Self-Organization and Artificial Life
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DISCOVERING ARTIFICIAL ECONOMICS How Agents Learn and Economies Evolve
DISCOVERING ARTIFICIAL ECONOMICS How Agents Learn and Economies Evolve DAVID F. BATTEN Revised Manuscript December 1999 To be published by Westview Press © David F. Batten 1 8 Artificial Economics “Truth is much too complicated to allow anything but approximations.” JOHN VON NEUMANN {A}Limits to Knowledge{/A} It’s hard to let old beliefs go. They’re so familiar and comforting that we depend heavily on them for peace-of-mind. Most of us forget Kant’s message, that the way the world looks is nothing more than the way we happen to see it through our own particular set of lenses. So it has been in economics. That old set of lenses, still the most popular pair on the block, remains stubbornly homogeneous, static and linear. But a new set have arrived on the scene. These new lenses are dauntingly heterogeneous, dynamic and nonlinear. A pressing need for new lenses has prompted a focus in this book on the less predictable elements underpinning economic change, those chance events that punctuate the calm, deterministic landscape of the classical economic system, propelling it into an uncertain future. Hopefully, we’ve convinced you that real economies evolve in fits and starts. Calm is merely the precursor of the next storm. There’s also structure and recurrent pattern to these fits and starts. In an evolving economy, morphogenesis and disequilibrium are more often the norm than stasis and equilibrium. But this is only symptomatic of a more complicated problem. As we’ve stressed throughout, the real difficulty is that each of us is part of the very economy that we’re desperately trying to understand. -
A Primer on Complexity: an Introduction to Computational Social Science
A Primer on Complexity: An Introduction to Computational Social Science Shu-Heng Chen Department of Economics National Chengchi University Taipei, Taiwan 116 [email protected] 1 Course Objectives This course is to enable the students of social sciences to have some initial experiences of computational modeling of social phenomena or social processes.In this regard, it severs as the beginning course for preparing students of social sciences to have computational thinkingof social phenomena.On the other hand, the course is also to serve as a beginning course for the students of computer science or students with a strong taste for program- ming andmodeling who are, however, very curious of social phenomena, and want to see whether they can develop their talents in the axis of social sciences. 2 Course Description National Chengchi University is internationally well-known for its social sciences, but what are the natures of social sciences, and, to what extent, do they differ from sciences? Are these differences fundamentally or just superficially? The current social sciences are divided into economics, business, management, political sciences, sociology, psychology, public administration, anthropology, ethnology, religion, geography, law, international relations, etc. Is this division necessary, logical? When a social phenomenon is presenting itself to us, such as populism, polarization, segregation, racism, exploitation, injustice, global warming, income inequality, social exclusiveness or inclusiveness, green energy promotion, anti-gouging legislation, riots, tuition freeze, mass media regulation, finan- cial crisis, nationalism, globalization, will it identify itself: to which sister discipline it belongs? Economics? Psychology? Ethnology? If the purpose of social sciences is to enhance our understanding (harness) of social phenomena, and hence to enable us to develop a good conversation quality among cit- izens of the society from which the social phenomena emerge, then we probably need to promote good conversations among social scientists first. -
Varieties of Emergence
See discussions, stats, and author profiles for this publication at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/228792799 Varieties of emergence Article · January 2002 CITATIONS READS 37 94 1 author: Nigel Gilbert University of Surrey 364 PUBLICATIONS 9,427 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE Some of the authors of this publication are also working on these related projects: Consumer Behavior View project Agent-based Macroeconomic Models: An Anatomical Review View project All content following this page was uploaded by Nigel Gilbert on 19 May 2014. The user has requested enhancement of the downloaded file. 1 VARIETIES OF EMERGENCE N. GILBERT, University of Surrey, UK* ABSTRACT** The simulation of social agents has grown to be an innovative and powerful research methodology. The challenge is to develop models that are computationally precise, yet are linked closely to and are illuminating about social and behavioral theory. The social element of social simulation models derives partly from their ability to exhibit emergent features. In this paper, we illustrate the varieties of emergence by developing Schelling’s model of residential segregation (using it as a case study), considering what might be needed to take account of the effects of residential segregation on residents and others; the social recognition of spatially segregated zones; and the construction of categories of ethnicity. We conclude that while the existence of emergent phenomena is a necessary condition for models of social agents, this poses a methodological problem for those using simulation to investigate social phenomena. INTRODUCTION Emergence is an essential characteristic of social simulation. Indeed, without emergence, it might be argued that a simulation is not a social simulation. -
