1 LIA – Preferred Strategy

CONTENTS

1. INTRODUCTION 3

2. LANGUAGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF THE JLDP – 3 ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY

3. ASSESSMENT OF PREFERRED STRATEGY 10

APPENDIX 1 – Site Assessment Matrix Table APPENDIX 2 & 2a – Welsh Language Baseline Data APPENDIX 3 – Preferred Strategy Assessment Methodology APPENDIX 4 – Welsh Language Trends Maps APPENDIX 5 – LIA of the Preferred Strategy

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1. INTRODUCTION

1.1 This report represents the assessment of the Preferred Strategy of the Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan. The Preferred Strategy of the Anglesey and Gwynedd JLDP provides the vision and aims of the emerging Plan, along with the preferred growth and distribution options. The Strategy also includes the strategic policies which will achieve the identified vision and aims. It will also include the key development sites, namely, the largest development sites which are crucial for the success of the development strategy. The language impact assessment of the Strategy has involved the assessment of the strategic policies and will also include an assessment of strategic sites in due course. The assessment has informed the Sustainability Appraisal of the Preferred Strategy.

2. LANGUAGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF THE JLDP – ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY

The Language Impact Assessment Process

2.1 It is recognised that the field of language assessments is an area of discussion and a speciality that is still being developed, particularly in the context of development Plans.

2.2 It is recognised that the Language Impact Assessment of the Anglesey and Gwynedd JLDP is an iterative process and the assessment will need to be reviewed when aspects of the plan change in moving towards creating a deposit plan. It should also be noted that the LIA methodology is a subjective process intended to establish the probable impacts stemming from a development proposal or policy.

2.3 At this point it should be noted that the JLDP will be subject of a Sustainability Appraisal (SA). The SA Framework which will be applied to different stages of the plan contains an objective which aims to safeguard and enhance the Welsh language. The SA process will therefore further protect the Welsh language from adverse development.

2.4 In order to fully assess the language impact of the emerging JLDP it is important to understand the nature of Welsh language use along with the community characteristics of both Local Planning Authority areas and it is necessary to collect relevant statistics available locally and nationally to make a clear assessment. This will ensure that decisions are made based on robust, informed and accurate baseline data. Ward level data on a range of variables that are considered important in terms of influencing the use of the Welsh language has been collated in Appendix 2 and maps of this data is included in Appendix 4. Appendix 2a includes updated data from the 2011 Census. As some data relating to the Welsh language is unavailable at this

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3 LIA – Preferred Strategy

moment, some columns in the table have been left blank. Once the relevant data becomes available, Appendix 2a will supercede Appendix 2.

2.5 The Language Impact Assessment can be broken down into three different stages of Plan development:

i) Preferred Strategy ii) Development Sites iii) Deposit Plan

Preferred Strategy (i)

2.6 The level of detail included in the preferred strategy, allows us to use the 18 questions that are contained in Appendix C of “Panning and the Welsh Language: The Way Ahead (2005)” as the framework for assessing the impact on the Welsh language (see appendix 3 of this document). . 2.7 As strategic options cover more expansive areas as opposed to individual sites within settlements, it will be necessary to understand the issues relating to the Welsh language and influencing factors on a more extensive spatial scale

2.8 Understanding the nature of the Welsh language, along with associated factors on such a scale, will enable the assessment of the potential impact of strategic options on the Welsh language. An explanation of how options perform under each criterion will be provided. This stage has been completed and the assessment of the Preferred Strategy is included in Appendix 5.

Development Site Language Impact Assessment (ii)

2.9 In order to ascertain what land is available to meet Anglesey and Gwynedd’s development needs, a Candidate Site Register (CSR) was opened where developers, landowners and the public could submit land for potential inclusion within the plan - either sites for future development or change of use or sites that need protecting for its special landscape, open space or conservation value.

2.10 In accordance with the Welsh Government’s (WG) guidance, included in the LDP Manual (2006), all submitted sites were assessed, firstly if they were suitable and capable of being developed, and secondly if they were compatible with the emerging Local Development Plan strategy.

2.11 The methodology included criteria to filter out sites that were below a certain size, contrary to national policy or were unsuitably located due to unacceptable constraint such as sites that are liable to flooding. The site appraisal process also considered the Councils’ requirement for undertaking various appraisals, which include a Sustainability Appraisal (SA). The SA includes an objective which aims to protect the Welsh language from the

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4 LIA – Preferred Strategy

adverse impacts of development. However, it is felt that this single objective was insufficient to comprehensively address the issue and that a more

detailed Language Impact Assessment applied at different stages of plan development is needed.

2.12 In due course, the remaining sites will be subject to a Language Impact Assessment as described below.

2.13 Applying Welsh language Impact Assessment to development sites can be problematic because of the lack of details with regards to the type and scale of development being proposed. Essentially, what is being assessed at this stage is the size and location of land where a certain type of development may occur. In this context it is difficult to anticipate the specific size or actual type of development and therefore the likelihood of any adverse impact on the Welsh language.

2.14 In order to assess the potential impact on the Welsh language as accurately as possible, each site that is proposed for housing development will be assessed based on the assumption that a housing density of 30 units per hectare (uph) (the unit of measurement in Anglesey is density per hectare (dph)) is developed on the site, which is used as the general development density for each allocated site in the adopted Gwynedd UDP and the stopped Anglesey UDP. It should be remembered however, that the actual density for a development site will depend on a number of factors including location, topography, and the general character of the surroundings. The assumption of a 30 dph density will therefore be applied loosely and used only as a guide.

2.15 Assuming that a density of 30 units per hectare is applied to each site, the number of units that could occupy each site can be estimated and a more accurate assumption can be made with regard to the potential impact on the Welsh language. In accordance with guidance contained in Gwynedd’s and Anglesey’s ‘Planning and the Welsh Language’ SPG, only sites which can accommodate 5 or more units based on the 30 units per hectare density guide, will be subject to the Language Assessment.

2.16 An assessment criteria containing 10 questions will provide the basic framework for the consideration of sites in Anglesey and Gwynedd LPA’s. The assessment criteria has been adapted from the assessment framework for Linguistic Statements and Language Impact Assessment as outlined in the adopted ‘Planning and the Welsh Language’ SPG:

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General (all types of development) 1 How would development on the site be consistent with the national planning policy objectives relating to social, cultural and economic well- being set out in Planning Policy Wales?

2 How could development on the site satisfy local and community needs?

3 Would development on the site directly or indirectly maintain or add to communal facilities in the settlements / locality?

4 Is there any evidence that development on the site would be supported by the local community?

Population Characteristics (all types of development) 5 Would the development on the site attract newcomers to the area and lead to a decline in the number of Welsh speakers?

6 Could development on the site contribute to migration from the area?

7 Could development on the site lead to a changing age structure of the community?

Residential 8 Could residential development on the site potentially deliver a reasonable proportion of affordable housing due to its size and deliverability?

Employment 9 Would development on the site contribute to maintaining a sufficient supply of land for employment opportunities i.e. wouldn’t lead to and over-supply of employment land?

Mitigation 10 Would it be possible to alleviate any negative effects?

2.17 In order to facilitate an informed assessment, decisions will be made based on the data contained in the tables contained in Appendix 2 and 2a. The 10% lowest and highest figures for each indicator are highlighted – this enables easy interpretation of the data to facilitate informed decision-making. Therefore, decisions will be made based on the quantitative data, using professional judgement to determine the magnitude and probability of potential impact of development on the Welsh Language. It has been agreed through discussions with relevant language officers that areas where the proportion of Welsh speakers is less than 70% should be regarded as unsustainable to the Welsh language and this should be considered as part of

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the assessment process. It should be noted at this point, however, that it will not be possible to assess all sites against some of the criteria due to limited knowledge upon which to base assumptions. Much of the decision-making process will therefore will be based on assumptions based on the baseline information.

2.18 A matrix table (as shown in Appendix 1) will then be used to assess whether each site is likely to have an adverse impact with regard to each of the 12 criteria. The ‘yes/no’ approach will be depicted in the site appraisal matrix as red and green colour grades. The use of colour coded grades, rather than numerical grades, avoids the temptation to add up and calculate a score for individual sites. Any appraisal such as this is inherently qualitative and relies on professional judgement.

2.19 The use of colour grades should therefore only be used to provide a visual scan of matrices and are simply indicative of the general qualities of an individual site.

++ Major Positive + Minor Positive 0 Neutral Impact +/- Dependent on implementation of option - Minor Negative -- Major negative

2.20 Once individual site matrices have been completed, the colour grades assigned for each criteria will be summarised in a comparison table which will provide an opportunity to visually compare sites. Professional judgement will then be used to determine whether each site is suitable for inclusion in the plan based on the overall performance of the site against the assessment criteria. A brief summary of the justification of the decision for each site will also be provided. Where adverse impacts on the Welsh language are identified, if possible and appropriate to do so, mitigation measures should be noted as a way to reduce or negate any potential effect, thus making the site suitable for inclusion in the plan.

2.21 Consideration will be given to the following factors when making decisions on the viability of sites in terms of the Welsh language:

 The proportion of Welsh speakers  The economic activity rate  Population change by age category  Migration rates  Housing affordability rates and house prices  Proportion of second homes  New build rate  Welsh language school capacity

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 Social trends including health, crime and well-being

Deposit Plan Language Impact Assessment (iii)

2.22 At the Deposit Plan stage, it is intended to undertake a more ‘generic’ assessment of the Plan as a whole. The level of detail contained in the Plan at this stage which inlcudes the Plan’s vision, aims, strategic polcies, specific policies and proposals will enable it to be assessed against the 18 criteria included in the Language Impact Assessment process (see appendix 3). An explanation of how the plan performs under each criterion will be provided.

2.23 The process to be undertaken is summarised in the figure 1 below:

KEY STAGES OF COMMENTS ASSESSMENT PROCESS

Baseline Analysis of the . Collection of data covering the 5 themes Welsh Language outlined in Planning and the Welsh Language (2005) Ward and LHMA level profiles. These will Present Situation form the basis for Monitored decision-making in the of the Welsh Development / assessment. Language Planning Changes . Collection of monitored development e.g. number of houses built.

. Trend analysis will Linguistic Changes Over show how potential Specific Periods drivers of change have developed over time.

. Cross-tabulation assessment of data as part of baseline Cross-tabulation Analysis analysis will demonstrate relationships between variables.

Highlight main issues which . Identification of main issues arising from arise from Baseline Analysis baseline analysis.

Language Impact Assessment of the . Qualitative assessment based on quantitative Preferred Strategy analysis using 18 pre- determined specific criteria.

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. Assessment of sites using 12 criteria based Assessment of Filtered questions as basis for Candidate Sites Against making decisions. Specific Criteria Sites which are deemed likely to have an adverse impact on the Welsh language will be filtered out based on subjective analysis using quantitaive data.

. Qualitative assessment Language Impact Assessment of the based on quantitative Deposit Plan analysis using 18 pre- determined specific criteria.

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Summary of the application of the language impact assessment at different stages of plan development

Candidate Sites Assessment

Deals with issues appropriate at the site level e.g.

 Housing affordability of area D e

 Welsh language statistics of area c r e

 Economic activity of area a s i

 Local migration patterns n g

l e v e l Preferred Strategy and Options s

o f

a

Aims to avoid unnecessary duplication in site level s s

assessments with more focus on regional level and e s

generic impacts of strategy implementation e.g. s  Statistical analysis at regional level such as m e

LHMA areas n t

 General assessment of objectives and strategy d e t a i l

Deposit Plan

Assessment at this level deals with the ‘generic’ effects of strategy implementation e.g.  General housing provisions  Employment land strategy  Provision of community facilities

3. ASSESSMENT OF PREFERRED STRATEGY

Assessment of Strategic Policies and Preferred Options

3.1 The JLDP’s Preferred Strategy seeks to deliver 4 main outcomes: maximising economic development opportunities; houses to meet local needs; strengthening communities, both rural and urban; and enhancing the area’s environmental assets. A settlement strategy is also included and sets out those settlements where growth and investment will be focused. The broad spatial strategy aims to achieve the above outcomes by:

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i) focusing the main developments and regeneration in the primary Settlements and the strategic sites there; ii) supporting development that reflects the size, functions and environmental and cultural capacity of the network of different key settlements and key villages; iii) supporting minor development in defined small villages and in rural areas, which helps to support services and facilities in local communities.

3.2 As outlined in the LIA methodology in paragraphs 2.6 - 2.8, the assessment of the Preferred Strategy was undertaken using the 18 questions that are contained in Appendix C of “Planning and the Welsh Language: The Way Ahead (2005). The detailed assessment of the Preferred Strategy is included in Appendix 5.

3.3 Overall, the Preferred Strategy is unlikely to have an adverse impact upon the Welsh language. The assessment has shown that the spatial and growth strategies are not likely to lead to significant changes in the socio-economic structure of the area that might affect the viability of the Welsh language. The range of opportunities provided by the Strategy including: a mix of housing types (including affordable housing) that meet local needs, local economic growth, communtiy facilities, environmental improvements as well as the protection and enhancement of cultural assets including the Welsh language should improve the desirability of the area. In turn, this should help retain the existing Welsh speaking population and even attract Welsh speaking residents back to the area.

Assessment of Strategic Sites

3.4 Between 11 October 2011 and 13 February 2012, developers, landowners and the public had the opportunity to submit land for potential inclusion within the plan either as sites for future development or change of use, or sites that needed protecting for their special landscape, open space or conservation value. Following the late submission of some sites, a decision was taken to receive late site submissions up to 31/10/12. The candidate site assessment methodology included criteria that has been used to assess each site

individually and to subsequently filter out sites that were regarded as unsuitable for development.

3.5 The strategic sites are large sites that will significantly contribute to the strategy of the JLDP because of their nature, scale and location. Once the sites become available, they will be assessed against the 10 criteria included in the assessment methodology in chapter 2. It is important to note that the Welsh language is one of a number of factors that needs to be considered in deciding which sites to include. Where potentially adverse impacts on the Welsh language are identified, consideration will be given as to whether mitigation measures would be appropriate to alleviate any adverse impacts.

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11 LIA – Preferred Strategy

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APPENDIX 1

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Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013

13 APPENDIX 2 - WARDS ASSESSMENT MATRIX

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l e a / i 1 e 0 1 s s i n n n u n u h u h u n n n o n n r 1

s 2 r n n n v i e a m l 0 1 0 ( o a a a a a r r a u a u p p p p t e t t o o W C C M 2 d r w r

g - o e 0 0 i e h h h h o o h o h o a v a o o o o c c o e e + 1 1 4 n 2 2 r N % 3 W C T C P C P % P % P C % M 0 B B 9 E 7 E C M H ( % ( 2 C H ( A ( R p % T Updated with 2011 Census figures (Appendix 2a)        x x      x x     Cymru 20.8 14.6 3.1 -2.8 1.8 5.1 8.3 11.2 75.4 61.0 0.8 30,906£ 1.2 -18.5 5.3 £ 161,432 10.3 22.7 Ynys Môn 60.1 -5.7 1.4 -3.9 -6.7 13.5 14.5 31.7 271.9 67.6 -3.5 59.5 -4.6 29,900£ 3.7 -28.8 6.0 £ 175,286 7.0 21.8 23,963£ 5.5 £ 167,955 0.0 Aberffraw 57.9 -11.5 -4.2 -20.1 -16.1 7.0 13.7 10.8 3.3 61.4 -10.2 54.3 -15.7 20.5 -3.7 25.7 Rhosneigr 29,028£ 8.7 £ 269,750 8.3 25,630£ 3.8 £ 90,893 4.9 Amlwch Port 62.4 -35.9 -2.8 -8.6 -17.3 9.6 13.5 8.2 -23.8 63.9 -34.6 55.5 -32.8 2.4 -50.9 23.4 Amlwch Rural 32,122£ 5.9 £ 221,667 6.4 Beaumaris 39.8 8.1 -8.0 -10.8 -5.0 -1.6 -2.8 13.1 88.7 57.1 -1.6 55.4 -0.4 28,438£ 3.8 -8.9 7.5 £ 193,409 7.8 22.6 Bodffordd 77.9 -3.4 -1.3 -0.6 -26.4 11.9 20.1 8.0 48.8 79.0 -0.2 66.4 8.0 30,209£ 1.7 -42.1 5.0 £ 193,423 2.0 20.9 Bodorgan 72.7 0.5 5.1 0.6 -18.6 20.4 16.5 8.3 20.8 73.5 1.0 61.4 3.4 30,335£ 4.3 -40.4 7.4 £ 269,821 2.6 20.6 41,129£ 4.7 £ 182,094 5.1 Braint 0.775.5 7.7 -7.5 5.7 15.3 40.8 8.1 7.9 78.0 1.2 67.0 2.0 0.3 -63.6 16.7 Gwyngyll 35,081£ 4.9 £ 170,500 4.7 Bryngwran 75.8 -12.2 -4.3 -7.1 -27.6 9.3 11.7 6.3 -21.6 78.3 -9.9 56.9 -12.0 29,377£ 1.1 -42.9 5.9 £ 156,333 8.4 24.5 Brynteg 50.9 5.0 6.8 -0.5 3.9 8.7 21.9 7.6 9.5 51.1 8.9 54.5 1.3 30,097£ 3.8 -34.0 6.0 £ 178,154 2.8 23.0 Cadnant 51.7 -1.3 -4.5 -4.8 -12.2 9.2 -1.6 13.9 3.5 56.9 -4.1 59.7 0.8 32,141£ 1.2 -58.8 6.7 £ 187,571 18.8 19.9 Cefni 83.0 -1.1 -0.6 -4.9 -7.4 13.4 6.3 9.3 25.5 83.6 -0.1 65.3 3.7 36,114£ 0.8 -37.5 6.2 £ 184,944 11.9 21.2 Cwm Cadnant 56.2 -3.4 -2.4 -1.6 -30.8 4.5 14.3 8.6 55.7 62.9 -5.7 63.6 -8.3 43,273£ 2.9 -51.7 9.2 £ 350,800 3.6 16.1 Cyngar 84.8 13.5 25.5 19.3 21.9 52.4 22.0 8.8 10.0 84.4 14.0 62.2 13.7 29,084£ 0.5 5.1 £ 143,050 7.4 18.7 Holyhead Town 43.3 -9.3 12.1 13.3 14.5 37.3 5.6 13.4 22.0 69.1 -5.4 57.2 -19.3 21,301£ 0.0 4.0 £ 85,413 47.5 24.4 Kingsland 48.1 -12.8 6.5 8.9 -10.3 29.9 0.6 13.1 56.2 74.1 -4.0 59.2 -5.1 27,124£ 0.0 -100.0 3.9 £ 93,217 17.4 22.8 Llanbadrig 54.5 -5.0 -2.2 -5.1 -7.9 3.4 11.3 8.4 -19.3 54.6 -4.4 55.7 -3.8 27,505£ 6.9 -12.7 6.5 £ 135,250 10.8 25.0 Llanbedrgoch 45.5 8.4 -12.6 -20.6 -17.5 -11.4 1.2 10.3 74.5 43.9 9.1 49.7 -4.5 33,820£ 5.1 -45.9 6.2 £ 230,676 6.3 28.5 Llanddyfnan 70.0 -8.5 -1.0 -18.8 -1.3 1.6 36.8 7.3 20.3 69.4 -3.3 63.7 -1.6 32,746£ 3.6 -16.0 7.2 £ 245,583 3.1 18.1 Llaneilian 61.4 -6.2 -1.2 -10.1 -11.9 5.8 20.6 8.5 8.5 59.1 -3.0 57.4 2.6 29,015£ 3.0 -42.0 6.5 £ 205,900 2.7 23.5 Llanfaethlu 67.0 -8.9 4.7 2.6 -1.9 18.7 16.1 9.2 51.6 66.8 -7.6 57.8 -6.3 30,915£ 7.1 -23.5 7.2 £ 203,667 7.0 20.6 Llanfair-yn-Neubwll 51.5 12.2 15.9 5.1 16.2 50.6 26.7 19.5 -15.0 57.9 15.4 66.2 -10.8 33,647£ 2.6 40.9 4.0 £ 146,423 6.5 16.8 Llanfihangel Ysgeifiog 78.4 2.3 2.3 -1.8 -1.9 12.6 22.2 6.9 -4.8 80.5 3.2 67.0 0.6 33,081£ 0.6 -44.4 6.0 £ 217,779 4.9 18.7 Llangoed 54.6 -6.1 -3.1 -1.2 -22.4 6.9 3.1 10.1 20.6 59.5 -3.7 57.0 -2.5 31,524£ 5.6 -30.0 5.8 £ 262,500 0.0 24.5 Llanidan 68.7 1.0 5.0 -1.4 1.5 18.6 15.7 9.4 26.6 70.1 5.6 62.2 -0.5 29,547£ 0.8 -72.7 5.3 £ 133,700 7.8 19.9 Llannerch-y-medd 72.3 -5.8 4.7 -7.2 1.9 21.0 25.0 10.0 34.6 72.4 -4.7 60.3 -0.8 26,226£ 1.9 -44.4 5.6 £ 151,167 6.1 21.2 London Road 51.7 -21.1 6.7 10.7 7.7 14.7 9.1 12.4 45.7 77.7 -10.9 57.1 -13.6 22,491£ 0.0 2.8 £ 71,000 10.7 23.4 Maeshyfryd 43.7 -6.4 1.4 -2.8 -1.6 19.3 7.8 12.6 78.3 73.8 -5.4 148.3 -6.7 22,311£ 0.0 -100.0 4.1 £ 94,219 9.0 26.2 Mechell 63.9 -1.1 2.0 1.9 -26.6 14.1 16.3 7.7 34.1 62.1 0.3 58.9 2.3 27,070£ 4.3 15.4 6.1 £ 146,700 0.0 21.9 Moelfre 51.5 -13.9 -1.2 -11.0 -0.9 -2.8 22.3 11.8 129.3 50.6 -10.5 51.8 -3.4 30,968£ 13.2 -22.6 7.5 £ 281,250 4.4 24.1 Morawelon 45.3 -22.1 -6.7 -16.2 -20.2 7.0 10.8 10.3 6.7 77.2 -13.1 52.3 -17.7 19,784£ 0.0 5.0 £ 115,250 11.0 25.5 Parc a'r Mynydd 53.8 -15.8 0.8 0.0 -15.6 14.4 15.4 7.2 93.0 77.3 -5.7 59.7 -10.3 26,021£ 0.0 -100.0 4.8 £ 143,083 0.0 21.7 Pentraeth 58.2 6.2 6.4 -0.4 -4.0 21.4 18.7 9.3 30.5 60.2 4.8 63.6 2.8 32,077£ 6.3 -37.3 6.3 £ 178,167 2.8 18.9 Porthyfelin 45.7 -14.9 -4.7 -7.5 -12.7 11.9 -7.8 8.6 3.1 78.3 0.8 55.1 -8.2 24,068£ 0.3 -66.7 4.5 £ 123,115 13.5 24.7 Rhosyr 63.7 -0.2 4.0 -0.4 -16.8 17.2 23.5 10.6 19.9 64.9 1.7 56.3 -1.3 27,987£ 2.9 -43.1 5.8 £ 132,419 6.0 26.3 Trearddur 42.6 0.1 -1.8 -13.3 -13.9 -2.7 30.5 10.0 34.3 52.9 2.1 58.5 5.7 39,463£ 13.6 -37.5 6.5 £ 223,407 6.9 23.5 HEALTH AND WELL- POPULATION AND DEMOGRAPHY ECONOMY HOUSING BEING

