria Littleton Cheyenne Montgomery Republican contenders: Republican contenders: Republican contenders: Aaron Schock, Jim Republican contenders: Likely: Matt Mead, David Grimes, Greg McConoughey, John Mike Coffman, Ted Cynthia Lummis, Colin 2006 Percentage Wren, Jay Love 2006 Percentage Morris 2006 Percentage Harvey Simpson 2006 Percentage Democratic contender: Democratic contender: Democratic contenders: Democratic contender: 67% 59% 48% 70% Terry Spicer Dick Versace None declared Gary Trauner 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential Bush 58% Bush 60% Bush 69% Bush 67% Kerry 42% Kerry 39% Kerry 29% Kerry 33% Politico Rating: Likely Democratic Maine’s 1st District Colorado’s 2nd District New Mexico’s 3rd District New York’s 21st District Tom Allen (D) Mark Udall (D) Tom Udall (D) Michael R. McNulty Running for Senate Seat Running for Senate Seat Running for Senate Seat (D) Major city in district: Major city in district: Major city in district: Major city in district: Portland Boulder Santa Fe Albany Republican contenders: Republican contenders: Republican contenders: Republican contenders: Charlie Summers, Dean Joan FitzGerald, Jared None declared 2006 Percentage 2006 Percentage 2006 Percentage 2006 Percentage None declared Scontras Polis, Will Shafroth Democratic contenders: 61% Democratic contenders: 68% Democratic contenders: 75% None declared 78% Democratic contenders: Chellie Pingree, Mark None declared None declared 2004 Presidential Lawrence, Ethan Strimling 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential Bush 43% Bush 41% Bush 45% Bush 43% Kerry 55% Kerry 58% Kerry 54% Kerry 55% Politico Rating: Lean Democratic Politico Rating: Lean Republican Illinois’ 11th District New Jersey’s 3rd District Minnesota’s 3rd District Illinois’ 14th District Jerry Weller (R) Jim Saxton (R) Jim Ramstad (R) Dennis Hastert (R) Major city in district: Major city in district: Major city in district: Major city in district: Joliet Cherry Hill Bloomington Aurora Republican contenders: Republican contenders: Republican contender: Republican contenders: Tim Baldermann, None declared Erik Paulsen Chris Lauzen, Jim 2006 Percentage Jimmy Lee 2006 Percentage 2006 Percentage 2006 Percentage Oberweis Democratic contender: Democratic contender: Democratic contender: John Adler 65% Terri Bonoff 60% Democratic contender: 55% Debbie Halvorson 58% Bill Foster 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential Bush 53% Bush 51% Bush 51% Bush 55% Kerry 46% Kerry 49% Kerry 48% Kerry 44% Politico Rating: Solid Republican California’s 52nd District Mississippi’s 3rd District Ohio’s 7th District New Mexico’s 2nd District Duncan Hunter (R) Chip Pickering (R) David Hobson (R) Steve Pearce (R) Running for Senate Seat Major city in district: Major city in district: Major city in district: Major city in district: El Cajon Meridian Springfield Roswell Republican contenders: Republican contender: Republican contender: Republican contender: Duncan Duane Hunter, John Rounsaville Steve Austria Ed Tinsley 2006 Percentage Brian Jones 2006 Percentage 2006 Percentage 2006 Percentage Democratic contenders: Democratic contenders: Democratic contenders: Democratic contender: None declared None declared 59% Bill McCamley, Harry 65% Mike Lumpkin 78% 61% Teague, Joseph Cervantes 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential Bush 61% Bush 65% Bush 57% Bush 58% Kerry 38% Kerry 34% Kerry 43% Kerry 41% SENATE Politico Rating: Toss-Up Politico Rating: Lean Democratic Politico Rating: Likely Republican New Mexico Virginia Colorado Nebraska Pete V. Domenici (R) John Warner (R) Wayne Allard (R) Chuck Hagel (R) Republican contenders: Republican contender: Republican contender: Republican contenders: Heather Wilson, Steve Jim Gilmore (likely) Bob Schaffer Mike Johanns, Jon Pearce Bruning Democratic contender: Democratic contender: Mark Warner 2002 Percentage Democratic contenders: 2002 Percentage 2002 Percentage Mark Udall 2002 Percentage Democratic contenders: Tom Udall, Martin None declared 65% Chavez 83% 51% 83% 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential 2004 Presidential Bush 50% Bush 54% Bush 52% Bush 66% Kerry 49% Kerry 45% Kerry 47% Kerry 33% COMPILED BY JOSH KRAUSHAAr — POLITICO; SOURCES: NATIONAL JOURNAL GROUP, “THE ALMANAC OF AMERICAN POLITICS 2008,” 2007; CAPITOL ADVANTAGE, “COngRESS AT YOUR FIngERTIPS,” 110TH COngRESS, 1ST SESSION 2007.
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