UNISCI Discussion Papers No 24
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ISSN 1696-2206 Nº 24 Octubre /October 2010 CHINA RISING IN THE GLOBAL CONTEXT UNISCI (Gracia Abad, coord.) UN IDAD DE Section I: General Articles INVESTIGACIÓN SOBRE Robert Sutter China, the United States and a “Power Shift” in Asia SEGURIDAD Y Wolfgang Deckers Europe, US, China: The Past, the Present, the Future; COOPERACIÓN Who Will Benefit from the Triangular Relationship INTERNACIONAL Gracia Abad The Beijing Consensus in the Shadow of the Global Financial Crisis RESEARCH UNIT ON Section II: Specific Articles INTERNATIONAL SECURITY AND Stephen Blank Russia’s Failure in Asia COOPERATION David García El despliegue estratégico de EEUU, La República Popular China y la seguridad en Asia 2001-2010 Wang Yiwei Clash of Identities: Why China and the EU are Inharmonious in Global Governance Renato Balderrama China, América Latina y el Caribe: el doble filo de una and Selene Martínez relación positiva Jörn Dosch The Fallacy of Multilateralism Rhetoric in China-Southeast Asia Relations – A Neo-realist Perspective on Regional Order-Building Nicolás de Pedro El ascenso de China en Asia Central: ¿un nuevo hegemón regional en gestación? Alberto Priego Las relaciones sino-pakistaníes: ¿Hacia un nuevo paradigma? n Arvind Kumar Future of India – China Relations: Challenges and prospects Irina Pop China’s Energy Strategy in Central Asia:Interactions with Russia, India and Japan TERRORISMO / TERRORISM Ahmed Niyaz Terrorism and Extremism: A threat to Maldives Tourism Disponible on -line: Industry Available on-line: www.ucm.es/ info/unisci UNISCI Discussion Papers UNISCI Discussion Papers (ISSN 1696-2206) es una revista científica de acceso abierto, con sistema de evaluación por pares, sobre Relaciones Internacionales y Seguridad; ambas entendidas en sentido amplio y desde un enfoque multidimensional, abierto a diferentes perspectivas teóricas. La revista es publicada tres veces al año —enero, mayo y octubre— por la Unidad de Investigación sobre Seguridad y Cooperación Internacional (UNISCI) de la Universidad Complutense de Madrid. Todos los números están disponibles de forma gratuita en nuestra página web www.ucm.es/info/unisci . El Comité de Redacción acepta colaboraciones en forma de artículos o recensiones de libros. Pueden enviarnos sus propuestas según se indica en las “Instrucciones para autores” que figuran al final de este número, así como en nuestra página web. UNISCI Discussion Papers (ISSN 1696-2206) is an open access, peer-reviewed scientific journal on International Relations and Security; both understood in a broad sense and from a multidimensional approach, open to different theoretical perspectives. The journal is published three times per year (January, May and October) by the Research Unit on International Security and Cooperation (UNISCI), Complutense University of Madrid. All the issues are available free of charge at our website www.ucm.es/info/unisci . The Editorial Committee accepts contributions of articles or book reviews. Proposals may be sent as indicated in the “Instructions for Authors” that can be found at the back of this issue, as well as at our website. COMITÉ CIENTÍFICO / ADVISORY BOARD Mustafa Aydin Romualdo Bermejo Professor of International Relations, Chair in Public International Law, Kadir Has University Rector University of León Mely Caballero-Anthony Ralph Emmers Associate Professor of International Relations, Associate Professor of International Relations, Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Singapore Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Singapore Terrence Guay Mendo Castro Henriques Professor of International Business, Professor, Portuguese Catholic University and Pennsylvania State University former Director for Research, National Defence Institute Tai Hwan Lee Bobo Lo Senior Fellow, Director, Russia and Eurasia Programme, The Sejong Institute, Seoul Chatham House, London Li Nan Arvind Kumar Senior Research Fellow, Head of the Department of Geopolitics and U.S. Naval War College International Relations, Manipal University Haksoon Paik Alessandro Politi Director, Center for North Korean Studies, Strategic & OSINT Analyst The Sejong Institute, Seoul Former WEU Researcher John Ravenhill Reinhardt Rummel Professor of International Relations Professor of International Security, Munich University The Australian National University Former Director of Programmes, SWP Berlin Sten Rynning Leonard C. Sebastian Associate Professor of International Relations and Associate Professor of International Relations, Security Studies, University of Southern Denmark Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Singapore Abdelkader Sid Ahmed Terry Terriff Professor of International Economics, Centre for Military and Strategic Studies, Université Paris-Sorbonne University of Calgary Dan Tschirgi Kostas Ifantis Professor of