e

-

Area B

d ) - % g 6

s s s S % e 1

1 % -

n 1 % r r s e

s

1 y g A 9 g s a r a a e

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o - 0 - 0 + e 2 H 1 2 p i 1 c h r a - - 0 a ( s e n s s ( t - 0 5 5 1 9 9 9 1 1 g y y i r m o n o 1 1 d y 1 e C l l k e e u i t a 0 2 3 6 I 0 0 0 0 0 i 0 a f l l l l s i p e l r 0 0 l a ------p a f r o y s a a a a s c p u n n n n d 1 1 1 1 1 o d 1 A e t % e S m

e e l A a c c i H e

i l

) 9 p 0 o 0 o o o 0 i i 9 l 9

v - p n W W H l 0 i i g i g i o s n

h M L % 1 g e o t t t t o a t l / S 0

A e e e e e e ( n n m m h 0 A l

s r n n 0 ( a a a a n g I P l n 0 i i H h d ) ) g g l g l a l a l g g e g i ) 1 o o -

, d h 0 g t a

l e a / i 1 e 0 1 s s i n n n u n u h u h u n n n o n n r 1

s 2 r n n n v i e a m l 0 1 0 ( o a a a a a r r a u a u p p p p t e t t o o W C C M 2 d r w r

g - o e 0 0 i e h h h h o o h o h o a v a o o o o c c o e e + 1 1 4 n 2 2 r N % 3 W C T C P C P % P % P C % M 0 B B 9 E 7 E C M H ( % ( 2 C H ( A ( R p % T Tudur 83.2 -13.2 -5.0 0.7 -11.8 12.3 -5.6 12.0 5.3 86.5 -10.7 60.2 -12.6 21,105£ 0.0 5.5 £ 137,000 5.4 21.4 Tysilio 64.4 1.2 -1.0 -10.9 11.8 18.1 -5.4 8.2 -15.3 73.1 -2.1 65.1 0.7 28,763£ 0.0 5.2 £ 151,511 6.2 16.9 Valley 55.0 -1.9 -0.2 -9.9 -14.7 13.6 22.3 11.4 38.2 63.5 -0.8 62.7 8.2 33,582£ 1.1 -45.0 4.6 £ 147,019 6.6 20.2 Gwynedd 69.0 -0.7 1.6 -2.0 0.6 1.5 7.6 12.0 47.5 69.8 0.2 60.5 1.7 28,133£ 7.8 -21.9 5.9 £ 170,157 7.7 20.1 Aberdaron 75.2 6.9 4.0 0.8 2.8 2.3 13.0 9.1 106.7 71.6 8.0 59.4 18.6 24,103£ 19.6 -24.3 9.2 £ 218,750 0.0 20.2 32,677£ 8.4 £ 279,375 2.7 Aberdyfi Bryn-crug / Llanfihangel 53.6 -1.9 2.0 0.1 1.7 3.5 0.9 11.0 21.6 53.2 -2.5 61.1 -2.9 25,589£30.5 4.1 6.7 £ 218,300 2.0 21.2 Corris / Mawddwy 26,596£ 6.8 £ 200,364 3.0 Abererch 77.0 -1.1 -5.3 -3.7 -20.1 -6.9 9.5 8.8 1.6 74.4 -1.5 64.9 5.5 25,830£ 1.6 -60.0 7.8 £ 212,875 1.4 18.8 Abermaw 43.8 2.9 0.8 -12.2 15.1 -3.2 13.0 15.3 28.3 46.6 -3.7 60.3 2.9 26,026£ 9.2 -30.8 5.5 £ 146,575 6.6 23.3 Abersoch 50.5 6.8 -19.5 -5.2 -30.2 -27.2 -9.9 9.3 10.5 47.2 17.7 60.2 25.6 34,316£ 44.9 -3.4 12.1 £ 381,111 11.1 19.8 34,857£ 6.4 £ 184,875 12.4 Arllechwedd 66.5 1.9 -1.0 -5.6 -9.5 3.2 5.7 8.1 16.3 69.0 3.1 65.3 6.0 1.8 -49.1 17.1 Tregarth & Mynydd Llandygai 35,476£ 5.6 £ 195,407 2.2 Bala 80.3 0.6 0.9 0.0 -2.2 7.0 -4.8 10.1 37.9 79.4 4.0 66.2 10.0 26,304£ 1.3 -61.3 4.9 £ 126,000 3.0 17.7 31,565£ 5.3 £ 196,867 3.4 Bethel Deiniolen 78.3 1.6 4.4 4.5 -13.5 8.6 19.3 8.6 16.4 77.2 4.5 69.4 7.7 28,347£2.3 -48.9 4.6 £ 147,115 2.7 16.7 Penisarwaun 33,824£ 4.0 £ 136,475 2.7 Bontnewydd 85.4 -0.9 -6.4 -18.6 -24.9 -6.1 25.7 7.0 -17.2 84.4 1.5 66.2 6.4 32,796£ 1.5 16.7 5.6 £ 215,000 0.9 17.5 Botwnnog 76.9 -1.1 -2.8 0.4 -20.8 -2.0 7.0 6.1 7.4 70.6 -4.5 58.5 5.7 24,847£ 4.8 -53.3 7.7 £ 212,857 0.0 19.1 Bowydd and Rhiw 80.0 -15.2 -0.5 -6.7 2.2 2.2 0.9 11.6 45.6 77.5 -13.2 59.3 -19.8 23,005£ 3.2 -56.9 3.1 £ 79,321 3.8 22.7 Brithdir and Llanfachreth/Ganllwyd/Llanelltyd66.3 -5.4 3.1 -6.5 -8.8 0.3 26.5 6.8 -3.0 67.0 -4.0 62.0 -1.6 28,122£ 17.1 14.2 6.3 £ 231,667 4.2 19.2 Cadnant 85.7 8.6 -3.1 -0.7 -11.6 3.5 -8.6 12.6 131.6 84.9 10.5 58.4 13.5 24,465£ 0.3 200.0 4.2 £ 115,154 9.3 24.6 Clynnog 67.9 -11.6 0.5 2.7 0.7 -1.7 2.3 10.2 137.8 65.3 -4.6 57.0 -2.9 29,168£ 11.9 -30.5 6.0 £ 198,222 6.1 23.7 Criccieth 65.5 2.2 -1.1 -8.9 10.2 -6.8 8.0 11.6 54.7 63.0 2.3 60.4 13.3 31,384£ 7.3 -10.7 7.7 £ 184,000 3.3 20.8 37,621£ 4.5 £ 146,536 4.1 Cwm-y-Glo 82.1 4.8 3.5 -0.3 -9.3 9.6 13.3 8.2 62.6 80.1 9.0 65.9 8.3 1.8 -63.8 18.3 Llanrug 34,630£ 4.6 £ 147,310 4.9 Deiniol 30.6 -2.4 28.8 -6.9 52.2 17.7 4.5 47.0 204.3 42.0 5.9 47.3 30.8 21,854£ 0.5 -25.0 5.2 £ 126,125 65.5 17.2 Dewi 59.1 -7.0 25.4 15.2 41.3 28.4 16.1 12.0 46.0 79.2 -2.4 65.4 -3.4 24,848£ 0.5 6.9 £ 236,150 18.9 19.1 24,772£ 2.6 £ 88,222 8.0 Diffwys & Maenofferen 81.6 -9.1 0.7 -0.4 -3.2 1.9 3.0 8.7 18.2 76.9 -10.3 61.2 -10.0 5.5 -29.1 19.6 Teigl 25,790£ 4.1 £ 109,650 7.4 27,703£ 5.4 £ 128,571 3.3 Dolbenmaen Dwyrain Porthmadog East 75.6 -3.3 -2.0 -10.5 -0.9 -1.6 6.5 11.7 58.8 74.0 1.8 62.5 -3.5 24,471£4.6 -49.7 4.8 £ 126,344 9.4 18.8 Porthmadog-Tremadog 23,876£ 5.9 £ 163,875 3.1 35,192£ 6.0 £ 189,000 9.2 Gogledd Dolgellau North 70.5 -1.0 2.4 -7.9 16.7 1.7 4.5 9.6 8.5 71.9 0.8 63.5 -1.0 5.8 -4.8 20.4 De Dolgellau South 27,792£ 4.9 £ 133,667 1.3 Dyffryn Ardudwy 48.7 8.5 1.3 -11.6 0.0 -0.7 14.6 9.3 21.1 46.6 12.0 55.9 9.6 25,078£ 6.3 -60.7 7.9 £ 219,690 3.6 25.0 Efail-newydd/Buan 76.9 48.2 -0.2 -3.6 -17.7 0.0 18.1 5.4 -30.3 74.9 0.9 63.3 5.3 25,469£ 5.5 -44.1 8.2 £ 250,750 3.9 19.5 Garth 46.4 33.7 -17.2 -18.1 -24.8 -11.1 -3.2 36.6 362.5 53.8 36.3 49.8 40.7 29,493£ 0.0 -100.0 6.8 £ 188,071 15.8 15.9 Gerlan 74.8 -0.3 -2.4 -3.5 -5.1 0.3 -3.9 10.6 41.7 75.0 1.8 66.9 10.2 25,819£ 2.8 -34.9 4.6 £ 126,018 5.3 17.3 Glyder 55.3 9.3 -4.8 -4.4 5.6 -4.4 -15.7 16.2 229.5 70.8 4.4 57.4 5.3 35,294£ 0.0 -100.0 6.0 £ 193,167 10.6 19.2 34,981£ 5.3 £ 170,912 0.0 Groeslon Llanllyfni 75.8 -4.6 2.0 1.4 -7.0 1.8 11.8 7.7 6.3 72.1 -1.459.4 -3.7 25,468£4.2 -41.3 5.4 £ 173,920 7.1 22.2 Talysarn 21,933£ 5.4 £ 126,118 13.3 HEALTH AND WELL- POPULATION AND DEMOGRAPHY ECONOMY HOUSING BEING

e

-

Area B

d ) - % g 6

s s s S % e 1

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n 1 % r r s e

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o - 0 - 0 + e 2 H 1 2 p i 1 c h r a - - 0 a ( s e n s s ( t - 0 5 5 1 9 9 9 1 1 g y y i r m o n o 1 1 d y 1 e C l l k e e u i t a 0 2 3 6 I 0 0 0 0 0 i 0 a f l l l l s i p e l r 0 0 l a ------p a f r o y s a a a a s c p u n n n n d 1 1 1 1 1 o d 1 A e t % e S m

e e l A a c c i H e

i l

) 9 p 0 o 0 o o o 0 i i 9 l 9

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h M L % 1 g e o t t t t o a t l / S 0

A e e e e e e ( n n m m h 0 A l

s r n n 0 ( a a a a n g I P l n 0 i i H h d ) ) g g l g l a l a l g g e g i ) 1 o o -

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l e a / i 1 e 0 1 s s i n n n u n u h u h u n n n o n n r 1

s 2 r n n n v i e a m l 0 1 0 ( o a a a a a r r a u a u p p p p t e t t o o W C C M 2 d r w r

g - o e 0 0 i e h h h h o o h o h o a v a o o o o c c o e e + 1 1 4 n 2 2 r N % 3 W C T C P C P % P % P C % M 0 B B 9 E 7 E C M H ( % ( 2 C H ( A ( R p % T Harlech 58.9 -6.4 4.8 1.3 6.0 3.5 9.9 13.9 30.1 58.6 -1.8 57.1 -2.7 30,434£ 15.8 -20.1 6.1 £ 187,495 4.1 19.6 Hendre 52.2 7.6 1.5 -6.7 18.5 -0.9 -15.2 20.6 76.5 71.5 6.7 52.2 5.1 23,961£ 0.0 -100.0 4.8 £ 124,167 3.5 19.6 Hirael 52.9 -10.2 5.6 -10.0 25.8 5.2 -9.8 22.0 124.1 68.4 -6.1 51.5 3.1 20,798£ 0.6 33.3 5.5 £ 145,143 23.7 23.4 Llanaelhaearn 78.0 -4.1 2.8 1.0 -10.4 6.4 8.2 8.7 -3.5 73.7 -2.6 55.0 -5.7 24,589£ 9.9 -28.2 5.8 £ 171,286 3.2 22.8 Llanbedr 50.3 -16.8 1.7 -6.4 -6.7 -9.7 28.9 9.8 -12.5 48.5 -14.1 57.8 -10.6 25,675£ 17.5 1.9 7.9 £ 265,500 2.0 24.4 Llanbedrog 52.9 -8.2 -5.8 -11.1 -10.0 -13.3 5.5 9.6 19.5 48.7 -10.0 48.7 -10.3 25,622£ 26.1 9.0 8.4 £ 229,643 4.0 25.3 Llanberis 80.5 1.0 0.8 -5.5 -14.3 5.5 16.2 10.1 15.9 76.5 0.7 64.6 -3.2 25,778£ 3.5 -47.6 4.9 £ 129,847 5.4 19.6 Llandderfel 72.6 -9.3 0.8 -2.8 2.6 -4.0 19.0 9.1 25.0 70.5 -7.9 67.2 4.2 27,590£ 8.5 -25.6 6.4 £ 161,944 4.2 16.0 Llanengan 65.7 -7.6 -2.6 -11.3 -2.0 0.9 -1.5 9.3 73.3 63.5 -5.2 57.4 -4.4 30,101£ 28.3 -12.0 9.8 £ 330,250 0.0 20.0 Llangelynin 40.9 -5.6 -1.6 -10.4 0.5 -4.4 9.1 10.8 21.7 39.7 -4.7 56.4 3.0 25,929£ 16.3 -24.0 6.6 £ 195,438 3.5 24.6 Llanuwchllyn 80.4 -12.8 2.8 1.5 1.5 1.6 8.5 6.4 12.8 76.6 -14.0 67.9 -1.4 35,294£ 10.1 -30.0 5.4 £ 150,000 4.5 15.0 Llanwnda 82.5 3.6 3.9 1.0 1.3 7.7 2.6 6.5 24.2 79.5 5.8 65.6 9.8 31,780£ 1.5 -66.7 5.6 £ 165,094 5.3 18.6 Llanystumdwy 77.5 -4.6 8.6 15.2 7.3 6.7 5.2 8.1 -37.2 75.1 -2.4 62.3 -20.6 28,082£ 4.8 -21.8 5.9 £ 174,033 5.6 18.7 Marchog 54.5 1.2 -2.2 -14.2 2.6 5.2 5.1 12.2 38.4 81.0 0.9 54.2 -9.6 21,824£ 0.0 -100.0 4.9 £ 110,969 11.9 22.1 Menai (Bangor) 27.4 29.2 8.4 35.5 3.8 -8.9 -17.4 57.6 293.3 31.1 30.2 37.3 75.4 29,009£ 0.6 33.3 5.2 £ 171,400 11.3 14.0 Menai (Caernarfon) 83.9 -6.9 2.1 -12.9 24.5 -4.8 12.1 8.8 -21.8 84.6 -5.0 60.9 -10.7 35,227£ 0.8 -20.0 6.1 £ 196,955 11.2 20.2 33,487£ 6.5 £ 206,073 6.3 Morfa Nefyn 1.1 0.2 -2.5 2.8 1.8 14.973.57.94.378.1 8.04.4 -18.6 19.6 15.857.5 Nefyn 30,400£ 4.9 £ 157,305 7.3 Ogwen 79.4 3.3 7.5 -0.3 11.9 10.0 9.2 10.4 20.4 80.2 4.5 63.0 2.4 25,602£ 0.5 -61.5 4.4 £ 120,682 10.6 21.1 Peblig (Caernarfon) 88.4 -7.4 2.5 -1.0 4.4 5.9 -0.7 8.6 33.8 88.7 -8.9 54.1 -5.9 22,584£ 0.3 200.0 4.8 £ 120,200 14.8 23.2 Penrhyndeudraeth 76.8 1.6 -2.1 -7.7 -1.1 1.1 -1.7 9.8 43.2 74.1 1.6 63.9 1.6 28,783£ 4.3 -21.5 4.4 £ 129,421 4.9 18.5 Pentir 62.3 3.1 1.4 -2.5 -26.2 7.6 29.0 14.9 55.9 68.7 0.9 66.9 5.9 35,348£ 0.6 -57.1 6.1 £ 219,521 10.0 15.8 Penygroes 88.2 -5.4 7.3 9.9 -0.6 5.0 16.8 10.4 84.0 85.8 -1.7 60.9 -3.2 25,928£ 1.1 -52.6 5.8 £ 166,568 7.3 24.8 Porthmadog West 64.8 11.4 -0.4 -6.5 10.4 -12.2 17.4 11.0 81.7 60.8 10.1 59.3 10.6 31,578£ 22.5 -30.7 6.2 £ 154,864 7.8 20.9 Pwllheli North 81.6 -5.8 8.1 10.1 11.5 8.3 3.1 11.6 15.6 79.9 -5.5 62.2 -2.1 25,558£ 2.2 -46.5 5.4 £ 145,263 18.3 21.3 Pwllheli South 79.0 -4.7 -2.9 -6.2 -3.5 -5.9 6.6 11.0 2.4 77.5 -5.2 56.5 -14.5 23,461£ 4.2 -45.1 7.8 £ 195,682 9.2 21.5 Seiont 87.7 -1.1 0.4 -3.9 4.6 -0.3 4.5 9.7 35.2 86.0 -1.1 65.6 0.6 27,478£ 0.2 -40.0 4.6 £ 140,023 21.6 19.7 Trawsfynydd 76.9 -3.1 1.6 -1.6 -12.1 -0.2 21.3 8.1 8.8 74.3 -2.8 63.9 -8.9 24,666£ 10.6 -5.7 4.6 £ 99,071 5.2 20.2 Tudweiliog 73.6 -20.5 1.4 1.7 17.2 -7.9 11.3 6.8 -5.2 71.9 -17.2 58.4 -6.9 33,494£ 7.8 -54.7 6.8 £ 249,071 2.6 20.3 Tywyn 40.8 10.1 2.6 -7.9 1.4 1.9 11.7 12.8 49.8 45.8 2.3 58.8 1.3 23,712£ 8.5 -21.7 6.0 £ 159,981 6.2 24.5 Waunfawr 73.4 0.5 0.7 1.3 -14.4 -0.3 17.4 7.6 36.0 69.6 5.2 62.8 3.4 30,840£ 5.9 -30.6 6.3 £ 227,203 10.7 18.9 Y Felinheli 72.1 14.9 4.8 12.8 -11.6 2.5 21.4 13.5 46.6 72.8 14.5 69.8 16.9 34,157£ 12.0 1.6 5.0 £ 185,929 2.4 18.3 APPENDIX 2 Highest 15 wards Lowest 15 wards Welsh Speakers by Age Country of Birth Aged 5-24 Aged 25-64 Aged 65+

