World Changing Ideas for 2018
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Automated Tackling of Disinformation
Automated tackling of disinformation STUDY Panel for the Future of Science and Technology European Science-Media Hub EPRS | European Parliamentary Research Service Scientific Foresight Unit (STOA) PE 624.278 – March 2019 EN Automated tackling of disinformation Major challenges ahead This study maps and analyses current and future threats from online misinformation, alongside currently adopted socio-technical and legal approaches. The challenges of evaluating their effectiveness and practical adoption are also discussed. Drawing on and complementing existing literature, the study summarises and analyses the findings of relevant journalistic and scientific studies and policy reports in relation to detecting, containing and countering online disinformation and propaganda campaigns. It traces recent developments and trends and identifies significant new or emerging challenges. It also addresses potential policy implications for the EU of current socio-technical solutions. ESMH | European Science-Media Hub AUTHORS This study was written by Alexandre Alaphilippe, Alexis Gizikis and Clara Hanot of EU DisinfoLab, and Kalina Bontcheva of The University of Sheffield, at the request of the Panel for the Future of Science and Technology (STOA). It has been financed under the European Science and Media Hub budget and managed by the Scientific Foresight Unit within the Directorate-General for Parliamentary Research Services (EPRS) of the Secretariat of the European Parliament. Acknowledgements The authors wish to thank all respondents to the online survey, as well as first draft, WeVerify, InVID, PHEME, REVEAL, and all other initiatives that contributed materials to the study. ADMINISTRATOR RESPONSIBLE Mihalis Kritikos, Scientific Foresight Unit To contact the publisher, please e-mail [email protected] LINGUISTIC VERSION Original: EN Manuscript completed in March 2019. -
Recent Trends in Online Foreign Influence Efforts
Recent Trends in Online Foreign Influence Efforts Diego A. Martin, Jacob N. Shapiro, Michelle Nedashkovskaya Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs Princeton University Princeton, New Jersey, United States E-mail: [email protected] Email: [email protected] E-mail: [email protected] Abstract: Foreign governments have used social media to influence politics in a range of countries by promoting propaganda, advocating controversial viewpoints, and spreading disinformation. We analyze 53 distinct foreign influence efforts (FIEs) targeting 24 different countries from 2013 through 2018. FIEs are defined as (i) coordinated campaigns by one state to impact one or more specific aspects of politics in another state (ii) through media channels, including social media, (iii) by producing content designed to appear indigenous to the target state. The objective of such campaigns can be quite broad and to date have included influencing political decisions by shaping election outcomes at various levels, shifting the political agenda on topics ranging from health to security, and encouraging political polarization. We draw on more than 460 media reports to identify FIEs, track their progress, and classify their features. Introduction Information and Communications Technologies (ICTs) have changed the way people communi- cate about politics and access information on a wide range of topics (Foley 2004, Chigona et al. 2009). Social media in particular has transformed communication between leaders and voters by enabling direct politician-to-voter engagement outside traditional avenues, such as speeches and press conferences (Ott 2017). In the 2016 U.S. presidential election, for example, social media platforms were more widely viewed than traditional editorial media and were central to the campaigns of both Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and Republican candidate Donald Trump (Enli 2017). -
Empirical Comparative Analysis of Bot Evidence in Social Networks
