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Job Vacancies There is some encouraging news with West Lothian’s unemployment rate now lower than the Scottish average for the first time in two years. • The number of JSA jobless in West Lothian for October is 4,245. This is a decrease of 164 on the previous month. • Encouragingly, West Lothian's unemployment rate of 3.7% is just under the Scottish (3.8%) rate; although above the Great Britain (3.5%) rate. West Lothian has not experienced a rate lower than the Scottish average since 2008 and the beginning of the economic downturn. West Lothian's unemployment rate ranks 10th highest out of all Scottish local authority areas. • Youth unemployment (18-24 year olds) in West Lothian for October is 1,315. This is a decrease of 75 on the last month. • There were 1,640 notified Jobcentre vacancies in October - a net increase of 566 from August 2010 (Jobcentre Vacancy figures are not available for September due to technical issues at ONS). • The ratio of jobseekers to jobcentre vacancies stands at 3 jobseekers for every vacancy advertised in West Lothian jobcentres, which is a good improvement on August’s ratio of 5 jobseekers. This compares well with Scotland's ratio of 3.8:1 and Great Britain’s 2.9:1 – North Ayrshire has the highest ratio of 11.7:1 (12 jobseekers for every vacancy) of claimants to vacancies of Scottish local authorities. Jobs and Investment Here are some positive jobs, investment and business news items for the West Lothian area: • The new Bathgate railway station has opened for business as preparations continue for the launch of the £300m Bathgate - Airdrie Rail Link this December. The rail link is expected to generate new socio-economic opportunities and promote public transport as an alternative to private thus easing traffic on the M8. • Affordable housing specialist Lovell , based in Glasgow, has been awarded a £45 million contract by West Lothian Council to build 545 homes for social rent. The new council housing will be built in Armadale, Bathgate, Blackburn, Livingston, Uphall and Whitburn with construction work on the 30-month scheme set to start in January. • The new purpose built Fauldhouse Partnership Centre has opened bringing together a range of community and leisure services under one roof including library, learning suite, swimming pool, sports hall, multi-purpose rooms, community facilities, GP practice, dentist and pharmacy. • Three top Spanish fashion brands — Springfield, women'secret and Cortefiel — have opted to make their Scottish debut at The Centre , Livingston. Jennifer Bruce, the Centre’s marketing manager welcomed the new fashion stores stating that Livingston’s malls were, “to become the first shopping centre in Scotland to secure these international brands”. • Production of whisky has started at Glenmorangie's a new multi-million-pound whisky bottling plant in Livingston. • The West Lothian Civic Centre has won a prestigious Innovation Award at the British Council for Offices' annual national awards. The civic centre in Livingston beat of six contenders from across the country to receive the National Innovation award in recognition of excellence in office space. 1 Unemployment Unemployment in West Lothian stands at 3.7% (% is a proportion of resident working age people) in October 2010. The latest JSA claimant count figure shows a decrease of 164 on the previous month and now stands at 4,245. West Lothian’s unemployment rate of 3.7% is lower than the Scottish rate of 3.8% although higher than the Great Britain rate of 3.5%. Unemployment Octoberber 2010 (% JSA Claimants as a proportion of resident working age people) 6.0 5.0 4.0 Scotland 3.8% West Lothian 3.7% 3.0 2.0 percentage 1.0 0.0 West Lothian Scotland West Lothian unemployment - % of claimants as a proportion of resident working age people) 6.0 5.0 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 4.0 3.0 2.0 percentage 1.0 0.0 October 2009 'September 2010 October 2010 Source: ONS claimant count rates Unemployment - total JSA claimants (October 2010) Males Females Total West Lothian (numbers) 3,033 1,212 4,245 West Lothian (%) 5.4% 2.1% 3.7% Scotland (%) 5.5% 2.1% 3.8% Great Britain (%) 4.9% 2.1% 3.5% Source: ONS claimant count with rates and proportions Note: % is a proportion of resident working age people 2 Included on page 10 is a breakdown of unemployment by local area within West Lothian based on the former 32 Scottish local authority wards. This shows that those wards with the highest rate of unemployment are Armadale Central (7.0%), Craigshill (6.9%), and Polkemmet (6.7%). Those with the lowest are Kingsfield (1.4%), Murieston (1.5%) and Preston (1.7%). In general, unemployment is higher in the southwest of West Lothian and lower in Linlithgow and the southeast of the area. The latest unemployment data for the UK based on the preferred