% of Welsh % Born in % Born outside % Change 91-01 - Speakers - Total % Change % Change % Change Wales - Aged Wales - Aged 3+: Area No. of Welsh % % % Population Aged 3+ 1991-2001 1991-2001 1991-2001 3+: Speaks Speaks Welsh Speakers (2001) Welsh (2001) (2001)

Cymru 20.8 14.6 32.8 50.2 15.3 2.2 19.5 -11.2 24.7 9.0 Ynys Mon 60.1 -5.7 75.8 -11.3 55.2 -2.5 54.5 -2.5 80.8 18.7

Aberffraw 57.9 -11.5 78.6 -18.3 52.9 -10.7 51.2 -0.8 84.8 17.1 Rhosneigr

Amlwch Port 62.4 -35.9 83.3 -41.0 56.5 -31.3 53.6 -38.7 87.0 20.7 Amlwch Rural Beaumaris 39.8 8.1 57.8 33.9 34.9 -4.2 35.9 8.1 58.3 15.7 Bodffordd 77.9 -3.4 92.8 -17.3 73.9 7.3 68.3 -8.7 93.8 20.3 Bodorgan 72.7 0.5 88.1 -19.7 69.3 11.9 66.3 6.2 91.3 22.8

Braint 75.5 0.7 90.8 -4.2 70.6 1.5 68.7 11.6 89.1 28.1 Gwyngyll Bryngwran 75.8 -12.2 90.4 -22.2 71.3 -7.7 68.5 -0.5 91.7 21.6 Brynteg 50.9 5.0 80.9 -4.8 46.4 4.0 36.3 28.7 83.7 18.4 Cadnant 51.7 -1.3 61.4 -11.0 44.6 5.5 60.2 -2.0 79.6 16.6 Cefni 83.0 -1.1 93.9 -18.4 80.2 5.0 79.0 7.4 94.3 28.2 Cwm Cadnant 56.2 -3.4 77.1 -15.4 51.5 -2.7 46.0 32.3 79.5 18.1 Cyngar 84.8 13.5 93.0 15.1 81.4 11.5 82.4 19.2 94.3 34.6 Holyhead Town 43.3 -9.3 47.8 -5.1 36.8 -11.5 59.9 -17.4 57.2 13.3 Kingsland 48.1 -12.8 52.5 -4.9 44.0 -10.7 58.8 -29.6 60.3 14.4 Llanbadrig 54.5 -5.0 82.5 -11.2 47.1 -0.9 46.1 0.0 85.9 18.2 Llanbedrgoch 45.5 8.4 82.6 -11.1 41.4 14.0 32.7 25.8 84.9 15.9 Llanddyfnan 70.0 -8.5 91.8 -10.3 62.0 -10.3 64.3 7.5 91.9 21.7 Llaneilian 61.4 -6.2 83.4 -18.5 56.7 2.7 49.1 0.9 91.1 20.7 Llanfaethlu 67.0 -8.9 88.7 -19.0 62.0 1.4 49.8 -13.4 91.6 19.3 Llanfair-yn-Neubwll 51.5 12.2 64.3 20.1 42.9 10.3 61.0 1.6 81.4 12.0 Llanfihangel Ysgeifiog 78.4 2.3 90.1 -1.4 73.8 2.6 77.6 13.4 91.7 25.1 Llangoed 54.6 -6.1 79.3 -15.6 51.7 6.2 43.6 -17.8 82.1 15.6 Llanidan 68.7 1.0 84.4 -6.0 64.0 6.5 61.4 8.9 88.4 24.8 Llannerch-y-medd 72.3 -5.8 85.4 -7.2 66.5 -2.5 70.1 -7.2 92.7 20.6 London Road 51.7 -21.1 57.0 -18.1 45.0 -25.7 64.6 -15.5 62.3 15.9 Welsh Speakers by Age Country of Birth Aged 5-24 Aged 25-64 Aged 65+

% of Welsh % Born in % Born outside % Change 91-01 - Speakers - Total % Change % Change % Change Wales - Aged Wales - Aged 3+: Area No. of Welsh % % % Population Aged 3+ 1991-2001 1991-2001 1991-2001 3+: Speaks Speaks Welsh Speakers (2001) Welsh (2001) (2001)

Maeshyfryd 43.7 -6.4 47.3 -14.6 38.8 -6.3 55.7 9.1 54.2 15.1 Mechell 63.9 -1.1 88.1 -6.0 57.9 6.3 50.6 -7.1 91.4 21.5 Moelfre 51.5 -13.9 78.9 -26.0 50.2 3.9 32.0 -19.4 86.3 17.6 Morawelon 45.3 -22.1 49.9 -33.6 39.9 -21.2 57.0 7.0 54.4 16.1 Parc a'r Mynydd 53.8 -15.8 55.8 -32.0 50.4 -12.0 65.7 2.3 65.3 15.5 Pentraeth 58.2 6.2 86.8 17.3 51.7 4.5 41.6 -8.1 84.5 20.2 Porthyfelin 45.7 -14.9 44.5 -12.8 42.1 -14.9 60.3 -16.2 54.5 15.1 Rhosyr 63.7 -0.2 85.8 -9.4 61.6 7.6 41.6 -11.9 88.8 19.3 Trearddur 42.6 0.1 59.0 -4.6 38.1 3.4 39.5 0.0 70.2 12.3 Tudur 83.2 -13.2 92.0 -23.7 78.7 -8.8 82.7 -1.7 92.1 31.5 Tysilio 64.4 1.2 82.3 17.8 56.8 -7.8 61.0 4.4 79.7 25.1 Valley 55.0 -1.9 73.5 -3.3 49.0 8.3 48.2 -18.3 77.4 17.7 Gwynedd 69.0 -0.7 80.3 -3.8 65.3 2.9 63.5 -4.3 89.7 23.2 Aberdaron 75.2 6.9 91.7 15.7 70.2 5.4 66.5 -4.5 94.7 26.9 Aberdyfi Bryn-crug / Llanfihangel Corris / 53.6 -1.9 85.9 7.2 45.2 -3.1 46.4 -12.5 86.3 18.4 Mawddwy Abererch 77.0 -1.1 81.5 -9.7 76.0 -0.7 72.9 4.4 95.4 25.3 Abermaw 43.8 2.9 76.1 7.2 30.3 -3.3 40.4 6.7 73.1 19.8 Abersoch 50.5 6.8 82.8 -3.2 48.7 25.7 33.8 -17.9 91.3 16.0

Arllechwedd Tregarth 66.5 1.9 84.3 2.9 58.3 4.0 66.4 -5.2 84.8 27.8 & Mynydd Llandygai Bala 80.3 0.6 89.2 -8.6 75.5 4.4 81.5 4.7 91.2 39.3

Bethel Deiniolen 78.3 1.6 92.0 -10.5 72.6 9.7 76.2 1.8 93.7 28.7 Penisarwaun Bontnewydd 85.4 -0.9 96.2 -2.3 82.5 6.9 80.2 -12.9 95.3 30.4 Botwnnog 76.9 -1.1 94.8 -10.7 71.9 6.6 71.0 -3.1 96.5 30.9 Bowydd and Rhiw 80.0 -15.2 90.2 -18.9 74.7 -13.0 78.8 -14.0 93.9 33.2 Brithdir and Llanfachreth/Ganllwyd/Llanelltyd 66.3 -5.4 86.8 -12.3 60.7 -3.2 56.6 -3.0 90.3 19.8 Cadnant 85.7 8.6 91.7 14.9 83.9 14.3 83.0 -10.1 94.6 39.0 Clynnog 67.9 -11.6 85.5 -27.4 62.4 -6.3 65.9 -4.3 93.4 22.0 Criccieth 65.5 2.2 90.7 -2.9 58.6 5.9 59.3 1.3 92.4 21.5 Welsh Speakers by Age Country of Birth Aged 5-24 Aged 25-64 Aged 65+

% of Welsh % Born in % Born outside % Change 91-01 - Speakers - Total % Change % Change % Change Wales - Aged Wales - Aged 3+: Area No. of Welsh % % % Population Aged 3+ 1991-2001 1991-2001 1991-2001 3+: Speaks Speaks Welsh Speakers (2001) Welsh (2001) (2001)

82.1 4.8 94.3 -3.3 79.0 16.4 69.8 -15.9 95.3 31.1 Cwm-y-Glo Llanrug Deiniol 30.6 -2.4 23.1 62.2 33.2 -12.7 59.8 -37.8 63.3 7.7 Dewi 59.1 -7.0 66.7 4.8 51.7 -18.1 70.2 3.5 69.0 22.8

Diffwys & Maenofferen 81.6 -9.1 95.2 -11.7 76.3 -9.8 2.677.9 33.996.4 Teigl Dolbenmaen Dwyrain Porthmadog East Porthmadog- 75.6 -3.3 90.6 -9.1 71.4 2.2 68.3 -5.7 93.2 27.8 Tremadog

Gogledd Dolgellau North De 70.5 -1.0 87.6 -2.1 63.3 -3.8 70.9 9.5 88.8 25.4 Dolgellau South Dyffryn Ardudwy 48.7 8.5 86.1 1.2 41.7 11.9 36.4 9.7 87.2 17.2 Efail-newydd/Buan 76.9 48.2 95.1 28.1 72.1 68.1 67.9 31.4 95.7 22.5 Garth 46.4 33.7 45.3 72.1 45.2 15.4 50.8 -5.7 74.6 14.0 Gerlan 74.8 -0.3 89.2 0.9 66.6 5.6 80.3 -13.8 91.2 27.9 Glyder 55.3 9.3 55.5 25.6 52.1 -6.4 63.5 23.5 70.8 19.3

Groeslon Llanllyfni 75.8 -4.6 94.0 -13.3 70.5 1.0 67.6 -6.3 94.5 29.4 Talysarn Harlech 58.9 -6.4 86.4 -11.5 51.7 -6.5 50.7 3.8 88.2 19.1 Hendre 52.2 7.6 46.8 22.0 52.4 10.8 66.0 -13.8 68.4 13.6 Hirael 52.9 -10.2 37.2 -2.5 55.1 -6.2 74.2 -22.5 71.2 15.0 Llanaelhaearn 78.0 -4.1 91.7 -1.9 73.6 6.3 71.8 -24.0 95.1 32.3 Llanbedr 50.3 -16.8 86.1 -23.1 42.6 -14.8 41.7 -16.9 88.5 15.6 Llanbedrog 52.9 -8.2 95.2 -22.8 57.8 -5.2 31.9 14.7 92.7 16.1 Llanberis 80.5 1.0 95.1 -10.2 74.6 9.3 79.0 -4.5 96.1 31.6 Llandderfel 72.6 -9.3 86.3 -24.2 66.5 -2.7 70.6 6.1 93.4 24.3 Llanengan 65.7 -7.6 91.6 -5.3 61.8 -11.3 52.0 -4.7 95.4 16.2 Llangelynin 40.9 -5.6 79.7 -0.7 33.6 -10.3 26.8 -6.0 82.3 15.0 Llanuwchllyn 80.4 -12.8 95.2 -29.5 76.3 -1.4 75.0 -7.1 96.6 30.6 Llanwnda 82.5 3.6 94.7 0.2 80.5 8.2 71.3 -0.8 95.5 34.5 Llanystumdwy 77.5 -4.6 92.0 -11.4 73.0 -1.7 72.1 -0.3 95.3 27.2 Marchog 54.5 1.2 66.6 5.0 47.4 7.6 54.8 -20.4 61.8 24.9 Welsh Speakers by Age Country of Birth Aged 5-24 Aged 25-64 Aged 65+

% of Welsh % Born in % Born outside % Change 91-01 - Speakers - Total % Change % Change % Change Wales - Aged Wales - Aged 3+: Area No. of Welsh % % % Population Aged 3+ 1991-2001 1991-2001 1991-2001 3+: Speaks Speaks Welsh Speakers (2001) Welsh (2001) (2001)

Menai (Bangor) 27.4 29.2 19.1 77.8 41.1 15.0 58.6 -10.1 72.5 7.7 Menai (Caernarfon) 83.9 -6.9 92.7 -14.6 84.3 -0.9 76.4 -5.5 93.3 34.2

96.44.378.1 -0.5 65.910.375.2 -3.8 28.096.7 Morfa Nefyn Nefyn Ogwen 79.4 3.3 86.6 1.8 75.8 4.4 81.1 1.0 91.6 31.8 Peblig (Caernarfon) 88.4 -7.4 94.6 -8.9 86.7 -1.0 82.4 -10.9 94.2 45.8 Penrhyndeudraeth 76.8 1.6 93.2 9.0 72.0 3.6 68.0 -14.9 94.9 27.7 Pentir 62.3 3.1 76.0 -17.2 57.7 13.6 60.3 11.9 82.6 19.8 Penygroes 88.2 -5.4 97.5 -13.7 86.2 5.0 82.7 -16.0 97.2 36.9 Porthmadog West 64.8 11.4 90.8 6.1 62.2 15.9 51.8 12.0 93.0 22.4 Pwllheli North 81.6 -5.8 91.3 -14.1 79.7 2.9 77.6 -16.5 94.8 31.3 Pwllheli South 79.0 -4.7 92.9 -19.5 76.3 -1.6 72.1 20.7 93.1 31.7 Seiont 87.7 -1.1 96.4 -4.0 85.2 2.0 81.9 -7.4 95.4 41.8 Trawsfynydd 76.9 -3.1 94.4 -6.1 70.5 -6.8 71.8 8.6 95.8 25.1 Tudweiliog 73.6 -20.5 88.5 -33.3 73.9 -11.4 57.1 -11.4 96.4 20.5 Tywyn 40.8 10.1 76.0 29.0 32.6 -0.6 28.9 -1.1 74.7 13.7 Waunfawr 73.4 0.5 94.1 -11.5 68.0 8.8 63.1 -1.7 94.1 28.4 Y Felinheli 72.1 14.9 87.0 14.5 67.5 22.6 68.4 -4.7 89.7 26.9 APPENDIX 2A - WARDS ASSESSMENT MATRIX (INCLUDING 2011 CENSUS RESULTS)

Lowest 15 wards Highest 15 wards HEALTH AND WELL- POPULATION AND DEMOGRAPHY ECONOMY HOUSING BEING

)

) 1

- 0 % % 1

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m o n d e y o C l l ) k e e i t m m m m m a 0 2 3 6 I i 1 1 a 1 l l u f s l l i e l r l a p 1 a - - - f r u u u u u s a a s a a o c p u n n n n d o d 1 e 1 1 1 t % e S m 1

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/ i i 1 1 i n s s u u u u n n n n n n n n o n n 1 s r n n n i e a m l 0 1 a d a a a a a a r r a u a u p p p p t t t o o W M % 2 w d r r g e

0 0 i e e h h h h h h o o h o h o a a o o o o c c o e e 1 n 2 r 2 n % W C 1 T C P C P C P C P C % M B B i E E C M H % ( 2 C H ( M ( R p % T e e e e

Wales 19.0 -3.4 5.5 2.1- 18.4 4.2 11.4l l 72.7 -3.6 65.8 16.7l l 6.9 22.7 b b b b a a a a

Anglesey 57.2 -0.8 4.4 7.3- 9.1 1.4 24.1l l 66.4 -1.8 65.0 15.7 £24,730l l 5.66 £140,000 4.7 23.1 i i i i

