February 21, 2020 Volume 4, No
This issue brought to you by 2020 House Ratings Toss-Up (2R, 7D) GA 7 (Open; Woodall, R) NY 11 (Rose, D) IA 3 (Axne, D) NY 22 (Brindisi, D) IL 13 (Davis, R) OK 5 (Horn, D) IL 14 (Underwood, D) SC 1 (Cunningham, D) FEBRUARY 21, 2020 VOLUME 4, NO. 4 UT 4 (McAdams, D) Tilt Democratic (9D) Tilt Republican (7R, 1I) CA 21 (Cox, D) IA 4 (King, R) 2020 House Overview: GA 6 (McBath, D) MI 3 (Amash, I)# IA 1 (Finkenauer, D) MN 1 (Hagedorn, R) IA 2 (Open; Loebsack, D) NJ 2 (Van Drew, R) The Bernie Factor ME 2 (Golden, D) PA 1 (Fitzpatrck, R) MN 7 (Peterson, DFL) PA 10 (Perry, R) By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales NJ 3 (Kim, D) TX 22 (Open; Olson, R) NM 2 (Torres Small, D) TX 24 (Open; Marchant, R) The House majority wasn’t regarded as in play, unless Democrats VA 7 (Spanberger, D) GOP DEM were to nominate Bernie Sanders for president. Now that the Vermont senator is a legitimate frontrunner, his impact from the top of the ticket 116th Congress 200 234 on Democratic control of the House should be taken seriously. Currently Solid 170 199 The conventional wisdom is that Sanders’ socialist policies will make Competitive 30 35 re-election far more difficult for the 30 Democrats sitting in districts Needed for majority 218 Donald Trump won in 2016. But a district by district analysis reveals a Lean Democratic (7D, 1R) Lean Republican (5R) more complicated situation. CA 48 (Rouda, D) MO 2 (Wagner, R) Sanders’ path to victory is to recreate the ‘Blue Wall’ that crumbled KS 3 (Davids, D) NE 2 (Bacon, R) in 2016, winning back Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, where NJ 7 (Malinowski, D) NY 2 (Open; King, R) his strident economic populism could resonate.
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