A Price Analysis of the Ogden and Los Angeles Livestock Markets for Slaughter and Feeder Cattle, 1956-1960
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Utah State University DigitalCommons@USU All Graduate Theses and Dissertations Graduate Studies 5-1962 A Price Analysis of the Ogden and Los Angeles Livestock Markets for Slaughter and Feeder Cattle, 1956-1960 Jerald R. Barnard Utah State University Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/etd Part of the Agricultural and Resource Economics Commons Recommended Citation Barnard, Jerald R., "A Price Analysis of the Ogden and Los Angeles Livestock Markets for Slaughter and Feeder Cattle, 1956-1960" (1962). All Graduate Theses and Dissertations. 2882. https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/etd/2882 This Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate Studies at DigitalCommons@USU. It has been accepted for inclusion in All Graduate Theses and Dissertations by an authorized administrator of DigitalCommons@USU. For more information, please contact [email protected]. A PRICE ANALYSIS OF THE OGDEN AND LOS ANGELES LIVESTOCK MARKEI'S FOR SLAUGHTER AND FEEDER CATTLE, 1956-1960 by Jerald R. Barnard A thesis submitted in partial f'ulfillrnent of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE in Agricultural Economics Approved: Utah State University Logan, Utah 1962 ACKNOWLEDGMENI'S I wish to express appreciation to Dr. E:llis W. Lamborn, my thesis director, for helpful assistance and direction in this study and to the members of my advisory committee, Dr. G. T. Blanch, Dr. R. H. Anderson, Dr. N, K. Roberts, and Dr. R. F. Durtschi, Acknowledgement is given to the Ogden office of the Agricultural Marketing Service and others contacted during this study who have contributed information and helpful suggestions. Special appreciation is given to my wife, Karen, for her en couragement and secretarial help in the �Titing of the manuscript, TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION 1 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY 2 REVIEW OF LITERATURE 3 SOURCE OF DATA 6 CALIFOR NIA l1ARKET FOR UTAH CATTLE 9 Utah cattle shipments to California 9 Origin of California's cattle supply 9 Slaughter cattle 11 Feeder cattle 13 Utah meat shipments to California 13 OGDEN-LOS ANGELES PRICE DIFFERENTIAL 15 Location-price differential theory 15 Marketing costs 15 Transportation costs 16 Terminal market charges 16 Shrinkage 18 Differential needed in order to ship Utah cattle to Los Angeles 21 Intermarket price differential 23 Slaughter steers 23 Slaughter heifers 23 Feeder steers 24 Tremonton and Richfield origins and observed Ogden-Los Angeles price differential , 30 ESTABLISHED PRICE RELATIONSHIPS AT OGDEN AND LOS ANGELES LIVESTOCK YJUtKETS 31 Grade-price and steer-heifer differentials 31 Choice-Good grade differential 31 Steer-heifer differential 32 Seasonal variation 35 Slaughter cattle 35 Feeder steers 39 Ogden-Los Angeles price differential 43 Price differential trend between Ogden and Los Angeles 44 SUMMARY 47 CONCLUSIONS 50 LITERATURE CITED 52 LIST OF TABLES Table Page 1. Shipping destinations of Utah cattle, 1947, 1956, and July 1959-June 1960 10 2. Number of Utah slaughter and feeder cattle shipped into California, 1950-1960 11 J. Cattle and calves shipped into california for immediate slaughter, percentage from each state of origin, average 1922-1954, average 1950-1954, average 1955-1959, and 1960 12 4. Stocker and feeder cattle and calves shipped into California, percentage from each state of origin, average 1922-1954, average 1950-1954, average 1955-1959. and 1960 14 5. Estimated shrinkage on fat cattle when shipped from Tremonton or Richfield, Utah, and marketed at the Ogden and Los Angeles stockyards 20 6. Average price differential of slaughter and feeder cattle, Ogden and Los Angeles livestock markets, 1956-1960 24 7. Average price differential bet~reen Choice and Good grade slaughter steers and heifers, Ogden and Los Angeles, 1956-1960 32 8. Average price differential bet~reen slaughter steers and heifers by grades, Ogden and Los Angeles, 1956-1960 35 9. Utah population, cattle numbers, and cattle per person, 1956-1960 46 LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page l. Average weekly price differential of Ogden and Los Angeles livestock markets for Choice grade slaughter steers, 1956-1960 25 2. Average weekly price differential of Ogden and Los Angeles livestock markets for Good grade slaughter steers, 1956-1960 26 J, Average weekl y price differential of Ogden and Los Angeles livestock markets for Choice grade slaughter heifers, 1956-1960 27 4, Average 1veekly price differential of Ogden and Los Angeles livestock markets for Good grade slaughter heifers, 1956-1960 28 5. Average weekl y price differential of Ogden and Los Angeles livestock markets for Good grade feeder steers, 1956-1960 29 6. Average monthly price differential between Choice and Good grade slaughter steers, Ogden and Los Angeles, 1956-1960 JJ 7. Average monthly price differential between Choice and Good grade slaughter heifers, Ogden and Los