a a a a 0.0 v v v v wardcas:00NAMA : Aberffraw 60.4 -7.7 6.1 15.0- 8.9 1.4 41.5a a 64.5 -9.7 61.3 18.2 £20,340a a 4.36 £88,725 1.5 25.6 n n n n wardcas:00NAMB : Amlwch Port 64.5 72.1 81.4 65.2 107.3 78.0 98.4U U 69.0 -0.7 63.2 106.1 £21,957U U 4.10 £90,000 11.6 26.3 wardcas:00NAMC : Amlwch Rural 54.3 -1.6 3.7 2.8- 1.9- 10.0- 47.5 57.1 -1.7 54.5 7.8 £26,377 5.74 £151,500 9.4 26.1 wardcas:00NAMD : Beaumaris 39.5 -5.4 -4.9 20.0- 18.9 7.6- 3.4 57.0 -0.3 63.2 9.9 £23,812 8.19 £195,000 4.1 22.9 wardcas:00NAME : Bodffordd 73.3 -5.5 0.1 15.4- 25.6- 1.3 40.0 75.6 -4.3 68.8 5.1 £26,595 4.19 £111,500 2.6 23.0 wardcas:00NAMF : Bodorgan 68.3 3.5 10.6 2.6- 2.1 8.2 37.5 68.7 -6.6 65.8 18.9 £24,812 6.65 £165,000 2.3 23.2 wardcas:00NAMG : Braint 73.2 -3.1 2.2 12.9- 14.9- 1.5- 50.2 78.8 -0.7 69.9 2.1 £34,802 4.68 £162,750 0.7 21.2 wardcas:00NAMH : Bryngwran 71.2 6.2 13.5 9.5 14.9 12.1 21.7 74.0 -5.7 65.4 29.1 £24,844 4.79 £119,000 2.6 23.4 wardcas:00NAMJ : Brynteg 48.7 -1.5 2.6 13.6- 6.2- 3.1- 27.4 49.0 -4.2 58.6 7.8 £24,663 6.95 £171,500 2.1 26.7 wardcas:00NAMK : Cadnant 47.4 6.1 14.8 7.6 31.0 12.0 14.5 52.4 -7.8 64.3 30.6 £27,463 6.83 £187,500 4.1 16.7 wardcas:00NAML : Cefni 80.5 0.8 4.7 2.1 7.1- 1.4 18.7 80.7 -4.1 68.1 5.8 £30,253 6.04 £182,625 10.8 23.9 wardcas:00NAMM : Cwm Cadnant 57.5 2.9 1.3 7.9- 9.3 3.2- 19.5 64.0 1.8 68.7 11.8 £37,968 4.69 £178,000 0.9 17.1 wardcas:00NAMN : Cyngar 80.8 10.6 17.9 5.6 38.8 23.4 9.6 82.9 -2.0 72.0 40.6 £24,136 5.26 £127,000 9.8 19.0 wardcas:00NAMP : Gwyngyll 70.5 -2.2 2.4 16.2- 11.9 5.3- 37.5 73.9 -4.0 70.5 9.8 £29,572 5.42 £160,250 3.8 22.1 wardcas:00NAMQ : Holyhead Town 39.1 -0.9 12.1 8.6 23.2 17.1 -6.7 72.5 4.7 69.1 45.3 £17,702 4.52 £80,000 24.1 21.5 wardcas:00NAMR : Kingsland 42.9 -5.3 5.8 3.6- 4.9- 10.4 21.4 73.1 -1.4 65.9 23.7 £22,947 4.57 £104,950 4.6 21.9 wardcas:00NAMS : Llanbadrig 52.4 -6.4 -2.7 5.1- - 8.4- 10.0 54.8 0.5 61.5 9.4 £22,748 7.03 £159,950 3.7 25.1 wardcas:00NAMT : Llanbedrgoch 43.9 -7.9 -4.8 11.4- 1.8- 14.4- 12.1 44.5 1.7 57.2 5.9 £28,037 6.96 £195,000 2.6 30.4 wardcas:00NAMU : Llanddyfnan 64.7 -5.9 1.4 20.8- 30.4 8.8- 50.4 63.5 -8.7 66.6 5.8 £28,686 6.62 £190,000 2.3 22.6 wardcas:00NAMW : Llaneilian 58.9 -3.1 1.0 13.5- 4.3 4.6- 30.5 58.4 -1.5 59.9 7.9 £24,308 5.14 £125,000 3.1 27.7 wardcas:00NAMX : Llanfaethlu 64.4 0.4 5.3 7.1- 16.6- 4.0 39.2 65.5 -2.0 60.7 9.8 £27,197 7.35 £200,000 4.2 25.7 wardcas:00NAMY : Llanfair-yn-Neubwll 50.5 4.1 5.8 8.1- 19.1 9.5 12.3 59.4 2.7 70.9 20.9 £27,609 3.96 £109,200 4.4 18.0 wardcas:00NAMZ : Llanfihangel Ysgeifiog 75.8 -3.2 -0.4 12.4- 2.6 4.5- 31.6 77.7 -3.4 73.2 9.1 £29,444 4.47 £131,500 2.5 20.1 wardcas:00NANA : Llangoed 48.4 -13.5 -3.8 25.9- 23.8 12.9- 24.7 57.0 -4.2 59.2 5.3 £25,439 5.50 £140,000 2.4 27.1 wardcas:00NANB : Llanidan 65.1 4.6 10.0 3.6- 35.2 7.4 22.1 70.4 0.7 70.1 29.2 £24,926 5.10 £127,160 1.6 19.9 wardcas:00NANC : Llannerch-y-medd 69.9 3.4 8.4 10.0- 30.0 8.5 26.6 70.6 -2.5 66.6 26.9 £21,963 5.01 £110,000 4.1 20.2 wardcas:00NAND : London Road 45.3 -13.1 -0.1 4.6- 14.4- 2.0 13.5 76.5 -1.7 61.3 5.4 £19,443 3.75 £73,000 14.1 25.4 wardcas:00NANE : Maeshyfryd 40.6 -5.0 3.0 2.9- 13.1 1.7 8.7 74.5 1.0 64.9 23.1 £19,144 4.31 £82,500 3.1 24.1 wardcas:00NANF : Mechell 61.1 -3.3 1.0 15.8- 0.7 0.9 25.7 59.9 -3.6 62.7 10.6 £23,291 5.29 £123,125 1.3 23.9 wardcas:00NANG : Moelfre 52.3 -3.5 -5.7 17.2- 29.2 17.2- 18.4 51.1 0.8 56.7 4.3 £24,959 7.61 £189,950 1.9 25.1 wardcas:00NANH : Morawelon 40.4 -13.6 -3.5 15.5- 1.8 0.4- 6.9 75.2 -2.2 59.9 14.5 £16,557 4.61 £76,316 12.6 26.3 wardcas:00NANJ : Parc a'r Mynydd 50.4 -5.5 0.8 2.0- 32.0- 0.4 26.2 75.4 -2.5 65.4 8.6 £23,177 5.39 £124,950 1.7 22.3 wardcas:00NANK : Pentraeth 54.8 -1.9 4.8 13.3- 16.7 5.8 21.2 59.1 -1.9 67.4 16.5 £28,619 5.59 £160,000 0.5 22.0 wardcas:00NANL : Porthyfelin 39.7 -15.4 -1.5 9.9- 11.7 2.5- 4.8 75.6 -3.6 64.6 18.2 £20,147 4.97 £100,060 10.2 24.2 wardcas:00NANM : Rhosneigr 36.0 -13.8 1.1 16.5- 13.5 1.4 10.2 47.0 -2.7 68.4 27.2 £25,322 8.79 £222,500 4.0 22.5 wardcas:00NANN : Rhosyr 59.3 -5.0 2.6 10.1- 5.1 1.8- 28.9 63.5 -2.1 61.7 14.5 £22,707 5.06 £115,000 2.2 25.4 wardcas:00NANP : Trearddur 38.1 -14.7 -4.9 18.7- 5.7- 17.7- 35.3 52.4 -0.9 58.8 -6.5 £33,569 5.55 £186,250 2.2 28.0 wardcas:00NANQ : Tudur 80.7 1.4 5.7 10.1 3.5- 5.9 5.5 85.1 -1.3 66.9 17.6 £17,680 4.99 £88,300 6.3 22.6 wardcas:00NANR : Tysilio 59.2 -5.1 3.3 14.7- 29.8 6.8 6.0 68.5 -6.2 71.6 18.1 £24,374 5.54 £135,000 1.9 17.4 wardcas:00NANS : Valley 54.7 -2.3 -2.2 14.5- 14.1- 9.2- 44.5 64.5 1.6 63.3 -1.0 £28,458 4.76 £135,500 3.8 22.5 HEALTH AND WELL- POPULATION AND DEMOGRAPHY ECONOMY HOUSING BEING

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/ i i 1 1 i n s s u u u u n n n n n n n n o n n 1 s r n n n i e a m l 0 1 a d a a a a a a r r a u a u p p p p t t t o o W M % 2 w d r r g e

0 0 i e e h h h h h h o o h o h o a a o o o o c c o e e 1 n 2 r 2 n % W C 1 T C P C P C P C P C % M B B i E E C M H % ( 2 C H ( M ( R p % T Gwynedd 65.4 -1.1 4.3 2.1- 13.7 1.4 13.2 66.8 -4.3 65.2 14.5 £23,276 5.67 132,000£ 5.6 20.5 wardcas:00NCQA : Aberdaron 74.2 -6.7 -5.4 19.8- 17.5- 5.8- 20.2 69.2 -3.3 67.1 10.5 £21,303 9.69 206,500£ 3.1 19.2 wardcas:00NCQB : Aberdovey 35.5 -3.7 13.6 15.3- 47.4 8.3 30.8 40.6 -16.3 65.7 24.8 £26,646 8.63 230,000£ 1.6 18.6 wardcas:00NCQC : Abererch 79.8 -2.5 -5.6 9.7- 24.9- 3.5- 5.8 77.9 4.7 71.9 5.2 £21,806 5.73 124,995£ 3.0 21.2 wardcas:00NCQD : Abermaw 41.5 -2.2 3.4 5.2- 7.1 0.4- 20.8 48.7 4.5 64.7 8.3 £22,111 5.56 123,000£ 8.3 23.5 wardcas:00NCQE : Abersoch 43.5 -23.8 -13.1 17.6- 30.6- 21.4- 11.5 44.7 -5.5 65.2 -8.5 £28,227 11.03 311,250£ 3.8 22.1 wardcas:00NCQF : Arllechwedd 61.9 2.3 -0.1 0.6- 26.2- 3.9 8.9 69.8 0.6 71.1 6.2 £29,670 7.41 220,000£ 6.4 18.5 wardcas:00NCQG : Bala 78.5 -3.8 -0.6 7.9- 2.2- 3.3 0.6 76.7 -3.1 71.4 10.6 £22,130 5.48 121,250£ 6.1 21.7 wardcas:00NCQH : Bethel 85.8 -0.9 -0.6 6.6- 20.3- 3.2- 55.9 84.7 0.9 73.9 -1.3 £26,842 5.87 157,500£ 0.7 18.2 wardcas:00NCQJ : Bontnewydd 82.6 -2.3 0.1 8.8- 4.9- 7.2- 31.3 81.0 -4.4 71.6 6.9 £26,761 6.12 163,750£ 2.6 21.5 wardcas:00NCQK : Botwnnog 75.9 2.7 4.3 14.2 3.3- 3.2- 15.3 73.1 3.0 68.3 18.3 £21,002 5.71 120,000£ 1.0 18.0 wardcas:00NCQL : Bowydd and Rhiw 78.2 0.1 2.2 7.8- 5.0 8.6 0.6 76.5 -1.3 68.4 24.6 £19,210 3.54 68,000£ 4.8 23.1 wardcas:00NCQM : Brithdir and Llanfachreth/Ganllwyd/Llanelltyd63.2 -1.7 2.0 16.3- 50.0 6.7- 29.5 61.2 -8.1 66.1 13.4 £23,621 5.85 138,194£ 2.1 20.6 wardcas:00NCQN : Bryn-crug/Llanfihangel 52.1 -16.2 -6.9 25.1- 21.8- 11.6- 24.2 50.5 -9.9 67.3 3.5 £21,681 6.92 150,000£ 3.1 23.9 wardcas:00NCQP : Cadnant 86.2 -3.0 -4.1 5.2- 19.6- 2.4 -5.3 86.7 2.2 63.5 6.1 £19,014 5.97 113,500£ 15.5 27.3 wardcas:00NCQQ : Clynnog 73.2 25.1 16.2 27.4 17.4 18.3 1.9 69.1 5.3 68.3 31.5 £23,106 4.99 115,250£ 2.0 21.8 wardcas:00NCQR : Corris/Mawddwy 55.8 2.3 11.1 2.8 48.2 11.6 6.2 52.5 -5.5 69.4 31.3 £23,298 6.16 143,500£ 0.0 19.9 wardcas:00NCQS : Criccieth 64.2 -5.1 -4.2 12.7- 5.6 8.8- 7.2 61.9 -1.6 62.5 2.2 £27,623 6.88 190,000£ 5.7 23.5 wardcas:00NCQT : Cwm-y-Glo 72.1 6.1 6.6 6.1- 5.8 10.5 21.0 68.5 -2.2 74.9 25.7 £32,455 3.54 115,000£ 0.0 16.6 wardcas:00NCQU : Deiniol 22.8 1.0 35.1 23.8 71.7 4.6 -15.9 31.5 -24.8 42.5 28.8 £18,866 7.16 135,000£ 38.1 10.6 wardcas:00NCQW : Deiniolen 74.4 6.5 8.5 13.4 1.0 8.4 5.6 75.0 0.2 69.4 17.0 £23,195 6.04 140,000£ 5.8 19.9 wardcas:00NCQX : Dewi 52.6 6.2 20.2 25.2 42.7 16.2 4.3 68.8 -12.9 65.2 19.9 £20,094 8.29 166,500£ 8.1 14.9 wardcas:00NCQY : Diffwys and Maenofferen 79.3 -5.1 1.0 10.2- 9.1 7.9 -5.3 75.7 -3.6 65.4 12.6 £20,342 3.56 72,500£ 5.3 23.8 wardcas:00NCQZ : Dolbernmaen 67.6 -0.6 2.5 1.9 2.8- 1.9 6.3 64.8 -3.1 67.6 11.7 £24,602 6.99 172,000£ 2.5 22.3 wardcas:00NCRA : Dolgellau North 61.8 -8.9 -0.2 17.7- 15.2 0.7- 10.0 64.0 -5.5 68.8 8.8 £27,790 4.86 135,000£ 7.5 21.5 wardcas:00NCRB : Dolgellau South 67.1 -5.8 1.4 12.4- 10.4- 7.5 12.4 68.9 -9.2 66.1 3.9 £21,808 6.01 131,000£ 4.7 23.3 wardcas:00NCRC : Dyffryn Ardudwy 47.4 -10.8 -7.7 26.8- 13.9 17.3- 19.0 47.1 1.3 63.5 3.0 £20,605 7.04 145,000£ 1.3 25.1 wardcas:00NCRD : Efail-newydd/Buan 74.3 -2.8 -0.2 12.5- 5.9- 2.6- 25.3 70.0 -6.5 67.6 9.1 £21,996 5.71 125,500£ 0.0 21.2 wardcas:00NCRE : Garth 30.4 -35.0 -0.6 27.2 9.0- 14.7- -0.8 41.6 -23.3 44.8 -11.7 £23,825 8.31 198,000£ 9.0 13.5 wardcas:00NCRF : Gerlan 73.7 4.3 6.0 3.9- 5.1 9.4 19.7 73.3 -2.3 73.9 20.6 £22,332 4.79 107,000£ 0.4 16.4 wardcas:00NCRG : Glyder 51.7 -7.4 -0.8 13.7- 23.8 1.3 -4.2 67.5 -4.7 65.2 12.5 £29,987 5.84 175,000£ 0.6 17.8 wardcas:00NCRH : Groeslon 81.3 5.8 3.9 4.2- 3.4 0.2- 28.3 79.4 2.4 70.3 15.4 £29,185 4.11 120,000£ 2.4 18.8 wardcas:00NCRJ : Harlech 54.1 -4.6 3.5 10.3- 10.8 1.0- 22.8 52.0 -11.4 59.1 9.3 £25,084 5.36 134,500£ 3.5 23.7 wardcas:00NCRK : Hendre 45.3 -7.7 4.7 5.2- 32.3 0.9- -7.9 62.6 -12.2 58.8 19.8 £19,996 6.29 125,750£ 2.7 17.6 wardcas:00NCRL : Hirael 37.7 -10.1 26.5 31.7 74.6 8.5 -8.3 51.3 -25.1 48.0 24.1 £17,791 7.11 126,500£ 9.4 18.0 wardcas:00NCRM : Llanaelhaearn 73.8 1.4 7.9 0.7- 31.8 6.5 13.0 73.5 -0.2 65.9 38.6 £21,135 5.58 118,000£ 4.2 20.8 wardcas:00NCRN : Llanbedr 50.8 8.7 9.3 14.0 30.2 8.0- 33.1 48.8 0.7 63.5 12.6 £21,181 7.79 165,000£ 4.6 27.3 wardcas:00NCRP : Llanbedrog 54.0 0.0 -2.1 3.0 26.9 4.8- -5.1 48.7 0.2 61.0 20.7 £21,104 9.83 207,500£ 1.0 29.5 wardcas:00NCRQ : Llanberis 74.7 -6.6 0.4 16.0- 11.9- 5.8 17.9 73.6 -3.9 71.8 14.6 £21,900 5.59 122,475£ 2.5 21.5 wardcas:00NCRR : Llandderfel 70.8 -0.6 1.9 3.6- 7.1- 1.5 18.7 68.8 -2.2 72.1 7.9 £23,018 6.73 155,000£ 2.0 18.4 wardcas:00NCRS : Llanengan 63.4 3.5 7.6 8.0 1.0 0.6 22.9 61.4 -3.5 64.8 18.8 £26,950 10.58 285,000£ 3.3 20.1 wardcas:00NCRT : Llangelynin 35.9 -12.2 -0.7 15.6- 18.6 6.7- 17.6 36.8 -7.3 60.6 8.7 £22,416 5.97 133,750£ 2.5 28.1 wardcas:00NCRU : Llanllyfni 75.5 6.1 4.2 1.3- 6.7- 4.3 21.1 72.9 2.1 64.5 19.5 £20,412 4.92 100,500£ 7.2 21.7 wardcas:00NCRW : Llanrug 87.8 7.3 5.4 2.2 10.2- 8.9 15.1 87.2 2.0 73.7 16.3 £29,378 5.31 156,000£ 2.1 19.2 wardcas:00NCRX : Llanuwchllyn 78.6 2.0 6.2 0.6- 9.1 1.7 24.2 74.7 -3.6 74.1 9.9 £28,928 5.40 156,250£ 4.6 17.5 wardcas:00NCRY : Llanwnda 81.6 3.8 5.6 2.0- 16.1- 13.0 11.3 79.1 -0.7 72.4 15.9 £27,576 5.26 145,000£ 1.0 19.6 wardcas:00NCRZ : Llanystumdwy 77.0 7.5 6.8 2.9 7.0 7.1 10.8 73.5 -2.1 69.9 21.1 £23,377 6.42 150,000£ 0.5 18.4 wardcas:00NCSA : Marchog 50.2 -12.1 -5.1 19.9- 9.1 0.3 5.4 78.2 -3.0 62.6 16.5 £17,822 6.00 107,000£ 11.3 23.5 HEALTH AND WELL- POPULATION AND DEMOGRAPHY ECONOMY HOUSING BEING

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/ i i 1 1 i n s s u u u u n n n n n n n n o n n 1 s r n n n i e a m l 0 1 a d a a a a a a r r a u a u p p p p t t t o o W M % 2 w d r r g e

0 0 i e e h h h h h h o o h o h o a a o o o o c c o e e 1 n 2 r 2 n % W C 1 T C P C P C P C P C % M B B i E E C M H % ( 2 C H ( M ( R p % T wardcas:00NCSB : Menai (Bangor) 18.6 10.4 61.6 96.4 77.1 4.5- -8.6 24.2 -22.3 34.7 59.8 £23,717 6.10 144,750£ 8.2 7.7 wardcas:00NCSC : Menai (Caernarfon) 83.9 2.7 2.9 19.6- 20.5 0.9 19.4 82.8 -2.2 69.9 22.5 £30,209 4.97 150,000£ 7.3 24.7 wardcas:00NCSD : Morfa Nefyn 72.0 -9.9 -2.2 9.7- 14.0- 4.5 -3.2 66.6 -9.0 69.6 22.5 £29,040 6.20 180,000£ 1.6 20.2 wardcas:00NCSE : Nefyn 76.1 -3.1 1.5 4.1 21.2- 0.3 11.2 72.5 -2.6 66.1 13.3 £24,660 5.23 129,000£ 3.6 19.6 wardcas:00NCSF : Ogwen 81.2 5.8 3.7 8.6- 11.6 8.8 3.4 81.8 2.1 71.0 21.3 £20,953 5.54 116,000£ 5.9 21.8 wardcas:00NCSG : Peblig (Caernarfon) 87.4 -2.7 0.8 0.9- 31.2 5.1- -5.1 88.8 0.1 63.0 17.3 £19,109 5.26 100,450£ 12.1 23.8 wardcas:00NCSH : Penisarwaun 70.6 -2.4 3.0 0.2 6.1- 1.6 23.4 71.5 -3.7 74.6 10.9 £29,988 3.96 118,750£ 5.1 16.8 wardcas:00NCSJ : Penrhyndeudraeth 74.8 2.0 4.8 1.9 0.5- 2.8 16.0 70.0 -5.4 68.8 15.1 £24,681 4.46 110,000£ 1.9 19.9 wardcas:00NCSK : Pentir 58.7 -3.7 2.5 0.4 12.0- 1.9- 31.4 68.3 -1.1 70.4 5.2 £30,064 5.14 154,500£ 3.3 18.8 wardcas:00NCSL : Penygroes 86.8 1.2 1.4 0.5 21.1- 1.9 16.7 84.5 -1.5 66.8 14.7 £22,007 4.32 95,000£ 6.1 22.3 wardcas:00NCSM : Porthmadog East 80.1 -2.6 3.0 7.1- 8.1 5.4 8.5 79.7 -4.6 73.3 17.8 £20,288 6.78 137,500£ 8.5 21.0 wardcas:00NCSN : Porthmadog West 57.0 -14.5 -3.7 28.5- 15.0- 9.4- 24.8 55.0 -9.6 62.4 1.2 £25,952 6.59 171,000£ 11.0 24.1 wardcas:00NCSP : Porthmadog-Tremadog 66.8 -14.4 -10.3 21.8- 30.3- 12.8- 22.5 64.1 -5.4 66.3 -0.8 £19,597 6.02 118,000£ 2.4 22.4 wardcas:00NCSQ : Pwllheli North 79.1 11.5 14.9 28.9 3.8 16.8 4.1 77.9 -2.5 70.0 27.2 £21,154 6.20 131,250£ 13.2 19.8 wardcas:00NCSR : Pwllheli South 78.3 -4.9 -3.7 13.0- 3.7- 6.3- 12.3 77.1 -0.4 67.0 14.0 £18,947 8.71 165,000£ 9.0 23.2 wardcas:00NCST : Seiont 85.3 -2.0 0.4 13.2- 9.1 1.4 15.2 85.1 -0.9 70.7 12.8 £22,771 5.05 115,000£ 18.8 19.1 wardcas:00NCSU : Talysarn 70.7 6.5 8.8 18.3 6.7- 9.0 4.2 68.9 1.9 61.3 19.7 £18,945 4.75 90,000£ 3.6 23.5 wardcas:00NCSW : Teigl 78.5 -2.6 -0.6 11.9- 1.7 0.2 11.9 73.9 -2.7 66.7 9.0 £21,776 3.44 75,000£ 5.9 23.7 wardcas:00NCSX : Trawsfynydd 73.1 -0.5 4.7 6.8- 9.9- 0.7- 42.6 71.5 -4.1 65.8 12.4 £21,511 4.18 90,000£ 0.6 21.2 wardcas:00NCSY : Tregarth & Mynydd Llandygai69.0 -1.3 -0.5 18.5- 24.5 1.9 12.8 69.3 0.8 72.6 15.9 £30,306 5.15 156,000£ 1.4 17.3 wardcas:00NCSZ : Tudweiliog 73.9 17.1 19.5 30.1 42.6 8.3 23.7 68.7 -4.2 65.4 26.9 £28,230 7.53 212,500£ 0.0 19.2 wardcas:00NCTA : Tywyn 37.5 -7.2 1.1 14.0- 7.5 4.2- 18.0 43.9 -3.9 59.8 2.7 £20,046 7.21 144,500£ 1.5 28.6 wardcas:00NCTB : Waunfawr 75.8 10.6 5.7 6.9 13.1- 7.0 11.5 72.2 3.9 72.5 19.9 £26,307 5.85 154,000£ 6.0 18.1 wardcas:00NCTC : Y Felinheli 64.3 -2.6 9.6 1.9 15.2 7.4 22.6 66.1 -9.2 70.4 14.6 £29,202 4.56 133,250£ 2.6 17.6 Appendiix 3

APPENDIX 3

LANGUAGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF 1) OPTIONS / PREFERRED STRATEGY AND 2) DEPOSIT DRAFT

i) Is the policy / plan / programme / project likely to lead to a population increase / dedrease that might i) affect the balance of English / Welsh speakers or ii) lead to a decline in the number of Welsh speakers?

ii) Is the policy / plan / programme / project likely to lead to increased in-migration?

iii) Is the policy / plan / programme / project likely to lead to increased out-migration? Is the process of out-migration likely to result in a loss of Welsh speaking households?

iv) Is the policy / plan / programme / project likely to lead to a changing age structure of the community?

v) Is the policy / plan / programme / project likely to have an impact on the health of local people?

vi) Is the policy / plan / programme / project likely to have an impact on the amenity of the local area?

vii) Is the policy / plan / programme / project likely to lead to the threat of increased crime or violence in the community?

viii) Is the policy / plan / programme / project likely to have a detrimental impact on local businesses?

ix) Is the policy / plan / programme / project likely to have a detrimental impact on local jobs?

x) Is the policy / plan / programme / project likely to lead to greater economic diversity?

xi) Is the policy / plan / programme / project likely to have an impact on local wage/salary levels

xii) Is the plan likely to have an impact on the average cost of housing?

xiii) Is the plan likely to have an impact on local schools?

xiv) Is the plan likely to have an impact on health care provision?

xv) Is the plan likely to have an impact on the provision of local services?

xvi) Will the plan potentially lead to social tensions, conflict or serious divisions within the Welsh speaking community?

xvii) Will the plan potentially lead to changes in local Welsh traditions / culture?

xviii) Is the plan likely to have a potential impact on local voluntary / activity / youth groups?