Self-Regulation Via Neural Simulation
Self-regulation via neural simulation Michael Gileada,b,1, Chelsea Boccagnoa, Melanie Silvermana, Ran R. Hassinc, Jochen Webera, and Kevin N. Ochsnera,1 aDepartment of Psychology, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027; bDepartment of Psychology, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Be’er Sheva 8410501, Israel; and cDepartment of Psychology, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem 9190501, Israel Edited by Marcia K. Johnson, Yale University, New Haven, CT, and approved July 11, 2016 (received for review January 24, 2016) Can taking the perspective of other people modify our own affective Although no prior work has addressed these questions, per se, responses to stimuli? To address this question, we examined the the literatures on emotion regulation (1, 5–11) and perspective- neurobiological mechanisms supporting the ability to take another taking (12–18) can be integrated to generate testable hypotheses. person’s perspective and thereby emotionally experience the world On one hand, research on emotion regulation has shown that as they would. We measured participants’ neural activity as they activity in lateral prefrontal cortex (i.e., dorsolateral prefrontal attempted to predict the emotional responses of two individuals that cortex and ventrolateral prefrontal cortex) and middle medial differed in terms of their proneness to experience negative affect. prefrontal cortex (i.e., presupplementary motor area, anterior Results showed that behavioral and neural signatures of negative ventral midcingulate cortex, and anterior dorsal midcingulate affect (amygdala activity and a distributed multivoxel pattern reflect- cortex) (19) supports the use of cognitive strategies to modulate ing affective negativity) simulated the presumed affective state of activity in (largely) subcortical systems for triggering affective the target person. -
A Complex Adaptive Systems Perspective to Appreciative Inquiry: a Theoretical Analysis Payam Saadat George Fox University
http://journals.sfu.ca/abr ADVANCES IN BUSINESS RESEARCH 2015, Volume 6, pages 1-13 A Complex Adaptive Systems Perspective to Appreciative Inquiry: A Theoretical Analysis Payam Saadat George Fox University Appreciate inquiry is utilized to facilitate organizational change by encouraging stakeholders to explore positives and generative capacities within their organization. In the literature, analysis of the effectiveness of AI is confined to psychological and managerial explanations such as highlighting the promotion of positive mindset and collective organizational planning. This paper will discuss a complex adaptive systems (CAS) perspective and present a new model for understanding the functionality of AI. The emphasis of this paper is placed on exploring the effects of AI on the behavior and interactions of agents/employees related to how they cope with change. An analysis of AI’s functionality through the lens of CAS reveals two critical insights: a) AI enhances adaptability to change by strengthening communication among agents, which in turn fosters the emergence of effective team arrangements and a more rapid collective response to change and b) AI possesses the potential to generate a collective memory for social systems within an organization. Furthermore, a systematic analysis of AI indicates a close connection between this method and CAS-based styles of management. This paper concludes by suggesting that AI might represent a potential method with the capacity to place organizational teams at the edge of chaos. Keywords: appreciative inquiry, organizational change, management, complex adaptive systems, edge of chaos Introduction In today’s fast-paced world where the fluctuating preferences of consumers, the growth in the global web of interdependence, and technological advancements guide the co-evolving relationship between the dominant business environment and the social systems within its domain, an organization’s capacity to cope with change in a timely manner determines its survival (Hesselbein & Goldsmith, 2006; Macready & Meyer, 1999; Senge, 2006). -
Theory Development with Agent-Based Models 1
Running head: THEORY DEVELOPMENT WITH AGENT-BASED MODELS 1 Theory Development with Agent-Based Models Paul E. Smaldino Johns Hopkins University Jimmy Calanchini University of California, Davis Cynthia L. Pickett University of California, Davis In press at Organizational Psychology Review Running head: THEORY DEVELOPMENT WITH AGENT-BASED MODELS 2 Abstract Many social phenomena do not result solely from intentional actions by isolated individuals, but rather emerge as the result of repeated interactions among multiple individuals over time. However, such phenomena are often poorly captured by traditional empirical techniques. Moreover, complex adaptive systems are insufficiently described by verbal models. In this paper, we discuss how organizational psychologists and group dynamics researchers may benefit from the adoption of formal modeling, particularly agent-based modeling, for developing and testing richer theories. Agent-based modeling is well-suited to capture multi-level dynamic processes and offers superior precision to verbal models. As an example, we present a model on social identity dynamics used to test the predictions of Brewer’s (1991) optimal distinctiveness theory, and discuss how the model extends the theory and produces novel research questions. We close with a general discussion on theory development using agent-based models. Keywords: group dynamics, agent-based modeling, formal models, optimal distinctiveness, social identity Running head: THEORY DEVELOPMENT WITH AGENT-BASED MODELS 3 Introduction "A mathematical theory may be regarded as a kind of scaffolding within which a reasonably secure theory expressible in words may be built up. ... Without such a scaffolding verbal arguments are insecure." – J.B.S. Haldane (1964) There are many challenges that face group dynamics researchers. -