Bots in Nets: Empirical Comparative Analysis of Bot Evidence in Social Networks Ross Schuchard1(&) , Andrew Crooks1,2 , Anthony Stefanidis2,3 , and Arie Croitoru2 1 Computational Social Science Program, Department of Computational and Data Sciences, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA 22030, USA [email protected] 2 Department of Geography and Geoinformation Science, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA 22030, USA 3 Criminal Investigations and Network Analysis Center, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA 22030, USA Abstract. The emergence of social bots within online social networks (OSNs) to diffuse information at scale has given rise to many efforts to detect them. While methodologies employed to detect the evolving sophistication of bots continue to improve, much work can be done to characterize the impact of bots on communication networks. In this study, we present a framework to describe the pervasiveness and relative importance of participants recognized as bots in various OSN conversations. Specifically, we harvested over 30 million tweets from three major global events in 2016 (the U.S. Presidential Election, the Ukrainian Conflict and Turkish Political Censorship) and compared the con- versational patterns of bots and humans within each event. We further examined the social network structure of each conversation to determine if bots exhibited any particular network influence, while also determining bot participation in key emergent network communities. The results showed that although participants recognized as social bots comprised only 0.28% of all OSN users in this study, they accounted for a significantly large portion of prominent centrality rankings across the three conversations. This includes the identification of individual bots as top-10 influencer nodes out of a total corpus consisting of more than 2.8 million nodes. -
Hacks, Leaks and Disruptions | Russian Cyber Strategies
CHAILLOT PAPER Nº 148 — October 2018 Hacks, leaks and disruptions Russian cyber strategies EDITED BY Nicu Popescu and Stanislav Secrieru WITH CONTRIBUTIONS FROM Siim Alatalu, Irina Borogan, Elena Chernenko, Sven Herpig, Oscar Jonsson, Xymena Kurowska, Jarno Limnell, Patryk Pawlak, Piret Pernik, Thomas Reinhold, Anatoly Reshetnikov, Andrei Soldatov and Jean-Baptiste Jeangène Vilmer Chaillot Papers HACKS, LEAKS AND DISRUPTIONS RUSSIAN CYBER STRATEGIES Edited by Nicu Popescu and Stanislav Secrieru CHAILLOT PAPERS October 2018 148 Disclaimer The views expressed in this Chaillot Paper are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Institute or of the European Union. European Union Institute for Security Studies Paris Director: Gustav Lindstrom © EU Institute for Security Studies, 2018. Reproduction is authorised, provided prior permission is sought from the Institute and the source is acknowledged, save where otherwise stated. Contents Executive summary 5 Introduction: Russia’s cyber prowess – where, how and what for? 9 Nicu Popescu and Stanislav Secrieru Russia’s cyber posture Russia’s approach to cyber: the best defence is a good offence 15 1 Andrei Soldatov and Irina Borogan Russia’s trolling complex at home and abroad 25 2 Xymena Kurowska and Anatoly Reshetnikov Spotting the bear: credible attribution and Russian 3 operations in cyberspace 33 Sven Herpig and Thomas Reinhold Russia’s cyber diplomacy 43 4 Elena Chernenko Case studies of Russian cyberattacks The early days of cyberattacks: 5 the cases of Estonia, -
Artificial Intelligence and Countering Violent Extremism: a Primer
Artificial Intelligence and Countering Violent Extremism: A Primer ByMarie Hxxnry Schroeter Mxxhm, Inxxs Oxxlxxmxxnxx, xxnd Fxxnxx Sxxngxxr GNET xxsis a xxspecial spxxcxxl project prxxjxxct delivered dxxlxxvxxrxxd by the International by thxx Intxxrnxxtxxnxxl Centre Cxxntrxx fxxrfor the thxx Study Stxxdy of Radicalisation,xxf Rxxdxxcxxlxxsxxtxxn, King’s College Kxxng’s London. Cxxllxxgxx Lxxndxxn. The author of this report is Marie Schroeter, Mercator Fellow on New Technology in International Relations: Potentials and Limitations of Artifical Intelligence to Prevent Violent Extremism Online The Global Network on Extremism and Technology (GNET) is an academic research initiative backed by the Global Internet Forum to Counter Terrorism (GIFCT), an independent but industry‑funded initiative for better understanding, and counteracting, terrorist use of technology. GNET is convened and led by the International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation (ICSR), an academic research centre based within the Department of War Studies at King’s College London. The views and conclusions contained in this document are those of the authors and should not be interpreted as representing those, either expressed or implied, of GIFCT, GNET or ICSR. We would like to thank Tech Against Terrorism for their support with this report. CONTACT DETAILS For questions, queries and additional copies of this report, please contact: ICSR King’s College London Strand London WC2R 2LS United Kingdom T. +44 20 7848 2098 E. [email protected] Twitter: @GNET_research Like all other GNET publications, this report can be downloaded free of charge from the GNET website at www.gnet‑research.org. © GNET Artificial Intelligence and Countering Violent Extremism: A Primer Executive Summary Radicalisation can take place offline as well as online. -