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 4

APPENDIX 4

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Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

APPENDIX 5

1. Is the strategy likely to lead to a population increase / decrease that might: a) Affect the balance of English / Welsh speakers (in a negative / positive way)? b) Lead to an absolute or proportional decline in the number of Welsh speakers?

Background Although some forms of development have the effect of stabilising populations or drive growth, development can also lead to in-migration. Whilst in-migration is often a positive force in rural communities, substantial levels of growth are likely to impact on social balance, and in turn impact upon aspects of the social fabric of an area including the Welsh language.

Baseline Analysis Between 2001 and 2010, the population of Gwynedd and Anglesey increased by 1.85% (2,163 people) and 1.16% (786 people) respectively. Whilst the population of Gwynedd increased annually since 2001, the population of Anglesey increased annually between 2001 and 2008 before decreasing for two successive years. From the available information, it can be interpreted that migration, rather than natural change is the reason for the general increase in the population during this period1.

Based on the mid-2008 WAG population projections, the total population of the isle of Anglesey is projected to increase by 3,100 (or 4.5%) by mid-2023. The population is projected to continue growing for the last ten years of the projection period reaching 72,600 by mid-2033. The total population of Gwynedd is projected to increase by 4,600 (or 3.9%) by mid-2023. the population is projected to continue increasing for the last ten years of the projection period, reaching 126,000 by mid- 2033. Only (net) migration will contribute towards the increase in the population of Gwynedd at the beginning of the period, with natural change contributing to this by 2022/23. Only (net) migration will contribute towards the increase in the population of Anglesey during this period. The tables below detail these projected changes.

Population projections in Anglesey and Gwynedd 2008 (basis of the 2013 2018 information) Population Change Population Change Population Change Gwynedd 118,590 - 119,713 0.9% 121,290 2.3%

Anglesey 68,799 - 69,903 1.6% 70,988 3.2%

2023 2028 2033

Population Change Population Change Population Change

Gwynedd 123,170 3.9% 124,854 5.3% 125,953 6.2%

Anglesey 71,896 4.5% 72,411 5.3% 72,563 5.5%

1 Population and Housing Topic Paper, JPPU Unit (July 2012)

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

Projections of the number of births, deaths and natural change (2008-based) – Welsh Government

2008/09 2012/13 2022/23 Natura Natur l Death al Natural Births Deaths Births Births Deaths Chang s Chan Change e ge Gwyned 1,300 1,300 -100 1,300 1,300 0 1,400 1,200 100 d Anglese 800 800 0 800 700 0 700 800 -100 y

Data released drom the 2011 Census shows that the population of Anglesey and Gwynedd is higher than what was predicted in the mid-2008 population projections, whilst household growth has been less than what was predicted.

The favoured level of housing growth in the Preferred Strategy is the Medium Growth Option which will see about 511 housing units a year on average during the life of the Joint LDP. This equates to a total of 7,665 additional housing units by 2026. This growth level represents a higher building rate than that has been seen over the past decade. It is believed that this growth option will meet the needs of the local populations.

Language Impact Assessment Population movement has been considered in the preparation of the emerging emerging Preferred Strategy. There is a general need for more housing to satisfy the needs of the growing population. The Housing and Population topic paper assessed the past, existing and projected population patterns in the Plan Area which has helped establish the housing requirement for the plan Area.

Certain types of new development, particularly housing, have a direct and indirect influence on an area’s population. New development, particularly new housing can lead to the influx of a proportionally large number of non-Welsh speaking residents to an area and is likely to undermine predominantly smaller Welsh speaking communities. On the other hand, It may be possible that the level of growth will have indirect positive effects on the Welsh language as lower housing prices and more affordable homes may help retain the existing population. The emerging Preferred Strategy places great emphasis on providing housing opportunities to meet the needs of the local community particularly those of young people and the elderly. The distribution of housing across the Plan Area will provide more choice and greater flexibility for people to remain in their communities.

The strategy also facilitates the provision of economic opportunities throughout the Plan area. This should also help retain young people in communities, particularly some of the more rural ones, thus sustaining or improving the demographic balance within communities.

Policy PS14 (Welsh language and culture) also, directly promotes and supports the use of the Welsh language in the Plan area and seeks to avoid any significant harm to the character and language balance of a community caused by inappropriate

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy development.

In addition, the situation regarding the Welsh language was a key factor that was considered as part of the process in determining the settlement strategy.

Overall, therefore, it is considered that the housing requirements as outlined in the emerging Preferred Strategy are not likely to lead to significant population increases or decreases that might affect the balance of English / Welsh speakers. Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Deposit Plan should:

 secure a balance in communities’ social composition by facilitating development that meets the social and economic needs of all sections of society (community facilities, leisure facilities, shops etc.), thus ensuring the retainment of the population and make the area more attractive for working age people who have left the area to return.

 ensure that housing allocations are in appropriate areas and facilitate the development of an appropriate mix of housing types and affordability that meet local needs of resident communities rather than the requirements of immigration or holiday home needs.

 promote appropriate economic development and provide economic opportunities, including in rural areas, to ensure that the area is attractive to the existing population and those who would wish to return to the area.

 require a Language Impact Assessments as part of planning applications for development that are likely to have an impact on the Welsh language.

 review the existing Supplementary Planning Guidance and amend accordingly

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

2. Is the strategy likely to lead to increased in-migration? a) Might this result in a permanent increase in the proportion of non-Welsh speaking households? b) Will the change be permanent or temporary?

Background Migration is a key component of population change. The scale of migration is very much dependent on the type of development in a particular area. For example a retirement home development in a predominantly young community will not serve a local need and could lead to permanent social change.

Baseline Analysis Between 2001 and 20010, the net difference between people moving in and out of Gwynedd and Anglesey (from the rest of the UK) has been positive i.e. more people moving into the local authority areas than were moving out.

Gwynedd and Anglesey: The general situation in terms of migration within the United Kingdom 1998-99 to 2009-10 (figures in thousands)

Gwynedd Anglesey Year In Out Net In Out Net 2009-10 6.0 5.4 0.6 2.3 2.3 0.0 2008-09 5.5 5.3 0.2 2.3 2.3 0.0 2007-08 5.1 5.3 -0.3 2.2 2.1 0.1 2006-07 5.3 5.4 -0.1 2.4 2.3 0.2 2005-06 5.4 5.3 0.1 2.3 2.1 0.2 2004-05 5.2 5.0 0.2 2.4 2.0 0.4 2003-04 5.5 4.7 0.8 2.4 2.2 0.2 2002-03 5.7 5.0 0.7 2.5 2.2 0.3 2001-02 5.5 5.0 0.5 2.5 2.3 0.1 2000-01 5.9 5.8 0.1 2.6 2.9 -0.3 1999-2000 6.2 5.9 0.3 2.6 3.1 -0.5 1998-99 4.8 5.4 -0.6 2.1 2.4 -0.3

Source: Office for National Statistics

For the majority of the years noted in the table, it can be seen that the net difference between people moving in and out of Gwynedd and Anglesey (from the rest of the United Kingdom) has been positive i.e. more people moving into the local authority areas than were moving out.

In Gwynedd, while a net increase was seen in terms of migration in 2009-10 and 2008-09, it is noted that negative figures have been evident in the previous two years. In Anglesey an

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy annual net increase is seen between 2001 and 2008 with neutral figures in the two subsequent years.

Gwynedd: Migration within the United Kingdom 2007 – 2010 by age (figures in thousands) Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 Age In Out Net In Out Net In Out Net In Out Net Every 6.0 5.4 0.6 5.5 5.3 0.2 5.1 5.3 -0.3 5.3 5.4 -0.1 age 0-4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 5-9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10-14 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 15-19 1.7 0.5 1.2 1.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.7 20-24 1.4 1.9 -0.5 1.4 1.9 -0.5 1.2 2.0 -0.8 1.2 1.9 -0.7 25-29 0.5 0.7 -0.2 0.5 0.7 -0.2 0.5 0.7 -0.2 0.5 0.6 -0.2 30-34 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 -0.1 0.3 0.4 -0.1 35-39 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 40-44 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 45-49 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 50-54 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 55-59 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 60-64 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 65-69 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 70-74 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 75+ 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.1

0-15 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 16-24 3.1 2.4 0.7 2.8 2.4 0.4 2.2 2.4 -0.2 2.4 2.4 0.0 25-44 1.4 1.5 -0.2 1.3 1.5 -0.2 1.3 1.5 -0.3 1.3 1.5 -0.2 45-64 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.2 65+ 0.3 0.4 -0.1 0.2 0.3 -0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.4 -0.1

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Anglesey: Migration within the United Kingdom 2007 – 2010 by age (figures in thousands)

Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 Age In Out Net In Out Net In Out Net In Out Net Every 2.3 2.3 0.0 2.3 2.3 0.0 2.2 2.1 0.1 2.4 2.3 0.2 age 0-4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 5-9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10-14 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 15-19 0.1 0.3 -0.2 0.1 0.3 -0.2 0.1 0.3 -0.2 0.1 0.3 -0.2 20-24 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 25-29 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 30-34 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 35-39 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 40-44 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 45-49 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 50-54 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 55-59 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 60-64 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 65-69 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 70-74 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 75+ 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0

0-15 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 16-24 0.5 0.7 -0.2 0.5 0.7 -0.2 0.5 0.6 -0.1 2.9 3.1 -0.2 25-44 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.0 45-64 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.2 65+ 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.4 -0.1

Source: Office for National Statistics

Neutral – No increase or Net Net increase decrease decrease

Gwynedd

 Generally a net reduction is seen, based on migration, in the population who are in their twenties, whilst there is a net increase in the population of the age groups between 50-59.

 A significant net increase, based on migration, is seen in the population within the 15-19 age group in every year in question. It is likely that one of the main reasons for this is due to the students who move to Bangor in order to study at the University. In the same manner, it is likely that an element of the net reduction for people in their twenties relates to the fact that students move away from Bangor after they have finished their courses.

 In the four years in question, it is seen that there is a net reduction, based on migration in the population in the 25-44 age category, whilst there is a net increase in each of these years in terms of the 45-64 age group. It is noted that there has been a net reduction in three of the four years in terms of the population in the over 65 age group, with the figures for the 16-24 age group being more fluctuative.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

Anglesey

 A net reduction is seen, based on migration, in the population of the 15-19 age group for each year in question. Whilst there has been a small increase in the net rate of the population in the 20-24 age group in three of the four years in question, it is noted, for all the years in question, that there has been a net reduction in the population of the 16-24 age group.

 The migration rate for the majority of the age groups in Anglesey is neutral. However, it is noted that there has been some increase, based on migration, in the 45-64 age group in the four years in question.

Projections in migration patterns suggest that that there will be an annual net increase of approximately 300 people in Gwynedd and 200 people in Anglesey, based on the migration rate only. It is also projected that more people will move into the Plan area than will move out.

Assumed migration levels for the period 2008-2033 (2008-based) – Welsh Government (The figures below refer to the annual migration level for each of the years in question i.e. 2008-2033).

International Migration (total) Internal migration migration In Out Net In Out Net In Out Net

Gwynedd 5,900 5,600 300 5,300 5,100 100 600 500 100

Anglesey 2,500 2,300 200 2,300 2,100 200 100 100 0

Language Impact Assessment As noted in criterion 1 above, new development, particularly new housing can lead to the influx of a proportionally large number of non-Welsh speaking residents to an area is likely to undermine predominantly smaller Welsh speaking communities making assimilation difficult. On the other hand, It may be possible that the level of growth will have indirect positive effects on the Welsh language as lower housing prices and more affordable homes may help retain the existing population. The emerging Preferred Strategy places great emphasis on providing housing opportunities to meet the needs of the local community particularly those of young people and the elderly. This proportionate distribution of housing across the Plan Area will provide more choice and greater flexibility for people to remain in their communities. The strategy will provide for the anticipated population growth

The exact impact of housing growth on the Welsh Language is uncertain at this stage. It may be possible that the level of growth will have indirect positive effects on the Welsh language as lower housing prices and more affordable homes may help retain the existing population. Conversely they may also encourage an incoming non-Welsh speaking population. Whether a change in migration patterns affects the number of Welsh speakers, depends to a great extent on the area and the type of proposals to that area. The tables included in the baseline analysis above, show that the majority of people who move into new homes, already live in

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy either Gwynedd or Anglesey, which suggests that any impact upon the Welsh language is unlikely to be significant.

The strategy also facilitates the provision of economic opportunities throughout the Plan area. This should also help retain young people in communities, particularly some of the more rural ones, thus sustaining or improving the demographic balance within communities.

Policy PS14 (Welsh language and culture) also, directly promotes and supports the use of the Welsh language in the Plan area and seeks to avoid any significant harm to the character and language balance of a community caused by inappropriate development.

It is of vital importance that the Plan provides a sufficient housing supply to meet local needs in order to retain the population in their communities. It is considered that the strategy provides for the changes that are forecast in the population during the Plan period.

Implications to Deposit JLDP The detailed policies in the Deposit plan should:

 secure a balance in communities’ social composition by facilitating development that meets the social and economic needs of all sections of society, thus ensuring the retainment of the population and make the area more attractive for working age people who have left the area to return.

 ensure that housing allocations are in appropriate areas and facilitate the development of an appropriate mix of housing types and affordability that meet local needs of resident communities rather than the requirements of immigration or holiday home needs.

 facilitate the sufficient provision of affordable housing for local need that meet the requirements of communities.

 promote appropriate economic development and provide economic opportunities, including in rural areas, to ensure that the area is attractive to the existing population and those who would wish to return to the area.

 require a Language Impact Assessments as part of planning applications for developments that are likely to have an impact on the Welsh language.

 Review the existing Supplementary Planning Guidance and amend accordingly

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

3. Is the strategy likely to lead to out-migration? a) Is the process of out-migration likely to result in a loss of Welsh speaking households? b) Will any change be permanent or temporary?

Background Out-migration of people from a particular community depends on the type of development occurring as well as the existing population structure of the particular community. For example, the conversion of social facilities to residential use may discourage young people to remain in or return to the community. Another key example is the lack of employment opportunities and/ or opportunities to gain the relevant skills to access the employment market

Baseline Analysis See baseline analysis for criterion 2 above

Language Impact Assessment The proportionate distribution of development throughout the Plan area, including the countryside, should help support community vitality by providing housing, facilities and services locally, where they are required and accessible by a variety of modes of transport. In turn, this should promote the retainment of the indigenous population and therefore the use of the Welsh language.

Policy PS3 (Settlement Strategy) outlines the hierarchy for service provision and investment, the spatial distribution of housing and Policy PS8 provides the framework to distribute employment growth throughout the Plan area. The emerging emerging Preferred Strategy recognises that smaller centres and villages, if they are to remain sustainable, have the opportunity to accommodate new development. This will protect the level of facilities and services in existing settlements. In order to address the local need for housing in more rural areas, clusters that can accommodate small- scale infill development are also identified. Overall, the Policy ensures the scale of development is appropriate to the size of the settlement and that linguistic capacity is accounted for. In addition, the Policy stipulates that no open market housing sites will be allocated in some types of Villages and in all Clusters which should make it easier for local people to purchase new homes and in turn, encourage young Welsh speaking people to remain in or return to their communities.

Policy PS11 (A balanced housing provision) and PS12 (Affordable housing) directly facilitate an adequate amount of housing to satisfy the needs of local communities in terms of type and affordability. They also facilitate the development of a range of housing types and tenures to meet the needs of all sections of the population including older people’s housing. This will help create sustainable and inclusive communities.

The emerging Preferred Strategy also aims to safeguard sites or make specific employment allocations mainly within the Regional Sub Centre and the urban Service centres and some allocations within the Rural Service Centres. Appropriate small scale employment opportunities are also supported in and around Villages, clusters

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy and the countryside. This should help retain young people in their communities, thus benefitting the Welsh language.

Strategic policies relating to the economy, namely PS8, PS9 and PS10 should benefit communities by facilitating local economic development which will improve community vitality, thus helping to retain the existing population.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Deposit Plan should:

 secure a balance in communities’ social composition by facilitating development that meets the social and economic needs of all sections of society, thus ensuring the retainment of the population and make the area more attractive for working age people who have left the area to return.

 ensure that housing allocations are in appropriate areas and facilitate the development of an appropriate mix of housing types and affordability that meet local needs of resident communities rather than the requirements of immigration or holiday home needs.

 facilitate the sufficient provision of affordable housing for local need that meet the requirements of communities.

 promote appropriate economic development and provide economic opportunities, including in rural areas, to ensure that the area is attractive to the existing population and those who would wish to return to the area.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

4. Is the strategy likely to lead to a changing age structure of the community? a) Lead to young / middle-aged / older Welsh speaking people leaving / moving into the area, leading to: i) Changes in traditional activity patterns, resulting in an increasing desire to move away? ii) Social tensions / break-up of traditional social networks

Background Development can greatly influence the structure of the population in any given community. The type of development can determine whether a particular age group is likely to leave an area and whether a different age group is likely to move into an area.

