Pedigree Profiles
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THURSDAY, APRIL 29, 2010 Pedigree Profiles presented by Kentucky Derby Contenders by the Numbers ith the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I) merely days Waway, it’s time to look at the field by their TrueNicks ratings. Of the top PEDIGREE ANALysts’ PICKS 20 contenders, 13 (65%) are rated A++; 15 (75%) were A or above; 18 (90%) Alan Devil May Care were B or higher. Of the remaining two, one has a C rating and one has no Super Saver rating, which means not enough crosses have been tried to generate a rating. PORTER Also included below are the Dosage Indexes for all the contenders. Ice Box THE CONTENDERS & TRUENICKS Avalyn Lookin At Lucky Ice Box Dosage HUNTER TrueNicks Index Horse, Sex Sire-Dam, Broodmare Sire Sidney’s Candy B+ 3.57 American Lion, c Tiznow–Storm Tide, by Storm Cat Evan Stately Victor Awesome Again–Houdini’s Honey, Discreetly Mine C 3.57 Awesome Act, c HAMMONDS by Mr. Prospector Devil May Care Smarty Jones–Apasionata, B+ 2.56 Backtalk, c by Affirmed Tom Paddy O’Prado Indian Charlie–Emptythetill, Sidney’s Candy NR 4.33 Conveyance, c by Holy Bull HALL American Lion A++ 1.15 Dean’s Kitten, c Kitten’s Joy–Summer Theatre, by Ide Malibu Moon–Kelli’s Ransom, A++ 2.53 Devil May Care, f Kentucky Derby Post Positions by Red Ransom Post Horse Morning Line Odds Mineshaft–Pretty Discreet, A 2.76 Discreetly Mine, c by Private Account 1 Lookin At Lucky 3-1 Afleet Alex–Classy Mirage, A++ 2.33 Dublin, c 2 Ice Box 10-1 by Storm Bird 3 Noble’s Promise 12-1 Roman Ruler–One Last Salute, A++ 3.67 Homeboykris, c by Salutely 4 Super Saver 15-1 A++ 3.36 Ice Box, c Pulpit–Spice Island, by Tabasco Cat 5 Line of David 30-1 Hear No Evil–Sexy Stockings, 6 Stately Victor 30-1 A+ 6.20 Jackson Bend, c by Tabasco Cat 7 American Lion 30-1 Lion Heart–Emma’s Dilemma, A++ 3.00 Line of David, c 8 Dean’s Kitten 50-1 by Capote Smart Strike–Private Feelings, 9 Make Music for Me 50-1 A++ 3.33 Lookin At Lucky, c by Belong to Me 10 Paddy O’Prado 20-1 Bernstein–Miss Cheers, B 3.31 Make Music for Me, c 11 Devil May Care 10-1 by Carson City Unbridled’s Song–La Paz, 12 Conveyance 12-1 A++ 4.09 Mission Impazible, c by Hold Your Peace 13 Jackson Bend 15-1 Cuvee–The Devil’s Trick, A++ 3.36 Noble’s Promise, c by Clever Trick 14 Mission Impazible 20-1 El Prado (IRE)–Fun House, 15 Discreetly Mine 30-1 A++ 1.20 Paddy O’Prado, c by Prized 16 Awesome Act 10-1 Candy Ride (ARG)–Fair Exchange, A++ 1.86 Sidney’s Candy, c by Storm Cat 17 Dublin 12-1 Ghostzapper–Collect the Cash, A++ 1.91 Stately Victor, c 18 Backtalk 50-1 by Dynaformer 19 Homeboykris 50-1 Maria’s Mon–Supercharger, A++ 3.00 Super Saver, c by A.P. Indy 20 Sidney’s Candy 5-1 1 2010 Kentucky Derby Pedigree Analyses Susan captress Spinning Top to a Calumet Farm family that also pro- AMERICAN LION duced the charismatic Whirlaway, winner of the 1941 renewal of the Triple Crown. Trainer: Eoin Harty Folklore, American Lion, and the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (gr. II) and Iroquois Stakes (gr. III) winner Tiz Wonderful are the only Jockey: David Flores 2-year-old graded stakes scorers to represent Tiznow to date. Besides Owner: WinStar Farm their high-class juvenile performances, the three have something else Breeder: WinStar Farm (KY) in common: all are out of Storm Cat-line mares (Folklore and American As befits a two-time winner of the Breeders’ Cup Classic (gr. Lion are out of daughters of Storm Cat, and Tiz Wonderful is out of a I), Tiznow has rapidly developed into one of our most reliable mare by Hennessy). For good measure, Tiznow also has recent Clasico 7 sources of quality stamina. All but one of his grade I winners Gran Promesa winner Golden Vivian out of a Storm Cat mare and aged 3 and up have scored their victories at nine furlongs or more (the multiple graded stakes winner Informed out of a mare by Tabasco Cat, exception being Tough Tiz’s Sis, who took the Lady’s Secret Stakes and another son of Storm Cat. 1 While Tiznow no doubt benefits from the speed and precocity of Ruffian Handicap (both gr. I) at 8 ⁄2 furlongs. In addition to being a source of stamina, Tiznow really came good in the Storm Cat line, the success of Tiznow with mares by Storm Cat the latter half of his own 3-year-old season, and the majority of his run- and his