Developing a Twitter Bot That Can Join a Discussion Using State-Of-The-Art Architectures
DEVELOPING A TWITTER BOT THAT CAN JOIN A DISCUSSION USING STATE-OF-THE-ART ARCHITECTURES A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE GRADUATE SCHOOL OF NATURAL AND APPLIED SCIENCES OF MIDDLE EAST TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY BY YUSUF MÜCAHIT˙ ÇETINKAYA˙ IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCE IN COMPUTER ENGINEERING AUGUST 2019 Approval of the thesis: DEVELOPING A TWITTER BOT THAT CAN JOIN A DISCUSSION USING STATE-OF-THE-ART ARCHITECTURES submitted by YUSUF MÜCAHIT˙ ÇETINKAYA˙ in partial fulfillment of the require- ments for the degree of Master of Science in Computer Engineering Department, Middle East Technical University by, Prof. Dr. Halil Kalıpçılar Dean, Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences Prof. Dr. Mehmet Halit Oguztüzün˘ Head of Department, Computer Engineering Prof. Dr. Ismail˙ Hakkı Toroslu Supervisor, Computer Engineering, METU Examining Committee Members: Prof. Dr. Tolga Can Computer Engineering, METU Prof. Dr. Ismail˙ Hakkı Toroslu Computer Engineering, METU Prof. Dr. Ahmet Co¸sar Computer Engineering, UTAA Date: I hereby declare that all information in this document has been obtained and presented in accordance with academic rules and ethical conduct. I also declare that, as required by these rules and conduct, I have fully cited and referenced all material and results that are not original to this work. Name, Surname: Yusuf Mücahit Çetinkaya Signature : iv ABSTRACT DEVELOPING A TWITTER BOT THAT CAN JOIN A DISCUSSION USING STATE-OF-THE-ART ARCHITECTURES Çetinkaya, Yusuf Mücahit M.S., Department of Computer Engineering Supervisor: Prof. Dr. Ismail˙ Hakkı Toroslu August 2019, 118 pages Twitter is today mostly used for sharing and commenting about news [1]. -
WEAPONS of MASS DISTRACTION: Foreign State-Sponsored Disinformation in the Digital Age
WEAPONS OF MASS DISTRACTION: Foreign State-Sponsored Disinformation in the Digital Age MARCH 2019 PARK ADVISORS | Weapons of Mass Distraction: Foreign State-Sponsored Disinformation in the Digital Age Authored by Christina Nemr and William Gangware Acknowledgements The authors are grateful to the following subject matter experts who provided input on early drafts of select excerpts: Dr. Drew Conway, Dr. Arie Kruglanski, Sean Murphy, Dr. Alina Polyakova, and Katerina Sedova. The authors also appreciate the contributions to this paper by Andrew Rothgaber and Brendan O’Donoghue of Park Advisors, as well as the editorial assistance provided by Rhonda Shore and Ryan Jacobs. This report was produced with support from the US Department of State’s Global Engagement Center. Any views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the US State Department, Park Advisors, or its subject matter expert consultants. Any errors contained in this report are the authors’ alone. PARK ADVISORS | Weapons of Mass Distraction: Foreign State-Sponsored Disinformation in the Digital Age 0. Table of Contents 01 Introduction and contextual analysis 04 How do we define disinformation? 06 What psychological factors drive vulnerabilities to disinformation and propaganda? 14 A look at foreign state-sponsored disinformation and propaganda 26 Platform-specific challenges and efforts to counter disinformation 39 Knowledge gaps and future technology challenges PARK ADVISORS | Weapons of Mass Distraction: Foreign State-Sponsored Disinformation in the Digital Age 1 Introduction and 1. contextual analysis On July 12, 2014, viewers of Russia’s main state-run television station, Channel One, were shown a horrific story. -
2021-CICS-Horizon-Report Master.Pdf