Baseline Analysis

Analysis of Gwynedd’s population according to age and sex (mid-2010)

Age Men Women All Age Men Women All

0-4 3,276 3,228 6,504 50-54 3,547 3,783 7,330 5-9 3,106 2,927 6,033 55-59 3,630 3,722 7,352 10-14 3,471 3,315 6,786 60-64 4,340 4,252 8,592 15-19 4,378 4,434 8,812 65-69 3,428 3,593 7,021 20-24 5,090 5,026 10,116 70-74 2,630 2,984 5,614 25-29 3,194 3,077 6,271 75-79 2,048 2,587 4,635

30-34 2,746 2,737 5,483 80-84 1,430 3,632 2,202 35-39 3,281 3,327 6,608 85-89 775 1,510 2,285 40-44 3,475 3,780 7,255 90+ 246 701 947 45-49 3,863 3,868 7,731 TOTAL 57,954 61,053 119,007

Source: Stats Wales

Analysis of Anglesey’s population according to age and sex (mid-2010)

Age Men Women All Age Men Women All

0-4 2,007 1,827 3,834 50-54 2,204 2,324 4,528 5-9 1,888 1,731 3,619 55-59 2,286 2,369 4,655 10-14 2,018 1,932 3,950 60-64 2,607 2,919 5,526 15-19 2,160 2,008 4,168 65-69 2,345 2,340 4,685 20-24 1,929 1,726 3,655 70-74 1,828 1,899 3,727 25-29 1,778 1,652 3,430 75-79 1,217 1,449 2,666

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30-34 1,608 1,741 3,349 80-84 863 2,075 1,212 35-39 1,872 1,957 3,829 85-89 393 818 1,211 40-44 2,060 2,305 4,365 90+ 194 459 653 45-49 2,271 2,396 4,667

TOTAL 33,528 35,064 68,592

Source: Stats Wales

Population pyramid – Gwynedd (mid-2010)

90+ 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-.14 5-.9 0-4

-6,000 -4,000 -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 Poblogaeth

Males in Gwynedd 2010 Females in Gwynedd 2010

Source: Stats Wales

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

Population pyramid – Anglesey (mid-2010)

90+ 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-.14 5-.9 0-4

-3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 Poblogaeth

Males in Anglesey 2010 Females in Anglesey 2010

Gwynedd

 More people within the 20-24 age group in Gwynedd in 2010 than in any other age group. It is likely that the students who attend Bangor University are an important factor in relation to this.  Following this, the two most populated age groups were 15-19 and 60-64.  The percentage of the population in the 30-34 age group in 2010 was relatively low compared with some of the other age categories on either side of it.

Anglesey

 The pattern of the population pyramid for Anglesey in 2010 is slightly different to the population pyramid for Gwynedd.  The proportion of the population in the 20-24 age category is lower in Anglesey than in Gwynedd.  More people included in the 60-64 age group in Anglesey in 2010 than in any other age group.  Following this, the most populated age categories were 65-69, 45-49, 55-59, 50- 54 and 15-19 (all with more than 4,000 people).  It is noted that the number of people in the four age groups between 20 and 39 years old were all fewer than 4,000.

The historic distribution of the population in Gwynedd

0-15 years old 16-64 years old 65+ years old Total (number and (number and (number and Year populatio percentage of percentage of the percentage of the n the population) population) population)

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

2001 116,844 22,603 (19.3%) 72,016 (61.6%) 22,225 (19.0%) 2002 117,231 22,578 (19.3 %) 72,236 (61.6%) 22,417 (19.1%) 2003 117,787 22,477 (19.1%) 72,696 (61.7%) 22,614 (19.2%) 2004 118,340 22,170 (18.7%) 73,463 (62.1%) 22,707 (19.2%) 2005 118,100 21,825 (18.5%) 73,450 (62.2%) 22,825 (19.3%) 2006 118,370 21,718 (18.3%) 73,672 (62.2%) 22,980 (19.4%) 2007 118,585 21,517 (18.1%) 73,890 (62.3%) 23,178 (19.5%) 2008 118,590 21,170 (17.9%) 73,893 (62.3%) 23,527 (19.8%) 2009 118,767 20,946 (17.6%) 73,908 (62.2%) 23,913 (20.1%) 2010 119,007 20,765 (17.4%) 74,108 (62.3%) 24,134 (20.3%) Difference 2001-10 +1.9% -8.1% +2.9% +8.6% (percentag e)

The historic distribution of the population in Anglesey

0-15 years old 16-64 years old 65+ years old Total (number and (number and (number and Year populatio percentage of the percentage of the percentage of the n population) population) population) 2001 67,806 13,219 (19.5%) 41,775 (61.6%) 12,812 (18.9%) 2002 67,862 13,099 (19.3 %) 41,782 (61.6%) 12,981 (19.1%) 2003 68,050 12,947 (19.0%) 41,935 (61.6%) 13,168 (19.4%) 2004 68,271 12,880 (18.9%) 42,013 (61.5%) 13,378 (19.6%) 2005 68,483 12,772 (18.6%) 42,120 (61.5%) 13,591 (19.8%) 2006 68,647 12,666 (18.5%) 42,225 (61.5%) 13,756 (20.0%) 2007 68,763 12,526 (18.2%) 42,205 (61.4%) 14,032 (20.4%) 2008 68,799 12,369 (18.0%) 42,017 (61.1%) 14,413 (20.9%)

2009 68,768 12,328 (17.9%) 41,732 (60.7%) 14,708 (21.4%)

2010 68,592 12,289 (17.9%) 41,286 (60.2%) 15,017 (21.9%) Difference 2001-10 +1.2% -7.0% -1.2% +17.2% (percentag e)

Source: Stats Wales

 The number of people who are under 16 years old (in terms of number and percentage) has decreased every year between 2001 and 2010 in Gwynedd and Anglesey. There has been a significant decrease in the number of individuals within this age category in both local authority areas between 2001 and 2010.

 The number of people over 65 years old has increased annually in Gwynedd and

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

Anglesey between 2001 and 2010. There was a significant increase in the number of individuals in this age category in both local authority areas between 2001 and 2010.

 The percentage of the population who are over 65 years old has increased annually in Gwynedd and Anglesey between 2001 and 2010 (with the exception of 2003-04 in Gwynedd, where the figure was constant).

 The same trends can be seen in Gwynedd and Anglesey in terms of these aspects.

Language Impact Assessment The emerging Preferred Strategy recognises that the population is getting older. The proportionate distribution of development facilitated under the preferred spatial option is likely to encourage younger people to remain in or return to their communities, thus creating more balanced communities which will subsequently improve community viability and cohesion in the Plan Area as a whole. This will be achieved by offering a variety of housing, including affordable housing as well as the provision for a range of employment needs that are distributed across the Plan Area. Policy PS12 on Affordable Housing, in particular, aims to facilitate the development of affordable housing that meets local needs which should encourage young people to remain in their communities.

The emerging Preferred Strategy aims to safeguard sites or make specific employment allocations mainly within the Regional Sub Centre and the Urban Service centres and some allocations within the Rural Service Centres. Appropriate small scale employment opportunities are also supported in and around Villages, clusters and the countryside. This should also help retain young people in their communities, thus benefitting the Welsh language.

To address the ageing population, it is important that a range of suitable housing is provided, as well as a provision of residential care development so that the older population can remain in their communities. A significant proportion of the forecast future increase in households will be of people aged over 65, so a provision of suitable housing for older people, especially within larger development schemes will be sought.

However, as many key services (e.g. health services and facilities) are located in the key settlements, older people within rural communities may find it difficult to access these. The exact impact will depend on the location of development (housing as well as health related development) in relation to an effective transport network.

Overall, however, it is difficult to predict the exact range of possible impacts upon the age structure of the population in the Plan Area. Much will depend on a variety of factors including the provision of facilities and services in settlements, house prices and employment opportunities.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Deposit Plan should:

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

 facilitate the development of an effective and sustainable transport system which would enable people of all age groups, but in particular older people, to access key services and facilities that are located in the main settlements.

 facilitate appropriate housing for people of all ages.

 ensure that there are flexible policies for economic opportunities in rural areas including agricultural diversification.

 secure a balance in communities’ social composition by facilitating development that meets the social and economic needs of all sections of society, thus ensuring the retainment of the population and make the area more attractive for working age people who have left the area to return.

 ensure that housing allocations are in appropriate areas and facilitate the development of an appropriate mix of housing types and affordability that meet local needs of resident communities rather than the requirements of immigration or holiday home needs.

 promote appropriate economic development and provide economic opportunities, including in rural areas, to ensure that the area is attractive to the existing population and those who would wish to return to the area.

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5. Is the strategy likely to have an impact on the health of local people? a) Increase the risk of illness, therefore reducing the desirability to live in the community? b) Potentially make life more expensive, therefore increasing the risk of financial problems / stress of the local Welsh speaking population.

Background Health and community are inextricably linked. For example, health deprivation may increase if housing is unsuited to needs, if road and infrastructure is poorly planned, there are limited opportunities to walk or cycle, or there are limited accessible open spaces of recreational value. These kinds of reductions in quality of life can impact on community stability and people who can afford to move away may do so, thus causing social deterioration which can ultimately affect the Welsh language.

Baseline Analysis In 2001, 70% of the population of Gwynedd and 68% in Anglesey described their health as ‘good’, which exceeded the ‘good’ health rate for Wales of 65.1%. The proportion for Gwynedd is the highest of all Unitary Authorities in Wales. The overall proportion of the Welsh population that described their health as ‘not good’ was higher than the comparative figure for both Gwynedd and Anglesey as shown in the table below:

General Health (2001) Fairly good Not good Good Health health health

All People Number % Number % Number %

Anglesey 66,168 44,825 68 14,557 22 6786 10.2 Gwynedd 113,835 79,260 70 23,905 21 10,670 9.4 Wales 2,903,085 1,888,849 65.1 652,769 22.5 361,467 12.5

General Health in Anglesey, Gwynedd and Wales (2001)

80

70

60

50

Anglesey

% 40 Gwynedd Wales

30

20

10

0 Good Health Fairly Good Health Not Good Health

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The following table illustrates the general health of the population on a ward level.

General Health by Ward (2001) % people who % people who All People described their described their health as ‘good’ health as ‘not good’ Bethel (Gwynedd) Talysarn (Gwynedd) Highest (78.2) (14) Cwm y Glo (Gwynedd) Aberffraw (Gwynedd) Second Highest (78.2) (13.6) Pentir (Gwynedd) Morawelon (Anglesey) Third Highest (76.3) (13) Llanbedrgoch Llanuwchllyn Third Lowest (Anglesey) (61.3) (Gwynedd) (6.3) Tywyn (Gwynedd) Cwm Cadnant Second Lowest (61.1) (Anglesey) (6) Dyffryn Ardudwy Bethel (Gwynedd) Lowest (Gwynedd) (60) (4.9)

In 2001, 20.1% of the population of Gwynedd stated that they had a limiting long term illness compared to 22.7% of the population of Wales. Anglesey had a slightly higher proportion (21.7%) though this was lower than the national figure.

Limiting Long-term Illness

All People With a limiting long- term illness Number % Gwynedd 113,837 24,122 20.6 Anglesey 66,167 14,406 21.7 Wales 2,903,085 675,662 23.3

Limiting Long-term Illness by Unitary Authority (2001)

Wrexham 21.5 78.5 The Vale of Glamorgan 19.9 80.1 Torfaen 24.8 75.2 Swansea 24.7 75.3 Rhondda; Cynon; Taff 27.2 72.8 Powys 20.4 79.6 Pembrokeshire 22.3 77.7 Newport 21.6 78.4 Neath Port Talbot 29.4 70.6 Monmouthshire 19.1 80.9 Merthyr Tydfil 30 70 Isle of Anglesey 22.4 77.6 Gwynedd 20.6 79.4 Flintshire 19.2 80.8 Denbighshire 23.4 76.6 Conwy 23.5 76.5 Ceredigion 20.7 79.3 Carmarthenshire 26.3 73.7 Cardiff 18.8 81.2 Caerphilly 26.3 73.7 Bridgend 25 75 Blaenau Gwent 28.3 71.7 Wales 23.3 76.7

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

% with a LLTI % without a LLTI

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13 of Gwynedd’s wards had a higher percentage than the Welsh average. The 4 wards in Gwynedd with the highest rates of limiting long-term illness were Llanbedrog (31%), Talysarn (26.4%), Cadnant Caernarfon (26%) and Penygroes (25.6%).

In Anglesey, 17 wards had a higher percentage than the Welsh average. The 5 wards in Anglesey with the highest rates of limiting long-term illness were Llanbedrgoch (28.5%), Aberffraw (26.5%), Rhosyr (26.3%), Maeshyfryd (26.2%) and Amlwch Rural (25.7%).

General Health Conditions (2009-2010)

Gwynedd Anglesey Wales % of adults who reported currently 18 19 20 being treated for high blood pressure % of adults who reported currently 9 8 9 being treated for a heart condition % of adults who reported currently 12 14 14 being treated for a respiratory illness % of adults who reported currently 7 9 10 being treated for a mental illness % of adults who reported currently 6 5 6 being treated for diabetes % of adults who reported currently 12 11 13 being treated for arthritis

The greatest burden of ill-health in the population now relates to chronic long-term conditions, including heart disease, diabetes, arthritis, respiratory disease, neurological conditions such as epilepsy and chronic pain. Not only do these conditions limit the quality of life for those who suffer from them, but if poorly managed, lead to unnecessary hospital admissions, depression and anxiety, isolation, multiple drug treatments, and increased demand for daily care from health and social care providers, voluntary organisations or from informal carers such as family friends (Gwynedd Health and Well-Being Strategy 2007-2011).

Gwynedd and Anglesey have a higher cancer rate than the national average (418 and 424.4 per 100,000 respectively, compared to 410 in Wales between 2004- 2006)5.

Language Impact Assessment The proposed strategy and proposals are not considered likely to have a negative effect on the health of the population for a number of reasons.

The proportionate distribution of development throughout the Plan area addresses the needs of the urban as well as the rural population and ensures that a wide proportion of the population have good access to socio-economic services and facilities. The overall health benefits would therefore be apportioned equally throughout the Plan Area. By facilitating new housing and providing for economic

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy development, the Strategy will improve community vitality and well-being.

The strategy will help ensure the provision of infrastructure, services and facilities needed to sustain and enhance communities. Policies to help achieve this outcome include PS5 (Infrastructure and developer contributions), PS6 (Proposals for large infrastructure projects), PS20 (Community Infrastructure) and PS22 (Sustainable transport, development and accessibility). These will help support initiatives that build stable, safe, healthy and strong communities, which means respecting and enhancing the Welsh language and culture.

Focusing the majority of development in the main centres, will also mean that residents would be closer to services, facilities and employment opportunities, thus reducing the need to travel which should help reduce greenhouse gas emissions associated with private transport and improve the health of the general population

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Deposit Plan should:

 promote healthy lifestyles and facilitate the development of healthy modes of transport including walking and cycling.

 ensure that all communities in the Plan area are connected to an effective sustainable transport network.

 promote easy access to open spaces , services and leisure and sports facilities and open spaces.

 should facilitate the development of appropriate healthcare facilities that are accessible to all sections of the community.

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6. Is the strategy likely to have an impact on the amenity of the local area? a) Deteriorate the environmental quality, therefore reducing the desirability to live in the community?

Background A deterioration in environmental quality or general amenity may initiate out-migration of households with greater spending power. This, in turn, can impact on the balance of Welsh / English speaking residents.

Baseline Analysis Anglesey and Gwynedd have a rich and varied biodiversity resource. In 2005, 36% of ‘priority habitats’ in Wales were stable or increasing compared to 30% in 2002. The habitat and species action plans of both authorities identify a number of important species and habitats and outline the status of the habitat/species in question, the factors that affect them along with proposed actions to undertake to improve their status. In order to improve the condition of these species and habitats, there needs to be effective management of their features.

The JLDP area has a vast array of protected sites designated under national and international legislation because of their ecological and biodiversity value. However, the integrity of many of the sites is under constant threat.

In 2009, 66 Sites of Special Scientific Interest (SSSIs) within Gwynedd were classed as being in an unfavourable condition whilst 72 were classed as being in a favourable condition. Pressures from development, for example from increased recreational activity, can contribute to a wider range of issues, such as climate change that threaten SSSI condition.

Pressures upon National Nature Reserves (NNRs) which relate to development plans include climate change, invasive species, drainage problems, nutrient enrichment from external water sources, changes to water levels, coastal development and flood defence, and poor water quality. On a national scale, in May 2008, only 43% of NNRs were judged to have a favourable status i.e. all the assessed features have favourable or unfavourable recovering status.

A number of pressures also currently face Natura 2000 sites. Threats to these sites include coastal developments (e.g. slipways, marinas, harbours), agricultural practices, new roads, tourism and recreational pressures, water pollution, waste impacts (e.g. fly-tipping, litter), invasive species, forestry, inappropriate grazing and adverse effects from development in general. Forty five per cent of all Natura 2000 species were in favourable condition between 2000 to 2009 in Wales.

The JLDP area also has a valued landscape resource which includes numerous designated areas such as historic parks and gardens, landscape conservation areas, historic landscapes and the AONB. The area is also particularly renowned for its coastal landscapes and seascapes with the entire coastline of Anglesey designated as an AONB. Gwynedd’s Llŷn Peninsula AONB also shares heritage coast status in

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy recognition of its rich historical, geological, geographical and ecological assets.

Gwynedd and Anglesey have the 2nd and 9th highest number, respectively, of listed buildings in Wales. However, a proportion of these buildings are under threat and 11% in gwynedd are classified as being ‘at risk’, whilst in Anglesey, 12% of all listed buildings come under this category. Gwynedd also has a relatively high number of Conservation Areas – 40 in total (the 2nd highest number in Wales), whilst Anglesey has 12 such designations.

Language Impact Assessment New development, properly managed, should maintain areas of historic/ cultural importance or improve the quality of the existing built environment. As the Preferred Spatial option allows a more proportionate distribution of development, the potential impact on the environment including landscapes and townscapes will be more dispersed across the Plan Area. Limited new development will be permitted in most settlements which will contribute to natural settlement growth patterns which subsequently will be less likely to impact on amenity values of local areas.

Even though the dispersed pattern of development may reduce the contributions by developers to facilities and public amenities, the true impact will very much depend on the scale, nature and location of new development in relation to townscapes and landscapes of value. Development would need to be designed to a high standard incorporating existing townscape and rural character.

The strategy aims to maintain the plan area’s special mixed urban / rural character as well as its distinctive linguistic and cultural character. The individual character and complementary roles of town centres will be enhanced through development, improvements to the public realm, to public transport facilities, and to pedestrian / cycle links. The strategy will help ensure the provision of infrastructure, services and facilities needed to sustain and enhance communities.

Policy PS1 (Sustainable Development), PS15 (Conserving and enhancing the natural environment) and PS16 (Protecting and enhancing cultural and heritage assets) aim to: promote the improvement of the built, historic and natural environmental; conserve and enhance the natural environment; and protect and conserve cultural and heritage assets respectively; all of which should have a beneficial impact upon amenity.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Deposit Plan should:

 ensure that social issues receive appropriate consideration as the Plan proceeds to create specific policies / designations/ supplementary guidance for amenity sites / leisure facilities on the island.

 ensure that development is designed to a high standard that doesn’t have a detrimental effect on the form and character of the surrounding townscape, landscape or the natural or historic environment.

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 ensure that the impact on visual amenity is minimised and opportunities for enhancement sought.

 require developers, where appropriate, to contribute towards the enhancement or improvement of amenities.

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7. Is the strategy likely to lead to the threat of increased crime or violence in the community? a) Increase the risk of crime or violence, therefore reducing the desirability to live in the community?

Background Increases in crime, or heightened fear of crime, may increase out-migration which can threaten social balance and is likely to work contrary to the interests of the Welsh language, which can only thrive in balanced, sustainable communities.

Baseline Analysis Gwynedd and Anglesey have relatively low crime rates compared to the rest of Wales with rates steadily decreasing. In 2006/2007, recorded crime in Gwynedd and Anglesey was 73.5 and 67.7 per 100,000 population respectively compared to 87.5 in Wales). In 2009/10, Gwynedd and Anglesey had the 8th lowest and 4th lowest crime rate in Wales respectively.

Recorded Crime 2006-07 (per 100,000 population) Anglesey Gwynedd Wales Recorded Crime 67.7 73.5 87.5 Violence against the person 20.4 21.9 18.2

Burglary from a dwelling 1.3 1.7 3.6 Theft of a vehicle 1.3 1.3 3.8 Theft from a vehicle 2.1 3.5 8.6

Rate of Crime in Gwynedd (per 1,000 people)

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

Figure 7: Rate of Crime in Anglesey (per 1,000 people)

Language Impact Assessment Social deprivation is inexplicably linked to crime. Areas of deprivation are usually characterised by high unemployment rates, poor quality housing and a lack of community facilities and services. A proportionate distribution of development is likely to reduce deprivation in the Plan Area as a whole through the direct provision of new housing, economic development and community facilities and new infrastructure needed to sustain and enhance communities, which will help reduce crime, anti- social behaviour and the fear of crime.

Policy PS6 (Proposals for large infrastructure projects) and Policy PS7 (Nuclear related development at Wylfa) facilitate large scale developments which will lead to an influx of workers from outside the area. This could lead to the manifestation of antisocial behaviour caused by social tensions within communities. On the other hand, a criterion within the policy does specify the requirement for proposals to include appropriate measures for promoting social cohesion and community safety.