Modeling Memes: a Memetic View of Affordance Learning
University of Pennsylvania ScholarlyCommons Publicly Accessible Penn Dissertations Spring 2011 Modeling Memes: A Memetic View of Affordance Learning Benjamin D. Nye University of Pennsylvania, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://repository.upenn.edu/edissertations Part of the Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Commons, Cognition and Perception Commons, Other Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Commons, Other Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering Commons, Social Psychology Commons, and the Statistical Models Commons Recommended Citation Nye, Benjamin D., "Modeling Memes: A Memetic View of Affordance Learning" (2011). Publicly Accessible Penn Dissertations. 336. https://repository.upenn.edu/edissertations/336 With all thanks to my esteemed committee, Dr. Silverman, Dr. Smith, Dr. Carley, and Dr. Bordogna. Also, great thanks to the University of Pennsylvania for all the opportunities to perform research at such a revered institution. This paper is posted at ScholarlyCommons. https://repository.upenn.edu/edissertations/336 For more information, please contact [email protected]. Modeling Memes: A Memetic View of Affordance Learning Abstract This research employed systems social science inquiry to build a synthesis model that would be useful for modeling meme evolution. First, a formal definition of memes was proposed that balanced both ontological adequacy and empirical observability. Based on this definition, a systems model for meme evolution was synthesized from Shannon Information Theory and elements of Bandura's Social Cognitive Learning Theory. Research in perception, social psychology, learning, and communication were incorporated to explain the cognitive and environmental processes guiding meme evolution. By extending the PMFServ cognitive architecture, socio-cognitive agents were created who could simulate social learning of Gibson affordances. -
Chapter 17: Social Change and Collective Behavior
CHAPTER 17 SocialSocial ChangeChange andand CollectiveCollective BehaviorBehavior 566 U S Your Sections I Sociological N Imagination 1. Social Change G 2. Theoretical Perspectives on Social Change hen you see photos or films showing the Plains Indians of the 3. Collective Behavior WOld West—Sioux, Crow, and so forth—what do you think about the culture 4. Social Movements of those Native Americans? If you’re like most of us, you may assume that it had re- mained unchanged for many centuries—that these people dressed and acted in exactly Learning Objectives the same way as their ancestors. We often assume that nonindustrial soci- eties such as these stand still over time. After reading this chapter, you will be able to Actually, though, sociology teaches us that change comes to all societies. Whether by ❖ illustrate the three social processes that borrowing from other cultures, discovering contribute to social change. new ways of doing things, or creating inven- ❖ discuss how technology, population, nat- tions that ripple through society, all peoples ural environment, revolution, and war experience social change. cause cultures to change. Let’s return to the example of the Plains Indians. You may picture these tribes as ❖ describe social change as viewed by the fierce, buffalo-hunting warriors. Perhaps im- functionalist and conflict perspectives. ages of Sitting Bull and Crazy Horse astride ❖ discuss rumors, fads, and fashions. fast horses attacking Custer come to mind, ❖ compare and contrast theories of crowd leading you to think that their ancestors for centuries had also ridden horses. In fact, behavior. horses were a relatively recent introduction ❖ compare and contrast theories of social to Plains Indian culture in the 1800s. -
Collective Behaviour
COLLECTIVE BEHAVIOUR DEFINED COLLECTIVE BEHAVIOUR • The term "collective behavior" was first used by Robert E. Park, and employed definitively by Herbert Blumer, to refer to social processes and events which do not reflect existing social structure (laws, conventions, and institutions), but which emerge in a "spontaneous" way. Collective Behaviour defined • Collective behaviour is a meaning- creating social process in which new norms of behaviour that challenges conventional social action emerges. Examples of Collective Behaviour • Some examples of this type of behaviour include panics, crazes, hostile outbursts and social movements • Fads like hula hoop; crazes like Beatlemania; hostile outbursts like anti- war demonstrations; and Social Movements. • Some argue social movements are more sophisticated forms of collective behaviour SOCIAL MOVEMENTS • Social movements are a type of group action. They are large informal groupings of individuals and/or organizations focused on specific political or social issues, in other words, on carrying out, resisting or undoing a social change. CBs and SMs 19th C. ROOTS • Modern Western social movements became possible through education and the increased mobility of labour due to the industrialisation and urbanisation of 19th century societies Tilly’s DEFINITION SM • Charles Tilly defines social movements as a series of contentious performances, displays and campaigns by which ordinary people made collective claims on others [Tilly, 2004].]: Three major elements of SMs • For Tilly, social movements are a major vehicle for ordinary people's participation in public politics [Tilly, 2004:3]. • He argues that there are three major elements to a social movement [Tilly, 2004 THREE ELEMENTS OF SMs 1. Campaigns: a sustained, organized public effort making collective claims on target authorities; 2. -