Political Science, Professor of International Relations, The American University in Cairo Athens University Juan Emilio Cheyre Massimo de Leonardis Director, Center for International Studies, Director of the Department of Political Science, Catholic University of Chile Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Milan COMITÉ DE REDACCIÓN / EDITORIAL COMMITTEE DIRECTOR / EDITOR Antonio Marquina Chair in Security and Cooperation in International Relations, Complutense University of Madrid VOCALES / ASSOCIATE EDITORS Carlos Corral Santiago Petschen Chair in Religious Forces in International Society Chair in Religious Forces in International Society, (Emeritus), Complutense University of Madrid Complutense University of Madrid José Antonio Sáinz de la Peña Carlos Echeverría Colonel, Spanish Army (Ret.) Professor of International Relations, Senior Researcher, UNISCI UNED University, Madrid Rubén Herrero David García Professor of International Relations, Professor of International Relations, Complutense University, Madrid Complutense University of Madrid Javier Ignacio García Belén Lara Professor of International Relations, Arms Control and Disarmament Expert, SEK University, Segovia Senior Researcher, UNISCI Antonio Alonso Xira Ruiz Professor of International Relations, UNISCI Research Fellow, CEU San Pablo University, Madrid Complutense University of Madrid Alberto Priego Gracia Abad UNISCI Research Fellow, UNISCI Research Fellow, Complutense University of Madrid Complutense University of Madrid SECRETARIO DE REDACCIÓN / EDITORIAL COORDINATOR Eric Pardo Sauvageot AYUDANTES DE REDACCIÓN / EDITORIAL ASSISTANTS Gustavo Díaz, Javier Morales, Gloria Inés Ospina, María-Ángeles Alaminos Hervás, Beatriz Tomé, Daniel Barnes DIRECTORIOS Y BASES DE DATOS / ABSTRACTING & INDEXING CATÁLOGO LATINDEX ● COLUMBIA INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS ONLINE (CIAO) ● CSA WORLDWIDE POLITICAL SCIENCE ABSTRACTS ● DIALNET ● DIFUSIÓN Y CALIDAD EDITORIAL DE LAS REVISTAS ESPAÑOLAS DE HUMANIDADES Y CIENCIAS SOCIALES Y JURÍDICAS (DICE), CSIC ● DIRECTORY OF OPEN ACCESS JOURNALS (DOAJ) ● GOOGLE SCHOLAR ● HOMELAND SECURITY DIGITAL LIBRARY ● INDEX ISLAMICUS ● INTERNATIONAL GOVERNANCE LEADERS AND ORGANIZATIONS ONLINE (IGLOO) LIBRARY ● INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL SCIENCE ABSTRACTS ● INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AND SECURITY NETWORK (ISN) PUBLISHING HOUSE ● INTERNATIONAL SECURITY AND COUNTER -TERRORISM REFERENCE CENTER ● ISOC — CIENCIAS POLÍTICAS Y SOCIOLOGÍA , CSIC ● LANCASTER INDEX TO DEFENCE & INTERNATIONAL SECURITY LITERATURE ● NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR RESEARCH ADVANCEMENT (NIRA) POLICY RESEARCH WATCH ● ONLINE COMPUTER LIBRARY CENTER (OCLC) ● PORTAL DE REVISTAS CIENTÍFICAS DE LA UNIVERSIDAD COMPLUTENSE DE MADRID ● RED DE REVISTAS CIENTÍFICAS DE AMÉRICA LATINA Y EL CARIBE , ESPAÑA Y PORTUGAL (REDALYC) ● SCIRUS ● ULRICH ’S PERIODICALS DIRECTORY ● WORLD CAT . 3 © UNISCI, 2010 Departamento de Estudios Internacionales, Facultad de Ciencias Políticas y Sociología, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Campus de Somosaguas, 28223 Madrid, Spain E-mail: [email protected] / Web: www.ucm.es/info/unisci Tel.: (+ 34) 91 394 2924 / Fax: (+ 34) 91 394 2655 ISSN: 1696-2206 El contenido de la revista puede ser citado, distribuido o empleado para fines docentes siempre que se mencione debidamente su fuente. No obstante, es necesario el permiso del Comité de Redacción para republicar un artículo, debiendo además indicarse claramente su aparición previa en UNISCI Discussion Papers. All materials can be freely cited, distributed or used for teaching purposes, provided that their original source is properly mentioned. However, those wishing to republish an article must contact the Editorial Committee for permission; in that case, its previous publication in UNISCI Discussion Papers must be clearly stated. 4 UNISCI Discussion Papers, Nº 24 (October / Octubre 2010) ISSN 1696-2206 CONTENTS / ÍNDICE Antonio Marquina Editor’s Note / Nota editorial 7 CHINA RISING IN THE GLOBAL CONTEXT / EL ASCENSO DE CHINA EN EL CONTEXTO MUNDIAL (Gracia Abad, coord.) Section I: General Articles Robert Sutter China, the United States and a “Power Shift” in Asia 9 Wolfgang Deckers Europe, US, China: The Past, the Present, the Future; 25 Who Will Benefit from the Triangular Relationship Gracia Abad The Beijing Consensus in the Shadow 45 of the Global Financial Crisis Section II: Specific Articles Stephen Blank Russia’s Failure in Asia 61 David García El despliegue estratégico de EEUU, La República 83 Popular China y la seguridad en Asia 2001-2010 Wang Yiwei Clash of Identities: Why China and the EU are 101 Inharmonious in Global Governance Renato Balderrama China, América Latina y el Caribe: el doble filo de una 113 Selene Martínez relación positiva Jörn Dosch The Fallacy of Multilateralism Rhetoric