In addition, any anti-social behaviour will be mitigated to some degree by Strategic Policy PS1 (Sustainable Development) which specifically promotes high standards of design to reduce crime, anti-social behaviour and the fear of crime.

Implications to Deposit JLDP  Detailed policies and/or supplementary planning guidance should encourage the reduction of crime rates by promoting good design principles in all developments, including safe streets which improve the safety of communities.

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8. Is the strategy likely to have a detrimental impact on local businesses? a) Potentially lead to local – Welsh speaking – businesses closing down, due to:  A decline in overall local population?  An increase of non Welsh speaking residents?  An increase in harmful / helpful competition?

Background Inappropriate new development or the lack of suitable business opportunities can potentially have an adverse impact on existing local businesses by, e.g. reducing opportunities/ basis to expand, reducing customer base, which may lead to sections of the population being unable to access goods or services. Out-migration of Welsh speakers in search of a greater variety of goods and services can then occur.

Baseline Analysis As can be seen in the table below, in Anglesey, the proportion of businesses in the agricultural, forestry and fishing; and construction industries are significantly higher than in Wales overall, whilst in Gwynedd the proportion of industries in the agricultural, forestry and fishing; and accommodation and food services are significantly higher than the national comparative.

Businesses by Industry

% of all local Anglesey Gwynedd Wales business units Agriculture, Forestry & 21.1 19.7 12.4 Fishing Production 5.0 5.0 6.0 Construction 11.5 9.8 10.5 Motor Trades 3.0 2.6 3.4 Wholesale 3.4 3.0 3.9 Retail 11.5 12.6 12.1 Transport & Storage 3.4 2.7 3.5 Accommodation and 8.7 10.9 8.1 Food Services Information and 1.8 2.9 3.3 Communication FinanceandInsurance 1.2 1.4 2.0 Property 1.9 1.7 2.5 Professional, Scientific 6.0 5.4 8.4 & technical Business Admin & 6.0 5.2 6.6 Support Services Public Administration & 1.8 1.8 1.4 Defence Education 3.0 3.2 2.9 Health 5.1 5.4 6.4 Arts, Entertainment, 5.7 6.7 6.7 Recreation & Other Services

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Businesses by Size

Source: Infobase (March, 2012)

Language Impact Assessment The exact impact upon local businesses will depend on the scale, nature and location of new development in relation to existing businesses in the area. The emerging Preferred Strategy promotes employment opportunities in settlements within urban as well as rural areas which should contribute to diverse economic development. The economic strategy contained in the emerging Preferred Strategy highlights the need to increase economic output from a variety of sectors, raising the number of jobs as well as to provide for the formation of new businesses. Policy PS8 (Providing opportunity for a flourishing economy) in particular, supports economic development throughout the Plan Area as well as providing for education and training opportunities.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Deposit Plan should:

 ensure that there are appropriate policies for supporting existing businesses and create opportunities for local businesses especially in rural areas.

 facilitate small scale local economic development throughout the Plan Area.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

9. Is the strategy likely to have a detrimental impact on local jobs? a) Create jobs for the local – Welsh speaking – population (perhaps by virtue of local Welsh speaking people having the right skills)? b) Threaten jobs of the local – Welsh speaking – population (perhaps by causing the closure of local businesses).

Background New development can influence the number, type and quality of jobs available to the local labour market, which in turn, can influence out-migration/ in-migration rates.

Baseline Analysis Anglesey and Gwynedd are estimated to have higher economic activity rates than Wales as a whole with higher employment rates and lower unemployment rates than the national average. In June 2011, 74% of the working age population in both local authorities were economically active compared to 72.8% in Wales.

Economic Activity in Gwynedd, Anglesey and Wales (Jun 2010 Qtr)

Anglesey Gwynedd Wales % of working age people who are 58.6 54.8 58.0 employees % of working age people who are 69.7 69.5 66.8 employed % of working age people who are self 10.2 13.4 8.2 employed % of working age people who are 73.7 73.6 72.8 economically active % of working age people who are 5.5 5.6 8.3 unemployed % of working age people who are 5.2 4.0 6.6 economically inactive – want a job % of working age people who are 21.1 22.4 20.6 economically inactive – do not want a job

However, economic activity varies within the JLDP area with stronger rates around the Menai Hub compared to areas in the north and west of Anglesey and pockets of low economic activity rates in the wards of Peblig (Caernarfon) and Marchog (Bangor) for example26.

Job Seeker’s Allowance (Jan 2011) Anglesey Gwynedd Wales Number of working age people 1,899 2,506 75,163 who are claiming Job Seeker’s Allowance % of working age people who 4.6 3.4 4 are claiming Job Seeker’s Allowance

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

Number of people aged 17-24 565 780 24,805 who are claiming Job Seeker’s Allowance % of people aged 17-24 who are 29.8 31.1 33 claiming Job Seeker’s Allowance

Job Seekers Allowance Claimants (percentage)

Job Seekers Allowance Claimants (percentage)

Overall, claimant count rates have been lower in Gwynedd than the whole of Wales since around 2009. In January 2011, 2,506 of working aged people in Gwynedd were counted as being unemployed. This equated to 3.4% of the working age population, whilst the percentage for Wales was 4%. Unemployment varies dramatically between genders with 56% more men unemployed compared to women in Gwynedd during January 2009. Unemployment varies across Gwynedd. The table below illustrates the variations within the County.

Claimant unemployment at ward level (Jan 2011)

% of estimated Claimant working age unemployed population

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

Highest Peblig (8.2) Second Highest Marchog (7.3) Third highest Talysarn Third lowest Tudweiliog (1.0) Second lowest Llanuwchllyn (1.0)

Overall, claimant count rates have been higher in Anglesey than the whole of Wales since around 2009.In January 2011,899 people of working age in Anglesey were counted as being unemployed. This equated to 4.6% of the working age population (the 6th highest in Wales), whilst the percentage for Wales was 4%. Unemployment varies across Anglesey. The table below illustrates some of the variations within the County.

Claimant unemployment at ward level (January 2011)i

Claimant % of estimated Unemployed working age population Highest Holyhead Town (12.8) Second Highest Morawelon (12.3) Third highest Porthyfelin (9.4) Third lowest Cefni (1.8) Second lowest Llangoed (1.6) Lowest Braint (1.6)

Language Impact Assessment The emerging Preferred Strategy is unlikley to have a detrimental impact on local jobs in the plan Area. The economic strategy contained in the emerging Preferred Strategy highlights the need to increase economic output from a variety of sectors, raising the number of jobs and to provide for the formation of new businesses, which should help retain the existing Welsh-speaking workforce and attract previous working age residents to return to the area.

As the preferred spatial option facilitates a proportionate distribution of development, it will allow the economic development of both the main centres and the more rural settlements. This will lead to the provision of employment opportunities for a geographically wide range of the population and help improve disparities between income groups. The Strategy safeguards sites and make specific employment allocations mainly within the Regional Sub Centre and the urban Service centres and some allocations within the Rural Service Centres. Appropriate small scale employment opportunities are also supported in and around Villages, clusters and the countryside.

The Strategy also facilitates a range of initiatives to achieve higher skills, including promoting apprenticeships, retaining locally more graduates from the area’s university, and negotiating agreements with developers to provide workforce training.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

Strategic policies PS8 (Providing for a flourishing economy) directly support economic development throughout the Plan Area as well as providing for education and training opportunities, whilst Policy PS9 (The visitor economy) also supports tourism developments which should also benefit local communities and support the local economy. Policy PS10 (Town centres and retail) safeguards shops and services in rural service against their unnecessary loss and proposals for multi purpose community services are supported. Policy PS7 (Nuclear development at Wylfa) will facilitate the provision of employment opportunities for local communities both in the short and longer term.

An increase in the resident population may also have the effect of increasing demand for shops and commercial services, thus creating a viable local economy. However, the exact impact on employment will depend on the location and level inward investment to the area.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Deposit Plan should:

 ensure that there are appropriate policies for supporting existing businesses and create opportunities for local businesses especially in rural areas.

 facilitate small scale local economic development throughout the Plan Area.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

10. Is the strategy likely to lead to greater economic diversity? a) Potentially lead to a greater number of different jobs for the local – Welsh speaking – population due to economic diversification? b) Lead to increased in-migration of non-Welsh speakers?

Background New development may create new employment opportunities, with specific skills required: e.g. leisure / tourism development based on cultural industries and may require greater utilisation of the language as a labour market skill.

Baseline Analysis Type of employment

Some industries are more prevalent in Anglesey than others. In 2007, public administration, education and health were the greatest single employer of people in Anglesey (32.9%). The second highest was distribution, hotels and restaurants (25.4%), which also reflects the pattern in Wales as a wholeii.

Industry by sector in Anglesey and Wales (2008)

Industry Anglesey Wales Numbe Number % % r Agriculture and N/A N/A 18,300 1.5 fishing Energy and water N/A N/A 6,400 0.5 161,50 Manufacturing 2,800 14.9 13.7 0 Construction 1,200 6.5 61,000 5.2 Distribution, 272,50 hotels and 4,800 25.4 23.0 0 restaurants Transport and 1,300 6.9 50,600 4.3 communications Banking, finance 166,50 1,900 9.9 14.1 and insurance 0 Public administration, 389,60 5,400 28.3 32.9 education and 0 health Other services 800 4.3 56,600 4.8

There are significant variations in the GVA performance of different industry sectors between 1996 and 2008 as % of all industries:  Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing decreased by 74.1%  Production increased by 36.3%  Distribution, transport and communication increased by 158.1%

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

 Business services and finance increased by 129.4%  Public administration, education, health and other services increased by 76.8%

GVA by industry, 1996-2008

900

800

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Agriculture, forestry and fishing Production Construction Distribution, transport and communication Business services and finance Public administration, education, health and other services Total GVA

The table below, based on 2001 Census data, shows the main industrial sectors for parts of Anglesey.

Ou tsi de Spatial Plan ‘Bridgehead Llangefni Holyhead th Hub ’ e Hu b Wholesale, retail 14. 15.4% 17.3% 15.3% 14.4% and repairs 6% Education 13.1% 16.4% Health and Social 12. 15.6% 13.1% 16.7% Work 3% Manufacturing 14. 18.8% 21.8% 6% Transport, storage, and 13.3% communications

From the above, it emerges that the wholesale and retail sectors (including vehicle and other repairs) are strong in all parts. The Menai Hub area has a strong services sector, predominantly in education, health and social care, which reflects the proximity to Bangor and the dependence on hospital, university and college services. Holyhead, on the other hand, has a more traditional industrial structure, where manufacturing and transport, storage and communications are stronger. Manufacturing may now be

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy entering a vulnerable period, with uncertainty and strong global competition. However, transport and communications are strong growth sectors, which can benefit from the ferry route to Ireland. Llangefni has the most diverse mix of services and traditional manufacturing.

Some industries are more prevalent in Gwynedd than others. In 2008, public administration, education and health were the greatest single employer of people in Gwynedd (32.9%). The second highest was distribution, hotels and restaurants (23.0%), which also reflects the pattern in Wales as a whole. For the same period, energy and water (0.5%) and agriculture and fishing (1.5%) were industries employing the least proportion of people in Gwynedd.

Industry by sector in Gwynedd and Wales (2008) Industry Gwynedd Wales Numbe Number % % r Agriculture and 300 0.6 18,300 1.5 fishing Energy and water 600 1.2 6,400 0.5 161,50 Manufacturing 3,700 7.6 13.7 0 Construction 2,200 4.5 61,000 5.2 Distribution, 272,50 hotels and 15,000 31.2 23.0 0 restaurants Transport and 1,700 3.6 50,600 4.3 communications Banking, finance 166,50 4,100 8.6 14.1 and insurance 0 Public administration, 389,60 17,900 37.3 32.9 education and 0 health Other services 2,600 5.3 56,600 4.8

There are significant variations in the GVA performance of different industry sectors between 1996 and 2008 as % of all industries:

 Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing decreased by 78.4%  Production decreased by 19%  Distribution, transport and communication increased by 68.2%  Business services and finance increased by 64.8%  Public administration, education, health and other services increased by 110%

GVA by industry, 1996-2008

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1 800

1 600

1 400

1 200

1 000

800

600

400

200

0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Agriculture, forestry and fishing Production Construction Distribution, transport and communication Business services and finance Public administration, education, health and other services Total GVA

Businesses by Industry

% of all local Anglesey Gwynedd Wales business units Agriculture, 21.1 19.7 12.4 Forestry & Fishing Production 5.0 5.0 6.0 Construction 11.5 9.8 10.5 Motor Trades 3.0 2.6 3.4 Wholesale 3.4 3.0 3.9 Retail 11.5 12.6 12.1 Transport & 3.4 2.7 3.5 Storage Accommodation 8.7 10.9 8.1 and Food Services Information and 1.8 2.9 3.3 Communication Finance and 1.2 1.4 2.0 Insurance Property 1.9 1.7 2.5 Professional, 6.0 5.4 8.4 Scientific & technical Business Admin & 6.0 5.2 6.6 Support Services Public 1.8 1.8 1.4 Administration & Defence Education 3.0 3.2 2.9 Health 5.1 5.4 6.4 Arts, 5.7 6.7 6.7 Entertainment,

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Recreation & Other Services

As can be seen in the table, the proportion of industries in the agricultural, forestry and fishing; and accommodation and food services are significantly higher than in Wales overall.

The structure of Anglesey’s economy will favour certain types of jobs more than others. In July 2009-2010, the three occupations most likely to be found in Anglesey were:  Skilled trade occupations - generally manual work, these trades are mainly associated with men and see a difference of +2.5% compared to the figure for Wales.  Associate professional and technical occupations - this occupation sees a difference between Anglesey and Wales of +2.0%.  Managers and senior officials – lower than the national average as a whole with a -2.2% difference between Anglesey and Wales figures.

In July 2009-2010, the three occupations most likely to be found in Gwynedd were:

 Skilled trade occupations - generally manual work, these trades are mainly associated with men and see a difference of +5% compared to the figure for Wales.  Elementary occupations - unskilled occupations such as plant and storage occupations, elementary and service occupations such as filing and cleaning. This occupation sees a difference between Gwynedd and Wales of +1.0%.  Managers and senior officials – comparable to Wales as a whole with only +1% difference between Gwynedd and Wales figures.

Language Impact Assessment As the preferred spatial option facilitates a more proportionate distribution of development, it would allow the economic development of both the main centres and the more rural settlements. This will lead to the provision of employment opportunities for a geographically wider range of the population and help improve disparities between income groups.

The economic strategy contained in the emerging Preferred Strategy promotes diverse economic development in the Plan Area and highlights the need to increase economic output from a variety of sectors, raising the number of jobs. The Strategy allocates employment land to achieve these objectives.

The figure for employment land provision on industrial and business sites is based on calculations included in the Anglesey and Gwynedd Employment Land Review (2011). The employment land provision figures exceeds what is likely to be built which will offer choice to developers and occupiers which should help facilitate a diverse pattern of economic development.

However, employment opportunities could attract non-Welsh speaking workers to the area. On the other hand, the lack of economic opportunities is one of the main

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy reasons why young people migrate, so the provision of new opportunities will help retain the young population in their communities. Policy PS14 (Welsh language and culture) seeks to avoid any significant harm to the character and language balance of a community caused by inappropriate development and requires a financial contribution through a Section 106 agreement in appropriate circumstances.

See also criteria 9 and 8 above.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Plan should:

 include an appropriate policy for promoting appropriate opportunities in rural areas and for agricultural diversification.

 promote the development of a variety of enterprises that are appropriate to particular areas.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

11. Is the strategy likely to have an impact on local wage / salary levels? a) Potentially increase / decrease wage / salary levels due to increase work force / business competition?

Background Competition within employment sectors may lead to labour market decisions on where they take up employment and the perceived quality of employment opportunities. In a competitive global economy, communities reliant on key employment may be vulnerable to adverse salary changes and business competition.

Baseline Analysis CACI Paycheck is used to calculate earnings. This data is income data collected from various commercial sources which is continuously updated as further information is obtained.

The median income in Anglesey in 2009 was £24,350, which was lower than the Wales median income (£24,750). Anglesey ranked 11th highest of the 22 Unitary Authorities of Wales on this measure.

Earnings in 2009 % households Median Income below 60% of (£) GB Median Gwynedd £23,050 34.5% Isle of £24,350 32.1% Anglesey Conwy £24950 30.9% Denbighshire £24,700 31.6% Flintshire £28,300 26.4% Wrexham £25,850 30% Wales £24,750 28%

A further analysis of CACI Paycheck Data in 2009 showed the following key results:

 61.5% of the county’s households have household income of less than £30K 13.5% of Anglesey’s households have a household income which is less than £10K.  38.5% of Anglesey’s households have a household income of £30K or more.  The wards with the highest median household income is Cwm Cadnant (£37,100) and the ward with the lowest mean household income is Morawelon (£16,450).

Average household earnings in Anglesey and Gwynedd are lower than the national average. In 2009, the median income was £23,050 and £24,350 in Gwynedd and Anglesey respectively, compared to £25,750 in Wales. There are considerable variations in household earnings within the JLDP area. In Anglesey, Morawelon has the lowest mean household income (£16,450) whilst in Gwynedd the ward with the lowest mean household income is Hirael (£17,700) (CACI Paycheck). This could reflect a combination of a lack of opportunities for higher paid employment; a lack of

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy local skilled labour, and potentially that there may be a percentage of the population that are not able to participate in higher skilled jobs in these areas. The median income in Gwynedd in 2009 was £23,050, which was lower than the North Wales and Wales median income (£24,750). Gwynedd ranked 17th of the 22 Unitary Authorities of Wales on this measure.

Earnings in 2009 % households Median below 60% of Income (£) GB Median Gwynedd £23,050 34.5% Isle of Anglesey £24,350 32.1% Conwy £24,950 30.9% Denbighshire £24,700 31.6% Flintshire £28,300 26.4% Wrexham £25,850 30% Wales £24,750 28%

A further analysis of CACI Paycheck Data in 2009 showed the following key results:

 64.8% of the county’s households had a household income of less than £30K. 14.6% of Gwynedd households had a household income which is less than £10K.  35.2% of Gwynedd households had a household income of £30K or more.  The ward with the highest mean household income is ward name missing? (£33,947) and the ward with the lowest mean household income is Marchog (£22,773)  The ward with the highest median household income is Cwm y Glo (£31,800) and the ward with the lowest median household income is Hirael (£17,700)

The Strategy facilitates a range of initiatives to achieve higher skills, including promoting apprenticeships, retaining locally more graduates from the area’s university, and negotiating agreements with developers to provide workforce training.

Language Impact Assessment The emerging Preferred Strategy is unlikley to have a detrimental impact on salary levels in the Plan Area. The economic strategy contained in the emerging Preferred Strategy highlights the need to increase economic output from a variety of sectors, raising the number of jobs and to provide for the formation of new businesses, which should help retain the existing Welsh-speaking workforce.

See also criteria 8, 9 and 10 above.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Deposit plan should:

 include an appropriate policy for promoting appropriate opportunities in rural areas and for agricultural diversification.

 promote the development of a variety of enterprises that are appropriate to particular areas.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

12. is the strategy likely to have an impact on the average cost of housing? a) Force local – Welsh speaking – people to leave the community? b) Potentially lead to an increase in homelessness / housing stress amongst local – Welsh speaking households? c)Prevent local Welsh speaking people from returning to the area / community?

Background The spatial distribution of development can lead to either an increase or decrease in house prices and this is likely to affect different sections of the community disproportionately. This may also cause either in-migration or out-migration and cause a specific impact on the extent of language usage within a community.

The favoured level of housing growth in the Preferred Strategy is the Medium Growth Option which will see about 511 housing units a year on average during the life of the Joint LDP. This equates to a total of 7,665 additional housing units by 2026. This growth level represents a higher building rate than that has been seen over the past decade. It is believed that this growth option will meet the needs of the local populations.

Baseline Analysis The JLDP area, like the rest of the UK, has seen a dramatic rise in house prices over recent years, although house prices are now beginning to slowly decrease. However, house prices remain significantly higher than the Welsh average.