Arxiv:Nlin/0610040V2 [Nlin.AO] 27 Nov 2012
Self-organizing Traffic Lights: A Realistic Simulation Seung-Bae Cools, Carlos Gershenson, and Bart D’Hooghe 1 Introduction: Catch the Green Wave? Better Make Your Own! Everybody in populated areas suffers from traffic congestion problems. To deal with them, different methods have been developed to mediate between road users as best as possible. Traffic lights are not the only pieces in this puzzle, but they are an important one. As such, different approaches have been used trying to reduce waiting times of users and to prevent traffic jams. The most common consists of finding the appropriate phases and periods of traffic lights to quantitatively optimize traffic flow. This results in “green waves” that flow through the main avenues of a city, ideally enabling cars to drive through them without facing a red light, as the speed of the green wave matches the desired cruise speed for the avenue. However, this approach does not consider the current state of the traffic. If there is a high traffic density, cars entering a green wave will be stopped by cars ahead of them or cars that turned into the avenue, and once a car misses the green wave, it will have to wait the whole duration of the red light to enter the next green wave. On the other hand, for very low densities, cars might arrive too quickly at the next intersection, having to stop at each crossing. This method is certainly better than having no synchronization at all, however, it can be greatly improved. Traffic modelling has enhanced greatly our understanding of this complex phe- nomenon, especially during the last decade (Prigogine and Herman 1971; Wolf et al. -
Print Special Issue Flyer
IMPACT FACTOR 2.524 an Open Access Journal by MDPI What Is Self-Organization? Guest Editors: Message from the Guest Editors Prof. Dr. Claudius Gros In this Special Issue, we invite viewpoints, perspectives, Institute for Theoretical Physics, and applied considerations on questions regarding the Goethe University notions of self-organization and complexity. Examples Frankfurt/Main, Frankfurt, Germany include: [email protected] Routes: In how many different ways can self-organization manifest itself? Would it be meaningful, or even possible, to Dr. Damián H. Zanette Centro Atómico Bariloche, 8400 attempt a classification? Bariloche, Río Negro, Argentina Detection: Can we detect it automatically—either the [email protected] process or the outcome? Or do we need a human observer Dr. Carlos Gershenson to classify a system as “self-organizing”? This issue may be Computer Science Department, related to the construction of quantifiers, e.g., in terms of Instituto de Investigaciones en functions on phase space, such as entropy measures. Matemáticas Aplicadas y en Sistemas, Universidad Nacional Complexity: Is a system self-organizing only when the Autónoma de México, A.P. 20- resulting dynamical state is “complex”? What does 726, México 01000, D.F., Mexico “complex” mean exact;ly? Are there many types of [email protected] complexity, or just a single one? E.g., it has never been settled whether complexity should be intensive or extensive, if any. Deadline for manuscript submissions: Domains: Where do we find self-organizing processes? Are 15 October 2021 the properties of self-organizing systems domain-specific or universal? In which class of systems does self- organization show up most clearly? mdpi.com/si/77921 SpeciaIslsue IMPACT FACTOR 2.524 an Open Access Journal by MDPI Editor-in-Chief Message from the Editor-in-Chief Prof. -
Threshold Models of Collective Behavior!
Threshold Models of Collective Behavior! Mark Granovetter State University of New York at Stony Brook Models of collective behavior are developed for situations where actors have two alternatives and the costs and/or benefits of each depend on how many other actors choose which alternative. The key concept is that of "threshold": the number or proportion of others who must make one decision before a given actor does so; this is the point where net benefits begin to exceed net costs for that particular actor. Beginning with a frequency distribution of thresholds, the models allow calculation of the ultimate or "equilibrium" number making each decision. The stability of equilibrium results against various possible changes in threshold distributions is considered. Stress is placed on the importance of exact distributions for outcomes. Groups with similar average preferences may generate very different results; hence it is hazardous to infer individual dispositions from aggregate outcomes or to assume that behavior was directed by ultimately agreed-upon norms. Suggested applications are to riot behavior, innovation and rumor diffusion, strikes, voting, and migra tion. Issues of measurement, falsification, and verification are dis cussed. BACKGROUND AND DESCRIPTION OF THE MODELS Because sociological theory tends to explain behavior by institutionalized norms and values, the study of behavior inexplicable in this way occupies a peripheral position in systematic theory. Work in the subfields which embody this concern-deviance for individuals and collective behavior for groups-often consists of attempts to show what prevented the established patterns from exerting their usual sway. In the field of collective behavior, one such effort involves the assertion that new norms or beliefs "emerge" 1 This report is heavily indebted to three co-workers.