LEADERSHIP TEAM Dr. Dennis A. Trinkle, Director, Center for Information and Communication Sciences Dennis Trinkle is the Director for the Center of Information and Communication Sciences (CICS) and Director of the Applied Research Institutes at Ball State University. Dr. Trinkle brings a diverse multi-sector leadership background to his leadership of CICS, where he also holds the rank of Professor of Information Sciences and Communication. Prior to joining Ball State, Dr. Trinkle served as the system chief executive, provost, and chief academic officer for Harrison College. Dr. Trinkle has served leading institutions across the higher education, corporate, and government sectors, including serving as the chief executive officer of IHETS, chief information officer, associate vice president for academic affairs, and Tenzer Professor of Infor- mation Technology for DePauw University, and president, chief executive officer, and board chair for many companies and non-profit organizations. He is the author and editor of 17 books and more than 50 articles on entrepreneurship, technology, leadership, teaching and learning, and history. Together with Kevin Allen, CEO of EiGames, he developed the award-winning video game on the entrepreneurial process—Fireworks: The Entrepreneurship Experience (2018). His latest book: Recipes for Success: How to Start a Business was published in spring 2021. Christopher Nouhan, Graduate Student, Center for Information and Communication Sciences Christopher Nouhan is a Graduate Assistant for the Center for Information and Communication Sciences (CICS) at Ball State University. Prior to enrolling in CICS, Christopher attended Alma College, where he obtained a B.A. in New Media Studies. While at Alma College, he founded Bitworks Productions, a pre-pro- fessional program that bridged media students with community clients, providing professional development opportunities to his peers. -
Trends in Online Influence Efforts
Trends in Online Influence Efforts∗ Diego A. Martiny Jacob N. Shapiroz Julia G. Ilhardtx Version 2.0 August 5, 2020 Abstract Information and Communications Technologies (ICTs) create novel opportuni- ties for a wide range of political actors. Foreign governments have used social media to influence politics in a range of countries by promoting propaganda, advocating controversial viewpoints, and spreading disinformation. This report updates previ- ous work with data on 76 such foreign influence efforts (FIE) targeting 30 different countries from 2013 through 2019, as well as 20 domestic influence efforts (DIE) in which governments targeted their own citizens. Influence efforts (IEs) are de- fined as: (i) coordinated campaigns by a state or the ruling party in an autocracy to impact one or more specific aspects of politics at home or in another state, (ii) through media channels, including social media, by (iii) producing content designed to appear indigenous to the target state. The objective of such campaigns can be quite broad and to date have included shaping election outcomes at various levels, shifting the political agenda on topics ranging from health to security, and encour- aging political polarization. Our data draw on more than 920 media reports and 380 research articles/reports to identify IEs, track their progress, and classify their features. ∗We are grateful to a range of colleagues including Laura Courchesne, Nick Feamster, Andy Guess, Hans Klein, Brendan Stewart, and Alicia Wanless for helpful comments and feedback. Will Lowe provided invaluable advice on data structure and data entry. Jordan Allen, Nicola Bariletto, Arya Goel, Danielle Hull, Janette Lu, Imane Mabrouk, Matthew Merrigan, Justinas Mickus, Brendan O'Hara, Jan Oledan, Kamila Radjabova, Nina Sheridan, Joe Shipley, Jack Tait, Kamya Yadav, and Luca Zanotti provided excellent research assistance. -
"Deep Faking" Political Twitter Using Transfer Learning and GPT-2
"Deep Faking" Political Twitter using Transfer learning and GPT-2 Ryan Ressmeyer Sam Masling Department of Electrical Engineering Department of Computer Science Stanford University Stanford University [email protected] [email protected] Madeline Liao Department of Computer Science Stanford University [email protected] Abstract In the modern political climate, Twitter has become one of, if not the most impactful mediums for both current and aspiring politicians to communicate with their constituents. Our group attempted to replicate a variety of politicians’ twitter accounts using the recently released GPT-2 model from OpenAI and transfer learning. We compared our results to former state-of-the-art LSTM recurrent models to illustrate the advantages of transfer learning. Additionally, we used GPT-2 to extrapolate from a given context, allowing for robust tweet mapping from one user to another. 