Brighton & Hove City Snapshot: Report of Statistics 2014 Email: [email protected] Contents Contents .................................................................................................................. 2 Our population ......................................................................................................... 4 Our neighbourhoods .............................................................................................. 12 Our diversity ........................................................................................................... 19 Our older people .................................................................................................... 30 Our children & young people ................................................................................. 39 Our families ............................................................................................................ 56 Our health & wellbeing ........................................................................................... 58 Our homes ............................................................................................................. 75 Our transport & infrastructure ................................................................................ 87 Our community safety ............................................................................................ 93 Our environment .................................................................................................... 98 Our culture & leisure ............................................................................................ 106 Our business & enterprise ................................................................................... 114 Our employment & skills ...................................................................................... 117 Our investment and development ........................................................................ 125 Our participation................................................................................................... 127 Our resilience ....................................................................................................... 132 Weaknesses and/or gaps in the evidence base ................................................... 135 2 Brighton & Hove City Snapshot: Report of Statistics 2014 Email: [email protected] About this report This report is intended to provide an accessible overview of our city, its characteristics and key issues for our residents. This is the statistical evidence on which our plans are based. It’s an update of the 2011 State of the City report, drawing on a wealth of information from a range of sources, all of which are referenced so that readers can investigate topics in more depth if they wish to. The report is organised in sections around key themes. Each section begins with an “At a glance” box giving key statistics. Headlines are given in bold to make navigation easier and to enable speed reading. A section outlining key weaknesses in our evidence base is included at the end of the report. Statistics are given in percentages and actual numbers for the local level, where possible and appropriate. This report is intended to complement the Brighton & Hove Joint Strategic Needs Assessment which provides a comprehensive analysis of current and future needs of local people to inform commissioning of services that will improve health and wellbeing outcomes and reduce inequalities. It focuses health and wellbeing and on the wider determinants of health and can be accessed on the Brighton & Hove Connected website here: http://www.bhconnected.org.uk/content/needs-assessments This report uses the social model of disability throughout. The social model emphasises that disabled people are disabled not by a physical condition itself but by social barriers of unequal access, prejudice, discrimination, and social exclusion. As The Fed’s website explains ‘Separating out "impairment" (that is, the functional limitations of bodies and minds) from "disability" (that is, the disabling barriers of unequal access and negative attitudes) is the cornerstone of what is known as the social model of disability.’ For more information see: http://www.thefedonline.org.uk/social-model-of-disability About our city From a tiny fishing village, called Bristelmestune in the Domesday Book of 1086, Brighton & Hove has grown to be a fashionable destination and home city to 275,000 residents. Located on the south east coast of England and bounded by the South Downs National Park to the north, our city has an extraordinary mix of natural and manmade assets. Our city is renowned for its vibrancy, culture of tolerance, its independent shops and businesses, historic lanes, array of pubs, clubs and restaurants, its varied festivals and events, stunning architecture and 13 kilometres of coastline. 3 Brighton & Hove City Snapshot: Report of Statistics 2014 Email: [email protected] Our population At a glance The resident population of Brighton & Hove was estimated to be 275,800 in 2012 A 5.1 per cent increase is predicted by 2021, taking the resident population to 289,900. This compares to a national increase of 7.8 per cent. 16 per cent (45,009) were estimated to be aged under 16 in 2011 70 per cent (193,632) were estimated to be aged between 16 & 64 13 per cent (36,684) were estimated to be aged 65 or more Hangleton & Knoll and South Portslade had the highest proportions of children (aged 0-15) reported in 2011, accounting for 21.7 per cent and 21.1 per cent of residents, respectively Rottingdean Coastal had the highest percentage of people aged 65 years or more, accounting for 22.3 per cent of residents there in 2011 Our full-time age 16+ student population was 32,920 in 2011. This equates to 14.1 per cent of our resident population, significantly higher than the average for the South East (7.5 per cent) and England (8.2 per cent) The largest student populations are found in Hollingdean & Stanmer, Moulsecoomb & Bevendean, Hanover & Elm Grove and St Peter’s & North Laine wards In 2011, 16 per cent of our city’s residents (approximately 42,885 people) were estimated to be non-UK born Of Brighton & Hove’s 23,186 non-UK born residents who arrived in the UK between 2001 and 2011 Europeans accounted for 50 per cent Internationally, there has been net migration into Brighton & Hove every year since 2004/5 Domestically there was a small net migration away from Brighton & Hove to elsewhere in the UK for each of the last three years surveyed 36 per cent of our households (44,294) were single-occupancy at the time of the 2011 census, compared to the national average of 30 per cent Demographics Our population has grown. In the 2011 census1 the resident population of Brighton & Hove was estimated at 273,369 people, an increase of 25,552 (10.3 per cent) since the 2001 census.2 The latest estimate (for 2012) is 275,8003 with further growth projections of 5.1 per cent by 2021, which would take the resident population to 289,9004. Our projected growth rate of 5.1 per cent is lower than that projected for England (7.8 per cent).5 1 ONS Census ‘Usual Resident Population’ 2011 Census 2 ONS Census ‘Usual Resident Population’ 2001 Census 3 ONS Interim 2012 based Sub-national Mid-Year Estimates 4 ONS 2011 Based Population Projection 5 ONS 2011 Based Population Projection 4 Brighton & Hove City Snapshot: Report of Statistics 2014 Email: [email protected] Age bands 2017 2021 (in 1,000's) (in 1,000's) 0-4 total 17.1 16.4 5-15 total 30.1 32.4 16-64 total 198.7 201.1 65-84 total 31.8 32.8 85+ total 6.7 7.2 All Ages 284.3 289.9 Source: ONS Interim 2011-based Sub-National Population Projections – Brighton & Hove: Figures in thousands (rounded to the nearest 100) The number of births in the city is projected to increase by five per cent between 2011 and 2021 – to around 3,500 births per year. This is on a par with the projected increase for England and above that predicted for the South East (two per cent).6 Whilst a higher percentage (48per cent) of our female population is of child-bearing age (i.e. aged 15-44) compared to England (40per cent) or the South East (38 per cent), our fertility rate (i.e. number of live births per 1,000 females aged 15-44) is much lower. It stood at 49.9 in 2011, compared to 64.2 for England and 63.8 for the South East.7 Our city has an unusual age distribution compared to both the national and regional profiles: we have fewer children and old residents, but a clear swell in the proportion of adults aged 20-44.8 The resident population split by age & gender is shown below. The black markers represent 2021 ONS projections and show anticipated swells in several 6 ONS 2011 births data and Interim 2011-based Sub-national Population Projections 7 ONS 2011 Census: Vital statistics 8 ONS 2011 Census. Data taken from ONS table PP04 5 Brighton & Hove City Snapshot: Report of Statistics 2014 Email: [email protected] age groups, most markedly 0-9 years, 50-59 years, 70-74 years, and those aged 90+. Also of note is the predicted increase in males aged 25-34 years.9 Population Pyramid for Brighton & Hove – 2011 ONS census and 2021 Population Projections Age profiles also vary by ward: In each of Hangleton & Knoll, Wish, South Portslade, North Portslade, Patcham and Woodingdean wards, over one in five residents are aged 0-15.10 Conversely, wards with the lowest proportion of young residents (where