Angeles, 1956-1960 JJ 8. Average monthly price differential between Choice grade slaughter steers and heifers, Ogden and Los Angeles, 1956-1960 J4 9. Average monthly price differential between Good grade slaughter steers and heifers, Ogden and Los Angeles, 1956-1960 J4 10, Seasonal index of prices for Choice grade slaughter steers at Los Angeles, 1956-1960 )6 11. Seasonal index of prices for Choice grade slaughter steers at Ogden, 1956-1960 J6 12. Average monthly prices for Choice grade slaughter steers at Los Angeles, 1956-1960 J8 lJ. Average monthly prices for Choice grade slaughter steers at Ogden 1956-1960 J8 14. Seasonal index of prices for Good grade feeder steers at Los Angeles, 1956-1960 41 15. Seasonal index of prices for Good grade feeder steers at Ogden, 1956-1960 41 16. Average monthly prices for Good grade feeder steers at Los Angeles, 1956-1960 42 17. Average monthly prices for Good grade feeder steers at Ogden, 1956-1960 42 18. Trend of price differential for Choice grade slaughter steers between Ogden and Los Angeles livestock markets, 1956-1960 45 19. Trend of price differential for Good grade slaughter steers between Ogden and Los Angeles livestock markets, 1956-1960 45 20. Trend of price differential for Good grade feeder steers between Ogden and Los Angeles livestock markets, 1956-1960 45 INTRODUCTION One of the major objectives of every farmer, rancher, or feedlot operator is that of trying to maximize profits by marketing their cattle for greatest net returns. For this reason, it is very important at which market the producer decides to sell his cattle, Local supply and demand conditions are constantly causing prices and price differentials between markets to fluctuate, making the decision of choosing the market which will yield the greatest net return rather difficult. Information on price differentials, marketing costs, grade-price differentials, and seasonal price patterns is necessary if Utah produ cers are to obtain highest returns. This type of information is lacking between Utah's largest terminal market at Ogden and Utah's largest out of-state market, Los Angeles. It was the objective of this study to analyze prices at the Ogden and Los Angeles markets to obtain this type of information. The information gained from this study of prices at the Ogden and Los Angeles markets should be of value to farmers, ranchers, feedlot operators, and others associated with the livestock industry. By pointing out price characteristics between the two markets, it should aid cattlemen in more effectively evaluating their alternative live stock marketing opportunities so that they may market their cattle for greatest net returns. 2 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY 1. Determine the importance of California as a market for Utah cattle and utah's importance as a supplier of cattle for the California market. 2. Determine whether there is a price differential between the Ogden and Los Angeles markets above the additional costs of moving Utah cattle to the Los Angeles market. J, Determine intramarket price differentials between grades of slaughter steers and heifers, price differentials of slaughter steers and heifers of the same grade, and make a comparison of these differentials between the Ogden and Los Angeles markets. 4, Determine whether there is any seasonal pattern of grade-price fluctuation at each market, any seasonal pattern of grade-price difference, and what the trend of price differential is between the Ogden and Los Angeles markets. J REVIEH OF LITERATURE In reviewing the literature written on livestock marketing in the western United States, no research was found which compared prices for slaughter and feeder cattle at the Ogden and Los Angeles markets, There were, however, studies of the western livestock industry which contributed to this study and was of help in developing and making it complete. These publications assisted the author in this study by pro- viding descriptive information about the markets and marketing practices, as a source of data, and in the analysis of the comparison of the Ogden and Los Angeles livestock markets, A Thesis was written by Eugene S, Sanford (J)l at Utah State University in 1952 entitled "The Co st:. of Marketing Cattle in utah," The purpose of this study was to determine marketing costs connected with transporting, terminal marketing charges and commission fees, and cost of cattle shrinkage during shipment to market. Information and data from this study were used to help determine the marketing costs associated with marketing cattle at the Ogden and Los Angel es markets. A more detailed study on cattle shrinkage was published by Tippets, Stevens, Brotherton, and Abel (6). This was a cooperative study by the Agricultural Exper iment stations of the eleven western states and the United States Department or Agriculture. Shrinkage data in the study by Sanford is a part of this larger and more complete study on in-transit shrinkage of cattle. This being the most recent !Numbers in parenthesis refer to r eferences listed at the end of the thesis in Literature Cited.