government measure, is for the three months to September. The number of people unemployed fell by 9,000 to 2.45 million (a rate of 7.7%). Meanwhile, the total number of people claiming JSA fell slightly in October by 3,700 to 1.47 million. N.B. JSA based unemployment figures do not provide the full picture. The headline JSA figure, however, does help to indicate the latest trend or change at a national or local level and whether the economic down turn is beginning to bite. The Government's favoured method of measuring unemployment - the ILO method - does not readily translate into up to date local area estimates. YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT Youth unemployment - 16 to 24 year olds includes the MC,MC group and it is therefore important that it is tracked. The following graph shows youth unemployment as a percentage of all 16 to 24 year olds, comparing West Lothian with Scotland. West Lothian has a higher proportion (7.1%) for October than Scotland (6.0%) of youth unemployment. Although both have followed a parallel trend in the last two years. Youth unemployment (16 - 24 year olds) - October 2009 to October 2010 (% of JSA claimants as a proportion of 16-24 year olds) 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 West Lothian 7.1% 6.0 Scotland 6.0% 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 West Lothian Scotland Source: ONS claimant count N.B. Between 400 and 500, 16 to 17 year olds were registered unemployed with Skills Development Scotland most of whom will not be claiming JSA. Therefore, it is estimated that the total level of unemployment for 16 to 24 year olds is about 2,000. 3 Job Vacancies The number and type of Jobcentre Plus vacancies also provide a snapshot of the local labour market. It is estimated that Jobcentre Plus vacancies account for about a third of all available employment opportunities. In West Lothian the most common type of vacancies tend to reflect the main employment sectors e.g. business services, retail and manufacturing. Job vacancies as a % of JSA claimants 100.0 90.0 West Lothian 80.0 70.0 Scotland 60.0 50.0 West Lothian 38.6% 40.0 30.0 20.0 Scotland 26.3% percentage (%) percentage 10.0 0.0 Source: ONS annual business inquiry employee analysis The graph above compares the rate of job vacancies expressed as a percentage of the number of JSA claimants for both West Lothian and Scotland. West Lothian’s rate for October 2010 stands at 38.6% and Scotland’s at 26.3%. This means there are currently 3 jobseekers for every vacancy advertised in West Lothian jobcentres. The actual number of West Lothian job vacancies for this October is 1,640. This is a net increase of 566 vacancies on the month of August. ( N.B. Jobcentre vacancy figures have not been released yet for September due to technical reasons). N.B. No bar chart will appear in this month’s issue of Key Economic Indicators to compare job vacancies in the month of October with the previous month. The ONS report that the Jobcentre vacancy data for September 2010 has been withdrawn. This is due to problems identified with the source data supplied by DWP which they are currently investigating. 4 Planning Applications Planning applications provide another measure of the health of the local economy. The numbers of planning applications received indicate levels of business and consumer confidence, economic growth, development investment and development change. The following charts split planning applications into two categories: householder and all other planning applications. Householder applications include house extensions, conservatories and garages. All other application types include listed building applications, advertisement consent, small-scale individual developments and applications by business and industry. Because there is seasonal variance in development applications, the charts below focus on change over the period July to September for the last three years. Household applications have fallen since 2008, although these appear to be levelling off in the last year. The drop in planning application fees received is largely due to the fall in all other applications - especially non-householder. Householder Planning Applications - July to Sept (2007 - 2010) 150 125 109 101 91 100 50 0 No. of Applications of No. 2007 2008 2009 2010 All other Applications - July to Sept (2007 - 2010) 200 172 175 158 150 118 100 50 0 No. of Applications of No. 2007 2008 2009 2010 Planning Applications fees (total) - July to Sept (2007 - 2010) £300,000 £260,277 £250,000 £215,125 £200,000 £137,035 £150,000 £113,623 £100,000 £ (Sterling) £ £50,000 £0 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: West Lothian Council, October 2010 5 Redundancies The level and rate of redundancies are important measures of the business situation.
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