sons may well be influenced by a link between the pedigrees ners do best with a little time. Ironically, however, the horse that first of Storm Cat and Tiznow’s granddam, Lonely Dancer. Both are by sons drew attention to his merits as a sire was Folklore, who scored her first of Northern Dancer, and Storm Cat’s second dam, Crimson Saint, has black-type victory in the Adirondack Stakes (gr. II) over six furlongs in considerable similarities to Sulenan, the granddam of Lonely Dancer. the summer of her juvenile career, and who went on to add the Matron Crimson Saint is by Crimson Satan, who is a great-grandson of Black Stakes and Alberto VO5 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (both gr. I), to Toney, and her second dam, First Rose, is a Menow/Sir Gallahad III earn an Eclipse Award as the best of her age and sex. cross. Sulenan is a granddaughter of Tom Fool (by Menow out of a Tiznow’s current 2-year-olds are from the first crop sired following mare by Bull Dog (brother to Sir Gallahad III)), and her dam Blue Ca- Folklore’s juvenile campaign. Because Folklore was out of a mare by nary is a half siser to Crimson Satan, and like that horse, is by a grand- Storm Cat, it didn’t take a genius to work out that breeders with good son of Black Toney. Storm Cat mares were going to beat a path to Tiznow’s door in 2006. It would be remiss to leave American Lion’s pedigree without also That such a move might be worthwhile was borne out when Tiznow’s noting that Tiznow seems to be developing something of an affinity 3 for Carson City, sire of American Lion’s second dam. He has grade son American Lion followed up an impressive 6 ⁄4-lengths maiden win at Keeneland by overcoming some still-apparent greenness to take the I winner Bullsbay out of a mare by Carson City’s son Lord Carson, Hollywood Prevue Stakes (gr. III) at the weekend. and stakes winner Lady Chace out of a mare by Carson City himself. American Lion’s dam, Storm Tide, was a winner at 2 in her only By Alan Porter lifetime start. American Lion is her second named foal and first starter. Storm Tide is a sister to Weather Warning, who picked up some minor AWESOME ACT black type with a win in the Manitoba Lotteries Derby at Assiniboia Downs. She’s also half sister to Foolishly, a Broad Brush filly who took Trainer: Jeremy Noseda the Snow White Stakes at Charles Town at 2. American Lion’s grand- dam, City Band, was an excellent 2-year-old, winning four of her eight Jockey: Julien Leparoux starts at that age, including the Oak Leaf Stakes (gr. I). She remained Owner: Susan Roy & Vinery Stables in training for two more seasons, but never again captured a graded event, although she placed three times at that level at 3, and took the Breeder: Flaxman Holdings (KY) Queen Breeders’ Cup Stakes at 4. Predicting how a young horse will react to a change of surface American Lion’s third dam, Wedding Band (by the Valid Appeal 16 is never easy. Sometimes a runner may work impressively horse Mighty Appealing, a grandson of Tiznow’s great-grandsire, In over the new footing, only to flop under the pressure of real Reality) was another precocious runner, taking the Cameo Stakes at competition; at other times, such a change may just transform an also- Laurel as a juvenile. Her dam, Ring of Steel (by turf champion Assa- ran into a star. gai), was half sister to four stakes swinners, and to the dam of another Awesome Act may not quite have lived up to his name yet, but his good In Reality-line runner in the Adirondack Stakes (gr. II) victress first start on dirt after six races on turf certainly looked like a dress re- Really Quick. hearsal for bigger things to come. Sent off as the favorite for the Gotham American Lion’s tail-female line goes back through the Black-Eyed Stakes (gr. III), the colt justified his status with an effortless dusting of 1 his nine rivals. Granted, the winning margin was only 1 ⁄4 lengths over Relaunch, 1976 In Reality a modestly credentialed field, but Awesome Act was under absolutely Cee’s Tizzy, 1987 Foggy Note no pressure to do more. TIZNOW, Tizly, 1981 Lyphard For Vinery, which co-owns Awesome Act with Susan Roy, the colt’s b, 1997 Tizna win was surely enough to spark dreams of the future, for Awesome Act Seattle Song, 1981 Seattle Slew comes from one of the finest sire-producing families on the planet.