UN/DESA, World Bank and UNDP Dakar Realizing the Millennium Development Goals Through Socially Inclusive Macroeconomic Policies

UN/DESA, World Bank and UNDP Dakar

Realizing the Millennium Development Goals through Socially Inclusive Macroeconomic Policies in Africa

Final Meeting and Transfer of Modeling Methodology

CRES Conference Room Dakar, Senegal, 6-8 December, 2010

“Realizing the Millennium Development Goals through Socially Inclusive Macroeconomic Policies in Africa ” is a capacity-development project that since May 2009 has aimed at evaluating and recommending strategic options that would ensure the timely achievement of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) in selected African countries – Senegal, South Africa and Uganda. Its main executing entity is the Development Policy and Analysis Division of the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DPAD/UN-DESA), which has worked in close collaboration with the World Bank and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).

Regional training workshops have been conducted in Entebbe (4-6 November 2009) and Pretoria (10-13 May 2010) to ensure that country teams get acquainted with the project’s methodologies. More details can be obtained from the following links: http://www.un.org/esa/policy/entebbe_mdgs.html http://www.un.org/esa/policy/pretoria_mdgs.html

Empirical investigations of MDG costing and financing have been conducted, using the “Maquette for MDGs Simulations” (MAMS), a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, developed by the World Bank, as the anchoring methodology. A combination of the latter with methods at the micro level has enabled proper analysis of the determinants of MDG achievement, on the one hand, and the effect of achieving goals in primary education, health, and water and sanitation on poverty and income inequality, on the other. Similar analytical tools have already been and are being successfully applied through capacity building projects in about 25 countries in Latin America, Asia, the Middle-East and Northern Africa.

Final workshops have been organized in South Africa (9 November, 2010) and Uganda (11 November, 2010). The Final Workshop in Senegal is being organized for 6 to 8 December, 2010, by DPAD/UN-DESA and the UNDP Country Office in Dakar. The main objectives of this meeting are:

• to present the findings of the study elaborated by the Senegalese team (CRES); • to engage experts and policymakers in a discussion on MDG-related policy implications, taking into consideration the feasibility of achieving the MDGs under different financing scenarios, public spending requirements and macroeconomic trade-offs of scaling up public spending; • provide training for a number of government experts and CRES staff in the use of the MAMS model to facilitate the transfer of the methodology; • assess overall performance and discuss the institutionalization and sustainability of the newly acquired methodologies for policymaking purposes as well as for further capacity development activities. Agenda

Day One – Monday, 6 December 2010 Topic Resource Person * Time Registration of participants 9:00 – 9:15 Welcome address Government 9:15 – 9:45 UNDP Self-introduction of participants 9:45 – 10:00 Presentation of project objectives and Marco V Sanchez, UN-DESA 10:00 – 10:45 integrated framework to assess MDG costing and financing strategies Coffee Break 10:45 – 11:00 Senegal country study Chair: Tembo Maburuki, 11:00 – 12:00 Presentation UNDP Senegal

Presenters: Abdoulaye Diagne & Joseph Cabral (CRES) Round Table Session to discuss policy Chair: Tembo Maburuki, 12:00 – 13:00 implications from the macroeconomic and UNDP Senegal sectoral policy perspective and poverty

Lunch 13:00 – 14:00 BEGINNING OF TRAINING Plenary session I: MAMS – basic features of 14:00 – 16:00 the economy-wide framework, MDG block and closures Coffee Break 16:00 – 16:15 Plenary session I: (cont .) 16:15 – 18:00

Day Two – Tuesday, 7 December 2010 Topic Resource Person * Time Plenary session II: The SAM and the core 9:00 – 10:00 (non-MDG) database for MAMS Plenary session III: The MDG database for 10:00 – 11:00 MAMS Coffee Break 11:00 – 11:15 Plenary session IV: MAMS file structure, runs 11:15 – 13:00 in GAMS, and reports for analysis Lunch 13:00 – 14:00 Plenary session V: Generating a realistic 14:00 – 15:00 baseline scenario Practical session I: Running MAMS for the 15:00 – 16:00 baseline and simulations and generating results Coffee Break 16:00 – 16:15 Practical session I: (cont. ) 16:15 – 18:00

Day Three – Wednesday, 8 December 2010 Topic Resource Person * Time Day Three – Wednesday, 8 December 2010 Topic Resource Person * Time Plenary session VI: Interpreting key results for 9:00 – 10:00 MDG scenario analysis Practical session II: Changing closure rules and 10:00 – 11:00 assumptions for the baseline scenario Coffee Break 11:00 – 11:15 Practical session III: Changing targets and 11:15 – 13:00 assumptions for the MDG scenarios Lunch 13:00 – 14:00 Plenary session VII: Generating alternative, 14:00 – 15:00 external-shock and policy simulations Practical session V: Generating alternative 15:00 – 16:00 simulations Coffee Break 16:00 – 16:15 Practical session V: (cont. ) 16:15 – 17:00 Summary of workshop and discussion of next Marco V Sanchez (UN- 17:00 – 18:00 steps DESA). * The resource persons for all plenary and practical sessions are Martin Cicowiez (CEDLAS) and Marco V Sanchez (UN-DESA).