1 Introduction In recent election years, Twitter has become an increasingly important communication platform for American politicians. Our goal was to see if we could use state-of-the-art NLP techniques to not only recognize the different style and contents of tweets written by different politicians, but to actually generate similar tweets. This idea stemmed from two popular fields of study within NLP: Twitter sentiment analysis, and zero-shot text generation. By utilizing transfer learning and building upon OpenAI’s GPT-2 text generation model, we sought to train a model for the domain-specific task of generating tweets based on a given account. OpenAI’s GPT-2 is a transformer-based language model trained with the goal of predicting the next word given all previous words of some text [8]. -
A Comparative Study of Bot Detection Techniques Methods with an Application Related to Covid-19 Discourse on Twitter
A comparative study of Bot Detection techniques methods with an application related to Covid-19 discourse on Twitter. Marzia Antenore∗1, Jos´eM. Camacho-Rodr´ıguez †2, Emanuele Panizzi‡2 1Department of Communication and Social Research, Sapienza University of Rome 2Department of Computer Science, Sapienza University of Rome Abstract Bot Detection is an essential asset in a period where Online Social Networks(OSN) is a part of our lives. This task becomes more relevant in crises, as the Covid-19 pandemic, where there is an incipient risk of proliferation of social bots, producing a possible source of misinformation. In order to address this issue, it has been compared different methods to detect automatically social bots on Twitter using Data Selection. The techniques utilized to elaborate the bot detection models include the utilization of features as the tweets' metadata or the Digital Fingerprint of the Twitter accounts. In addition, it was analyzed the presence of bots in tweets from different periods of the first months of the Covid-19 pandemic, using the bot detection technique which best fits the scope of the task. Moreover, this work includes also analysis over aspects regarding the discourse of bots and humans, such as sentiment or hashtag utilization. arXiv:2102.01148v1 [cs.SI] 1 Feb 2021 1 Introduction According to [47], a bot is a socio-technical entity based on a software program whose aim is to simulate human behavior in Online Social Networks(OSN) such as Facebook, Twitter, or Instagram. Bots are configured to resemblance as humans not just to other human users, but also to the OSN platform [28]. -
Arxiv:1902.06691V2 [Cs.CY] 19 Feb 2019 Machine- Or Deep-Learning Currently Only Play a Minor Role
OPENBOTS AN EMPIRICAL STUDY ON AUTOMATED PROGRAMS IN SOCIAL MEDIA APREPRINT Dennis Assenmacher Lena Adam Department of Information Systems and Statistics Department of Information Systems and Statistics University of Münster University of Münster Münster, 48149 Münster, 48149 [email protected] [email protected] Lena Frischlich Heike Trautmann Department of Communication Department of Information Systems and Statistics University of Münster University of Münster Münster, 48149 Münster, 48149 [email protected] [email protected] Christian Grimme Department of Information Systems and Statistics University of Münster Münster, 48149 [email protected] February 20, 2019 ABSTRACT Social bots have recently gained attention in the context of public opinion manipulation on social media platforms. While a lot of research effort has been put into the classification and detection of such (semi-)automated programs, it is still unclear how sophisticated those bots actually are, which platforms they target, and where they originate from. To answer these questions, we gathered repository data from open source collaboration platforms to identify the status-quo as well as trends of publicly available bot code. Our findings indicate that most of the code on collaboration platforms is of supportive nature and provides modules of automation instead of fully fledged social bot programs. Hence, the cost (in terms of additional programming effort) for building social bots with the goal of topic-specific manipulation is higher than assumed and that methods in context of arXiv:1902.06691v2 [cs.CY] 19 Feb 2019 machine- or deep-learning currently only play a minor role. However, our approach can be applied as multifaceted knowledge discovery framework to monitor trends in public bot code evolution to detect new developments and streams.