Average prices of residential units

Gwynedd Anglesey Wales Period Price Property Price Property Price Property (£) count (£) count (£) count November 89,693 1,965 94,104 1,177 95,246 58,401 2002 May 2003 105,908 1,974 102,087 1,035 103,338 52,362 November 118,418 2,184 122,571 1,358 116,473 71,352 2003 May 2004 125,259 1,341 130,556 817 127,475 54,773 November 143,052 1,388 153,743 919 142,594 51,408 2004 May 2005 152,292 1,196 151,253 720 144,402 40,733 November 158,697 1,517 165,480 937 150,966 49,829 2005 May 2006 163,136 1,339 163,223 817 153,869 46,897 November 170,186 1,750 177,783 1,104 162,069 59,374 2006 May 2007 171,400 1,582 179,748 1,011 164,161 49,586

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

November 184,460 1,607 183,750 1,137 168,129 52,659 2007 May 2008 176,869 1,182 183,514 736 167,527 38,467 November 177,243 1,090 188,816 672 168,688 31,343 2008 May 2009 167,985 871 182,402 526 160,058 24,452 November 167,780 1,276 175,019 723 165,127 32,810 2009 May 2010 172,789 1,196 180,088 599 164,399 30,174 November 171,490 1,369 189,682 740 166,833 33,743 2010 May 2011 169,780 915 170,471 492 161,699 21,656

Source: Hometrack

200,000

180,000

160,000

140,000 s e

c 120,000 i

r Gwynedd p

e 100,000 Anglesey g a

r Wales

e 80,000 v A 60,000

40,000

20,000

0 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 ------v v v v v v v v v y y y y y y y y y o o o o o o o o o a a a a a a a a a N N N N N N N N N M M M M M M M M M Period

 Average house prices in Gwynedd increased during each of the periods noted up to November 2007 (a 105.7% increase in the average house price in Gwynedd between November 2002 and November 2007). Following this, a clear decrease in the average prices was seen. This trend probably reflects the economic problems that came to light in Britain in 2008.  The trend is slightly different in Anglesey since the information displays no obvious reduction in average house prices (with the exception of the period between November 2010 and May 2011). There was an increase of 98.5% in average house prices in Anglesey between November 2002 and November 2010 (i.e. the period displaying the highest average house

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

prices in the table) and 95.3% between November 2002 and November 2007 (i.e. in order to compare with the figure noted for Gwynedd).  There is a clear reduction in the number properties that were relevant to consider (on the basis of sales and valuations) in Gwynedd and Anglesey after May 2008. This corresponds with the trend across the whole of Wales. It is presumed that this reflects the impact of the recession upon the housing market, as people are not willing/cannot afford to sell their houses for a price that is lower than what they bought their houses for. This means that less houses are available to be sold.

Affordability

Local Authority Affordability Local Affordability ratio Authority ratio Gwynedd 3.87 Anglesey 3.65 Selection of specific Selection Affordability Affordability wards of specific ratio ratio wards o

Abersoch 7.76 Llanfaethlu 5.29 i t e a h r t

Llanengan 7.65 Rhosneigr 5.29 y h t t i i l i

Aberdaron 6.92 Moelfre 5.18 w b t

a s s d e d r

r Llanbedrog 6.13 Beaumaris 5.07 h o a f g i f

W h a Botwnnog 5.87 Bodorgan 5.07

o Bowydd a i

t London

a Rhiw r

2.37 Road, 2.25

y (Blaenau t

i Holyhead l i Ffestiniog) b a

d Penisarwau Llanfair-yn- r 2.42 2.47 o

f n Neubwll f a

t Diffwys a s

e Maenoffere Porth

w 2.65 2.77 o

l n (Blaenau Amlwch

e Ffestiniog) h t Maeshyfry h

t Penrhyndeu i 2.71 d, 2.77 w

draeth

s Holyhead d r

a Porthyfelin, Ogwen 2.93 2.77 W Holyhead

Source: Hometrack

 During the period noted, median house prices in Gwynedd were 3.87 times greater than the median income. In Anglesey, this figure was 3.65. It is

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noted that these figures are higher than the ideal ratio, which are 2.9 for an individual income and 3.5 for dual income.  There are obvious differences in the affordability ratio between different wards in the planning authorities of Gwynedd and Anglesey.  In Gwynedd, median house prices are significantly higher than the median income in some wards in the Llŷn Peninsula.  Whilst the values of the highest affordability ratios in the Anglesey wards are lower than the corresponding figures in Gwynedd, clear differences can be seen between the values of the highest and lowest ratios.

Annual need for affordable housing

 The conclusions of the North West Wales Local Housing Market Assessment notes an annual affordable housing need of between 664 units (based on the Welsh Government’s household projections, 2003- based) and 828 units (based on the Welsh Government’s household projections, 2006-based) in Gwynedd. It is noted that these figures are based on a snapshot of the situation in December 2009 (agreed upon by the North West Wales Local Housing Market assessment Project Board).  With respect to Anglesey, the conclusions of the North West Wales Local Housing Market Assessment note an annual affordable housing need of between 249 units (based on the Welsh Government’s household projections, 2003-based) and 304 units (based on the Welsh Government’s household projections, 2006-based). Again, it is noted that these figures are based on a snapshot of the situation in December 2009 (agreed upon by the North West Wales Local Housing Market assessment Project Board).  These figures have been based on distributing the affordable housing need over a period o 5 years.  More recent research work has distributed the need for affordable housing over a period of 15 years in order to be consistent with the period of the Local Development Plans.  Further work therefore needs to be undertaken in order to establish what is the annual need for affordable housing. This topic paper will have to be updated after this work has been undertaken and agreed upon.  It is noted that this is not a statement of the number of affordable houses that will need to be built, as a portion of the need could also be met by alternative means.

Language Impact Assessment It is difficult at this stage to determine the exact impact the emerging Preferred Strategy will have upon house prices in the Plan Area. However, the Strategy should increase the availability, affordability and range of housing in the Plan Area.

The housing strategy facilitates the provision of affordable houses of an appropriate design and size. Based on the preferred Growth Scenario forecasts of hosuing requirements, the Strategy provides for 7,665 additional homes during 2011-2026 in the plan area, which provides opportunities for a realistically/ manageable higher rate of development than delivered during the last decade. A proportion of new homes will

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy be ‘affordable housing’ , either intermediate or social rented homes, subject to viability. This should make it easier for prospective homeowners to purchase or rent new homes, especially therefore residents with local connections.

Indeed, the emerging Preferred Strategy places great emphasis on providing housing opportunities to meet the needs of the local community particularly those of young people and the elderly. The distribution of housing across the Plan Area will provide more choice and greater flexibility for people to remain in their communities. The strategy also facilitates the provision of housing and economic opportunities in rural areas. This should also help retain young people in these communities.

The following strategic policies contained in the Strategy should help promote the development of affordable housing that meets the requirements of the local population: i) Policy PS1 Sustainable Development – aims to ensure that housing units meet the needs of the local population throughout their lives in terms of quality, types of tenure and affordability. ii) Policy PS3 (Settlement Strategy) ensures the scale of development is appropriate to the size of the settlement and that linguistic capacity is accounted for. In addition, the Policy stipulates that only no open market housing sites employment sites will be allocated in Villages and clusters which should make it easier for local people to purchase or rent new homes. iii)Policy PS11 (A balanced housing provision) and PS12 (Affordable housing) – directly facilitates an adequate amount of housing to satisfy the needs of local communities in terms of type and affordability. It also facilities the development of a range of housing types and tenures to meet the needs of all sections of the population including older people’s housing. This will help create sustainable and inclusive communities. iv)Policy PS14 (Welsh language and culture) also, directly promotes and supports the use of the Welsh language in the Plan area and seeks to avoid any significant harm to the character and language balance of a community caused by inappropriate development.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Deposit Plan should:

 Outline the requirement for local need affordable housing in new housing developments.

 Facilitate appropriate housing developments in locations where they are required most

 Promote the phasing of development in order to ensure that different areas and communities can cope with development without eroding the language’s position.

 Consider the implications a proliferation of second homes in the plan area.

Include measures to control the occupancy of new houses in specific areas.

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13. Is the strategy likely to have an impact on local schools? a) Threaten / secure local schools due to an increase / decrease of student rolls? b) Alter the balance between Welsh-speaking and non-Welsh speaking students?

Background Development can lead to local services such as schools, benefitting from an increase in younger population, whilst a lack of development and, in turn, no change or a deterioration in an existing imbalance in the existing age profiles of communities could threaten the future viability of schools.

Baseline Analysis The existing provision of schools in Anglesey and Gwynedd are as follows:

 102 primary schools, 14 secondary schools and 3 special needs schools in Gwynedd.

 49 primary schools, 5 secondary schools and one special school in Anglesey.

The location and capacity of schools will be a factor in the determination where development will be guided. Schools should have sufficient capacity to support any increase in population created by residential development. The Welsh language policy for schools in the Plan Area aims to ensure that all pupils in the county are in possession of balanced, age related bilingualism, to enable them to be full members of the bilingual society of which they are part.

Though the aim of the Policy is bilingualism, emphasis is placed on Welsh in the early years (to the end of KS1) in order to lay firm foundations for further development. In practice, this means that the majority of schools begin to introduce English formally at the end of KS1. In the other key stages, schools are expected to prepare for developing pupil's grasp on the Welsh language. This means that Welsh is taught as the first language in the County’s primary schools. This could lead to non-welsh speaking parents to learn or appreciate the language, thus strengthening its status in communities.

Language Impact Assessment It is difficult at this stage to determine what the likely impact of the emerging Preferred Strategy upon local schools will be as the impact will depend on the scale and location of new development.

Unplanned development of additional new houses in the catchment area of schools can place excessive and unacceptable pressure on their ability to operate effectively, due to the additional children that will need to be supported. Collaborative working and phasing of development can mitigate the effects. Planning obligations, which ensure contributions from developers towards local schools can be a means of overcoming this. Policy PS5 (Infrastructure and developer contributions) directly refers to the requirement for planning conditions or obligations as part of developments in appropriate cases.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

New development can also lead to an influx of non-Welsh speakers which can disturb the linguistic balance of schools. Developments that are more likely to have an unacceptable impact upon the language are usually those which are significant in size in relation to the existing structure of the community/ a community’s ability to absorb new housing development/ the type of housing market operating in the area, i.e. some housing market areas are more likely to be attractive to residents who already live in the Plan area as opposed to attracting second/ holiday home owners.

However, as part of the process of developing the emerging Preferred Strategy key facilities in settlements including local schools and their capacities have been considered. Settlements have also been categorised into a hierarchy that take into consideration the presence of schools and their ability to absorb new development in terms of their social character. In addition, Policy PS14 (Welsh language and culture) directly promotes and supports the use of the Welsh language in the Plan area and seeks to avoid any significant harm to the character and language balance of a community caused by inappropriate development.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Deposit Plan should:

 ensure that schools have sufficient capacity either now or in the future to meet the additional demand deriving from new residential development.

 Include measures to facilitate the delivery of a new development in a timely manner (i.e. in phases)

 Be supported by guidance that explains the requirement to negotiate planning obligations to secure educational contributions from developers in appropriate developments.

 Consider the Councils’ schools’ reorganisation process.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

14. Is the strategy likely to have an impact on health care provision? a) Threaten / secure local – Welsh medium – facilities / services?

Background The availability of health care facilities is a key determining factor for people deciding whether to remain in an area or move to an area for the first time. This is especially true for older people, where health centres have become social gathering places, supporting local Welsh-speaking networks.

Baseline Analysis In terms of primary care providers, the local network in Gwynedd and Anglesey comprises of:

Gwynedd Anglesey GP Practices 43 20 Dental Practices 21 12 (inc. non-NHS) Pharmacies 29 13 Opticians 21 6 Betsi Cadwaladr Website (June 2012)

Gwynedd’s secondary care providers include local hospitals namely Ysbyty Gwynedd in Bangor, which is the largest hospital and is the main adminstrative centre. It covers a large geographical area extending from Amlwch in the north to Tywyn in the south and from Pwllheli in the west to Llandudno in the east. Other local hospitals which provide health services to Gwynedd and Anglesey’s residents are Ysbyty Llandudno, Ysbyty Maelor, and Ysbyty Bronglais, all of which are located outside the Plan Area.

These are supported by a network of community hospitals:

 Eryri Hospital, Caernarfon  Bryn Beryl Hospital, Pwllheli  Alltwen Hospital, Tremadog  Dolgellau Hospital (Snowdonia National Park Planning Authority)  Tywyn Hospital  Ysbyty Ffestiniog, Blaenau Ffestiniog  Ysbyty Cefni, Llangefni  Ysbyty Penrhos Stanley, Holyhead

Language Impact Assessment Health care provision has been considered as part of the process of developing the emerging Preferred Strategy. It is recognised that an increase in the resident population is likely to put additional pressure on the capacity of existing healthcare facilities. However, this impact could be alleviated through requiring developers to contribute towards such services.

The majority of key health services and facilities are located within the main centres.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

This means that the preferred spatial strategy of focusing a higher proportion of development in the main centres, will allow the majority of the population to have good access to these facilities.

On the other hand, however, access to health services in some rural areas is poor. The draft Settlement Strategy in Policy PS3 directs development to a network of settlements that are supported by a, sustainable transport network, thus trying to ensure that the residents of new housing units have reasonable access to facilities and services. It is important that the plan facilitates the development of a sustainable transport network that improves accessibility in these areas. Policy PS22 (Sustainable transport, development and accessibility) also facilitates an improvement in access to services and facilities. In addition, the emerging Preferred Strategy directly facilitates the provision of new health care facilities.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Deposit Plan should:

 Be supported by guidance about the requirement for planning obligations to ensure that the developer provides or contributes towards the necessary facilities to meet the needs of the increasing population.

 Facilitate an efficient sustainable transport network in the Plan area including rural areas.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

15. Is the strategy likely to have an impact on the provision of local services, such as shops a) Threaten / secure local shops / post offices / banks / pubs in Welsh speaking communities, therefore forcing certain sections of the population out of the area / community e.g. the elderly or disabled, or the young?

Background The availability of local services and facilities play an important role in maintaining community vitality, and help retain the existing population to stay in their communities or attract people with local connections to return to an area.

Baseline Analysis

Number of businesses per business class use (2009)

Centre (Gwynedd) A1,A2, A3 Centre A1,A2, A3 Business Class (Gwynedd) Business Class Use Use Abermaw 114 Amlwch 58 Abersoch 42 Beaumaris 59 Bangor 268 Benllech 42 Bethesda 51 Cemaes 24 Blaenau 62 Gaerwen 6 Caernarfon 178 Caergybi 128 Criccieth 53 Llanfair PG 18 Llanberis 34 Llangefni 87 Nefyn 13 Menai Bridge 64 Penrhyndeudraeth 22 Rhosneigr 17 Penygroes 29 Valley 36 Porthmadog 129 Pwllheli 171 Tywyn 86 (Source: Anglesey and Gwynedd JPPU)

Language Impact Assessment The Strategy is unlikely to have a detrimental impact on the provision of local services such as shops at this stage. The Strategy seeks to ensure that development will be distributed to strengthen the network of settlements in accordance with the roles that will be set out in the Plan’s Settlement Hierarchy. This approach will help maintain the plan area’s special mixed urban / rural character as well as its distinctive linguistic and cultural character.

The emerging Preferred Strategy has taken into account the availability of services in settlements. Settlements have been categorised in a hierarchy based on the availability of services to meet the requirements of residents. This should ensure that services within communities should not be detrimentally affected by inappropriate levels of development.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

The Strategy also seeks to ensure that the individual character and complementary roles of town centres will be enhanced through development, improvements to the public realm, to public transport facilities, and to pedestrian / cycle links. It will also help ensure the provision of infrastructure, services and facilities needed to sustain and enhance communities. In particular, Policy PS10 (Town centres and retail) specifically aims to safeguard shops and services in rural service against their unnecessary loss and proposals for multi purpose community services are supported.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Plan should:

 Seek to safeguard local services and facilities in the Plan area in accessible locations.

 protect and enhance the character of settlements.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

16. Will the strategy potentially lead to social tensions, conflict or serious divisions within the – Welsh speaking – community? a) Have a significant uneven effect on different parts of the local community, potentially advantaging some groups and disadvantaging others? b) Violate traditional values of certain parts of the community?

Background Some forms of development may impact negatively on local communities leading to social tensions or conflict. For example, new shopping centres may threaten local stores which may be highly valued in the community. Such conflicts can lead people to believe that cultural concerns are not being considered, which in turn can have a demoralising effect in Welsh communities.

Baseline Analysis Social Isolation

Anglesey and Gwynedd are predominantly rural counties, but some parts are considerably more rural than others. A number of communities within the JLDP area are subject to the Communities 1st initiative and have problems including lack of shops and other local services, transport difficulties and home heating costs. There are also clusters of high unemployment rates and households claiming working family tax credit in some rural parts of Gwynedd and north western parts of Anglesey.

Social Exclusion

The Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation (WIMD) has shown that the majority of small areas in Gwynedd are less deprived than the average for Wales. However, there are pockets of relative deprivation within the authority, most notable in terms of housing and access to services. In the 10% most deprived Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) for Wales, there are above average numbers of LSOAs in Gwynedd for Housing (41%) and Access (24%). Access to services deprivation is higher in small villages and rural areas. Areas of pen Llyn are particularly deprived according to WIMD analysis. The assessment is similar in Anglesey. In the 10% most deprived LSOAs for Wales, there are above average numbers of LSOAs in Anglesey for Housing (10%) and Access (18%). 55% of the LSOAs in Anglesey were more deprived than the Welsh average.

Language Impact Assessment The exact impact upon different parts of communities will depend on the location and type of development. However, the proportionate distribution of development could potentially reduce inequalities by facilitating a more equal distribution of development in spatial terms. It permits limited new development, particularly housing in most settlements and contributes to organic settlement growth which subsequently will not adversely impact on community viability. It will also help support community vitality and support social inclusion and in turn help maintain cultural values within those communities.

The Strategy seeks to ensure that development will be distributed to strengthen the

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy network of settlements in accordance with the roles that will be set out in the Plan’s Settlement Hierarchy. This approach will help maintain the plan area’s special mixed urban / rural character as well as its distinctive linguistic and cultural character.

Policy PS14 (Welsh language and culture) also, directly promotes and supports the use of the Welsh language in the Plan area and seeks to avoid any significant harm to the character and language balance of a community caused by inappropriate development.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies in the Deposit Plan should:

 promote the social inclusion of all sections of society and should not discriminate against any one group.

 should require a Language Impact Assessments as part of planning applications that are likely to have an impact on the Welsh language.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013 Appendix 5 Strategy

17. Will the strategy potentially lead to changes in local – Welsh – traditions / cultures? a) Result in local – Welsh speaking – households moving away from the areas? b) lead to significant increase of non-local – non-Welsh speaking – households? c) Lead to an erosion of family ties or other social networks? d) Lead to significant changes to the economic or social context, threatening traditional lifestyles? e) Impact on local – Welsh speaking – households by introducing / accelerating social change? Background Some forms of development can lead to the removal of Welsh speakers or the introduction of non-Welsh speakers.

Baseline Analysis

See baseline analysis for criteria 1,2,3,10 above.

Language Impact Assessment Overall, the Strategy is unlikely to lead to significant changes in local Welsh traditions and cultures that may detrimentally impact upon the language.

The Strategy seeks to ensure that development will be distributed to strengthen the network of settlements in accordance with the roles that will be set out in the Plan’s Settlement Hierarchy. This approach will help maintain the plan area’s special mixed urban / rural character as well as its distinctive linguistic and cultural character.

As discussed in previous sections, the emerging Preferred Strategy helps retain young Welsh speaking residents in their communities by facilitating the development of affordable housing and by providing employment opportunities. Community vitality and viability is also enhanced through various policies in the Strategy. These will help support initiatives that build stable, safe, healthy and strong communities, which means respecting and enhancing the Welsh language and culture.

Implications to Deposit JLDP Detailed policies should ensure that the characteristics of existing communities are protected and enhanced by facilitating housing and employment opportunities where they are required.

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18. Is the strategy likely to have a potential impact on local voluntary / activity / youth groups? a) Force local people active in local groups to move out of the community, due to:  Drive an increase in unemployment / economic stress?  Drive an increase in house prices / housing stress?

Background Local voluntary, activity and youth groups have a significant influence upon the Welsh language by providing activities and support to residents. Such groups play an important role in maintaining community viability and well-being.

Baseline Analysis See baseline analysis for criteria 9 and 12.

Language Impact Assessment See assessment of criteria 9 and 12.

Implications to Deposit JLDP See assessment for criteria 9 and 12.

Anglesey and Gwynedd Joint Local Development Plan May 2013